Comments by "Arty" (@arty5876) on "Russia plans to turn Ukraine into a landlocked state" video.

  1. Russians had invaded Ukraine without numerical superiority, while Ukraine is the largest land millitary in Europe after Russia. Ukraine have far more tanks, than Germany, Poland, Britain or France. If the quality of troops is equal, according to the law of millitary science attacking side is suffering more casualities. The major 3 reasons, why Russian invasion had failed in first few weeks: 1) Joung Russian soldiers aren't motivated to fight against brother Slavic people, a lot of Russians have relatives in Ukraine, probably some Russian soldiers have relarives in Ukraine (Millitary crimes probably were commited by soldiers of Asian and Islamic nationalities or by Russian police forces, not by Russian troops of Slavic nationality, I heard that Bucha massacre was commited by Chechen troops) . Russian soldiers are mentally and morally supressed, they don't want to fight against brother Slavic people. Opposite - Ukrainians have moral boom, they are fighting for their homeland. Also, civillian deaths would demoralize Russians and rise the morale of Ukrainians. 2) Russian command probably believed in its own propaganda, and commanders in Kremlin were thinking, that they would take all of Ukraine in 3 days without resistance, and Russian troops would be met with flowers. And Russian command simply didn't prepared for a war - Russians didn't planned, that they would face the resistance, they thought that they would take all of Ukraine in 3 days, and this is why Russians had poor logistics and preparation in first weeks of the war. Russians were invading Ukraine by moving in columns, very dangerous for ambushes. But at now, after 2 months since the start, Russians probably have normal logistics and normal amount of material, so at now this problem is irrelevant, but in the start of the war it was. Russia have a population of 146 million people, while Ukraine have the population of 40 million. The life standarts, economy and corruption in Russia and Ukraine are in the same level, but Ukraine was fighting a Donbass war, and Ukrainians probably worked on corruption in their army, and also Ukrainian army was trained by Western specialists. Also, Ukrainians have modern Western AT weapons and drones. Also, the 3rd major reason of Russian failure is conscript system. Russia have very low salaries in army, so Russian contract army is very unpopular, and no one wants to serve in it, except some provincial rabble and losers. So, Russia have the conscript army, where the 18-year old guys, that ended school yesterday, are serving for one year - in Russia one year millitary service means that you would be "trained" for 6 months, and later you would "serve" in military base for 6 months. You can't make the good soldier from 18 year old boy in 1 year. During Soviet times people were serving in army for 2 years. Ukraine also have conscripts, but Ukrainian army is more contract, contract army means that adult 30-year old man are serving in the army volunturely. Who is better soldier - an 18 year old boy, that was serving for 1 year, or adult 30 year old man, that was serving in army for few years? After 3 weeks Russians had stopped their invasion, and at now they are reinforcing and forming the frontline, they made a pause. Russians are dasapointed of their first plan, and they refused it, retreated from Kyiv to regroup and resupply in the Donbass region. This means that Russians aren't targeting occupation of all Ukraine no more, Russians refused their goal to occupie all Ukraine, and at now fighting would go only in the East of Ukraine. Also, because war wasn't declared, and Putin didn't even call this a war, there is no mobilization in Russia. After 2 months from the start of war Russia didn't started mobilization. Also, many mercenaries and volumteers from other countries are supporting Ukraine. Probably Ukrainian side already have numerical superiority over the Russian side. Let's hope this war would end up to the 9th of May - the every-year celebration of Soviet victory in WW2. Putin need to end the war up to 9th of May 2022, so, probably Russia would take Mariupol and Donbass region, and war would end, if Ukrainian side would agree. But I don't think that Ukraine would agree to peace. In Russia at now people are afraid that Putin would announce mobilization on 9th of May. I think that casualities ratio between Russia and Ukraine is ~2 to 1 in favour of Ukraine.
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