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@thegreatdane3627 Same reason the Central Powers collapsed in WW1 for example.
I'm sure you don't understand this, but people don't grow on trees and neither do they come from the supermarket ready to fight. Take a look at Ukraine's demograpy and ask yourself how many young men there are to be soldiers (well, Ukraine is talking about drafting women now, which I'm sure you are going to ignore, not to mention that the average age at the frontline is now past 40), how many people there are to keep some sort of economy going, etc..
That's just the manpower issue. Ammunition is a different problem and no, you do not print shells in the way you print dollar bills. That doesn't work like that and we are already getting articles of shell hunger in Ukraine. Same goes for equipment such as artillery and tanks. You do not wish them into existence.
We've also been told about infighting in the leadership of Ukraine, something you probably don't want to hear about, and you probably believe in stories like that one general who was killed just mishandled grenades that he mistook for drinking glasses.
Here is the cold truth: Russia has more of everything. Soldiers, equipment, ammuntion, economy, manpower to be drafted, space to trade for time (if they have to), resources, no matter what, they have more.
Now do me a favour and explain how you believe Ukraine can win. I'm just dying to hear that since you seem to think that Ukraine can.
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@LeutnantJoker To keep it simple just for you, Ukraine started the war with upwards of 1000 tanks. It has already been receiving Soviet tanks from the former Warsaw Pact states.
Given Ukrainian desperation we can assume that those were not only not enough, but have already been destroyed in large quantities. Small wonder, considering Russia's massive artillery advantage.
We have also witnessed the NATO states furiously fighting among themselves to find more tanks for Russia to destroy and they came up with what, 100 to 200 tanks of various models? Maybe 300? There is no reason to believe that these new tanks will perform any better than the tanks the West has already been sending.
After all Ukraine hasn't been properly trained on them, the logistics are a nightmare, because they will have to be repaired in Poland, and tanks are meant for combined arms warfare, which Ukraine cannot utilise as it lacks the means.
Not to mention the large fortified lines that the Russians have prepared in the case of more offensives.
So yeah, good luck with the tanks, it's only delaying the inevitable.
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This is precisely why last year I thought that Scholz was puffing out hot air when he announced his "Zeitenwende". It was nothing but posturing to please the crowd in the moment.
By the way, this isn't a new realisation. Procurement problems have been discussed for years, but the wheels of bureaucracy and corruption turn slowly, no matter what the blowhard tries to sell you. I remember it clearly how precisely this issue was raised during the Trump years when we were being told that Germany would have to insure her own security, because the US couldn't be trusted under Trump.
(Oh the irony, seeing as it was under Biden that the US actually attacked our energy infrastructure)
Frankly, it's also not just procurement. The Ukraine war has blatantly demonstrated that industrial warfare didn't vanish into the annals of history and that the quantity of weapons and ammunition is crucial. Our defence industry is completely incapable of delivering the goods Germany would need to defend itself in a peer conflict (not that any is on the horizon, no matter how much the media and politicians try to create the Russian boogieman).
Lastly, lol at calling Afghanistan a reconstruction mission. Sure, sure. We constructed a house of cards, not a state.
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Still not ready to admit defeat and hold peace talks, huh? Can't say I'm surprised, if there is anything in this world as sure as the sunrise in the morning, it's the spin coming out of DW News and especially the UK.
Well, let's stop the watches everyone. "Hopefully" and "at some point over the next few months" the Russians will "suddenly collapse somewhere", just like they were meant to run out of everything, their economy was supposed to implode, civil war was supposed to break out, they were supposed to be isolated, etc. All those lofty goals, always just a couple months away.
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@thegreatdane3627 I would have thought that a bot like you would realise that the German Springoffensive of 1918 was carried out in WW1, you know, the war that ran from 1914 to 1918? Why do you think I used the word "Entente"?
And of course you have seen these pictures. Anyway, let's pretend for the sake of argument that Verbove isn't part of the first line of defense, but behind it (and I will grant you this, no one actually ever definitively defines where what line is, which number it has and so for).
So, for the sake of the argument: Ukraine wasted tens of thousands of men and suffered massive equipment losses, but has only breached the first line of defense after four months. That's in your book progress? They are attriting their army, and with it whatever leverage they might have had in negotiations, away for no strategic gain whatsoever. Calling that success just boggles the mind.
Now, please tell me all about how it's actually Russia that is being attrited away, despite their air superiority and their superiority in artillery, not to mention that it's them who are on the defense.😒
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"Gains have been modest, every square kilometr counts", well we have to give it a positive spin somehow. "We try to preserve life, unlike those Russians, that's why we are moving slowly". Oh yeah, sure thing.
Anyway, keep it up, DW News, I hope you achieve your goal of convincing people that Ukraine is winning, that they have to keep supporting Ukraine, even when that is demonstrably not true and we are just burning through the Ukrainian population.
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