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worn down
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "worn down" (@worndown8280) on "The Real Secret to Saving Birthrates || Peter Zeihan" video.
The first issue people think backwards on. They think, how can we accommodate women better or better put, mothers. The more effective option would be how can we make men better providers for the family. That has a multiplier effect. It makes the male able to provide for his family without the wife having to pull double duty, which is unreasonable. And 2nd, it makes that man more attractive in the first place for starting a family, the main thing most young women complain about, there being a lack of "good" young men to marry. But we cant do that because misogyny. This is a doom loop all societies reach at certain points.
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@hamzamahmood9565 Youngest Millennials are 29. Statistically if a woman reaches 30 without children she only has a 50% chance of having two. Millennials missed their boat.
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@kriskeena9438 You are right. I myself retired at 45. I was told I would never advance. So I bailed. Never been happier. But you are very right about how many men dont work and are therefor not good prospective partners. The question is why? You could say its just entitlement, but I think that is an oversimplification in most cases.
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@ Most devote religious couples are well above fertility rates. In the US the only two religious groups who arent are Catholics at 1.5 and Mormons who are at 2.03. Devote Protestants are at 2.5. Women who do not attend a religious services are at 1.3. Among all religious women in the US the fertility rate is 2.1, exactly replacement level.
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@thmphll Israel has. And if you look at their demographic breakdown its pretty easy to see why. Only the faithful are reproducing. The majority of the urbanite cohort isnt at replacement level.
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Yup, its a way to shift payment costs. Another diversion to the elderly.
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@nazcamain If you look at their demography its a sub section of the population thats having almost all the kids. The religious. They have families out of faith. Its their duty. And they sacrifice to do it. The non religious urbanites in Israel have the same low birth rate as the rest of the west. But when your religious families all have 6 or 7 kids, it gets you above replacement level. And in 100 years, there will only be the sons and daughters of the faithful. Same as in western nations. Religion gives people hope. And hope carries most people through.
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@catherinedalzell3183 Thats because pregnant women slowed production. Many facilities actually paid bonuses so production would remain high. So there was an unintentional social pressure on women not to have children, to get the bonus and make sure everyone else did too, otherwise you are just being selfish. Then there was the soviet era apartment block housing. One bedroom. Hard to bring kids into that.
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@judewarner1536 market crashes are the forest fire that clears out poorly run or overextended businesses. They are a good thing. Not having them causes these huge mega corporations that gobble everything up.
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@wisenber Yeah that first one really is a cultural thing and can be changed. Same with the third. That 2nd one though, thats biology.
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Which one of those nations is ethnically diverse? Its not polite to say, but societies that are racially homogeneous have lower health care costs as different groups of people typically have different medical issues. Take Iceland' degenerative hip disease that pretty much everyone there gets. I bet the cost on those is way low because they make it up on volume. Then there is the way Medicare raises the cost of everything in the US. A lot of folks dont understand that because the Medicare system is so horribly byzantine.
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@thmphll While you are correct, in some religious groups in the US the fertility rate has dropped, but the average protestant church goer in the US has 2.5 kids, well above replacement rate. Catholics and Morons, not so much. Mormons are now at 2.03 and Catholics at 1.6.
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@allthenewsordeath5772 right. But the fertility rate I was referring to with catholics are those who attend mass weekly.
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@ Thats exactly when immunizations started that drastically reduced the death rates from small pox.
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