Youtube comments of worn down (@worndown8280).

  1. She said the quiet part out loud. Being free did not get them the goal they wanted. So tyranny it is.
    1200
  2. Watching the debate, I think Trump felt sad for Biden.
    808
  3. Larry Cullen said it best. "A man must be strong enough to be gentle." Larry Cullen is a Marine and his brother, Peter Cullen, used him as inspiration for the voice of Optimus Prime.
    774
  4. Having lived in Japan, I can say only this. Cheating and affairs are a national past time in Japan. It just typically doesnt nuke relationships like here in the US. And one has never met a more combative and tyrannical woman, than the Japanese house wife. Keep up the good content.
    573
  5. There was a time when a woman looked at a man who was frugal as someone who would be a great husband and provider. Wow how times have changed.
    552
  6. That old man at the end is the GOAT
    355
  7. Had a friend who worked at salesforce. They had a class that was known as diversity hires and then the actual workers. I have to assume that most of the tech industry is like this. There are a huge subset of men that just love working in tech. That makes them wealthy, but that always draws locusts. But no matter how big the swarm, locusts always die.
    341
  8. In reference to the creators being forced to do something they dislike, back during the Renaissance a sculptor, I think it was Michelangelo, was told by the commissioner of a piece that the nose on the statue was to large and that Mike should reduce it in size. Michelangelo knowing that from where the commissioner stood, they had the incorrect perspective of the piece from when it would be finished. But rather than argue with the man who paid the bills, Mike said yes. Grabbed his chisel and went to work. Tapping so gently that tiny grains of marble flaked off. The commissioner was please, leaving his own mark on the work. What he did not know is that Michelangelo had slyly hid in his hand that held the chisel, marble powder which he let poor from his hand with each tap of his hammer. Sometimes when you are an artist, you have to please your master. They too want to put their mark on the art. And why shouldnt they, they paid for it. But an artist should know how to defend their work. A smart man can do both at the same time.
    296
  9. The maps just show how little there is. Thats why they weren't there in the first place.
    295
  10. How are you going to hire Gadot and pretend Zegler is even in the same class beauty wise? If they wanted to have Gadot play the evil witch, Zegler was just not a good choice from an aesthetic standpoint.
    293
  11. Its nice to hear a woman admit this.
    269
  12. One thing with the Mouse Utopia experiment that he failed to do that should be tried. Is what if you took the mice who still were reproducing correctly and gave them an avenue of escape? Humans arent locked in a walled city. You see this time and again, peoples from civilizations that have collapsed escaped and rebuilt.
    197
  13.  @vl3244  Yea I remember when Obama called me a potential terrorist because of my skin color and military back ground. You, my friend, have big blinders on if you think this started with Trump.
    171
  14. If the actual content creators got the revenue from the ads I would watch them. Not even going to lie about that. As far as Asmons last point about harming the earnings, the Atari v Colecovison lawsuit in the 1980s when colecovison had its atari emulator attachment, stated that Atari had no right to sue. Atari still made money from the games being sold. One could argue that if Google is still selling the data their business isnt being harmed. Settled law.
    170
  15.  @Hooga89  You accidentally said it. Men and women didnt use to compete with each other. They use to compliment each other. But you are very right, in modernity, men and women do compete.
    147
  16. The worst part of this video is that only 2.6% will reject a woman who drinks. I am 48. I have yet to have an even semi decent relationship with ANY woman who drinks. Drinking typically leads to all sorts of behaviors that men dislike. It is typically the cause of it. And yet men dont understand that. And on top of that, alcohol is a mutagenic compound and will effect her ovum when she does have children. Do not date women who drink, your future children will thank you for it.
    144
  17. I use to drive hwy 80 every day to work. I would always pass this only beat up lifted F-150. It had the best bumper sticker ever. It read, "This truck is lifted because fat girls cant jump."
    134
  18. In the time I got divorced, in 2014, until the time i had completed saving enough to get me through the rest of my life and my 3 sons out of the house, was in 2021. Now I am a gentleman farmer sipping sweet tea and watch my animals and garden grow. Its amazing how quiet, non stressed and happy we all are.
    130
  19. I use to live in California. I was born and raised there. I have seen if go from a conservative paradise, with the exceptions of small enclaves in the bay area and LA to a progressive nightmare that grew like a cancer to strangle the whole state. The turning point was in the 90s. Sane and rational people fled to the central valley, which up until recently had been solidly conservative. But no more. A person who is conservative just cannot abide California anymore. It certainly isnt the place Reagan knew and loved. As far as banning things, I went into Home Depot to buy cargo straps for the move out of California and noticed that they had tagged the wood department as "toxic", The state of California has now determined that lumber, untreated two by fours and such, cause cancer. The state is a lost cause.
    118
  20. it aint humbling thats going to happen. A lot of people are gonna die when checks stop going out.
    114
  21. Sounds like something said in DC.
    112
  22.  @l0I0I0I0  Talks about the evils and immorality of technology and the effects it would have on society. And he has been insanely accurate.
    110
  23.  @koobyn  No it is spiritual but also technological issues. In Japan some of the building pads are very small. When you have real estate that small you cant just work around design flaws. Every inch, or in Japans case cm, count. When I lived there you had separate sinks and toilets. But the room for the extra basin took up a lot of footage. So they started putting wash basins on top of the toilet so you got a double use. The grey water from washing your hands now gets used twice. In most places thats not even considered, but in Japan where a significant portion of fresh water is created from salt water, which is energy demanding it matters. Some structures are torn down due to safety concerns, but those are very few and far between.
    109
  24. And the people responsible for securing all this "required" info who dont protect it properly never are punished with failing their jobs. Hackers would have been smarter to tell the school district we will change everyone's grades to F's so you lose all your state and Federal funding. Thats what they care about. Not student or parent information.
    100
  25. My ex wife regretted having kids. I told her fine. Go live your best life. She was upset when she got neither child support nor spousal support. Why she would think you would get child support without having custody of the kids is mind boggling. Some people just dont think. But having kids was one of the greatest things I have done. Never regretted it. Even when my oldest totaled my truck.
    96
  26. As a former union member I can tell you there are three parties involved here, the ports, the union members and the unions. The union workers dont care if there is automation. The union does. Automation means less union workers which means less union dues.
    93
  27.  @Xopher30  so you are saying women are incapable of agency? Nice. Women are either personally responsible or they are not.
    91
  28. This was a good one. I have a lot of friends, who when they were younger, got caught up in the moment. Young men, dont be like that.
    90
  29.  @Eclipse-lw4vf  I am still playing games I bought in the 1980s. Not sure what you are talking about. Maybe you have only been purchasing games since downloads were a thing. But a lot of us actually own physical copies of games.
    88
  30. I use to live in California. I left in 2021. In 2014 I broke my back at work and 6 months later my wife left me. She tried to take my house, my sons, and everything that I worked for. She failed. I kept everything except her car and half our possessions. I cut her a check for 50% of the equity of our home at the time, that was a 20k check to her. I told her lawyer she need to agree to this or I would split everything, literally in half. My ex wife new me, and knew I would. So she agreed. After the Camp Fire my family at large lost everything and most moved in with me. I told them we were leaving the state and headed, to Tennessee. One of the only two states that met the majority of my 10 points. It beat out Idaho by one because it had water. I dont live to far from Joker and I have to say its beautiful. Its what California claimed to be. At the local high school my kids take robotics classes from a professor at UT and have choices of 6 different languages to learn. The only downside is housing prices are exploding for locals. When I checked the moving truck in at the local Penske truck rental place I was met with a Tennessee local who was a manager, a woman who left upstate New York and a black man who fled the insanity of what was going on in Minnesota. This place is literally what the left had cried they wanted for generations. Its just conservative. The locals are scared that outsiders will change things, but every outsider I have met has been conservatives or libertarian. Leftists and progressives dont seem to last long.
    86
  31. I live in Japan for several years. There are a lot of social issues there that arent seen by foreigners. But when you get to know Japanese people and they trust you they will talk about them. But the culture in Japan is that you NEVER say what you are thinking. You keep that to yourself. Japan suffers from a similar problem regarding marriage that the US has. For several generations now. Japanese men have seen their families torn apart and they almost always lose their kids. One of the reasons the old woman thought it would be better if the other man and his family was from the same town. The family, even if it breaks up, is still close together. But ultimately the problem in Japan is economics. The staggering weight of their national debt and the need to keep their GDP up, which they cant, requires them to push every woman they can into the work force, even if it only kicks the can down the road for another few years. But in doing that they only decrease their birth rate further. And now that kodokushi is a thing that is very common, Japanese people, both men and women, are starting to freak out big time. But this is what will always happen when you allow politicians to leverage the productivity of the young for the free and easy life when old.
    86
  32. When someone says, "This is gay." This is what they have always meant.
    85
  33. I think that starts with college/university. Kids going away from family for 4 years earning degrees. Then moving to other parts of the nation to work in their prospective fields after. Doesnt work long term for communities or family stability. Yours is a good observation.
    85
  34. People are worried about fighting but lets be honest, sanctions wont work. Russia and the Ukraine export almost 30% of world wheat exports. Most of Europe needs Russia nat gas. Japan and South Korea use Russian LNG. The Ukraine is the leading exporter of potash for fertilizer. We already have shortages in phosphate based fertilizers and petroleum ones. World is going to go on a diet.
    84
  35. In the span of 5 months, I broke my back, was medically discharged from the Marine Corps, my wife left me, I had to put my 16 year old dog down, then had the first of three back surgeries to repair the damage. Post surgery they made made me see a head shrink. Apparently I had significant severe depression. I went through more than a few docs before I found a guy who was prior service and I asked him if it was a red flag if I had no really close friends. He said, do you want friends or do you think having friends will make you look or feel normal? I shockingly, to myself at least, I said no. He said then dont worry about it. I think a lot of us feel this way. Maybe its to much damage, maybe its a form of emotional self preservation, or maybe its the result of a dysfunctional childhood from divorced parents who were never home. But in todays age, its not unnormal. But one should be careful not to become antisocial in your solace. We are still social animals.
    84
  36.  @-WarCriminal-22  In the US, the government very shorty (By 2040) is going to either default, stop paying social benefits or, most likely, print like mad to be able to continue social programs. Women will be hardest hit. Women and children, since they depend most of government handouts. As it is right now SSI will be cut by 22% in 2033. That alone will rip the country apart. I wonder what all those old injured combat vets from near 2 decades of war will do?
    81
  37. It was always flippers in 2008. Subprime just made to floor drop out. And then the Fed saved everyone. This time if the Fed tries that inflation will explode and a rapidly deflating housing market will be the least of peoples concerns. You can already see people wishing for the Fed to "pivot" wanting them to lower rates to save this. Either way, the bill is due, as others have said. So we either get deflating asset prices or much higher inflation basically devaluing asset prices in real terms. Sometimes I feel like people cant do math. We never addressed the underlying causes of the crash in 2008. Its demographics. You can fake demand for a while with loose credit, but eventually, that has to be paid back or you reach a limit that you cant pay back what you already owe. Thats where we are.
    79
  38. They can just raise sales tax instead. The issue isnt the taxes, its that the citizenry want the government to provide services, that requires taxes. Year after year more and more people want more and more services. The money has to come from somewhere. Or the people can stop voting for more "free" stuff.
    77
  39. A lot of folks dont understand how games are funded. Microsoft doesnt open up their big Scrooge McDuck vault and hand studios money. It borrows money, like movie studios do, to finance games. The issue is over the last 15ish years, the interest rates have been damn near zero. That has all sort of distorting effects in markets. Since money was so cheap all sorts of studios that should never have existed, did. This is just a cleansing of things that never should have been. Because of the more expensive cost of money today, the industry is having to recalculate how they do their ROI on projects. This means a lot of studios, under the new business environment just are not going to survive. This is hitting all industries though, not just gaming. Its a repurposing of labor and capital. And it will be a long term good thing. It will eventually deliver a better product.
    75
  40. Just what i want, the Federal government involved in police. How about the voters pull their heads out of their rears and start holding their elected leaders accountable at the local community. Part of this is the media's fault focusing on Federal elections so much. Our founders always intended local and state elections to be the most important. We need to get back to that.
    72
  41. Almost to 200k. Good for you man. Keep up the entertaining content.
    71
  42. My f150 got into an accident in early Nov. It took the insurance company until last week to find a wrecker who had time to tow it to a repair yard. And after all that time, they totaled it. All wreckers and repo guys are working full tilt. If I was a young buck it would be a nice way to make some extra cash.
    70
  43. Just a small historical point. A guy by the name of Sargon of Akkad, King of Akkad, King of Sumer, and King of the Universe (his actual titles), first started out as a royal gardener in the service of king Lugal-zage-zi who he eventually overthrew. I always laugh when I heard that gardener quote. The man who created the worlds first empire was a gardener.
    69
  44.  @lemmejustreadthethings  This is an excellent post.
    67
  45. You see this with gaming studios as well. Once the money comes in, its like a leash. Blackrock and Vanguard really need to be RICOed at this point.
    66
  46. When you realize that the "rape exception" will be abused by women simply crying rape when they want an abortion...
    66
  47. “I have urged our fellow Americans to go about their lives, to fly on airplanes, to travel, to go to work, and to go shopping.” -George Bush (After 9/11)
    65
  48. The problem isnt people who are found guilty of domestic violence in a criminal court, but typically when one spouse accuses the other of domestic violence in family court. Zero evidence is needed and people lose their constitutionally protected rights without a fair trail, only the arbitrary choice of a judge. These individuals then lose their right to legal protection, physical protection and often their children with no recourse.
    63
  49.  @jimluebke3869  nah just the truth. We let men and women off the hook all the time for personal choices. Thats what life is, a series of choices. Currently we hold few personally responsible. Maybe you are ok with that. I am not.
    61
  50. The people of Georgia should determine who they allow to run or not run for office. A court deciding this is a joke. This should horrify both the left and the right equally.
    61
  51. The first victim in war is always, and has always been, the truth.
    59
  52. As a stoic I have to disagree with you. The last woman I dated was in her late 20s, I am 48. When she brought up marriage I immediately stated that that was not something I was interested in, as I have already had my children and didnt not feel I could be a decent father at my age doing it all again. I also told her that if that is something she wanted I would stop seeing her so I wouldnt waste the time she had left. When she insisted that she wanted to marry I ended the relationship. One of the biggest problems is that men and women do not date with purpose. And I have see both men and women lied to by their partners, sometimes convincingly so, because the other just didnt want to be alone. That is not the persons fault. Most people struggle with the sunk cost fallacy. And this is at the core of what this is about. You may not have intended it, but your position is people should trust less. It should, instead, be people should act more trustworthy. Our society is bereft of trust. Or perhaps thats just my perspective on what you have said. A better man than me said, "A man who has virtue, is in need of nothing whatever for the purpose of living well."
    57
  53. They need to raise rates. They are lying about how low inflation is. The reason why is if they raise rates any higher, more and more banks will implode. So we have have a depression or moderate inflation. The government chose inflation. But come 2033 that all ends. There wont be enough money to pay SSI and service the debt. So SSI will be cut 20%. That alone will cause a depression.
    56
  54. To bad laws prevent this.
    56
  55. Many Native American tribes slaughtered and consumed dogs to seal binding oaths. This is from a book in the 1850s about it. This cultural thing goes back tens of thousands of years to when Native Americans and Indo Europeans had a common ancestor. “The dog, amongst all Indian tribes, is more esteemed and more valued than amongst any part of the civilized world; the Indian who has more time to devote to his company, and whose untutored mind more nearly assimilates to that of his faithful servant, keeps him closer company, and draws him nearer to his heart. They hunt together and are equal sharers in the chase. Their bed is one and on the rocks and on their coat of arms they carve his image as the symbol of fidelity. Yet, with all of these, the Indian will end his affection with this faithful follower, and with tears in his eyes, offer him as a sacrifice to seal the pledge he has made to man; because a feast of venison or of buffalo meat is what is due to everyone and consequently has no meaning.”
    54
  56. Thats what happens when people are always on electronics and PE classes are a joke.
    53
  57. No your numbers are to kind. Fertility starts its very rapid drop at 28. The biggest problem is this in never taught to young girls at school. They get told they can push it off, then when they do, reality hits them. Nature doesnt care.
    51
  58. This was a problem in the long long ago in the age of the AOL chat rooms. I am pretty sure that this has always been a thing. I think its about social interaction. A lot of people are very lonely. I go to my sons schools and it makes me want to cry. I feel socially, we are at a crisis point. Add to this body positivity and a lack of drive to be physically active almost all male and female interaction stops. At this rate we are going to end up like the Zentraedi.
    50
  59. Just this last week companies in Nashville have laid off over 500 people. One was a milk producer, they couldnt keep pace with peoples cutting milk consumption due to the price increases. This doesnt include the several hundred people who were laid off from the community colleges around Nashville due to collapsing enrollment. Wait until the next .5 Fed increase, And then the one after that, and the one after that. Its going to be ugly for people. It wont just be tech that gets hammered.
    49
  60.  @juniorjames7076  Rome came from the fall of Troy (per their legends) and that happened during the bronze age collapse. Rome, administratively, moved to Constantinople long before it was taken by the Lombards. Pick a civilization. There are few that ever were completely wiped out.
    48
  61. When I was stationed there I picked up the language pretty easy. I had one Japanese female friend and she literally wanted to just collect men like Pokemon. A white one, a black one, and latin one, etc etc. None Japanese dont understand honne and tatemae. They just get the surface. You have some Japanese who dont tolerate it but they are always viewed as outcasts and troublemakers, which is why non Japanese people have such a rough time there.
    47
  62. This is the thing, in this country we vote. Everyone is focused on the president. Thats really the only election that matters to most people. Maybe, higher taxes will cause them to focus on the local elections, the ones that should really matter. I know, I am naive. The modern American is a pitiful creature.
    47
  63. This is straight like the early internet days where pop ups would flood your screen and any attempt to remove them would result in another pop up. And this time they get you to sign up for it. Diabolical.
    46
  64. This is akin to a bookie not taking your money so his muscle can break your legs. This isnt so much to hurt Russia, but to keep the rest of the sheep in line.
    46
  65.  @tofuyam7361  according to trans peoples words are violence. He threatened people. Thats violence now.
    45
  66. Imagine if the mother stayed with their child.
    45
  67. People need to understand how bad these cuts can get. I bought a home in Dec 2007 from DR Horton in California. It was listed for 535k, it was marked down to 505k. When I bought it I walked out of the office paying 280k. A year later my house was worth less than I paid for it. But I was happy. If math is hard for some, thats a 48% price cut. My house "bottomed out" at $187,000, thats a 66% price drop from original listing price.
    44
  68.  @brendanariki  They just play word games. "A man is someone who has masculine traits. What are traits that are masculine? Traits a man has." Its circular. These people dont know how to reason. Dumb people playing with big words is about as smart as little kids playing with matches.
    43
  69. While things did get worse after smart phones, much worse, the problems were already there. But men arent allowed to talk about it, even if they have a daughter. So women will have to sort this one out all on their own.
    43
  70. I use to live in California. I had a neighbors who lived in their house for 7 years without making a full payment once. They would just refi and then not pay anymore. A lot of people live like that believe it or not. Now they cant. But California laws intentionally make foreclosing next to impossible. They dont want the prices to drop because then tax revenue to drop.
    42
  71.  @bumponalog5001  Your numbers are a bit off. 40ish percent of first marriages end in divorce. The 25% number is the number of first marriages that end in the first 5 years of said marriage. The hedonistic idiot comment is a bit nonsensical. People can divorce for any reason, and many due just because they see someone they think they like better. How you live your life cant stop them. You are at their mercy when it comes to them seeking a divorce.
    42
  72. Hell when I was in the Marine Corps, about half the women I slept with i regretted, but I never stooped so low as to sleep with a female Marine. So I still have my honor. Also this article sounds like cope.
    42
  73.  @jimluebke3869  So no one is responsible for anything. Its all societies fault. Yea ok.
    41
  74. I had the same back surgery, lumbar fusion, that this man did. 3 surgeries. It does change you. I needed pain meds just to be civil. Then congress decided that because there are physicians that give it out like candy, that no physician should be able to so pretty much all physicians stopped with pain management. Its one of the main reasons why heroine saw such a big come back. Often times its cheaper the Rx opioids.
    41
  75. He has the effect right. It perfectly explains the girl boss meme that women have actually tried to become. As a woman increases her status, she finds herself standing among a smaller and smaller pool of men she will find acceptable. So the writer is not wrong in that. The question is, how does one control that from a societal level, that underlying need for social standing and provision, that will make a woman feel that having offspring with a man is in her best interest? Feminism unintentionally does this. Feminists like to say feminism is like giving a woman a box to stand on to be economically equal to men. But in reality its digging a ditch from which men MUST stand. That makes the men standing in those ditches much less economically attractive to women. And you can see this because in EVERY culture that women are empowered in, you have crashing birthrates, harsher marital laws to force men into compliance, and eventually the quitting of marriage by men and, in many nations, an epidemic of single motherhood. I fully expect the return of bachelor taxes again to address the fertility issues, as if the issue is men. The modern woman has essentially defeated the male sex drive.
    41
  76. What if I told you the Mexican fertility rate is 1.9? You need 2.1 for a steady population. Mexico is in the same boat as everyone else. Even Niger's fertility rate is dropping on average 1% a year. This is a global problem.
    40
  77. Women, like auto dealerships, have a floor plan. Women dont know they have a floor plan until the costs bite them in the ass and have to markup their offerings so high, no one can afford it. Then they have to close their doors and buy a cat and die alone.
    40
  78. Never punish a child when you are angry. More often than not you will just damage the child's curiosity. Out of my three sons, only my middle son required any for of physical discipline. He was always just so much more physically domineering over other people, even adults, his size didnt help. But as he aged the need for it lessoned. But never once did I punish him out of anger. Any parent that does needs to take a step back. Which I think is one of the issues of women in single parent house holds. Most literally cannot physically or emotionally deal with children on their own. We humans were never meant to.
    39
  79. People wont like this answer. But like most things in life, time, will resolve this issue. When markets, any market, is forced and bent out of normal shape, it will always snap back to the baseline. By future altering it with laws and rules and taxes, that just adds additional layers of warpage that effect the market as a whole. Most of these problems will resolve due to demography over the next decade. 2020 was always going to be the demand high point for housing. And then the Fed put rates in the toilet because of Covid. Give the market time to adjust back and this will resolve. But no one wants to hear that. They want it now, and they want it their way. That means if they are a buyer they want home prices to drop as much as they can even if it causes a depression. If you are a seller or a boomer trying to live a decent life the last decade or two you have, you want your home to keep its value. I can already hear the but what about the big institution buying all these homes. Yes, most of them wont make it through this recession. Most people are trying to pull assets from both the housing and commercial funds. Its not going to be pretty. The sad thing is that its going to be the public employee pensions that are going to be left holding the bag, again. repeat of 2008.
    36
  80.  @curlyhairdudeify  nah you really need to go back to title IX. To most young men, they just look at post title IX as normal. But it was a holocaust to mens athletics. And its also why physical education has devolved to what it is today. Boy Scouts already died before women/girls joined it when it was all but forced to allow homosexual scoutmasters. Which again, has been normalized. Destruction of mens spaces has been going on for well over 70 years. Almost every man post war was in some sort of male club. Now its no more than one in 50, and those were 2015 numbers. God knows what numbers they are now.
    35
  81.  @khanhnguyen-tt3ff  I had two Mexican nationals in my Marine Corps Boot Camp platoon in 1993. They joined the Corps from Mexico because they wanted to be US citizens. Both of them did 20 years. Both outstanding Marines. Many people still want to be US citizens. We need bodies for the military. Seems like and easy way to meet recruitment numbers if they p-ass background and security screening. Out in the Fleet I met Marines from Zimbabwe, Vietnam, Canada, Brazil, and South Korea. All of the good to go. All who got on board for their citizenship. If we want to import people, I am pretty sure those are the types of people Americans would want.
    34
  82. DEI inclusivity includes sound tracks. Lucius Quiettus was a Berber, not a sub Saharan Black man.
    34
  83. Yes, they use the word "woke" to cover their overt racism.
    33
  84.  @jimluebke3869  insults. Classy. When you cant debate, defame. Enjoy your life. lol
    33
  85. You are very correct. I have always said that history will look back on this period and see both the original event in 08 and whatever endpoint we are sprinting to as a single event. All we did is paper over it with government backed debt and zero percent interest rates. We never addressed the fundamental structural problems.
    33
  86. Market psychology hasnt changed yet but its on the tipping point. RIght now smart sellers are pricing their homes so they sell fast. While those who dont understand are still pricing it high. Then when those who price their homes lower set the new comp rate for that neighborhood will destroy "values". Its always fun to watch.
    32
  87.  @petriruuskanen7804  You sound like a Frenchman in 1940. lol
    32
  88. Technically a depression is what they use to call recessions. But because of the "Great Depression" they decided to make a new term, recession. Saying depression triggered way to many people who had been traumatized from the previous 15 years of hell.
    31
  89. my exwife is getting remarried this summer. I am having a party because she will be taking his name and stop shaming mine with her horrible actions. My family name is rare enough where that is actually an issue.
    31
  90. I got to disagree, short term rentals should not be allowed in residential areas. They compete with and are not regulated the same as actual real motels and hotels. Its an unfair market. But ultimately, its up for each community to decide. But like I said, I would ban them utterly in residential communities.
    30
  91. You mean the other Robert, Cardinal Robert Sarah? Yea I was hoping for him too.
    30
  92. Just like the end of 2007. I bought a home from DR Horton that was priced at $535k. This was in northern California. I got the home for $216k, new washer and dryer, and the back yard completed to my wants. It got down to 183k value in 2014. I sold it last year for $520k. Its since dropped 40k below what they paid for it. The same thing is coming again.
    30
  93.  @bbgoodnough  actual bigger or smaller hit boxes. Different running speed. Smaller characters could get knocked down easier but could stay on opponents longer. It was a revolutionary character system. It really did add a lot to the game.
    30
  94. Great comment. I think people forget the environmental pressures on men and women effect their actions and reactions. They just see the result and reeee. But we made our social environment this way. Its why the people who run social media dont let their kids use it. They know. Its the normies who are clueless.
    29
  95.  @_Lumiere_  no. I really wish people would stop saying that. She tried killing herself multiple times, her youngest attempt was at 14. Norah dealt with mental illness all her life. Her assisted suicide in 2022 had zero to do with her 2006 experiment for her book, A Self Made Man. Her other book, Voluntary Madness, talks about her three inpatient hospital stays for mental illness.
    29
  96. Here in Tennessee I am actually seeing several houses who cut homes over 100k to drop their price to below the "estimated" price. I think some people have had discussions with their realtors. Whoever does this first will be able to sell, those who are stubborn and hold out are going to be left holding the bag.
    29
  97. I dont think Brandon understands the causes of inflation. The man spends more than a drunken sailor on shore leave after a 6 month cruise.
    28
  98.  @SoloRenegade  How about code section 3400 of the Californian code. How about title 4D of the social security act. I can go all day with laws.
    28
  99. Thats why you charge them for it.
    27
  100. The wolves have been the one saying there are to many sheep.
    27
  101.  @ladybug3380  You are probably correct in that assessment. But thats not what women say. Thats the problem with not meaning what you say and not saying what you man. Men typically go by what people say and do. They dont try to tease out deeper meaning. If there is a conflict, we often assume lying or some sort of deceit is taking place. If men need to adapt to women, women need to meet men halfway.
    26
  102.  @jimluebke3869  well enough to retire at 45 and lead a life of leisure. 07
    26
  103. The bad CGI comment is on point. Look at Starship Troopers. Almost 30 years old and the CGI still holds. It looks better than Black Panthers end fight scene. Disney wants so much done, with the "correct" people doing it, that they are constantly left with an inferior product. The house of mouse is rotten to its core. I hope it falls in on itself.
    26
  104. Be a shame if things started breaking and there was no one to fix it.
    26
  105. One of the things a lot of men dont understand is the perspective that women have. Most men to them can utterly crush them and physically dominate them. That has to be terrifying to them. Just as terrifying as a man worrying about false sexual harassment of grape charges. Are both very unlikely, yes. But they can happen. To them it may very well look like a man is being rude if they dont find them attractive. This isnt an excuse for bad behavior, but if women are aping what they believe to be male traits, its always going to come through the window of their lived experience and most importantly, their perspective. Its something I became very aware of considering my size. That said, most women only see the outwardness of maleness. They dont see the internal self control and discipline to be a successful man. So they really only get half of it and come off as bitchy and bossy instead of confident and respectable.
    26
  106. To be real, this started under Trump, if you are talking about the period of inflation, while Trump was president close to 1 trillion in money was added into circulation. But neither Trump nor Biden are specifically at fault. Ok maybe more Biden but only because he has been in Congress for 50 years before being in the White House. This is what happens when you overspend for 80 years on war, social services and endless bailouts. Both parties did it. Both need to own it.
    25
  107.  @umiluv  Thanks, we got burned out in the Camp Fire. Couldnt rebuild with insurance costs so like most of Butte county we left. Now I have a small farm in Tennessee. I dont take pleasure with what is happening in California and joke about it. I tell everyone im a political refuge. I dont think people really understand what happened in California. They just think Californians are crazy. If only it was just that.
    25
  108. Shame you didnt notice, he always was.
    25
  109. Whats amazing is Ms Harvard did not actually say anything. Just strung together regurgitated feminist talking points. She has been fully indoctrinated. I hope she finds it worth her time, money and energy.
    25
  110. Back in the early 80s, in Toys R US, shoplifting video games was so bad, they did the same thing. They kept all the video games in a cage near the exit. If you wanted to buy one, you had to pull a tag and then take it to the cage and pay them. Then they handed you a game.
    25
  111. You cant really have proper bus stop shelters in California anymore. Homeless people would just take it over. That said, this thing is to small to provide any shade, especially considering the body positivity movement.
    25
  112. Austin is leading the way because that is where most California transplants head in Texas. Now that Californian home prices are dropping all that is going to be diminished to near zero. You will even see some people move back to California because they find the new area does not "fit them" and their sensibilities. You will see that in other metro areas that California's fled too, like Dallas, Denver and Nashville.
    25
  113.  @sableyez  These dock workers make 88k minimum starting salary. If they make an extra 50% on this contract they will be making 132k starting. If someone cant live on that they are doing it wrong. But again thats not my point. You need to look at the median age of these port workers, its in the late 40s. Most of these guys will be retiring soon. The union members wont care if they automate because they have their pension. They wont lay people off just automate as people leave. The union will care be cause going from 45k members to 40 or 35k members, due to automation, will vastly reduce the money that the union has to do political contribution with. No one wants to lose their power.
    25
  114. It would be interesting to see if this played out in the small tribal groups and towns that existed for the vast majority of human history or if this is purely a modern adaptation to modern life. Because if this was done in a small tribal unit, it would absolutely destroy family bonds and risk death for the whole group. Perhaps thats why women had their power taken from them by the patriarchy? But still I would like to see some sort of study on that.
    24
  115. What she said is true. The problem is that women fail to understand that about themselves once they are older for the vast majority of men. What are men suppose to do, lower their standards for a wine addicted, emotionally and physically damaged tatted up single mom? Both sides can be right in this. But few will admit it.
    24
  116. Its the colleges that the elite go to. The go, are "educated" and then come into the world thinking that its the way. The rest of us look at them like, "are you retarded?" And then there are the grifters, they are legion. I think most are just trying to make a buck so if they have to push BS, they will. Like all tho faux male feminists who just want their pp touched.
    24
  117. This isnt a US problem. This is a world propblem. Demographers predicted decades ago 2020 would be the high water mark due to population growth stopping. The US hasnt been at replacement levels since 1972. Immigration has been the key to our growth. And since all of our neighbors stopped having kids, they have no excess population to send anymore. Its nice to see someone finally talking about it, even if its only in passing. All of our modern economic systems work on the assumption of positive population growth. What will happen when future growth isnt baked in due to population increase?
    24
  118. Almost 200k, good for you. Keep at it.
    24
  119. Because people who are selling still think they can get top dollar. Some will. But most will pull and then repost, pull and then repost, until they understand that their house isnt worth what they think it is. It just takes time.
    24
  120.  @12kenbutsuri  Most westerns are completely ignorant about the nightmare going on in Japan right now. Homeless elderly, people dying alone, and the young people who are earning the same wages that their parents earned 30 years ago.
    24
  121. In psychological terms we call that delusion.
    23
  122.  @stevenw7623  I think thats pretty good advice for any womans family. Probably for the guy too.
    23
  123.  @danielsin5690  The problem is the state. The state has replaced the family. Even in states with "free" economies. There can be only one captain of a ship. And in todays world, that is the state.
    23
  124. With your point on wokeness in gaming (and media at large) I think there has to something taken into consideration, the cost of money. Games, advertisements, television shows and movies are all made via banking. Every game studio, marketing firm, TV channel and movie studio gets loans from a bank to make a product. Go back two years. What are the interest rates? Fed rate is 0. 25%. That means a lot of these things were being made at near free money. This goes back to 2008. So for this entire period you see a slow boil that steadily increases right up to 2020 where things go nuclear. Why? The lock downs. This was used as a thing to distract attention. But the true believers dont understand that they were once again just useful idiots to further a more central cause. But now that make in the woke group are turning to bite the hands that fed them and the costs of feeding them, via interest rates has gone up, they are no longer a useful and expedient tool. They will be cast aside and ridiculed, the the anarchist left, until the next time they are needed for some societal anarchy to push whatever new agenda is needed to "progress". But those games you were talking about that went woke and did ok, well they were all panned by gamers. None of them did as good as their predecessors. And thats why you are seeing studio after studio closing. So far in the last few months gaming studios around the US and Canada have fire close to 10k people. The truth is the gaming industry cannot afford to be woke anymore. It was always a luxury pushed by Blackrock, Vanguard and State Street.
    22
  125. I worked in a medical hospital from 2004 to 2020. Every day in the ED we had multiple girls who tried to suicide, I dont recall many men, except maybe those who used meth and self mutilated. I remember one girl in particular who took a bottle of Tylenol and then ran away from home. She was found a day later. But by then the liver damage was done. Overheard the MD telling the parents and the 13 year old girl she has maybe 2 days left. I dont think people really see whats going on. There still is a massive stigma about mental health in the US.
    22
  126. Women have to feel comfortable enough to have children. They have to feel secure. Focusing on them is counter productive. Feminism has largely raised women up by giving them a small box and making men stand in a hole. If people want to address the low fertility rate they have to find ways of making men more attractive partners. And not just comparatively to their peers. They have to overcome the social media influence. That is the only way to resolve this. Yet everyone, constantly talks about what they can do to make women want to have babies. Women will only reproduce when they find a man that they think is worth reproducing with. I mean in the long long ago, women would have babies in caves and tents and what not. That was their lived experience it was the normal. And all a man had to do to meet that security need was provide food and shelter and protection for the tribe. Now they have to compete with the world. And its an impossible task. You comments about Hindus and British being near the same culturally is pretty spot on. Both are from the Indo European language family. A lot of language similarities. Language focuses thought and culture.
    22
  127. Its encouraging to find scientists who will say things like, "I dont know", "we dont have enough data" rather than guessing or politicizing things.
    22
  128. This makes sense when you dont take debt burden into account. Which is the problem with the modern world. Our debt is insane, historically speaking. Most of the debt exists not because it made economic sense but it was politically needed. All that is coming to an end. As populations around the world have aged and soon to shrink the debt burden per individual increases. As this rises so does risk of default on any new debt issued. So interest rates will have to rise until people in developed nations decided to have babies.
    22
  129.  @paulbellas8797  Thats because you dont understand the culture. The individual, male or female isnt what is important. It is the family as a whole. Oh middle eastern cultures treat women horribly. Look how the men are treated. A hard environment creates a hard culture so the people can survive. We Americans come from a place that is so abundant one doesnt even really have to try to live. You can just coast.
    22
  130. Soulless art isnt art. Its simply content.
    21
  131. if you measure inflation like they did back in the 70s and 80s we are over 7% annual inflation right now. There is only one cure for that, to raise rates to that level. But if they do that, multiple banks will implode as well as 10s of millions of people get laid off. Do you think they are going to do that in an election year where one of the people running for president has said he would remove the current head of the Fed? Rates are going to go up, but not until after the election. Unfortunately inflation will just run rampant until then. No big deal. lol
    21
  132.  @cathjj840  we make sacred the things that matter most. To a man sacrificing the one thing that would never betray you to prove your worth to your fellow man, well its hard to imagine something more priceless.
    21
  133. I am a Gen Xer as well. I was 5 when I saw the movie Kramer vs Kramer. That movie was a prophecy. Its forgotten today. But it showed what the future would be. Divorce, women finding themselves and living their "best lives", hookup culture, and eventually the destruction of the father son dynamic in America. The late 70s and early 80s wasnt as good as you remember. Not to mention, threat of nuclear war, acid rain, 18% inflation. Its always interesting how that sweet poison of nostalgia sweeps away much of the bad stuff.
    21
  134. Having the government do things to "help" the housing market will only further distort the market. About the only sane thing I have heard would be to change the tax laws on investment properties and an individuals ability to write off losses on their taxes. Please government stop helping people. You are killing us.
    21
  135.  @Dbby888  You paraphrase him perfectly. You show the problem. A failure to comprehend. Thank you for your example.
    21
  136. Yes, they also have a variant at the Excalibur hotel in Vegas.
    20
  137.  @Hooga89  I dont think the word always means what you think it means. lol
    20
  138. Are there individuals who have this happen, yes. Are the majority due to things they cannot control, no. Most Americans dont even have $1000.00 in the bank, let alone 6 months savings that everyone should. That is a choice. Perhaps ones family isnt optimal, well get roommates. There are always options. If you think life is hard now, I mean this is peak humanity. Never has it been easier to be push or pulled from your mothers womb and to go through life and climb into a grave well past ones best years. For the modern American the first 20 years one is generally a dependent on your biological family. And when one turns 65, or now 67, you become a dependent of the state. So most will only need to be independent for what 30 odd years? And most Americans find some sort of system to pull their way through with minimal effort. Most people dont lack freedom. They lack any sense of personal responsibility.
    20
  139. I worked for a hospital, my job was fixing peoples problems and mistakes. When my now ex wife had my sons, I went everywhere they went, when the nurses took the them out of the room. They always would say the same things, no you aren't permitted. And then I would say, ok fine. Then I am taking my kid home. People place way to much trust and bow to to much authority in regards to medical staff. Most are as incompetent as your average fry cook. This includes physicians.
    20
  140. Ah yes, one must read a 400 page tome before they can say that water is in fact wet. lol Then someone like you comes along and says, what do you mean by wet?
    19
  141. "Its never been a better time to be a woman in the world, in the west anyway." Yet look how happy, satisfied and fulfilled women arent. Leftists will trot out all the boogiemen, misogyny, society, men, "the system" or greedy corporations. And yet every attempt to adjust for these things only seems to make women more miserable. Odd. Its almost as if the underlying ideas of what should make women happy are wrong. Women's innate judginess seems to ruin any chance of addressing this. But I give props to your guest for at least trying to address it. Its probably the biggest issue women face. Themselves. Men and women arent so different it turns out.
    19
  142. Yea it was toxic back then. I cant imagine what its like today in a college or university outside the hard sciences. English and sociology must be a nightmare to get through
    19
  143. It is Saudi. They are the only nation that has what everyone wants.
    18
  144.  @dermagnus8482  Yea except that story is a miss telling of the Sumerian myth of Enki in the garden. The Hebrews borrowed that story from the Babylonians during their enslavement there. And the Babylonians got it from the Sumerians. The snake, Enki, literally made "Adam and Eve" to replace the humans that were wiped out in the flood. Thats why Enki's brother, Enlil, viewed Enki as an adversary. Tell me do you know what Satan means?
    18
  145.  @Songbirdstress  I'm pretty sure they would view you comment as a social construct built on a narrative derived from the patriarchy. Or some nonsense. But you are spot on.
    18
  146. add to it that 1/4 are on heavy anti psychotic meds and 70% are obese or overweight. Both sexes in modernity are lacking.
    18
  147.  @ninamartin1084  The problem with that is you fast forward it 60 years and you find your population bottle necks. Women cannot have kids and be a good mother AND work full time. She cant be in two places at once. I think this is one of the main reasons so many women today, in the west, are utterly miserable. This typically means she has less children, below population restoration rates. And then after said 60 years your population starts declining. Slowly at first in some cases, dramatically in others, and then it implodes economically. Most of the world, in the next 20 years is going to face this very issue. Heck China alone is projected to loss 500 million in the next 20 years just due to aging. Economies wont be able to handle that change.
    18
  148. Thats because the year before, in 2007 a piece of technology came out that really changed the world landscape. Probably the most important invention socially since writing. That was the IPhone, but really any smart phone. Now an African living in the slum has access to the same information as a kid going to Harvard. And everyone has potential access to everyone. We still having socially adapted to it yet. I dont know if the human animal can honestly. We werent built to know that many people.
    17
  149.  @litrogue6328  Why did you bother to use quotes when you failed to quote the person properly? Removing his qualifier does change his point, only shows that you cannot create a straw man to tear down. Im going to guess you went to a university didnt you?
    17
  150. Its ok, the asteroid is incoming.
    17
  151. Imagine those robots banging on your front door to talk to you about your vehicles expired warranty....
    17
  152. Thats not why any nation in Europe has a labor shortage. You have labor shortages because your fertility rate has been below 2.1 for so long all your workers are aging out and there arent new ones to take their place.
    17
  153. The first issue people think backwards on. They think, how can we accommodate women better or better put, mothers. The more effective option would be how can we make men better providers for the family. That has a multiplier effect. It makes the male able to provide for his family without the wife having to pull double duty, which is unreasonable. And 2nd, it makes that man more attractive in the first place for starting a family, the main thing most young women complain about, there being a lack of "good" young men to marry. But we cant do that because misogyny. This is a doom loop all societies reach at certain points.
    17
  154. Lets be honest though, most people today have no idea what the Holy Roman Empire is. They do know what the UN is, even if it is an imperfect fit. So would that make Paul basically future space Napoleon? Huh, Dune has an actual historical parallel.
    17
  155. nuance is all but gone. Its only extremes. A very good post.
    17
  156. The question is who is playing Attila?
    16
  157.  @seanemery6019  its not bunk. You just dont like my point. which is fine. You dont have to. But that is my point. If a content creators content is demonetized, which youtube has a right to do, then they shouldnt be making money off it. Especially when they retroactively remonitize it after the majority of people have already watched it. The creator should get that money back. And they dont currently.
    16
  158. firearm safety course... 1) Treat every weapon as if it was loaded. 2) Never point a weapon at anything you do not intend to shoot. 3) Keep your weapon on safe and your finger off the trigger until you are ready to fire. By the time my 3 sons were 5 years old, they each knew this. How Baldwin, after multiple movies handling firearms doesnt understand this, is criminal.
    16
  159.  @BaldorfBreakdowns  The stats people are citing you are from a study that found and massive disparity of the number of males vs the number of females who are having sex in younger demographic cohorts. And it is massive. Womens numbers are steadily rising while mens have crashed more than 50 percent. That basicly women are having more sex, with fewer men. Now I dont think its as extreme as most say it is, "10 percent of men sleeping with 80 percent of women", but I think some may be conflating the studies and also surveys taken by women on dating websites that show that women find 80 percent of men non dateable. If they wont even date them will they even consider them for a sex partner, probably not no? Multiple studies show this including one by Dr. Peter Ueda, a postdoctoral researcher at the Karolinska Institutet in Stockholm, Sweden, the U.S. General Social Survey up until 2018. Meanwhile sex at middle age has utterly collapse. Single men and women, which there are more than ever due to divorce, are no longer mingling. And these stats are all up to 2018, so cant blame the coof. If you would like more studies, I would be more than happy to tell you them. I totally understand why so many people would be uncomfortable with this data and the evidence it shows. Its damaging to both sides, for different reasons and will effect both men and women in completely different ways. I mean most people dont even see the demographic collapse thats about to happen. People dont understand whats coming.
    16
  160. Um sir, thats ignore grape.
    16
  161. Its comedic that they are blaming inflation on wage growth. Wage growth adjusted for inflation is negative.
    16
  162.  @deadrop6647  difference between Soviets and Nazis were the Soviets were international socialist, Nazis were national socialist.
    16
  163. Where did these taxes come from? People voted for them. This is the peoples fault. God forbid people be responsible.
    16
  164. Thats because of all the deficits since then. Imagine what adding 34 trillion to an economy would do. Oh wait, you dont. You are seeing it now. Then toss in bank loans for everything like houses and cars as well as money printing.
    16
  165. Problem is none of these people got it put into a contract. If they did they would be able to ask for compensation for breach of contract.
    16
  166. Wait until the Fed rate goes about 3.5%. Congress will have to start cutting the budget, it wont be able to afford servicing new debt at that level. And with one in 6 Americans working for some level of government (Fed, State, or local), well That alone would make an epic recession. Then considering all the individuals and businesses that require government largess to make end meets.
    16
  167. The needing to buy an Anime Expo ticket is like the dead donkey raffle. Guy sees a farmer with a dead donkey and says I will buy that off you for a silver. Farmer says what? its a dead donkey. The guy doesnt care. So the farmer says ok. Guy goes into town and posts fliers about a raffle for a donkey for one silver per entry. Gets tons of people who want said donkey making hundreds of silver. Then the lucky indivudal wins the raffle and comes to collect his donkey only to find it dead. So the guy says, look im sorry, it died, but I will do you a solid. Heres 10 silver for your trouble. Raffle winner is like wow, thanks. Meanwhile the guy who started the raffle walks off with a bag of silver. This company is just like that. Shysters, the lot of them.
    16
  168.  @robes34  No they will have to sell when margin calls happen. They will sell when earnings dont meet expectations. You know who holds? Pension funds and 401k holds. They, as always, we be left holding the bag. Who do you think is buying in all these dead cat bounces.
    15
  169. Even in the darkest times of 2008-2009 no one said we were going to have a massive housing correction. They said it was just a correction all the way down to the bottom. If they are saying its going to be 20% you can best your butt it will be much much worse. They are just trying to mentally prepare folks.
    15
  170. That last one is the real issue for someone who wants a truck for actual work.
    15
  171. I got a friend who did that. He just connected them with breezeways.
    15
  172. Societies that do not reward a thing, get less of it. Societies that reward other things get more of that. Its as simple as that. And as a society becomes less worthy of being invested in, why should the strong, virtuous or wise do such a thing. Their time is limited, they focus on other things. Like preparing for the future. Once they have chosen that rough, they simply stand by and let nature take its course. What I find funny is Simone's question on why dont men have more kids. Men dont have kids. Women do. You are asking the wrong question.
    15
  173.  @Jeff__M  Dude the Fed hasnt even started selling MBS's yet. Once they do, housing is as cooked as the stock market.
    15
  174. This works until the courts step in. But I wish you all luck. I ended up paying child support for kids I had full custody of. The courts dont care.
    15
  175.  @NathanPK  I have companionship, my dog. The fact that you "assessed each others' resources" well, respectfully, its odd.
    15
  176. These reduced prices would be good, IF mortgage rates were back at 3%. They arent. You will have to see further price drops to see prices that are reasonable. You still see home pricing on Redfin, Zillow and the rest showing 5.5% interest rates on their price estimates. The average American buyer right now would probably get around a 7% interest rate at best.
    15
  177. France doesnt even allow for paternity testing. Its considered assault against the mother if a man does it and is a crime. Marriage is the least of Frances concerns right now.
    15
  178. Mr House not dead. The NCR not owning the Boneyard. Shady Sands being nuked BEFORE Fallout New Vegas. It seems like from a PR stance, studios have learned the lesson of what not to do. They just need to work on their writing teams next maybe. lol
    15
  179.  @Terroreyes-j8l  I would like to point out that most Central and South American countries are well below the replacement fertility rate. And while I disagree with Malcom's Protestant vs Catholic dichotomy, I think there is something with modern Catholicism that is toxic to the family. Every Catholic nation has imploding birth rates and declining attendance rates among males. There is something there.
    15
  180. I had a friend who was a mechanic in the Polish army in the 70s and the 80s. That was when it was communist. He finally made it out of the Eastern Block into Denmark, then to the US. He would tell anyone who would listen that most of Polands forces were paper. That yes they had 30000 tanks but only 2000 operated. He said this was standard for all equipment types. This mindset came from the Russians. So it doesnt surprise me that their equipment is falling apart.
    15
  181. First post that understands why. This is the same problem the housing market has. Eventually though, the psychology will change.
    14
  182.  @godsdozer  if I recall, during 2018 the Fed tried to raise interest rates and the markets panicked and the current president at that time demanded the Fed reduce rates back down. Now I cant recall who was president then, can you? As Why's 6 has stated, this is a bipartisan issue.
    14
  183. I mean the 1500 Ukrainian fighters that they let get surrounded probably made them feel like there were just being used as fodder.
    14
  184. Wow this sounds exactly like what China was going through up until November. I wonder.... if it will resolve the same way.
    14
  185. This is he same thing that happened in 2006, everyone jumped into the flipping market, but by the time they did the market was already turning. A lot of these flippers are going to lose everything, again.
    14
  186.  @calisongbird  his point is it would create discord not unity. have you looked at comment sections lately. I mean he was prophetic in Mans inability to integrate technology into our lives on a social level. Something that the Amish and Mennonites know very well. He was also a little crazy. I mean he was trans before trans was cool.
    14
  187.  @AJ-sw8uf  knowingly. With the increase levels of casual sex and unknown paternity, it is often the case that this happens, frequently without people knowing they are doing it. With increasing illegitimacy rates, and less than 50% of Black men in the US having children, a large portion of all Black children born are from a smaller and smaller pool of men. Those men being the men that women want. The eventuality is that incest will occur. And it will escalate, even if it is not intentional, via half brothers and half sisters interacting in the community. Its a dirty secret no one wants to talk about. But it is not intentional. Just the outcome of the breakdown of the Black family, the disempowerment of the black father, fathers in general, and an increase in sexual liberity.
    14
  188. The boards are negligent or complicate. Either way it doesnt matter, shareholders need to take them to court for personal losses. Im sure everyone person on the board and the CEO got their bonuses.
    14
  189.  @MrRezillo  Thats an interesting sentence you constructed. "lower orders" and "overbreed". Do you by chance have a funny mustache and a penchant for snazzy uniforms? All kidding aside. If you were ever poor, which from your insanely side comment I can tell you have not been, you would know that one of the cheapest and funniest activities that men and women have come up with is absolutely free, though sometimes there is a surprise upon completion. One could easily ask whey those who have wealth beyond the dreams of most people have little to no children at all? Perhaps a cup with no bottom cannot be filled, maybe?
    14
  190. Markets are so bloated and so manipulated that any attempt to return them to normalcy risks catastrophic failure. Either way this goes, we die by inflation or deflation. But we still die.
    14
  191. If anyone is interested in the worlds first bubble, the Dutch Tulip bulb bubble in 1637, the graph looks exactly the same. If you do look it up, look how fast the decline was. Peak was Feb 3, crashed to near zero by May first. At its highest Tulip bulbs were going for 6 times the average Dutch workers annual wages.
    14
  192. I remember being a kid in the central valley and it being 120 in the summer. No AC having to sit an a plastic blue pool trying not to melt. Everything is drama now a days
    14
  193.  @Islamisthecultofsin  really? So you dont see the eastward creep of NATO as having anything to do with this? Yea I know looking at both sides these days gets you called names. But if I were a Russian, and considering their history, a little paranoia about an encroaching adversary might be a healthy thing. Either way, we are all going to suffer now.
    14
  194. They are out there. You just have to pay more. Which is inflationary and makes you less competitive. The problem is that anyone can walk into a a place of business and get a job now. My 17 year old got hired yesterday to be a cashier at a grocery store. No experience, first job, 17 bucks an hour. Employers are desperate as boomers retire. The Zoomers just arent big enough to make up the difference by volume. But you are right about a lot of the younger people not knowing much. My sons say that a lot of people their age are just worthless. But there are also a lot of hard workers too. I wish you and your brothers success in this hard time. Businesses like yours are the solid foundation on which sound economies are based. People, unfortunately, wont understand that until its to late.
    14
  195.  @Tony-Taslud  it doesnt matter if he said that. The Federal government, per the SCOTUS decision that overturned Roe stated that the Federal government had no authority to regulate abortion. Banning is also regulating. So even if Trump wants to ban it, he cant. The only way either side can change that is with a Constitutional amendment. And neither side has the votes to do that.
    14
  196. We already did this the last two decades. The problem is that with energy prices what they are and labor costs what they are in overseas and transportation costs, American manufacturing is now cost competitive. You will actually see production coming home. Like GE adding 10k manufacturing jobs. All these semi conductors coming to the US building production facilities.
    14
  197. Zillow is a business. Their business is inflating the housing market to make profit.
    14
  198. People have a very short memory. I bough several move in ready homes in California for more than 50% under their highs. You would think for something so traumatic, people would remember better. But for most its like it never happened. Sold everything in 2021-22. Now I am just waiting again.
    14
  199.  @WinterWeFell  The word you are looking for is dependent, not property. Women are dependents. And the majority, even in the US, still are. Find me a self made woman? Find me a self made woman who has leveraged her mind or talent and not her body? Those are few and far between. I bet you cant even name ten.
    14
  200.  Morgan Allen  We dont even have enough workers for all the jobs we have. Our problem going forward will be not enough workers. Anywhere where automation is useful and more importantly cost effective with even a neutral ROI, it will be used. In this case, because of lack of product cotton will be one of those areas. We have had little textiles in the US since the 1990s. We still had 6-3% unemployment. So how does one destroy a job that never existed?
    13
  201.  @SouvenTudu1  Nope. We were nice enough to let everyone use the American invention that is the internet. I do find it humorous how much you projected onto my comment though.
    13
  202. Something something, evil cannot create only corrupt, something something.
    13
  203. These must all be folks from Austin
    13
  204. I am not sure if you understand you proved his point. Even in the summer, when you have the most solar, you still need all of the grid and all of its inputs including keeping the power plant spun up. Unless a home can be 100% self sufficient, year round, its not really "helping" as far as a carbon footprint goes, if thats important to you. It sure will offset higher energy costs though.
    13
  205. Thank god. I dont know what I would do if it wasnt for president biden telling me that its now safe from the dreaded covaids. Give the man more ice cream so he doesnt screw more crap up.
    13
  206.  @leos8019  For thousands of years natives did annual controlled burns to thin the forests to allow for hunting of game. Starting in the early 20th century the US forestry service did everything in its power to put out ANY fire that started. This happened for 70 years. Thats alot of dead wood that needs to be cleared out. Then after, the forests, because they are not managed, are choked with shrubs like Manzanita that are filled with a type of plant oil that makes it burn three times as hot as normal plants. If you want to see a properly managed forest I would encourage you to go to the Grand Canyon. Massive herds of Elk all around the park. All because they do a little thinning and forest management. In California you cant have that, even scrub deer have problems getting around.
    13
  207. This is a side effect of title IX and the first generation of full internet. The problem is worse than most people understand. Growing up without falling down, getting knocked down, climbing trees etc etc has made these young men and women's bones so weak that the number of spiral fractures, the type you see in severe automobile accidents are now becoming common in boot camp/ basic training. This is a large problem than military service. This is a full blown public health crisis. These kids arent even going to make it to 50. In the 80s and 90s we had the delayed entry program to help get fat bodies or weak dudes into shape. I dont think a year of gym time will fix 2 decades of neglect.
    13
  208.  @terencejay8845  Well here in the States if a woman has a kid its her choice. So every single mom is so by their own choice. Divorced women are a bit different, but seeing as about 70% of marriages are ended by the woman, thats mostly on them. We dealt with this for three generations. They even made a movie about it in the 70s, Kramer v Kramer. First openly red pill movie ever. Showed everyone what was in store for a man who got married.
    13
  209.  @timothykeith1367  Yup. It was the same way in California too, before I left. School needs a bond, county needs a new jail, need to expand the water treatment plant... drip drip drip. Zero accountability when the next year they come back and say, oops it wasnt enough, we need more.
    13
  210. Thats how you know they are scraping the bottom of the barrel. There is no one left to con expect those who are financially inept.
    13
  211. Taxes my friend taxes. You can double the amount the worker earns and thats whats going to taxes for the privilege of their labor. Then there is the taxes on the building, all the items purchases in the building, dont forget insurance etc etc etc. Governments tax everything a dozen times or more before it gets to the end consumer.
    13
  212. A lot of women are noticing. I cant say if its because they care altruistically, but because this is limiting their ability to find a mate. My niece is going through this problem right now. 30, bio engineer, former model, zero dating prospects. I think its rough for everyone out there. Its even worse if you are sane. Such are the times.
    13
  213. We had this happen at the hospital I worked at over a decade ago. It happen in the maternity unit. Woman got shot when she lied about the father of the baby.
    12
  214. And this is before the major layoffs.
    12
  215. Maybe people havent noticed, but you dont have to be a politician's spouse to get your home broken into and assaulted in San Francisco these days. The city is a dumpster fire. Thats what happens when you dont prosecute crime. But lets make this about politics. We have mid terms to think about.
    12
  216. The Navy is like a big ship. Big ships dont turn on a dime. But when they finally do turn they figure out they over turned and need to come about again. The US Navy has always been like that.
    12
  217.  @computron1  Dont act like that was his doing. California has been coasting off its golden years for decades. Its about out of everything it needs to continue. When housing declines, as its currently doing, many municipalities, cities, as well as CalPERS are going bankrupt. But thats going to happen to several states, not just California. And saying number one economy is a bit of a misnomer. While California has the highest net worth, the cost of living there is much greater too, which leads to a lower standard of living.
    12
  218.  @doom8294  Yea that wont work. If they do that they admit that they are the thing that they call everyone else. People dont understand that most corporations are now woke at the entry level and middle management level. Only those at the top, who have been out of university for a few decades are relatively unaffected. The problem is that boards have for to long just let other people deal with it while they collect fat checks and stock options. They need to be held to account by the shareholders. This isnt even about the customers at this point.
    12
  219.  @Falconlibrary  indeed, but buyers can generally wait, sellers dont always have that option.
    12
  220.  @raisaburdak  Its like saying the US. calm yourself. I get it you are worried about your nation. But I wont change my speech to make you more happy.
    12
  221.  @sambo8218  basically what I did after my divorce. Me and the kids have never been happier.
    12
  222. Peak delusion. I wonder if they believe their own crap?
    12
  223.  @michiganscythian2445  The problem with that is the average uneducated person has no idea who that individual is or that the 25th dynasty was actually Nubian. They just want people to think Africa just having Black folk. Which is sad. But everyone knows Cleopatra. I am glad there is some push back on this. There is plenty of interesting black history, I got into history when I was a kid back in the 70s when I saw Shaka Zulu on TV. I think this is a case of more feminism and they want to wrap themselves in the protective coating of race.
    12
  224. If anyone is to blame its the studio. Any time I hear stories like this about Hollywood I just think of Tom Cruise's character in Tropic Thunder. Get your talent in line. Can you imagine a work place running like this, the company would get sued.
    12
  225.  @Karathos  I think most people in western nations are oblivious to the amount of graft that occurs in the rest of the world that is considered normal or part of a nations "culture". China is a prime example. I only spent 4 months in Russia on a troop exchange when i was in the Marine Corps, but I saw it even there when the unit I was attached to received its supplies. Everyone had to cough up cash. But this was in the mid 90s. So it was literally the worst time to be in the Russian military.
    12
  226. Newsom is just another symptom. He isnt the cause. It took a long time for California to get where it is. He certainly isnt helping things though.
    12
  227. it keeps you cooler believe it or not.
    12
  228. You stuff always makes me laugh, but in a good way. Keep up the good work.
    12
  229.  @eck413  People are asleep. I thought covid would wake people up. But no. Even cops driving down the road in MRAPs doesnt wake the sheep. Give them a stimi check and they go back to grazing.
    11
  230. People conflate Chivalry with French Romance era court culture. The two are not even related except that during that period men of high status were required to abide by both sets of rules, one on the battlefield, the other while at court. The code of Chivalry was a system that granted rights and privileges to those under the code. So if you were a knight and were fighting another knight on a field, you could yield, then the victorious night had the right to all your possessions on the field, but your family had the right to secure your life via ransom. It was looked down upon and many knights lost social standings and titles for outright killing other knights who yielded. The code was an attempt to control the endemic warfare that existed at the time. And it did NOT extend to common men, women or even children.
    11
  231. A mans status allows a woman to access more men, who are a higher status than she might other wise could. Allowing potentially for more "monkey branching" opportunities. Its a bonus most ways for the woman.
    11
  232. Where would one find one of these fabled creatures? I am not asking for myself, but for my sons. I dont think most women understand what is about to happen. Most young men are completely disinterested in young women. I'll ask you how many mothers and fathers raise their sons to be good husbands and fathers? Now, how many raise daughters to be good mothers and wives... you cant, thats patriarchy. Feminism and family cannot co exist. One must stay the other must go. And men seem happy to let women choke on what they want.
    11
  233. Dude has a 90 IQ but thinks hes a genius. Thats all this is.
    11
  234. Pine plays the Bard. The Bard is always a meme player. If you play d&d you know that.
    11
  235.  @Mike-8404  its irrelevant where the physicians were. The fact they didnt just discipline the physicians that were doing wrong, they put handcuffs on the whole system. Thats the issue. And as a vet, the VA is one of the few places you dont get labeled "drug seeker" simply for mentioning chronic pain.
    11
  236. Mine left me when I was 37, im 48 right now. I had just broke my back. Have had 3 back surgeries. She left me and I had to fight for my 3 sons. I kept them and the house. I busted my ass for years for her to stay home. The first year she was gone I had an extra 40k in cash. So I busted my ass when I could go back to work, worked hard for about 6 more years. Now I am retired. I never have to work again. You can get there. Its ok to be angry, but it will pass if you let it.
    11
  237.  @Dregomz02  In the west, getting a tan was a sign, especially in Britain, that you were rich enough to afford a trip to Spain or some other warm place. In the US it wasnt really a thing until after WWII, again people became wealthier. In Victorian England women did their best to stay out of the sun so their skin stayed whiter. Its always about status. So while the fads may change its always about status and wealth.
    11
  238. More like no one can pay those taxes.
    11
  239.  @SoloRenegade  I told you, read them. I dont know what state you live in. State laws vary. I can tell you the laws of the states I have lived. I get it you dont like my position. You dont want to read title 4d of the social security act thats on you. Be blind. I am not sure what good or gain you will get out of it. But hey you do you.
    11
  240.  @TheGintama86  Thats just Japanese culture. Its expected for a woman to manage the family finances. The purpose of the family is to raise children, the logic goes the woman has the kids, so she has the most invested. But they can be ball breakers. And in modern Japan, divorce rates are high. And after a few generations of not seeing their fathers after their parents divorced, a lot of Japanese men have checked out. I loved living there for the time I had. Its a shame that they cant find the way.
    11
  241.  @joejoejoejoejoejoe4391  hit the nail on the head with that one.
    11
  242. Same with jobs. Many women found their husbands via their jobs. Now that is also a no go zone for all but the most insane.
    11
  243. What you dont know is how leveraged he is. He could be like yea I own 300 houses but just has them all mortgaged. And when there is a rug pull he falls on his face. If he actually owns all of them, not just having a positive cash flow, he could be in a very good situation.
    11
  244. As they use to say in the old days of sail, "The floggings will continue until morale improves." Perhaps the modern world needs more floggings to understand the error in their collective thinking. Its a shame, but honestly, its not you cant see this coming.
    10
  245.  @liamphibia  That kind of inclusive change is a bridge to far for Disney. The original work must be respected. lol
    10
  246. California cant cut its water use from the Colorado. If it did it would have to do de sal plants and that means building more electrical generation. The greens just wont allow that. But in the end more farmers and ranchers are just going to get cut out and then you folks in the city are going to be crying about why the price of all your food goes up. Every action, even the ones that feel good, have consequences. Remember than next year when a 12 count of eggs costs you 12 bucks.
    10
  247.  @belstar1128  I dont think people really understand the fertility rate collapse that has hit latin america. I mean when I was born in 1975 Mexican women were have 5 to 6 kids each. Now they dont even have 2. That same thing is repeated all through the Americas. I think there are only a few small countries that have positive fertility rates in the Americas.
    10
  248.  @rosenrotohh9627  Japans government is the problem. They have created such a debt burden that they have to push everyone to work to keep the GDP stable even as the population declines. But eventually that wont work and the Japanese central government will first have to cut spending and then, inevitably, default. But they are playing a game of kicking the can down the road. The Soviets did something similar, but it was largely to do social pressure to meet quotas, rather than the fault of central planners.
    10
  249. With the wedding, you reserve that stuff sometimes a year in advance and after a certain date its non refundable. All the flowers and food, they are going to charge you because they have to order it probably a few months ahead of time to make sure its there the day of. So if you cut that check, its already gone. On the other hand, traditionally, the wifes family pays for the wedding. So maybe the princess just screwed her marriage, her relationship with her pregnant sister and her parents too.
    10
  250. Tax burden. Everything is taxed multiple times. Governments need to collect more taxes and more steps to offset the lack of workers who pay income tax. Even then, they cant so the debase their currencies causing inflation. Here's some free information, its only going to get worse.
    10
  251. Thats about 40% of the stock market
    10
  252. Yo ho yo ho, a pirates life for me.
    10
  253.  @evilds3261  thats irrelevant. Most men, autistic or not, dont know how to approach women, let alone other men and engage in conversations. And what makes it even worse is most women dont either. But at the end, you wont date anyone and you wont make any friends at all if you dont talk to people. Social interaction is key. When I was a young man in the long long ago, I always told my male friends that had issues, talk to the ugliest least attractive women you can think of. And then work your way up from there. And I told my female friends the same. I mean even in your statement you went straight to dating. Just try talking to people.
    10
  254.  @RiskOfBaer  the military is already done. It was done along time ago. Its combat effectiveness is in the toilet. Most operations are done by special forces and air strikes for a reason. A legion of single moms can't do much, and when half your unit decides to get pregnant before a deployment and are then considered non deployable what do you do? And then there are the men, fat, out of shape POGs. Utterly useless. And this was in the late 90s, I can only imagine the hell that it is today in 2021.
    10
  255. Never use averages or total wealth. You need to focus on liquid assets. Most American boomers will outlive their money for two reasons. Inflation and lack of savings.. The median boomer has saved about 200k. The median estimate that they would need if they lived to the median life expectancy is 275k. Now mind you, this is the median. Boomers own about 40% of all single family homes. So even if only 1/8 need to sell to make ends meet you are looking at several million homes hitting the market. Then there are the boomers who will need to be in some sort of care facility. They will have to sell.
    10
  256.  @selfReferencinDox  Japans problem isnt feminism. Its economics. Just because a problem looks the same, doesnt mean its causes are the same.
    10
  257. Yes, and the price of everything else would explode too. Not from the revaluation to 3000 an ounce, but if they take it up to 78 or 144k.
    10
  258. Back in the long long ago in the 1900s when I was a young buck and stationed at 29 palms, junior enlisted marines were not allowed to even go within a mile of base housing. The women, both the spouses and daughters were of such loose morals that they would take anything. Tremors E club was always filled with them on $1.00 beer pitcher fight night on Thursdays. Man, getting old sucks. The only thing worse is not getting old. Stay safe brothers.
    10
  259. I use to be pretty blind to this, but I am 6'7". Having seen it now I cant unsee how utterly controled most humans are by their biology. Its a huge turnoff. But if you look at his graphs men my height have a harder time than most "shorter" dudes. So I mean who knows, women are fickle.
    10
  260. Wikipedia complaining about information warfare. Thats funny.
    10
  261. Peoples debt is going to kill them and prevent them from entering markets. Auto debt, credit card debt, school loan debt, mortgage debt. With increasing interest rates, standards of living have to correct. That means massive price corrections in all asset classes. I still think people are thinking to small when it comes to the housing correction. It will at least be 40%, minimum.
    10
  262.  @DB742  often times the never see their families again. I knew people on both sides of that. Women will remarry and the new husband will kind of just make the kids his. It's a totally different culture. So even if things look the same, they might have different causes.
    10
  263. Never use the average wage. The individuals who make very high income skew the numbers a great deal. A better measure is the median American wage, and that is $45,760 a year. 10k is a big difference.
    10
  264. The thing about globalization is, that all the costs for securing those markets, typically done by folks in the US armed forces securing shipping lanes or knocking out nations or "doers of evil", is never taken into account for your "oranges". Only if economists take those costs into consideration, can one take an actual cost benefit analysis of any global trade relationship. But this is seldom even brought up, let alone discussed honestly. And then there are the subsidies, which you probably arent for, but exists none the less.
    10
  265.  @wilsi473  no. You don't understand that these interests are opposed to one another. People must choose. We have lied and said people, women in particular can have both. They really can't. And civilization needs one to continue to exist. If people don't want that and prioritize one over the other, that's fine. But they should fully understand this. Today it's not even talked about.
    10
  266. Hey, they are REALLY nice trucks. lol
    9
  267. There are two types of married women. Those who got who they wanted and those who settled. The former is happy and a builder of society along side their mate. The latter is a destructive typhoon of unhappiness that ends with the modern Karen. Both are married, but they are not the same. As far as fertility rates go, I really think more needs to be looked at at who are having children. The studies in Japan show that the women who do have children almost all have numbers at or above replacement rate for their families. But there is a large and growing segment of women who have none. The question is why? Another poster stated that it was because men cannot out compete men in the work force when there are prejudicial hiring standards for women. There simply arent enough "good" men to go around. But any attempt to address this will be seen as misogyny because these types of things are now seen as rights. What do you do to a population that thinks the things that are killing it are good? I am pretty sure that is where we are at. Then dump other things like inflation caused by government overspending and laws that favor the elderly over the young and you have the modern west. There was a guy a long time ago who said something that seemed comically simplistic, "The UN states that empowering women is the best way to lower the fertility rate. Everywhere it has been done the fertility rate is down and down hard. Now they are wondering how to raise it. I dont know, its a Scooby-Doo mystery?" The answer is staring us in the face but we dont like it. And thats fine. Its not like this hasn't happened before. And those societies and people who are to cowardly to address issues head on deserve the ash heap of history.
    9
  268. Thats a misconception. Arizona was never a conservative state. Idaho, Texas and Tennessee have all be come MORE conservative since Californians have moved to them. All you have to do is look at a Californian electoral map and see the change that has been happening there since 2008, the conservatives, of which there were many are feeling the state. And every two years you can see the trend line. Are their very liberal enclaves in places like Austin and Nashville, yes. But they were liberal before the Californians starting moving there. The one outlier is Boise which has gotten more liberal, but its more than countered with the people who moved to the suburbs around it. And many of those people are from the Seatac area, not California. People forget California and even San Francisco was a conservative paradise up to the late 1960s. Then north easterners invaded and took over all the political machinery.
    9
  269.  @lottoCIZZLER  I had neighbors who bough a home in 2007. They didnt get thrown out until 2017. They would make a partial payment every 6 months to restart the clock. Its obscene what some folks got a way with. Just so banks didnt have to write off all that bad debt in one go.
    9
  270. Nah its mid terms, they need the simpathy vote.
    9
  271.  @무군  congrats, you have given a perfect example of actual prejudice. Its rare these days.
    9
  272.  @Pedgo1986  Its going to get done like Mass Effect Andromeda. It will just be dropped by command of the corporate overlords. Bethesda and Microsoft ,with the Fallout show being so popular, is now going to focus all on that. Can you imagine spending a decade to make a game and Starfield is the result. Its just sad. We really need a 1984 style cleansing event in gaming.
    9
  273.  @kuen428  thats just false. Have you seen how much a Hersheys bar is today? You can buy a bag of pre made salad for 5 bucks that serves 4.
    9
  274. Your little schpeal there at the end was good. It just comes down to a lack of discipline. In a time of unlimited excess and zero material want, discipline is incredible hard to track on let alone master. Thats why most men start in the gym, its tangible. Its why I make my sons do squats, flutter kicks and pushups whenever they screw up instead of locking them down. All three are gym 6 days a week now. Semper Fi Liked and subscribed.
    9
  275.  @michaelmcdoesntexist1459  I think its more that the show writers viewed his "staff" as more residence than actual full MDs. Hollywood is stupid like that. Which is odd because half of the shows actors actual parents are physicians.
    9
  276. I would argue that wokeness is funded, you use the word supported but really they are the same thing, by taxpayers via universities and by earners who put their income into 401ks and IRAs run by the likes to Blackrock, Vanguard and State Street. That money then gets lent out via shadow lending mechanisms or used to purchase shares of stocks in companies that support wokeness. Shadow lending or banking, is completely unregulated and few if anyone actually tracts where the money goes.
    9
  277. I think its important to say that this isnt the norm in Japan. That said at the rate the society is imploding there its going to start to. A lot of people blame this on feminism but in Japan its more about economics. The crushing debt burden of Japan has destroyed Japanese society with the help of the cultures historical flaws, every culture has flaws. The other North East Asian nations, China, South Korea, and Taiwan are all having this same issue. Dying alone, kodokushi, herbivore men, hikikomori, the insane suicide rate and the need to keep face by working so hard you die on the train going home that they have a word for it, karoshi. Imagine a culture if you felt shame for taking a day off because others would think you are trash. Thats Japan. And its dying.
    9
  278.  @original0blace  No, the good women are already married. Thats the central point. Decent women get married and stay happy. People run constantly into the damaged ones filled with misery and HPV.
    9
  279. Roughly 84% of American women have kids. Sightly more than 60% of American men have kids. That will tell you what you need to know why 4B is being pushed. Its a competition issue.
    9
  280. most folks dont even know thats a thing yet. They are to busy with Taylor Swift and sports ball.
    9
  281.  @blakespower  that US destroyer was a Burke class destroyer. Its 505 feet long. An Iowa class BB is only 860 odd feet long. Tiny isnt a good word to describe something that is as long as a 40 story building is tall.
    9
  282. There is so much space. In just the state of Texas you have enough room to give 171 million people their own acre of land. So you can fit half the US population in the state of Texas with enough land for them to grow all the food they need to live, per person, so a family of four would have 4 acres.
    9
  283. This isnt where it hit us. Once employers start reducing payrolls, because of higher loan rates, you will see more houses come on the market as people are forced to short sell or sell that rental property or vacation home, and thats when the slide to the bottom begins. That will be about 6 months to a year.
    9
  284. Thats ironic. The first Black Panther movie undid everything character wise about T'challa from Civil War.
    9
  285. Thats not really what happens. They cut prices even further and then they leverage the losses and use it as a way to protect themselves from houses. DR Horton, Lennar, Poulte, and Seeno have done this every downturn. As I have stated on this channel multiple times I got a home in 2007 for about a 46% total price cut from DR Horton. All they have to do is make enough to service any debt they have. But when they do it is important, for tax purposes. The corporations you are worried about buying all these homes are being hammered with losses and most have seen at least 15% losses to their portfolios. Rental ROI only works at ultra low interest rates. That time has past, respectfully.
    9
  286.  @LivingWithGout  No they cant. As soon as that money hit US or the Euro zone it will be seized. The only possible way would be to ship the money to an intermediate nation and collect it then. But then the lender would be seen as breaking sanctions.
    9
  287.  @IHMadeThis  Less money reduces inflation. All this is paid for by more debt, not tax revenue. That adds more liquidity to the economy increasing inflation. This is basic.
    9
  288.  @aleidius192  Thats not the problem. The risks are to high. Women can nuke a relationship, a life, and your entire economic future with a single word. Will most women do that, no they wont. But even if 5% would, would you get on a plane if it had a 5% chance of ruining your life? No you wouldnt. Young men have seen several generations and heard about it from family and friends. Its not like this is a new thing. Heck in 1979 Kramer vs Kramer came out, every man should watch that movie. This is a woman problem. Women need to fix it.
    9
  289. There are single moms and then there are divorced moms. The two arent the same. But yes in certain communities single moms are the norm. But they only exist because the government can afford deficit spending. As that fails, and it is starting to, all of those single moms and their offspring will starve. Women replaced husbands with Uncle Sam.
    8
  290. Sounds like you are using your own life experience to color your opinion of all things. Thats why anecdotal evidence is poor evidence. Currently, out of married couples, 46.8 percent both work. Math wise that would mean that 53.2 percent of marriages have a spouse who isnt working. This is why actual data is important for shaping our world view and not anecdotal evidence, which we attach emotional feelings to. Otherwise we end up thinking all sorts of things that are just factually false.
    8
  291. You have to protect your children from this before they leave the home. If not they are like lambs to the slaughter.
    8
  292.  @eurosalamander  Thats why I included the key word "attempted". If you arent aware, suicides often go to the ED as well, depending on the method and how long they have been expired. They still have to be pronounced by a physician. But even then, the volume was not comparable. And yes way more males self delete, but the amount of young girls that attempt suicide is utterly staggering. The reasons males and females choose to end their lives are often much different. Its not a contest.
    8
  293. Ive never seen a pension plan that required working until 65. I think you dont know what you are talking about, respectfully. Historically the average pension plans paid out when a worker was no longer able to work or when a worker turned 50 or 55. They could be pushed back further for an increase in payments, because pensions are just insurance and it is done via actuarial tables.. It was not designed to keep a person at their working standard of living. It was designed so the person wouldnt have to depend on their children or die destitute on the streets if they didnt have any. The problem came in the 1970s when unions wanted ever increase pension benefits due to increases in inflation and so companies not telling the workers sorry we can afford it long term, agreed. And kicked the can down the road until they went bust or had to renegotiate. In the 1980s the same thing happened in public pension systems. None of them are sustainable. But people want to believe in magic money, because reasons.
    8
  294. Dont worry, workers comp has them covered.
    8
  295. There are two kinds of hardship. The first is the hardship of the mundane. The ordinary. The kind that slowly, but steadily grinds you down to dust. Like time there is no stopping it. The 2nd kind of hardship is that of the physical. This hardship culls the weakest and makes the stronger even stronger. It forces social bonds and creates society. It is the exterior pressure that squeezes people together. But when a society gets to safe, gets to "easy", where there is to much abundance, this no longer happens. The 2nd kind can limit but not stop the first kind of hardship. But the first kind of hardship will wipe out even the strongest.
    8
  296. Need to know is huge in classifications. Just because you have a secret clearance doesnt mean you have, or should have access to all secret information. The military, since the advent of internet personal usage, has not found a good way to partition information.
    8
  297. Supply and demand. If everyone goes into trades, you will very quickly have an imbalance in the market and wages will drop. No different than why white collar work has had its wages depressed because so many people went to college and got a degree to sit at a desk.
    8
  298.  @SouvenTudu1  You dont understand sarcasm do you?
    8
  299.  @zuzanazuscinova5209  New flash, the US dollar is debt. It hasnt been money since 1971.
    8
  300. Thats exactly the reason companies had to require degrees in the first place. IQ tests were deemed discriminatory.
    8
  301.  @emilyl6746  I wonder if men have been more cultured to be more equitable in social situations with women has an overflow effect into romantic relationships? What is desirable in social or work conditions may not be the same as for the romantic partner.
    8
  302.  @DarkPassenger  You can literally see the taser in the mans hand. Go back and watch the video.
    8
  303. You know you just described 2008 right? lol
    8
  304. Not 1929, we are exactly in the same situation as 1948. Post war the massive government spending had drastically distorted the economy and we went from double digit inflation one year to massive deflation in another and then back to inflation then deflation. We are going to go through something similar here.
    8
  305.  @MC-ze8wj  Water shortages will take care of that.
    8
  306. As someone who use to work of Kaiser, there is a fundamental misunderstanding by you all on how it operates. Its a three teared system. Hospitals, Clinics and Pharmacy and then the Insurance. The latter two are for profit. The hospital is not for profit. Before the AC Kaiser would use massive amounts of charity care as a tax shelter for all the profits its two other groups made. All the physicians are owners in it. There is no negotiating. The physicians dont even need to pay for their office staff. Kaiser does. Kaiser is a good system because all the treatment is in house and its already paid for. Its why Kaiser has such a low refusal rate. And most of the refusals are for non Kaiser members who want treatment there. Kaiser built its system for its members, not the general public. One of the reasons costs have increased is the State of California forcing health care providers to take Medicaid patients. The State only pays 11 cents on the dollar for treatment, (this is back in 2019) and thats assuming you did everything right. Other wise the payment request is just ignored buy the state. Then there is the annual licensing requirements for Medicare. Again in 2019 licensing for an inpatient bed on just the Medical/Surgical (non telemetry) was over 100k a year. People have no idea how much government sucks out of healthcare. That said, the profits on things like drugs are stupefying. But again, thats the governments fault. Its against the law for pharmacists to even tell patients that they could get a Rx cheaper just by paying cash. Add to it the effects of the ACA limiting charity care right offs and you have exploding costs. It was easy to see this was going to happen. In the case of United Health Care, they have publicly traded stock. And the stock price is going to be defended to the death. Personally I blame the businesses who buy insurance coverage from them. You get what you pay for and you get what you tolerate.
    8
  307. Karen from HR
    8
  308. The issue with this is the same as society at large, one of a lack of trust. Most societies are very quickly shifting to low trust societies. To address this issue, the same with the others, you must reverse this trend.
    8
  309.  @howlingdin9332  Carter was pretty limited by the politics of the day. Recently out of Vietnam and detente happening with the Soviet Union and Nixon's opening of China. Carter did have the spectacular failure that was Operation Eagle Claw though.
    8
  310. apparently you didnt understand his explanation of how inflation compounds year over year.
    8
  311. You probably dont see it, but your statement, with the information you provided, could be directed to either side. You have stated nothing that shows which side you are talking about.
    8
  312. I know one California home owner who is underwater. They guy who bought my house. He paid 100k over asking price last year and since then the actual value of the house declined 40k below what he paid. He also only put 3% down.
    8
  313.  @marcospaulo5390  The problem with that is the rate of change and the current debt load most of these nations have. Take Japan. In a few years its national debt will force a sovereign default. At that time, every Japanese person who is on any sort of social pension fund will lose access to their nationalized retirement fund and health care. And with no one to give them loans, because of the default, that means no energy that they buy on credit. So the country falls back into the medieval ages. This is going to happen to a lot of nations. And is one of the main reasons why Japan's political class agreed to the humiliating deal President Trump offered them and then when Biden was elected they told Biden that they were perfectly happy with it as well. This will happen to nation after nation and happened to several last year but people seem to have forgotten already. World economics is about to implode and folks dont understand that. Cities will be death traps. Like Rome when the dole was late. The cities will burn.
    8
  314.  @aolvaar8792  Because every county and State is yours right? It isnt usage. People with wells and septic still get hit with property bond measures for sewer and waste treatment. People without children still have to pay school bonds on their real property. I can keep going, but I doubt you would care. Which is fine.
    8
  315.  @TC-cd5sm  fertility rates in most of those African nations are falling near 50% per generation. Historically its the fastest declines humanity has ever seen.
    8
  316. Real estate is priced on the margins. Going up all it takes is one idiot to pay 100k over asking price to make a whole neighborhood soar in value. But that also works the same way. I guy needs to sell his house because he is moving for work, getting a divorce or a myriad of other reasons and in a slow market he will have to lower the cost below the "estimated" value to get a buyer. And then every property suffers that same comparative decline in value.
    8
  317. Odds are it will hit the ocean. Shame you didnt include a Tsunami shockwave.
    8
  318.  @Savvynomad225  They are buying them with 8 year note. Ford offers something called "Flex Buy". The first 36 months of payments are discounted up to 18%. Its literally a reverse amortization car note. Its not like when we did this in the housing industry it worked well. Car industry is about to implode... again.
    8
  319. They can only cover stories where there is information. Hard to do that when people say they dont see nothing. What you want them to just say today person X went missing. If you have any info please dont snitch.
    8
  320. No they intentionally targeted non union independent truck drivers with their emission controls and all the other crap drivers have to put on their rigs to cross the state line. Total shipping volume into the port is down, I am not even talking about the slowdown, just the amount of stuff offloaded and waiting to be offloaded. Everything going on there is political. Its staged. They want compliance.
    8
  321. I fully expect a story where Slaanesh is made to be a relatable anti villain. I think the rot in 40k has set in. They are already to dug in. Shame. Been playing since 89.
    8
  322.  @Fearlessly91  I was happy just not to fight. Plus, even though I paid for her bachelor's, she was a stay at home mom. I'm not an unreasonable person.
    8
  323.  @JayElJay  nah its not a strawman. Remember the outrage when the woman was getting raped on the train in Phili and men just stood by and did nothing. This is why. If you are a man and you have a family, why would you risk this. If you cant see or understand that, you are part of the issue.
    8
  324. Speculative money is leaving China to meet margin calls elsewhere. Global banking and finance is about to go kaput.
    8
  325. Demography explains all of this. 2020 was the year of peak demand demographically speaking. Millennials in the family forming age were at their peak. This changed market psychology while at the same time there was near free money via low interest rates and a tsunami of stimulus money. Add to the fact that so many Americans shove money into their 401ks and IRAs that REITs were getting insane cash infusions that they used to buy real estate further skewing the market. But real demand, from a demographic standpoint is going to decrease every year going forward and at the same time the boomers, who own 41% of real estate are starting to leave as well. All of this combined with home prices that are already to high will lead to a massive crash, worse than the one in 2008. Thats because this time the Fed cant save anyone without inflation exploding. The idea that you need a million homes on the market for it to be a buyers market is a outdated one considering the total buyers at anyone time is decreasing and is going to accelerate in that decrease all the way until at least 2040 if not 2050. The only thing that might lessen the crash is that due to a lack of workers wage inflation of the same time period is going to be massive without serious technical innovation.
    8
  326. A key and important aspect of digital ownership is what happens to those assets when you die. My father was a huge audiophile. Had he existed in this time period perhaps much or all his music would have been purchased digitally and not on vinyl. What would have happened to said assets when he died? If its like other digital sellers, even accessing them with his passwords would be illegal under current user agreements. This is indeed about property rights. This goes for all the photos shared online as well, not just video games.
    8
  327.  @Mnil52  New builds are fine if you want to hear your neighbors arguing. Those houses are built on top of each other.
    8
  328. You should do a video on the number of actual empty homes on the market. Id say here in east Tennessee its probably a 1/4 to 1/3 of homes that are outright empty, staged with minimal furniture to not look empty or straight up estate sales. Id be interested in seeing if this is the case in other areas as well. I think there is a tidal wave of homes waiting out there with no demand for them. Its all been cheap money looking for a place to go. With not more cheap money, that all goes away.
    8
  329. When women become "empowered" fertility goes down. This isnt some mystery. The UN for decades stated the number one way to reduce fertility was to put women into education and the work force. EVERYWHERE that has happened fertility rates go down. One cannot expect women to work, be upwardly mobile in their career, achieve parity with their male counterparts (a huge talking point and goal in modern politics in every western nation, and have children above replacement rate. It just cannot be done. A woman has to choose. And for decades women were push from Kindergarten to graduate school to do one and not the other. We are simply seeing the results of those policies after 4 generations. Thats all this is. The only way to stabilize birth rates is clear. But no one gives up their benefits without a fight. And going forward you are going to see a larger and larger bifurcation in political officiation between men and women as a significant portion of women seek to maintain the status quo. But when the welfare state fails it wont matter. Its all going to slam shut like an empty Coors light can under foot.
    8
  330.  @TheMarpalm  Atlanta is the worst comparison that you could make considering in the last two years near 50% of the housing as been bough up by rental companies. Most of the markets in the south east are due for a serious correction. Prices both in rents and home prices are going to decline hard. More so when the layoffs start here. West coast always lays off first.
    8
  331. Imagine a country who built over twice as many homes for people in the country. Imagine this same country has officially admitted to a declining population, thought its probably been declining for over a decade. Imagine this same country is centrally ran and the banks have been told to not only stop lending but to also to lend as to keep the economy moving. All while anyone with sense is trying to make their capital find a safe place, preferably outside the country. This is China.
    8
  332. wait hold on, I thought NASA was a Muslim outreach program. Did they have to retool for women. That must have cost a pretty penny. I recall a mission where a female astronaut not only lost her tools but also one of the thermal blankets covering the station, I wonder if it was this chick.
    7
  333.  @py_a_thon  probably should act like thugs and threaten to "stick" someone.
    7
  334. A lot of those homes sitting were flippers or people who were going to tele commute and bought during the scamdemic. Now they are looking at getting laid off in a lot of fields plus have an extra mortgage to pay for. For those people I do feel bad for. The flippers, just like in 2007-2008 got caught up in easy money. You can go through and look at the homes put up, you see them bought within the last year and a half. All of those will either get foreclosed on or short sell. They cant even rent them out, they would still lose money and if you get a bad renter the house gets wrecked. Its going to be a bloodbath.
    7
  335.  @Peglegkickboxer  11-14% of the Federal budget gets spent on military items. Over 60% for social services. I reject your claim.
    7
  336. College isnt irrelevant, thats a cope. The degree that is earned is what is important. Most degrees are trash. But some are very much well worth the time, energy, and money spent on them. Be careful not to throw the baby out with the bath water.
    7
  337. When you attack, or threaten to attack, a mans livelihood he drops the mask and shows you who he really is. You must be very young not to know this, respectfully.
    7
  338. This is nothing. In 1862, during the "Great Flood of 1862" it rained 50 inches in San Francisco and the central valley was 30 feet deep in water. Its one of the things that made Californians build is flood protection levee system. Its why flooding there is so rare now. But most is over 100 years old now.
    7
  339. Dr Zoidberg's people are going to be very upset at the belittling of one of their youngsters.
    7
  340.  @WhatHappenedIn-vt3vq  the US Navy is the world's 2nd largest Air force. The Navy don't need help from the chair force.
    7
  341. Ah yes, the two seasons in California, Fire and Mud.
    7
  342. Missed a great opportunity to use the headline Stormy Daniels gets DRILLED by Trumps Defense Team.
    7
  343.  @mikosapps2476  I was specifically talking about teenagers, young teenages. But yes, men often use more definitive means to suicide. In high school I had a friend who put plastic all over his bathroom and then put a shotgun in his mouth. In his letter he said he didnt want his parents to have to clean up his mess. As I stated, this isnt a contest. Mental health, suicide threats included, are not taken very seriously, often until it is to late. At the same time we glamorize and enable people to wallow in their mental illness or depression. And im not sure what the answer is.
    7
  344. People forget in 2006 how many flippers there were. They were the first to walk away. Not those with subprime mortgages. It was the flipper. One the flippers folded and home prices dropped, then subprime folded. These new real estate types are just another kind of flipper, but with more steps. The effect will be the same though. But this time with inflation, a vastly different demographic structure and the horrific amounts of debt that exist now it will be much much worse. And the Fed wont be able to lower rates to save everyone. No, this one is going to hurt.
    7
  345. Snitch on your neighbors. While they laugh at you in Sacramento, you will tear yourselves and your neighbors apart for table scraps. Be good serfs and comply.
    7
  346. As someone else said, Peter struggles, as most people do, with their personal feelings in domestic politics influencing their reason. We are all only human after all.
    7
  347. People wont have a choice when they lose their jobs, 3% mortgage or not. This is the same thing that happened in 2009 when most companies started shedding workers. Then, even if you keep your job, housing prices drop and your 3% loan for a 400k home that you felt lucky to get is now only worth 250 or 300k and then you do the math and decide if its cleaner to walk away. A lot of this is just people trying to cope with being in a very hard economic position. Though I wish you luck.
    7
  348.  @nickd2296  that varies greatly on where you live. Some places with that amount you would live like a king, others you would be homeless.
    7
  349.  @ericeandco  not the point. These school districts require all sorts of info being stored and complied. There is no reason why that has to be stored on a networked computer. If they are going to require that information to be stored, they need to be legally responsible for it. When I worked in a hospital I was personally responsible for ANY HIPAA information that was released to inappropraite sources. Each occurrence I would be subjected to a $15000 dollar penalty. Why shouldnt they? Because they are a part of the government?
    7
  350.  @ericeandco  A similar thing happened with a VA worker who had tens of thousands of veterans IDs on his computer when it was stolen out of the back seat of his vehicle. One of those persons info was mine. He still works for the VA. Not even a letter in his file. There is zero accountability in government.
    7
  351. It literally wouldnt surprise me if the person responsible for pulling the trigger on telling all the civilians to get out of Afghanistan was working from home because of the coof. And on their desk is a sticky note from some GS-7 that reads, tell all the civilian contractors to get out of Afghanistan by X date.
    7
  352.  @scapegoat762  One cant hide from it. The best one can hope for is to find a community of like minded individuals who will be willing to take a stand with you.
    7
  353. I am from the government and I am here to help. lol
    7
  354.  @JCNOAOU  military is 11 to 14 percent year to year. The interest servicing is more. Its not the 1950s anymore. Look at a budget. lol
    7
  355.  @Ufphen  That would be amazing. Lead hazard. lol
    7
  356.  @luminyam6145  Your post reminds me of the journal of a relative I have when he still lived in Europe. He and his wife were married and the community, not just family, built them a house. Imagine that. A community that supports each other for the betterment of the community. We have material wealth today. But communally and socially and spiritually, we are bankrupt., largely speaking. Its why I think this is a bit of a natural process. It seems to happen every so often. Then it resets due to hardship.
    7
  357. Is this the same food Tractor Supply says doesnt stop laying hens from laying?
    7
  358. While despise the current administration, this started under the previous administration. in 2018 the Fed should have started raising rates. They reversed course at the behest of the president. It just took a few years to see it roll through the economy.
    7
  359. This is a very important and not full accepted idea. Women will tend to want a man "better" than them. For a lot of women, better means more money. If men and women are equal in the work place then how will a woman find a better? They might exist but not in the numbers that are needed for all the women that want them. And then there is the question of will those men want those types of women.
    7
  360. I wonder how many American flags you have flying?
    7
  361.  @Justadonkey  If you cut out the LA basin and the Bay Area, California is amazing. Good people in the rural areas. I mean the LA basin has more people in it than 46 of the States in the US. Its just shy of having more than New York State by 900,000 people. Besides New York only Florida, Texas and California itself has a larger population.
    7
  362. What Tate is pushing isnt the "red pill". Hes just a pimp and a hustler. Cassie Jaye did more for the the red pill than Tate will ever dream of. She brought it out of the dark in 2016.
    7
  363.  @bbgoodnough  the only other game I saw that was even remotely close was Oblivion. But considering the current climate of things, I dont think that you could adjust stats along gender lines in a game, well at least not from an American producer. Japanese dont care though. Got to love them for that though. Games are art.
    7
  364.  @jayb9543  They will. It takes time for market psychology to effect. But once it happens it happens fast. And even then all it takes is one guy who sells out at a lower price to screw everyone in the neighborhood. I did this in Dec 2007 in California when I bought a new construction from DR Horton that was originally priced at 535k. They reduced it to 505k. But when I bought it I got it for 216k. My new neighbors hated me. lol
    7
  365. First man in the life boat may not have all his possession, but he has the most important one, himself.
    7
  366. I love listening to your discussions. In the case of this topic I have the view that modern society has cast away the need for responsibility. The responsibility to ones own self, to ones community or group and to ones potential progeny and ancestry. And that is a deeply social thing. Some countries have one or two of those things, but few have all three. In life, to be stable, you must always have three points of contact.
    7
  367. Dear UK, Europe and Japan, If you sell US securities to address your monetary woes, the US will be forced to cut off all energy trade with you until such times as you stop. We regret this, but we must defend our interests as well. Sincerely, Joe Brandon.
    7
  368. l'm enough to remember when cable was ad free. Its why you paid for it. It paid for the service. If you have a paid service and you have to put ads in it you are not running your business right, you are charging to little or you are overly burdened by regulations or taxation.
    7
  369.  @hamzamahmood9565  Youngest Millennials are 29. Statistically if a woman reaches 30 without children she only has a 50% chance of having two. Millennials missed their boat.
    7
  370. @It`s okay. Yes the German Greens are rational. Your nation has built 158% of its total energy need in solar panels only to get a grand total of 7% of your energy need from that. Thats stellar work and money well spent. Now you are back to burning lignite. Tell me what latitude is Germany at?
    7
  371.  @agates9383  Yeah, I am aware of that. Thats where community comes in. If you look at most small farming communities, they have churches. The church is the center of community. People act like xenophobia is a bad thing. But when you see someone you dont know in a place you know everyone, its a good thing in bad times. Makes it easy to see who shouldnt be there.
    7
  372.  @scottoswald7535  Sure you can. In the 1700s the elderly complained that the youth spent all their time reading. It was called the "reading rage", "reading mania", and "reading lust". Because to those people ideas were transmitted via mouth person to person. And in that time reading was also seen as a form of escape that was the cause of moral decay and the cause of social ills. Sound familiar? Give it a look, you might be shocked at the parallels to our time.
    7
  373.  @freewater1  That was more an emotional response to a real (at the time everyone thought it was end times) threat. You always see peoples real character when they are under stress. Fortunately, few people ever get put under that kind of stress. I think he got a little full of himself after being the govenator. We took his photo down in the gym after that. Still hasnt gone back up. It was really a bad take for his image.
    7
  374.  @StevenSanchez_95  no one is self sufficient. Thats the rub. Certainly not even at an 18th century tech level. I like things like Novocain and antibiotics.
    7
  375. how do you have national standards when its the fault of the local governments and the voters who elect them to hold anyone to any standards.
    7
  376. A lot of people dont have fathers in their life anymore. Glad yours cared enough to share some wisdom.
    7
  377.  @georuiz28  He offered. I thought it would be rude to decline it. We can at least be civil, no? lol
    7
  378. What kind of crap subdivision has standing water in new roads? If the roads are that badly engineered I cant only imagine the quality of the homes.
    7
  379.  @palehorse1111  that just fixes the issue while they are at home. Eventually they will get a smart phone or go online. Proper philosophical training is required to give young people to tools to resist temptation and embrace hard work.
    7
  380. The ones who bought at the peak are the ones who enabled all this.
    7
  381. Tell that to the nations NATO has invaded. I can name three off the top of my head. Go ahead tell everyone how those were special and unique circumstances for a purely defensive group. Two werent even in Europe.
    7
  382. Thats the toxic test. No one, not even her brother, cousins, or father will come replace the battery because shes toxic.
    7
  383.  @CapitanDePlai  Per China's adjusted numbers they reached their mx population in 2005. Its one of the reasons their workers rate of pay has gone up 14 times. There are far far less of them to work.
    7
  384. Ramsey is just debt phobic. Which for the average American is a good philosophy. But that line of thought limits your ability to leverage debt to make additional money. It also protects you from over extending. As far as his housing comments, I think he just doesnt understand how much things have changed, from a demographic standpoint.
    7
  385. Thats because the flippers, investors, and air BnBers are all fleeing the market. They are the first to get out. You will also see a lot of unfinished homes, half remodeled homes hitting the market as well.
    7
  386.  @joanns.6380  I honestly dont see why everyones tax returns arent a matter of public record. Imagine being able to see all of Congresses. It would be a clown show.
    7
  387. My family has been in California since after the civil war. I left after the Camp Fire in northern California. Took all my family with me. Only my uncle stayed but he is in his 80s and doesnt want to start over. The progressives ran us from the bay area all the way out to the far north. It was the only place left that was sane. But after the fire, you couldnt afford insurance to rebuild and the state wouldnt let PG&E charge more for insurance so power was rarely on. 34 less Californians. Oh well, they didnt need us hard workers I guess. To see Butte county go from solid red to blue in a year because all the hard workers left, breaks the heart.
    7
  388. The "series year" denotes the time that particular note($1, $5, $20, etc) design was adopted, not printed. So if you see a bank note that has a series of 2017 on it it means it was printed sometime between 2017 and the time you obtained it. Hope that helps.
    7
  389. I dated a girl in the late 90s when I came back from Japan to the US. We had the body count talk, she said 4. Then a month into the relationship she tells me how she was raped. And pointed to the guy who supposedly did it in the bar we were drinking at. I was like wtf? She then went on to explain, how since she didnt want to have sex with him, but didnt say no, she still considered it rape. And then I said, so you only have had three relationships? She didnt understand and I said you only had sex with 4 men right? She responded with the kicker, no I dont count the men who raped me. Men?! How many men raped you? 34. She was 22. For you younger guys, that was considered 304 status in the 90s. Are all women like this, no. Are most today, yes. The mental gymnastics women go through to allow themselves to function like this is amazing. No wonder so many are on psych meds.
    7
  390.  @11235but  economies cannot adapt to decreasing demand, they just recede. More so when they are already spending everything they produce and then some because of the debt burden. First will come the massive defaults. Then the economic death spirals from the majority of nations that are export based. We have no economic theory on what is coming. But if you know of an economic theory that will guide us through all of this until reproduction rates increase, you should publish it. You would be guaranteed a Nobel Prize in Economics.
    7
  391.  @series9193  Odd since he was Austrian.
    7
  392. I mean after space fire we can confirm that the people who made this show do not understand how fire works. I doubt many of these people have ever even used fire.
    7
  393.  @Snuffalaffagas  Yea I think America is done being imperialist and racist. We are just going to take our toys and go home. lol
    6
  394.  @NerdlySquared  that they do. But the animals that produce the most are the last to get culled.
    6
  395.  @robes34  you asked if people are selling stocks to buy food and gas. No. But the big guys have to sell to meet margin calls. The little guy can't shove as much in his 401k. All this adds up. If you don't understand, that's fine. Just make sure you get out of the wY or you will get crushed.
    6
  396. I think you are focusing on involuntary foreclosures. During the GFC many of the homes foreclosed on were voluntary foreclosures, aka, jingle mail. It remains to be seen how much that will be the case this time. But with inflation pushing more and more people to the edge, it may just not be an option to refi into a 40 year loan. Can you imagine a 40 year old couple refi'ing to a 40 year loan? They would be in their 80s before they paid their home off. Which means they cant really afford their how and better in letting it go. Also for those worried about the RIETs, during the GFC they lost on average 72% of their value. And they were better capitalized then than they are now.
    6
  397.  @Rev-di1vl  that's a reason. But he still did it. Then Biden did the same thing. No my issue with Trump is in 2018, when he leaned on the Fed to reduce rates, which they did, because the economy started to show signs of failing. And I don't blame Trump except for the things he chose to do. Same with Biden. We either hold our leaders accountable, for both the good and ill the do or we aren't free people.
    6
  398. men who have contracted work just need to start putting a new clause in their contracts that state that they cannot be fired over allegations and must wait to be terminated only when found guilty. Issue solved. But the employer also has the option of not hiring that individual. Gentlemen. If you are one such man, make sure you have it in your contract when you negotiate it. At the end of the day one has the right to employment unless you have a contract.
    6
  399.  @mr.blonde7812  I dont think its about that. I think its more about living as frugally as possible. Why have more than you need? For many they have a large house, multiple cars and all the rest as status symbols. What happens if a section of the population decides to forgo all that and, for a lack of a better word, go their own way? For what it matters, its not just men doing this. I know several women who do they tiny house thing. Some people just want to return to enjoying their lives and things instead of being enslaved by them.
    6
  400. My physical therapist broke down the other day while working on my right shoulder, I have a rotator cuff tear. She said many of the same things you said and more. I think most people are maladapted due to multigenerational divorces, several social agendas that pit the sexes against one another and above all a fear that none of us is good enough. I truly feel bad for the younger generation. Every young lady I meet and ask out says yes. Most people are just starved for genuine affection.
    6
  401.  @check4v  Japan has a different set of issues than the US. Women there are still relatively polite to men. Men on the other hand, historically havent been. That said both sexes there see relationships as a chore for not social reasons, but because they are utterly exhausted. But their nation needs them to work to keep the GDP from collapsing and the debt burden crushing them. In the US it is more social pressure and sexual dynamic issues.
    6
  402. Are rental prices declining yet there? Are there a lot of vacancies? I might bet a lot of those houses are airbnb's and rentals that couldnt be rented. We are starting to see that here in Tennessee too.
    6
  403. Yeah I dont get all the women with the nose rings and septum piercings. Who told them that is attractive?
    6
  404.  @Chihirolee3  They may have been successful via the old ROI math. We dont have those numbers. But just because a game sells well, that is really only half the calculation. You have to look at shop overhead. You dont know what those studios are spending money on, neither do I. As I stated, cheap money has allowed for all sorts of nonsense in many different fields. Is it possible that corporate overlords have favorites and are making choices based on that? Maybe. But do you think those kind of business choices will lead to long to long term success? The end result would be the same culling, which is really long overdue. My reasoning is sound. Its why I was able to retire at 45.
    6
  405. I am not sure what Hungary you are talking about but their current fertility rate per woman is 1.5. In the UK its 1.7. But it was 1.3 in 2014, in Hungary. Still not replacement levels. Not even close, but still not as bad as South Korea where is a laughable 0.5. Thats 1 in 4 South Korean women having a child. Women are broken. Or maybe men are broken so women arent doing what they normally would.
    6
  406.  @scotteric8711  That which is given, has no value.
    6
  407.  @seanemery6019  explain to me how there are ads on videos that are demonetized?
    6
  408. They dont need to sell it yet. They want to, most people I think understand that we are at a high water point. But no one wants to be the first house on the block to have to sell for less than the last house. My neighbors this spring tried to sell. Not one person came to look at their property. They just wanted to much for it.
    6
  409. That lady from Sweet Baby Inc reminds me of what a villain on the Incredibles would look like in real life. Do they know that they are the baddies?
    6
  410. My late teens and 20s were a blast. I was in the Corps traveling the world. When I came back to the states in the late 90s things had already started to change. My 30s and early 40s blew by with the GWOT, marriage and kids. Now in my late 40s its fun again. Your life is what you make it. Make it what you want.
    6
  411. Yea people put the cart before the horse in regards to the last RE bubble. Prices caused the pause because people couldnt afford more even with reverse amortization ARMs, then slight downturn, then the defaults started coming when people couldnt just refi again. We have done the same thing this time. Just without the subprime loans, this time we have to unwind a metric ton of MBS's, a war, a probably famine, a probable recession and double digit inflation over most of the planet. When I type it out it makes it sound worse this time, but I have a hard time fathoming that.
    6
  412. There is a reason that book is no longer required reading in American schools. Along with Animal Farm and Brave New World. 4 legs good two legs bad.
    6
  413. Went through the drive through at Popeyes, ordered two 5 piece chicken strips meals, was on the road taking my son to Camp Legeune. Cost me 38 bucks. Regular sit down places are cheaper now. I can only imagine what costs are in California after their forced pay raise for fast food workers.
    6
  414. Thats because they dont have to sell yet. They want to sell there is a difference. When there employers start have to cut jobs because they need to refinance short term debt that is when the bottom falls out. Over the next two years there is about 3 trillion in corporate debt that needs to be refinanced. That will murder the economy. And most people in economic forecasting are just ignoring it.
    6
  415.  @EmilGhiurau  A lot of these people are going to lose their houses when the recession hits and people lose jobs. Then they will have to sell over leveraged assets. That is the time to buy. Also as the boomers die, and that front end is above the average life expectancy, their kids and grand kids will be looking to sell their properties for whatever they can. If you are looking for a good deal and not just a place you can afford, be patient. Its coming. Nationwide home prices dipped 3 almost percent in Feb. The correction is already beginning.
    6
  416. The farmer in that story must have been the only Ukrainian wheat farmer who didnt plant a winter wheat crop. Winter wheat is planted in the fall goes dormant over winter than then produces in spring. The problem is now is the time you hit it with fertilizer so you increase yields. So even if you stopped fighting now, the Ukrainian winter wheat harvest would be 3 times lower than normal at best. Then you have the fall harvest which gets planted after the winter wheat is harvested. Neither of these can happen without fertilizer which has been effectively shut down. 2 of the three main sources are offline. At best we are going to be short two harvests. At best. I would not want to live in Africa once the fertilizer shipments stop.
    6
  417. All these numbers and figures are nice. But its simpler than this. The median home in the US, according to the fed gov is 448k. Not the average, but the median. At 5.5% interest rate with 20% down, thats roughly 90k cash, your monthly mortgage note with impounds will be about $2400. That comes out to just shy of $29k per year. With the median household income of about $69k in the US that when you remove the various taxes that puts net household income at $59k. So income to mortgage ration is close to 50%. Healthy mortgage to income ration for FHA is 31%, conventional 28% and USDA 29%. To get to those levels home prices need to fall by 40% minimum. And the Fed has stated that is their goal. Every time the Fed squeezes these numbers are going to get worse. And when layoffs, hour cuts, and wage cuts happen, these numbers will get worse. And all this is dependent on people making a 20% down payment. But the truth is worse. Median down payment on a house is 12%. They only group putting down at least 20% is people over 64. I enjoy your content. The data is nice.
    6
  418. Had this happen about 4 years ago with my oldest. One of the opposing team members was throwing body shots in the keys. Refs refused to call it. So one of the kids on our team knocked him out. Then the opposing teams family members went crazy. Refs let this kind of thing get out of control all the time. Refs at any time can stop the game and throw people out. They dont. The question is why. Because people are crazy today. So my kids quit sports and now just lift in the gym. This isnt a covid problem, thats just cope, its a societal one.
    6
  419. They are noisy as all hell. The new type 93 is much quieter but still noisy compared to ours. But thats not the biggest issue with Chinese subs. Its their reactors. They leak like crazy.
    6
  420. The issue isnt it being reformed. Its the fact that each school district has a legion of "support personnel" that do nothing. Why does a elementary school need a lawyer or a diversity inclusion expert? All of these things take away resources from educators. And not to mention that most educators are piss poor because the ones with any sense get out as soon as possible. I know I did when California told me I couldnt teach history because it would hurt peoples feelings. Parents dont care enough to stand up to the school boards and politicians just want money to go where it will get them the most votes. Its why I home schooled my kids and they graduated 3 years early.
    6
  421.  @garygrinkevich6971  The number one donator to the Sierra Club is Canadian lumber interests. Look it up.
    6
  422. They didnt know the street camera was there. This type of thing likely happens more often that most people want to admit. its just there isnt a street camera in perfect sight to catch it. Otherwise the officers just have body cams that dont work.
    6
  423.  @TheNerdForAllSeasons  His book he put out in 2010, talked about "conflict zones", one of which Ukraine is in. He said Russia would invade it. People laughed at him. Then Russia invaded Ukraine in 2014. He was one of the few who called it.
    6
  424. I do think to many people are throwing the word "crash" around way to much. I mean what even is a crash? I often hear people saying a 50% drop. I think most markets will be lucky if they see a 10 to 15% correction. Money is to cheap and inflation is to high. Maybe if the Fed increases rates, but they wont do that for at least another year yet. You also hear people saying a crash is coming because a house is on the market for two weeks when before it was on two days. No thats called normal. People need to take a step back and breath.
    6
  425. While that graph you shown is a bit scary, it is not adjusted for inflation, making it kind of pointless. The high values of the stock market arent only caused by over valuation, but devaluing of the US Dollar causing the price to go up. Only one of those is going to adjust down. Inflation will never go away. If it does, we will end up in a deflationary death spiral and stock prices will be the least of our concern. Just look at China right now. Thats whats happening there.
    6
  426. Government spending is 20% of GDP, you would have to cut spending by half damn near to get a balanced budget. A 10% decline in spending would create a depression. If the government increased taxes to that amount it would have the same effect. But some people dont understand economics, so they cant understand that.
    6
  427. You really ought to look where the Californians who are feeling are leaving. Most are from the central valley. That has always been conservative. If you look at a Cali voter map you can see the change, which really started after the end of the Cold War. Conservative Californians have been leaving since then. There are a few exceptions though, places like Austin and the greater Seattle area attract the leftists that are leaving.
    6
  428. This can only happen in certain states. Here in Tennessee, if a LEO tried that they would probably end up with a couple of rounds in their vest at minimum. There was a time were LEO's were polite and civil. But in their attempt to deal with the large dangers they assault anyone at will "so they can go home safe". Meanwhile trust in law enforcement drops. This isnt so much an issue with female officers, though they are more prone to have to over react. But this is a problem with DA's not putting the truly violent in prison for ever or executing them so police feel they have to do things like this. But in the end, this is why you dont want to live in a city.
    6
  429.  @robwithrbk  in regards to unemployment I think this recession will be something new. With the change in demography, all the boomers retiring, there simply wont be enough workers. You are going to see a lot of businesses close because they cannot afford labor. Eventually we will get it trimmed down to where businesses accommodate the employment pool. I mean we have never had this happen in American history, this massive change in working age people. But I am with you I dont think we will see Fed rates anywhere near 3%, inflation would just explode again, which its probably going to do anyways.
    6
  430.  @sleeplessdev7204  No one is a threat to the US. Not even remotely. Everyone who could attack us in theory, is an alley or a heavily dependent economic partner. No one could even get to us to land troops. Could someone lob nukes at us, sure. But we could throw them right back.
    6
  431.  @juniorleslie4804  we use to have some jokes for woman marines. What does a "WM" stand for, walking mattress. What do call a wm on deployment? Lonely. Ah good times. Some of them slept through barracks. So nasty. Glad I was never in a mixed unit. I can't imagine the issues.
    6
  432.  @notdan995  because of the debt limit no. It should never happen. Since 1979 when Congress passes a budget the debt ceiling automatically gets raised, its call the Gephardt rule. The thing is Congress hasnt passed an actual real budget since 1997.
    6
  433. Women act that way because no one will slap them. Just like Sean Connery said. Only man to every get Barbara Walters to shut up. I am not a fan of violence. But interactions between humans are always kept more civil when the threat of violence is there.
    6
  434.  @umjackd  StarCraft in its conceptual form was suppose to be a 40k game. Games Workshop in typical fashioned backed out early in the development. Warhammer and 40k thrive despite their repeated attempts to kill it. Worst company ever. The book that came with Starcraft, it was like 80 pages long was good lore at a time when disk space was limited.
    6
  435. ​ @mgtowski395  unfortunately, you are probably correct. Overcoming ones biology seems to be impossible for some.
    6
  436. They wont fail. The rates will simple move higher until there are buyers. Meaning higher rates will pull money from places like crypto and the stock market. Thats the goal, to reduce those inflated assets . But the main issue is there is simply not the political will to move rates where they need to be. About 10%. Eventually markets will be forced to go there. Money is going to get very very expensive.
    6
  437.  @michaelmcdoesntexist1459  GPs, General Practitioners, made like 120k back in the early 2000's.
    6
  438. I am not a fan of the States use of law enforcement. That said, this seems like an unfortunate, but legit use of deadly force. The truth probably is that this man had a record and just did not want to go back to prison for having a stolen car.
    6
  439. Make your own business. People need to walk away from the companies who do that. Let them rot with the SJW
    6
  440. That last girl will be someones mom some day. I only hope that whoever thinks about making her her wife and see this video. Im an old non tech savy guy, so it might already exist, but if someone could do a face match algorithm for videos on the internets, well that would be gold wouldnt it. Pretty sure businesses would love that too for security reasons for hiring.
    6
  441.  @andreitomescu7847  Violating? thats kinda am overstatement when someone is filming you the whole time. No one even needed to know about this but she wanted to be seen as a victim.
    6
  442.  @RyanGannon-z7m  Yes the problem here is civic virtue or lack there of. But there is a reason for it. The government no longer serves the interest of the public at large, but for a tiny few.
    6
  443. If the lack of Black Friday shoppers is any signal of the general economy, the future is not looking good economically.
    6
  444.  @SalmonColoredSalmon6267  The dichotomy of free vs oppression is a false one. Responsibility isnt oppression. Right now there is an utter lack of responsibility in modern culture. Its all about personal empowerment. There is no sense of responsibility to family, tribe, community or the nation.
    6
  445.  @samdetwiler4531  I love reading posts where people think all wheat is just wheat and all corn is just corn. Its nice to see at least one post on target.
    6
  446. @Jackfrost Yes they are married already.
    6
  447. Yea. Its like saying if you dont have a good enough door lock, you deserve to be burgled.
    6
  448. Every generation has been told they were fools by their elders. You can literally go back and look at Roman and Greek writings about how the "youth" was no good.
    6
  449. my grandmother and great grandmother bother worked. My grandmother worked before WWII and that was common for most working class. There is this misconception that working class women didnt have to work and thats just wrong. Statistically you had to be upper middle class to afford to have a stay at home wife/mom. What people back before WWII did have was extended family to help raise children while a woman went to work. Post WWII women lost some of that with the people moving around, but what they did gain were husbands with a temporary boost to income due to the rest of the globe being decimated from WWII. That ended when the boomers started entering the work force, because their age cohort was so large it depressed wages. This forced even middle class women, if they hoped to keep their living standard, to work.
    6
  450. Happiness is the momentary reward for a job well done. Sitting on your haunches for a moment to savor it is not a sin. But sit to long and you tend to get stuck. Edit: Your point about PTSD in vets is in interesting one. During WWII the average "time" in combat for an American solider was 10 days. In Vietnam it was estimated to be around 240 days. The mobility of modern warfare where an individual can be inserted almost instantly, via rotary wing aircraft or parachute, even several hundred miles from the rear where they are safely quartered, changed how military assets were used. Instant deployment, instant reaction, constant stimuli.
    6
  451.  @petrol_prophet  The thing about home ownership is that we are above the historical trend. In 1965 62.9% of American adults owned a home. Today its 65.7%. Even that little uptick adds to the price via demand. The all time high in home ownership was 69.2%, thats what caused the housing collapse in 2006-2008. Normal rates of home ownership in America seem to be around 64%.
    6
  452. because businesses dont pay taxes. They pass those increased tax costs onto those consumers or businesses who purchase their goods or services. In the end the consumer pays the tax, just indirectly, via price increases or the business dies, reducing total tax collection.
    6
  453. How close are those houses to each other? It looks you could jump from roof to roof from the drone footage. Those small Surprise homes could be retirement homes for the hordes of boomers who want to downgrade.
    6
  454. You say loneliness, I say solitude.
    6
  455. Yup Ukraine doesnt even have air parity. These tanks wont be near as effective and they think.
    6
  456.  @NotBCT  yea a lot of people romanticize alien cultures without fully understanding them. Every culture has its flaws
    6
  457. Still wouldnt be enough to fund SSI, Medicare and Medcaid for more than a few years, then we are back at the same place.
    6
  458.  @moleahy6880  woe to the man who marries a Japanese woman who doesnt know how to fluff rice properly.
    6
  459.  @natrone23  humvees were never meant for assault. It would be like ordering troops to assault cities in jeep willies during WWII. It was retarded. If it wasnt for the armor and AAVs we would have gotten shredded. I remember seeing the TOW guys with their missile systems and was thinking god, I would never want to be in a war in that thing. To heavy, under powered and only carries a fire team. Pre war when I was at 4th Marines, were the only infantry regiment in the Pacific and half our vehicles never worked. Total dumpster fire. I am not even going to talk about the busted ass 5 tons
    6
  460. Even the areas that are "flourishing" home wise, often are only doing so because of outside money. They raise the price of real estate higher than the old locals can afford. Eventually, when there is no more new money from the outside coming in, prices slide back to the median. That is what we are going to see in a lot of these growth states. You are already seeing it in Tennessee.
    6
  461.  @ShaunHensley  it really is unfortunate all around, even for women. You can certainly tell they are even content with their lives. I know the meme is life of recruit difficulty, but the struggle is what makes things worth it. Even women know this. Nothing is better than a hard won victory. Nothing.
    6
  462. Yup, the market just couldnt believe that the Fed would raise rates. They are shocked. They have been coddled for almost a decade with damn near free money.
    6
  463. respectfully, you need a new "realator". Shes more interested in getting a pay check than making sure you are in the right and appropriate home. Shes a pig. And pigs always get slaughtered. There are good realtors out there. You just need to vet them.
    6
  464. People focus on the interest rate to much. What good is a 2% interest rate when you cant afford your overpriced house because one of the earners gets their hours reduced or laid off. Good observation none.
    6
  465. In total dollar amounts this bubble is almost twice the last one. Last time prices peaked in 06 at around $214k for the median American home. Now its near $400k. Average inflation over the time period between 2006 and today was 2.2%. Today $214k in 2006 dollars is worth $303K. We have an extra $100k bubble in prices at least over 2006.
    6
  466. I know this is an older post, but the reason for this is that Feminism in the 60s thought they could level the playing field by simply getting rid of "oppressive" ideas. But by the early 90s it was understood that that simply didnt work. Equality was dropped and equity was picked up. And in order for men and women to have equity a finger had to be put on the scale. Women could not compete with men, certainly not with the top tier men, so they had to make adjustments. Thats when you saw the start of the idea of blanket privilege, systemic issues and the like. It wasnt womens fault. It wasnt the fact that the average woman who wanted to have kids had to drop from the work force for around 4 years which would put her behind any male peer, even the worst. So that had to be corrected for. But you cant correct for individual choice. All you end up doing is creating a new oppressive system that prevents men from exceling and then women state with lament, "Where have all the good men gone?" And they simply do not understand, you murdered them.
    6
  467.  @toxicmale2264  Thats what I tried to explain to her. But she loves science and wants both. Shes in the process of adjusting her world view now. But it also doesnt help that shes 6'2". No men line up to date her. Few even talk to her. She doesnt want that anything casual, even in school. She wants to be married and have kids. Its weird to see it. I think many men are so starved for affection that they have kind of turned off. Which is my point though. Women are starting to notice it. I also think it takes a few years after university for women to understand via real world experience that a lot of the crap they were taught in universities is just lies and projections.
    6
  468. Cloud seeding only works when there are certain atmospheric conditions and rarely do you get more than a limited area effected with at most a quarter inch of rain, typically its less than a 1/10th of an inch. Its just not economically feasible for a water shed the size of the Colorado River.
    6
  469. The "crash" in Georgia didnt even hit the plant, just landed on the grounds. The one in Idaho there is a smoke stack in the approach to the air port. It has no lights or beacons on it. She hit it during a night approach.
    6
  470. I get this reference.
    5
  471.  @johnc8383  tyrants dont typically say, "I want tyranny. You judge them by their deeds. But use caps more, no one can hear you way in the back anyways.
    5
  472.  Malcolm Caden  Thats freedom units.
    5
  473. Men are also forced to pay for OBGYN care on their insurance. It subsidizes the cost for women. Most HIV patients and people who are so sexually promiscuous that they would need PrEP are also infected with Hepatitis C. Their livers are already trashed and it makes monitoring even more necessary.
    5
  474. irrational exuberance rules.
    5
  475.  @satyakisil4289  China? That's funny. They can't project power and domestically they are barely functional. They are has hollow as the Soviet Union in the late 80s.
    5
  476.  @jamestoney6599  Paid for by the US tax payer. Whats your point? China is not a military threat to the US, period. Does stating that very fact make me a Sinophile? I think the nation of China is a nightmare and im glad I dont live there, but it will fall on its own in short order. We dont have to poke the dragon in its death throws.
    5
  477.  @jabbaweezy  some folks call the dog runs when they are enclosed. All in all just hallways.
    5
  478. Wait until all the banks that finance these stupidly high car notes start going under. I saw a "new" 2022 F-150 on a lot on Sunday. Still asking full price. You cant fix this. You can only hurt them until they comply at this point.
    5
  479.  @averiagaskin181  I travel every year during the summer all across the country. The last few years every single 3 star and below hotel has been damn near booked solid in most major cities. Why? Illegals.
    5
  480. Technically they didnt destroy them, just shut them down.
    5
  481. As a conservative, dont you think that should be the purview of the voters of that district and not a judge? respectfully?
    5
  482. This is what happens when you build into semi arid to desert grassland environments. California wont do what natives did for millennia, control burns. Its "bad" for the environment. Makes the air all smoky for the locals. So it just burns out of control when the winds rage. Its fine. They are use to it.
    5
  483. How about you dont buy their overpriced and undervalue service.
    5
  484.  @adampeters9861  Its the Reagan Democrat redux. People are voting their economic interests over political ideology.
    5
  485.  @mg-by7uu  how are we destined for hyperinflation when the money supply is decreasing at the fastest rate since the great depression?
    5
  486.  @huskavarnapunkband  except milk products are used in most foods. Saying milk is just milk is like saying oil is just engine oil.
    5
  487.  @uanip1341  statistically thats highly unlikely. 70 percent of divorces are initiated by women, more so if they are college or university educated. And few women have 4 children, 13% to be exact. I think you may, respectfully, be suffering from sample selection bias.
    5
  488. Sleep is the most important part of any physical exercise program. Cant breath when you sleep, you arent going to get good sleep
    5
  489. Over the last year the ROI on a single family rental was 1.32%. Over the last 5 years the ROI was 7.5% (this includes the massive run up in prices over the last few years). Now home prices will drop, interest rates will rise or at the very best stay high and rents are falling. Right now you can get a 52 week T bill right now for 4.794%. Why would any sane person buy a rental right now? All the risk, all the headache, for 1%. Just so much no. I dont care if you are a mom and pop, a rental mogul, or an investment fund.
    5
  490. You are seeing the effect of modernity. Naturally women arent this flippant. This is what happens when a woman is brought up with no discipline, no boundaries, and has has multiple partners and heartbreaks. Its also one of the reason women want fewer and fewer children. And this isnt me making excuses for their bad behavior. But this is something that we need to address or the issue will never be resolved. For most women today, they are a lost cause if they are already like this. But for the young girls who will be women in the future, how they are raised matters. Same with young boys.
    5
  491.  @tonynotstated695  The reason why is 4 of the majors, Ford, GM, Toyota and Honda have all said no we arent going to do this anymore, or at the very least, heavily scaling back. There isnt demand. You can love EVs and say that they are not for everyone or every purpose. But for some pushing EVs is approaching religious fanaticism. Most of the demand for EVs, at their current price point, has been met. Thats even with absurd government subsidies.
    5
  492. Or, get rid of the state, the welfare system, the heavy burden of taxes and let men and women do what they have done for countless eons. Oh yeah, where is the power in that?
    5
  493. Its a real Scooby-Doo mystery. lol
    5
  494. Its low because we are at peak population in most western nations. As the population drops so will prices. In 1980 Tokyo was the most expensive place on the planet. Now its not even in the top 20 most expensive cities. As the boomers die in every nation, we will see a housing glut. Just like Japan has. They are giving away rural houses to anyone who wants one.
    5
  495. You can even see their posts here. Its pretty crazy.
    5
  496. I was going to post this. I am glad I am not the only one who understood this. Once the Yamnaya pushed into eastern Europe though, the basically interbred with the female populations and the local male populations just disappeared. That said the Yamnaya were also a darker skinned people than modern Europeans.
    5
  497. Cop who released the dog should be charged with criminal negligence and fired. The senior officer on site should be fired as well. Every other officer there should be reprimanded. Only by punishing failure will our institutions be restored.
    5
  498.  @Jaapst  I am glad you are doing better. But we typically do keep things to ourselves in most modern environments, and its not the healthiest thing to do. Its one of the side effects of men having no men only spaces anymore.
    5
  499. 40k is basically if Frank Herbert and J.R.R. Tolkien had a love child who dropped acid. WAAARG!
    5
  500. I would be interested to see the overall market level of rental units in that area. Is this a case of over market saturation of rental owners or is a slight increase over baseline. But Orland is going to correct hard. Disney has started to layoff. That is going to hit Orlando and anywhere that needs Disney tax dollars hard. Good content
    5
  501. When everyone makes 85k a year, 85k isnt a lot of money. Its the median income. Thats the problem with California. People see high salaries but that always inflates the cost of everything. Its all make believe.
    5
  502. They have to do something with all the Abrams the Corps stop using. I always wondered what they were going to do with them. I guess now I know. I wonder how long it will take them to learn how to do maintenance on turbine engines. lol
    5
  503. In 2018. How quickly people forget. 35 days.
    5
  504.  @balladbuster5109  no, you are projecting onto my statement something that is not there. I am not of the mind that one should trust blindly, nor did I state that. Trust is of course earned. But what I stated was that people should endeavor to be more trustworthy. Most people lie when it is convenient for them and then cry when others do that to them. That is why living a virtuous life is its own reward.
    5
  505. average mortgage is already in the 7's for people with average credit scores in the US. Only about 20% of people who have 800 credit scores qualify for the going rate loans. A lot of people forget that.
    5
  506. If a thing goes up 40% in value then comes down 35% in value from that high, its worth significantly less. Take a house worth 100k, if it goes up by 40% its then worth 140k. If it then drops by 35% it will only be worth 91k.
    5
  507. With the amount of zombie companies there are, it will be both huge and series.
    5
  508. The more these people get put in creative control the more we see who they truly are. I hope the studios keep letting them make movies. It will be easier to see them. Eventually it will start to dawn on people who the actual baddies are. These people identify more with the evil people in stories. That pretty much speaks for itself.
    5
  509. Hey! I recognize California when I hear it.
    5
  510. Embrace the suck. Through enduring we win. What do we win? Another day to embrace the suck. Eventually though you see the truth. Life isnt about yourself. Its about preparing the way for those who come after us. Doesnt even have to be about your kids. It could be your siblings kids or cousins, or even the community as a whole. Woe to those who have no one to come after them. For they are truly lost and without purpose.
    5
  511. Men typically didnt start families until then. Took that long to scrape together enough coin. The 20th century was an aberration. Men typically married women a bit younger than them. Even just a quick genealogy of a persons family into the 17th, 18th and 18th centuries should show this.
    5
  512. Gaming is the last refuge of straight men, even though there are many others who are gamers. It is a safe space because gaming is basically a meritocracy. If you are good you are at the top if you are bad you are at the bottom and need to get good. They cant tolerate that.
    5
  513. I think its interesting that in investor heavy markets that values are down. Perhaps they see the writing on the wall. First out, loses least.
    5
  514. Adam and Eve is borrowed from the Sumerian Eridu Genesis. The Torah reorders things. The first humans were eternal. The first humans helped the Sumerian gods. But they reproduced endlessly and were so noisy that the highest god, Enlil, cant sleep and requires his brother, Enki (the god of water, wisdom, and choas), to wipe the Earth clean so he could rest. Enki knowing his brother was rash and would later regret his choice took steps. Enki tells a righteous man, Utnapishtim, to build an ark, we literally have the clay tablets that have the lengths of materials needed to build it, to contain the animals so that when Enki sends the flood the animals will be saved. Utnapishtim is eternal. He does not die. But he boards the ark alone. The last survivor of the old men. He later appears in the Epic of Gilgamesh. After the flood Enlil is upset and regretted his decision. While he is lamenting his decision, Enki gets together with two other Sumerian gods, this is where Genesis 1:26 comes from. The goddess envolved is named Nintu, which means rib in Sumerian and Enki keeps them in his garden. Eventually it gets back to Enlil that Enki has created more humans. Enlil enraged comes to Enki's home and demands Enki destroy the humans. Enki tells Enlil not to worry. These humans do not live forever. They get sick, they die for like no reason at all. Enlil demands Enki cast them out of his garden. And Enki and Inanna gives Adam and Eve gift as they part. One of those gifts is a fruit of knowledge, but there were many more. And as the two humans leave the garden Enlil forces Enki to prostrate himself before the other Sumerian gods. Enki, the savior of the animals of the Earth. The creator of humans, is the snake in the Garden in the Torah. Enki's sigil is the caduceus. He also appears in other parts of the Bible. He is the cause of the Tower of Babel incident.
    5
  515.  @arthurwintersight7868  where? Look at any harbor data, they keep detailed records. No where shows increase water height. If they did the worlds harbors would be addressing it, because, they would need to.
    5
  516. Because they have already sold off the mortgage, in short, not there problem.
    5
  517. One man cant save the west. At some point each one of us must ask, do we want to save ourselves? I would argue many don't. Half the nation is utterly black pilled.
    5
  518. Was there a decade ago. It was the best decision I never made. Sometimes a spouse leaving leads to all different possibilities. Take your time to heal and recover. Then find your path brother.
    5
  519. Its not porn. Porn isnt good for you but its not porn. Its choice. People make choices. Those choices have outcomes. You can try to direct those choices with education. But in the end, its just choices people dont like.
    5
  520. Something your video did not take into consideration is the effect the losses in the commercial real estate sector will have on banks ability to lend mortgages. In order for a home to sell you need a buyer and seller and typically a bank to fund the transaction. Without the bank the vast majority of people are not buying or selling real estate. And considering how much rental loans are going to need to be rolled over at much higher rates, we could very well see a massive flood of rental housing hit the market due to an inability for the current owners to afford the new mortgages. If both those things happens, it will make 2008 look like good times. There will simply be no liquidity for anyone who does not have cash to buy anything. That means, very likely, insane deals.
    5
  521.  @fnamelname7296  Prop 13 only covered increases in the assessed value that can be taxed. Bond measure cost increases are not covered. Thats why they cant assess your house for the full 2.6 million. Dont worry, they already canceled the inheritance protection, they will get around to getting all the money they want. (I use to live in California, I know how the tax system works there)
    5
  522. I still dont understand the Doctors fetish for Humans. I mean he is a Time Lord. A Time Lord and a human having a romantic relationship would be akin to a Human and a Chimp having a romantic relationship. I didnt get it with the whole Rose obsession and this is just doubly so. The Doctor almost always seemed to view his companions like pets.
    5
  523. This isnt that differnt than the old Iranian missile launch photo that has been meme'ed to death for near a decade now.
    5
  524.  @Yarblocosifilitico  Japanese cops are. When I was in Japan, the cops never had to pull their guns. It was fun watching them take down belligerent drunk Japanese and US service members. Ultra polite. Never cursed. Very respectful. Failure to comply was verbally notified and the person in contact was told in no uncertain terms that this was not a request. Then, Hikiba! Dude would be laid out.
    5
  525.  @senoreng2014  Until the Democrats, who hold a super majority, overturn it. Then what? Dont think they will? People forget that they already got rid of the inheritance protection part tht is associated with prop 13. None of the family farms in California will survive the tax burden when their current owners die. As calpers strains against diminishing returns and as the number of retiring civil service employees increases, they will have no choice but to squeeze. People forget that the civil service numbers in california prior to the late 70s was very small. That explosion of employees that Gov Brown hired in the 70s and which never slowed down since then are entering retirement age. Thats not even counting the massively over leveraged local and county governments.
    5
  526. If the Fed pivots before the current inflation is destroyed we will have the worst of both worlds. We will have an economy damaged by the previously increasing interest rates and job losses but once the pivot happens inflation will explode and we will have something every modern economist think is impossible, an inflationary depression/recession. Eventually to fix the economy you will have to raise interest rates, again, this time exceeding the inflationary rate to kill it. But in the mean time the economy gets wrecked. People lose jobs assets lose value and that includes homes. Throw in demographic trends and this makes inflation via wages, due to lack of workers, almost impossible to control. The next few years will be interesting.
    5
  527.  @matthewheathcock  The K9 officer should be charge with criminal negligence and fired. Unless thats what you mean by disciplined for his actions.
    5
  528.  @rustagaz  But they were "our" roving bands of drug using thieving murderers.
    5
  529. The issue is they dont have to procreate, they steal others children in education. Those who are then educated go out into the world and infect everything. This seed was planted in the 1930s. Its taken us a hundred years to get to this point. But there is no where to hide from it now. There is only one course of action remaining. And good and decent people are horrified that it will come to that.
    5
  530. People really need to understand the effects of inflation. A 1965 VW Beetle, brand new, was $1695.00. A 1975 VW Beetle was 2500.00. Thats a 47% increase for those who are bad at math. We have and are still going through such an inflationary cycle. Will prices come down, yes. But not as much folks will be waiting or expecting.
    5
  531. Um he was 18. Thats not a kid. That is a legal adult.
    5
  532.  @agates9383  Nah, at this point the valuations of everything prevent any kind of rational investing. No one can know the true value of a thing because of all the debt fueled inflation. About the only thing that might make sense is land, if everything implodes, you will at least be able to feed yourself.
    5
  533. Nah, that was Trumps plan. You didnt get the memo... Orange Man bad. BBC told me so.
    5
  534. Ah yes, architecture, the biology of the Engineering sciences.
    5
  535. All three need to be in prison. They have done more damage than any bank robber ever dreamed of.
    5
  536. August was a long time ago in the current market. I bet Zillow made that forecast based on when mortgage rates started to dip down reasoning it would continue. Also they probably have the word pivot all over their report.
    5
  537. The year California became a state they received so much rainfall that the whole of the central valley was covered with water some places 40 feet deep. You could take a steam boat from Shasta all the way down to what today is known as the Grape Vine. The Napa valley and the river there is famous for flooding this time of year. Most of the delta levees and all the dams built in the Sierra's were built not for water collection but flood control.
    5
  538.  @MT-qq6id  Not if the fed stops its bond buying. They, the people you state, wont have the money to do it. And as the Fed deleverages, which it has to at this point, any new bonds will have to be picked up at seriously reduced prices. It wont make it worth the returns. Have you looked at most hedge funds right now, they are getting slaughtered. They cant even match market returns. In short, I am very much in disagreement with you on your assessment. But I suppose we shall see in a year or two.
    5
  539.  @kriskeena9438  You are right. I myself retired at 45. I was told I would never advance. So I bailed. Never been happier. But you are very right about how many men dont work and are therefor not good prospective partners. The question is why? You could say its just entitlement, but I think that is an oversimplification in most cases.
    5
  540.  @AlmaVasquezjr  Thats not a problem if women reciprocate. But the problem usually is they dont. What they do bring is more emotional baggage than a Nepalese Sherpa. The majority of women today are just not worth loyalty. And as a man and a father of three teenage boys, that really bothers me.
    5
  541. Does your mortgage payment calculation include property taxes? If not its even worse. Much more of that map will turn red.
    5
  542. If you look at the trend line pre covid, housing for, even though it had a few cases of increase, was trending downward. There is no way our current price point can be supported without massive wage inflation, which employers cannot afford. So home prices will drop. And every year moving forward there will be less demand for housing. So while I think 5% drops per year will be normal going forward I do believe the first years will see larger drops. And when I say demand I mean actual real demand, like a human being who needs a place to live, not investor demand. We will see a very sharp downturn once the layoffs start. The Fed is not going to pivot. People who think that are just not willing to accept that it is the lesser of the two evils facing us now. As the boomers die, there will just not be the demand for homes, services, and goods that there was. And we will see a massive restructuring of all business sectors in the US. Anyone who can tell you how it will play out over the next 20 years is being less than truthful. The only thing we can expect is lower prices in areas, like housing, where demand drastically drops, and a much lower standard of living for most Americans. If you arent prepared, you better get ready. You dont get to spend like a drunken sailor on shore leave for 90 years and not expect a hang over.
    5
  543. There is more sub prime auto debt now than there was sub prime home debt in 2006. Then you add student debt, mortgage debt, corporate debt, government debt. The debt is going to crush everything. And then you add in it the demographic trends, this will not only be worse than 2008, but it wont recover, at least in the housing market.
    5
  544. I disagree with your general argument, respectfully. But for different reasons. In the US the Supreme Court has affirmed the term "fighting words". Through multiple cases, going back to the 40s, in unanimous court rulings, any language that meets the terms fighting words can be responded to with physical violence. I do agree with your statement on the spread of what is deemed insulting. But people know when they are being insulting. Women do it all the time, because they think the social politeness of society will give them protection. Context matters. Men are never under that pretense. Mens social interactions are always with the subtle message of be respectful or violence can break out. The larger issue with modern society is the refusal for violence to occur when it should. And sometimes violence is appropriate. If we did, people would be much more polite. I am a firm believer in the connection between zero tolerance policies started in schools in the 80s and the inability of people to be socially respectful to each other. I am not bald. But if my supervisor called me a balled see you next tuesday, I would have broke his jaw. Then I would have sued the company for wrongful termination and a hostile work environment. You dont get a better world from backing down from threats, you have to neutralize them. You can do that with violence or with law. Right now we are doing it with shaming. That is the problem.
    5
  545.  @keedt  Argentina's problems are purely political. It has zero to do with geography, though their position in the globe, about as far away from the most advanced markets as you can get, surely adds to the cost of things.
    5
  546. People often see nukes as a sword, but in all honesty its the best shield a nation can have.
    5
  547. You just dont buy it. I seen houses that the neighbors houses are worth 50 to 75k max. Pink sinks and toilets. Dark stained walnut cabinets, shits straight out of the 70s with the green floor. Wanting 500k. And it sits. And it sits. Last year it would have sold. FOMO. Thats how markets go, people will eventually sell for less. But you dont have a right to buy property anymore than a person has a right to sell it for an unreasonable price. Add to the face so many people want to move straight into the middle class neighborhood. Thats not how its historically worked. You buy where you can afford and you work up.
    5
  548. I think that is or was the problem, in addition to what was explained in drinkers vid. Keaton was the draw. Not the movie itself. Not Batgirl. That bodes ill for future content.
    5
  549.  @wheresmyeyebrow1608  I have visited PI several times while I was in the Marine Corps, and I also worked with a woman who grew up on a plantation in Mindanao. When she described how she grew up to other people they were like, you had slaves? And she was like no, my family was responsible for them. One of the things I discovered traveling is that the idiosyncrasies of different cultures are often lost on people who do not belong to them. The one commonality humans have is the ability to judge others harshly through our own limited world views who do not conform with our narrow beliefs. I wish you a good 2023.
    5
  550. I use to work on East 18th street at the Oakland Uhaul, this was back in the late 80s and early 90s. I started there when I was 14. I only worked the weekends. 3rd weekend there I am covering the front for lunches when a guy with a boom box comes in the front door and puts a revolver in my face. Took all the money and just walked out with his music playing. East Oakland has always been a dumpster fire.
    5
  551. People dont have children. Women do. Why should we expect women who are told to, through kindergarten through 12th grade, to go to university and have a career, so you can pay taxes so the nation doesnt go bankrupt. Until women start to want to have children again, they wont. Also someone should really tell the guy on the left that India's fertility rate is 1.9 now. You need 2.1 to have neutral population change. I dont think people see how fast this is changing around the world. But all in all this was a bad take. Most Americans arent against immigration. They are against illegal immigration. People really need to stop intentionally conflating the two. Its the worst kind of gaslighting.
    5
  552. This is the classic good intention but faulty reasoning. The average rental makes a 4.5% ROI. Traditionally you could buy bonds and get those same returns. But since 2008 with ultra low rates risk adverse renters looked to put their money in something with little risk, deflated real estate. All that needs to be done is to raise interest rates to a decent level once again. Rates should never go below 6% unless there is a recession. You will be able to get a good rate of return with little risk. So the money will move out of rental real estate and into bonds. Congress doesnt need to be involved. Stop messing with the markets, they will fix themselves if left alone.
    5
  553.  @blueskynevada8466  They arent the same, they are different. That doesnt mean that the outcome wont be close to the same. If this was just the housing market I dont think it would be a problem. But we are seeing inflation in multiple sectors and people just arent able to keep up. Add to that a lot of the flippers that re entered the market in the last 3 years you have the potential for a heavy depreciation in asset prices. I wont use the word crash though. The difference is a lot of people in 08 chose to walk away from their homes. I think with the insane price increases we saw over the last two years you have a lot of people who are over leveraged. Maybe it will be gentle or maybe it will be rough. Even if prices stay flat or decrease by 5% with 9% inflation thats a pretty big decrease. But simply on the demographic data, this cant continue.
    5
  554. Women chose when to have children. The problem is that modernity and feminism in particular have made it a policy to make men less appealing as mates because incomes are equal or near equal, especially in some ones 20s. Until policies are put in place to make men more attractive as partners and mates, fertility rates will not improve. but this would require the wholesale rejection of feminism which will not happen until societies collapse, including those power structures that hold up and promote feminism. Its not like this hasnt happened before. This will self correct, but not before a lot of people suffer and die. But that is the price of wisdom.
    4
  555. Nothing. Because nothing was there. IF the big bang is correct. We can only see as far back as when there was light thought. That isnt the whole time of the universe, probably. We might be able to see like 5 to 10 seconds before the start thought.
    4
  556.  @l_ifeefi_l1998  Well considering that Snow White is based off the real life Margarete von Waldeck, who died around the age 20. She is about the right age, Zegler is 22. Margaretes father, a count, owned a lot of copper mines, which employed... children. Margarete was famous at the time for her stunning beauty, fair skin, golden blond hair and ruby lips. She was supposed to be married to the crown Prince Phillip III son of Charles V of the Holy Roman Empire. But died from suspected poisoning. A decade later an apple farmer was found guilty of killing children with poisoned apples who stole apples from his orchard. The Brothers Grimm were exceptional writers. Shame modern ones cant even come close.
    4
  557. In some markets housing has already plateaued. Its actually starting to turn down in East Tn. I imagine it is other places too, if you actually look at sold for prices, not listing prices.
    4
  558.  @peterwindhorst5775  those dont work. I mean with everyones birth rates dropping where do you get immigrants from? With debt piling up and less workers to pensioned people where do you get the money to give tax breaks for children? Not that giving people money to have kids has ever worked any place its been tried.
    4
  559. lol but they pay taxes.
    4
  560. The best thing about this recession is that when the layoffs start these onlyfans and twitch streamers, who never have been through an economic downturn before are going to be up the creek. Simps can only give money if they have earned it.
    4
  561.  @mr.blonde7812  Congrats I guess, though beauty is in the eye of the beholder. The Tennessee Valley is a mighty big area that covers most of the state. I personally like the Eastern half of the state as well as the northern plateau area, but thats just me.
    4
  562. Hey Thomas Sowell is one of those white supremacists I heard about on the news isnt he? lol
    4
  563. Women don't need to have marriage and kids... until the US defaults or has to stop SSI because to many takers not enough payers. Then it's going to be a dumpsterfire for most strong independent wonen.
    4
  564.  @Emily-bp7ol  the statistical data on that topic is very clear. In cases where women out earn a man divorce rates approach 90 percent. There is a very clear and real correlation between a man's earning potential and ability to attract and keep a spouse. And that's one of the reasons less and less women are getting married. They find fewer and fewer men in their income brackets who are equal to them. And those who are often marry women based off of very different parameters. Because men and women look for and value very different things in each other. So you have women who are in their 30s make 90 to 100k and say where are all the good men at? They think they are awesome choices, but men don't want that, women want that. It's a very clear case of projection. And in your case, you are absolutely not in the norm, statistically speaking. All of that said I wish you and your family the best. I too am a homesteaders. It is very rewarding.
    4
  565. Yea Tennessee is gonna get hard. The worst thing is that folks here, especially in the east are pulling homes off market instead of selling them for less. They think the market will turn around. When the layoffs start post election its going to be a blood bath here. And then you have a lot of New Yorkers, New Jersians, and Californians who bought homes here during the pandemic to work remotely. Not many are heading back so they are selling. The problem is when they get laid off they wont be able to move locally and afford the payment on local salary. So foreclosure city is around the corner as well.
    4
  566. no one sounded the alarm last time. This time several major institutions are. Goldman is stating 25% in several cities this year. If its them just hedging their bets or if they have learned caution, who's to say.
    4
  567. Love that ice box.
    4
  568.  @jesse_-  raising interest rates don't just increase home prices, they cause businesses to restructure, reduce payroll and cut pay. Most Americans don't have 1k extra a month. Few have an extra 100 a month. Most people are far over leveraged. And as this recession takes hold, many are going to be forced to short sell.
    4
  569.  @yaboi9419  its not the change thats the problem, its the demographic collapse that has happened since the end of the post war baby boom. As the boomers fall out, its going to get much smaller. If every nation didnt have a metric ton of debt, it wouldnt be an issue. But every nation does. And it will crush the young. So, their will be blood. The average South Korean woman has .5 kids. In Japan, its barely 1. Mexico has gone from 6 in 1975 to 1.9 kids per woman today. In the US, we are at 1.7 if you discount immigration. In China they cant get women to start having kids again. People dont see whats happening because people live 70 to 80 years, well we ate that delay up.
    4
  570. It really should be video recorded date, not release date. Hes just releasing it now. Its Dec 4th not Nov 27th.
    4
  571.  @silverhost9782  Places like Niger and Nigeria will tear themselves apart when demand from the west dissolves and all the foreign aid ends.
    4
  572.  @vvvvvv66666  people who threaten others lives sometimes come up against individuals who not only take their threat seriously but also wont give them a chance to act on it. This man who died, met such an individual. I would say he got what he deserved, but its not as simple as that. He had mental health issues. But seeing as we dont take care of our mentally ill anymore, well, I cant blame the Marine for defending himself. Having worked with mentally ill in a clinical setting I can tell you, you can never know what they will do because they are not rational. Its why its hard for people to take individuals such as yourself seriously.
    4
  573.  @hamzamahmood9565  Why do you have to import cheap labor to do jobs that dont need doing unless you import cheap no skilled labor? You think the people coming from Syria and sub Saharan Africa are skilled labor? Seriously?
    4
  574. Bankers bailing out bankers. I'm shocked. Shocked. That said I think historically this whole era from 2006 to whenever we finally let this play out is going to look like a single event. Rather how we look at the Great Depression now.
    4
  575.  @buildmotosykletist1987  people and nations say a lot of things. That said I would bet Japan would. The last Japanese island is less than 50 miles away from Taiwan. But you never know until it happens for sure.
    4
  576. Thats because the prices are to high. People want to sell, they know they should sell, but not many still need to sell. Layoffs will make more people need to sell. People need to understand that if you want to sell your asset, you house, you got to drop it below the trend line. But people are still like, my house is worth more than that. Ok enjoy holding your deflating asset.
    4
  577. @S. The irony of your statement is funny. You give more benefits to people to spend it increases the cost of goods and service they buy, AKA inflation. Then goods and services cost more and the debt you incurred has to be paid back so your people are poorer than they started. People are bashing 20 year olds because typically in the 20th century having kids in you 20s we economically feasible. That has become the standard now even though historically speaking the 20th century is an aberration. And of course they didnt have the massive debt burden killing the economy and the need to live like minor nobles. But at the same time people in their 20s now have a much higher standard of living. In short people value things more than they do other people. As people become less common, that will change. Economics rules everything.
    4
  578. @S. Well for one regulation. I am not sure but coding laws in the US are insane. That creates a supply bottleneck, which creates cost increases. Add city planning to the mix, were certain land is approved for certain types of buildings, leads to a bottleneck, which creates price increase. Take the price of wood. And I am not trying to turn this political, but the Biden Admin levied a doubling of the import tariff on importing of Canadian lumber into the US, this raised the price of lumber. Canada being pissed by this, decreased its output of lumber reducing total board feet. So increased tariffs and lower supply, thats right lumber prices quadrupled per board foot. This raised the price of construction of the average US home by 40k. Would you want to live in a 1960s home? Worse wiring, no dishwasher, no washer and dryer maybe, so technologically have to spend more to bring it up to what is acceptable now. Increases the cost of a home. But there is a bright end of the tunnel. And I know you live in Britain, but I am not at all familiar with your housing markets but I am familiar with your demographics map. So in the US, right now we have 2.8 people for every domicile. After the boomers pass, that will drop down to 2.2 to 2.3. Thats massive. Many places in Europe will see larger drops. You will have massive amounts of empty housing. Which will cause what up until the probably 1960s, when the boomers showed up, for residential housing to return to what it almost always was, a depreciation asset. Meaning its will become cheaper the older it gets, like a car. So if you do have kids, know your child or children will have it easier in that regard. You are already seeing this in Korea and Japan. The demand curve is changing. And if Britain and other western nations stop bringing in foreigners it will collapse markets. And that usually causes governmental change. Also your mortgage laws dont help. The fact that you cant get a pre negotiated rate for an entire term of the mortgage shocked me. I still dont understand how you can sign a mortgage and have it periodically update by the bank. That sounds absolutely predatory and seems designed to keep people renting. So I get that the US and British housing markets are totally comparable.
    4
  579.  @willchristie2650  People who think automation will save us never seem to understand economies of scale. It cost a lot of money to automate. It becomes prohibitively expensive when your market for the automated goods you intend to sell is constantly shrinking because few are being born and more are dying every year. The math on the ROI never works out then. Which is the scary part. This is how civilizations collapse. And this is where Zeihan's comment, where we dont have the math for this, comes from.
    4
  580.  @jessicathomas4672  it's not a personal belief. It's a data driven conclusion. Women use to have to get married and have children for security. They dont anymore. The sooner that's stated openly and without shame the sooner we can try to figure how to resolve things. Not really sure how that's projecting anything.
    4
  581. Can you afford it if the worst happens? Is your job recession proof? Can you survive $10 gas for commute? If you paid cash, you are fine. The worst that may happen is that you lose value. But thats happening everywhere.
    4
  582.  @skinnie2838  Hold up, you dont like the Expanse? I think you just have some different tastes, which is ok. Dune wasnt perfect, but nothing ever is. Kynes is one of my more favorite sub characters in the book and I was concerned when I heard who would be playing that character. But I dont see how that characters race or sex matter in the way that the narrative of the film was constructed, which is very different from the book.
    4
  583.  @trence5  She stuck with me, but there were others as well, younger even. I dont care if a child is male or female, this nation has so much plenty and so little to truly worry about, children should not feel the need to suicide. Certainly not at the levels that either do. The modern state of the world is truly baffling in its idiosyncrasies.
    4
  584. historically high debt sitting in the corner, "Am I a joke to you?"
    4
  585.  @Mr.H-zu1jc  all rights are absolute or they are not rights. The amendments to the Constitution do not GIVE people their rights. People have them. The amendments protect peoples rights from government. Did you ever take a civics class?
    4
  586. Paragraphs are your friend. They wont hurt you I promise. Other than that, decent content. If it had paragraphs would read again.
    4
  587. He saw the alligator looking at him. And he didnt like the look in its eyes.
    4
  588. (cough) student loan debt today is averaging 40k (cough) Thats a heavy burden when you are starting out. What kind of parent lets their newly minted adult do something so stupid.
    4
  589. Nor is it a rational response to job loss from a recession that is incoming.
    4
  590. Opsec, always. Semper Fi
    4
  591. gratitude brother.
    4
  592. I have wondered, is this simple price gouging or are these dealerships over leveraged to a degree where they have to do this? Are these fees. if the car sells stays at the dealership or is it partly sent to the motor company that produced the vehicle?
    4
  593. People are starting to want to sell, the writing is on the wall and they know it. But they think they can keep prices elevated. We shall see who will win. If the Fed cuts rates, the bottom will fall out like it always does. Then people will need to sell. Thats when the feeding frenzy will start.
    4
  594. I came to write this too. The Church put pew numbers above faith and they got neither.
    4
  595.  @ReventureConsulting  I'm not in Nashville, I'm in the knoxville area. But I've been watching things change slowly over the last year. It will be interesting if that 11 million job opening number changes.
    4
  596. People see this small dip in the rate of inflation as ah see, we just need baby steps. But inflation increased in all areas of the economy except oil and energy. That declined. Oil declined because inflation has hit so hard no one can drive as much combined with the Biden admins release of more oil from the strat oil reserve. And natural gas went down because of the Freeport LNG plant explosion in May, thus increasing domestic supplies reducing prices. But Freeport reopens in Sept. Which means in time for winter natural gas prices will go back up and oil will follow when after the mid terms the strat oil reserve is cut off and Russian oil stops coming out of the Baltic. Oil prices will shoot back up and with those two things rising, so will inflation. We will be lucky if we only hit 11% inflation, by Dec. People are kidding themselves that they can take half measures to fix this. And every month that the Fed waits, more and more businesses lose cash reserves and the less likely they will survive. Best to do this fast and get it over with. Maybe they will after the mid terms, but I doubt it.
    4
  597. In the 90s I went on a troop exchange to Russia, their military was scared to go on ships. They were tinder boxes. The idea that fire suppression systems on Russian warships even approaches American standards is just not the case. Look at all the fires on subs they have just in peace time. Add to this that the Moskva entered service in 1979, it was over 40 years old, with technology to match. Its possible the Ukraine hit it, but I dont have a hard time believing the ship caught fire on accident.
    4
  598. thats an interesting scenario you created. It does a good job of reinforcing all your concerns doesnt it? The question is, is it accurate
    4
  599.  @Nobody90019  Thats the ugly side of this whole issue. We do know why this is happening. So to fix it you just have to reverse it. I only know of a handful of people who openly talk about this. You want to get fertility rates back up, disempower women. Though I dont think its the empowerment that causes the underlying issue. I think its the relative difference between Men and Women . Women want a man who is much "better" than them as a mate. In modern context the better is largely economic. Feminism conflicts with this biological want.
    4
  600. Ironically, both those things, not eating and lifting, requires a lot of discipline. What do people lack today?
    4
  601. ESG and DEI only existed because of near zero percent interest rates. Typically in business finance there is a two year lag on debt. Meaning every two years a debt has to either be paid off or more commonly, rolled over at the new, current, interest rate. Go back and look at where interest rates were 2 years ago? March of 2022 is when the current interest rate hike cycle started. And they started when interest rates were at .25%. That means the cost to borrow a dollar has gone up roughly 450%. These people can continue to push their objectives, but it will cost them their businesses and their fortunes, as Disney is finding out. And at the end, most people care more about money than agenda, well the people giving their money to Vanguard, Blackrock and State Street do anyways. Its ironic that the average Americans 401k and other retirement vehicles are helping to feed this.
    4
  602. Technically the afghans are white. So its true, from a certain point of view....
    4
  603.  @mollysreadings4845  Right, whats the point of saying anything unless you state where you are at.
    4
  604.  @georgia777  If you own your house outright, how is that going to cause you to die poor?
    4
  605. Nash and Memphis are both very liberal in the cities and conservative outside the cities. Similar to how the California Bay Area and greater LA area was before the end of the Cold War.
    4
  606. only after prices have dropped. Pride is a strong thing. No on wants to be the first to sell for less on the block.
    4
  607. oof, wait till they get their tax bill and it "adjusts". Found that out when I bought my first home in the 90s
    4
  608. Interest rates arent a tool to use to punish mortgage holders. They are a tool to check inflation. We have some inflation now that is monetary, but most is supply side and political issues. The Fed needs to raise interest rates. But it will always do what it does best, overshoot. The Fed should have raised rates 2 years ago.
    4
  609.  @righteousone1  No I see that in various markets too. 160k price markups and its like ummm, what are these people thinking. I mean I know what they are thinking, but they are a year late to the party. With home sells in California stalling and interest rates rising all that California inflation buying is going to go bye bye. I do feel bad for folks who bought at the peak. I do hope they like what they bought though. I never try to beggar my neighbor.
    4
  610. He has to give his associates time to exit their positions in an inconspicuous way. Cant have the wrong people holding the bag now can we.
    4
  611. Remember the old lending tree commercials from 2005 where there was this guy name Stanley Johnson, and they asked him how he did it. 2 brand new cars, swimming pool, beautiful green lawn. He answers, "I am in debt up to my eyeballs. I can barely afford my finance charges." We are literally worse now than when those commercials came out.
    4
  612. This was huge in China a decade ago. I had a friend who was on a surgical team who went over and thats all they did day after day. He needed a back brace to carry all the money he made. And yes Asian men, typically due to diet, are shorter than western men on average. But I mean, no shoe lifts, but lets cut your leg and put them in braces to grow them more. smh. Here I am complaining about being 6'7".
    4
  613.  @shane5385  being smart is over rated. success is relative. If you are a responsible person you are good in my book. I only asked your age because we havent been in this type of situation since we were both kids. The inflationary environment we have now hasnt been seen since the 70s. At that time prices werent inflated. Right now they already are. The effects are going to hit at least twice as hard.
    4
  614.  @solylapalma  Holding up a tanker, even for a few days, destroys supply chains. Imagine if you ran out of petrol for just two days. Its only two days. It would destroy any modern economy.
    4
  615.  @AB-fq4mr  Yea really anytime someone says, this deal is only good until you leave. You need to leave. High pressure is always a trap.
    4
  616. Thats where the issue is. Why are appraisals coming in so high? People blame the realtors and the banks. but its the appraisal companies that allow this kind of run up to happen. I mean I still remember when an appraisal was an all day thing, now you are lucky if they even drive buy your neighborhood.
    4
  617.  @BigDsGaming2022  I mean I dont have that many chickens so I just grow my own feed. But I dont suppose someone can do that and make profit off it. I just do it because I can. Keeps me busy.
    4
  618. Which is why as they die there will be a tsunami of homes on the market. Boomers own roughly 40 million homes. They will be sold, rented or used by their children or grandchildren. Either way it will help soak up demand for housing. The only question is what condition will they be in and if they are in the proper location.
    4
  619.  @loganskiwyse7823  You really should actually read the Supreme Courts recent ruling. They stated it would violate the 10th amendment. Congress cant pass a law, it needs to pass a Constitutional amendment.
    4
  620. this is why I retired at 46. I feel bad for the young men coming up. Best advice is find a male dominated field you can stomach and grind until you can start doing what you want.
    4
  621.  @DTreatz  Schrodinger's Feminism, I like that. But that said, no. I think you took my comment out of context at the very least, or just misunderstood it. I am saying that people want to blame others for their actions. Doesnt matter who it is, male or female. At the end of the day people need to be personally responsible. If they arent, thats also a choice and they need to bare the brunt of that choice as well.
    4
  622. A serious question, since, by your own words, you were hurt so bad, have you had any counseling?
    4
  623. If you have a job and you cannot fill it the price you are willing to pay for that job is just incorrect. You can fill any job, you can get most of these men back into the workforce. You just have to pay them more. Once you understand that and then commit to negotiation then you can work out the problem. This is why you see the disparity between married and non married men. Men who are married and have children cannot say, "no I dont like this deal, shove off." They have to take what they can get. As marriage rates decline from their highs in 1946 you will see this increasing which is what was show. At the same time the social stigma of not being married and not having kids slowly starts to ebb away and you see an increasing likely hood of this happening more and more. You see this in every country, with and without decent social welfare systems. Inside the Anglosphere and outside it. Japan was the first nation to see this and actually try to address it, but has failed utterly. This is only going to get worse. Women wont do the jobs that men do. That men need to do. So society has two choices, pay these men what they want or what a slow motion societal decomposition. Though the latter is almost certain to happen with current demographics and crushing national, corporate and personal debt.
    4
  624.  @kenshinhimura9387  you make me laugh. Only because long long ago, when I was young, I was just like you. Don't worry, you will mature as you get older.
    4
  625.  @letsgobrandon416  Your failure to understand what I posted is obvious. I was stating the same thing you did. Maybe dont worry about being right all the time? Kinda puts people off. I mean you dont even know what I believe. lol
    4
  626.  @ReventureConsulting  they have housing/rent only up 5%. Thats laughable. The CPI numbers are fantasy.
    4
  627. @John Grigg The first cruise in the 7th fleet that had two female sailors on board the USS Blue Ridge I was assigned to comms duty in the CIC. There were rumblings about thefts from the ATMs on board ship. We were only gone 3 weeks and the ATMS were empty, wtf? Well after the cruise was done and we stop back in Okinawa to let the Marines off, NIS (Navel Investigations) shows up. I am sitting on the dock with my crypto safe, because my unit left me, and I ask the squid driving the car, who screwed up. He says he cant say, its political, but the two next sailors that come off the ship with the NIS escort were prostituting. Supposedly they made about 57k between them. They had a whole birthing section to themselves. First time with females on board ship. lol I cant imagine what ship life must be like now.
    4
  628. The LA price drop was so severe because of the end of the cold war and the massive loss in defense spending and manufacturers there. They even made a movie about it, Falling Down. Same thing happened in silicone valley. There was a huge military industrial complex foot print there. And when it imploded, the much cheaper real estate prices helped the internet boom take off. Creative destruction always helps the markets, production and buyers of goods and services. It boggles my mind still that even wise people are scared of recessions. They always help more than they hurt, if you let the markets do their thing. Dont be afraid of the process. Be afraid of politicians trying to help.
    4
  629. If I may ask young man, how many women have you asked out?
    4
  630. I am shocked that this is even a thing that needs to be discussed. Women arent having as many children because they feel they cant find a man who is on the same level with them. Add to that the business competition where men now not only have to compete with each other but also with women now, who in many industries get preferential treatment, it makes it harder for men to get to that level for their peer women. And those same men will happily marry a woman who makes much less than them, while the inverse is not true. I have a niece who is going through this right now and its heartbreaking. A smart and intelligent woman will not have children until she feels safe and secure. But our current social environment makes that extremely hard. Meanwhile the maladjusted women still do whatever.
    4
  631. Until bureaucrats are held legally responsible for violating peoples constitutional rights there is no cure. They should be held accountable for their actions and inactions. The only people in the government who are are the military.
    4
  632. If rates go back down, IF, it will be due to a massive economic recession. Buyers wont qualify. But even then I think the Fed has been clear. The only thing they care about now is inflation. Market be damned.
    4
  633.  @saqibsheikh2790  my purpose? Companionship.Which I was upfront about.
    4
  634.  @saqibsheikh2790  indeed. deception always backfires, at least in my 48 years of experience. She wasnt intentionally being dishonest though. Most people dont start a relationship going out with someone because they want to marry them. The more they get to know them they either start ticking all the boxes or throwing red flags. Its why open and honest communication are important. People are not static beings. Its one of the issues I have with the video creators view on wasting peoples time. Sometimes, peoples goals for a relationship change. And that is ok. But people need to communicate that.
    4
  635.  @tw2800  we don't have a free markey
    4
  636.  @rkstevenson5448  most RNs make more hourly with a little OT in a hospital than a GP working in a clinic.
    4
  637.  @Battleneter  Then why is inflation going back up even though the monetary supply is shrinking and has been for well over a year? according to your logic it should be going down, but it is not. Its like folks pick and choose what data they want to look at.
    4
  638.  @michaelevans1690  I have never met one that wasnt. We use to joke about the amount of golf courses on the base vs the graft level. Getting above 0-4 most of them are trash, they bounce the good officers. Above 0-6 I have only seen one admiral who was decent, and he medical. Semper Fi
    4
  639. The unemployment rate is a lie, you really have to look at the labor force participation rate. And right now we are equal to the mid 80s when a lot of wives still stayed home to keep house and raise children. The economy is worse than anyone thinks.
    4
  640.  @GM-vt6is  That would require a complete change in psychology of the modern European. I agree it could happen, but they arent willing to change. They wont change unless they are forced to.
    4
  641. just not population projections. Their's are bad comedy.
    4
  642. Its a lot of cope for the people who are over leveraged in real estate. Just like the Cathy Woods of the world in the stock market. Over leveraged and just praying for a Fed Pivot. Its all cope.
    4
  643. This is clearly inspired from the Sphinx in Never Ending Story from the 1980s. Has nothing to do with being sexualized. Traditionally the Sphinx had just the head of a woman on a lion body, but in the Never Ending Story, the Sphinx were given a complete female bust attached to a lions body.
    4
  644.  @suzvno  It wasnt a law. Thats the problem. It was a court decision. And one made on a bad argument. The worst part is the Democrats had many many chances to put it into law and didnt. They simply didnt care to.
    4
  645.  @mandyjo4198  Yea I see a lot of people building small tracks of homes. I dont think they understand what happens when you have a huge price run up like its been in the last 7 years. I dont believe Tennessee, or at least East Tennessee has ever seen anything like that. But thats typically when a hangover hits. I hope your families business makes it through.
    4
  646. Yet if you look at many modern nations their collapse came pre television. Take the UK for example, it happened in the 1880s through 1930. Thats even pre radio. What happened in the 1880s, British universities started accepting women. The same happened in France with the creation of the 3rd Republic.
    4
  647.  @WORLD-OF-MERLIN  I got nothin. lol
    4
  648.  @TheUltimateNatural  This is one of the most ignorant statements Ive read in this comment section.
    4
  649.  @mistymoor7114  Those rolls are irrelevant today. Those rolls and that type of courtship were designed with specific type of women in mind. Respectfully, I dont know many college age virginal women, who arent grossly overweight, and who dont have a ton of baggage due to previous encounters or relationships running around who deserve that kind of treatment. By the time the typical woman is 30, she has so much emotional damage a stable relationship just isnt really possible. And thats why men are generally done. You want a traditional relationship and courtship, you better be a traditional woman. Otherwise its equality town.
    4
  650. Thats not why companies give raises. They give raises for increases in productivity, if you leverage your worth to your company. Most people just arent worth that much. That said, you think inflation is only impacting your bottom line? Its happening to businesses too. While they nominal profits may be higher, just like yours, those real world dollars are worth much much less, making them as well as you, poorer.
    4
  651.  @jerryG-p3w  Immigration from where? Immigration is done. Unless you want to start importing sub saharan africans to the US. We already get most of our foreign PhDs from Africa. Most of the normal non skilled Africans would prefer to go to Europe anyways. These people dont yet fully understand the upcoming demographic shift. But they will.
    4
  652.  @rockn997  in the 70s, people had much more disposable income. Its similar to the federal government. The average American has 38k in student loan debt. In the 60s and 70s you didnt even need to get loans to go to university. While I do get your meaning, as far as how you chose the house you buy to live in, its not really the same market. Then add credit card debt, which wasnt even a thing in the 70s. 8 year car loans, which didnt exist in the 70s, at most you got a 3 year loan and even that was rare. Most Americans just have to much debt from living afar to high above their means. They all want to be 22 and fully middle class. Even the boomers didnt do that. Also the average interest rate in the 70s was 7.5 %.
    4
  653. Even if they "win" they have still lost. With the amount of infrastructure destroyed and the amound of Ukrainians who have left and more than likely will never come back, Ukraine is dead. Before this war started they were the most corrupt nation in Europe with one of the worst demographic trends. This just sped things up. Very sad but this same thing will happen to a lot of nations in the next 50 years.
    4
  654.  @Nykandros  Ironically, its modern day Russia. Its almost perfectly in the center of this.
    4
  655. We have a lot of homes here in east Tennessee that have dropped at least 7 to 10%. I have even seen several that were overall $100k price drops. People are starting to understand whats coming and want out of the market now.
    4
  656. Joe Rogan upped his viability when he did the podcast. The problem with Japan getting involved, which it would, would make every nation uneasy as the 1930s arent that long ago. It was the same with Germany and Ukraine. The Germans didnt want to get involved to that degree. But Japan doesnt have that luxury. The nearest Ryukyu island is less than 50 miles from Taiwan.
    4
  657. A real estate crash will kill California. All of the municipalities that are over leveraged with debt will default like Stockton and Vallejo did. Not one county or city has their finances in order, not one. Covid has only made all of those problems worse. California is about to turn into Detroit. Call your county, they know the exact date they will be broke.
    4
  658. We are just where you were in the 80s. Thats all. Would you consider the winter war with Finland a "small victorious war"? Regardless, as an American, most of the people here dont want to fight with Russia. This is Biden being led to raise his poll numbers. But it wont work.
    4
  659. I just filled up in East Tennessee for 2.78 a gal for regular. Diesel was 4.02. When I saw Diesel that low I knew things had to be bad.
    4
  660. @ Most devote religious couples are well above fertility rates. In the US the only two religious groups who arent are Catholics at 1.5 and Mormons who are at 2.03. Devote Protestants are at 2.5. Women who do not attend a religious services are at 1.3. Among all religious women in the US the fertility rate is 2.1, exactly replacement level.
    4
  661. I wish his mom would stop talking, shes putting him in jeopardy for a civil lawsuit. Remorse has an actual meaning, at its core it means to feel guilty for doing something WRONG. Defending oneself from a mob isnt wrong, its natural. What he feels is empathy for the people he killed. And thats a good thing.
    4
  662. I use to live in the Paradise area. So did all my family. Thats not why it wasnt done. Its because the folks that live up there are relatively poor. They wouldnt be able to rebuild, considering they would need to get loans and need fire insurance. Just wasnt finacially possible. None of the homes up there are cookie cutter. Zero large subdivisions. Biggest sub division I saw was maybe a dozen homes. That said, codes need to be changed.
    4
  663.  @ScottCleve33  hey its not like we are Romans and just leave newborns on trash heaps. We are civilized now.
    4
  664. Your speculative fiction is almost identical to what the Yamnaya did 4000 years ago. They were the technologically superior people of their time. During their tribal coming of age ceremonies the young men underwent a ceremony and were then ejected from the tribe for a time. These young men would have to survive and upon their return would become members of the tribe. The Yamnaya that went West, and their decendant cultures, took over all of Europe wiping out almost all the Y Chromosomes from the European Hunter Gatherers and the Farmers that came from Anatolia. They took their women though. The Yamnaya that went to the East became the Iranic and Hindic peoples, as well as the Tocharians in modern China. All those peoples wiped out anyone they came into contact with. I think you over estimate how peaceful future groups will be. If you breed out aggression, those populations will fall.
    4
  665. They stated there was gas release. The tubes have to be pressurized to keep them from collapsing. Which means that there are structural leaks in those pipes. If they havent collapsed already, they are at risk to do so. But yes, it was a horrible news report. They seemed more interested in stirring up drama then actually explaining the situation.
    4
  666. Nah they will make money, because of the money the UK gives to producers of movies and television shows. Disney is just using this as padding. If they get a watchable show, thats just bonus material.
    4
  667.  @drestnar  respectfully, California is the way it is because of reasoning like yours. If all a person has to do to avoid legal ramifications is resist, how long until there is zero order? The guy was out of his car before the leo even exited his vehicle. That said, before the leo even left his vehicle he should have called for backup. But lets not forget what caused this, someone breaking the law. Should that be a death sentence, no, but thats where the subject took it to. But lets not pretend this was a guy minding his own business who didnt do nothing.
    4
  668.  @doctordetroit4339  that creates whole new problems. And really doesn't solve feminism. But I like your passion.
    4
  669. People say the same about a lot of things. A job takes away my freedom. A spouse takes away my freedom. Thats incorrect thinking. The freedom is in the choice. If you choose not to have a child, thats fine. But own it. But I can tell you, as a father of 3 sons, having them was not a loss of freedom. In fact now that they are older, its a benefit of an unimaginable order. But when they were infants, yea it was some work.
    4
  670.  @tonysu8860  Zeihan has been talking about this for at least two decades. He has only recently become popular re youtube.
    4
  671.  @adm7890  That can be blamed on Mr Biden. He placed extra tariffs on Canadian lumber to appease the global warmists and so Canada has limited exports to the US since. We could offset that with more national lumber production, but the global warmists.
    4
  672. Being antisocial or not wanting to engage in social interaction isnt intrinsically bad. Why would you want to socialize with people in a sick and depraved society? Perhaps them commenting on your behavior is because you make them feel bad about their behaviors. Your shunning of them makes them feel the guilt and shame that their noisy overstimulated mind cannot even comprehend anymore.
    4
  673.  @mrkilroy9167  most ceos dont get paid that amount. I mean you got guys like Apple CEO who got like 97 million last year but most was stock options. But the typical ceo salary is well under a million dollars. But thats why I dont own Apple stock either. lol That said I totally understand your sentiment and agree with it to an extent. Regardless, if you are paying that much to your labor, they will probably be loyal. and productive.
    4
  674. By fall? I mean you can buy but it wont even be close to the bottom, not by even half. You are seeing biggest pricing drops in new homes coming onto the market. Thats because builders have bills and loans they have to pay off. Servicing debt obligations is huge for them. The ones that dont drop are the current home owners who are the majority of home sellers. They always hold out. And they always lose. That could take several years honestly. It depends on market psychology and on how bad things get economically.
    4
  675.  @cqbguy851  Its not true. For most of the time before WWII, homes were depreciating assets.
    4
  676. What you are describing isnt respect. Admiration is the bases of respect. Fear is just fear. Power is power. Abuse is just abuse. We choose what we accept and what we dont.
    4
  677. Thats because most men do not know how to fight most women. Women fight with reputation destruction. I got my sons, full custody. I did not fight my ex wife in court. I fought her in the battle of public opinion. And I fought her like a woman. And I destroyed her. If men want their children, and I honestly think that not all men do, many at least want partial custody or visitation, that they need to learn this. Lawyers do little to help in this matter.
    4
  678. They exist. Its not pretty. Its why 1/4 women are on anti psychotics in the US. The women on anti depressants is even higher. Around 20% of women are on anti anxiety medication. And there is a strong connection to future mental health issues and being raised without a father. No one wants to talk about it though. That might dis empower women. Better that they suffer for the cause.
    4
  679. Just curious why it is the investor who is greedy and not the home buyer who wants to by a cheap home? Im not saying that houses arent overvalued, but I think its funny how only the sellers are greedy and not the buyers.
    4
  680. There are some problems that money and bankers cant solve. Like people blaming other people for their voting patterns.
    4
  681. Have you been in less than 5 "relationships"?
    4
  682. With the Jan CPI out showing housing costs and rents are up (shelter), maybe do a show explaining that. Because there is certainly a very large disconnect with the Feds data and the housing industry data. Even more so considering they have had to adjust up Oct, Nov and Dec data making them all positive increases. Makes one wonder what the Fed is actually measuring.
    4
  683. This isnt even just a man thing. My youngest kid is in high school and he says no one talks to each other. And if you try to talk to anyone they just look at you like you are insane. And if my kid who is a junior and 6'4" 220lbs is having a hard time, I imagine most younger people are. And as bad as he said it is, he said they way women treat each other is worse.
    4
  684.  @alastor8091  because one of those things is biological the other is social. Some people, due to their size, like myself, automatically trigger the biological reflex. The social part I think is harder. I think a lot of women have just been trained to think that no one will touch them if the smart off or even hit someone, which is really weird when you consider all the patriarchy propaganda. You would think women would be timid as hell. But then every once in a while you see some dude hauling off and hitting a woman into orbit. And so they are shocked. I guess you could reason women being like Chihuahuas. Its kind of an auto defense they are so aggressive. But in a natural world Chihuahuas would be extinct. All that said, its why I dont leave my farm expect when I have to. I feel bad for you younger men.
    4
  685. That would be about 35.5% price drop. The problem will be demand. At that price with an 8% rate, thats the rate the median American could get right now, at it will go much higher, you are looking at a $2050.43 a month mortgage note. That does not include the impounds of insurance and taxes which, estimated would bring the total to $2858.07. And even this assumes you put down 20% which is almost $70k. Most Americans dont have 70k laying around. The median income of a portland family is 78.5k a year. And that house you state would cost them 44k a year. Thats 45% of their total income. That is still far far to high. Anything above 25% is risky.
    4
  686. Assuming that after grandpa died that grandma had to funds to take care of the home. Most are just torn down.
    4
  687.  @joshmontgomery4040  I mean the info is there about what the series year means on the bills. If you dont believe me go look it up. If you dont care, thats fine. Doesnt bother me.
    4
  688. Yea those highly educated Venezuelans would be in their 50s by now. How many 50 year olds can walk 3000 miles including through one of the most dangerous jungles on the planet?
    4
  689. Hey I met you guys while I did some training with the Brits in the mid 90s before we went to Bosnia. Yall can be a little rough. The problem with this younger generation is that they never were physically active. Their bones are literally soft. They didnt climb and fall out of trees or play football or tag. They just played on the internet and stayed in doors. That has some longer term effects. Semper Fi
    4
  690. All people need is one brave individual. People are starved for leadership.
    4
  691.  @alisaforster28697  girlfriend/wife doesnt always equal reproductive partner.
    4
  692. The city, county, and state tax collectors disagrees with you.
    4
  693. Good and bad are relative. If people lose their house because of job loss, you are doing a good thing buying it from them. Try to look at it that way.
    4
  694.  @SandymoorFerrariClub  Women have all their gametes when they are born. The environment effects them so the older a woman has, depending on her lifestyle, the more genetic damage will be done to them. Men make all their gametes on the go, so to speak. Environmental damages typically will harm a certain batch but only that batch, but germline alterations require heavy exposure to mutagenic compounds. Comparing men and women in this instance is literally comparing apples to oranges.
    3
  695. This is what happens after you hit peak demand. When demand in Japan peaked in the late 80s early 90s, Tokyo real estate was the most expensive in the world. They locked people into multi generational 100 year loans. Now in rural Japan they are giving away multi acre estates. The same will happen here, even with immigration. It will just take longer.
    3
  696.  @xinggao-to5cp  this was in international waters. Cope and seethe. Hows your floods in the south and droughts in the north going?
    3
  697. That young buck throwing weight around is motivating. Hell Ya
    3
  698.  @johnc8383  I don't judge words, I judge actions.
    3
  699. The trailers before the movie were all utter trash. The one exception was Spiderman and only because of Doc Oct. Hollywood is a talentless wasteland.
    3
  700. @Corgore Its not a perfect move, but what movie is? But I do hope it will draw more people into reading the books. It certainly was beautiful in the extreme.
    3
  701.  @curiouspeople6441  Most places arent getting warmer in California, only the overbuild areas that are heat sinks. But they are getting drier, which is way worse.
    3
  702. offense is taken, it is never given. The individual chooses to be offended.
    3
  703. 15 million empty houses just sitting.
    3
  704.  @myronhelton4441  Thats why I moved to Tennessee. I literally became a political refugee. So I started to look at states that checked the boxes. Being from California, I have seen the horror of unregulated government growth and a desire of a population for government to fix all its problems. I made a list of about 20 things but in at the top were, Water, the states finances in order, and a conservative population. Only two states met that, Idaho and Tennessee. Idaho is starting to have water problems so Tennessee it was. Wish I would have moved here when I still had the energy of a young man after I first got out of the Marine Corps. But my sons will get that pleasure.
    3
  705. Nah, the issue with most people, children or adult, is they do to little physical activity. Many people dont even walk 3 miles in a day total steps. We were built to walk.
    3
  706. Nowadays very few writers have any real world experience. Their most pressing need is who to vote for in the next election. Look at the lives of writers in the past. World wars, civil wars, mass starvation. The modern world is, even with its dark corners, a very safe and reliable place. That makes for boring lives. And boring writers.
    3
  707.  @MrWepx-hy6sn  It is a huge issue. These writers live in bubbles. They dont have any idea what true diversity is. Its the main reason why characters in modern media are paper thin. And while this is huge in Hollywood its starting to be a big issue in other forms of media as well, like games, anime, and to a lesser extent, published sci fi. And your ability to self assess speaks good things about you. But these people, most modern day Hollywood writers, put out trash and think its gold, they lack any sort of introspection that real world experiences forces into you, sometimes with brutality. But you of course are free to disagree with me. You wont hurt my feelings.
    3
  708.  @2steaksandwiches665  Wow, will you look at that. A non turbo. Nice. I'm not against turbos, they can be a great help. But not in a vehicle that is meant to tow or haul. I think one is just asking for trouble. I wish these companies would bring back their V8s. But CAFE standards.
    3
  709.  @jaredyoung5353  Unions work for employees when you are able to limit labor. For the Chamber of Commerce it would if you limited capital. That limits your competition. But that would strangle them too, so typically they just lobby for more regulation to make it almost impossible for new businesses to start. The exact opposite of the thing the Chamber of Commerce should do. Same how when unions sell out their workers for political alliances.
    3
  710. We havent always used the word recession. We actually use to call them what they are, depressions. But after the 1929 depression the word was retired, like a sports jersey. Recession then became the used word. The only difference is that the definition did not change.
    3
  711. They are looking to put their eggs in as many baskets as possible. This is common during a general downturn in the economy. That said while a billion sounds like a lot, at the median price of $361k, thats less than 3000 homes. The Japanese did this in the 80s. And they took about 20% losses. But if they kept their money where it was before they would have lost more than 50%.
    3
  712.  @Coffeendonuts  I would normally agree with you but the problem is that the Fed let the problem run to long. Everything inflated, housing, meme stocks, meme coins, the stock market, commodities. Everything. And then on top of all that you have two trillion in the overnight at the fed. There is so much money floating around that if the Fed doesnt start squeezing it out, inflation will cause a recession(Which is already to late) and then it will still have to squeeze all the money out to get rid of the inflation. They should have started raising rates in 2018, but the stock market cried and now we are here today.
    3
  713.  @andreatrulock5245  maybe google it. Look what is happening to their real estate market. They have massively overbuilt for people who arent even there and who will never exist. In the US we have one domicile for every 1.8 Americans. This is by real estate tax records. And while there may be a housing shortage in certain areas. There are many places where houses lay vacant and off market. Why? Heck the property behind me has two houses that have been vacant for two years and I live outside the greater Knoxville area. I dont think the banks ever fully deleveraged their assets during 2008. But thats just my thought. When banks sell a real asset, for less than it is on the books, it has to show the actual loss. I dont think they want to show those losses. This same thing happened in Japan in the very late 80s and early 90s. The banks became known as Zombie banks.
    3
  714. I thought that as much, then look what is happening in his conflict zones. The guy is like prophetic. I wish it wasnt so because hes a globalist. But his analysis is amazingly on point. But it amazes me that so few like him can get through to people. Demographers have been screaming to people since at least the 80s. No one listened.
    3
  715.  @standinginthegap7118  you missed the point completely. I won't dissect you post completely, but let's that your first point. Currently women make up 47 percent of the labor market. That means there is 53 percent left. Those individuals we call men. So men make up the majority of workers. Wages have been stagnant, relative to.inflation, since the 70s. The same time women entered the labor force in mass. There is a funny thing in economics called supply.and demand. Women entering the work force almost doubled labor thus reducing its value. I could keep going but I'm not trying to be argumentative. We have seen what's happened to women in other nations whose social welfare system has collapsed. You can ignore it if you like, that's your right.
    3
  716.  @standinginthegap7118  I don't hate anyone for their opinion, and I don't hate you for yours. That aside, I am glad you took the time to see my 2nd post and respond. Civil discourse is all to rare these days. Perhaps I could have done a better job at communicating.
    3
  717.  @standinginthegap7118  it certainly would make things less dramatic wouldn't it.
    3
  718.  @blacklightfreakout825  I mean if you want to be a Dubai porta potty that's not any of my business.
    3
  719. Nah, the lender sells the mortgage. They service the loan though and take a cut of that. They arent even the bag holder. Then the people who bought the mortgage has to sue the bank, which the Federal government wont allow. Its way worse than you think.
    3
  720. In regards to SPS, this is literally what the banks did back during the start of the Great Depression. At the time the lender could call in the loan at any time. And almost all mortgages were only 5 year notes. So many lost their farms due to this they changed the law because it began to effect the US food supply. In some communities during the auctions for the properties they would pool their money and buy back the farm for the local farmer. Looks like history might be repeating itself. Considering Wells Fargo's recent moves something is clearly afoot in the mortgage field.
    3
  721.  @ReventureConsulting  You know they arent going to stop buying securities. Come March they will say something like "For market stability we have to continue transitional purchases of securities until the market firms up", or some other crap. Everyone at the Fed needs to be removed. They long ago exceeded their mandate.
    3
  722. From where? No one has a positive population growth rate except African nations.
    3
  723. All those property taxes are voted on, or at the very least everyone who raised every property tax was elected. People get the taxes that they want.
    3
  724.  @ryanbianchi6582  you are right, it was 65%, I rounded the wrong way. We all make mistakes. But my point remains, math is hard for some. Good catch.
    3
  725.  @silverhost9782  Demand in the west is collapsing. Who buys the most stuff? Families who have kids. Those simply are not being created anymore for a plethora of reasons. Instead those are being replaced with dinks (dual income no kids) this temporarily boost gdp via production. But has a long term massive economic effect. Since they dont make the next generation, it literally isnt there to consume. Well the west, with the exception the US is now entering it. Dont worry though, the US hasnt been at replacement rates since 1972, but we imported people so we will be right behind you. That said, there will be less demand, then you start a deflationary spiral. You act like African countries birth rates arent dropping. either. They are. We are just a few steps ahead.
    3
  726. That is a boar hunting spear. Not that anyone cares.
    3
  727. If the Fed pivots, I really do hate that word now, before inflation is tamed it will roar back like a fire that gets a fresh oxygen supply. So we will have a damaged economy and ever growing inflation. Thats what happened in the 70s. We had best hope that Powell stays the course, even if it does hurt.
    3
  728.  @lorrilewis2178  Thats from labor statistics. I get it you dont want to believe stats that conflict with your lives experience. thats fine. But that would be equally as foolish as me using my own marriage, where my stay at home wife stopped cleaning the house, stopped taking care of the kids, stopped taking them to school, stopped meal prep, etc etc all while still expecting me to work my normal job and come home and do everything at home sometimes while working double shifts. And its why I kicked her out. One would ask why you dont do the same to yours? But thats my experience, that is just one data point, like yours. It is not the totality of what is. And to think that way is extremely short sighted. Its why anecdotal evidence is bad. There is to much emotional context to it to get a clear picture. But maybe you just want to exist in your righteous fury, for all the good that will do you.
    3
  729.  @LisaCulton  I could pile up tons from the other side as well. But what good will that do? When you want to be right at the expense of resolving what is clearly a very large cultural issue you arent helping, you are just part of the problem. Which is fine. But you should understand what part you are playing. Most women act like their spouse or former spouse is the worst creature on the planet, weird that they chose to marry that person.
    3
  730.  @LisaCulton  Thats a very nice way to say shit posting.
    3
  731.  @EKILIBRIUM_official  The Romans actually had this happen three times. Once during the Republic, once during the early Empire and then again during the late empire in the 4th century. Each time they gave women to right to inherit property.
    3
  732. When will the pogroms start against us tall folks?
    3
  733. Its coming
    3
  734.  @vi6ddarkking  There as been very little life extension. What there has been is life preservation. Most of the "increase" was simply reducing childhood mortality. You got two people. One dies at 0 the other at 100. Your median life expectancy is 50. But raise that 0 to even say 65, that boosts it to 82.5 years. Huge increase. All that said I am not sure if you took a look around you but people are unhealthier than ever. Obese, out of shape, and proud to boot. Even the God Emperor of Mankind couldnt protect that.
    3
  735.  @impudentdomain  well your people have curious tastes in beauty
    3
  736.  @LucasFernandez-fk8se  Sexual dynamics have changed. Those same dynamics would prevent a baby boom. And one might argue any sort of exceptional economy.
    3
  737. Just watch Romancing the Stone.
    3
  738. This shows you just how skewed the market is. The majority of men should be wanting to be making families. They should want to find a woman, marry her, and have children. This is natural. This is what builds cultures and societies. This will self correct since more and more men are opting out. Women will opt out too in a typical reactionary response. That will mean the end of societies. A lot of guys in the western world, the US and Western Europe thing this is just an issue there. But this is everywhere except for traditional cultures. But even there the cracks are showing. The scary thing is, while everyone is busy chasing "happiness" society is going to collapse. Then many will suffer and die, both men and women. Make sure you have a strong community where you live.
    3
  739. Communities can pass laws. But locals love the tax revenue. Lets not pretend otherwise.
    3
  740. Its amazing hearing a rational leftist that you could have a debate with.
    3
  741.  @nicolcacola  because "appraisal contingency". That means all the risk is on him. What if the house doesnt appraise for 1.1 million but only 900k? Where you going to get that extra 200k from? If he waives if and it doesnt appraise he either cant get a lone and as to walk away paying a penalty, or he has to find someone who will loan him money for more than the asset is worth.
    3
  742.  @marg7772  The invisible hand of the market is just the individual choices of the millions of capital markets, producers and purchasers. They all lead to a choice. Sometimes one, sometime a few sometimes many. And any little change in those individuals choices can have massive effects on the market. But in the end its just individual choices.
    3
  743. Japan itself has the 2nd strongest Navy on the planet. The question is IF the US and Japan would get involved or just let Taiwan drain Chinese manpower.
    3
  744. @S. In response to your question about a particular couple. I have a myriad of options, none you will probably like. First off, why is the woman wanting to marry a man who cant provide for her if she wants offspring? All throughout the animal kingdom males reproductive ability is based on calories and if he has extra to spare (in humans this would be income basically). Nuptial gifts are common from insects to Apes. There is also a misunderstood truth here, women determine if sex will happen. Men decide if a relationship will happen. Humans are a little more complex than other animals but we still have the basics that most have. This young woman should look to an older man, maybe one in his early to mid 30s. Who is set in his path forward. This of course would mean marrying a man older than you. It is an option though, historically its the one that occurred most. This couple could move closer to their parents for addition support. They could even decide to live in a multi generational home that was common in the 19th century. But being a man is see a huge issue. The man shouldnt be focused on starting a family at that age if he cant find a decent job, he should be busting his ass to find decent work. This couple you speak of is in its predicament because of inappropriate mate selection. But I wouldnt say they are morally corrupt. I very much am enjoying our conversation.
    3
  745. @S. In regards to your post about wages. Minimum wage is the issue. It shouldnt exist. I am sure you have heard the pie making example of the value of labor so I wont repeat it. You should only be paid the value of labor your labor provides your employer. If an employer has to pay you more due to a law, that means the money has to come from somewhere. So the price of the good or service must increase. That causes inflation. That makes everyone poorer and eventually that company will move that production somewhere where the labor cost input is less so they can compete in the market against their competition. This has a negative effect on future earnings of new entries into the job market because there is more competition for less jobs. So the jobs will pay less. And this isnt the 20 somethings fault. Its just the world they were born into. Adaption is key. And maybe part of that adaption is changing the laws. I would disagree with the percentage you account for not having kids. I mean clearly that is the reason you feel you cant afford to have kids, which I totally understand. But most women seem to want one, maybe two, if any at all. Thats not my projections, thats from multiple studies in multiple nations. I mean in Japan, the number one reasons people didnt have kids was because sex was a hassle. That was the literal answer.
    3
  746.  @TheWalkThrewer  sure I would. Many youtube channels are literally just ads. Most of the hiking channels I watch are literally all ads for new gear. I think its amusing you know what other people will and wont do though.
    3
  747. Eastern Europe is collapsing population wise and some parts were doing so right before the collapse of the Soviet Union.
    3
  748.  @tukkajumala  Respectfully, why would the trend change unless you address the underlying issue? People dont have children, women do. And now, at this time, women dont have to leverage their reproductive capacity for safety or for status. They just get a job like men do. When women have to start to do that again because the state doesnt pay benefits or employers stop employing women, then fertility rates will increase. But that wont be until after a nation state collapses. Even then it might not happen, women will do like they do in Venezuela, they leave and go to a more stable country that still has these things. But eventually the locusts run out of fields to go to and they die.
    3
  749. Even if prices stay flat through June or July, there would be a 13% national price drop year over year at that point. If home prices drop 20 percent this year you would be at roughly 280k for a median priced house. Hopefully the Fed puts their big boy pants on now and gets serious. The market is pricing in a 50 point increase now. So the Fed needs to go higher. But they wont. And this will all drag on longer, hurt more people longer and end up wrecking healthy businesses and individuals cash reserves that otherwise could have weathered this storm.
    3
  750.  @fredneecher1746  I would question if it is "masculine" though. In many other cultures it would be considered masculine to stand up and beat her into submission for insulting a man. Or hold her male relative responsible for the slight taken. In other cultures those men and women sitting in the same room would be considered taboo since they were not related. Often what we consider masculine and feminine is layered with culture. I often think thats why many of the masculine and feminine ideals are so contorted. The last few hundred years have seen massive amounts of cultural mixing.
    3
  751. wait until people have to start paying on their student loans again.
    3
  752.  @VADemon  indeed
    3
  753. When a director tries to be Kurosawa and fails. Its like Snyder was trying to capture Kurosawa's dancing trees.
    3
  754. my neighbor tried to sell his house in the spring of last year. I told him to drop his price if he wanted to sell. He didnt even get people to come by at an open house. Now hes doing all sorts of upgrades and going to sell again this spring. People never learn. His realtor is a criminal, but she has nice legs. lol
    3
  755.  @swirvinbirds1971  I guess we will see in November if people agree with that sentiment. But pointing out the economy is better now than in the middle of a global pandemic shutdown, is a very very low bar.
    3
  756.  @ilikecontent2327  one of the issues it that people who are selling their homes will not sell it for less. And they dont have the ability to write off losses like home builders can from a tax point. They eventually drop, but only after they have no choice. It always hurts them more too. But thats what always happens.
    3
  757.  @mikedavison4313  How else are the boomers going to get those crazy high returns they need so they can retire and live their best life?
    3
  758. You live with them. I have about 100 chickens about 200 feet from my house. They are loud as hell but I dont hear them unless the are quiet. A rooster crowing is just background noise.
    3
  759.  @overhansable  beat me to it. 07
    3
  760. Well common ground for them is not to address the underlying issue but for the opposing side, law abiding citizens, to give up more gun rights.
    3
  761.  @waynegnarlie1  I am interested, are you really willing to reject another persons view, because their political opinions different than yours? If he said all this and Trump was still president, would that be ok with you? And a recession isnt always a bad thing. It can heal the economy. Like it did in the early 80s. I dont really even care about your particular political or economic philosophy, just in your response to something that you didnt like. Anyway I hope you post back, I'd like a discussion. Im not the type to snipe. I find you can learn more than way. But if not, hope you have a good evening.
    3
  762.  @jefff7287  The fact that you are touting the unemployment rate is funny. Regardless of who is president, the way they calculate it would be considered business fraud if a private corp did it. Lets not pretend otherwise.
    3
  763. The certainly have a unique perspective on the world and children.
    3
  764. I mean they did say this was content and not news. Maybe it never was news, always content.
    3
  765. Thats the real issue. No kids. Down the road that hit is going to be massive to the economy.
    3
  766. @NorthOfWindsor Respectfully, not all violent crime is the same. There is a difference between a drunken fist fight and daily drive by shootings. Then there is the report rate. In many place, people simply dont report the crime because they know nothing will be done about it. All the states go strictly be the report rates. So in states where law and order is more of a thing, your reported rates will tend to be higher because people will actually report the crimes. That kind of skews official states. I think the worst part is both sides play politics with these numbers when its convenient for them politically instead of addressing the core issues.
    3
  767. I got to disagree with you on the industrialization part. The Chinese should be proud of their industrialization. Most westerners cant understand bone crushing poverty that many Chinese alive today experienced. As their modern society matures its attitude will change. They will long for, as most westerners do, the untouched beauty of nature. But right now they are trying not to starve. You speak of tone deafness, but I think it is you, on this point, who is tone deaf. But I do enjoy your content. Keep up the good work.
    3
  768. Nonmi, food doesnt come from the supermarket. You have to grow it. And to grow it you need something called fertilizer. Guess who are the biggest producers of fertilizer?
    3
  769. One cannot be an expert or knowledgeable about everything.
    3
  770.  @babyamyxo-o6c  we use to be a melting pot. Now we are not. I think that is the persons take, even if they didnt articulate it well. A disparate group of people will agree on nothing. You must have culture and language that bind them. My ancestors came from Germany, but they dropped their culture and language for the American one. We dont require that anymore. That is a major part of the problem.
    3
  771. These people are like the Great Nothing from the Never Ending Story. They do not create they seek to undo creative acts.
    3
  772. The value added from tech to housing has a ripple effect. It raised all boats. People leaving California could then up bid properties in other states. As that high tide recedes you will see it ripple out in the same way the increase happened. You cannot rationally expect houses to sell for more than local populations can afford with their incomes. It just doesnt work that way. And with liquidity drying up people who are over leveraged will start selling. Thats just how things are. And when the layoffs begin... I will just say this, the Millennials cannot catch a break. They were the hardest hit during 2008 and they are going to be the hardest hit now.
    3
  773. Pre WWII only about 45 percent of Americans owned their own homes. The rest rented. Post WWII, with the creation of the suburbs that shot up to between 62 and 64%. Right now we are right there are 66%, though I suspect the number is much higher near 67.5%. History shows that expanding the number north of 64 percent always leads to people losing their homes. Thats the ceiling. And more than that and you are entering overbought territory.
    3
  774.  @kq2799  because of how most nations societies are structures and how taxes are paid. Its not like most people still farm and produce their own food so even if the checks stopped, they could still eat. If the checks stop, because there are to few to pay those taxes, then not only do the pensioners stop getting money, but the stores also loose all their shoppers who are pensioners. Thats how societies collapse over night. Or you could just print a lot of money like Venezuela and get the same thing.
    3
  775. Genealogical studies are showing around 6%, with higher levels around working class and poor, lower in wealthier families. Though these studies have been only done, to my knowledge, in European nations.
    3
  776. I mean there was video of her being pulled into a vehicle. Perhaps you dont seen all the traffic cams everywhere. That you can be so blind to that is the only amazing thing.
    3
  777.  @BlueAxeRacer  People dont have kids, women do. Women dont want to have kids. Thats the ugly truth no one wants to say.
    3
  778. Home builders are already giving heavy discounts. And currently there is another million homes being built in the US, along with another million apartment units. Home builders always cut prices first. Then home owners once they understand that the boat on highest prices has sold, as J K posted.
    3
  779.  @herschist  The irony is 20% of home buyers in 2019 were single women. That number is only increasing year over year. Now its probably near 25%. Its not the men that are having an issue with home maintenance, unless its the men who are to busy working to want to do the maintenance. Those women are a source of future income for handymen. Just changing lights and smoke detector batteries could become an easy money earner for even a semi retired or retired gentleman. I am always shocked by how few people have even an 8 foot ladder.
    3
  780.  @ronschlorff7089  you can keep them. the gators are coming up the Tennessee River fine on their own. They'll get to me where im at in good time. Maybe make some boots or a nice belt out of them. Funny I use to call air support in on targets all the time in the Marine Corps. You one of the chair force dudes? As far as the moats, the last people to try were the Brits, they didnt do to well. They had to pickle one of their esteemed generals to get him back home if I remember correctly.
    3
  781. And all of the various European state run media outlets chanted right along with them and any other time we had center or a right of center political leadership. As far as I am concerned, Europeans have given tacit approval of it. Let them lay in this bed of thorns.
    3
  782. You dont understand percentages like most Americans. If a house goes from $100k to $200k thats a 100% price increase. and 50% price cut puts that house back at $100k. if you have a $100k home a 300% price increase would be $400k (not to far off the average price of a home in the US now). A 50% price reduction would bring the price back down to $200k, Thats a $1400 monthly note. The median Millennial household income is around $71k. That puts the debt to income ratio at 23%. I dont blame you, its our schools really. But I hate to tell you, over the next decade housing is going to drop more than 50%. At least 20 million homes over then next decade will come on the market from people over 65 alone (total homes owned by those over 65 are actually 44 million). Thats an average of 2 million a year. More than enough by itself to handle demand.
    3
  783. Gender studies college professors, environmental impact surveyors, editorial writers.... these are the true non essential workers. Just to name a few.
    3
  784.  @ImMeandYouAreYou6942  These are the ones who are shocked when they get their tax adjustment the year after they bought. I remember when I bought my first house in the 1990s. No one told me that. Not the real estate agent, not the bank, no one. But after you get screwed you tend to remember.
    3
  785. Poor financial policy is the problem. We never addressed the problems from 07-08. Until we do, nothing will resolve.
    3
  786. They will. in Dec of 2007 I got a home for about 250k off listed price. It will happen. You just have to be patient. When they need to abandon their builds is the time to buy. We havent reached that point yet.
    3
  787. The AfD is the future of Germany. Right now they are enduring the immune reaction of the German political establishment, the same way that the US establishment, both Democrat and Republican reacted to Trumps brand of progressivism. The question in Germany, and Europe as a whole, is if they can endure the pending collapse and what will happen to all the millions of non Europeans who are currently there. Will they endure in enclaves, like Germans did in Ukraine and Hungary, pre WWII. Or will they be sweep, driven, or otherwise removed from Europe in a faster fashion? Once the welfare state cracks in Europe, and it will if Trumps tariffs go into effect, then the knives will come out.
    3
  788. Which means never. The problem is as the Fed raises rates higher, overseas money will flood in to get a solid fixed rate of return of 4 and eventually 5%. All this extra money will cause inflation and rates will have to go every higher. And then even more money will have to pile in. The main issue is you have people all over the world and the US living a higher of standard of living than they should be based on their economic contributions. For the last 30 years this has been papered over with debt. Well the check is due in most of the rest of the world due to demography. People expecting a pivot dont understand the effects of the Fed rate and US Dollar strength in global markets. They are only looking at the domestic housing market. I dont even think Volcker could fix this, its a global problem this time, not an American one, though America is the central issue, or dollar strength at least. But at the same time all these exporting nations need a strong US to consume their goods and services.
    3
  789.  @kingrobotnik6950  Women historically leveraged their reproductive capabilities for protection and resources. Male levered their utility and resources to secure mating rights. Things broke down when society became so safe that women feel they no longer have to follow this agreement. And while I agree its a cultural and social issue to the civilizations afflicted with it, its one that is at the core of human biology. As society degrades, and should it become more unsafe, women will again have to enter into this agreement with men. Right now they dont have to.
    3
  790.  @michellet7013  Thats the effect of zero percent money.
    3
  791. How do you rent out your own home to Airbnb? What do you do with all your stuff? Thats crazy. lol
    3
  792. Here is a question, do you help your children with their children? If not why not? Families need to help families. Thats the way its always been. Because no one will care more about their family than the family. You really thing some bureaucrat is going to give a flip about your grand kids?
    3
  793. The Federal government doesnt have that authority.
    3
  794.  @loganskiwyse7823  SCOTUS has never overturned a Constitutional Amendment. Judicial review doesnt work that way.
    3
  795.  @marriagecausesdivorce7540  Yup, you have gone through the rage, learned to adapt to reality, and are free to leave the temple. The red pill isnt a place to stay, its a place to visit, learn, grow, and move on. A better individual. A better individual to both men and women. Folks get stuck on the rage content. Its emotionally exhausting. And because of how humans are, it always has to get more and more extreme creating a shifted reality.
    3
  796. This reminds me of a property in East Tennessee. Its 6507 Sulphur Springs Rd in Morristown. No roof and they want 420k for it. No roof! People are still insane with the prices they want. That house should be not even $50 a sqft. But that bath tube tells it all. Those sit up baths are for the old or the severely disabled. Whoever owned it simply lacked any money to keep up the house or payments. Sad
    3
  797.  @Etaoinshrdlu69  buy a farm and learn to.
    3
  798. From your comment section it seems many are unable to do even basic math and deal with percentages. It might help your viewers if they understood how percentages work. Maybe a show is in order for educational purposes?
    3
  799. This fails to take into account how inflation is affecting people with fixed rate mortgages. They may have a 3% mortgage, but what if that was the only reason they could buy? With food budget costs near 30 year highs, increases in automobile, and electricity, many homeowners may be nearing the breaking point. And if layoffs start, poof! 2008 all over again.
    3
  800. Id argue that Christianity is only nominally Abrahamic. Through the early Greeks, Christian philosophy was greatly transformed via the Indo European faith traditions. When you look at Christianity that way, it makes much more sense. That is after all where the trinity comes from.
    3
  801. The economy was never "good" since the last crash. It was papered over and interest rates went to the ground. We never allowed it to go down to where it could recover on its own. And then we pumped it up more. Its still going to go down to that level, and now we dont have anyway to stop it.
    3
  802. Yea women like her certainly made Australia the healthy and well rounded nation it is today. lmao.
    3
  803. Its amazing with all those words you used you imparted zero information to those who read it. Truly awe inspiring.
    3
  804. Dr Who ended with Sylvester McCoy
    3
  805. Rescue plan. lol Thats how we got into this. Just stop. Sometimes you make a bad play. That goes from picking a stock, to buying houses to picking a bad spouse. People need to learn from their errors.
    3
  806.  @tanyachef  8th largest economy, down from the 5th. But via purchasing power its in the bottom third of US states. That said, I am glad you got out. I try to tell folks, you can yell at the political refugees coming out of Cali all you want, but if you listen most will teach you a lesson. On the bright side people seem to, generally speaking, self segregate to states based on their political views.
    3
  807.  @dilipanthonypinto1620  ok lets say the officer shoots the guy in the leg or the gut (still can be fatal and bleed out quick), then the suspect deploys the officers taser, incapacitation the officer and taking his firearm. What does the suspect do next? The officers use of force, while unfortunate, was completely justified in this situation. I am not even a fan of law enforcement. I do carry though, if anyone touches any weapon I have, without my authorization, they are a lethal threat. And I would treat them accordingly. If anything this officer waited to long. People need to understand that if an officer is using his taser then he/she is not trying to kill you. If you touch that weapon platform, you become a lethal threat to that officer. But thats not what this was. This man was in possession of stolen property at best, at worst he was a car thief, eventually the whole story will come out. We should treat car thieves like we did horse thieves in the 19th century.
    3
  808. Angela Basset in Strange Days was so incredibly jacked. But she still looks good even today. I am not sure if she has good genetics, a good trainer, or just sold her soul to a demon.
    3
  809.  @Rays_Bad_Decisions  A lot of people think its a joke but there was a reason for the investment prospectus that JP Morgan Chase put out last year telling people to invest in pet companies and wine. Even back in 2012 less than 45% of women wanted to even have a child. Just one. Add to that that Millennial family creation has been far below the even most negative forecasts. I dont think people are really prepared for whats coming.
    3
  810.  @koshka02  Yea a lot of people overly romanticize places that seem exotic. But people are people in the end.
    3
  811. Jedi's stole babies. "its a great honor" says the guy in a robe who can mind trick you.
    3
  812.  ☁POPULATION-_-420🌿  While that may be the case, im not a fan of law enforcement myself, this was a clean shoot.
    3
  813.  @fizzmoe9846  The only flaw with your logic is the law enforcement officer had legal authority to do a stop. Once that happens, by your agreement in obtaining your drivers license, you have a legal obligation to follow the leos instructions. If he didnt have a license then the officer had legal authority to arrest him. This man refused that and then attempted to disarm the leo. I am not a fan of law enforcement or the states current use of it. That said, episodes like these, and people like you who try to excuse this type of behavior make a lot of people auto default to the states position. If you grab another persons weapon, and a taser is a weapon, it becomes a lethal struggle. I would have shot the man as soon as he grabbed the taser the first time.
    3
  814.  @imcorrectyourwrong5132  if I have you at taser point or gun point, it wont be because I am mad. It will because I feel threatened or my life, families lives or property is at risk. If you touch any weapon platform in my possession I will discharge my weapon. Attempting to grab someones weapon is a lethal threat. That said, im not pro cops executing people. I am not pro going to look for dragons to slay. We have courts for that. I think this cop made tons of mistakes during this stop, I do think that the discharging of his firearm wasnt one of them, though I am willing to concede, his mistakes may have contributed to the ultimate outcome. But the suspect/victim was totally at fault here. If he stayed in his vehicle he would have just been arrested.
    3
  815. He stated why, places like Connecticut arent seeing price drops yet. Places like connecticut arent seeing massive build outs, like the western states are, of new housing. New housing always sets the price. But the people that re sell their homes, they dont like to think that they have to be the first person on the block to lower their prices, so their prices stick a little more. But eventually someone has to sell. And then the comps adjust. Once that happens people who need to or are considering to sell, all rush for the exit. Because the trend, in this case, isnt their friend. That said it also depends on your states demography and jobs stability. I dont recall Connecticut having any massive layoffs yet. If you do, well expect drops.
    3
  816. This is probably why I see 10 workers in front of an open trench on a road site construction job and one dude in the hole shoveling. Inefficiencies exist in all jobs. All non hackers deserve to be terminated. And I wont cry for them. They know who they are.
    3
  817. Its always been a big deal.
    3
  818.  @realestatemindset  If rates go down I think the recessionary pressures would probably be massive economic job loss. I dont know if there would be enough qualified buyers to increase demand at that point. Its like my Gunny told me, the only way out of the ambush is through it. You cant stop and go back. If the Fed stops its push we will have the worst of both worlds. Catastrophic would be putting it kindly.
    3
  819.  @markthomas207  absolutely Cafe standards. Number one issue that leads to a cascade of others.
    3
  820. The law of supply and demand would say if there are less lenders that the cost of getting a loan will go up. That said what Wells is doing is what someone would do if they saw a catastrophic change in a market, in this case the housing market. Another poster remarked about who is buying all these MBS's since the Fed isnt. And that is a great question. Are the banks buying their own garbage? I suppose we shall see in a few more quarters. Regardless Wells move doesnt bode well for the future economy.
    3
  821. Thats what they told Charles Martel. Then he held the line. Thats what they thought at Vienna. Then the King of Poland showed up. Its only over when you give up and die.
    3
  822.  @mariopaul8413  You would get close to the listed rate, buy you would probably have to shop around a bit. The Fed rate is going to go up around 200pts before the end of the year. So if anyone who is going to buy, and need a mortgage, they need to keep that in consideration.
    3
  823.  @ilikecontent2327  I cant really improve my credit score (humble brag)
    3
  824. You people waiting for a drop in California real estate dont see the problem. You think oh I will get a good deal. Meanwhile your over leveraged city or county will default on its loans that the last 50 years of Californians have voted for. Places like Vallejo and Stockton will become the norm. The few businesses left will flee and California will implode. There is more to purchasing property than looking at is price tag. Leave while you can, just remember why California turned out the way it has.
    3
  825.  @LysanderSA  Because the individuals working on it had time and talent. Disney has unreasonable time constraints and with story changes I can only imagine how much re work they have to do. Then there is their DEI hiring practices. You dont get the best in the industry that way. And maybe another reason is that back in 1997, not everyone was using CGI in everything. And so you have all the talent in the industry working on that one film where as today, they are spread to thin. Those things absolutely have an effect on quality.
    3
  826.  @ryanodonnell455  I wasnt aware NATO had nukes. I know the US and Britain do. Pretty sure those are the only two NATO members that do. Or am I incorrect?
    3
  827.  @frishter  Masculine presenting Transgendered Lesbian. aka Cis male. lol
    3
  828.  @selfReferencinDox  I didnt know we were debating. I thought you were asking me a question. But if you were speaking about my feminism vs economics issue. Yea its totally their economic model. It has the same side effects as feminism does. But they have different causes. Japan needs its GDP to remain high. They are attempting to do this by "forcing" more and more women into corporate work. This reduces their ability to be effective mothers and family cohesion. All you have to do is look at government policies. But it wont fix what is wrong with the Japanese economy. They became addicted to massive infrastructure spending post WWII and it has buried them in a mountain of debt. Now that their population is decreasing the only way they can stave off eventual default is to get as many people to work as possible. This will just make the population decline greater as women cannot work full time and do the whole mothering thing. But hey you are free to disagree.
    3
  829.  @Battleneter  It really is more than just money printing. You have massive reshoring of whole sectors that were off shored way back in the Clinton years. That is inflationary. Add to that that the Boomers are retiring and you have a lack of workers. Not just service level workers, but workers in all areas. Try finding a mechanic who can get you in the next day. Or a handyman. All these things have inflationary pressures via wages. That means those people have more money in their pockets and prices go up because demand goes up. Then there is the fact that the Federal government spending is 40% of GDP. None of those has to do with money supply. The added money is just fuel to the fire already.
    3
  830. Well since the Chinese only have maybe 10 ships that can go that far, they are welcome to try.
    3
  831.  @zephyrr108  Goofy wouldnt get it.
    3
  832. A lot of these RIETs are over extended. But they need to make earnings so people keep investing and boomers love to invest in shit like this because they want that extra percent gain so they can retire without stressing. A lot of X'ers who put off investing are in the same boat. But it will all fall through like with the Zillow bs. I wouldnt be surprised if municipalities or HOA's start passing local ordinances or rules preventing these property groups from buying.
    3
  833.  @joshuaortiz2031  Thats another thing, we have so many combat trained and experience troops running around as civilians now, well regardless of which side the active military sides with, there wont be enough of them to control major cities let alone outside them.
    3
  834. The dark red spot in northern California is Butte county. That county was destroyed by fire. There are no homes there to buy, building is to expensive, and even if you did, fire insurance would cost a fortune. I am sure that are a few more spots like that on this map all over this nation. Just something to think about when casting aspersion at your neighbors.
    3
  835. Already seeing 30% price cuts here in Tenn for real estate with a lot of land. For the price that they want the appraisals dont come in high enough because they dont care about the land, just the improvements. So the banks wont loan then moneys. Ive even seen a few properties go from 600k to 350k. And they are still overpriced. And they all sit empty. Also with the three year bond being at 4.5 % you can now get a higher rate of return than most rental real estate gets in the US. So why would people invest in real estate at this point?
    3
  836. Why did you sell it then?
    3
  837. corelogic, collateral analytics and Quantarium are worthless. The prices they estimate are laughable. They should be investigated.
    3
  838.  @JeffersonRah  If the price of gold spikes to 78k, do you really think homes would stay the same price? I know I dont know you, but you cant be that naive can you?
    3
  839. If the Fed pivots, IF, then inflation is going to explode and because people are stuck buying necessities mortgages will have to decline simply because people do not have the income to purchase everything they need. This will slow the economy further and people will get laid off. Thus putting even more downward pressure on assets. In 2010 157 banks went under. The last 4 years less than 10 have. We need a little fire to clean out the forest. So either the Fed doesnt pivot and the weak poorly run banks and businesses go under or inflation takes out an even wider chuck of both the good and the bad.
    3
  840.  @Danjirus  Yea that reasoning didnt fly with me either. These people are just lonely and are doing to get any sort of human interaction. A maladaptive coping stratagem. I am not going to judge them though. Our society is clearly not functioning right and hasnt been for a while. Only now, when you cant not see it are people starting to worry about it. I honestly dont know how we are going to roll this back. People are just broken. But worse, they have zero discipline to make themselves better.
    3
  841.  @happygilmore1844  I didnt forget it. In fact thanks to the Visigoths Roman architecture lasted well into the Islamic ages in Iberia so much so that many Roman building techniques became to be viewed as "Islamic". People act like when peoples and civilizations come into contact that they dont exchange ideas and change. They always do. That typically makes most cultures better. It certainly is why Rome became so great. They copied the best everyone had. Only a fool wouldnt copy them.
    3
  842. The problem starts with the idea of equality. It does not nor has it ever existed, except in how law is applied. Humans arent equal. Thats why the left demands equity, they understand what others do not. Egalitarianism is the root problem. The sooner we cut it out and forget it ever existed, the better.
    3
  843. A lot of places need workers like crazy. I am in East Tennessee and I saw a Panda Express last night that was paying $18.00 bucks to start. Right now we have a crazy misallowcation of labor. Hopefully this next recession will sort things out a bit.
    3
  844. I dont think we are at a point where the majority of Americans can have a rational discussion about these kind of things anymore. Yours is a logical thought, but people are hyper emotional these days.
    3
  845. 50 years from now, if humanity has survived, they will look back on this time period and seriously wonder what the hell happened. Insanity doesnt even begin to describe what this is.
    3
  846. There is a truth in you statement that I think most modern people forget. Most women need to feel safe and protected to truly excel and feel loved. Men are the opposite. Then need to to protect something they love to feel as though they are exceling. Otherwise there is this nagging itchy thing in the back of our heads that tells us we arent doing it right. Or perhaps I am projecting.
    3
  847. Yea you will need to see a 38% price correction to get back to that level
    3
  848. This was a common thread among eastern block nations during the cold war. They had huge paper armies. But actual deployable assets were sometimes 100 times less.
    3
  849. The flippers are more of a symptom and not the cause. They almost always pop up as the market is hottest. And there are many now.
    3
  850. It would be great if the young were not taxed into serfdom to pay for the elderly. You think they are going to cut SSI? You think families will actually take care of each other? We have had 90 years of social conditioning and most families are in tatters. The average American is just as irresponsible as the government they vote for.
    3
  851. Early Spring through Early Fall. Typically April through Sept.
    3
  852. yup, we are boned. We might have been able to do it before all this spending over the last few years but now, no chance. Add to that an economy already in recession, this will just drive a stake in it.
    3
  853.  @fed_up_cowboy  I think its a bit of normalcy bias. They literally dont see all the changes that are effecting the millennials. Especially with having children. The powers that be are in for a very rude awakening.
    3
  854. Higher interest rates are what will cause rental owners to sell. You cant roll over your loan from 3% to 7% and still keep you cap rate positive. And now that homes are losing equity its doubly bad. Thats if you can find a bank who will lend you money on a depreciating asset. Both side keep acting like its 2021 which stimi checks raining from heaven and zero interest rates. Those days are over and never coming back.
    3
  855. We dont have the electrical generation capacity to charge these electric vehicles. We would have to triple our energy output to charge them. No way the greens allow that to be done. Electric cars just arent going to cut it.
    3
  856. Thats how it use to be here pre online dating. In the 80s and 90s women actually liked being approached in malls and bars and the like. Now its Russian Roulette to talk to anyone.
    3
  857. Where is that "common vault" going to be located at? Wherever it is, they will have the power.
    3
  858. Even core logic and the others are scams. People put their house on the market for an insane amount wow shocker overnight the value of that house goes up 300k. lol Its a racket, a scam, and people who fall for it get what they rate. Shame none of these grifters will get their due though.
    3
  859. Seller psychology still hasnt changed. They think they can get more than they will. And few listen to realtors. So they list high and no one looks at their place. Or someone comes in a gives them a decently priced offer and they are insulted like they are being low balled. This summer they will see no one is biting and start panic cutting. I mean the amount of building here in East Tn is just crazy. There isnt that much demand.
    3
  860.  @kmac2789  It will just be a repeat of 2007-2008
    3
  861. Someone had to hold the bag
    3
  862.  @Grenadier311  at least you used paragraphs.
    3
  863.  @Grenadier311  It makes the eyes bleed. Gratitude.
    3
  864.  @phatpat63  yup. And the brutality that will be needed to put things right just isnt in people anymore. Its probably why all societies at this stage unravel.
    3
  865. The majority of young males cannot attract a female partner because of a lack of opportunity. That is a direct consequence of decades of pro female preferences in every aspect of the western world. If females do not find a male able to support her and any and all offspring she has he is simply a liability and to be passed over. People are looking at this completely wrong. Just like they have every other time its happened in history. Bring your baby to the office, how does that work with physicians or nurses? I dont think you guys have fully thought out your positions. What about women who work with heavy equipment or on production lines? Not everyone has a white collar job at a desk typing on a keyboard. And if AI has its way, even fewer will in the future.
    3
  866.  @WheelerRickRambles  Most of those were already owned by other REITs.
    3
  867. Its roll reversal in their eyes. The problem is that they view the suicide squad as good and the heros are the oppressors. so Its ok.
    3
  868. You arent stupid. But it could take time. The Fed has so much liquidity to soak up that at this rate, with .50 increases its going to takes us a few years of stagflation to get prices back down where they need to be. I am hoping the the next increase will be .75 and the one after that 100. But even then that wont do much.
    3
  869. interest on treasuries is already above the cap rate most land lords get. They thought we were going to pump up to 5 then quickly drop back down. I think a lot of these land lords and Air BnBs are going to end up shaking out. Why make a 4% return and deal with all the bs on a non appreciating asset, and in some place a depreciating one, when you can buy a near risk free US treasury?
    3
  870. Having that discussion about the Dark Eldar with your kids should be fun.
    3
  871. Inflation will be 11%, officially much higher actually, by the end of the year. The input cost increases havent even entered the end point, the consumer, in the supply chain yet.
    3
  872.  @i_grok_u2902  That eventually will happen, but I was referring to the immediate future. Last year had the most bank failures in value. Thats the main reason for the "pause". Our entire financial system never recovered from 2008. We just papered over it. Its why rates were at a laughable 0.25% for near a decade. But you are correct. At this rate of spending, not only is it causing inflation but it will become unserviceable.
    3
  873. The question will be what effect does the pivot "pause" have on inflation? In the 70s, it caused inflation to scream higher. That could very well stabilize home prices. So even if the price stays the same dollar amount its technically worth less since he dollars are worth less. Even if they raise rates to 5%, they are still effectively negative vs inflation. But they cant raise rates higher because the federal government wont be able to spend like a drunken sailor on shore leave. So if they do that means the fed has to cut spending. That means God knows what. We are in uncharted territory here.
    3
  874. Exercises arent about honor, its about learning. Somethings civilians know little about.That said most of these are for the officers, not the enlisted. Instructs in command and control and supply. Just curious how many military exercises you have taken part in?
    3
  875. yup, living below your means you can save and invest more and retire early, I did it at 46. Its amazing how few do it.
    3
  876. That woman at 7:20, shes worried about losing her stability? She should be worried about losing her life. I could find no man guilty if his wife dropped on him that his marriage and family had been a lie and his kids arent his. That woman is evil. I have seen a stoning once. Its barbaric. Its to good for her.
    3
  877.  @nova396  you are kind of over the edge aren't you. Maybe take a nap and some lithium and feel better.
    3
  878. Your fears of a coming fascism are well founded. In Germany, Nazis took power because of how the German people were economically mistreated by the treaty of Versailles, the brutality of the communist thugs in the streets pre nazi era and the social and sexual excessiveness of the Weimar era. All of those things are echoed in the current day here in the US. Fascism is more an allergic reaction to unchecked leftism. Unfortunately the left has never really understood this. They create the monster they fear by giving people no alternative. A figurative gun to the head. This was an excellent video.
    3
  879.  @eldermillennial8330  Who said anything about admiring the Zulu. I said interesting. And the Zulu Empire, as brief as it was, was very interesting. And the TV show Shaka Zulu was very very interesting. There wasnt anything like that on TV at the time.
    3
  880. You dont need to do that. You just need interest rates to go higher. The average retail rental only makes 4.5% profit. If interest rates and bond rates go up why would you buy a real estate and have to manage it when you could just buy a corporate bond at 7 or 8%. The current home market is because interest rates were left to low to long.
    3
  881. If you go to auto dealerships and auto channels you see the same things. Dealerships putting 35k "Market demand" increases on F-150s. And so they sit on the lot untouched. Same with auction centers that being flooded with trucks and SUVs no one wants to pay for. With prices so high, used dealerships wont even buy them at auction so the banks end up having to hold on to them. I think this may very well be one of the reasons Wells got out of the mortgage industry to the extent that they have. They may have so much sub prime auto debt that when this fully breaks they wont be able to deal with what will happen in the housing market. Remember, there is more sub prime auto loans now, than there was sub prime home loans in 2007. The ugly truth is, we have utterly broken our economy with untended consequences. And we have well run out of road to kick the can down.
    3
  882. People don't understand there are really two types of modern economies, exporting and the US. Everyone wants access to US markets. We have historically given everyone access with conditions. Since the end of the cold war there have been none. All we are doing is adding the conditions back again.
    3
  883. I am not a Brit, am an American. So im not going to flame you on your position, why did you hate thatcher, just curious? Is it a party thing or was it particular positions she held?
    3
  884. Thats Congresses job. Make sure you hold your reps and senators accountable. Thats your duty as a citizen.
    3
  885.  @ga6589  I'm not proposing anything. I am just stating the cause and the inevitable end result of choices. Men in ever western nation are forced to sign up for some conscription like system in the event of war. Women are not. Does that make men slaves?
    3
  886.  @Marcara081  A persons quality of life should not determine the wage. The value of their labor should. Its thinking like yours that causes the misconnection in the first place.... respectfully. Anything but the value of the individual workers labor is an unfair metric. Its literally robbing from peter to pay paul.
    3
  887. With the inflationary increase in housing, rent, food, fuel and energy, this time it is different. With 11 million job openings unfilled you know its a problem. Businesses cannot afford to pay what it would take to fill those jobs, so they sit, ever vacant. Inflation is consuming everything. And it will cause the economy to seize up. And the only option the Fed has is to raise interest rates, with will make the seizing happen faster or lower rates and let inflation run rampant and seizing anyways. People simply will not have the money to keep liquidity flowing. So they will sell sell sell any asset they can to meet their obligations. What shocks me is people cannot see this.
    3
  888. I remember when appraisers went into the home and in the attic and in the basement or the sub floor. Now they mostly just drive buy and check comps. Its a scam.
    3
  889. You should check out all the chems used on farms. Many farmers spray in Tyvek suits. I mean Round up ready crops are pretty much a staple now.
    3
  890. In defense, Afghanistan didnt have any infrastructure to destroy. Its one of the reasons you cant win there.
    3
  891.  @shayanise  its not the Federal governments say. You may not have read the 10th Amendment to the US Constitution. So I will put it in my response. "Amendment X The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the states, are reserved to the states respectively, or to the people." This means its the responsibility of the people in those localities, aka "the voters", that have police that overstep their legally granted authority to control them. Either people are responsible or they arent. And if they arent, why are they allowed to vote to create these political messes in the first place. And make no mistake about it, whats going on in Memphis is due to the politics that goes on there.
    3
  892.  @carljohnson2194  who votes for the government? Thats part of being a responsible adult. You make choices you see how those choices effect the environment. If its not in a way that you like you change your choices. Or are you saying the people in Memphis are being lorded over by some tyrannical oppressive regime? If thats the case I know there will be a lot of liberty loving people, myself included who would be down to assist the people in Memphis. Though I doubt thats the case.
    3
  893. Republicans are just for the status quo. They will only do the bare minimum to get by, its why there were all shocked when Republicans picked Trump. A man who did things, as well talk a boat load of crap.
    3
  894.  @chrisfamos  Demand. Housing inflated due to the boomer generations massively large size. Before that real estate was static at best, a deflating asset at worst. As they age, move in with younger relatives, go into nursing homes, there will be a massive demand collapse as they vacate homes. Initially most demographers thought the boomers would sell out and move, they never did. So when they do die, they will leave empty homes. At least this is one current theory.
    3
  895. Its pretty hard to get a 100% disability rating. Ive seen guys with missing arms get rated 40%. Semper Fi
    3
  896.  @philipmorgan6352  There are few creatures fouler than clerks at the county level. They seem to enjoy making everything harder. First the lawyers, then the clerks.
    3
  897. The question will be what will happen when all that foreign money comes running into the US? Will inflation increase causing the Fed to raise rates even higher? Or will the Fed tightening strengthen the dollar to the point where foreign deprecated currencies purchase little in the US markets?
    3
  898. We already have that, the FBI
    3
  899. What did you say that was wrong? You were offensive to some. That is not the same as being wrong. Never apologize, it just encourages the fish to nibble at you more. And you literally have nothing to apologize for.
    3
  900. its not, I sold my home in Northern California in May, the housing prices peaked in June. they are trending down now.
    3
  901.  @johnl.7754  People have often made exuses why women have stopped having kids, but your answer is the most honest one. Historically people in much worse economic conditions have reproduced endlessly. I wish more would be as honest. as you
    3
  902.  @Coffeendonuts  Oh and in regards to people applying, no they wouldnt necessarily. I mean you wont even tell me what type of job is being hired for, so ill have to generalize. The thing is if a job cant find a worker it isnt paying enough. Period. Thats proof of the inflation that we are in right now. Her employer cannot raise wages to the rate they need to to hire someone because then whatever job they did would not be adding value to the business. Again, basic economics. Just like if a house doesnt sell, the price is to high, right? The market decides what the price is, not the seller. Of course the seller doesnt have to sell and the employer doesnt have to increase the wages they are willing to pay. But if they arent, is it a needed job? Id say no.
    3
  903.  @Tyler_W  At this point I think Biden is a meat shield. He has given the border to Harris, hes given Afghanistan to Harris. And shes just so incompetent that its an utter failure. Biden is a meat shield so Harris has training wheel time as President before he resigns and she takes over. Its literally insane to think thats the most sane thing I could think of to make sense of this dumpster fire.
    3
  904. There was a story a few years back of a South Korean company being rocked with sexual harassment claims. So the business sex segregated work areas and supposedly found productivity among males skyrocketed and the females collapsed. But South Korea has some of the lowest rates of productivity in a developed nations. So it might be a one off.
    3
  905. One thing people misunderstand is that even if they sell the asset at a loss, it will be less of a loss than if they invested that money in their own country. One of the reasons Japanese overpaid for many foreign assets in the 80s. The people in the know knew what was coming there and prepared.
    3
  906.  @AprezaRenaldy  You may want to familiarize yourself with the New Madrid Earthquake in 1812. If it occurred today about 8 million people in the Mississippi flood plain would die. Chicago would have significant damage. Cities like Nashville, Memphis and St Louis would be destroyed. Most people are completely ignorant about it. It even just had an Earthquake on July 27 of this year. Before that earthquake people didnt even know there was a fault there. There are a lot of places like that in the US. And when they pop, that will be the first notice.
    3
  907.  @ShaunHensley  most men don't know which end of a hammer to use. Don't drink the Kool aid friend.
    3
  908. At our age, we arent embarrassed by anything. New CIA mission statement, 2023
    3
  909. But then it will be to late to sell. This is going to be rough on boomers. A lot have most of their retirement tied up in their homes.
    3
  910.  @lovetai9401  I have a lot of friends who are in tech. They were talking about moving east and I said before you do make sure you get that in writing. All of them told me their employers wouldnt do it. But at least they asked and prevented themselves getting screwed over. I am glad your husband got his in writing though. That I80 drive to the bay area isnt a joke. lol
    3
  911. You think people thought long term? lol thats funny. Most people have the mindset of tomorrow I might die, so tonight, I'll live. And its why they stay poor.
    3
  912. When Adult Swim was good.
    3
  913. They could just as easily say screw it keep rates high and let the strong survive. Hyperinflation would kill everyone.
    3
  914.  @JH-qy7zw  Yeah, I dont like sales tax, but at least I can avoid it by choosing not to engage in commerce. It is something, with behavior choices, one can avoid or very much limit it.
    3
  915. I killed a terrormorph at level 2 and had to use every round from every weapon I had. At lower levels you need all those different types of rounds. Bet they do a "gun runners" DLC like in Fallout.
    3
  916. You stumbled on something. What happens to the age of grandparents when the reproductive window shifts from 20-22 years old to 28-35 years old? Those grandparents largely are unable to help. They have gone from being late 40s early 50s to late 60s early 70s, if not older. Over the last few generations, womens reproductive period has shifted away from younger to older. This also limits the number of children a woman can have. Then add the discernment of families in modern times. Many lack extended family near them to assist.
    3
  917. Ghost guns, bad; ghost drones, good. got it
    3
  918. I would encourage anyone who is looking to buy to wait until next year. Octobers business numbers are very bad. 47% of all businesses that employ over half the private sector employees in the US couldnt make rent. The amount of layoffs coming are going to devastate the economy. You may think your job is secure, but it very well could be at risk without you knowing. Its literally 50/50 at this point.
    3
  919. The feds put signs in national parks not to feed the wildlife. It makes them depended..... yeah. They know what it does. Thats what they want.
    3
  920. Those same experts continued making money these last 10 months. It works until it doesnt. Thats the issue. When enough people understand that market psychology changes. Everyone in housing knew in November a downturn was coming. Its just that things were already in motion and they hope to leave others holding the bag, as they always do.
    3
  921. A man with a truck can make 200 bucks a day in a few hours. If he has a trailer he can double that. Suckers work the daily grind. Women want to be men, let the corporate work world devour them.
    3
  922. If we can keep it. I'd say Americans no longer want it. The Tree of Liberty is mighty thirsty.
    3
  923.  @blunderingfool  Most modern science isnt. Many PhD papers today, with their hypothesis arent even falsifiable. Thats not science. Thats faith.
    3
  924. I think a lot of people dont understand the labor market. Every year now we are short 400k workers due to baby boomers retiring, by 2030 that will be close to a million a year shortage. Thats irrespective of PPP loans and the stimis. On top of that we had 11 million open jobs. Thats down to 9.6 million now but we still have a lot of jobs to eat. This could be the first economic downturn were we dont actually see higher unemployment rates for a very very long time. Our demography is that screwed up that the next two generations, the zoomers and alpha will not be large enough to replace the boomers in total numbers and thats over a 40 year period. We are in unknown territory. But one thing is for certain, because of that shortage labor inflation will run hot and that will force the fed to raise rates. that will make the bonds here in the US more attractive to overseas investment flooding our markets causing more inflation. I dont think people are really prepared for how height interest rates will go.
    3
  925. Few people are looking at it that way. This is a multi faceted topic with many sides.
    3
  926. @S. Its a matter of choice not fault. It doesnt have to be a pejorative. But every choice has a consequence. If a woman wants a man her own age, she will be hard pressed to find one who has made his way in the world. Not only do young men have to compete with other men, they now are forced to compete with women as well. So she may look to one in his 30s or early 40s, will most women your age do that? No, its to stigmatizing. Well thats a choice. These are all unintended consequences to choices. But they are still consequences. When women want kids enough, they will stay home and take care of their own and maybe take care of their neighbors as well. Earn a little coin doing it too. But that would require a change in lifestyle no? Again, its not blame, its not good or bad, its just choices. And every choice, has a consequence. How you view that consequence is up to individual interpretation. And you dont need as much money as you think. But you want that much because you like those things. When you want kids more than you want those things, you might compromise on it. Until then, again, its a choice that has a consequence. I lived in California until last year. Arguably more expensive than Britain. I got married, had 3 sons, and bought 4 different houses. I did it on an income that maxed out at $65k, thats roughly 48.5k pounds. I just want to say I dont blame young people, most are utterly ignorant of basic economic principles because they have never been taught them. If they did they would burn down their respective governments. And lets be honest, most women have been so utterly brainwashed that most dont even think of getting married until maybe 28 and having a kid or maybe two once they are in their early 30s. I dont mean to sound insulting but its stunning how talking to younger women they all parrot the same thing. Yes I am also aware of how utterly stupid a man in his 20s is. I was one several decades ago. But men have the luxury of something women do not, time.
    3
  927. What will make housing prices go down? Let me introduce you to my friend, Mr. Recession and is cousin, Mr. 8% interest rates. Add to that demographic demand shifting and there is going to be a housing glut.
    3
  928. 100%. Easily two 50 point increases. Probably two 75 point increases. And considering the economy wont slow down and job losses arent piling up yet possibly 100 pts at least once. But it doesnt matter. Inflation will not be control even with those levels. The Fed rate has to be at least the core CPI and right now its only 2.5%
    3
  929. If the 1.7 trillion budget passes the Fed is going to have to get even more aggressive with its rate hikes, that means further pressure on home prices. I dont think a lot of people understand, especially the politicians the effects of their profligate spending. Way to much money out there. As far as home builders giving discounts to anyone or groups, I prefer that over bailout. If people wonder why home builders are still building, after 2007-2008 many master planned communities were half built. Many municipalities struggled with projected revenue that never existed. So this time around they wrote into the contracts with home builders, you MUST complete the build out of a development.A lot of these homes have quiet a bit of padding to drop prices. And that build you went into with just the framing. No way I would buy that. Is that up to Texas building standards? There is no strapping on anything.
    3
  930. The appraisal wall is real.
    3
  931.  @Turamwdd  Random... yea. Sept 11th.
    3
  932. If the economy loses a million and a half jobs its ok. We have 10 million currently open. That is the problem. There is so much excess demand, from a decade of Fed purchasing assets and endless money printing and low interest rates, that a recession and job losses are the only way to address it. The bad news is that losing a million and a half jobs isnt going to be enough, that will mean we still have 8.5 million jobs open. And because of boomer retirement we will have at minimum 400k new openings every year. So interest rates will be going higher and longer than most people can believe. Things have only started. And once oversea markets start imploding, like Japan, China and Germany are currently doing (wow the next top 3 economies), all the things they once supplied us will have to be built here in north America again. This will increase job demand even more leading to more inflation. This is what the end of globalization looks like. Everyone being poorer.
    3
  933. I pasture my chickens. The issue is that it wont scale for folks who want a lot of eggs. I have thought for a while that if city folks want eggs, rural folks are going to have to start growing a lot more birds on their land in a more decentralized manner. Which means more people keeping birds. But either way, that low low cost folks have been use to is gone.
    3
  934.  @enjoyslearningandtravel7957  and that's probably how this young marine felt too. Look what he got for his trouble. I'm not saying those individuals not doing are paragons of virtue, but it certainly a cause and effect issue at play. If people chose to ignore that or down play it then they will never understand how these things happen. More importantly it was a response to the claim that the OPs comment was a strawman. It was not.
    3
  935. I grow cane sugar in my yard. Stuff is full of omega threes and anti oxidants. Super high in calories though. But sugar isnt bad for you. Now High Fructose Corn Syrup, probably aint the best for folks.
    3
  936. Boomers own 44% of all homes. The youngest boomers are 58. They are starting to die. As this accelerates thats a lot of housing that is going to come on the market or be taken up and reducing demand by their younger relatives. We might have a 20% crash, but housing will never recover. The US hasnt had a positive birth rate since 1972. Even with immigration in the next few years we could very well see an actual decline in total numbers of people in the US.
    3
  937. Who are they going to sell to at those inflated prices? Who would buy and pay full price when you can wait and pick the meat off the bones?
    3
  938. The demographics are much different this time. The majority of the purchaser demographic, the Millennials either already have homes or are out of the family formation stage. And for total housing demand we are now on a downward trend in regards to actual total housing demand. And it will get progressively worse each additional year as there are less young to buy and more Boomers, who currently own 44% of all homes, pass away.
    3
  939. None of that matters with the horrible writing teams they have in Hollywood now. You need a good or even decent writer who has a plan from start to finish. That will never happen. Everyone needs to put their stamp on it to make it their own.
    3
  940.  @aprilflowers2695  Thats fine. When they die and their families sell off estates they will just want them gone rather than having to pay the taxes on them. And the families will take what they can get and be happy with it. The buyer will get a better deal. everyone wins. And every elderly person is one slip and fall from a care facility. Then they will have to sell their house to pay for long term care. People just dont NEED to sell yet. But they will. We are just at the beginning of the boomer retirement and death cycle. And it will run for about 20 more years. Thats a very long unwinding.
    3
  941.  @drwasikeokile7299  Most Americans have no idea of the crimes the Clinton Foundation committed in Haiti.
    3
  942. Just look at all the empty retail houses. They are everywhere. There are already so many people over leveraged that need to sell and layoffs havent started. And with energy futures being with what they are, this winter combined with layoffs are going to see housing burst. Dude was all cap. If you are a home owner and think you might need to sell, you need to do it now.
    3
  943.  @CharlieTheAstronaut  The rest of the world doesnt pay higher prices than the US. The places, like in Europe and Japan, who have to import oil do. Then they add taxes on top of it. When the US was oil independent due to better fracking technologies oil prices were some of the lowest they have ever been historically, adjusted for inflation. Either you are ignorant of the economic facts or you have a political axe to grind. Neither is good, but one can be corrected though.
    3
  944. "Its a transitory soft landing" lol
    3
  945. Every woman with this kind of story says the same thing, "he didnt do that kind of stuff in the beginning". No honey, he did. You just liked it in the beginning because it was edgy and gave you the tingles. You pick badly, ignore all the red flags, then want sympathy after. Just nope. I feel bad for the kid though.
    3
  946. I dont understand how Facebook, IG, or Twitter is addictive. Does this just only have an effect on certain types of personalities or is it a biochemistry thing?
    3
  947.  @mphmph1198  So she was arrested?
    3
  948.  @pickettmandi  it has no merit because there is no standing. If a crime was committed it must be heard in a federal court since the alleged crime is federal. Even if this court finds her guilty any appealette court will over turn it. They brought the suit to the wrong court, in law that matters.
    3
  949.  @williamray880  well not the volume of houses. And considering thats were most Chinese people put their wealth. I feel bad for the common Chinese citizen. Shit is coming undone. I expect to start seeing financial articles with "unexpected" in it.
    3
  950.  @agarrikr2996  I have the same opinion. I served. Ukraine is not a US alley. They poked the bear since 2014. It woke up and now they will get mauled. NATO doesnt want to deal with any of this. They know there is no way the UK and the US are going to send troops to fight. So who is going to fight Russia? Hopefully this will end quickly with limited bloodshed. But Ukraine is looking for volunteers, so go get over there. Show them Russians what for. And not once has NATO fought in defense. As an organization it should be disbanded.
    3
  951.  @jesse_-  it's very field specific. Jobs most normies can't or won't do.
    3
  952.  @paulbellas8797  😂
    3
  953. @Carolyn nah, if that makes you feel better thats fine think it. But it dont make it true.
    3
  954.  @fanOmry  and as others have pointed out. neither of the two studies that were done on that controlled for the age of the mother. But I get it. You have a hill you want to die on.
    2
  955. Whats worse is her mom allowed that behavior because she wanted her daughter to hate men as much as she did. Women with that attitude are like cancer.
    2
  956. cough cough, learn to code
    2
  957. You are starting to see sub 100 a sqft homes on the market in East Tn. Still to high for a dated property, but its only started. So many empty homes too. Demand isnt what people think it is. They are lying about demand to FOMO. Dont fall for it people. The demographics dont lie.
    2
  958.  @realestatemindset  I retired last year in Feb. Made 11k working those two months, not paid in taxes, just earned gross. I got a 12k tax return from the Feds. People have no idea how much "free" money is rolling around.
    2
  959. people arent panicking because the dont understand the effect of a decreasing money supply on economics. Everyone is only focused on the fed rate. We havent seen this type of decrease in the M2 supply since the Great Depression. Dont be a bag holder.
    2
  960. You mean like when Eisenhower and Patton rode down bonus army vets from WWI in DC during the great depression? This nation has never treated its service members well. NEVER. Its not the governments fault, its the citizens fault. The government reflects the citizenry.
    2
  961. The ugly truth is modern retirement schemes were never sustainable. No one wants to admit that. Things need to return to the old way, where the elderly are cared for by their families. That is what will happen. Except for all those who have chosen not to. That is when the whole retirement thing will get really ugly.
    2
  962. Thats a spit mask. Dudes been spitting at folks.
    2
  963. I would ask how are they defining income? Is income a pay check of from things like stock shares and other sources. The tax reform act of 1969 changed a lot of things that most people are ignorant of. At the same time the baby boomers swamped entry level positions, due to their age cohort size, and stifled income growth. It did so much so that women then had to chose between a lower standard of living or to work full time. Its why as the boomers retire, around 2020, we saw massive wage inflation that will spike periodically over the next decade as the last of the boomers cycle out. The only thing that might stop wage inflation is adoption of AI but even then, for the workers that are left, their incomes will increase if there is a limited number of individuals who can do it. Throw in additional things like massive amounts of legal immigration post 65 and an absolute tsunami of illegal immigration in the 1970s and 80s you have your answer.
    2
  964.  @BringbackgAmberleafns  You are seeing a temporary cross over before democrats were loonie. You can see this in Montana as well. There was a time when Democrats were for union jobs and the middle class. But that time has long since past. They keep Mansion because he represents his constituents, all of them. And two seniority matters in the Senate. So the Dems still back him. Idk if the party will after this though.
    2
  965.  @gregorysagegreene  Yea there is more sub prime auto loan now than there was sub prime home loans in 2006. Its going to be ugly.
    2
  966.  @gregorysagegreene  Yea its going to be a dumpster fire.
    2
  967.  @gregorysagegreene  I mean, ive been called worse. lol
    2
  968. I was on the train that day. Got off the stop before the bombs went off. Shit was wild in Japan the next few weeks. As recent history shows with Abe, Japan has a long standing tradition of political violence.
    2
  969. Wouldnt be amazing if families took care of each other when they were young, during middle age when they were raising their own children, and when they were old? Kind of like all of human history. But no, we would rather chase the dragons tail in the stock market. And then when the market drops through the floor, you have a generation of bag holders.
    2
  970. The argument in the article makes no sense. It says that women who are not college educated women should be more picky when it comes to selecting men because they are income insecure. But what the poll shows is the opposite. To women who earn less income is less of a red flag. The author of this article cant even form a cogent argument.
    2
  971.  @realestatemindset  People are still asking insane prices but you see them either pull listings or relist them with downgraded prices. I dont expect a correction like 08 in most areas. But they certainly will go down to pre pandemic levels. But thats just me, I could be totally wrong. They deciding question will be what does interest rate hikes do to homeowners and how that effects foreclosures since people cant use their homes as ATMs anymore. I fear many will be in a trap. Combined with the losses companies like black rock are having in China and Russia, they may have a liquidity crisis. Interesting times.
    2
  972.  @Code_Dee  unfortunately a lot of this boils down to politics. Many other states manage their forests and allow the Feds to manage the federal lands without suing. Heck California wont let people cut trees on their own land without expensive permits that are cost prohibitive. Its unfortunate. Its why after our places burned my family took its money and left the state. And now no water. Its total mismanagement. It is a political problem. Local weather is accentuating it, but at its root, its political.
    2
  973.  @MrWepx-hy6sn  Fair enough. I dont always go as deep into what I think because I dont write a book. I assume others do too. So thats probably my fault But in the end, the best part about youtube is the exchange of ideas. Unfortunately the comment section turns into a flame war typically. And yes they are hacks. The worst hacks are the ones who take others hard work and warp them because they can. I cant remember who said it, it wasnt me, but the term literary vandal was used. Its a good descriptor.
    2
  974.  @hochhaul  I have animals. Hard to town cattle with a "small" engine, no matter how many turbo chargers it has. There really is not replacement for displacement. But thats kind of my point. Turbos arent bad in of themselves, but if you need them to tow, they arent going to last. Just my two cents, which aint worth much these days.
    2
  975. This will sound f'ed up. But you follow opsec rules. You never give out real info. You keep that guarded. But tell believable falsehoods and when they try to throw them back at you, not all women will, then you know to strike them from your time. The ones who dont, those are the decent ones. There are decent women, they arent all corrupted. They are in stable relationships.
    2
  976.  @l-kin3480  Hey we have something in common, In the US most women are abusive, physically and emotionally. Its nice finding commonality.
    2
  977. There is one factor you left out. Square footage. There has been massive amounts of bloat in what the average American deems as a first home. My first home in the 1990s was a 750 sq ft house. Today I see people wanting a 2000 sq ft house as a started. Some people complain that their arent enough starter homes. But I would argue people dont want them. Even my third home when I had two kids was only 1200 sq ft. Your graph is good though for a general analysis though. But I think there is to many differences between the late 70s and 80s compared to today to make a very accurate one with the limited data you used. Either way I appreciate the content.
    2
  978.  @JonahsWail  People should have known what was coming when JJ Abrams was given Star Wars. Since then almost everything has gone down hill as far as movies and whatnot. Such are the times.
    2
  979.  @bobthomas8175  It does, as a percentage of GDP our exports are the third or 4th lowest in the world. The only clown is you showing your ignorance.
    2
  980. As banks eat losses on all the bad loans they will need to sell more MBS's. But in order to compete with the Feds massive dump they will only be able to sell them at a loss so the banks will have to raise the rates on the debt they loan out or book the losses. They wont take that hit. The banks will pass the cost on to the lendee. Regardless of the Fed rate, they will have to increase lending rates for all capital loans. If the Fed rate gets higher than 3.5% thats going to make if very very difficult for Congress to write budgets like they have been doing. That means a huge draw back in Federal payouts to states, individuals and corporations. That alone would be enough to cause a serious recession, but we have more than that to look forward to dont we.
    2
  981.  @mr.blonde7812  I like that area, I almost bought a 2nd property in the deer lodge area.
    2
  982.  @yespls6260  I found it amusing when prognosticators thought that the pandemic would see an explosion in the birth rates. I was like, what world are you looking at? I am not sure what the answer is, but practice makes better. Keep socializing keep talking to people and be respectful. Thats what I tell my boys and my god daughters. So if you are trying, keep at it.
    2
  983. if the fed pivots, mortgage rates may get cheaper, but everything else via inflation will explode. You might be able to afford your house payment. But you wont be able to afford eggs or ground beef. Thats if you keep your job. Housing is just a symptom of a ill economy. We need to let higher rates do their job.
    2
  984.  @rrmackay  Pretty much every president has since FDR. But folks want to say, oh but our side is better. Neither side wants to stop spending. And their supporters want to just be able to yell we won!
    2
  985. Same thing is happening in Oakland California. Road crews have refused to work anymore because they keep getting weapons pointed at them and the policy there, due to political pressure, wont do anything to curb it. So the roads there look like a third world nations.
    2
  986. You wonder why young people have this same issue. Lack of bullies. All humans need hardship. Bullies in school required social networking to counteract. Now you just have self serving perpetually self interested individualism that presents and toddlerism. When you are forced to conform to a group standard for survival, foolishness and selfish interest take a back seat.
    2
  987.  @johnrockwell5834  The problem is that because of decades of anti bullying policies children do not know how to combat a bully. We had tons of bullies in the 70s and 80s. No one ended themselves over it. They fought back, sometimes as individuals other times as groups. Bullies are a valuable and needed part of growing up and learning to deal with life.
    2
  988. Debt per capita is a thing. Eventually it will crush a nation and said nation will default. When that happens, if said nation does not have the resources to maintain its modernity, it goes back pre industrial times. Thats why a shrinking population is bad. That means less demand, which means less of a need for workers. Which means less employment and so on and so on.
    2
  989.  @fideletamo4292  take your lithium and get some sleep.
    2
  990. They better build robots. Because in a decade there wont be any Koreans of fighting age. Well, except in the North.
    2
  991.  @cryptofacts4u  Jan 2020. Not adjusted for inflation. Adjusted for inflation it would be less.
    2
  992.  @bsmithhammer  You are right, he called them "disorganized nazis." thats much better isnt it. I think the commenter was trying to juxtapose the current trend in American politics with Germany. But maybe that is to much for you to grasp. The inability to see things from others perspectives often leads to conflict. It doesnt mean you have to agree with them, but it does let you empathize with them.
    2
  993.  @simonhibbs887  I think the difference is Japan was fully developed. They didnt have well over half their population living in the rice patty villages like their ancestors did for the last 5000 years. That and China's demographic collapse isnt going to be as kind as it is to Japan. Even then I fully expect Japan to start defaulting on debt in the next decade. But we shall have to see I suppose.
    2
  994.  @AMPProf  Thank you for your in depth insight. We are all wiser for it.
    2
  995. This is just propaganda. Men have to start seeing this for what it is. Its not real life. Its just propaganda from the Feminist Department of Agitation and Propaganda. Thats all it is. Its not real.
    2
  996.  @niles1492  Its hard to fight armored columns when you have no air cover. I am going to guess you have never served in a military or had to fight in a conflict. (this isnt a dig at you just an observation) The various units probably cant even communicate because the Russians took out their command and control and communications in the first moments of the attack. If you cant talk to each other you cannot coordinate counter attacks. And the close proximity is one of the reasons why Russia could not have the Ukraine join NATO. Because NATO could have done the same to Russia. And as it currently stands there is a NATO member less than one hour tank drive from Russia's 2nd largest city. So many people do not understand how war is waged and so they cant understand why certain things happen. And then there is the Russian PTSD from being invaded so many times in the last 300 years. Their view of the world is one of paranoia.
    2
  997. Its baffling to me how you think that men today think women of the past submitted to them because it was required by society. That is literally the feminist narrative. I personally think women, in general, cannot submit to men today, because the modern man is either feminized or cowed by the family court system. How is a man supposed to navigate and lead when he has that sword of Damocles hanging over their head? In the end though, this all sorts itself out. Just going to be a lot of suffering before that happens. And like the old saying goes, "How ya gonna keep'em down on the farm after they've seen Paree. This is a woman problem. Women need to sort it out or as the wheel turns, they too will be broken. You can already hear them crying about it. Women need to change their behavior just as men had to.
    2
  998.  elf-ovener  So is South Korea is the Jewish peoples big bad? Only one in four Korean women has kids. Im sorry, only one in four Korean women as a child.
    2
  999.  @silverhost9782  Ah I understand. That will start to happen in the next 6 months to a year. Right now everyone is trying to replace the boomer generation that is retiring in mass. Things are on autopilot. And since there are massive disruptions in the movement of goods and services due to the coof the negative feedback for demand hasnt been seen by businesses yet. They are just assuming its there. But it will be as supply chains are restructured and to everyones shock and horror, they wont need as many workers. Demographers called this out like 2 decades ago. They even stated pretty much universally that 2020 would be the high water point for demand.
    2
  1000.  @michealsizemore1  There is an equally bad side to that as well. Many people will lose most of their wealth. Boomers who had assets to spare no longer will and will become even more dependent on younger family and the government. This will also limit the amount of wealth the Boomer generation will be able to pass on.
    2
  1001.  @LisaCulton  I could easily state everything you did and apply it to women. And thats why nothing you stated is helpful.
    2
  1002.  @Tushar_Talwar_09  indeed.
    2
  1003. This is literally what happened in China. Any investor who buys these, even at a discount is a moron.
    2
  1004. They they are going to be in trouble. They have already lost about 17% this year. Plus all the exposure they have in China.
    2
  1005. sadly this puts at risk every Ukrainian combatant captured or alleged combatant. But generally speaking, soldiers who commit crimes are not put to trial until after hostilities are ended. This will burn bridges. But I dont think many are thinking about after the fighting stops. But peace always comes.
    2
  1006.  @impudentdomain  oh ok, that makes more sense.
    2
  1007. Usher voice: "let it burn!" Honestly thats what needs to happen. Men are already finding ways to earn money without being employed and so are some women. We are mid step between a two different economic models.
    2
  1008.  @miguelenriquez8001  Trump wasnt a politician. He was a businessman who got tired of watching his country be deconstructed. Thats what the left does. They are like leaf cutter ants, they just deconstruct everything then when the structure falls apart they will say its "capitalisms" fault. Or the patriarchy, or white people not getting on board. And I didnt even agree with a lot of his domestic policies. But his international policy was spot on. F the rest of the world. They absolutely dont care about the US.
    2
  1009. The irony is Mexico's fertility rate has fallen from 5 in 1975 to 2.0 today. Thats why few of the immigrants coming across the southern boarder are actual Mexicans anymore. They dont have extra people to export anymore.
    2
  1010. Boomers started retiring in 2011.
    2
  1011. My side smart your side dumb. This is just political tribalism wrapped in a scientific lab coat.
    2
  1012. One of the issues is that China has over counted its births over the last 20 years. Estimates of the over count are around 100 million people, by Chinese academics. But in truth, even they admit it could be much higher. And thats not including the 500 million Chinese who will age out, aka die, in the next 20 years. They wont just be bulldozing buildings, they will be razing whole cities, if they can find enough people to do it. If you are bad at math, thats a loss of 42% of their stated population today. China will not survive that.
    2
  1013. China's most recent numbers stat that they have overcounted births for the last 20 years. They could lose that "500 million" by 2050. This is per their own demographers. What is about to happen to China has not been seen in a nation since the Black Plague.
    2
  1014. @S. I mean as things stand now yes that sounds rather foolish. But imagine a decade in the future, your nations social safety net is utterly broken. No more "free" health care, no more council estates, no more free cash from the Queen. Do you stop having sex? without free birth control how do you keep from getting pregnant? If you do get pregnant and have the child and the man cant provide what do you do? starve? Does the child starve? These are issues your ancestors faced not even 100 years ago. The answer is you have self control and personal responsibility. I know its mean and cold. But its better than starving babies and women who have to prostitute themselves so they can feed their kids. But yes, right now my position can save nations from that future. Like I said I get it. It sucks. You didnt build this world and all its crap problems. You just have to live in it. I am giving you another option. Your option doesnt work per what you say you want, this one might not be optimal to you either. But I know which of the two doesnt require help from a state entity. And I do empathize with your position. Love chains us like nothing else and makes fools of us all.
    2
  1015. @S. You are joking arent you? Family planning was always a thing. People typically didnt have more kids in the US than they could care for. There is this view that men didnt care what happen to their wives. That they were just baby machines to their husbands. As a man I find this laughable. In the US in 1800 the average family had 7 children, half statistically would die. By 1900 the average family had 3.5. What changed? In both cases family size was stable. Ill admit I dont know late 19th and early 20th century British domestic history, but was it really so different there? You are right on the economics though. But and I want to say I cant cover everything in a post because who will read it, A lot of the expense is coming from political policies used to buy votes. A policy, like lets say rent vouchers for the poor, sound like a good thing. But then there is more money and more competition for rental spaces and so guess what happens to prices, they go up. Same when people do it for food. the same with health care. And soon people see it as a right and anyone who comes and says hey I know these policies seem good, but they are causing all these unintended consequences. And they are very quickly called every name in the book and they learn quickly that no one will listen to them. I mean you have done it to me several times. You even think I dont care, when in fact I do. Most of the economic issues of today exist because of the added economic value the last 4 generations have had. If you want to fix it you need to remove those programs. But people dont want to because its their turn to get the free stuff. Its like the doctor who wants to treat a patient but has to cause them a pain. Bitter medicine that the patient does not want to swallow. In the end thats a choice. But when a leg turns black or you get sepsis and die, thats not the doctors fault. its the fault of the patient who refused treatment. Who is blaming 20 year old women for a 100% of what? I am not even following you on that. Can you explain that a bit more please?
    2
  1016. Cooking and history, two of my favorite things. Good content.
    2
  1017. Gaslighting bots. lol
    2
  1018.  @richardshane1109  whats your point? If the Federal government spends x amount of dollars it needs to be paid for some way. Even if you confiscated every billionaires total assets, made them sell every stock and every piece of property, still wouldnt be able to fund the US government at todays levels for even a year. We dont have a tax problem, we have a spending problem. And most Americans still want the Federal government to spend more not less. Mostly because those Americans are ignorant or they are thieves. Sometimes both.
    2
  1019.  @richardshane1109  you can cut everything, every penny. But unless you cut Medicare, medicaid and ssi it won't matter. And you can't cut those because any politican that does will get voted out. All the rest of the spending is just pocket change next to those three.
    2
  1020. At least Democrats are claiming John Wilkes Booth. Never thought I would see that day. Antifa is just the repurposed Klan.
    2
  1021.  @xCr0nus  you should buy the dip then. Lol
    2
  1022. Nikki sounds like a moron. Womens power doesnt come from saying yes, it comes from saying no.
    2
  1023. He works for a university. he feels like his job will be secure.
    2
  1024. your out of wedlock birth rates are incorrect. Black Americans always had a higher level of out of wedlock births. Prior to the 60s it was near 15%, with whites it was around 5%.
    2
  1025. You are chasing the tail. Don't have kids cuz bad economy, economy bad because no pop growth demand. Just say you don't want kids. Women need to be honest so we can adjust instead of everyone lying to each other.
    2
  1026.  @clarissak.4587  its an excuse. I raised 3 kids in California on 65k a year. My wife stayed home. Its how one chooses to live. Most people have different priorities, they want things not kids. That's fine. I don't judge them. But I would like people to be honest to themselves why the do and don't do things. I don't think women are bad. They are making choices that fit their best current situation, just like men. The only issue will be in the future. You want to see the future, go look at south Korea and Japan's current economic and demographic forecast
    2
  1027.  @jaybartgis5148  You may want to look at the stats a bit closer. Most muslim nations in the middle east are barely at replacement numbers. Take "our allies" the saudis, 2.2 fertility rate. The only place in the Muslim world with a rate of 6 is in sub saharan africa, Niger. Thats it. Everywhere the fertility rate is collapsing. Heck in south Korea its 0.64. India, 2.179 %, China is 1.69. Even Mexico is at 2.072.
    2
  1028. Ah yes Joe Biden. Anti desegregation Joe Biden. "Unless we do something about this, my children are going to grow up in a jungle, the jungle being a racial jungle with tensions having built so high that it is going to explode at some point." I know its been near 45 years since he said this, but I dont see how people are so blind to it.
    2
  1029. Hello urban slums
    2
  1030. Per the UN the best way to reduce population growth is the empowerment and education of women, even if it is done via force. I wonder what could possibly help nations who are suffering from low birth rates could do to fix that? I wonder.
    2
  1031. Homes are overvalued. People dont need to sell their homes, and many think that things will turn around. But as this recession deepens that thinking will change. And then there will be the realtors. As their work dries up, many will pressure their clients to lower their properties to sell so they can stay in work. First it was start as a trickle but then market psychology will switch and people will rush to put their homes on the market. Unfortunately for them this will be after the new home builders have sold all their homes at a discount vastly lowering demand. And then again, due to demographics I think we are about to find out actual really world demand, as in terms of need, isnt what we think it is. We have enough homes in the US for a home for every 1.8 people in the US.
    2
  1032.  @puppiesarepower3682  This was around 2005 or 2006. That particular madness was still not really a thing.
    2
  1033.  @puppiesarepower3682  Yea I grew up in the 70s and 80s. It was not a thing. There were multiple psychologists who tried to see if boys and girls were. One such case was David Reimer in Canada. He was considered a success and proof that sex and gender were just social constructs. Then when he found out what they were telling people he spoke out against them. You see, Reimer lost his penis in a botched circumcision. So they decided to see if they could raise him as girl and see if it took. He committed suicide in 2004. You probably read that book. Yea great turnout. But it was by no means common. Everyone, including mental health and medical personal were horrified when the story came out. I have no idea how old you are, and for most the 60s, 70s and 80s are lifetimes away. But I grew up then as I said, so I am going to call you out on your statement. I dont care what book you read.
    2
  1034.  @martinbonev2917  probably. That inflation goes bang. And interst rates explode. Either way rates are going to go up long term. Late 70s all over again.
    2
  1035.  @christopherbaker1716  only to those who have none. Liking your own posts. lol
    2
  1036.  @Lara_Larimar  if we do not stand for each individuals rights, we all lose. Its a shame that people put their personal politics ahead of their and others long term freedom. But such are the times.
    2
  1037.  @Mr.H-zu1jc  Sure you do. it explains why the young have no concept of civic duty. You shame yourself and your profession.
    2
  1038.  @JasonUr  Laws dont protect, they constrain. So I think we are in agreement. But perhaps you think otherwise.
    2
  1039.  @Mr.H-zu1jc  ah your mask slips. Thank you for the reveal.
    2
  1040.  @Mr.H-zu1jc  I guess I'll see you on the field then.
    2
  1041. I am not sure why, most of the time the da just lets people go.
    2
  1042. Ramsey and other business people are in for a shock. The economic paradigm has changed. For all of human history one factor has been counted on, the increase of humans in a market. That is changing in all of the world, outside sub saharan africa. Demand will be decreasing every year. And these people either dont see it or dont know how to come up with something new to address this no economic variable that utterly destroys all current economic theories that have ever been created. So you will see much more of this from all sorts of people who should know better because the other option is simply saying the emperor has no clothes and then everyone loses everything.
    2
  1043. The difference today is demography. There is not the demographic demand for homes that there was in 2008. The Millennials are already fully in the family making age cohort. So as Boomers die you will see massive deflationary pressure since they, of whom 29% have already died, currently hold 44% of all homes. Over the next decade you are going to see at least another 20-30% of Boomers pass on and 44% of them will have homes that need to be liquidated as part of their estate. Gen Z created by Gen X, is the smallest generation in American history. It lacks the numbers or the wealth to keep prices high. Regardless of how much of a crash we see, housing futures look deflationary, until we have another baby boom. And the Millennials are having much fewer kids that they were projected to so that generation, Gen Alpha, is going to be smaller as well.
    2
  1044.  @ransomemckissick8184  And that was because of oil and gas exports to Europe. Without that it would have been flat at best. Q4 is going to be a bloodbath.
    2
  1045. People keep complaining about these investment groups. But most are going down. No one talks about how Blackrock stopped real estate fund withdrawal requests after Republican State Treasurers pull over a billion our of the real estate fund. They are going to keep hemorrhaging money and losses will pile up. This says nothing for these funds exposure in China and Europe which are being decimated. If people stay calm they will get really good deals. But, and I say this with all seriousness, people should watch how leveraged they are. A lot of people are going to err and go crazy trying to pick up properties and get into the same kind of trouble. No one ever learns.
    2
  1046. I live here. Most prices have at least doubled since 2018. If thats reasonable for you, well... Problem is that cash buyers are driving up the prices but local incomes will not support those prices, eventually you reach an inflection point. Once other markets collapse and those cash buyers evaporate what will happen to house prices here without that upward pressure? Add rising interest rates between now and at the latest 2023 it becomes a bit bubbly itself. On the bright side there are properties that are starting to sit and that have had price reductions. Thats recent in the last two months though.
    2
  1047. These are cherry picked results
    2
  1048.  @jasonbaylor9865  huh? Who said anything about Biden or gasoline? You mix me up with someone else?
    2
  1049.  @l0I0I0I0  define innocent? He did. And he found mankind wanting.
    2
  1050. As a old ass non serviceable Marine, you couldnt pay me to police some of these communities. Change city policies that actually punish criminals you might get some cops who are willing to risk policing those areas.
    2
  1051. People still dont understand the effects of the 1965 Medicare law. It completely changed the way medicine is practiced in the US. Then add, EMTALA and HIPAA. If you saw how physicians in a lot of emergency rooms diagnosed patients your heads would pop. There are good docs out there though.
    2
  1052.  @mjverostek1278  Alexander, "Diogenes what is it I, Alexander of Macedon, can do for you. Name anything and it shall be done?" Diogenes, "Stand out of my light!" I would love to have seen that.
    2
  1053.  @MM1902KB  Its a political joke, and a bad one at that.
    2
  1054.  Xing He  Younger kids starting out dont have a growth market to enter into. No affordable housing, have been lied to about "education" and starting out are facing a system on the brink of collapse. While nothing you state is wrong about how some of them act, it paints a overly negative picture of the millennials. They after all didnt make the world this way, their forefathers did. I have a feeling that history will be kinder to them than to the boomers. In fact, boomers who have had their whole lives to pay off their debts have about 20k more debt than the Millennials 97k vs 78k. Pretty interesting. Though the boomers probably have more assets. Still pretty troubling.
    2
  1055. Houses, like any asset, are only worth what someone is willing to pay for it, regardless for what is appraised at. And for the last few years, anyone with a pulse could get a loan. What happens to home value when thats not the case anymore due to all the small and mid level banks that give out mortgages stop due to liquidity problems like what is happening now?
    2
  1056.  @wesleylee6575  Are these houses the tofu dreg ones? Most of these houses or apartment towers wont survive the coming decade due to shoddy construction.
    2
  1057. This is why the nordstream was destroyed. And it had its desired results. I wonder if the pressure nato members will start to have to put on each other will ultimately destroy the trust between those nations and ultimately nato itself, regardless of the outcome of the war in Ukraine.
    2
  1058.  @808shorty_10  I have pigs too. While adobo is great, I am a pork Lumpia man. lol
    2
  1059.  @realestatemindset  Fear. Fear of an unknown future makes people rather bothersome.
    2
  1060.  @realestatemindset  I have my moments where I worried. Then I remember that most of history was much more cruel and brutish than today. Keep the faith friend. We will make it.
    2
  1061. Based on the SCOTUS ruling he cant. So even if he did want to, which is subject to debate. Not mentioning something isnt being for it, he just cant do it even if he would want to.
    2
  1062. Im not sure where Redfin is getting their data. But here in East Tennessee the average home needs price cuts of at least 10% to sell. But Redfin's data doesnt show that. Neither does Zillow. The market is so bad most pull their houses off because they cant cope with the idea that they cant get what they "should" for their house and or property. You have people trying to sell a 20 year old mobile home on 5 acres for 400k. People just dont have that money here. Even with this Redfin says there is a 20% increase in home value year over year to date. Its laughable. Nothing will sell at that price. I have a fear that these companies, if they place these home assets that they own at a high price can still look solvent on paper. But if the valuation of them drops, they will get margin called and then the market liquidates.
    2
  1063.  @mathias4851  I mean anyone could have done it. Or the lack of pressure in the pipes could have done it. But more than likely it was one of the players and intentional.
    2
  1064. Gas pricesa, adjusted for inflation, are still below historical norms. Something to think about. This is of course dependent on where you live. Places like California pay much more than the mid west, for a number of reasons, most of them self inflicted. You cant cry about inflation and then judge everything in nominal dollars when in real dollars they are lower in actual cost. This is the literal definition of talking out of both sides of you mouth.
    2
  1065.  @jchoneandonly  how would that happen?
    2
  1066.  @bunsguns8222  so why not buy if it is undervalued?
    2
  1067. And student loan payments are still frozen. You can bet when Congress debates the debt ceiling that is going to end. Lots of young folks have a lot of student debt and auto debt to pay down. There is more sub prime auto debt now than there was sub prime home debt in 2006.
    2
  1068. You can blame whoever you like, the Fed, via political pressure, has so warped the market, every market, that nothing is priced what it should be. As they tighten, it will adjust back. Then we will see rental units getting foreclosed on like in 2008-2009 because the market is always, always chasing demand. And then poof, demand is gone.
    2
  1069.  @derek4412  You misunderstand the poster. They are saying you are comparing Korean data with American Asian data. The two arent the same. To do a true comparison you would need just Korean American data, which the US doesnt collect, as you stated.
    2
  1070. People forget the F150 comes wrapped in aluminum now. Its a lot lighter so it improves MPG, but aluminum is much more expensive than steel. This cost increase is 100% the fault of federal regulations.
    2
  1071.  @diamondback2085  Yea, they thought it would help declining numbers at mass. It didnt. Its the same type of thinking that Hollywood is making chasing the "modern audience". They simply dont exist. And even if they do, they arent the type that goes in for that kind of thing.
    2
  1072. New housing is always the first to drop prices. The bad holders are actual home owners who have insane prices like a 1975 ranch home that has never been updated in rural Tennessee for 450k, I am sure you have similar places in Florida. Those people are always the ones to drop their prices last. And they are the ones who get hurt the worst.
    2
  1073. If it is 9.1% inflation, adjusted for how we measure inflation we are at the same inflationary rate as we were in the late 70s. So much for peak inflation. They need to put on their big boy pants at the fed and raise rates by more than 100 points then. 2 or 300 at least.
    2
  1074. The 300 euro bonus seems like a great idea in a market with 10 percent inflation. The Germans clearly need another lesson in inflation. I imagine most that lived through the hyperinflation in the 20s and 30s are dead by now. Shame, the younger people could use that lesson.
    2
  1075. We live in a time where its ok to be racist or at least bigoted to white men. Its socially ok in many circles now. Just so people know, this kind of thing only resolves one way. They are at a point where they feel comfortable saying it too.
    2
  1076. Myspace 2.0
    2
  1077.  @1mol831  We do, we have Social Security in most western nations. You could go the other route with something like Logans Run.
    2
  1078. Those 8% rates will make it so many business, who only survived due to cheap money, folding. Then there will be more unemployment which will further reduce the ability of people to service their debt obligations. Perhaps we will learn the ills of free money, but I doubt it.
    2
  1079. The median house in 1960a was only 1200 square feet. Currently the median size home built in the US is double that at 2400 square feet. Then you have the added taxes on everything, the added building codes, etc etc. You cant really make an apples to apples comparison between today and even the 1980s let alone with the 1970s and earlier. And mind you, this is the median home. Not even a lower middle class or a working class home. The home my mother grew up in was 600 square feet, and that was her parents, her and her brother.
    2
  1080.  @nellosnook4454  I am familiar with the area, my niece lives there. In that area I think the underlying issue is really cost. Can someone continue to live there? If they cant, they have to move. If thats to a care facility until the end of their days or they move in with a child or grandchild. Its not going to be pretty, watching ponzi schemes collapse never is.
    2
  1081. Yet young women were the first to enter into factory work during the industrial revolution. Times are always changing.
    2
  1082. @Pelón Con Botas I wonder if the bird flu is increasing costs for the chicken fast food places.
    2
  1083.  @takehirolol5962  A lot of people dont understand how movies are financed. And considering what has happened world wide in the last year, I would say the cost of making movies is going to skyrocket. When all the money is basically free of interest you dont have to worry about it being super profitable, just not losing is enough to be a success.
    2
  1084.  @joeyholthusen6495  That would go against the Green agenda, new power plants would have to be constructed. But you are right, it would totally supply drinking water for all cities. but it still wouldnt be enough for the farms and ranches in California. I dont think most Americans understand how much meat and produce comes out of California though. One things for certain, higher food prices.
    2
  1085.  @mistermann7779  there is a debate to be had here. This subject had the officers taser, attempting to withdraw, in this case at least, at that point would have created a greater danger. But in general, we really should have a discussion on what a community wants its law enforcement to do. No knocks are a great subject, why dont law enforcement just wait until the subject leaves the house and arrest him/ her then.
    2
  1086.  @alwayzhope4ever  I mean I understand these types of things are generally just a rage vent system that people do. But the core of his statement was true, there is a discussion to be had here. Unfortunately it wont be had. People will just throw stones at each other. The saddest part of that is that on a lot of things most people will agree with each other. But they just look at the differences. Thank you for your post. Its always nice to hear a kind word.
    2
  1087. Your concern over institutional investors is looking at now. But most of these are over leveraged and companies like Blackrock are now preventing people with withdrawing money because they are in serious danger of insolvency. These same institutions, as their investors pull money to meet margin calls and deal with a faltering economy, will then need to sell assets to stay in existence. And with demographic demand peaking in 2020, anyone who invests in housing for long term gains is a fool. I mean if your ROI on a rental is 3-4% you can get more in treasury bonds or t bills. The only reason to go for housing or large unit rentals would be for asset appreciation to sell in the future. But if those prices are declining or even stable, that math, and more importantly risk, doesnt make sense.
    2
  1088.  @uanip1341  weird, mine did.
    2
  1089.  @aezakmi354  You saw Happy People as well didnt you?
    2
  1090. If only it would happen.
    2
  1091. Germanys best hope is to ban all forms of birth control. Then this winter, when men and women huddle for warmth, what has always happened will happen again. I know, I know, impossible.
    2
  1092. Wages should continue to raise for at least the next decade. The boomers have almost all retired but are still consuming so demand hasnt dropped yet. But they are starting to die. When they do mostly die off, in the next ten to 15 years, you will seed the demand curve turn and then workforce need will do likewise. Its why I dont think we will see tons of layoffs this recession.
    2
  1093.  @28ericgilley  the idea that technology may address labor issues could be a false one. Automation requires massive cost inputs. And at the same time that capital has become more expensive, increasing interest rates, you will also have shrinking markets which reduce your ROI and may make any technological improvements non cost effective. And at the same time we could even see a spike in commodities due to a lack of labor to harvest or mine whatever commodity is in question. Our current economic theories only work when we have a positive growth assumed. Demographics as they stand now show a massive implosion about to happen in the developed world. Fun times.
    2
  1094.  P A  it was clearly a joke. The rest of the post shows that. Yet several people in this thread accused me of calling hitler. The youth have zero sense of humor these days. Red fox or Richard pryor would melt their brains I think.
    2
  1095.  @Jeff__M  So just in my local area I have three homes re enter the market that were purchased in march. All three homes were bought by out of state workers who thought they would be able to tele commute. The amount of people who did this is off the charts. When you throw in stimi checks, some folks got 12k checks and at 2% interest rates a lot of people went home shopping for additional properties. I am seeing more of these homes, partially renovated put back on the market. That said ultimately people cannot pay more for a home more than they earn, and with inflation soaring ever higher, that amount is less and less each day. The housing market has lost all its inertia at 5% interest rates and 8% inflation. By the end of the year the interest rates will easily be 7% and inflation 11%. Housing prices will have to go down. And then there are the boomers dying who hold 44% of all single family homes. Then there is the recession with job loss, hour cuts and pay cuts. I can keep going. And as far as the MBS's no one wanted to buy them in the first place, which is why the Fed had to. Once it sells them it will have to do so at a loss. But this extra competition will make banks have to increase rates to make their new securities more attractive to purchase in a real market.
    2
  1096. And Coca Cola's "be less white", and Gillette and and and and.
    2
  1097.  @yeetdeets  Yes but with companies like 23andme, and others, people are finding more and more that there family isnt. Ive found 2 in my family tree, but they were back in the 1600s. My family is German, so the 30 years war was a thing. You can hire a librarian at the Vatican to go through their archives, if the local church no longer has the records due to fire or war or whatever. It is expensive though. But when you have lots of family members to help with the bill it gets much cheaper.
    2
  1098. Cathy Woods. Lmao Should the Fed be raising interest rates now, no. But it has to because it chickened out in 2018 when they tried to raise rates then. They have no choice now. The real problem isnt going to be here in the US. Its going to be overseas. Europe is screwed and so is Asia.
    2
  1099. To be fair to her, she isnt overweight. Shes wearing body armor. Since she is shorter it makes her look rounder. But if she was overweight the bottom part of her body armor would really be sticking out which it isnt. That said she is to short to be a meat shield for a man who is 6'1". The DEI BS is going to need to stop. Put her on Dr Bidens escort team.
    2
  1100. Yes lets produce new consumers. Thats literally the one thing women can do that men cant. And they are choosing not to. Maybe we look at why they arent and address that.
    2
  1101.  @parshuram8031  Ah ok. You just cant read English.
    2
  1102. Japan literally has 3 million empty homes. Some prefectures give them away. its not 1980 anymore where housing prices are crazy there anymore.
    2
  1103. You dont. You do what the Japanese have been doing for the last few decades. Basically slowly starving to death. Excess debt will be death to companies.
    2
  1104.  @fumarc4501  its not change, its simple deconstruction. The closest thing in media would be the Great Nothing in the NeverEnding Story. That is literally what all this is.
    2
  1105.  @marsultortheavenger409  What are the single motherhood rates of black women in those nations? I know in the UK that black women there have the highest rate of single motherhood. Regardless, when you look at white and blacks raised in a two parent home they have similar outcomes in the US. So it is true.
    2
  1106. Imagine being a judge who releases a rapist just so you can push your cities sanctuary policy. These people have no honor. No sense of duty to protect those they serve.
    2
  1107. Relisting is super common. In 20 and 21 the would list get offers then take it off the maker then jack up the price. Rinse and repeat. It was funny watching home buyers chase the rabbit. Buying homes unseen. With an "inspection" where the guy drives by the property. It would be funny if it wasnt so sad. But I do see to recall a quote about a fool and his money.
    2
  1108.  @RobzdaBlade  First off please cite in the "Genova"convention where this is even a thing. 2nd those weapons were the Afghan armies weapons. I have had war in my life, I am a Marine. And you shouldn't talk about a mans father, at least I know who mine is.
    2
  1109. Demography says no
    2
  1110. over-leveraged companies regardless of the size or market share are the ones who usually fail during recessions. This creates the churn.
    2
  1111.  @ronschlorff7089  of course not we have big moats.
    2
  1112. People assume its these companies that are causing the high home prices. They are incorrect of course. Its just demography.
    2
  1113.  @PowerBand_official  You werent supposed to notice it, thats why the camera man pushed him back. Thats why you dont see any Ukrainian forces on major media either, to much nazi stuff to avoid questions.
    2
  1114.  @pablovaldes6022  Most people who try to manage a rental stop within a few years. Its to much work with to low a rate of return, today that rate is around 4.5%. You can get bonds that pay higher than that. And you just cant keep raising rental rates. There is a limit. And once that limit is reached it crashes the economy. When you spend all your money on housing, that money isnt going to other sectors of the economy. But hey, I could be wrong. I dont think I am though.
    2
  1115.  @shane5385  Which means the price must fall. But the sellers psychology hasnt shifted yet. And when it does it will be to late. And then buyers will wait until housing hits the bottom unless they absolutely must buy. I never thought that it would be as 2011, but with a heavy recession and high inflation we could very well get back to 2011 numbers once liquidity has been pulled from the various markets.
    2
  1116.  @shane5385  Yes they are, lots of liquidity, which is why the Fed will have to raise rates to reduce inflation. Inflation will not go away until that liquidity is gone. Once the Fed puts its big boy pants on and does its job, the effects overseas will be catastrophic. Foreign money will pour into the US for protection and increase inflation. So the Fed will have to raise rates even higher. The problem for home buyers is none of them have liquidity to buy. And as inflation rises and wages stagnate, any savings they do have will quickly be eaten away. That means no down payments. And this is even before talking about recession, job layoffs or the greater effects of inflation on all the markets including housing. If I may ask, how old are you?
    2
  1117.  @StompMom5  reporting has a valid and needed aspect to it in regards to social interaction as well as decision making. Its the idea that any source of media is unbiased that is the issue. But I do get your point of the modern media, its more infotainment than data at this point.
    2
  1118. I dont know about Japanese people embracing him as a character, I think that is a bit of a stretch. That said Shudo was a thing. Akin to how the Spartans had a senior junior relationship. Both were often sexual. That said, I am glad it is a thing of the past.
    2
  1119. Because its not.
    2
  1120. i think data sets like these are flawed. You are look at large populations which miss something. Many of those individual women have zero children. And those who do have a more positive fertility rate, say three or four are dropped down massively by those women. The data either intentionally or unintentionally obfuscate this very known issue. The Japanese study (I cannot recall the name) of women who were married, most did have at least 2 if not three or more kids, while nearly a third of women remained unmarried and had zero. This greatly effects total fertility. The question of the later should be why. I think a lot of people who look at this are missing the forest through the trees.
    2
  1121. Because our markets are so manipulated. For years we have had QE, which is like a heroine addict smocking crack to even themselves out. Now we have to much cocaine so we need to bring it down with heroine, rate hikes. We havent had real markets since 2008. Thats not even counting the debt or demographic trends both here and world wide.
    2
  1122. I went to boot camp with two Mexicans who were doing it to get their citizenship, once they completed their term of service. They were both outstanding Marines. This was in the early 1990s. For those who dont know. The Union Army won the civil war using immigrants. They stated that they would get their citizenship if they joined. And joined they did. They really needed to after Lincoln caused all the draft riots with his Emancipation proclamation riots.
    2
  1123. Asking the machine spirit for advisement on the fate of unbaptized babies. We are living in 40k now arent we?
    2
  1124. People think it would be good, but think of the economic damage that would have to occur for that to happen. I mean its already in the process of occurring. So I mean, I think its a more a kind of be careful what you wish for.
    2
  1125.  @jesse_-  Why would you think we need that many more homes? Do you think we have that many more people? Demand peaked in 2020 demographically speaking and is set to fall for the next 20 decades. 10 million more homes would be enough to house 40 million more people. Where are they coming from? For every boomer who dies there is only half a zoomer to take their place.
    2
  1126. The Euro came around at the peak of production and population. Places today that have population have little production, places that have production are very quickly losing people. We had a global golden age post cold war. And few took notice of it.
    2
  1127. Diversity focus is a huge problem. When that is what you are focused on, checking boxes, you arent worried about talent. That means missed deadlines, screwed up projects and poorer management. All of these things lead to massive increases in budgets due to inefficiencies. This is the same reason why Hollywood budgets, specifically Marvel and Lucasfilm budgets are exploding. They only care about diversity. Product is secondary. I do feel bad about the talented workers though. They have to suffer through the political bs and ineptitude of their co workers.
    2
  1128. Those in the know have to take time to change their positions. If you do it all at once, if you are a big enough player, the market notices. But if you do it slowly, day after day, You can completely change your position without anyone knowing. Thats been going on since Nov of 2021. Most of these big players have fully changed their positions now. So everything can fall. But I got to disagree with you about the Fed sounding the alarm. People wouldnt have paid attention. Just like people today think the Fed isnt serious about keeping interest rates higher longer. People just keep saying pivot pivot pivot. At the end of the day people hear what they want to hear and see what they want to see.
    2
  1129. They expect labor costs to be offset by the hordes of migrants coming across the southern border. But there arent enough numbers. I dont think most people understand the economic impact of our current demographics and the deflation of the bubble the boomers caused. But then you consider the reshoring of all the industries that the US exported since the 90s and wage inflation is here to stay.
    2
  1130.  @heymeng4667  its just a JJ magic box. The problem with him is his boxes are always empty. Or god forbid, just have another magic box inside them.
    2
  1131.  @troyjones2687  I'm going to guess you don't live in that type of community. You should consider yourself blessed.
    2
  1132.  @troyjones2687  those are few and far between. Also, I think old habits die hard. Plus snitching is still snitching.. some communities that's a death sentence. Cameras being everywhere only helps if their footage sees the light of day though. And that camera moved during the beating. It could be it was automated to track movement, but I like to think there is an unsung hero that forced this to light Perhaps we will find out during the trial?
    2
  1133. There are probably not very many people who watch this content that remember or have been to Subic Bay Naval Base that was about 50 miles away from Manila. The stories from there are legendary. But thats where most of these stories about westerners come from. I remember when I was there in 1995 for the reenactment of MacArthur's landing on of the village chiefs way in the interior offered his 14 year old grand daughter to me to take to the land of the big PX. Defiantly a different culture. Good people but something people need to understand, when you marry a woman from there you marry her family. And you need to bring gifts. Lots of gifts. Most Americans dont understand that part.
    2
  1134.  @jeffr6280  Most of their wealth, the wealthy folks you listed, isnt liquid. Should they be forced to sell their assets, it would have a deflationary impact on the markets of those assets. This would make other Americans poorer as well.
    2
  1135.  @Jason-andTheArgonauts  I know. It would end a lot of this stuff. But with Freddie buying all the mortgages from lenders I guess banks dont even care. I wonder if they will care if they dont get bailed out this time?
    2
  1136. Why would they have to dump their property? When you say "they" are you meaning home owners, land lords, flippers, or REITs?
    2
  1137. I think a lot of people misinterpreted the video and its meaning, or perhaps I am. She has come to the conclusion that she has been having to high of standards and now sees all those around her doing the same and is now at the oh shit moment. That moment of understanding of all the errors in your life that led to this moment. She sees this. But she puts a stand in for the average single woman in her forties in the video. Its a PSA with an ambiguous message. I hope more women start doing this.
    2
  1138. does it bother you that no one is upset by your comment? Most people dont care about race, even if you do.
    2
  1139. I lived in Japan for over 4 years. I can count on both hands the number of pregnant women I saw. And one was my friends wife. Yall are like shinobi. Congrats on your baby. May they be fat and happy.
    2
  1140. Trump would have to accept the pardon. Which he wouldnt. That would be akin to admitting he was guilty of the felonies. The Democrats started this storm. Not just the politicians, but the folks who elected him as well. They are going to have ride it out. Imagine starting something like this over being salty about Hillary Clinton losing. Folks need to take a step back and breath.
    2
  1141. Id like to say I have a lot of female friends. But not one of them am I sexually attracted to. So men and women can be friends, but the male has to be disinterested in their femaleness.
    2
  1142. Wages cant increase. Those expenses cant be passed on anymore. Hence recession and layoffs. The question is how low will housing fall not if?
    2
  1143. No bull run, rug pull.
    2
  1144. Or you could maybe just put a clause in your government documents allowing all your citizens to keep any Arms they wanted.
    2
  1145. The core issue is that this correction, economically, should have started in 2018. But the fed relented because the stock market took a dive. That is when you start to see the bubble for there and in housing. in 2018 through 2020 real demand for people looking to buy a home peaked, meaning people who actually need a home to live in. So what should have been a slow and steady 4 year decline to today with a continuing decline until either massive housing losses or increase family formation with children occurs. But even that will take about 3 decades for that demand to kick in. People need to understand the demographics and trends we face going forward have NEVER happened in modern human history. Only the massive die off in the Americas was larger. You would have to go back to the 13th century with the bubonic plague ravaging the world before you saw something similar.
    2
  1146. Credit cardistan. These things just take time to boil over.
    2
  1147. Suing these people wont stop them. Only one thing will stop them.
    2
  1148.  @Asto508  The solution is, and this got lost around the time of covid, to change the laws. And many of those laws are changing. Only 7 states still allow alimony for life. And even then most are heavily restrictive of that with exemptions. Most states in the US its capped at 5 years at max. This is a huge change in laws. Some will argue that this is because women are earning more and so the laws are catering to them. But does it really matter? The results are the same. Another is child support and custody. Those laws are slowly changing too. The red pill and mens rights have had a large impact on society than I think most red pill channels want to believe. Heck you have most states thinking about mandatory DNA testing at birth as well as making paternal fraud a crime, technically it already is in some states now. Women are demanding these changes, because men left the marriage market in mass. And there are a lot of good women out there that dont want to be dragged down by the bad. But everyone always sees the bad first.
    2
  1149. No there are massive shortages everywhere. Places are going to close simply because they have no product to sell. They can print all the money they want, but if their is nothing to buy, there is nothing to buy.
    2
  1150. How do you get hyperinflation when the money supply is actively shrinking. Can you square that circle for me?
    2
  1151. Reading the comments its like people dont understand this. Yes the solar you put on your house may reduce your total energy usage from the grid. But all those investments still have to be made to transport the energy you dont generate to you house so it doesnt go dark when the sun goes down and to keep the steam boiler hot to produce the extra power when its needed. Unless you can completely detach yourself from the grid, from any electrical use, standpoint you arent really helping reduce your carbon footprint. In fact you are likely increasing it. And if you dont have a battery wall that can go several days between recharges or if you dont get sun every day, thats just not happening.
    2
  1152. The question is will you be able to get DEF
    2
  1153. Some people just like to look at houses.
    2
  1154. Well Goldman already said what they think, 25% drop in 4 cities, and lesser drops in others. In just 2023. The question is does one trust Goldmans analysis.
    2
  1155.  @Etaoinshrdlu69  perhaps, but you will eat.
    2
  1156. This is an under rated comment.
    2
  1157. Get your own chickens and feed them. Dont buy their products. Or you can go on the internet and cry about it. Or you could just buy their stock. You have a lot of options.
    2
  1158. And no one blinked when Russia did it to Georgia. Maybe stop poking the bear and it will go back to sleep.
    2
  1159. The real unemployment rate is 8%. Only in the modern era do they just stop counting people because its convenient . We never truly recovered from 07-08. Not even during Trump. And its not covids fault. We have to much debt, to much fractional reserve banking, and bad demographics.
    2
  1160. With price drops, houses that are relatively well prices still pop off the market in short order. Its the boomer houses, where the owner has died or someone who has over leveraged that the prices are still high on. When these people finally understand that they cannot get what they want or need for their homes you will see prices drop dramatically. But these people still put their houses on the market at a high price so they can say prices havent dropped. But the mask is slipping.
    2
  1161. Not when you are in uniform. Same with the military. You are a servant. A tool of the State. It is why as Sneaky Snake states, few are volunteering. They dont like what the state wants. Semper Fi
    2
  1162. Trust the FBI. Yea right. The same FBI that had agents who tried to keep Trump from being president. No one, on either side trusts government anymore.
    2
  1163. Women are only "crushing it" if you are looking at them as men. All the work they do, they do it because they think men will value it as much as they do. But it is a flawed thinking and mating strategy. And the further the woman progresses down the path of a faux man the less likely she is to ever be happy. But we have lied to women for four generations now telling them this is the way. But in the end it is social media that has utterly broken women. Most men dont want anything to do with them. They are bottomless pits of consumerism and misery. The good thing is this is a self correcting problem. Since more women now are having their first child in their 40s rather than in their 20s, soon society just wont have enough people to endure. I mean the cracks are already showing now that most of the Boomers have retired. The Millennial generation has not even reached to gloomiest family creation points forecasted.
    2
  1164. Probably not until after the mid terms.
    2
  1165. That the US would give up policing the world.
    2
  1166. Boy are you in for a surprise. Japan's fertility rate 1.34, South Korea's fertility rate 0.84, and Vietnam's fertility rate 1.96. In south korean only 1 woman in 4 even has a child. And all three of those nations are exporting nations. And with everyones population near max levels, or actively declining, that does not bode well for demand or their long term economies.
    2
  1167.  @tethryss5001  shit indeed.
    2
  1168.  @knoll9812  Its the rate of change thats the problem. In 1973 the fertility rate in Vietnam was 6. Now its 1.9. Its suspiciously been 1.9 for two decades now. I would not be surprised if their numbers are false honestly. Kind of like Chinas. But they are certainly better than China, Japan and South Korea... probably.
    2
  1169.  @bhaal4038  yea you can really tell a lot of these people never played DD1 with these comments.
    2
  1170. Studios dont let artists make their art. This goes for video games as well as TV and movies. Because of costs everything must be perfect, everything is test screened and then re cut and re re cut it then do re writes and re shoots. Its no longer art at that point. Its content. Its lifeless. Its sterile. Now dont get me wrong. The Acolyte was never going to be art. It was a self indulgent piece of content at best, ideological nonsense at worst. But the executives trying to put a tie on a turd, well, thats what the Acolyte is. A turd with a tie. There are very few artists in Hollywood or filmmaking anymore.
    2
  1171.  @MechanizedFactor  most women don't end themselves with firearms. They typically do it via overdosing or cutting.
    2
  1172.  @Falconlibrary  yup I agree
    2
  1173.  @SparkySharky  You always have this happen in Sept in La Nina. You get a high pressure system off the coast of Nor Cal and it pushes all that colder air north. It also makes the winters drier since the air stream with all that moisture gets pushed north too. So Oregon and Washington Idaho and Montana have higher snow packs and California less. There isnt a conspiracy about it. These weather patterns and their outcomes have been known about for centuries, the 1600s to be exact. But now with satellites and ocean temp gauges we can see the how and whys of it.
    2
  1174.  @SparkySharky  A lot of people dont understand how "tall of a state that California is. If California was on the East Coast of the US it would run from mid Georgia to the border with Penn and New York. Thats a lot of climate differences, Then you have the three main zones in California that run from north to south, the costal area, then the central valley/southern desert and then the Sierras.
    2
  1175.  @Gizziiusa  South Korea cant really do much. Its forces are needed where they are. And they have negligible naval assets.
    2
  1176.  @CaptainCaveman1170  So you are telling me demand will be the same when the boomers, who currently own 44% of all single family housing, die, and no one is living in that house? You wont even be able to rent them for a decent ROI, you could just buy bonds and not deal with the hassle. I dont think a lot of folks understand what the demographics and demand is going to look like going forward. But that wasnt my question. Why question was is there data that states how many people want into the housing market, if so how many? That will tell you if our current level of homes is anemic or where it should be. But I do understand your position on price point vs demand.
    2
  1177.  @CaptainCaveman1170  why would they invest in depreciating assets with diminishing roi? There are easier ways to make money. Most of these investment funds haven't been through a single downturn. I don't think many of them will survive this recession. But with populism on the rise, you are probably right about the legislation. California is already banning foreclosures and evictions.
    2
  1178.  @CaptainCaveman1170  it was only roi positive because of the near zero interest rates though. Those are never coming back.
    2
  1179.  @CaptainCaveman1170  I would point you to the Phoenix market for whats in store for the rest of the US. Rental rates are dropping and vacancies are through the rood. Corporate REITs are losing their shirts there. Small timers too. When locals cant afford the rent prices, they crash. You cant pay more than you make. And when these companies go to refi, REITs always do short term adjustable rate financing because it increases the ROI, they will need to raise rental prices, which are already falling. It will spread, especially after the mid terms.
    2
  1180.  @thesimslover82884  Freedom is only for those who take it. It cannot be given.
    2
  1181. Thats until the diesel runs out. Make sure you have plans for when that does happen. Most hospitals and cell towers have about 72-96 hours worth of tanks onsite, well here in the US. I do not know what Ukrainian regulations are. Best of luck to you and yours.
    2
  1182. Wow where did you find that footage of Burgess Meredith.
    2
  1183. He seen to many world star vids.
    2
  1184. Immigrant workers. From where. The rest of the world, aside from Sub Saharan Africa arent even at replacement levels. Mexico is at 2.1, South Korea 0.5 Brazil it was 0.72 in 2018. We are at the pause as most of the nations of the world stop growing population wise. By 2050 most nations will be like Japan whose population is declining since 2009 is losing 400k a year. You wont be finding any more workers.
    2
  1185. These companies, like the banks, wont mind if they have losses. They just need to control the losses so they can write them off for tax purposes without going bankrupt. That means spreading out the losses slowly.
    2
  1186.  @ronaldwhite4223  The worst part is people dont want to see it. I get it its scary. But we have let every market, world wide, just go to crazy because of the cheap money for almost a decade. Only people who provide value to their companies will have a job. I can really understand why that scares people. Most people dont add anything to their companies bottom line. I dont wish ill on anyone. I just want them to be ready.
    2
  1187.  @TheBigSCG  Thank you brother. Our corpsman were always good to us.
    2
  1188.  @blursithflow9442  I doubt there are many in who remember Subic Bay, those days were legendary. In the 90s you could go all weekend in thailand with 20 bucks. Bed, booze and babes. Welcome to the Corps brother.
    2
  1189. They arent upset about the Nitrogen gas being used, just that there was an execution that they couldnt object to the method being cruel.
    2
  1190. There is a demographic difference between now and 2005. In 2005 Millennials were at the beginning to middle of their family creation phase. Now they are at its end. At the same time boomers are starting to die off. And if you look at the distribution of homes, 44% are owned by boomers. These assets will be sold off or kept lessening demand as boomers die off. At the same time the next two generations, the Zoomers and Gen Alpha, together arent as big as the Boomer cohort. And that is over twice the time period. There will be no demand in the future for the number of homes we have. I feel we will see a very fast fall 10-20% then a very long and steady never ending decline of price decreases. At least until people start having kids again. You can already see this taking place in nations like Japan. The same will happen here.
    2
  1191.  @mywifesboyfriend5558  I think you forgot your meds. If you are a troll you are a weak ass troll, if you are an atheist you need to work on your points. Or do you just come on the internet while your wifes boyfriend is with her?
    2
  1192. two main differences. Germany and Belgium have had their declines since the late 60s, The US never really had a severe drop. Just a very little below replacement level since 1972. And we have had massive amounts of immigration that cover the difference. But even the immigration is drying up in total numbers. It use to be women got married early and had children young, in their early 20s. that meant that there would be a new generation every 20 years. But since the 1970s women have pushed back their family creation time until around 30. That means in any give time period of 60 years people use to have 3 generations. But now only two. Thats a loss of a third. People dont understand how little things like that can lead to a "collapse" but it does.
    2
  1193.  @mizum3458  How long have you lived in Japan for?
    2
  1194.  @thegreenman6216  I never even mentioned the US, boy. You project way to much. It would be funny if it werent so sad. Be better.
    2
  1195.  @orrorsaness5942  I mean if I came home from a long day of work and my wife said she gave our baby to some guy in a robe cuz it was a great honor, I'd have questions. I think a lot of people misjudge how common jedi were. I'd imagine it was like the green lantern corps. So many planets and moons. Most people never probably had zero contact with jedi. Whose to even know if they are real?
    2
  1196.  @imcorrectyourwrong5132  @ 1:05 you can see the officer put his hand on top of the taser in the suspect/victims right hand. I am not sure you can see that on a small cell phone, but on a 60 inch tv its very clear. It will be argued that the man who was shot was attempting to move the taser to a position, which he might have been able to use the weapon on the officer.
    2
  1197.  @lpass1  I totally understand. And while I don't know the specifics of your life or job field, have you considered relocating? A lot of people are afraid to, but with good research you can find a place with much better prospects long term
    2
  1198. The US hasnt been at replacement rates demographically since 1972. We have just covered it up with with massive amounts of immigration, first from Mexico, then central america and now because both those places have zero population growth we are starting to see sub saharan africans make the journey, but only a few. They prefer Europe though. As Kevin Samuels loves to point out, close to 50% of black men never had kids. Its 30% for white men. These are stats few talk about but they are there if you look at them. We have gone two full generations since the last time we had actual positive population growth. Demographers had been warning the west about 2020, it was the high water mark for demand due to the massive changes in demography. In another 20 years, women will either have to be a wife or be like one of those doctors or lawyers in Venezuela today. Its sad really.
    2
  1199.  @claytonmatt4334  Seem that in EVERY state I have been to. Doesnt matter if its a union or non union state. Again, every job has inefficiencies. Are there lazy people, yea. Probably 15 percent of every company needs to be terminated. But sometimes all you can do is hurry up and wait.
    2
  1200. A lot of that was because of the tariffs the current admin had on lumber so Canada reduced exports. But apparently they sorted it out now and so lumber is just rolling in. The only thing keeping lumber up is excess liquidity in the market.
    2
  1201. one on one altercations very rarely end well. It would be nice if we could go back to two officers per car, but we simply cannot afford that. If two officers would have been there, this man would more than likely would have still be alive.
    2
  1202. My grandfather refused to allow anyone to park a Japanese or German car on his property. My mother had a VW bug. She had to park it outside his fence. Some people dont not forget or forgive. I cant blame them though.
    2
  1203. Self improvement is so important. A lot of men want to be accepted as they are. Thats just not how nature works. If men accepted that and put in more effort, many would excel. But most wont.
    2
  1204.  @MrRicebowl42  This whole thing was overtly political from the start. I still dont see how fauci isnt swinging from a lamp pole already
    2
  1205.  @jimbobarooney2861  Maybe they do like my mother, shes a member of the silent generation though, and move in with me? Not to mention the millions of rooms at care facilities nation wide. I feel like we are going to see a lot of family consolidation simply for financial reasons. But I could totally be wrong.
    2
  1206. And when we, the west do this (send in massive amounts of munitions), do we really think the Russians wont chose to use tactical nukes against Ukraine? If your logic is they will use them against someone who can respond with a nuclear response, why wouldnt they do that with someone who couldnt?
    2
  1207.  @ilikecontent2327  This is true, but im 47. when I was 23, my credit score was low. I was never a credit risk, just didnt have much credit before getting my first house at 23. First time home buyers usually have lower credit for that reason.
    2
  1208. The house I sold in California in 2021 has seen the tax payment on the house go from $2900 (the last year I owned it) to $6500. Thats an extra 300 bucks a month that the purchaser has to pay. Also the home is in a flood zone and as the state hasnt kept up with the levies, my old neighbor said they raised rates 17%. On top of this you have millions of Americans with student loan debt, over 10 million who owe over 40k. The average loan payment is about $400 a month. And their deferment ends this month or at the latest, in September.
    2
  1209.  @angels22faz  I would disagree with your statement. Our law enforcement is like this because the state (the regulating government authority) plays with laws. Look whats going on in California. The guy who shot up old Sac is out on bail. Thats a political choice. Political choices have consequences. The state then uses that as an excuse to ratchet up and militarize law enforcement. Our law enforcement is like it is now, because thats the way the state wants it. In this case it looks like, from my perspective that this was a legit shooting. But that doesnt mean law enforcement is always the good guy. It really depends on the department and the policies it has.
    2
  1210. @Olivaro10  most of the original jurassic park is animatronics. There is like 5 minutes of cgi in that movie. That's where the genius is it. They used both and it's difficult to tell where one starts and the other begins. I wonder if that kind of talent still exists in Hollywood?
    2
  1211. 23% appreciation of an asset in 5 years is less than you would get if you put your money in a 4 week t bill and flipped it for the same 5 year period. Current home prices exist because people are stupid, ignorant or had free money to burn. The free money is gone, the ignorant can be taught. And there are only so many stupid that they alone cannot prop up any market. They just end up being bag holders.
    2
  1212.  @raisaburdak  no. Again, with all respect, I am an American. You dont get to police my speech. The Ukraine is ok to say, just like saying the United States and the Russian Federation. I was talking about the country, not the region. But considering what is going on your homeland, Ill be nice. But dont presume to control my speech.
    2
  1213.  @sadhu7191  industrial potash for barely arable land is a huge industry. No one is talking about a family plot here. There are whole nations who depend on it to keep their people from starving. Ukraine makes 18 percent of the total global potash and 12 metric tons worth. I am going to assume their production will be offline for a while. If it matters number two is Belarus, who will probably get hit with sanctions for allowing Russia to use bases there. They make another 10 million metric tons. If you are bad at math thats north of 30% of the worlds total.
    2
  1214. This makes the assumption that Neanderthal females had hidden ovulation as modern humans females do. They could have went into estrus like other great ape species. That would limit reproductive capacity. Their gestation rates could have been longer as well. We dont even have the data to make a decent guess.
    2
  1215. I dont think its so much died as has just gone main stream. The single biggest boost to the Red Pill was the Red Pill documentary done by Cassie Jaye in 2016. Thats currently from a decade ago when she started it. And that movie was more about Men's Rights than actually about the Red Pill. But it plus the internet really changed how people view intersexual relationships. But since then its gone from being about mens rights to a retort to feminism. There will always be grifters, pick mes and pimps. But the general knowledge that both men and women have got from this discussion and exchange of information has forever changed intersexual relationships and will never go away. Its part of the culture now. Its no different than 3rd wave feminism. In fact, I think it will be argued, in the future, that it is a response to the abject insanity of 4th wave feminism. But only time will tell.
    2
  1216. these women sleep with how many men then want the virginal treatment, I dont think so.
    2
  1217. Because fools are easily parted from their money.
    2
  1218.  @Battleneter  So explain why even though the federal reserve has tightened monetary supply for well over a year that inflation is increasing? The printing of money did indeed make the inflation we experienced worse. But it wasnt the only cause.
    2
  1219. I understand your frustration, but the added money to the American economy is a blessing. Just like in the 80s with the Japanese, everyone thought they would own everything, they had to deleverage everything at a massive loss. The same will happen in this crash. This isnt the first time, the business cycle ever turns. Just make sure you dont get crushed under the wheel.
    2
  1220. Your next life brought to you by Carl's Junior. Wont you try our new Triple Western Double Bacon Cheese Burger? Available for a limited time at Carl's Junior.
    2
  1221.  @keystrix3704  I was going to add that, but I thought it might be over kill.
    2
  1222.  @michaelevans1690  apparently you never served. Most American service members cant stand generals or admirals. They are political animals, not military animals. Very quickly you learn that there are two officer types. The political, and the kind you want to fight beside.
    2
  1223.  @TwinGoats  oil company profit on a gallon of gas sold is about 10 to 15 cents. You are 8 to 10 times to high. The Feds make almost twice as much profit as oil companies on a per gallon basis when you include all the taxes the middle men have to pay to get the gas to the fuel station.
    2
  1224.  @Lucas-hb1uq  Ah well there you go, you are anti profit. Thank you for clearing anyones doubts. Also some of use, who have mineral rights, get checks from the oil companies. You know little to nothing. You are transparent, comrade.
    2
  1225. Thats not enough job losses. We have 10 million unfilled job positions. Each year going forward as the boomers retire, we will be short an additional 400k workers. Or are they not counting those jobs? I have yet to see a super market or meat processing plant that is fully staffed. Most mean plants are at less than 40% staffing. There are so many jobs out there that need to be filled we need many many more job losses, either that or to cut all welfare spending to able bodied people. The latter would kill two birds with one stone. The Fed savings rate is a joke. Its an average. So you have people like me, who before I retired saving well over half my monthly income, how many people did I wipe out statistically who saved zero?
    2
  1226. People got stimi checks. Some people got 12k. 12k is a 5% down payment on a 250k house and 2% loan rates equals lets buy some assets. And so people did. There isnt a housing shortage. And because of the coming recession, people will have to liquidate their assets, which means selling things. The smart ones are selling their 2nd houses now.
    2
  1227. @Anonbin Arymouse ima dude, a very old dude. 07
    2
  1228.  @Goodkidjr43  you would have to ask them. But in short, almost the whole book of Genesis is borrowed from the Sumerians. Why did they use it, no idea. But they did and it's easily provable since we have original Sumerian texts. Probably the same reason why people take old things and claim them a part of their legacy. But that would be just a guess on home all humans seem to act.
    2
  1229.  @zaklex3165  Weird, they said that about me too. Now at 46 I do whatever I want because I dont work. I dont need to. Which was my whole point. There was a time people, even woman, understood the long term. But whatever floats your boat.
    2
  1230. Bread needs stabilizers and preservatives. Otherwise it's stale by the next day and moldy by day three. People know nothing about food because few cook from scratch anymore.
    2
  1231. Americans dont say brilliant. You been hanging out with to many Limies.
    2
  1232.  @lukem21  You can say no. A lot of us do. But that requires a lot of blood and sweat. And double the amount of personal responsibility.
    2
  1233.  @worldlinkk  it's not even about working harder. It's about being more competitive and being more productive. Some people just can't. And that's why we created a social welfare program. But then you have the people that won't. Those that won't are the problem.
    2
  1234.  @skepticalextraterrestrial2971  one can imagine many things. Doesn't make them so.
    2
  1235.  @worldlinkk  you would be incorrect in your worker productivity estimation. The US isn't even in the top 5. Imagine all the other faulty assumptions I can find in the rest of your post.
    2
  1236.  @skepticalextraterrestrial2971  I suppose your comment is too.
    2
  1237. Feminism was started by the Quakers, Look up the Seneca Falls convention. Many women are bitter because feminism lied to them and they know they cant go back. They cant undo toxic relationships, they cant undo one night stands and they cant undo the myriad of other bad choices they made. We, as in society, lie to women from the moment they step into Kindergarten. Is it any wonder why so many are bitter, angry and on large amounts of head meds. Unfortunately men cant fix this. Women have to be the ones to fix it. But I honestly dont they they are capable of doing it.
    2
  1238. Mondale would probably be a Republican today.
    2
  1239.  @terencejay8845  Most women wont touch a man with kids. Just another double standard. And thats fine, its their choice.
    2
  1240. Black Knight's earnings came in the other day, down 41 or 44% I think. The band is still playing and people are still dinning, but the lower part of the ship is filling with water. Auto loan defaults continuing to rise. Banks cant sell vehicles at auctions because the prices are to high. Credit card defaults continuing to rise. Roughly 50 percent of commercial real estate is empty. Inflation starting to come back, which yea it is because it never went away. But hey, the new GDP numbers are in at 2.6, which means the economy is on fire so the Fed can do more rate hikes. Everything is fine folks. lol
    2
  1241. @Magic_Ghost The Japanese person wont have fragrance. The Korean one will. There are tells. Though there are a lot of mixing that went on in the Korea's when the Japanese "visited". But even then, you got to ask yourself what do you mean when you say Japanese? There are the Ryukyuans from Okinawa and the islands around it, the Yamato who are the people you think of when you think Japanese, and finally the Ainu who were the first on Japanese Islands who look more Siberian or outright Caucasian than far eastern.
    2
  1242.  @shooter7734  my favorite medical joke is, what do you call the student who graduates last in their medical school class... Doctor Doctors hate this joke.
    2
  1243.  @Mohawk_Productions  Greeneville area is nice.
    2
  1244.  @Mohawk_Productions  I would recommend over north of Crossville. Whole area between Wartburg up to Jamestown is really nice. More so if you want animals. Most of Tennessee is nice, except over on the flood plain. But thats more personal preference.
    2
  1245. This is naive. There have always been homeless. And there always will be. The question really is how to limit the damage.
    2
  1246.  @markme4  Yea it does. Not sure in regards to what though. Thank you for that wonderful insightful comment.
    2
  1247. Give him no quarter...
    2
  1248. Its actually worse than this for the average American. The average American has a credit score of around 700. Interest rates for individuals with that credit score is over 7% now.
    2
  1249. There is an audio book, well worth it to consume the material. Also for the other books in the series as well.
    2
  1250. Its just hyperinflation by another name.
    2
  1251. No that goes to the Fed for the overnight rate.
    2
  1252. Not a tragedy. A choice. This didnt need to happen. Gaza Delenda Est
    2
  1253. Id like a middle ground approach. IF a student gets a degree from one of these fine distinguished universities and upon exit from said institution and they are unable to find work in that field, if they wish to discharge their student debt they can, but the relinquish their degree. And the Federal government, who gave the school the student loan for the student, then adds the amount owed to the schools annual taxes. This way good schools who offer good programs are rewarded, and schools who pump out endless sub par degrees will eventually fail due to their increased tax burden. This way the student only lost their time and hopefully learned a lesson and the tax payer is not on the hook for poor choices and bad schools who take advantage of young naive students. Kinda win win, no?
    2
  1254. High job openings are a sign that employers cannot afford to pay a wage that would attract a worker. Its literally a sign of inflationary pressure on both sides of the equation. A worker wont take it because it doesnt make economic sense. And employer wont raise rates because to do so means they cannot compete.
    2
  1255.  @amk4956  A few issues with those numbers. California has so depleted its aquifer under the central valley that they wont be producing anything in a few decades. There simply wont be any water for those crops. I know several places in the mid west are approaching similar points as well. Then there is the new tax rules that they made for farms in California a few years ago. Most farmers are going to be taxed out of their farms. I am sure many other places that produce have similar issues. Could they build desalinization plants, yeah but the costs of it would make the farms non productive from a price standpoint.
    2
  1256.  @hemiedwards217  Communist lol. They were tribal. Some of the weaker tribes formed confederations. If anything their system resembled a type of early feudalism.
    2
  1257. @slappy8941  yup. Retired because of the covid hijinks. Now I have my little farm and am at peace.
    2
  1258. very punny.
    2
  1259.  @lorefox201  egalitarianism and everything that is built upon it is a great lie to comfort humanity. But it is still a lie.
    2
  1260.  @Shinka213  I don't blame you for not buying from flippers. But there are two types, those tgat improve a property's value and those that just hold. At least the first kind provides some value. The second kind is just a vulture.
    2
  1261. If the LGBTQ+ community is worried about a person who wants to promote traditional family values , I can come to only one conclusion. That the LGBTQ+ community is against the traditional family. People always tell on themselves. Always.
    2
  1262. The irony and delusion of women is that they dont understand that mean are preyed upon too. Its just not their bodies that are the targets, but their wallets. God forbid we treat each other better. Why I live in the middle of nowhere.
    2
  1263. Goldman did a prospectus on this about a year or two ago. It was very very black pilled. Looooooooong slow decline. They never used the deflation word, but I dont see how you avoid that. Can you imagine 120k in student debt in a deflationary environment. lol
    2
  1264. My grandfather told me long long ago in the 1970s, worndown, he said, Always ALWAYS wait until something goes on sale to buy it. Of course he lived the the great depression. I dont think I have ever bought a game on steam for full price.
    2
  1265. That email message at the end was nice. I dont know what you to have, but you are lucky to have it.
    2
  1266.  @andrewcarlson2178  Only as long as home sell in California. And that tap has been turned off. But you arent incorrect as to a cause in the increase of home prices. But all thats over. Now the buyers remorse will set in. It did in 2004 and 2005 as well. The question is will municipalities be able to take the hit to their already weakened tax revenue streams.
    2
  1267.  @Kneejair  You say jaded, others would call it wisdom.
    2
  1268. pffft you act like that 600k is real money.
    2
  1269. Taxing the young to pay for the old and women delaying child rearing for educational reasons shortening their available years for reproduction. These are global issues. Japan just has additional cultural ones, but they are reinforced by the previous two.
    2
  1270. There is a home outside Knoxville Tn. Last March, in 2021 it went on the market for 600k. It is 47 acres and a 2200 sd ft house with basement, barn, pond, and a few out buildings. Steadily cut the price down to 350k, finally its gone contingent, but we will see if they can get a mortgage. People are still asking insane prices for properties. They still dont understand. Anyone who is sane and needs to sell should do it now. Once the layoffs happen and everyone start short selling its going to get multiples worse
    2
  1271. Fed needs to get the interest rate to at least the core CPI rate, 5.5%, at the minimum. They need to put their big boy pants on and do a 200 or 300 point hike.
    2
  1272. None of those things really matters. With the data we have now we know inflation will hit at least 11% before the end of the year. That means the Fed will have no choice to increase the Fed basis rates regardless what the mortgage market wants. Everyone is living in denial. They think interest rates might go to 7%, but they will have to go much higher once the foreign money starts pouring into the US for a safe haven. The smart people who are selling now are going to put their house below market rate to get out now. Once the layoffs start in mass and people start missing payments there will be no one to buy. Even most cash buyers will wait for the bottom unless they need to buy. Its literally the worst case scenario. Every time I look at the future data it looks worse and worse. Way worse than I even thought two months ago.
    2
  1273.  @rdean150  If you think that real estate values only increase because of investors, well I mean you can think what you want, if it makes you feel better. But thats not the source of the problem.
    2
  1274.  @rdean150  I can only go by what you post. I dont know you or what your positions are. I do know you get triggered easily and have difficult communication your position. And to that extent you have my sympathy. You do a lot of projection instead of asking questions. If you want to know my position, instead of inferring you could ask. But instead you project and attempt weak insults. We probably are that far apart, but its whatever. But thats all fine. Your posts are here for everyone to see, forever. lol
    2
  1275.  @SvetlanaVladimirova8590  Stay safe
    2
  1276. We are already in stagflation. There is only one way through. Higher rates. Nothing else will address the excess liquidity in the economy. And if you think things are bad now, we are still eating last years food. Food prices, are not only going to explode in cost, but there will be massive shortages. If you dont believe me, ask your meat dept in your local supermarket how short shipments are.
    2
  1277.  @YouTubeUserCMXVIICDI  You only looked at half my statement. lol typical.
    2
  1278.  @gratefulliving1760  Must be why the dollar keeps rising. You have some interesting thought processes Ill say that much. The Chinese being modest comment did make me laugh though. Thank you for that.
    2
  1279. Thats called respect. Disney does not respect George Lucas. They dont respect Star Wars. Its just a revenue stream for them.
    2
  1280.  @CountArtha  3.5? when did that happen? Marine Corps contracts are 8 years. 8 reserve or 4 active, with the option to re enlist, and an addition 4 years on the ready reserve.
    2
  1281.  @steveredstone1711  Ah so guns cause crime. it isnt the weapons that cause crime. Cultures are different. Ive lived both in Tokyo and Okinawa as well as Oakland California rural California and East Tennessee. The place with the highest guns per capita is East Tennessee and has the lowest gun crime rate out of any of the three places in the US I have lived. Its not the guns, its the culture. And in Japan female officers have to exit the vehicle before a chase can start. They also are not permitted to physically detain men. The Japanese are not PC and are not stupid.
    2
  1282. Meta is a nightmare of a company.
    2
  1283.  @charlesreid9337  respectfully, you dont catch the flu from hypothermia. You get it from other people, birds or swine via the influenza a or b virus. Incubation period before symptoms is 24 to 72 hours. He would have gotten sick at his first camp he spent a week at if he did at the latest.
    2
  1284. I remember when the defense of marriage act was passed and SCOTUS overturned it. It was overturned because the Federal government had no right getting involved with marriage with is managed at the State level, it violated the equal protection clause. The Federal government passing this law will violate the 10th amendment should it pass. This is stupid. We have actual real problems in this country. But yea lets do another dog and pony show.
    2
  1285.  @johns8620  my reply was just as sarcastic as my original post. You are good. We are on the same team
    2
  1286. I would recommend the Dokkodo by Musashi and Meditations by Marcus Aurelius. The Dokkodo can be read in minutes, daily, to reinforce itself on you. And there is no other replacement for Meditations. It is one of the greatest works of Man. Most books just parrot it.
    2
  1287. They stopped, like people just stopped buying unless they absolutely had to. The housing market didnt really pick up again until like 84. But back then you had to actually put down a down payment.
    2
  1288.  @elektrotehnik94  The US is the only nation to really ever achieve something like that, repeatedly and successfully.
    2
  1289.  @Anthony-jo7up  Yeah, people that think Japan will just sit on its hands if this happens dont understand the North East Asian theater at all. Because if Taiwan falls, you know they will want to start on the Ryukyus.
    2
  1290. @skylinefever  excellent point.
    2
  1291.  @LumberjackLandlord  Wall Street is going to choke on their bad purchases. Probably why Blackrock has refused to let any of their investors from pulling any more money out of their real estate fund since they already had 17% pulled. Your comment makes it seem like its their money, its not. Its their investors. Often times, in a bad economy, you need liquidity. Or god forbid you get margin called and now cant get it. That causes ripples. A lot of these funds and REITs arent going to be around in a few years.
    2
  1292. Not if they require liquidity. The main reason why Feds are raising interest rates, per their own words, is to dry up liquidity. So they can sell the asset and gain liquidity. Or hold the asset, keep the steady stream of income and lower their standard of living because of other losses in areas. Most people wont lower their standard of living. They will sell the asset, in this case, a house. And because of that, once people do, and housing starts declining it will be a race to sell first to get maximum value. Then the stampede begins.
    2
  1293. Enders Game has been on the Marine Corps recommended reading list since 1989. The burden and responsibility of authority. The lefts reaction to media like Starship Troopers is easily understandable when you look at it through the Three Telos political Model. To the leftist, both the the Liberal and the Traditionalist are to the right of them. So they are both right wing. Same with the Traditionalist, they see both the Liberal and the Progressive as leftist ideologies. Progressives want equity, Traditionalists want stability. Liberals want freedom.
    2
  1294.  @alltheway99  Because housing since WWII has increased in value. Its gone up and down of course but overall its trending upward. Of course demand trended upward too. But as the boomers die, there wont be enough demand from both the Zoomers and Gen Alpha to fill the void left by just the boomers, and what little space they do take up, will be over the course of two generations, not one. People dont understand whats about to happen over the next two decades demographically all over the world.
    2
  1295. Japan late 80s early 90s.
    2
  1296. I am a guy. I worked in an L&D, Nursery and Maternity unit for several years. The way nurses talked about the patients was horrible. Didnt matter their race or religion or the background they came from. They all talked epic mountains of trash. Like these same women never shit themselves when they went into labor. And I wont even get into how racist the black women were toward black men. I have never heard even the worst white racist person speak of blacks the way these "stunning black queens" spoke about their own. Women are broken. Changed my whole view on women. Like I said, this wasnt one or two, but all of them. Even the female physicians. Garbage humans.
    2
  1297. What are the small banks response to this? Addition to the purchase price of a massively deflating asset as soon as it drives off the lot seems to be a foolish investment, considering how these same banks are going to be hit with the commercial market losses. Have you seen tightening in lending standards for auto loans from banks?
    2
  1298. That makes the assumption your employment will be needed. People assume demand will always be there, but that is determined by the number of people consuming. And as birth rates around the world are showing, folks are drastically reducing the number of children they are having. This will have an effect on demand and employment when you are an old man.
    2
  1299. Remember when the news was just the news and not commentary on what you should think. They are getting way to heavy handed. The Proles will being to see it if they arent careful.
    2
  1300. The Fed isnt going to flip because of the housing market. Inflation is killing everything. If they lower rates inflation will grip he housing market again and up will go prices and people still wont be able to afford. The Fed only has one path forward, raise rates until it crushes inflation. And all these people saying oh it cant be worse than 2008 are either coping or hedging their bets so after they dont like over reactors. Putting housing aside and looking at the rest of the economy, inflation is still eating at everything. To get back to where we need to be on an earnings to mortgage ratio, so the rest of the economy can operate healthy we need housing prices to drop 40%. And the higher rate increases go the more homes will have to drop on top of that 40%. People seem to forget that every dollar they are paying extra on a mortgage is not being invested or spent in other economic activity altering the greater economy.
    2
  1301. While thats possible, that struck the engine, not the crew compartment. Its entirely possible that the drive and A drive suffered only light injuries.
    2
  1302. @FreddieBob leasing doesnt allow pipes and build permits. They can hand out all the leases they like, but if they dont allow build permits, they are useless political kabuki.
    2
  1303. And then your company lays you off along with 10000 others and your wife leaves with the kids because "you arent a real man". The issue is that there arent a lot of sound folks out in the world who can deal with hardship in any form. Things like choosing to pay your cell phone bill or going out to applebees is a hard life choice for a lot of these folks.
    2
  1304.  @jamisonmunn9215  This is just a replay of the migration from the East Coast to California that occurred in the late 60s early 70s. The problem is that California spoils you as far as weather. And modern people are so, I dont even know what the proper word would be, that they cant handle the difference.
    2
  1305. If prices drop 50% it will be very different from pre covid prices. March of 2020, when lock downs started, the median American home was valued at $273,000. May of 2022, they were $387,000. That is an increase of $114,000 or roughly 31%. If houses fall 50% in value that would bring the new median price to $193,500. Thats a difference of $79500. Increasing and decreasing percentages work differently.
    2
  1306. Considering Bulgaria doesnt even have 7 million people in it, well I would give you my condolences but you have already died. But yea, Bulgaria hit its high population point in 1980 I think. It should be a warning to others.
    2
  1307. He more than likely thought he would die that night. If you had one night to live, would you want to spend it in a hospital? People forget that this was the soviet union, when you screwed up, it wasnt just you who paid the price. Your family did too. Sometimes co workers as well.
    2
  1308. Wait until the corporate debt starts to get rolled over. Its going to be nuclear.
    2
  1309. Many places have seen 10% drops. And layoffs havent even started yet for most job sectors.
    2
  1310.  @graysaltine6035  Thats a good point. Tom Cruises character is the stand in for Americans, or any non Japanese person, to experience an alien culture. Hes not a hero, hes not even really a character. Hes just a vehicle for the audience to experience the film.
    2
  1311.  @thmphll  Israel has. And if you look at their demographic breakdown its pretty easy to see why. Only the faithful are reproducing. The majority of the urbanite cohort isnt at replacement level.
    2
  1312.  @johnjack3578  One could argue that Japan was historically above its carrying capacity for the last several generations. Prior to the Meiji Restoration the population was only 30 million ish. Perhaps that is "normal". The difference though is that the debt will crush the nation long before it gets back to that. And with less individuals to pay off said debt standard of livings will crash. Its also the change in the culture. Something about modernity has made women stop wanting to have children. And once cultures change and when that becomes the norm its almost impossible to get women to start having children again, at least at replacement numbers. So yeah, I think I answered your question of why it would be bad. Its not so much Japans population is dropping, its the speed at which it is dropping and the current demography of the workers who actually pay taxes. It will break.
    2
  1313. I am surprised Biden didnt burst into flames when he crossed himself. I am not even a Christian and he makes me laugh with his fake piety. Do people really buy this?
    2
  1314.  @ShinkuGouki  They are always stubborn at first. But when you are a house flipper having to pay a mortgage every month eats into your profit margin. A lot of houses out there on the market are flips. When they have to drop their prices to sell in a timely manner it pulls down prices for the normal joe as well.
    2
  1315. Technically they are losing money on each mortgage they give, the interest on the debt doesnt even equal inflation.
    2
  1316.  @fortheloveofnoise  Dealers have to inflate their prices because OF inflation. They have suppliers who are dealing with inflation too. Lack of workers to produce materials. Make parts. I mean taking Russia out of the market made many common metals scarce since they put all the western suppliers out of business after the end of the cold war. There are a lot of contributing factors here. Not just "muh greedy corpos".
    2
  1317. You probably want to wait for the next administration, Medicare and Medicaid arent long for this world without serious reforms. Biden has zero political capital to get anything done on that front though.
    2
  1318. Since you work in that area, can you explain the economics of this area? How do people afford 10k a month rent or a mortgage on a 5 million dollar home in a normal residential neighborhood?
    2
  1319.  @MichaelBordenaro  ah I see. gratitude for your response. I enjoy your content.
    2
  1320. These companies are still playing chase the tigers tail. These cuts arent enough to draw in people to take the risk to buy in. By Dec they will offer even better deals to clear this bad debt off their books before the 2nd quarter starts, just like in Dec of 2007. What doesnt get sold will be sold for even less come the new year. We already did this in 2007 and 2008, except then we had lowering interest rates. What makes these people think that its going to be different or better this time with interest rates climbing?
    2
  1321.  @realestatemindset  It is the doom of men that they forget. Its always different this time. Until its not.
    2
  1322. I smell Tulips.
    2
  1323. All of the things discussed are trailing indicators. If you want to look at leading indicators, look at transport. And ocean and rail transport are a dumpster fire right now. After the holiday season its going to be a blood bath. Just so little is being shipped right now and everything is discounted be retailers. Just look at Nike's numbers. Way worse than 08 and we arent even in the shit yet. 44% of its product base is being discounted right now to make way for the new stuff coming in. And then there is the strength of the dollar that is murdering them and tons of other companies.
    2
  1324.  @realestatemindset  You are welcome. I enjoy your channel. Unfortunately for those of us waiting to buy real estate, it, like unemployment is a trailing indicator. So for us, in that case, patience is a virtue. Even if you want to pull a trigger on a some good property. It can be nerve wracking. But in the end, we will win.
    2
  1325. This movie was shot in 2018. And then it sat on shelf for 5 years. It was supposed to be released in 2019, then 2020, then 2022. Finally it got released. I wonder why it kept getting pushed back? Maybe wondering that makes me a Q'er or whatever they are called. I dont even care anymore at this point. I just hate Hollywood.
    2
  1326. Nah the recession is canceled. We have a 2.6 annual GDP, decreasing CPI, and now a jobs report with over 500k new jobs. Why do I feel like I am being gaslighted?
    2
  1327.  @CathyKitson  You do understand why Hiroshima was a legitimate military target right? It was a military target. There were multiple bases in Hiroshima. The head of Army Logistics and a major troop loading facility that would have been used if the invasion of Kyushu took place in 1946 was also located in Hiroshima too. Its nice to look back 75 years and think they could just lob a cruise missile through a window and call it a day. The only war crime was that the Japanese government failed to surrender when they knew all was lost and forced Trumans hand. Truman would have been the most vilified president ever had he sent 500k to a million American service members to their deaths to secure the Japanese islands. Hell you might not even exist.
    2
  1328. This has bleed over into other things besides women and dating. Even in the general economy, work, family. Dont be who you are, be someone else. Take advantage of anyone you can, and if they let you they deserve it because they are weak and stupid. This is how societies die.
    2
  1329. Thats because they want higher home values. Governments, both state and local need that, and the increased tax revenue it brings. Otherwise they all go bankrupt. The "housing crisis" and everything that enables it is just a way to address governments that are spendthrifts. We saw what will happen all across America with cities like Detroit, Stockton, and Vallejo. I worked in Vallejo at that time. One of the local hospital had to basically pay for a law enforcement officer to protect the hospital. Kaiser paid the city 120k per year.
    2
  1330. They didnt even try to put cuffs on that man.
    2
  1331.  @nova396  one second? We must have watched differed videos. Didn't even see cuffs. The only time they had both his hands was when he was being punched. And still, no cuffs. I live in Tennessee and our laws allowed us to carry. If any law enforcement officer did that to me there would at least be one dead officer if not more. Your inability to be civil speaks volumes about your character. See you on the field. 07
    2
  1332. subconscious swipe at young women, at 29:52. 45 year old woman vs 23 or 21 year old girl.
    2
  1333. I would guess that trouble had already started before she removed her retainers. And thats why the video was rolling. My only question is, if this was real, and she had enough red flags to start recording for whatever reason, why was she shocked and not relieved when he left? Personally I dont have an issue with anyone removing a dental device before eating. That said people find all sorts of things disgusting so maybe this really bothered the man or she had did something to spook him prior and he was looking for anything to be a way out. But if he didnt pay his bill, thats a bitch move.
    2
  1334. This is why HR departments need to be shut down. These SJWs graduate from College then get hired in HR because they fill a quota, and its not like they can do anything else, and then the cancer begins.
    2
  1335. This looks more like fetishization than representation. These people always take things full circle back to bigotry.
    2
  1336. Your words betray a falsehood. That rates are high. Historically these rates are slightly below the norm. The psychological effects that this IS the new normal have yet to take effect. Once that sinks in, then market psychology will change. Not until.
    2
  1337. interesting. I am in Tennessee myself. Are you looking and new built or resale homes here in Tennessee? I can tell you for certain that home builders are starting to discount their prices. Though resale homes, especially in rural areas with land, are wanting to accept the market change yet. I am in east tn though. So it might be different where you are at. We certainly wont be crashing hard like other areas. To much inward migration. But we have to drop at least 10% so locals can buy again, otherwise there just wont be demand.
    2
  1338. In regards to the graph, a man who knows how to deal with women, knows how to deal with women. Women take this to mean he has dealt with other women. He is experienced. Its just another way women read that this man is pre selected by other women to be a "good" man. Its the pre selection bias all women have.
    2
  1339. Dont worry, the banks already have a plan for this. Socially equitable banking. Have a bad credit history, no problem, if you are the right demographic. What people dont understand is that this is just a leash and a collar to force you to keep on the work treadmill. I keep hoping people will see this, but im shocked how even the smartest and most educated seem blind to this.
    2
  1340. If you look at the UN the number one way they say they can reduce birth rates in developing nations is through continuing women's education. I wonder what would happen if that, oh I dont know, stopped? The answer is there, but no one wants to say it because they will be the bad guy. Its fine though, as the larger sized age cohorts grey, their will not be enough people to pay into the system, deficits will explode and eventually default will occur. At that point the social welfare state implodes and most of the soft jobs do to. At that point it will get ugly and things will resort to a more traditional way. Except for those old women who had no kids. Old women with no children never fared well in any time or in any culture. I know, I am the bad guy for say thing this. And I am ok with that.
    2
  1341. In many places prices havent moved, yet in others there have been 20% declines. These things roll in waves.
    2
  1342. I have always believed banks never fully liquidated their foreclosed assets after the last housing crash. Also some of these homes may be the estates of recently deceased boomers and silent geners that have yet to be liquefied or settled.
    2
  1343.  @Mugwortcircle  Which was my point. The issue once seen, was quickly resolved. At the time it seemed a catastrophe. And yet today, as you say, bs. Much of the issues of today are the same.
    2
  1344. I think its mostly for domestic consumption. The part must look strong after all. Its responsible for China's success, not the US. Even though the US bought most of the goods it produced and makes sure sea traffic is relatively unmolested.
    2
  1345. April, by April at the current rate reverse repo will be empty. Once that happens banks will have to massively increase rates to square the circle. No one is getting a car loan or auto loan below 10% after that.
    2
  1346. It wasnt the sheriffs jurisdiction, they had no authority to intervene. As for the fire fighters they have to wait until the suspect is cleared. If the officers on the scene that beat him didnt clear him and notify the EMS of that, then the fire fighters did everything right. Even if they did render aid immediately someone with a brain bleed cant be fixed on a street. You need a neurosurgeon. And even then its a crap shoot. But hopefully at least all 5 of the officers who beat him will get found guilty and spend the rest of their lives in prison. They should be executed though. We still do that here in Tennessee.
    2
  1347.  @Galloway8786  You have only to look at that Japanese to see our future. Japan cannot even cause inflation anymore. All they care about is increasing GDP to keep the wolf at bay. But they cant do that either. As our population ages, like theirs has, and then the great decline in population happens, it will happen to us as well. Its already started in Asia and in Europe. South America isnt far behind. Fewer heads cannot support the load of debt.
    2
  1348. How does a person make an estimation on how far home prices will decline without taking into consideration the massive amounts of layoffs that will be coming? Earnings report after earnings report see corporations just bleeding money. When the layoffs start it doesnt matter how good your mortgage rate is. When you dont have anything saved and are over leveraged to the gills, you will be done.
    2
  1349.  @Homer-OJ-Simpson  China will never get there. It missed that boat by being 30 years late to the party. You have all these exporting nations in the far east and in Europe and South America who have imploding demography. Who is going to buy their products? Not the US, we cant buy it all. Who then? Sub Saharan Africans? I dont think people understand whats down the road with a smaller human footprint. And it wont be slow, it will be a cliff dive. In the next 20 years China will lose anywhere from 500-600 million people. Just from aging. Last year Japan lost 400k people from their total population, and its only going to grow from there. The demography of the current age will not afford China the same path as others before them walked. It just wont be there.
    2
  1350.  @shanerooney7288  Not even remotely close. Again, even if you believe Chinese numbers, which everyone, including the Chinese know are jokes.
    2
  1351. With a 43% increase you would need to see a 28% price decrease to come back to pre covaids baseline. That is easily going to happen. If you bought in late 2021 or 22, you bought peak market.
    2
  1352. Gamers of the world unite!
    2
  1353.  @mikehawk4856  You are going to hurt his feelings.
    2
  1354. Rian Johnson said it best, "Let the past die, kill it if you have to." I still think he intentionally killed Star Wars. To bad no one is willing to do that with Star Trek.
    2
  1355. In East Tn we are seeing houses that are appropriately price go fairly fast still, but the ones with 40 year out of date features or need a lot of work cant ask the same prices as they did even 6 months ago. Typically seeing 40-50k price reductions before selling.
    2
  1356. Starfield feels like a game that is still in Alpha. More and more companies are doing this because of investor demand. Its a shame. Its why the best games now are from small indie studios. They dont have that pressure. Games are art. And rushed art is crap art. Imagine the Medici's rushing Michelangelo or Brunelleschi. Starfield is like da Venci doodling on a cafe napkin and tossing it on his desk only to forget it. Its unfinished. And it shows.
    2
  1357. @ian x Most of their debt isnt internal. How do you think it pays for its fuel costs? When Japan goes bankrupt as a nation it will be in the dark, just like Turkey is now. And as the demand drops around the world and their GDP shrinks that debt will get larger and larger until it crushes them. Thats when people stop sending them fuel and food. Japan should be watched. What happens to them will happen to every nation in the west. I do think its funny that the British are complaining about immigration. Considering their royal family is German. But its whatever.
    2
  1358. Ask yourself when ANY majors in real estate have ever said there will be a ten to 20 percent "correction"? Just once, can you name any time where they have said housing will go down? Even during 2006-2012 they kept saying..." this year housing will stabilize and we should see returns to growth". That should tell you how bad it is going to be. They are saying there will be losses so they wont be liable for all the money lost that is their clients. But the end result of this has and will always be for the majority of Americans, they will have a lower standard of living. But thats what happens when you live off debt for 80 years.
    2
  1359. Dont believe in yourself. Believe in me. Believe in the Kamina who believes in you! Now that I think about it thats kind of like the Christian message with Jesus.
    2
  1360.  @calc1657  The future is made one choice at a time. Want a better future, make better choices. Not making a choice is a choice too, but seldom is it a good one.
    2
  1361.  @Coffeendonuts  So respectfully, I'll answer, but from your post you are either so disconnected from the average American or have a fundamental misunderstanding of basic economics. Which is why I am saying respectfully, I am not trying to be insulting. You dont understand the crippling effects of inflation. So that fuel increase which is insignificant to you, is roughly 140 a month difference. So maybe that is insignificant to you, but what about the people barely getting by. So they cut back other places. How much has your food bill gone up? If you are normal American, in 2020 the average household spent almost $7800.00 a year on food. Add the 20% price increase to food this year and... thats an annual increase of $130 bucks. So now we add 140+130 and ones discretionary income has dropped by 270 dollars per year. Shall we talk about rents or home prices? Those are up what 20% too? So people cut and cut and cut and soon then are only spending on what they must. But even then inflation doesnt let go. And then employers have to start laying people off. Mcdonalds lays off or automates, wait they already have. All the costs of their food inputs increase, so they raise prices and people go less often, leading to a death spiral in the business. This happens in all businesses with inflation and recession. Its my stagflation is so dangerous. And only one thing fixes stagflation, interest rates as high as the inflation to squeeze all the excess money out of the system that is causing the inflation. Whats that do to home prices? Its not just oh no a recession house prices fall, its the whole economy. And since the 2008 crash we havent addressed the fundamental issues. Because to do so would cause most people to have to lower their standard of living.
    2
  1362.  @Coffeendonuts  Prices went up then because incomes doubled in that same time period. Incomes cant double now. Business cant afford it. Do you know how you can tell? There are 11 million job openings. The reason these jobs are open is because they arent willing to pay enough. They cant pay enough, they cant afford to. Thats how you know the market is broken. Look I get it, you think housing is going to go up. Good, make your bet on it. But people cant buy something when they dont have the money. Thats not even mentioning that boomers own 44% of all single family homes in the US. When they die, those assets will be sold. Guess what the boomers are starting to do, die, around 29% so far. And the zoomers are to small even by half to make up that demand.
    2
  1363. Its amazing how a recession shakes people out of their homes. Regardless of their APR.
    2
  1364.  @armchaireconomist8648  Well currently there are a million single family homes under construction in the US. Also there are an additional million apartments units under construction. Add to that boomers getting older and passing away, going into nursing homes, or moving in with kids (Boomers own 44% of all single family homes) these assets will be liquidated. Then there is recession. People lose jobs, have pay cuts, and have hour cuts. In a household thats over extended, needing two incomes to make it, even a cut in hours will force homeowners to sell. For an Arm Chair Economist, you would think this is pretty easy to see, no?
    2
  1365. Why do you assume these are investors? How do you know they arent owned by banks or 2ndary residences aka summer homes? But if alot of those homes are bank owned, never regained their values from 2008, if banks sell them, then they take a loss. Then add a decade of maintenance and damage issues. Back taxes too. Also home prices need to stay high, what happens when tax revenue falls and states start going bankrupt?
    2
  1366.  @tomo1168  most people never sell and take profit. They hold and lose value. Every time. Because most people dont look at their primary residence as an investment. To them its just a home.
    2
  1367.  @KirkFickert  apparently you have never heard of the term, "capital investment". lol
    2
  1368. This game deserves to burn. Asmon was right, this isnt dialogue, its a sermon.
    2
  1369.  @Bluepilled-c5t  Yes the Han just brutally repress then breed out every other ethnic minority. They have done it to at least 5 populations in what is eastern modern China alone. But only three of the fives languages survive.
    2
  1370. I spent the last two months driving and camping around the country. I had the same conversation with multiple women regarding men. Modern women dont like modern men. But they arent allowed to like the type of men they biologically want, due to social pressures. Men cant be the men they want to be because its not allowed from a social standpoint. I think, from a social standpoint, we have reached a dead end.
    2
  1371. Spending only popped in the US because of all the stimi checks. Is China doing stimi checks?
    2
  1372.  @ShaneBraaten  You mean like those guys in New York City? Anytime a man does, he is punished by the force of government. Men understand that now. Thats why you had that woman get raped on the subway in Philadelphia while people watched. Men understand now. No one is going to protect women.
    2
  1373.  @AprezaRenaldy  imagine whole cities built without earthquake codes. Things seem stupid or fanciful until they happen. Then the finger pointing and hand wringing begins.
    2
  1374. That last guy literally is the problem with modern America. Hispanic women couldnt vote until 1975? bullshit. In 1975 is when states had to accommodate non English speakers for voting by having ballots in whatever language a registered voter needed. But yes, lets make it a racial problem. Men like him are the problem. Everything else he said was bullshit too. Women couldnt have credit cards unless they had a job. The equal credit act took a mans income and applied to his spouse so his wife could then could be considered to have income as well. So many lies from that guy.
    2
  1375.  @ShaunHensley  I got a natural gas well on my farm. You can keep your turbines. bark bark
    2
  1376.  @vincenthernandez2242  Because she is responsible for them. She should be accountable for their training, which was utterly lacking, and their actions. Their behavior reflects upon her as a leader. She should resign. But she wont. And that tells you everything about her character you need to know. The only reason this made the news is because that street camera caught this. If it didnt, these officers body cams would have just had a "malfunction".
    2
  1377. Buy backs should not be allowed, or if they are they should be taxed at 50% of their value.
    2
  1378.  @IlluminaZero  But thats not what is causing the birth collapse. Is it a contributing factor, yes. But its not the main cause. The main cause is that men are not as attractive to women relatively speaking because since the 70s laws have been enacted that make pay differentials criminal. If you want women to chose to have children, they must have men they view are good enough to mate with AND support them and all their children. Feminism is diametrically opposed to this. And its not going to go away until those government structures that force that compliance falls away. The welfare is just another straw on an already broken camels back.
    2
  1379.  @IlluminaZero  I would agree with you here. Ultimately it is a self correcting problem though.
    2
  1380. This guy is gonna get back pain from all the fallacies he is tossing about.
    2
  1381.  @EclipseEditzx3  appreciation is part of the problem an unexpected increase in tax payments can be rough on a fixed income. And if a boomer sells now, then they either have to buy a new home or they have to rent, placing another outlay on a fixed income. Boomers aside, I'm not really a fan of that generation, that kid of situation is pretty rough financially. Shame that there aren't more multigeneration homes. It solves so many of these issues people, young and old, are having.
    2
  1382.  @EclipseEditzx3  I don't believe I stated anything about interest rates. But I don't think they should be lowered. As for hyperinflation in the housing market, respectfully, that's a little dramatic. House prices will decline back to the mean, they always do. But you have a very large amount of people who state they want a 60 or 70 percent crash in the housing market. They say this for no other reason than they want to purchase housing cheaply. They don't think about the carnage that will occur then. To me they are just as greedy but worse, they try to make it out like they are virtuous.
    2
  1383. Probably because they closed their businesses. In San Francisco something like 50% of small businesses in the city closed for good. The PPP was the small business owner severance package.
    2
  1384.  @Tespri  Sure its true. Native peoples lived and farmed those lands for thousands of years. But just because you dont know how to do it, it cant be done. How self centered do you have to be?
    2
  1385.  @realestatemindset  once you see it, it cannot be unseen. Health to you and your family.
    2
  1386.  @NicKennelty  Everyone else is printing like mad too. So relative to other currencies it will stay the same. At least I assume thats the plan
    2
  1387.  @BillGreenAZ  it won't implode. Monetary increase relative other currencies means its value won't change, if other nations do it as well. What this will allow is the servicing of national debt. That's why the fed won't raise interest rates. The fed gov would default. Which would lead to other nations doing so as well. But this only will work so long as gdp increases. The moment it stops, like the "pandemic" the wheels fall off. And now it's just a case of when not if gdp reduces across almost all nations.
    2
  1388.  @adm7890  Of course there is, there is a literal supply shortage. Thats how the market creates more supply normally. But it cant because of political ideology. But supposedly they will be lowering tariffs in august, why they are waiting until august I have no idea. Ironically, the Canadian lumber companies are the largest donators to American environmentalists groups like the Sierra Club. They shut down our lumber harvesting and then reap the rewards with theirs.
    2
  1389.  @rjm7166  Cry more. See if that is effective. lol Either people are in charge of their government or not. Are you saying you are at the mercy of your government? Maybe you should do something about it, besides crying about it on the internet.
    2
  1390.  @aolvaar8792  You are mad because you fail to communicate effectively. Clearly thats my fault. Lol.
    2
  1391. You can always see the protected lambs when they enter the world because they have no sense of self preservation. Shes never even probably been spanked before. Certainly eats well enough.
    2
  1392. If people drop out of the labor market, the 600k plus, and unemployment stays the same, you would expect to see an upward tick in the labor participation rate, because there are fewer workers, which you dont. In short the government is lying. Its an election year after all. Dont believe your lying eyes.
    2
  1393. New York city is a no go zone now. I mean if people watch the whole video they can see after the man passes out, the Marine lets off the hold puts him in the recovery position and renders aid. At which time the man is still breathing. Along with a black and hispanic man who assisted the Marine in subduing him. This is insane.
    2
  1394. You can tell from that salute she isnt a Marine. A rope can address this situation in about 5 minutes.
    2
  1395. Rumor is they axed Chief Crowley because she was complaining about budget cuts. Id also like to point out that Crowley was on the Office of Homeland Security Advisory Council that supposedly advises the President. I'd wager this isnt over yet.
    2
  1396.  @user-zk6fc3dw9e  I've seen houses re listed the same day.
    2
  1397.  @realestatemindset  it will not be pretty. Considering how many investors are literally betting on a fed pivot. It's like a religion at this point.
    2
  1398. Ah you listened to the AFRTS minute. Always pay yourself first. Those little skits they had on TV uin the 90s always made me laugh.
    2
  1399.  @austrebertoperez2403  you should buy stock then
    2
  1400. Ah, it really is like this. Men dont quit there job until they have another one lined up. Just like women dont leave a man until she has another one lined up.
    2
  1401. No, they are just trying to live another day. Margin calls are starting. They cant just hold the cash, they have to at least try to invest it. This is what happens when you are over leveraged. You dont have the option to just stop.
    2
  1402. New construction always drop prices first. Then home owners follow suite. No one wants to be the first in their neighborhood to sell for less. But once it does, people understand that to sell they have to drop prices. Its why we are starting to see all these insane price drops. They dont understand that their houses are priced way to high, yet.
    2
  1403. At least Democrats are finally claiming John Wilkes Booth. So there is that.
    2
  1404. I hate to sound like a dick, but I am 48 and retired. Let the world eat itself. I will watch from the hills outside Knoxville and laugh.
    2
  1405.  @ArtisChronicles  I mean that is the case in nominal dollars. But if you look at it in real dollars, it changes the picture. But most folks dont know the difference between real and nominal dollars. That said, my main point was to correct the individual who said home prices have had double digit increases, or whatever he wrote, every year for the last 100 years. Thats just false. But I dont think its funny. Thats what happens when you endlessly print currency and your nations GDP is 40% government spending. Shit gets weird. But that also will me the down side will be equally as massive. A lot of folks get hurt that way too.
    2
  1406. Conservatives flee developed cities because of certain issues. Then those cities become liberal by default. San Francisco was one of the most conservative cities in the US prior the the 60s.
    2
  1407.  @sableyez  Thats why it will happen slow, like most union jobs. As they retire. Most of these guys are getting older, typically retire at 50 to 55ish. Average age of the members is 49. do the math.
    2
  1408.  @sableyez  You make the assumption there are younger people. have you looked at the American demographic pyramid lately? Few want to do that work now. Why do you think the men that do work there work all that overtime? Because they cant hire anyone. Either they cant pass the security clearances or they have some other issue that makes the unhireable. I get it though. thats always the union line. And I think automation in this case is dumb. Most folks dont remember a few years back when the pipeline got hacked and the east coast was out of gas for a week. Do people want that to happen to the ports too? Sometimes a job is so critical it needs to be less efficient so it can be more safe. But the reasoning behind it is different I guess.
    2
  1409. That would require personal responsibility. Why be responsible when you can use it as a wedge issue.
    2
  1410. All of these problems self resolve. But in the end, women will be the hardest hit. I dont say that to be ironic or funny, just thats how it will always be viewed. What will change is how women are viewed by men. And that may be a permanent cultural change.
    2
  1411.  @michaelhoudecki3657  If you mean selfish as in they go after their own self interest, yea I would agree. But most men do too. I have met women who have been incredibly disciplined and driven. But they are exceptions to the rule. My statement was meant to communicate that womens currently accepted behavior will be used against them in the future. We gave you freedom and you shirked your responsibility. Women currently get away with that while men are castigated in public for it. Men are just expected to be better, because they are men.
    2
  1412. @S. People didnt have child care cost in the 60s. Women raised their own kids by and large at least in the US, im assuming things in Britain were similar. But you also have a much higher standard of living than people did in the 60s. Ask yourself, would you return to that standard of living if you could afford to have as many kids as you wanted. You would?! Well thats amazing, you can start doing that today. And thats the problem, women and a lot of men dont want to. And thats ok. But every choice has a consequence. Also i was curious as to the fertility rate in the UK in the 60s, its high point in 1963 was 2.8 (the average woman had 2.8 children), by 1969 it dropped to 2.4 and you all have been at about 1.7 since 1979. So your basic idea is way off.
    2
  1413. the argument that home prices cannot crash because there is no surplus is just bad reasoning. Home prices did not go up because there were a lack of homes, they went up because there was cheap money. And I am not talking since covaids, im talking all the way back to 2014. Now that money is less cheap, those prices should come down. Anyone who holds out is going to be left holding very overpriced property.
    2
  1414. international buyers. A lot of people looking to place their cash in a safe place.
    2
  1415. Yup, its a way to shift payment costs. Another diversion to the elderly.
    2
  1416. This is ultimately because of rising rates, not liquidity. The treasuries that all these banks have bought over the last 5 or 6 years only give .25% of a return. So if they have to sell them to raise liquidity they are next to worthless. So banks lose out on their total return, which due to inflation would already be a net loss, but have to sell it at an actual loss to get cash. This gives a bank a double hit on their balance sheets. Every bank has these treasuries. So on paper they look perfectly ok. But if there is ever a need to draw cash from said bank, they will all pretty much go bankrupt. This is just another poisonous side effect of leaving interest rates to low for to long.
    2
  1417.  @galeriafuentes  You can have the same outcome, with very different causes. You have blinders on my friend.
    2
  1418.  @galeriafuentes  Not really, one typically gets hit by things they dont see. But you are right, this time is nothing like last time. Its actually worse. We never really fixed the issues from before. Just covered them up with free money.
    2
  1419.  @nicocrestmere9688  its not that you are lying. But even if Ukraine wins this war, half of their nation has been razed to the ground. Every nation state to the west of them will have lost at least 20% of their GDP as their industries collapse from the lack of energy. This says nothing of their ag industries imploding and most of them, including Ukraine, become net food importers. And just where will they be importing this food from? No one is winning anything in this war. To think otherwise is delusional. And that is Ukraine's BEST case scenario. That said I am amazed at how long they have held out.
    2
  1420.  @nicocrestmere9688  How does any of that change what I said about Ukraine and the rest of Europe? This isnt a contest. Everyone is going to lose. I get it you picked a side and are invested. Thats fine, but that doesnt change the consequences of this war.
    2
  1421.  @KennTollens  You can only be exploited if you let yourself be. I do hope people see that. Many people would rather be slaves with a good standard of living rather than free and live a simpler life. But that is their choice to make. My observations of Man has proven to me that most dont want to be free, they want to be comfortable. The two seldomly over lap.
    2
  1422.  @herbiehusker1889  No, that was the American Civil War. Almost all of Europe had generals watching to conflict from the perspective of boths sides. The Confederates made extensive use of trench systems that impressed the Europeans for their ability to hold of Union advances for most of the war. The only difference between the two, and what finally broke the trench defense, was armor.
    2
  1423.  @AJSHOPE  indeed. Another factor that many arent taking into consideration is that commodity prices have fallen to points where these houses being constructed now are almost half as cheap to build as they were a year ago. Home builders have huge margins that they can cut before they hit any flesh.
    2
  1424. You answered your own question. Every nation on the planet is monetizing its own debt. So relative value among currencies is relatively stable even though inflation is going to crush every nation that does it. Got to keep the welfare state going. In Iran its 47 percent. This year in the US it will probably be close to 11 percent
    2
  1425.  @fadingjupiter2621  And yet these are the fools who put these thieves in power. They get what they deserve.
    2
  1426. You left out the most important thing, scale. Air planes dont work without economies of scale, steam ships dont work without economies of scale, trains dont work without economies of scale. Our modern farming and massive costs, dont work, without scale. Going out into the Siberian tundra to drill oil wells, doesnt make sense without economies of scale. Scale matters. And for all of human history, The economies of scale has been absolute. Population was ever increasing, need was ever more. So, what happened, people had to be inventive. But what happens when that isnt the case? What happens when the population, as it is right now, begins a long steady decline. All of a sudden those vast investments dont make sense anymore. When the hope of return, instead of growing over the years, becomes less and less? Currently only 12 nations have population fertility rates significantly about 2.1, 10 of them are in sub saharan africa in nations that lack any infrastructure and are politically unstable. People think places like Japan are the future, they are wrong. Japan is the first nation to automate due to its rapidly aging population. But they did that offshoring all their work to nations with less aged populations in south east asia, primarily, that they could pay small wages to, in comparison to at home.. Well there are none of those places left. No other nation will be able to replicate that. And so as populations age, there will be more shortages, and yet, automation wont make sense since the rate of return on the massive investment will not be there. Until women decide to have more children, and those reasons are to complex to go into right now, this will not change. And even if it does, it will take at least 60 years to reverse trends.
    2
  1427. How do you grow economies when a large majority of nations have demographics that are in active decline or are at their high points? You dont. Nations with export economies like Germany, Japan, and China, among others, are the first who are going to suffer with contagion spreading rapidly. This time you cant print or drop interest rates lower without massive inflation. Nope. Only a lower standard of living will resolve this. Party is over folks.
    2
  1428.  @matthewgaudet8001  Tucker was a Democrat for many years. Just like Trump. Just like Reagan. The Irony.
    2
  1429.  @grumpy-dad3701  As many as one can maintain. If your opponent can survive a response it does not deter a mad man. If you can utterly wipe that nation from the map, the people in that nation may limit their leadership to more rational humans. But nothing is certain in politics. And war is just the ultimate extension of politics.
    2
  1430.  @Manannan_mac_Lir  You perhaps approve of incendiary fire? Like what happened in Tokyo or Dresden? How is that different, dead is dead.
    2
  1431.  @Mayaillu  You completely missed the point. To women men dont need to use a weapon. They are that much stronger. So two guys standing at a bus stop is not and issue for those two men. But a woman and a man, the woman has a reason to fear if things go sideways. Do they? No not normally. But people tend to take the most safest route through life. And women arent wrong in that. But they are wrong in the fact that 99% of men would never act in the way that woman fear unless provoked. But your inability to grasp that from my comment speaks to the importance of perspective, which I also touched on in my comment. Doesnt it?
    2
  1432.  @jayb1247  the young men of today never saw that world. They dont understand what it's like. From your comments I have to assume you are older or at the very least someone interested in looking at the past with interest. Few do.
    2
  1433. Yup the best thing they could have did with Mando is keep all known previous Star Wars characters out of it.
    2
  1434. The Germans had the same problem with Hitlerium.
    2
  1435. Bring back the posse, wont need hardly any cops. But then folks have to be personally responsible.
    2
  1436.  @pcbacklash_3261  Thats an excellent point. This may be a push for the Europeans to actually do a bit more.
    2
  1437. Yea they have to compete with the Fed dumping their MBS's. Thats what caused the spike in interest rates. And when the Fed doubles the amount they are going to be selling every month, there will be another spike. I am not sure how people havent put this together. But I am glad im not alone in my thinking.
    2
  1438. Hes a globalist., Democrats and Republicans for the most part support globalism so he doesnt need to be either. He is an unabashed globalist at that. And while I disagree with globalism, I can respect him for always being upfront about it.
    2
  1439.  @armaanchowdhury1690  you people? Here I am being civil. Lol I'm not even religious clown. And having lived in Japan 10 years, they wouldn't take kindly to religion anyways.
    2
  1440.  @danielfiore8865  The problem with that definition is that millennial family formation is well below the historical trend.
    2
  1441. Nah thats the blessing of fiat currency. Its not worth anything.
    2
  1442. its funny you mention India. India is also below replacement rate. 1.9 fertility rate now to be exact. African nations fertility rates are dropping by 50% each generation. 2 more generations and they will all be below replacement rates. I get called a bad man for stating the obvious. Where women's education increases, fertility rates implode. Women cant do both, at least not the way they have been directed to by feminists for the last 5 generations.
    2
  1443.  @desaranfenrir9295  Thats the issue, its not my log in information, it would have been my fathers. And if you read most of the typical digit user forms the information is non transferable. So again, you dont really own it. Which is my point.
    2
  1444.  @mikesoreal  You just nod a lot and say, "Ah. I see." "You are so knowledgeable." "You dont sound like you are appreciated enough by your peers." They are two of the easiest professions to manipulate.
    2
  1445. Its weird these people never seem to worry about males are physically portrayed. Thats how you know this is all political bs and to be ignored,.
    2
  1446. Its just a single metric. By itself it doesnt mean anything. But add it to a bunch of other metrics like how much has income increased, how much has inflation increased, what is the future tax burden, what is the future job market looking like, etc etc. All these things paint a picture of what the future of the housing market will be. Like out west, the single greatest factor for future property value will probably be water scarcity. But if they get a couple of really wet winters it might not happen. So going by just one metric is insanely stupid. Its just a brushstroke on a painting.
    2
  1447. Since these small banks, the ones who are at risk of collapse, are the one who do most of the lending for mortgages the exact opposite would happen. These banks will end up having to tighten lending standards making it harder for homer purchasers to get a mortgage. Perhaps you are talking about all cash purchasers?
    2
  1448.  @11235but  tell me you don't understand economics without saying you don't understand economics. Lol
    2
  1449.  @11235but  I know you dont understand basic economic theory. You can deflect all you like.
    2
  1450. My sister bought a home in Folsom in the early 90s. 125k. lol This is crazy
    2
  1451.  @pickettmandi  Which constitutional amendment is it, i would be interested in educating myself, if I am incorrect?
    2
  1452.  @pickettmandi  When was she found guilty of any crime of this kind? I am not being partisan, im asking a legal question?
    2
  1453.  @pickettmandi  Yes so why would that amendment apply to her? We have something called presumption of innocence in the US. If a trial on that event were to be held, it should be held by a Federal court. Charges should be brought by the US government, not what is basically a civil lawsuit turned circus. A Georgian court has no legal standing to even hear the case. All this does is rabble rouse both sides. I mean the Feds are still holding people now, to this day, without charges or trial. If they thought she was guilty they would detain her to.
    2
  1454.  @pickettmandi  I mean dont believe me. I dont care.
    2
  1455. they gave anyone a mortgage. no income verification, reverse am loans. Had a family two brothers and a sister who lived across the street from us who were from Mexico, here illegally. They worked themselves to death for three years saved every penny, they had a mortgage from BofA, it was a 420k house. it was a 3 year reverse am loan and their mortgage was 200 bucks a month. At the end of those three years they walked away from the house. This happened in mass in California. Add to that all the investment flippers, well you see how that happens. For three years they pocketed the money from their hard work. Then when their three years were up they self deported with all their cash and bough a massive spread in central Mexico. This is just one story, there are millions.
    2
  1456. Appropriately priced homes still sell rather quickly, but thats going to dry up once the recession starts.
    2
  1457. with the water shortage out there its insane that local jurisdictions are allowing this. I mean it looks like they have built all the way to the Red Rock Canyon National Conservation Area. When Lake Meade goes dry and the new water agreement gets passed, many of these little communities are going to find themselves on permanent water rationing. If regards to why Lennar is throwing all in, because of 2006-2008 and builders utter abandonment of many master planned communities, many municipalities require home builders to completely build out master planned communities now, to make sure they get the tax revenue that they were promised when they approved the projects.
    2
  1458.  Dust  thanks. I am more or less. I have nerve damage in my legs but I'm retired now and have a little farm. Got everything I wanted.
    2
  1459. We have had historically low interest rates bubble prices higher than they ever have been. Now we have the highest inflation in US history and an incoming recession of epic proportions and demographic shift away from a growing population. Housing will never, outside a few urban places, be a growth asset ever again. Not until people start having babies, them you will have to wait a quarter of a century for that growth demand to kick in.
    2
  1460. High energy noise stresses animals. Nature is all low energy noises, with the exception of electrical storms. Reducing the bodies stress levels and cortisol is almost an overnight cure. I dont think most people understand how stressed they are. Stressors are every where in suburban and urban environments. The largest one is the cell phone which almost everyone carries with them everywhere.
    2
  1461.  @averybaumann  not sure how that relates to anything I posted. Did you mean to post to me and just left out any sort of context? Or do you just enjoy giving people information? Help me out here?
    2
  1462. You cant hold a group of people together when their funding is under the table. You think CNN makes its money from advert revenue? These media outlets are funded under the table by enemies of the American Republic. The progressives long ago made their move. The "rights" reaction still hasnt come. It seems not to want to react, to hold some sort of imaginary high ground. There is no high ground in war, only winners and losers. Canada is starting to understand that now. The Americans dont want to because of the blood bath that will occur. But thats still a choice.
    1
  1463.  B Ulrich  sure they will.
    1
  1464.  B Ulrich  what are you talking about?
    1
  1465. Carl you give women to much credit. Ok not all women, but most women dont care. This is how most marriages are now a days. This is why men arent getting married anymore. Women are mad because shes airing dirty laundry and it will make it harder for other women to get away with it.
    1
  1466. to them Black folks are all African Americans. Like that reporter a few years back talking about all the British African Americans. These people cant help themselves. All one can do is laugh at them.
    1
  1467.  @fanOmry  You realize I always did right? You didnt mean to post to me, I think. But you are to busy trying to be right. Maybe go re read the thread, if you have any time.
    1
  1468. When people say crash they typically mean a 20% decline. Some people are expecting 60 to 80 percent, but that is fantasy land. A return to pre covid trend line seems a likely rational bet. But it really depends on how the Fed addresses the mortgage backed securities mess its created. If it actually starts selling its MBS's that will really put pressure on banks to tighten lending with will cause demand to fall. Also a lot of investors use their rentals as piggy banks to leverage to buy more rentals. They do that by refinancing. That is over with rates increasing like they have. If the Feds do any residency investigation, which they should (mortgage loans are either based on primary residency or as investment) that would kill a lot of the rental folks. We are still to early to really tell what the Fed will do. But if they do what they have been saying prices will have to fall, even if there is little inventory.
    1
  1469.  @phipsdeus2  its not feminism itself is the problem, its the absolute focus on equity. Women in relationships dont want equal male partners, they want men better than them. This is the crux of the problem. Feminism kills what women ultimately want when they want to make a family. Its one of the reasons feminism, in my estimation, pushed women to work. Not because they needed to or they themselves wanted to, but that by the time these women understood what they actually wanted, it would be to late. Women in their 20s making families is what feminism kills. Its school, university, career, then slamming into 30 and freaking out that they need to have kids. So they grab the first guy that they think is suitable but arent really happy and then the marriage implodes and the kids see what happens to dad and that next generations of boys is just that much more bitter.
    1
  1470. These values are in nominal dollars. They arent even adjusted for inflation. When you adjust for inflation the worth of the house is already in decline in most places. Inflation is eating everything. Meanwhile we hear talk of soft landing or no landing and Congress spending like there is no tomorrow. Put your hip waders on, they are going to shovel it deep. We have an election year coming up.
    1
  1471.  @HappyandBlessed-wj7gc  I own multiple properties. I'm cool. But you don't understand the difference between real and nominal prices do you?
    1
  1472. The main issue is men are actively discriminated against in most fields now. Its openly done. Maybe if you arent a white man you get thrown scraps but even there it still hits them hard. The problem isnt so much how to make men better, it should be stop propping up women. But then you look at those who vote, women are the majority. So these programs wont go away, not until society crumbles.
    1
  1473. Here in Tennessee, dude would have been dead before he put that pistol away. Everyone here is armed.
    1
  1474. Except the boomers are starting to die off in mass. Already 30% of boomers have died. As the rest die off, demand will collapse.
    1
  1475. tricking poor unsuspecting women to prostitute themselves. Where are the men to save them!
    1
  1476.  @Relugus  Oh well thats disappointing. I suppose that was my last hope for the MCU. I saw Alfred Molina and got my hopes up. I guess they couldnt hook Paul Giovanni as the Rhino. That was a missed opportunity.
    1
  1477. Because only the south saw home price increases. lol Respectfully, yea prices here in the south have gone up a lot. But they are much worse in Texas, Arizona, Utah and Idaho. On the positive side for southerners is that home prices are so high that the average southerner can no longer afford the average house sold. That means prices will fall. They have to. There is no support for them to be that high, only "irrational exuberance".
    1
  1478.  @Snuffalaffagas  I think you missed my sarcasm. But yes I agree, we should let the Europeans, since they are so much older and wiser than us provincial Americans, deal with this clearly European problem.
    1
  1479. Any NATO member who sends troops into Ukraine, without universal consent from NATO as a whole, will be legally an aggressor nation and negate to other NATO members, their mutual defense responsibility should Russia counter attack them. I hope those nations that send troops understand that.
    1
  1480. They should be allowed to sue, but if they lose, she gets to shoot them too.
    1
  1481. Layoffs have hit the tech heavy west first. But it will roll like a tsunami to the east coast pretty soon. There are just way to many over leveraged companies that make no profit for there not to be massive layoffs.
    1
  1482. That doesnt include bond measures, only assessed value. So if a county or city doesnt get the money it needs from that assessed value it just throws bond measures on the ballot. They get you either way. But you "feel" protected.
    1
  1483.  @eric3969  ballot measures have bonds in the very often. 2% increases my ass. Lol
    1
  1484.  @bobmcbobson8368  You would be surprised how many of those deals are not in the US. But with Europe commuting suicide by not using Russian energy and China and Japan doing their great dying, well I think all of that will be on the down trend. But domestically I understand. We spend way to much and that has to stop.
    1
  1485. In skyrim half of the housecarls were female. They make female characters because males like looking at female characters. This isnt rocket science.
    1
  1486. When elections have consequences. All those Palestinians you showed, 80% of them voted for Hamas. This will sound cruel and maybe I am, but they voted for this. And now they are crying about it when they are suffering. They caused this.
    1
  1487. This is typical propaganda. A quick look at statistics for fires burning every year in Siberia shows that this is normal. But its only a problem if you see it. And the dramatic emotional music is just over the top.
    1
  1488.  @flawlessvic  I think thats more an assessment of the value of the dollar more than the value of your house. Thats what happens when you make money out of nothing.
    1
  1489. Each individual is smart, but people, plural, are dumb. This video on its own, if Americans werent so caught up in the Kardashians, Yellowstone or sportsball would be enought to cause bank runs. They are wise to be wary of telling the truth. Also never put anything in a bank except what you need to pay your monthly bills. The shortest T bill matures in 4 weeks. If you are buying real estate, in a down market, it should be easy to get a buy to agree to wait anywhere from a few days to 4 weeks for a cash deal.
    1
  1490. Its not hate from the left, its fear. They fear what "white" people were. Not that a Dane viewed in Irishman the same as an Italian or a German. But they are so stuck on skin color they cant get over their fear of what various Caucasian cultures did for close to 500 years. Their authority comes from weakness not strength. Strength scares them. Strength cannot be controlled. Strength does what it wants. The Irony is you can find this same strength all over the world, the Zulu, the Inca, the various Indian nations that fought against each other, even China. But Europeans subdued them all. Their fear has a basis on fact, even though today, Europe cant even manage to protect itself. But the memory of the Europe that was scares them. The left is fear and weakness and because of this they try to control everyone around them. They are basically pathological at this point.
    1
  1491.  @badger_ninja8681  I see the next election hinging on that. All of our domestic problems and troubles and both parties want to send billions to two nations at war, meanwhile Americans are suffering. Nov 2024 is going to be ugly.
    1
  1492. Get land, enough to grow and farm what you need, a few acres for a family of four is more than enough. Lower your standard of living. Learn usable skills. From welding to canning to anything in between. Thats all. You dont need to move to the middle of nowhere. You dont need to buy an armory. You dont need to have 10k in dehydrated food. Just look how your family lived 100 years ago. Most humans in the west today have zero skills and if they vanished overnight society would keep on running. Only a few people keep the lights on.
    1
  1493.  @TheSgrizli  Like when FDR outlawed gold and forced everyone to sell it back to the government so they could stabilize the economy. You think they wont do that with crypto? So many people seem to have a short memory. And when your neighbors have lost everything, they will be happy to see you beggard as well. Thats just the human condition, unfortunately.
    1
  1494. Those home prices are nominal dollars. What happens when you adjust for inflation in real dollars. Prices are down. Its not like we are in a near zero percent inflation environment like we were the last two decades.
    1
  1495.  @HappyandBlessed-wj7gc  tell me you dont understand nominal dollars vs real dollars without telling me you dont understand. lol
    1
  1496.  @HappyandBlessed-wj7gc  you do understand that real estate, prior to the 1940s was a deflationary asset, right? That moment in time, where real estate held value or even grew in value vs inflationary pressures is done. Which again has nothing to do with the monetary value of a thing adjusted for inflation. Hence my nominal vs real point. But perhaps you dont know what that is. Thats ok. Why do you like your own posts?
    1
  1497. Thats all this is. I am glad someone else sees this.
    1
  1498. If Trump was guilty of anything, it was a single misdemeanor charge. But they wouldnt be satisfied with that. They wanted blood and they got nothing now.
    1
  1499. Rome could have lasted indefinitely had no other groups came along to pull its rotting bones down. Who will pull America down? There is no one. Not to mention global demography being what it is. America and Rome may share the same paths, but the worlds they are in are much much different.
    1
  1500. “You and I have a rendezvous with destiny. We will preserve for our children this, the last best hope of man on earth, or we will sentence them to take the first step into a thousand years of darkness. If we fail, at least let our children and our children’s children say of us we justified our brief moment here. We did all that could be done.” Ronald Reagan: from his "A Time for Choosing" speech We have been on this course for a long long time.
    1
  1501. Lumber is in the high 400s low 500s. its fairly stable. what are you talking about?
    1
  1502. "military is where we waste a lot of our money." Military spending is between 11-14% of total government spending. A lot of folks think we spend much more on in relative to our total spending than we do. We spend more on servicing the national debt than we do on our military now. Social services(SSI, Medicare and Medicaid) account for 64% of Federal spending. That said there is a lot of fraud waste and abuse in the military. Imagine how much is in the other places.
    1
  1503. It really is the new race card. And they wore it out in less than a decade.
    1
  1504. The irony of this bill is that its already been deemed unconstitutional. lol It violates the 14th amendment.
    1
  1505.  @Tletna  They stated it 2 days ago, with their ruling on the NYC case. This is SCOTUS opinion not mine.
    1
  1506. Biden will end up trying to move the Gazans to the US. Just like Clinton did with the Somalians. It sounds stupid I know, but thats Joe for you.
    1
  1507. You just need to look at demographics. The Boomer cohort owns 42% of all housing. They are beginning to leave. You are about to see an unprecedented shift in demand in all things. The reason for this is that for every 2 Boomers who die, there will be less than one Zoomer taking their place. Just have to look at the demographics. It tells you actual real demand. And its just not there.
    1
  1508.  @sues3218  I don't know how old you are, but Millennials are more scared than greedy. They were hit hardest in 07 and now they are going to get hit again. I think fear, some of it justified led to fomo. I hear boomers and fellow xers just mock Millennials. But they are going to be the ones hit hard, again.
    1
  1509.  @NigeeNkomo  The fire is so hot that it literally rolls through without being able to burn through the trees bark but kills the trees with thermal shock. Things on the ground like pine needles, Manzanita bushes, branches and dead trees just burn. Houses with all the accelerants in them just burn like matches. Its one of the few bright sides that fire victims can at least sell a lot of the timber that makes it through the fire.
    1
  1510.  @NigeeNkomo  Cars are mostly plastics (plastics start melting at 170 f) and aluminum (aluminum melts at like 650 f. Only the steel remains after. Go stand near a car fire, the heat and the speed that it completely burns down in is amazing. You probably didnt have Manzanita choking your farmland. The oils inside that bush are highly flammable. Having lived in the area that is now buring i can tell you that you dont understand how the wind, weather, topography, the drought, and forest mismanagement have all magnified the problems. You dont need energy weapons there. A train running through the canyon that shoots a spark can very quickly turn into a mountain on fire if it happens at the right time of day. Not sure where your 3k C temp idea comes from.
    1
  1511. why hold a rental that you get a 4% return with all the additional work needed when you can hold a corporate bond for the same price or more with next to no risk?
    1
  1512.  @MHiggins  No there is a point. Its why duplexes and apartment buildings are a thing. The dwelling isnt the commodity, the people are. Or more exactly their rental revenue is. But rentals shouldnt make up a plurality of neighborhoods. Thats not good for the community, the owners or the renters. Most American homeowners are going to be upset as their on paper wealth shrinks with the devaluation of their real property though. I personally think that housing will return to being a deflationary asset like it was before WWII. And this says nothing of city and county tax assessors. Some communities are going to go broke.
    1
  1513. At 18, you cant buy beer, cant buy smokes, can be drafted, but now they want to take away an adults rights. If you roll back what is an adult, then maybe we can talk. But I doubt the Dems would want to roll back the voting age to 21.
    1
  1514.  @alexandrabellerose3550  I retired at 45.I dont have millions. I live a small quiet rural life with my sons. Convinced my brother and my elderly mom to move here too. I have acres I farm with animals enough for all of us to eat and a little to sell to neighbors. My brother works a local job for have the wage he got from where he came and at the end of the month he has 3 times the money left over after bill. My mother, being elderly gets SSI, which will be cut 20 odd percent in 2033. This farm is my retirement plan. Family. Even if I dont get a cent from SSI. I have my own investments and the pittance the VA as well, as three pensions from companies I have worked for. But take all that away, and i can still farm. And we might be poor, but we will be fine. Individuals will not be able to navigate whats coming. Families will. Unfortunately many families lack the social cohesion to be functional. Get your family together, go find some cheap farm land and learn about it. Make it a fall back point. Just make sure is more than a 3 days walk from any major city. If your family is non functional find a friend whose family is and try to hang on to them. But if something like this happens the economy will fall apart and be rebuilt in local communities established more on trust and a mans word. It wont be some asshole at a nameless back you are fucking over if you dont pay what you own, it could be the family of the boy your daughter wants to marry. That changes how people act. But most of all, people are going to have to start living smaller again. And the little things that most people ignore today will be the very things that carry them through hardships.
    1
  1515.  @phoenixtoash2396  I'm not sure what you mean by "we". But I won't starve, I'm a farmer.
    1
  1516. Scrolling down and reading I am amazed no one has mentioned the political message. This isnt a monster movie so much as a political movie. Its overt. It shows the abject misery and depravation that was normal at the beginning of the "Japanese economic miracle". And its aimed squarely at the Japanese public. Its covered over by a very good Kaiju movie. But this political narrative critical of the Japanese central government is carried over from Shin Godzilla. Now its up to the individual citizen to be responsible. This is a huge change in culture for the Japanese.
    1
  1517.  @johnjay370  Ah, yes, so if you want to study genetics, chemistry, and advanced physics, yes go to a vocational school. Or medicine. Or psychopharmacology. Aerospace engineering... I can keep going. You want to focus on the stupid social degrees. yes they are stupid. But thats not what caused the need for college degrees. Most people dont even understand that. You want to look at the reason why everything needs a college degree you need to look at the civil rights movement. That doesnt change the fact that many jobs on the high end, require decades of schooling to master. And the more tech advances the worse that problem is going to get.
    1
  1518.  @mraarontorres  While this is true, this is more of a case of trying to justify bloated faculty to increase the number of people going to university than otherwise should be. This is an issue in any field subject to massive amounts of free cash. In essence its a side effect of inflation.
    1
  1519. Hard to be in a recession when the governments spends so much money it is now 40% of GDP. Only time its ever been that high is WWII. If the private sector fires 100k the governments will just hire that many more.
    1
  1520.  @brooks8792  I dont think you understand the absolute massive amount of classified material produced every year. We still have troop movements and supply orders from WWI classified. The real question is why were these documents were ever actually cataloged as classified. And we dont know yet if these were confidential, secret, or top secret. If they originated with Biden or were classified by someone else and then, illegally, given to him. So much that is unknown at this point. The problem is half the nation doesnt trust the FBI.
    1
  1521. People really need to look at the BOI fines. It is indexed to go up with the level of inflation. It shows a 96% increase in inflation if their numbers are right.
    1
  1522. When I see your alter ego, my head canon says his name is Uncle Cheeto. Dont know why. But thats what im calling him. Keep up the content. Very entertaining.
    1
  1523. @ 3:50, do you have a fish eye lens on?
    1
  1524.  @srwven  Their numbers only work when you ignore the manufacturing process. People have been trying to tell them this for over a decade, they dont care. Its like a cult for some people.
    1
  1525. I think the concern of how you win is important. You can win and if you are just as tyrannical as your opponents whats the point? The west needs free men again. Free men have to follow their conscience. That said I think no one has crossed that line on the Right in any western nation.
    1
  1526.  @livinglife1089  thats not how a depression was originally defined. Thank you for proving my point.
    1
  1527. all these government jobs with systems that are 60 years old are simply welfare programs. Like the legions of school administrators who do nothing except actually get in the way of the very few who make things run.
    1
  1528. The Big Mac has always used the same beef patty that was on McDonalds cheese burgers and hamburgers, 1/10 of a pound. I think a lot of people assume it has the same patty as the 1/4 pounder with cheese. It never has. Its why if I have to eat a McDonalds burger its always the double quarter pounder. Its the only one with actual meat on it.
    1
  1529.  @JonahsWail  Lets not get it twisted, Legends had its issues too. Luuke and Luuuke. lol Some of Legends is just as soulless, just as much a cash grab, as Disney Star Wars.
    1
  1530. Ah yes college, where a womans healthiest eggs go to die. And she pumps herself full of mutagenics. Because nature is the patriarchy. The darkest part is when the few kids who were born have to deconstruct the welfare state, due to a crushing tax burden, and all these old people are cast into pits of used kitty litter and wine boxes.
    1
  1531. It was fueled by free money. And now we are seeing the effects of it in the economy.
    1
  1532. The "permission" thing was to prevent unintended consequences. You dont fix your own sword, because if its damaged your leaders need to know and it needs to be fixed correctly. You dont read mail, because what if its bad news and you become depressed and kill yourself. The military life is filled with things like this, even in the modern day. Its to keep combat effectiveness high. Nothing is worse than smoking on the ladder well, hearing a rifle shot, and seeing a fellow marine fall into the water. I saw three marines take their lives this way in Okinawa. If the Corps had Templar rules, those marines probably wouldnt have killed themselves.
    1
  1533. Normally, for the US, printing money doesnt cause inflation. The US has a very different economy than most other nations. We import goods and export dollars. Dollar demand in the world is still high. But when the world economy and all the supply chains stopped, America stopped exporting dollars and so they stayed home. At the same time the stimi's and ultra low rates which allowed people to afford more bank loans (which literally creates money out of nothing, fractional reserve banking) created more dollars. The Fed, buying all the mortgage back securities created even more drive for the banks to loan more, creating more dollars. Under a normal running world economy, the inflation would be transitory. But even before Russia invaded Ukraine the world supply chains werent running right. And then there is the whole thing about peak demand from a demographic standpoint world wide happedned in 2020.
    1
  1534. A huge issue that most people are not looking at is population. The gamer population is going to start shrinking soon. I started gaming in 1979. I am 49. I am a Gen Xer. A lot of Millennials are gamers, but they arent making any more Millennials. A lot of Zoomers are gamers, but they are less than half the size of Millennials. And then there is Gen Alpha, which isnt even half as large as it was suppose to be. What about the generations after, ever smaller. Ever fewer gamers. But you know what makes things cheaper, scale. What happens when your scale goes the wrong way and the ability to provide a cloud service becomes more expensive per person instead of cheaper due to a growing population? People are utterly ignorant to what is about to happen to most industries business models.
    1
  1535.  @p_serdiuk  Which was kind of my point. The western Roman Empire would have limped on for another couple hundred years if not for Attila. The US will as well until an Attila comes along unless we get our house in order. But people prefer to jump at boogiemen in the night rather than deal with the real issues. Its fine, all nations, just like men, die.
    1
  1536.  @momchil_v  Yes but the Chinese are far more over leveraged than the US and without the states money to the provinces the state will fall apart. People forget that the modern nation of China isnt really China. Its 4 nations that China as tried to integrate into one super state. And its a failure. And this says nothing of China's terminal demography. So it is more hollow, and far more brittle.
    1
  1537.  @satyakisil4289  everyone reees over the MIC, but forgets about the bigger more dangerous group he warned of in his farewell speech. But its whatever. no one cares. Its roughly 12-13 percent of budget spending. Military doesnt eat up as much as people think it does.
    1
  1538.  @satyakisil4289  considering that the military budget is one of the few things the federal government is actually suppose to spend money on, yes. A very sick joke.
    1
  1539.  @SKBottom  my friend? Nooooo. He's like the dude from Tremors. He doesn't even use the internet.
    1
  1540. American labor is to highly skills. Also America, labor force participation rate is 62.6%. Imagine what would happen if the remainder was actually working instead of sucking off welfare.
    1
  1541. I would have agreed with your last statement. But Trump this election cycle is behaving much much different. One could argue he learned his lesson about civility. Though I know its hard to look at someone with fresh eyes who you already had preconceived notions about.
    1
  1542. Good, GOOOOD! Let the hate flow through you.
    1
  1543. As far as babies go, its worse than that. The average woman doesnt even have 2 kids anymore. For a short period, when Gen Xers were having kids the US saw a few year spike in fertility rates to just slightly above 2. But Millennials just arent having them. And family creation is even lower than expected. We are so far off demographers projections that they cant make sense of what is happening.
    1
  1544. So peanut the squirrel and his trash panda buddy were killed by a Karen who dresses like a nazi over another Karen who was pissed the rate was more internet famous than she was? Trump riding in trash truciks. We have to be in a simulation. I refuse to believe this is real.
    1
  1545. Complicit or incompetent. She needs to pick one.
    1
  1546. They best not look at the recent polls where black men are planning on voting for come 2024.
    1
  1547. This always happens pre deployment. The men who get them pregnant, NGP at best. The women, basically just miss the movement. Which should be career ending. But we have to keep those female engagement numbers up. The sad thing is when females first enlist in the military they arent like that. It takes about two years for them to understand just how much they can game the system. And then even the best of them does it. And honestly, I cant really blame them.
    1
  1548.  @MR-wc9lh  we are already doing that. You must have missed that memo.
    1
  1549.  @Yo-gp4ib  men who are married HAVE to make more money. So they work incredible stupid hours, then 80 percent of the time the wife files for divorce. If you look at total hours worked, not money you see the "truth" in that stat. As for living longer men who have been married, and that's what the study your citing read, do live longer than men who NEVER married. So the never married group includes all the guys who die young, in war, the special needs (most special needs are male). The married group includes men who have e been divorced. It's easy to skew data and drive sheep when most people don't know how to read through bs.
    1
  1550. Firewalk studios looks like a classic pump and dump scheme the more I look at it. Sony got involved with them, ProbablyMonsters, in 2021 to develop Concorde. Then they agreed to sell Firewalk to Sony two years later in 2023. At which time ProbablyMonsters culled all its other subsidiaries. Take the money, step down and run. Sony got scammed. I bet someone at Sony got a huge kick back to set this deal up. I would be checking everyones bank accounts who had anything to do with this.
    1
  1551. Vindictus: Defying Fate? More like defying gravity.
    1
  1552.  @nazcamain  If you look at their demography its a sub section of the population thats having almost all the kids. The religious. They have families out of faith. Its their duty. And they sacrifice to do it. The non religious urbanites in Israel have the same low birth rate as the rest of the west. But when your religious families all have 6 or 7 kids, it gets you above replacement level. And in 100 years, there will only be the sons and daughters of the faithful. Same as in western nations. Religion gives people hope. And hope carries most people through.
    1
  1553. Black Panther did well because the character Black Panther in Civil War was amazing. The movie Black Panther was an actual step backwards. It, like Captain Marvel, did well because it was in the whole run up to Infinity War.
    1
  1554. I cant tell if this is intended to be wholesome or if the innuendo is in my mind. This is on the order of Shrek. lol
    1
  1555. Population has already collapsed. But there is a lag period of 60-80 years. Even in the few African nations with a above replacement fertility rate, their numbers are dropping by half every generation. The US itself hasnt had positive fertility rate since 1972. But there is hope, as things roll over, society will be forced to revert. Additional things like AI will lead to a white collared, college education, job apocalypse. Society will have to restructure just like it did in the late 60s early 70s. That combined with certain political segments of the country are massively out reproducing others. The future will come on its own.
    1
  1556. Was he fired or just put on leave for investigation?
    1
  1557. "Americans are weird." Grabs guns and gets ready for the red coats..... jk jk. Good content guys.
    1
  1558. The median size of an American home is over 2200 sq ft. That combined with aging boomers and smaller levels of family creation scream for more multigenerational living arrangements. Boomers SSI wont be able to keep pace with inflation or the property tax burden and the younger generations dont have to get a mortgage, its win win. Currently multigenerational households account for 18% of all households. Thats only going to increase as the demography of the US greys. This will have a further deflationary push on real estate prices and rents. The question as always, how fast will this happen. It happened very fast in 2008 as people lost their homes. It will be interesting to see what comes of it in the future.
    1
  1559. When I was a kid back in the early 80s we had something like this happen where I lived. A development on the other side of the freeway had to be stopped not because the builders couldnt build or didnt have the money, but because the residential area needed at least two ingress and egress points for fire and safety codes. That sounds like what has happened here. The company that was contracted to build said roads and bridge lack funds. The question is that since they are a subsidiary of the builder was it an intentional delay. The home builder company might be trying to earn extra money by wanting them out so when the bridge and roads are completed, they will be able to sell those homes for a higher price. All that said, this women and the other 40 odd buyers should get a lawyer and sue for damages both to the home builder and the construction company doing the roads and bridges.
    1
  1560. This is a "community" problem. You want people to pair up, they really have to know each other. They have to spend time with each other, like in elementary, middle and high school. They get to know each other. Or before there were schools working and playing together as young people. But then modern society explodes those communities and people go all over the country to other schools to get even more education, work or military service. Our current society is set up destroys communities. And it destroys those ties that bind us together. All for the hope of a few bucks more. Only when people are older do they really understand that. And then its to late.
    1
  1561.  @Big_Tex  This is funny. I read it in Hanks voice.
    1
  1562. I really dont blame kids for not knowing how to tell time on a non digital clock. Its like for most of human history a sun dial was used. How many people can use a sun dial? Its just a stick in the dirt. Simple as you can get. Yet no one does it, why? Its antiquated.
    1
  1563.  @fideletamo4292  I mean I'm just trying to help you out. Everyone's a white supremacist now. That's fine. Ur fruit loops. The more you post, the more folks see, that's all.
    1
  1564. Your math is a tad off. Austin needs a 37% price drop. Still a lot. But seeing how its already dropped 9% from its peak in May of 2022, Id say its trending in that direction. And if that trend holds, which is pure speculation, you will get your 37% price drop in 2 years. Just for those who are loosing heart.
    1
  1565.  @jaysilence3314  Peter gets a lot of things right, but immigration is a blind spot for him. He largely supports it because immigration artificially boosts GDP, which causes inflation due to deficit spending and then you need more immigration and so on. But eventually this leads to a run away effect. This will eventually lead to collapse though. We are nearing that point in the west. Thats when pogroms begin unfortunately. And again, people like Peter will pivot on their heels and be for it.
    1
  1566. Its a shame the news doesnt discuss what is actually happening in China right now so the average Joe and Jane can put this into context. All of these provocations are just China's way of showing its people that the central government and party is strong. Meanwhile the south of the country the wheat harvest is ruined due to rains, estimates are that it will only be 30% of what is should be. In the north utter collapse due to drought and none of the corn grown there will be harvested come fall. Add to this the Swine Fever outbreak that has caused 100s of millions of pigs to be culled the last several years and what you have is a biblical famine about to take place. Americans need to know what is happening in China. It may very well avert a war.
    1
  1567. The self sabotage is at pathological levels
    1
  1568. This is kind of what you would expect once all the people who existed before social welfare finally die off. There is no more self control, no more self discipline and no more struggle. If you get fired, oh well, you get on welfare. If you lose your apartment, you crash with friends or your parents. Its just an endless wasteland of people who are unable to accept responsibility and self regulate. Whats really going to be sad is that in a few years the Feds wont be able to give all the free social welfare and keep inflation in check. So they will have to chose. You think things are bad now. People dont even have a clue. Imagine roving gangs of vets with ptsd who not longer get treated by the VA, because you know thats who they are going to cut off first. lol Thank for the content Joker. 07
    1
  1569.  @LucasFernandez-fk8se  You say freedom. But what you are describing isnt freedom, its privilege. Freedom IS responsibility. Right now women are largely prevented from experiencing any responsibility. The have a million in depth ways from them dealing with real life. From makeup to the government. And when they do, it makes most women fold, cry and asked to be wifed up. Women arent happy. Men arent happy. You have a tiny bit of high achieving men and women who have managed to thread the needle. But they are statistical aberrations. And societies that try to make everyone like that are doomed to fail.
    1
  1570.  @jon_jpn  Its not a win for the workers already in Canada. They will see their wages stagnate or decline. Thats a political problem. Canada's core problem is that its an export driven economy in a world awash with export driven economies. Its one saving grace is that it shares a border with the US. What Canada needs, which Zeihan didnt overtly say but infered, is internal demand. Hence his comment about older people buying property and then ghosting off to another country to live.
    1
  1571.  @jon_jpn  internal demand is primarily from those who create families. Wage stagnation is a problem when you flood any field with foreign workers, domestically, while at the same time subsidizing their education.
    1
  1572. This is a rehash of "dating tips" from the late Victorian era. That was when if you went on a dinner date with a man you were considered an escort not a woman being courted. These rules only work when there is no sex happening. Women want emotional commitment. Men want sexual commitment. Men gave emotional commitment by proposing. Women gave sexual commitment by accepting. But in current year one is is seen as oppressive the other, simpish. Our male/female interpersonal dynamic is utterly broken. The question is, how do we fix it, before the inevitable happens?
    1
  1573. Notice the house at 17:00 is empty. Like no furniture empty. Like cant even bother to stage it with furniture empty. These homes are everywhere. In some markets one in five homes are like this. The demand was all fake. Driven by uber cheap money trying to find a home. Now these assets have to be deleveraged so their purchasers can maintain liquidity.
    1
  1574. I am not sure why this is a shock. Demographers have known this since the early 80s.
    1
  1575. Government, "If we keep spending there will be no recession."
    1
  1576. The irony of it is IF America falls those women at the beginning will have no man to protect them. They will become slaves as best. But considering that they have few marketable skills besides shooting their mouths off, I doubt they will have many teeth. Most Americans do not understand, much of the world is cruel. And we import more and more people from those places every day. And someday, we may reach a breaking point.
    1
  1577. I am unsure if they will be able to get the unemployment to spike like in previous recessions. The reason why is there are not enough young workers to replace all the boomers who are retiring. At the same time you are seeing a reshoring of many industries post covid. This means wage inflation is to be expected and probably wont be controllable. This is what happens when you dont have enough children for 3 generations. Eventually the last large generation retires. This says nothing for the roughly 7 million working age men, like myself who are no longer working. In my case I am 47 and retired. I am done with the rat race. No amount of money will get me to return to be abused. The tax burden makes it not worth it. As for the stock market, a lot of the money coming is from panicking state funded retirement schemes, calPERs being the largest. Most of them are short so much money that they are going to bankrupt states. They MUST have returns. The only way to get that is to gamble in the market.
    1
  1578. as a teenager in the 80s I remember auto union members beating Japanese cars with bats and crowbars. And everyone freaking out when the Japanese bought Rockefeller Center. A few years later they had to sell it at a massive discount. Good times.
    1
  1579. The "rich" didnt chase the cost up, the free money from the government did. The, we dont care what kind of degree you are getting, here's 20k,40k, 100k for school. Its moronic.
    1
  1580.  @blaizesibande6634  meh, Robert Sarah is who most wanted. He's a Black African.
    1
  1581. If the inflationary rate is 6.5, they need a 150 pt increase to get that rate to just be neutral. People are talking pivot when we are still at effectively negative interest rates.
    1
  1582. 75,000 years is a long time to go for a walk.
    1
  1583. California wont have a foreclosure wave. They have already made that choice politically. If they allow homes to be foreclosed on it will cause a drop in home prices and therefore tax revenue that the state and municipalities just couldnt survive. Its going to happen there regardless, but covid sped things up by about 5 years. If you live there and wont leave, you really need to prepare for that.
    1
  1584.  @josephhoward4697  Oh I dont disagree with you there. The main issue is that without a growing population our current economic theories fall apart, or at least current investment philosophies. Its not really an issue that we have ever faced. Even during the Black Death, women still had babies. Now they just wont, with a few notable nations that are exceptions.
    1
  1585. Crash is pejorative. One could easily use the world correction. But crash implies it is bad. Its not, it just is.
    1
  1586. They cant do anything in the real world. Most of them are to crippled emotionally to go outside.
    1
  1587. Meanwhile, currently, the UK has several cities on fire because God forbid then deal with the Muslim problem they have there after 13 girls were stabbed at an event. I really do hope the British take back their nation and deal with all the politicians and these police. I bet when these cops were kids and were in school they were the first to talk about how bad the German soldiers were for "just following orders".
    1
  1588.  @chrisdaniel2759  Thats because of boomer demand. You had the largest demographic in American history entering the housing market in that time period. It is the same reason, why today, 40 years later, as these same boomers start to die, you will see deflating demand. In 1981 the average age of the first time home buyer was 31. The Boomer cohort demand caused all sorts of inflationary and deflationary actions. We dont have that today. Then next two upcoming generations, the Zoomers and gen Alpha are together not as large as the Boomers were and thats over twice the time span. All sorts of economic variables, that people have long taken for granted, are about to change.
    1
  1589. @Eduardo Ruiz Reds? wtf
    1
  1590.  @achristian1643  Who was Ukraine allied with?
    1
  1591.  @achristian1643  I don't recall an alliance with Ukraine. When did this happen?
    1
  1592. The issue isnt that there is a home affordability issue. Its that the home distribution among the age cohorts is not distributed in a normal way. Right now boomers own 44% of all single family homes. But they dont make up 44% of the population. As they age and die, those assets will move through to the younger cohorts. Going forward as the boomers die and the zoomers come into the market we are going to have a housing glut. Even if you put the zoomers and gen alpha together they do not equal the size of the boomer generation. Right now we are just past peak demand. Its all downhill from here. This will be much larger in places like Europe and Canada where the demographic age cohorts are even more extreme than in the US. It still shocks me how blind most people are about this.
    1
  1593. I always felt that racing games and games like grand theft auto were screaming to have billboards put in them. A company wants to advertise, let them foot part of the development cost and get advertising. Though that probably wont be the way they go, they will want to just make more revenue. But then those who buy ads space will be able to direct creative control. I could see a company like red bull wanting in the next Grand Theft Auto game, but how about a company like Chick-fil-A? Maybe they will see it as a way to reach out to people who need to be "saved". I could see things going a lot of different ways.
    1
  1594. Putin doesnt have anything left. If he did, he would take Ukraine.
    1
  1595. Gen X of which I am a member of, still had functional well balanced parents. Then came Dr Spock. And the US is one of the few nations that even had a Millennial generation.
    1
  1596.  @buddermonger2000  The silent generation were the parents of Gen X
    1
  1597.  @marktrain9498  Gen X started in 1965 though. I was born in 1975, my mother was born in 1945. She was silent generation, same with my father who was born in 1939. You should look at the age cohort of Gen X.
    1
  1598. @NOWHERE PEOPLE When you say "us" I am not sure who you are talking about? If you are British ok I get your point. But if you are an American, there is no American race, being an American is 100% cultural. And that culture changes a little with every generation. There are few race based countries in the "new world", and no one wants to be Haiti, not even Haiti.
    1
  1599. @NOWHERE PEOPLE So what you are saying is that your nation can take in multiple ethnicities and over the course of time adapt your nations culture to assimilate them all? Celtic, Roman, German, Norse. I get it, those cultures were close in similarity and language. So its a little different than now. I am under no illusion as to the harm its doing to indigenous people in Europe, im not that ignorant. Be a shame if there was a fire or something in London. Or like a bunch of towns people just were like NO and got a bunch of sticks and pointed them at people. Or you could just turn off the welfare and deport anyone without a job. There is a saying in the US, supposedly from Tom Jefferson, "The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. It is it's natural manure." I have many British friends who live all over your country. As a free man I am horrified at the things they tell me.
    1
  1600. @NOWHERE PEOPLE Some of what you say is true and some of it isnt. African Americans during the civil war era were 14 percent of the population so as a whole they have declined as a percentage. And Americans of European decent is kind of a misnomer. Most Hispanic peoples are Caucasian and a large minority are mixed. I am pretty sure in Mexico 60 percent of people identify as Caucasian. If you adjust for the Hispanic population increase and make a rough guestamate the population of Caucasian Americans is only down 5 to maybe 10 percent from its highs. But you are right America was sold a bill of lies with the 65 immigration act. But demographers even then saw what was happening. But America isnt a skin color, its a creed. Our problem isnt that we have people coming in, we have many of the wrong minded people who come on here and immediately get on the dole.
    1
  1601. Compliment to you on how you handled that sales phone call. I see so many people who treat those folks like crap. Its not a hardship to be civil.
    1
  1602. Schumer can barely speak without smiling, this is all theater.
    1
  1603.  @oglocbaby520  That would have massive effects on the market. You have what was previously multiple families renting or owning multiple homes or apartments now living together. If this was done for say even 5 percent of the population, the effects on rental and home ownership rates would cause a massive selloff in rental properties. But if you look at the Japanese housing market in the late 80s they had the same problem. Now Tokyo, which had the most expensive real estate in the world isnt even in the top 20. And they are giving away free real estate in smaller cities and towns. The same will happen here as the boomers leave us. I mean they own 44% of all housing. They cant very well take it with them. lol
    1
  1604.  @platinumlawnservice  You mean their millennial children who are in debt up to their eyeballs and many who already own a house? No they will sell like most people have done. I mean If a boomer has a house and dies, leaves the house to their kids, how are two or more kids going to do that? They just sell. Most wont want to rent it out and just get a third of the rent. And when it comes times to fix something to chip in a third of the cost. Now if they have multiple houses, some may hold and keep renting. But again so many in the Millennial generation are just so far behind they need that cash. But I am also willing to admit I could be totally wrong. But regardless if they dont sell, from a demographic standpoint after the boomers are largely gone, in another 15 to 20 years, there wont be any housing demand. Even with immigration levels like the US had in the 1980s.
    1
  1605. Look at the US demography. It will tell you what real demand for everything will be. And considering Boomers own 44% of all single family homes, We will easily see a return to 2012 numbers adjusted for inflation. The demand, real demand, just isnt there.
    1
  1606. She has been legally directed. She is saying she "cannot" answer that. Meaning she has been told not to answer. The last question she changes her answer because she wasnt privy to the information to answer so she can say "not to my knowledge". Your servant is now your master.
    1
  1607.  @EKILIBRIUM_official  Each time they gave women the right to inherit property? It generally happened after a massive Roman defeat. That meant that a crap ton of men died. And families needed their wealth to be secured. So if you are a Roman man, but all your sons are minors and cannot inherit property, you would want to the law to state that your wife can have it so she can raise your sons to be good and proper Roman men. But we know that doesnt happen. And it led to the predictable things that happen today, even back then.
    1
  1608.  @EKILIBRIUM_official  Well considering the first instance was before Caesars Gallic wars and the Francs were in what today is Poland, I would say no, neither of those groups that had an involvement. At least the first time. That was all King Pyrrhus's doing.
    1
  1609.  @stevenscott2136  it did. Your memory is correct. And those that inherited stopped getting remarried and making children. Then the Roman's came.
    1
  1610. This has been known since the 1980s. But the truth is worse than you state. Actual homes owned by people over 65, primary homes, secondary homes and rentals, is actually around 44 million as of 2020. You are already seeing huge amounts of home sales with zero occupants. No furniture, no staging, just kids wanting to get rid of their parents home for the highest dollar amount they can. Many will hold out because realtors will tell them they can get more, but the ones who cut their price first will sell. The rest will be holding a declining asset. What many still fail to understand is that prior to the boomers housing was at best a stable asset but more normally it was a deflationary asset. As the boomers pass into history, housing will return to that norm. Regarding he immigration question, from where will they come? Only 12 nations have positive population growth. Most of central America is doing fine economically with flat population growth rates. The only people who are going to come here are Haitians fleeing their nation and Africans who can manage to get anywhere in the Americas. Keep up the good content.
    1
  1611. If they lower taxes it will cause inflation to go higher, people will have more money to spend. Then the Fed will have to raise rates even higher.
    1
  1612.  @operatingoperator1574  Please, state 5 then, id be interested in researching them. Makes my arguments better.
    1
  1613.  @operatingoperator1574  ah insulting, ur just a troll. understood.
    1
  1614. How much time are we talking here? If its over 5 years, well my grandpa would say, you need to shit or get off the pot.
    1
  1615. One shouldnt be ashamed of anything. Everyone needs recreation. The key is moderation.
    1
  1616. Quiet civil people who want to go on with their lives are tired of being threatened and bullied by insane people and so, they speak their mind. You can only entertain insanity for so long before you stop.
    1
  1617. Our friends of course, the Saudi's. lol
    1
  1618.  @FnGRZupra  in the late 80s and early 90s Japan put all the money it could in the US. and the average loss was about 20%. But at home the loss was 50%. So by losing 20% they saved 30%. Thats exactly how most of the world feels at times like these. Horrible losses to Americans are ok to them. Because the would have lost so much more at home. Thats what happens when you have export driven economies.
    1
  1619. 2-5 years automatically for poisoning. More if bodily injury is caused.
    1
  1620. I watched this short documentary because it reminded me of Happy People, narrated by Werner Hertzog. I was not disappointed.
    1
  1621. May I ask why you feel marriage is out of the question?
    1
  1622.  @Maybe-cg2tn  I could make a blanket statement that all women change too, typically by rationing sex and getting fat, but I dont do blanket statements. Blanket statements are often the crutch weak arguments or positions rest on. That said, I will take you at your word that you would be miserable as a wife. Some people are not capable of being on a team. And that's ok. I wish more people realized it. So in that, for what it matters, you have my respect.
    1
  1623. ​ @Maybe-cg2tn  I really have no words to respond to your post. Ill just say this, perhaps women are spending their energies in sub optimal ways. Most women I meet, are utterly miserable, single, dating or married. That seems to be the primary setting in modernity. I wonder why? Though I again thank you for your honesty. It is refreshing in this sort of content.
    1
  1624.  @vikra2040  You are ignorant of legal history in the US. The courts in the state of Georgia do not have the authority under the Georgia State Constitution to enact judicial review. That means they cannot decide the constitutionality of anything. Only rule on if a law has been broken or if it applies. I would say this if it was a leftist. You are transparent. But nice try though. You lot are going to keep pushing until the mass of people gets angry and then bad things will happen. You just dont get it.
    1
  1625.  @TPrivate  Its a power vacuum. The current US Navy cannot patrol the worlds oceans. It no longer has enough of the types of ships needed to do that. Everything went to CV management. Piracy has always been a problem, but as the US has changed its naval strategy more and more places are seeing piracy. The thing piracy will do is it will add a premium to cargo shipping costs. And even then sometimes you will lose ships. When you have trade breaking down and you lose a whole ship, you could very well have an industry shut down. Ultimately more nations will have to build navies to protect their trade, like before WWII. That extra cost crushes globalism.
    1
  1626. Boomers own 40% of all single family homes. As they start to die, the oldest Boomers are 74 this year, the market will be flooded with over expensive homes that no one can afford and the market will correct. The question is do Boomers understand this and check out of the housing market early and spend that wealth or move in with their children or care facilities. But long term home prices have peaked. We are Japan in 1989. They are giving away homes there now, 8 million empty homes.
    1
  1627. And the vast majority of those were pre 1970s
    1
  1628. The only problem using a long term trend is that births have been below replacement for the last 45 years. Demand going forward is going to be flat at best if not declining. You only have to look at the demographics of those 30 and below to see what the future holds. Even with the anemic immigration we have now.
    1
  1629.  @johnnydoe2672  they higher housing prices go, the more they can assess them for. So the more the municipality makes off them.
    1
  1630. when rates drop that means liquidity and the ability for institutions to lend dries up. You couldnt get a loan to save your life in 2010-2011. People who think this time is different, they make me laugh. I like that you stated that they have cut prices 18% in nominal terms, its even more in real terms. Most people dont get that.
    1
  1631. They got to keep the plebs at each others throats, otherwise they might see their nation is on fire and want something done. And the plebs are stupid enough to fall for it every time. Tribalism at its finest.
    1
  1632. When you prevent a man from speaking, you force him to fight. And the very act of muzzling him proves his point.
    1
  1633.  @lostlothbrok7156  Biden does speak, its just pre recorded. Probably takes him a hundred takes. I wonder what drug cocktail they have him on. I feel bad for the man, he should be enjoying his golden years, not being carted out like some horrible weekend at bernies knock off.
    1
  1634.  @SchoologyGames  Thats literally the first thing Biden did. lol Surprised he didnt blame Bush too.
    1
  1635.  @elementaesthetique  The president doesnt run the country. The bureaucracy does. Our government doesnt even function properly. I have easily give a dozen examples how the bureaucracy, under Trump, went against the executive. Simply saying he was going to starve the beast provoked an immune response. This would have been regardless of his party or what he actually did.
    1
  1636. The Federal government wont be able to do that due to higher interest rates. Not without cutting in other areas.
    1
  1637. we are going to have a recession with inflation. Just like at the end of the 70s and early 80s. As the recession hits they will try to fix it by lowering rates and pumping more money in, that will cause inflation as the US continues to reshore so much that we have pushed overseas for the last 40 years. How good or bad it will be no one can say. What I will say is that the Federal government cant just spend more. Interest rates will explode if they continue to spend like they are.
    1
  1638. The Fed are just bankers dude. They are bailing out other bankers. You say it's via inflation like that's some new idea. 😂
    1
  1639.  @dawnfire82  I never said anything about devalued currency. But it does making paying off past debts easier. But it's always at a cost of future wealth.
    1
  1640. No these folks never had empathy to begin with. Its not all Democrats though or even leftist. I have a lot of friends in both camps and most of them are horrified by this. The sane among the left knows what will happen if stuff goes sidesways.
    1
  1641. Thats because its two series. The original which was horrid and the reshoot which was slightly less horrid. They clearly spliced together two of these together. One day I think Disney might learn that you cannot make a decent movie by viewer testing it. It has to be made from the ground up.
    1
  1642. This is literally how every older (senior) ladies talked to young men. My grandmother and her friends always said they like to make sure men stayed productive by complimenting them.
    1
  1643. One could argue that in the past. Today that seems different. I wonder if its the perceived threat in modernity that is the problem now? It would explain the extreme levels of anxiety in the highest social tiers of women.
    1
  1644. Imagine if we just made our own stuff again
    1
  1645.  @ricardohoang8452  I personally think Starfield will get the Andromeda treatment. But I am not in charge of Microsoft. Perhaps they feel Starfield is to high profile to abandon. I will be honest, I never have even heard of Hi-fi Rush until this video. But I am an old gamer. Been playing since 1979. So a few are bound to slip past me.
    1
  1646.  @ricardohoang8452  Cyberbug. lol. thats funny.
    1
  1647.  @IncognitoActivado  I'm not sure what you think I'm coping about? Can you explain that to me?
    1
  1648. I have to wonder if this wasnt some AI coders way of giving a big F you to google about their DEI and ESG bs. You want diversity? Here for all the world to see. I think it speaks about the times that you cant even know for sure if this was intentional or accidental. So many leaders, who should know better, are asleep at the switch. Either way they will get whats coming to them.
    1
  1649. Weinstein needs to be introduced to the Drukhari from 40k. All societies as they wither and die devolve into debauchery.
    1
  1650.  @buildmotosykletist1987  nah, they just would have to take the longer route. The same one they do when there is typhoon. It will make things a tad more expensive. But they will still get the stuff, unlike China.
    1
  1651. Brandon-san, Ikuso!
    1
  1652. Egypt is no different when it comes to the imploding fertility numbers. In 1980 an Egyptian woman had 6 kids. Today she has only three. That is a 50 percent decline in total fertility. If that happens again over the next 40 years Egypt will be at 1.5 births per woman. And that is exactly where their fertility rate is headed. But like other places you wont see that for another 30 to 40 years. But when that decline starts it will happen fast.
    1
  1653.  @mfallen6894  it doesn't bother me. I grow my own food. You can say what you like.
    1
  1654. SCOTUS has no authority to do so
    1
  1655. If anyone thinks mortgage rates arent going to keep rising you are nuts. We still have effective negative rates when you take inflation into consideration. Before mid year next year, the Fed rats will increase at least 500 pts. If you think that wont have an effect on mortgages, well, good luck with that.
    1
  1656. Soviet bias is balans...
    1
  1657. This is the movie that was filmed in 2018. Shot and shelved. Hmmm I wonder why. I hate Hollywood.
    1
  1658. is 20 to 30 mile and hour wind a lot in Texas? Its pretty common in parts of California. Ive noticed that since moving to the South East that folks tend to get anxious about anything over 20 miles an hour as well.
    1
  1659.  @DataGeek903  California damns were built as a flood control policy. Its always funny when someone states they are for drinking water. They are for flood control. California built reservoirs for water storage. Everything up the feather river from Oroville way up past Quincy, flood control. Shasta, flood control, Folsom , flood control. The only damn built specifically for water retention was Hetch Hetchy, and its called a... reservoir. Those are two totally different things. That said most California rivers would go dry every summer traditionally.
    1
  1660. The Tyson plant fire in 2019 was caused by a maintenance welding accident. The Alabama fire was most likely a case of insurance fraud because of a 2019 law suit in which Tyson discharged untreated waste. The new plant has a much more updated water treatment facility, paid for by the fire insurance. Are you guys now turning into a conspiracy channel. Youtube already has enough of them.
    1
  1661. Journos...."Jeremy at the Quartering, self described "...member of the ... master race."" News at 11
    1
  1662. Google Title 4 for social security, title 4D in particular. Its been pilfered for decades, since 1968 actually. Currently 1/4 of all SSI outlays go to title 4D. And with the increase in single mothers, its only going to go up. This is what is going to cause the Social Security system to break, not retires. And when it does it will take multiple state governments down with it too.
    1
  1663. Demographics wont allow it to recover. The great lie is that demand is every increasing. It is not.
    1
  1664. considering working class people typically dont pay federal income tax, they may very well.
    1
  1665. ESG is already on its way out. It could only exist in an era of free money. Once survival instincts kick in it will be just a hazy and crazy business faze that people wont believe, kind of like Tulips.
    1
  1666. Mel Brooks is assembling a hit squad as we speak.
    1
  1667. Nothing some pitchforks, torches, tar and feathers cant address. People will riot over a woman beating drug dealer but wont make a stink over being robbed out of their house and home. Please, make it make sense?
    1
  1668. When Alex Jones deplatforming happened, it was clearly a RICO offense. But he was so hated by so many most folks didnt care. Its no different than price fixing. Any company that does this needs to have its board disbanded and criminal investigations against it.
    1
  1669. These people are just insane. They are so out of touch with normal people that they have no idea what "normal" is. They should have the Doctor go to 6th century Arabia and meet Muhammad. The Muslims would take care of this lot in a fortnight.
    1
  1670.  @Playboysmurf1  once demand has picked up. But we havent even really seen demand destruction yet. If the economy is the roller coaster the first cars are already over that first big hump, but the rest are still click clicking to the peak, then the free fall happens. The argument is really on the speed of change. Some seem to think this will take a decade to unwind, others think it will happen as fast as it went up, basically two years. Either way it will be interesting to watch.
    1
  1671. 4% is elevated. Laughable. It will be the worst of both worlds. Its not high enough to fight inflation. Same mistakes as the 70s. Meanwhile all the businesses are slowly bleeding cash reserves.
    1
  1672. Everything needs to go to pay down the debt. Americans have elected individuals who, with their electoral approval, have been bipartisan spendthrifts. If you add that much money to the economy all it will do is cause inflation and end up in the pockets of a few as people use it to by consumable goods. It wont help anything. Paying off 2 trillion of debt will help.
    1
  1673. That Somali guy impressed me. Imagine a community leader who actually looks out for his people. Good for them.
    1
  1674.  @seanemery6019  then it was my mistake for misunderstanding. I think it depends on the channel. But some videos get demonitized almost as soon as they drop and then after a day or two, when most of the subs have already viewed it gets put back into monetization. The whole time there are ads. Now if YouTube gave back that ad revenue I would be of the mind that yea everyone shoukd have to watch ads. But they don't. Personally I don't care if it's one in ten or one in a thousand. It's an ethical standpoint. YouTube knows they are doing it. The question is if it's a corporate policy of if it's personal policy somewhere in middle management.
    1
  1675.  @tukkajumala  I wish it were so, I've been deployed to places where the state imploded. It's always dirty getting to the future.
    1
  1676. Nah you need Kiefer Sutherland's "24" clock sound. Put some anxiety into people. But overall this is a horrible interview. Look at both womens body languages, arms crossed the whole time.
    1
  1677.  @blakejohnson3864  deal with what? Did I offend you or something?
    1
  1678. This is what actual cultural appropriation is. In Japan context is everything. Westerners dont get that. That said, I dont think Unisoft intentionally copied this particular tori. I think some artist thought it would look cool and worked in their little model very well. But you cant do that in Japan. Everything means something. And the fact that Ubisoft didnt check and just assumed it would be ok is the issue. If you are going to be pulling from other cultures you need to understand what you are pulling and the ramifications and limitations of that. Or you might just insult or offend someone for real, not just some Karen.
    1
  1679. feminism ignores the innate biological programming that women have. The need for someone who can provide. Why? Because women are inferior? No. Because they have children. And children are a full time job. The modern feminist utterly ignore this. They will cry about child care and paid maternity leave, but thats as close as they will get. They simply want to replace man with the state and have. And that is why population collapse is happening everywhere that a modern state and feminism is. It just makes it harder on men who are marginal in the sexual market place. While simultaneously both men and women are doing their best to be the least attractive as they can be with near 80% of the population being overweight or obese. I fully expect one day for stuff to just stop running. Folks will wait patiently for their water or power to come back on and after a day or two will scream in panic. Anyone who knows about this topic sees this train coming. We are about 30 years to late to stop it. And automation and AI are not going to keep things running. Men do. And todays society does not serve men. In fact it punishes them. So men are in the process of stopping servicing the society they built. Women and children hurt most. It sucks seeing this and knowing whats going to happen. I admire your fight, but I believe its a lost cause. Same as Rome was. We have had our time. Its best to prepare for what comes next.
    1
  1680. No the problem is there is to much money in the system. The average American doesnt have enough money because so few add value in their labor. All of these jobs must die. Americans need to learn to be productive again. Until then the ugly truth is Americans standard of living needs to decline, with a 60% obesity rate aint no one going to starve. Everyone can flame me for saying it, I dont really care.
    1
  1681. With all their imported Syrian refugees this should be fun. Right now there are what over a million of them there? Germany is going to rip itself apart as it starts to freeze this winter.
    1
  1682.  @bighands69  You would not just be wrong, but utterly and stupendously wrong. Look up the UNs Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). All of the SDG's, all 17, are enacted to reduce growth. They dont care about women, they just want to reduce growth, even as it plunges over the edge of discoverability in many developed nations. Women are being used. And statistically, well educated women, at the Masters and the Grad level and higher rarely marry and dont have hardly any kids. Their divorce rate, when they do marry is about 90% and if they have a child, more often than not its in their late 30s or early 40s. Hard to have more than one when thats when you start. More women in the US now have their first child in their 40s than in their 20s. A people cant recover from that. Thats to say nothing of just the economic repercussions from that.
    1
  1683.  @doomedbook1020  I am not sure if that far is needed. But certainly stopping incentivizing the current behaviors would be a positive moment.
    1
  1684.  @axelhopfinger533  I was surprised by that. The 2 hours and 35 minutes flew by.
    1
  1685.  @rhino202  It didnt follow the book well. It cut a lot out and merged a great many things. That said my biggest problem with this movie is what you said, "... hasn't read the book." You shouldnt need cliff notes to watch a movie. That is this movies greatest flaw.
    1
  1686. I live in East Tennessee, for Tn its dependent on two things. First how much more people from the outside the state are going to keep coming here. That increases demand. That depends on how much they can sell their place for, generally, from where they are coming from. I think thats starting to ebb. The 2nd is the local economy. I am starting to see cracks but nothing super serious yet. But if the local economy goes here, prices will fall hard. Moreso rents and then land lords will be forced to sell rental homes increasing supply. Not a real answer but no one has a crystal ball. I seen some of those homes they are throwing together out there. Makes sure you get an inspection though. But until either one of those happens around Nashville I would expect a flat market. People just cant afford to buy if prices go hire.
    1
  1687. Thats because Ramsey and people like him fail to understand that demand has reach an inflection point. This is a completely foreign idea to him and many others. So his idea is everything will increase in value, including housing. But it wont. Housing as an inflationary item is done. As the boomers die and the Zoomers pick up there just arent enough zoomers to keep demand where it is. So you will have a glut. From a demographic standpoint 2020 was the high water mark. But insanely low interest rates and piles of cash kept the frenzy going. All of that is done. This is a new world, those that wont adjust to the new realities will be dead.
    1
  1688. When you teach that a certain segment of the population is bad by their very nature, men, is it any shock that they decide to drop out of higher education? Im 48. It was happening even back when I was in high school and university. I see what they say to my sons now that they are in high school and its just pure discrimination. Folks act like its 1950. But still, men are bad. The whole damn, "would you rather be in the woods with a bear or a man" question is just more proof of this. You cant have a civil society when half is viewed as just functionally bad. And when you point that out you are tarred as a misanthrope. Or they retort, oh you cant take a joke. At this rate society is going to implode because a significant amount of young men and women are no longer invested in it. Why should they be?
    1
  1689.  @shawnmorrissey1866  This wasnt "the last couple of years". Some of us were born in the long ago of the 1900s and have a work history with one employer longer than all of a millennials work history combined. Girls have been using Tylenol, specifically, to attempt suicide since the 1980s. Because its cheap, over the counter and anyone can buy it, even a minor.
    1
  1690.  @alansewell7810  they didn't really. Most pensions were vested in 5 to ten years. Then the lo ger you worked for the company the larger your pension got. But at that time in American, outside two moments, the dustbowl and WWII, Americans were largely sedentary in their living locations. Before WWII only 16% of American workers had pensions. I get what you are trying to emote though. A lot of changes happened between WWII and the end of the cold war. Electoral choices made inflation all but certain dooming most pensions. Heck I have 3 pensions a 401k and an ira along with individual investments on my own. As soon as my pensions are available to me at 55 I'm taking lump sum payments.
    1
  1691. No nice or good guy talks like this or leaves this kind of message. If a woman left me a message on my phone I probably wouldnt call her back either. Dude was giving off Patrick Bateman vibes. All that said, why this lady is putting this online as a gag, it speaks to how low or society is at this time. I feel bad for young people.
    1
  1692.  @georgefloydsfake20dollarbi28  Clovis Culture did not extend much beyond the current US border with Mexico, much less Central and South America.
    1
  1693.  @georgefloydsfake20dollarbi28  No the first Clovis site was located in New Mexico, Clovis New Mexico. Thats where the name Clovis comes from. Its right on the border with Texas if you are wondering. The oldest Clovis sites are on the east coast of the US. You are conflating pre Clovis civilizations with Clovis. We dont even know if they were the same peoples as the pre Clovis peoples. There is zero archeological evidence of Clovis culture extending much beyond the current US border. I am willing to listen if you have proof. Is there some recent paper or finding that has not been published yet?
    1
  1694. Modernity has been leveraged on debt. Debt that can never be repaid. Debt that will crush every country as their populations decline. The past will be the future. Most folks still dont get that yet.
    1
  1695. Fed needs to raise rates. Just to send the message to the markets. 5.3% isnt high. Its just we had rates insanely low for so long.
    1
  1696. Peter doesnt get this. Its not city living or industrialization that drops fertility rates. Japan industrialized in the late 1800s and early 1900s, their birth rate was near 6 child per women and by the time WWII came around is was at 5. So what is it that drops fertility rates, ask the UN. Its part of their global policy. Empowering women drops fertility rates. Because at a certain point women dont "need" men. At that point you have men and women who dont need each other and then pop, population implodes. And I am not sure what numbers Perter is looking at. But the US has been below replacement rates since 1972. The only thing that has pushed off the same collapse now facing other nations is endless immigration. But even the immigration today is not so much people wanting to come to the US, but our foreign policies destoying other nations so those people have no other choice but to move. Even then, most of that immigration isnt coming to the US, they would rather go to another nation like Mexico. Similar culture, language and better purchasing power. There are no good answers going forward.
    1
  1697.  @doctorx1924  Many of the Venezuelans who came up to the US recently have been expressing that. That this isnt what they were told when they decided to move from there to here. And yet I hear know talk of just who is telling these people these things? I imagine its NGO groups like the kind who were helping migrants from Africa to Italy before the EU was forced to hold them to human trafficking standards. I think the EU allowed it because they understand the same policy effects that are effecting population decline in Europe as well, but lack the political spine to admit it. Just like in the US.
    1
  1698. People dont have children. Women do. Women clearly dont want to have children anymore. They dont need men. Well thats what they think since they have modern civilization around them. The problem is if they dont have children, then that society collapses. Its not even the first time we have had this problem. Japan is having the same shortsightedness that most European and American nations are having. Things are to comfortable and there are to many distractions. And that will last until it doesnt.
    1
  1699. I believe the phrase is "irrational exuberance". Seriously though, the party has to keep going if everything you "built" is based off over leveraging debt. Which it can't but never underestimate the ability of humans to be delusional.
    1
  1700.  @dreadassembly4087  I have relatives that do likewise. Unfortunately their is only one outcome. I take it your mother lives beyond her means? Is it because she spends to much or because her fixed income does not stretch as far as it once did?
    1
  1701. The Fed knows they need to raise rates. Everyone thinks they arent because they are worried about the stock market. Thats not really the issue. The issue is the banks. If they continue raising rates every bank will implode. Even if they raise rates another 100 points, you are looking at 50-100 small and medium sized banks failing. Then lending stops and the world economy, because of several other factors like demography and wealth disparities where the majority of consumers live that doesnt allow them to purchase more expensive higher end goods, the world economy seizes. Its the end of the debt based monetary cycle. Its still going to happen, they just want to kick that can down the road as long as they can. And people are worried about housing prices. lol
    1
  1702.  @JohnDoe-ef3wo  indeed, to few shoulders to hold up that welfare state. Then the debt crushes a nation and they default. And then those without family are alone. Alone in nature gets you dead or worse.
    1
  1703.  @christopherbaker1716  by that logic we should all be imprisoned.
    1
  1704. Its called SPIE rigging, the guy hanging from the helicopter.
    1
  1705. Define steel. No such thing as pure iron. That said I would think the key ingredient is knowingly doing it. Not just "does muh iron have carbon in it"? Intentionality is key. So is replicability.
    1
  1706.  @吉嶺N  true. Is post tension slab foundation being used there now as well? It's required in new constructions in several US states prone to earth quakes. I image its popular there now as well.
    1
  1707.  @danielmoose1273  and calPERs when they go on long term disability because they hurt their back because they got so fat. Im not saying I had a neighbor who was a CHP officer who that happened to, but im also not NOT saying it. lol
    1
  1708. except, the tax man that is.
    1
  1709. Mao leveraged feminism to gain power over China. Anytime people try to weaponize women it backfires. And once a woman thinks shes at a certain level, any man below her isnt even human. Brain scans show it. The crazy thing is that its like the female brain gets stuck on its highest setting. So even if their social standing falls, or they are 60 years old, they think they are still at the same place. It dooms women from long term happiness. It is very sad.
    1
  1710. People forget the number of flippers in 2005-2008 time period. These people drive up the price of real estate. The smart ones get out early. The greedy ones are always left holding the bag. On the street behind me in California over 50% of the new homes built were all bought by house flippers. They sat empty for two years.
    1
  1711.  @Pilostudio  Yea thats sad. I mean by the end of that time period everyone and their cousin where trying to flip homes. I do feel bad for the people who did it for like a normal job and not as a get rich quick scheme. Those cable home channels made it seem like easy money.
    1
  1712. Fall in love with evil, yea woke folks is evil.
    1
  1713.  @Exception1  The boomers across the globe will start to age out pretty quick. After that population will fall like a rock. China alone is going to drop 500 million in the next two decades. And if you think African nations can keep growing at the rates they have been once the global trade system breaks down, well, its not something I would want to laugh about.
    1
  1714. A billion dollars for this. Might as well have put it in a pile and burned it to help the homeless keep warm this winter.
    1
  1715. Came for the thumbnail. You know what you are doing.
    1
  1716. American manufactures more than we ever did. China does very little manufacturing. It mostly does assembly. Thats the true issue. You have all these counties making all these different parts then sends them to a country for assembly then it gets shipped to the various markets its sold it. That is not a sustainable model with conflicts, high oil prices, or rising inflation. This says nothing of China's demographic collapse in the next two decades.
    1
  1717.  Zack Smith  so what. What do exports have to do with what I stated? Zero.
    1
  1718. Considering over the last two weeks bank lending has imploded, I doubt this summer many people will qualify for mortgages and many flippers or rental owners who just refi for cash flow wont be able to do so. We are rapidly approaching an impasse,.
    1
  1719. One word, Demographics. They will lose half their population in the next 50-75 years. So will South Korea and China. Europe wont be farm behind. You can make all the high teck stuff you want, but if no one is there to use it it wont matter.
    1
  1720. Yup Vanguard is dropping its esg bs it seems. At the end of the day, you have to profit. This downturn is going to hit white collars the most. Where most of this crap is.
    1
  1721. Feds going to have to raise rates a lot more. With the revisions to the GDP you can see how cooked the Federal governments fake inflation data is.
    1
  1722. On the day that Europeans at large start doing what they inevitably will do to both the good and the bad individuals who migrated there over the decades, I hope history remembers those who pushed this. These people need to be remembered for the villains that they are; to both the native born and to the migrants that they encouraged to travel thousands of miles.
    1
  1723. until the gravy train ends
    1
  1724. This idea that prices wont come down is an odd one. We have had a historic one time event when demand peaked (demographically), money was artificially cheap (All time low fed rate) and supply was cut (Covid). And all three things happened almost overnight. 2020 saw peak demand for housing, yea it was the peak as the largest part of the Millennial cohort entered the family creation phase. Going forward its going to be less and less and less every year for at least the next 25 years. Even then it probably will still decline. And for every two Boomers who die there will only be one Zoomer to take their place. This kind of thing happened already in Japan. Now they are giving away free homes there. Korea, China and most of Europe are having property crashes as we speak. This is what happens when you dont have enough babies over 50 years, demand dies. The cheap supply of money is gone and its not coming back. People need to stop thinking it will talking about a fed pivot. And the whole "there isnt enough inventory" thing, well again, people dont understand how homes get priced. New construction sets prices. And right now they are cutting prices because they have bills to pay and they are sitting on 8 plus months of homes that need to be sold. Add to the fact that to sell them they have to do rate buy downs, in a year or two when they adjust, many of these people are probably going to lose their homes just like in 2008 with ARMs. This says nothing of the highest building rates of housing since the early 1970s to cope with the income boomer cohort. And add to it 15 million empty homes already existing but not being sold. We probably already have a housing glut. Market psychology just hasnt changed yet.
    1
  1725. Society. lol ALL of the problems you listed arent a failure of society, they are a failure of FAMILY. Family feeds each other. Family clothes each other. Family shelters each other. Family cares for each other when members are sick. We have a failure of family. We all know it. Homelessness, drug use, school shootings, prison inmates. Number one criteria in all them, they all come from broken homes. You want to fix the problem? You need to fix families. But that would require putting a lot of special interests in check. And right now all of them are at the height of their power. So society gets to rot a little more.
    1
  1726.  @FledgedPhoenix  Most Americans do not live in urban areas. They live in suburban areas. The Federal governments refusal to use a suburban classification does not change this fact. Most folks dont need a degree in the suburbs.
    1
  1727. Bailing out failed states is probably the quickest way to split this nation up overnight. You have had decades of political mismanagement and an electorate who did not care and now when there is no more road to kick the can down, they want a bail out. Just no. And as there are 23 states that are in zero need of a bailout due to budget surpluses, it will be utter gridlock to get anything passed. Those states who miss spent and miss managed their money better start figuring things out.
    1
  1728.  @sunset-inn  There are two options, one is quick and easy the other leads to a lot of miser,y pain and ultimately death. Either path works. The first path is the easy path. Stop supporting women at the government and corporate levels. They dont need to actively discriminate against women, like the have done to men, just dont have pro women policies. This would allow men to earn more, making them more attractive partners. The 2nd path is less friendly. But its probably what will happen. Do nothing. Keep spending trillions we dont have on programs that dont work to employ people who do little. This will eventually lead to a crisis. When that happens, probably something like a sovereign debt default, all that free money goes away. This will cause economic implosions as it spreads. Nations that export will implode. Nations that import will stop. Standards of living will dive. This is already happening in several nations. And it will get worse. Most office jobs will die. The people they employ will need to do something, most of them women purely from a statistical standpoint. But the thing is, men dont have to be rich. They just have to be better off than their women peers. Women will deny this, but the stats disagree with them. But I fully admit I could be completely wrong and its just because women are totally oppressed by the patriarchy and are refusing to have kids.
    1
  1729. We had a guy in the hospital I worked in years ago. He had just gotten a new bike jacket that had the spinal protection in it for Fathers day. The next day, that Monday he was driving into SF when a van cut him off and sent him flying over the edge of the Bay Bridge and he landed on the back of a moving Truck about 100 feet below on the western end in San Francisco. He broke his arms and legs in multiple places, Broke his jaw and had a fractured skull. He even had a fracture pelvis. But what wasnt damged, his spine. If you are a biker and love your family, wear your armor. I cringe every time I see a guy on a crotch rocket with his girl on his back in a tank top, shorts and flip flops.
    1
  1730. And they only work a little less than half the day when the sun is out. They just refuse to give up on their green Utopia, no matter how many people die.
    1
  1731. You can. You just need to know how, which is pretty easy. Then you need to buy something called unrestricted land. You will most likely still need at least one permit and a perk test if you plan on doing a septic tank in most states. You can skip that if you just do grey water and a compost toilet. Will you be able to live in Houston, NYC or San Fran, no. But you can find a lot of places that offer land at a decent price. You just need drive and sweat equity.
    1
  1732.  @midnight8341  Why does a house need to stand the test of time? Most houses have a life span of 30 to 50 years. And we over engineer them like we want them to be around like the damn Pantheon. We have cabins here in Tennessee that are over 200 years old that were made using axes and sweat and hard work that are still used today. No studying, no codes, just simple effective building techniques.
    1
  1733.  @adamkaris  My point was, if a house is meant to stand the test of time it has to be simple. Many dont want simple, they want modern. Why over engineer for something that will be outdated in a generation? And many of those cabins, with simple wiring, and a one room ac are very livable, the question is, does one want to live in a one room house, for many the answer is yes. As for energy efficency, cabins hold thermal mass in the winter well and its thick walls, if the cabin was made with logs, prevent heat from entering in the summer as long as the chinking is good. The one thing they are prone to is humidity, and as I said, even a window AC, will quickly address that issue. And I dont think its silly, up until a decade after WWII many American homes were built in a sectional process, like traditional American cabins, expanding with family need. With simple "dog runs" attachments are easily added. As for basements, most cabins didnt need them. They had root cellars for those needs.
    1
  1734. Peter Zeihan pimping his own head merch. He is the Pewdiepie of economic demography.
    1
  1735. Yes but for the first time, the worlds population will be stagnant and then decline. Thats never happened before. Even during the place death there was still a population increase over the world. This wont be so much a crash, but a transformation of our economic system. What we have now, due to global debt loads, wont survive.
    1
  1736. Most property tax goes to the counties. The problem is most states are so in debt, their retirement system so underfunded that they are close to ruin. They need this money. There are only a handful of states that are fiscally sound, two off the top of my head are Idaho and Tennessee. But there are about ten that will probably have to massively cut services in the next recession.
    1
  1737. Wait until the government cant get people/banks/companies to buy all the treasuries for the massive deficit spending it does. Then things will just nose dive. Dont look at job openings. Look at the labor participation rate. We never got back up to where we were before covid. Lies, damn lies and statistics.
    1
  1738. Its just a gully that's all. Just nerves. lol
    1
  1739. Only thing the US can do is gut the military and nationalize health care, or at the very least limited profit margins ( I am not saying I am for this). Both of those things would have significant ramifications though. The biggest issue is that folks didnt pay enough in taxes to SSI and Medicare and congress just kept expanding Medicaid. MIT said over a decade ago that 2040, according to their financial models, would be the year that the US failed. Looks like we are right on track. That said no one is going to vote to cut social services or the military by any significant amount because Federal government spending is already 24% of GDP. It will hit 37% by 2029, thats 5 years. Even if a politician does choose to cut spending, we are looking at a decades long depression. Americans are to short sighted to endure that, most simply cant. Buy guns ammo and land. And learn to farm. Build a trusted small community. You have a decade.
    1
  1740. The amount of projection in this threat is comical, but entertaining. Gratitude to all the commentors.
    1
  1741. barnominiums have become popular. But the greater Knoxville area is very beautiful and mostly peaceful. Though land prices are unrealistically high now. Welcome to the area Joker.
    1
  1742. Yeah it bough homes in the highest bubble cities, Atlanta, Dallas, and Charlotte. And I have no idea where you got that 350k homes bought in 2021. Thats just factually wrong. As of June 30 2021 American Homes 4 Rent only owned 54,785 homes compared to 53,984 from the previous quarter. Are you saying since then they bough 350k homes? Where are you getting your data from?
    1
  1743. Adjust for inflation home prices in the 1970s were flat. Thats even with the massive baby boomer demand coming onto the market increasing demand. Now we have all the boomers leaving. And for every 2 boomers who leave, only 1 zoomer to take their place. We are going to see massive deflation in all the sectors that boomers inflated, like housing, and inflation in all the sectors the boomers deflated, like wages.
    1
  1744.  @Coffeendonuts  hence why I said adjusted for inflation. Nominal values arent adjusted for inflation.
    1
  1745. Where are all the good men at? Yea. I wonder. Young men see crap like this and are like that dude is so much above me if it can happen to him, what happens if it happens to me? I cant afford a lawyer. I feel bad for the young men today.
    1
  1746.  @AnonYmous-vm5ls  no, just that these are cherry picked results. i actually sold last year. the market is going down, but again, doesnt change that these are cherry picked.
    1
  1747. This will stop when they hit the realtors and the mortgage originators for assisting in said fraud. Fraud always pops up when people get hungry. Starving people are very short sighted.
    1
  1748.  @kickyourfaceandlaugh607  on the effects technology has had on our society. Would you say people are closer now or 30 years ago? It doesnt mean he was just in going around blowing people up. Just that mankind seems to struggle with civility and integrating technology into our lives while keeping our social structures strong and healthy. Of course you can just make more faces.
    1
  1749. Government and insurance companies are. People make up those organizations. So they are right, from a certain point of view. lol
    1
  1750. Men dont want this because these women are broken and scornful. She has already said she will take a man she isnt attracted to. She will become bitter. And eventually, because of the way the laws are, she will gut him and the courts will help. Everything hes built will be stripped away including his children. Men have watched this for three generations now and thanks to the power of the internet every man knows it, even the fools who will put their heads in the jaws of the lion. If you are a 304 you dont get a happily ever after anymore, you get a corporate grind until you get pink slipped or if you are really lucky, retired at 67. Then you get to live out the rest of your lives with your cats you can dress up and pretend they are your children.
    1
  1751. This just signed Germany's death as a major exporting nation. They are done. Even if the war in Ukraine ends tomorrow, no more gas. And Germany is the major power in the Euro zone. As goes Germany, so does the Euro zone. Who will bail out the PIIGs now?
    1
  1752. Mrs. Lady Fish in that Don Knotts was after in the Incridible Mr. Limpet was pretty sexy. But that was from 1964. So this old woman probably saw it in theaters.
    1
  1753. Its a common misconception that most people died at that early age, even a slight uptick in infant and childhood mortality can have a massive impact on the average life expectancy. If you have a population of two, and one dies at birth and the other at 90, the average life expectancy is 45 years. Very quickly you can see the downward average this can have. Its a fallacy that modern medicine has extended life much. What it has done, is massively reduced infant, childhood and birthing deaths. Reduction in the amount of wars and the amount of men who die in them also help raise the average life expectancy. Civic engineering, which the Romans started with their massive sewer systems, also helped in the 19th century.
    1
  1754.  @ian111  Most modern people are blissfully ignorant of the horrors of war.
    1
  1755.  @GlacialScion  I think you are misundstanding his comment. Its not like Russian soldiers who disagree have an option of just saying, nah no thanks. And they along with the Ukrainians get fed into the meat grinder. Or maybe you dont care, which is fine. But that speaks to his warn porn comment as well.
    1
  1756.  @GlacialScion  So you agree with him and say yuou disagree. Are you the type who argues just for the fun of it? Because, that was the mans point. You are talking politics between nation states, he is talking about individual lives.
    1
  1757.  @GlacialScion  Again, nothing you jsut posted has anything to do with that mans post. No one event stated anything about right or wrong. Do you read peoples words or just project your emotions on them?
    1
  1758. Digging that Alf shirt.
    1
  1759. Did you know in Blackrock's most recent earnings numbers the value of the assets they managed declined by 17%. All of these companies you are so worried about are going to have to liquidate assets to pay off investors in the near future. If you regulate them, not only will that still happen, which will hurt everyone's 401ks and pensions, but you will have another layer of intrusive ever further grasping government entity crushing Americans. Regulation doesnt work. It never has. It just keeps the little guy out while the big players drink tea with those in power. I am not sure how most people dont understand this now, especially after 2008 and the SEC.
    1
  1760. the Government doesnt print money. The Federal Reserve does. And for the last year and a half they have been tightening, outside that whole bank collapse thing that no one talks about. The US government does issue Treasuries. But the problem is that since interest rates have risen that the stock market has stalled and capital gains tax receipts have stalled. This year we are going to collect about 1 trillion dollars less than last year. baring any additional spending on all these wars, we are looking at about a two trillion dollar deficit this year. That extra two trillion into the economy isnt necessarily inflationary though. People had to buy bonds and treasuries for the government to get that money. So unless it came out of savings or some other non productive means, like grannies mattress, its inflationary impact was already felt. What we are seeing is business that arent being well run having to overcharge to stay in business. They need to fail. But we dont do that anymore. Everyone gets a bailout.
    1
  1761. This isnt the first time this has happened recently. Its just the first time the media has just outright ignored it. Hes telling people so they know hes right. Again.
    1
  1762. People act like Russia isnt one of the largest wheat exporters in the world. Russia is number 5 in the world. Russia isnt going to starve. The people they export to might. This will lead to more global instability in developing nations. Perhaps another "mostly peaceful" summer in the Muslim world in 2025. Winter wheat crop goes in next month. If those areas are occupied and not being planted that means it simply will not exist come harvest 2025. Add that the the Ukrainian production that has gone offline, you are looking at significant decreases.
    1
  1763. Hes not being gone after in criminal court, because there is zero proof. This is a civil case. In civil cases there is a much lower standard for evidence, but still evidence is needed. She has exactly zero.
    1
  1764.  @aryaaswale7316  Chinese people dont trust banks. For obvious reasons. Homes are their retirement accounts. One of the issues is that the growth of people in China has come to a standstill. So demand is ebbing. This is going to be something that is felt in the rest of the world over the next 50 years. Demand is going to start dropping, it will be interesting to see.
    1
  1765. The question is would the US risk its carrier assets? Its easy to throw carriers into areas that are not contested. But putting them into contested waters, with a near peer power, is highly unlikely. Okinawa is only 220 miles away. I think Kadena Air Force base would be the center for attack aircraft. Well within all US aircraft ranges. And there is no risk to the carrier groups. If a carrier group goes down, the US will have no choice but to go all in, then China has nothing to lose. And considering how some of the Ryukyus are less than 50 miles from Taiwan, Japan would probably get involved.
    1
  1766.  @zapazap  no it leads to obfuscation and deceit. And then a only usvexperts can figure these things out. It's no different than the priesthood of the middle ages. It's a power grab and a form of gaslighting. Are there objective answers, yes. But logic and reason, not mincing of words can tease out the truth of a thing.
    1
  1767.  @zapazap  See you on the range.
    1
  1768.  @808shorty_10  Do you ship to Tennessee? lol
    1
  1769. Conspiracy theory time. The guy who started this is from Brazil. Brazil is a BRICS nation. Russia is a part of that group. Trump colluded with Russia. Trump told Russia who told Brazil who told this dude to go after Ghost Baby Inc because "fill in the blank". If you disagree you are a terrorist and hate democracy. Reads like a progressive fever dream. But yea thats my conspiracy theory.
    1
  1770. Its horrible and mystifying that he doesnt understand the importance of violence. It removes the weak and unfit. Any function that does that, biologically speaking, is a good thing. This guy is mixing his personal philosophy with science. That is bad. Is statement that having males is a bug is also utterly stupid. It helps a species when it has a massive time investment to bifurcate reproduction, like most primates. This guy has flipped the chart from smart to moronic.
    1
  1771. Navy needs to bring back keel hauling. But this is what happens when you stop promoting on merit.
    1
  1772.  @beckriv9854  Peter was allegedly a Republican. But he was a globalist Republican, ala George Bush. Globalism in the Republican ranks has been in decline since 2004. But now its on life support. The last gasp of it is its pro Israel policy. But even that will die here in the next decade or so. But this isnt so much a massive change, but a return to what the Republican party was pre Nixon. One might argue that it is an end to the Boomer influence in the Republican party. Republicans are going to be the party of domestic policy and foreign isolation. If one views that as good or bad, well thats just like their opinion man.
    1
  1773. As soon as Amazon got a hold of it they supposedly wanted female Astartes. The compromise was female Custodes. Cavill should have been smart enough to know that he could not shop this in any big name studio with ties to DEI. At this point I cant tell if he is just self centered or naive.
    1
  1774. Greens want less people. If a few billion have to starve, its a price they are willing to pay.
    1
  1775. The soft bigotry of low expectations in the flesh.
    1
  1776. Thew change in character is the issue. I remember feeling so betrayed when I bought Metal Gear Solid 2. And I had to play as some dumb ass blond dude because Snake jumped into the ocean to chase after Metal Gear. I was like what the hell is this.
    1
  1777. education is often expensive.
    1
  1778.  @AJ-sw8uf  Go work in a L&D unit in a major urban areas with large black populations and get back to me on it. The truth is, most dont even know its happening. Its on of the reasons the Black community is seeing higher rates of inheritable diseases. Its not like these these people know they are related. But genes dont care about that. And from a genetic standpoint its not the first generation of incest that sees the damage, but the preceding ones.
    1
  1779. This is what the Roman mining system had to be like. Thousands and thousands of humans toiling away, chipping down whole mountains in Spain for gold and silver. And then there were the salt mines and the endless amounts of quarried stone. Cobalt mining in Australia is done with only machinery. I think this man is just hyper focused on the Congo. Because in Australia, Canada, and Russia they only use machines.
    1
  1780. @L0l C0Wz And yet here it is still a thing.
    1
  1781. FIrst chick, super long nails and nose ring... red flags. 2nd chick, nose ring and speaks with an upward inflection... red flags. 3rd chick, drives a sports car, pretty sure thats a Mustang... red flag. 4th chick, control top leggings, she has a kid.... red flag.
    1
  1782. Just enough to keep the Senate and to make the margins small in the house. There will always bee a few Reps who jump ship.
    1
  1783. jingle mail.
    1
  1784. Volker laughing in 500 basis points.
    1
  1785. You could just as much as cheap buyers dont want to pay full price for a house. You act like getting the most for asset is a crime. Is housing overvalued right now, yea I think it is. But I dont begrudge a owner for selling the asset for what they can, its the fool buyer who is at fault.
    1
  1786.  @1Skeptik1  Housing prices didnt decrease then because the boomer demand inflated everything. We dont have that today. In fact, boomers are leaving the market, 29 percent of baby boomers have died and 44% of all US home owners are boomers. And as they inflated everything when they entered, as they exit it will deflate.
    1
  1787.  @garyt7193  unfortunately, right? Some people just dont like liberty and the responsibility that comes with it I suppose.
    1
  1788.  @jchoneandonly  so they spend vast amounts of wealth to lose money? What are you a mercantilist?
    1
  1789.  @danieltoledo9383  if that's the case, then you should by as much silver as you can since its undervalued, No? I'm not saying prices aren't being controlled, I'm just wondering why you all don't take advantage of it?
    1
  1790.  @jchoneandonly  I don't see how deflating the cost of an item, say silver, impoverished anyone, except maybe silver miners. If you think silver is undervalued why aren't you buying it? I'm just curious, if I thought a stock was undervalued I'd but it.
    1
  1791.  @jchoneandonly  I don't see how supposedly dropping the price of an asset, which makes entry into that market easier, is supposed to make people poorer, no. Please explain that? And explain why they only seem to do this to gold and silver?
    1
  1792.  @CPfromEv  if its cheap now, perhaps everyone should buy it?
    1
  1793.  @jchoneandonly  yes so the "they" you are talking about are burning tons of wealth to keep those prices down. I mean, that's the only way a market traded item stays low, if the market, all the people trading it, agree. I don't see how some nebulous they is stopping that. You sound like the feminists and their arguement about the patriarchy. If you think the price is ridiculously low you should buy it. As much as you can. But it could be that the inflationary pressures aren't uniform yet, like they were in the 70s and early 80s. When they are you may get your wish of gold and silver raising to unheard of levels. But not today's, so buy yours now, right?
    1
  1794.  @jchoneandonly  hostage? Really? A bit dramatic aren't we?
    1
  1795.  @jchoneandonly  they are easier was to obtain a cheap workforce, like going to a developing country. But I'm sure some nefarious global cabal of they is much easier of an answer.
    1
  1796.  @jchoneandonly  oh the cabal includes the political and military classes as well. I'm sorry, how foolish of me.
    1
  1797.  @yehimstone5492  Really? That goes back to what I said earlier, short sell and the price goes up, u pay all the money. So these rich people love paying all this cash to what keep prices low so people can buy more? Makes no sense if you are trying to "oppress" people
    1
  1798.  @antpoo  You could say that about literally any asset. Can assets and markets be manipulated, yes but only short term. And the longer you do it the more distortion and harder it will hit when it flips. The gold and silver bugs just lose it when their stuff doesnt go up. I dont see why. If that happens it means everything is bad. Like wishing a pox on all our houses. So it has to be some grand conspiracy of nefarious individuals seeking to oppress everyone.
    1
  1799. We want to be publishers with the right to censor but not the liability. This is what he is arguing. The internet is either a free place where all have a voice or no one does. They are publishers or common grounds. Its their choice. But what they are they need to be legally held to account.
    1
  1800. I think all of this is rather normal. This is the natural cycle of culture and genes. Eventually you come to a point where people cant follow. The weak weed themselves out. And that is based on their culture and genes. As we have gone through time men and women have selected their partners for a myriad of different traits. Eventually though, most of those systems break down. But this time, in our modern world, most nations are linked. Same with cultures. This has metastasized to all of them. Even in Africa fertility rates are dropping faster than they are in the west. The end will be a massive resent both culturally and genetically. But it is natural. Its not like this hasnt happened to countless cultures through history.
    1
  1801. You want a man who is strong enough to be gentle.
    1
  1802. the Shadow banking system is going to collapse. And its utterly unregulated. So it will be worse than anyone thinks when it does unwind They will need to sell assets to keep from imploding their own positions but the overall economy as well, including real estate. You are very correct that housing will come on the market from them. The question, as always, is when. And considering the Fed is "pausing" I would guess they are close to their breaking point. People dont understand how companies like Blackstone and Blackrock actually make up over 40%, as of 2015, of all lending in the world. God only knows what it is now. This wont just be a US problem. It will be world wide. And it will make 2008 look cute.
    1
  1803. Its not even all that. These people dont understand that they relate to the "bad guys". They think they are doing good. But they arent. They are bad. They are evil. But they think they are good. Hitler didnt think he was bad. Neither did the SS. They thought they were good and doing good things. Thats what these people think. They think they are doing good works. But they or objectively evil. Give them more money. I want this stuff everywhere. I want more people to see it until they understand what this type of ideology is. Its just evil wrapped in faux benevolence.
    1
  1804. The last western nation to really celebrate motherhood, well the award was called the Cross of Honour of the German Mother. Any attempt to honor or celebrate motherhood more than just in simple passing will be seen as fascistic and a devaluing of a woman's productive labor as well as any other contributions outside the home that they might achieve otherwise. Until that fanatical feminist idea is relaxed, this will never change in the west.
    1
  1805. Let me put my tin foil hat on: Elections are suppose to be anonymous. Full stop. Why would I give a polling company my personal information so I can be identified while at the same time knowing that the NSA captures every phone call in the USA, at their Utah Data Center, as well as probably every email that is sent. Heck that polling company probably sells the data as well. I dont think either side trusts enough to be honest anymore. And that is largely the media and politicians fault.
    1
  1806.  @jwarrior9986  They did the same with us while I was in the Marine Corps. We had all male units and them telling us to not rape women and to watch out for our female comrades because they could be raped. We were like wtf? What females? Oh not I cant rape? Its not like thats not in the UCMJ. It was so stupid.
    1
  1807.  @JIMFED63  So you have sold your home for a 45k gain? Or are you just looking at what someone tells you its worth. I hate to tell you this, your house, just like any other asset is not worth what you paid for it. Its only worth what someone else will pay for it.
    1
  1808.  @JIMFED63  Thats not your house now is it? And just because thats the asking price, that doesnt mean thats what is sells for. In 2008 I bought a home in California for 216k. DR Horton was asking 523k for it. Do the math! Listed prices arent sold for prices. But keep coping.
    1
  1809. Its not the fans, people who think that are naive, though I wish it were. This is about the cost of money that studios need to borrow to make these games. In the last two years the cost of borrowing money has gone up 450%. That changes the bottom line. At the same time politics from several years ago is presenting itself currently do to the creation cycle of content, in both movies and video games. The cost of money, relative to the rate of return, will end this. Unfortunately, there are still enough people who believe reviews and will just buy a title or go see a movie and not demand a refund. When money costs were low, that was just part of the business. But now that its expensive, it will be crippling to the bottom line. And the way things work is, the current game/money release and revenue pays for or is leveraged to, do the next creative thing. This will prevent them from moving forward. You are going to see a lot of things being canceled in the future. Just wont be the funds for them.
    1
  1810.  @catherinedalzell3183  Thats because pregnant women slowed production. Many facilities actually paid bonuses so production would remain high. So there was an unintentional social pressure on women not to have children, to get the bonus and make sure everyone else did too, otherwise you are just being selfish. Then there was the soviet era apartment block housing. One bedroom. Hard to bring kids into that.
    1
  1811. ​ @gavinlee1615  Amazing how wrong you are. The internet evolved from ARPANET. ARPANET was invented by the UCLA, Stanford and University of Hawaii in the 1960s. TCP, evented by Americans. The Internet was developed by the above mention universities as well as MIT. Tim didnt come along until the 80s, Standing on the shoulders of giants as it were. Why do you think Silicon Valley is where it is? Because of Stanford. Get bent.
    1
  1812. remember when oil was at -$38 a barrel and the oil companies had to pay people to take it. Yea corporate greed. lol
    1
  1813. I dont know if they can do a bachelor tax now. Woke folks might find that homophobic. The lefties have painted themselves in a corner on this front.
    1
  1814.  @minatokirijio9059  Well there isnt only the media on which the game is transferred on. There is the packaging as well. I dont know how old you are either but most games use to come with massive books. Star Craft came with a lore book of something like 90 pages long. Same with War Craft. And then there is transportation costs and storage costs. The amount might actually be significant. 5 to 10 bucks a copy maybe in some cases. Which is why they said they wanted to shift to digital media in the first place. But maybe thats what caused game prices to stay around the 60 dollar mark for such a long time.
    1
  1815. Serious question, is the 4.4 months of supply on your supply graph resale, new homes, or a combination of both? If so what is the difference between new homes vs resale? Is this data even available? Excellent content as always.
    1
  1816. I honestly dont understand how Europeans could accept the current EU. They have gone so far beyond their original mandate its not even funny.
    1
  1817.  @derek4412  took me about 5 minutes to find that data. Id post the link but Youtube is hot garbage these days. Its there. You just arent looking correctly.
    1
  1818.  @justinj3340  You just said why this is occurring. Governmental debt makes living more expensive. But people dont want to give up the programs that cause the debt. So things will slowly get worse until you enter a death spiral where you no longer can support your nations social welfare system then you hit catastrophic collapse. At that point things restart. The problem is that this is the first time its hitting all nations at the same time. There are only 12 nations with a population fertility rate significantly about 2.1. 10 of them are in Africa and none of them are self sufficient.
    1
  1819.  @darthvader5300  I am not sure why you re posting that to me. We are in agreement. With the exception of your numbers. The fertility rate in the US in 1950 was 3.1 per woman in 1950. It peaked in 1955 at about 3.5. Did you post to the wrong person?
    1
  1820. I live in Tennessee. Drive down highway 40, what you will notice are a lot of fire work stands and sex shops. Its like a lot of people around here dont know the internet is a thing.
    1
  1821. I use to ride my bike to school in first grade dang near 5 miles. This cop needs to be not a cop anymore. And if the DA indites her, the DA needs to be gone too.
    1
  1822. this point, with all these different companies doing the same thing, this is either madness or a concerted effort at money laundering. The companies that fund these studios need to be audited.
    1
  1823.  @jefff7287  Yes but the Biden admin and the Obama admin and the Bush admin and the Clinton admin. I mean you can go back as far as you like. They all do it. Its standard practice. Its a bit disingenuous to call out Trump supporters in one line for doing the same thing Obama did and saying he took credit from Obama. Thats all. I dont expect you to see it that way, but from someone who sees them all as clowns., it just looks odd. But you certainly are entitled to your opinion.
    1
  1824. Those houses at the 13 minute mark are future cat lady houses. Low footprint, easier maintenance, and small yards. Morgan Stanley pretty much hit the nail on the head with this one, I believe their prospectus said that 50% of women under the age of 40 will be childless and single by 2030. Those houses may be higher cost per square foot, but a lot of people are going to be living in them. Thats what happens when you dont make families. Why would a single person want a 2500 sq ft house?
    1
  1825. Boomers are still the largest home owning group in the US. 44% of all US housing is owned by boomers. As boomers die there will be a housing glut. At best their children will get a house, at worst those children will already have a house and want to sell their dead parents home for liquidity and then down goes prices.
    1
  1826. Even then, the Supreme Court has already ruled and stated the Federal Government doesnt have the authority to mandate every state have abortion access. It violates the 10th amendment. Congress would literally have to pass a Constitutional amendment.
    1
  1827. You assume people in German or Europe will have excess money to buy said cars. With food and energy inflation piling up month over month, they dont now. As things go forward its going to get much worse, economically speaking. Dont forget as these industries shut down all the people employed be them and who are 2ndarily involved with those workers or the production in general will be laid off. If the central government pays them benefits, that will make inflation rise. If they dont, these people wont have any money to spend beyond necessities at least while they have any saved income.
    1
  1828.  @slkttop  Nah dont even worry about being sorry. Its cool. But I understand where you are coming from. Unfortunately I think Zeihan is right. The world is in for a really bad time. I think a lot of people, even in the US are in for a much lower standard of living. But we can always pray for the best and expect the worse.
    1
  1829. I bet people wont be complaining when they get buys of a lifetime when housing declines in these markets. From the comments here I dont think people understand the real effects of regulating a market. It keeps the new people from joining, they cant break in due to the effects of the higher costs of regulation and that only crystalizes the power and control that the companies they dislike even more. The end result is less people who own a few rentals and more mega corps and hedge funds owning them. Its like people dont think beyond the first step. Only that the price is to high and not WHY the price is to high.
    1
  1830. This is why nord stream was blown. Now Germany doesnt really have a choice in the matter.
    1
  1831. Ford uses its F series sales to cover the losses for its electrical and hybrid vehicles. Until they and the government, stop pushing vehicles that people dont want, they will either have to take a loss or keep vehicle prices high.
    1
  1832. Hyperinflation, no. Significant inflation over the recent historical norm, yes. Time for another Reagan loaf of bread commercial to remind America what the long term cost is to the economy and their wallets.
    1
  1833. Dude is toxic cuz his smoke alarm needs a new battery. I dont know how there are so many people with youtube videos with that shit chirping in the background. Id pull that shit out the wall. Seriously, do people not hear that?
    1
  1834. These are sucker cuts. The same thing happened in early 2007. By Dec of 2007 it was a fire sale. This time wont be any different.
    1
  1835. Acolyte is to Star Wars and Lucas film what Pete's Dragon was to 1970s Disney cartoon films.
    1
  1836. Whats sad is I remember being a kid in the 80s going grocery shopping with my mom and running to the magazine section to see the latest games in magazines like Computer and Gaming World and Computer Gamer and Computers. Actual journalism. Shame they are all gone now. But one reaps what one sows.
    1
  1837. Thats a good question. Something no one even wants to talk about. But if the global trading system is about to fall apart, which seems to be occurring, the Germans need to ask themselves, what do we need to do moving forward to secure our position?
    1
  1838. I think what you guys are seeing in the "urban monoculture" is a continuance of Soviet ideology that has gone through multiple generations of mutation, but is still ultimately led by true believers with the ultimate goal of destabilizing the US, while not understanding that the war they have been fighting for has so long ago been lost. It screams of Soviet attempts at demoralization.
    1
  1839. Yes its not theft. Not theft at all.
    1
  1840. As populations decline national debts will crush those nations. First it will be one or two nations. Probably Japan and China. But when they default. And can no longer sell debt. That means that they can no longer purchase foreign goods or services it will have a cascade effect. Simultaneously the US will find it harder and harder to maintain its military, meeting recruitment numbers now is impossible, which largely protects global trade as well as stops minor fights from turning major. Most Western nations give a lot of money in foreign aide, that too will stop. But the final straw will be when nations social safety nets implode. No more preferred or protected status for women. No more bureaucratic jobs. It will be the death of the modern state from the debt burden. Many nations will be forced to return to an 18th century lifestyle for a lack of resources that make modernity possible. Once that happens populations will rise again.
    1
  1841. Her hierarchy of needs argument doesnt make sense when compared to actual divorce data. Wealthier people have much lower divorce rates. On the other hand the lower you are on the economic ladder the less likely you are to get married in the first place now and more likely to get divorced it you even do.
    1
  1842. Teachers dont get a lot of money. Teachers only work 9 months out of the year. They typically collect unemployment, because of how the union structures their contract languages. They intentionally defraud social welfare.
    1
  1843. I remember when the only thing on mountain house was a bar and cattle.
    1
  1844. SSI, Medicare and Medicaid already make up over 60% of the Federal budget. How much more do you want?
    1
  1845.  @Aragorn1989  not until their boomer parents stop getting SSI checks and they get put out. As that stands now, the Feds are scheduled to be cut back SSI by 23% starting in the early 2030s. Thats about 6 years away. Thats if the economy stays as good as it is, which it wont. Hunger is a powerful motivator.
    1
  1846.  @mg-by7uu  maybe, but massive inflation is not hyperinflation. Which was my point. People like to use that word a lot. And most of them dont understand it. The ugly truth is we dont have enough workers for all those companies. People dont grasp the massive change in demographics. For every 2 boomers leaving the workforce we only have one zoomer coming into replace them. So for a lack of a better word, we need a little creative destruction. This is the Feds plan, they have said as much. I hope they stick to it. God help us all if they dont. Which they probably wont, but hey let me be naive and happy a little bit ok.
    1
  1847. problem with tik tok is it gives the Chinese a door on to every phone and every computer that has it installed. This is more anti Chinese than it is anti free speech.
    1
  1848. This is literally a book, The Moon is a Harsh Mistress by Robert Heinlein.
    1
  1849. Archie Bunker called, he wants his house back.
    1
  1850.  @TheSolidSnakeOil  I mean the whole cast is All in the Family. You have Archie, his wife, the goofy daughter, her future boyfriend/husband "meat head" who were both socially progressive in the original show. Even the Black neighbor who was George Jefferson is there. Im kinda shocked they can get away with it.
    1
  1851. I just want to know how to they place this Kenobi with the Kenobi who fights Maul at the end of Rebels. Because that Kenobi, at the end of Rebels, is the Kenobi from a new hope. Its like these people dont even know the characters they write for. You would think Disney would want to protect its largest and most profitable IP. But they just trash it.
    1
  1852.  @aprilflowers2695  Just curious, why do you move around so much? Is it specific to the field of work you are in or just a case of wanderlust?
    1
  1853. Poor Montez has to deal with that daily. Angels do walk among us.
    1
  1854.  @asw654  40% of houses are owned by boomers. If you look at a population pyramid of the US demographics all you see is declining demand because each age cohort is smaller and smaller. That is going to last at least the next 30 years while the largest demographic cohort dies. That leads to a housing glut.
    1
  1855. There is one catch there, many boomers cant do that. You see, when you get old you want to make sure you are within 30 minutes from a hospital. Now if that rural area is near a hospital you are good to go. But there are a lot of places that just dont have medical access. For someone over 65, thats an issue, for those with a chronic condition its just not an option.
    1
  1856.  @zuzuke..  And the people elect said government. People get the government they want. The problem with people is that very few self reflect on their thoughts or actions.
    1
  1857. @Butter Emails Shell made those in "earnings" not profits. 3.1 billion of that was write downs from Russia. Learn the difference between profits and earnings please.
    1
  1858. Biden didnt cause this, hes just made it worse.
    1
  1859.  @georgeyarbrough88  The causes of this go back to us not dealing with what happened in 2008. Its fine, you want to pin everything on Biden. He has enough to be blamed for, but this would have happen regardless because of the Fed.
    1
  1860.  @jasminejasmine2751  that's crazy, here in tn they are .81 cents for 18.
    1
  1861. What the Swedes have found is the explosives used were of Russian manufacturing. Now if I was going to blow something up and I wanted to make sure it couldnt be traced back to me, I sure as hell wouldnt use explosives that my nation used. The Swedes have nothing other than that. He could have been the Poles or the Swedes themselves that did it using Russian explosives, unless they have footage. If they have footage why have they been sitting on it for for so long? Lets be honest, no one is clean in this fight.
    1
  1862.  @mfallen6894  California will never be better off. It's a lost cause. The recent laws they passed make that a certainty
    1
  1863. Marriage only makes sense for a man if he has full authority over his family. Modern women want equity because most are so damaged from a decade of broken hearts and meaningless sex that they are incapable of trusting their husbands. Women need to be able to trust the man they are with. So you have a situation that works for no one.
    1
  1864. They didnt arrive until after.
    1
  1865. Soliciting over the internet is a Federal felony if you cross state lines.
    1
  1866.  @Andy123AE  The officers probably should have called for backup before exiting his vehicle considering the subject was already out of his. The cop, I am going to guess thought he could de escalate the situation by his authority. That works when there are multiple officers, not always the case when there is only one. This officer made a lot of mistakes in this case, including closing to make bodily contact without even knowing if another person was in the vehicle. One of the things I find odd about the video is the subject never utters a word. The whole time. Even when the officer attempts to taser him, completely silent. Thats not normal. I will be interested to see what the autopsy says.
    1
  1867.  @Slomoshun4u  I suppose that would make you look even sillier.
    1
  1868. That you think China will exist as a single political entity after losing half their population in the next 50 years is amusing.
    1
  1869.  @caucasianafrican1435  that's what happened to my ex wife, but she left me.
    1
  1870.  @uanip1341  again, stats show that men who raise their children have better outcomes than those children who are raised only by their mothers. In fact its so close that the difference in a father only and a intact family is negligible
    1
  1871. Cheap money plus a momentary demand spike, the two largest generations in American history, the boomers and the millennials, being in the housing market at the same time, this was bound to happen. As the boomers start to exit in mass, about 30% of them already have, real estate prices will begin a very long decline. There is only 1 zoomer for every 2 boomers. There just wont be enough demand. Not at least until Gen Alpha hits the stage, but that is about 25 years from now. And we dont know the size of their cohort yet.
    1
  1872.  @darkzeroprojects4245  Women use to have babies in caves and huts made from animal feces. Suffering. lol You dont know suffering if you live in the west.
    1
  1873.  @Caligula-qr2ik  both nations fertility rates are dropping and have been dropping year over year for the last 40 years. If that is "stable" to you, well, I think we differ on what that words definition is. Venezuela's fertility rate has been dropping about 1% a year. Argentina about 0.6%. And again, for both, that goes back to the late 70s early 80s. That eventually leads to a negative fertility rate, which both are now on the cusp of.
    1
  1874. This is one hundred percent a woman in the workplace issue. I dont like to be that guy. But I worked in a hospital with an all female staff. The absolute shit show of cat fights, grudges and just general bad behavior by women to other women, made me hate my job. I can only imagine how much worse it would be if there had been sexual harassment issues floating about. Throw in modern politics and gender issues, I am glad I retired early and just work on my little farm.
    1
  1875.  @johnstanley7874  Smart people dont want to be president.
    1
  1876. I like how the thumbnail doesnt show a Dinosaur talking about Dinosaur Extinction.
    1
  1877.  @Setanta1913  The irony of your statement. None of those issues is the fault of those individuals then. So the individual is free from any responsibility to resolve it. It shirks responsibility. The real reason birth rates have fallen is simple, people make choices. Those choices end up resulting in less births.
    1
  1878. over eating today is like alcoholism was in the late 19th and early 20th century. These folks still eat like we are in an agrarian society without doing any of the physical labor.
    1
  1879. My favorite part about all this is that all of these people are saying how much they hate Trump yet accusing Trump supports of hating everyone. These people are emotional children. Lenin was right. Useful idiots are a thing.
    1
  1880. State polls are pretty accurate generally. They typically will over or under count every election so you can adjust for them. When you have enough state polls you can do an electoral college simulation. National polls are garbage though.
    1
  1881. These people just wont say it. Not until after the mid terms. We are already in a recession now. When Junes numbers comes out they will lie and then have to have them revised after. Just like the CPI with only a 5.5% housing increase. lol
    1
  1882.  @JohnWick-su2nh  Really, I wasnt aware. I left in 2020. The only thing I regret is not leaving sooner. Its a shame what has happened to California but I couldnt stop it. And everything all my extended family owned burned. So there was little to keep us there at that point.
    1
  1883.  @realestatemindset  Mind yourself, i heard its pretty wild down there now.
    1
  1884.  @GeorgeOhYesPlease  We appreciate that, the simple rubes that we are. lol
    1
  1885. Its funny, no one seems to understand why women dont want to have children. Focusing on the womans condition never resolves the issue. Not in any nation its been tried in. The problem is women finding suitable men. Thats why women complain there are so few good men. What they mean is men suitable to marry and feel comfortable having children with. Resolve the issue with men, and you fix the fertility crisis. But you cant. Feminism will prevent you.
    1
  1886. Rome used the mob as a threat to those in power. This is just the same thing. It will be most amusing when these mobs eat the people who support them. They always do.
    1
  1887.  @simex909  Its the only thing I could think that resembles these people, I thought about it after watching the drinkers video. These people create nothing. They cant. They lack that spark. They only deconstruct. It goes back to that Tolkien quote, "Evil cannot create anything new, they can only corrupt and ruin what good forces have invented or made." The only thing I have seen that perfectly portrays this in cinema is the Great Nothing.
    1
  1888.  @elizabethblane201  Even a few weeks ago, most people would have laughed at that statement. They arent laughing now. The new cope is markets will only correct 10%. Good for your kids, patience is a virtue.
    1
  1889. Sane people saw this comping from a mile away. The Nord stream pipeline was a message telling Germany dont even think about flip flopping. But as I said anyone who saw this knew what the outcome would be. Like the Feds "transitory" inflation. Germany will just have "transitory" black outs. Hopefully this time there is not man with a funny mustache to get them organized.
    1
  1890. Its worse that that. NATO nations that do send troops not as a part of NATO as a whole invite Russian retaliation without the protection of the rest of NATO. The NATO charter only protects non aggressor nations. Any nation that sends troops to fight Russia, in another nation, is an aggressor nation legally. Say Slovakia does and Russia nukes them, no NATO country would have to assist them.
    1
  1891. I wonder if he was a teacher when Bill Clinton was elected president?
    1
  1892. Talks about water but doesnt talk about the Delta Smelt. lol I can see this individual has never been to California. Politics has indeed ruined California, its why I left.
    1
  1893. The average American home has 2.6 people living in it. How do you come to a ratio that would have it at about 1.3?
    1
  1894. I think it depends on how bad this recession will be. If it hits hard quickly we will see more home buyers unable to purchase anything and more homeowners forced to sell due to not being able to make their mortgage note.
    1
  1895.  @WingsOfDay  Thats why a good pollster will "control" for the number of new registered people. How many register for each party and independent. Its what leads to an increased margin of error. Especially in states where people register in the opposite party so they can sand bag potential candidates, like that one fell who tried to shoot trump did.
    1
  1896. Perhaps you have not looked at demography. No one is getting married and few are having kids. There are more women in the US now that have their first child in their 40s than have their first child in their 20s. By 2030, close to half of all women are expected to NEVER have children. The people you think will need housing wont exist. And once the boomers die off the actual total population in the US will look much much different.
    1
  1897. I like Rogan best when he has his Art Bell hat on.
    1
  1898. Wild wolves, who are adapted to their environments only live about 8 years. The fact that domesticated dogs, could live in places where wolves would struggle is a testament to the versatility of the common dog, even if it is at the cost of a greatly reduced life expectancy.
    1
  1899.  @georgia777  If you are living in it the rest of your life how is its potential value any concern? Real estate, like any asset class can be an investment. Thats not what you as some who lives in it should be looking at. Especially since you own yours outright, as you said on another post. Its just a place to live. Now that may mean you may not have as much in valuable assets to transfer to your heirs but that doesnt make you poorer. Unless you intent to sell your house in a down market. In fact it might make you more money because when your property gets re assessed it will be at a lower value, thus reducing your property taxes.
    1
  1900.  @donwhittaker5899  That only covers the assessed value. That doesnt do anything about bonds. Looking at my last property tax statement from when I lived in California the assessed value was only have the cost of of my total tax liability. The other half was county and school bond measures. Prop 19 doesnt touch them. Do you really think that the state wont just push more bond measures if they lack the desired revenue?
    1
  1901.  @donwhittaker5899  Well, if you dont want to believe it thats fine. In most Californian counties the average costs of bonds on their annual property tax is 25-50% of the tax owed. If property values decline, the state will just squeeze money out via bond measures. Thats what they did in 2010-2015. And as you said you have been in your house for 28 years so your assessments have been capped. The average Californian cannot say that. You are in a much better position than they are.
    1
  1902. Japan is utterly alien to the west. Do they have similar problems in some instances, yes. But the causes are different. In Japan things like honne and tatamae are so ingrained in the culture that using a blanket statement like you did is just cultural ignorance. Which ironically is what the Japanese probably prefer. In Japan you arent allowed to talk about the problems. You just have to deal with them. And as most non Japanese never are invited into the real Japanese world, they end up only see the outside. And that is very very fake.
    1
  1903. The echo chamber of the internet self limits what people see. Those who need to hear a message, whatever that message is, will rarely be able to even know it exists, let alone hear it.
    1
  1904. I am sorry your dishwasher is broken. Seems to be going around. Bonkers.
    1
  1905. Korea? Korea is cat lady central. Only 1 in 4 Korean women every even have a single kid. Their nation is dying. It was bad when I was there in the 90s. I cant imagine what its like now. They do respect the military. While I was there, I never had to pay for a meal when I went out after training with the RoK marines. The merchants wouldnt take my money. Its a shame all the east asian nations have decided to not reproduce.
    1
  1906. Because their economy is imploding. And no amount of fake book keeping can hide it at this point. If you combine that with the fact that their population is about to implode, maybe not to the extreme Peter states, but still it is going to implode on some level. They simply will be crushed by their own debt. The only way they will be able to survive is by exporting. And you cannot be an export dependent economy and a global currency at the same time. The value would be to high and the price of your good would be as well.
    1
  1907.  @paulking4908  Im glad someone understands. This is simply another step in demoralization. The thing is, most of these people writing this crap have no idea what they are doing. They are utterly and totally usefull idiots.
    1
  1908. Plenty of serial killers around still. The thing about most serial killers is they only get caught if they want to. Most never want to. So people just vanish.
    1
  1909.  @jtonxbox1433  Thats because they are to busy paying taxes on money that was spent 30 years ago. Thats what Keynesian economics gets you. Nothing is free. Nothing.
    1
  1910.  @joemccarthy7120  Cool story.
    1
  1911.  @MrRezillo  ah deflection. Nice.
    1
  1912.  @pawl23  Ironic, further undoing Bismarck's work.
    1
  1913. People dont understand the side effect of this. The Ukrainians are fools for doing this while the war is going on. Now the Russians just wont leave witnesses. Congrats, more of your people are going to get culled. They could have let this kid rot in a cell while hostilities go on and dealt with him after. They got publicity instead. For those who care, this trial, is also a "war crime" and violation of the Geneva Conventions. Yet know one cares.
    1
  1914.  @d.wayneharbison8691  They totally are. I am not even really sure how that happened. I stopped play D&D for a few years in the 90s when I was stationed in Japan. When I came back the bard was a comic character. And it just degraded from there. Now they are all border line sex addicts and grapists typically.
    1
  1915.  @d.wayneharbison8691  oh dang you are an old salt aint ya. I was just a wee lad of 4 then. 07
    1
  1916.  @xiangli2452  Right, that is the big question. And we will find out in a few days. One will be a lot of pain quick, which is better for everyone; business, governments, the regular joe. Holding on to them so they just roll off will make the pain so much longer. The Fed is totally in a pickle now. The never should have lowered rates in 2018. That made everyone thing the Fed is always going to back the markets. Powell needs to be flogged then hanged from the nearest light post. I am an Xers and retired early, my heart goes out to Millennials who got screwed in 08 and now are about to again. That generation is never going to be able to recover. They are going to have to raise rates so high now it will cripple the economy.
    1
  1917. Considering how many 401ks, IRA's and pension plans invested in Blackstone, people may demand it.
    1
  1918.  @bobmorane4926  technically you could use a flywheel. It's old tech. But when they fail it is catastrophic.
    1
  1919.  @priceprice_baby  you clearly don't understand how power is made or transported if that is your position.
    1
  1920.  @TheHigherVoltage  clearly. Another storage medium was asked for though.
    1
  1921. IGN is printing libelous propaganda at the very best. These people arent journalists. They wonder why no one reads news anymore. Pitiful.
    1
  1922. Probably because they only focus on the .001% of men at the top.
    1
  1923. Speaking of British taxes, does the BBC still drive around with their Mystery Machine to find unregistered TVs?
    1
  1924. Every time I hear someone talk like this, like they are a teacher in a 2nd grade class room lecturing their students with upward inflections makes me cringe. These are the same people who took joy when coal miners lost their jobs and just said coldly, learn to code. Just adapt to the new normal. Yet when its journalists or video game creators its hate speech to tell them suck it up and deal with it because you deliver a product no one likes and many of you try to reason your bigotry into a virtue.
    1
  1925. I dont believe your FRED chart is adjusted for inflation. The charts that show both the inflation adjusted costs and nominal costs are best. It shows people the true destructive power of inflation and the reason why prices for homes are so much higher. As always I appreciate you content.
    1
  1926. because you have to be married to have sex. lol
    1
  1927.  @Sky92651  again, the idea that older people get married TO have sex is amusing. Most people just dont want to be alone because humans are social creatures. Anyone can have sex with anyone. A quick visit to a nursing home shows that. You dont need to be married for sex.
    1
  1928. You are paying back in inflated currency, so the price is cheaper than it appears. At least until the debt bubble bursts and the dollar dies. But that could be a tomorrow or in 100 years. And if the dollar dies tomorrow, making your mortgage note will be the least of your problems. Why do you think the Fed has a target of 2% interest and not zero? It makes the repayment of all debts cheaper. This keeps the economy moving more than it otherwise should. Also you can write off all your interest on your taxes thus keeping that money for yourself. Even today a 5.5% loan really a negative interest loan at 8.6% inflation.
    1
  1929.  @msteele2214  why would a nation, Russia, who has been sanctioned by almost every nation lending material aid to Ukraine need to justify the use of nuclear weapons to those same nations? I think the point is, if the Ukrainians start shooting into Russia, the Russians may be like hey, whatever, whats the worst that can happen?
    1
  1930. The ugly truth is the "greatest generation", silent generation, and boomers over promised, over spent, and under saved for said promises. Come the 2030s, thats less that 6 years away, everything is going to break when SSI gets cut, right now it makes up 20% of federal spending. It will be cut by 22% in the early 2030s, if not sooner. If you cant do math that is about a 5% drop in federal spending just from SSI cuts. Other areas will need cutting as well. Because of that the economy will go into a permanent depression, Federal government spending is currently 40% of GDP, overnight until the US debt burden forces either massive inflationary printing or default. There are no other options anymore.
    1
  1931. The position that all poor people can afford is bad food is a false one. What you eat isnt as important as how many calories you consume. Take an athlete like Michael Phelps. He would eat 8 Big Macs for lunch and then go swim after, burning all those calories. Fat people are fat because they eat more calories than they metabolize. People know this, they are just coping. No one wants to feel bad but if you are a fatty, you should feel bad. It shows you have a utter lack of discipline and personal responsibility. But you can be better, just have to do it like how you got fat, little by little every day.
    1
  1932.  @Kellethorn  Russia has generals like the US has majors. A Russian General is not even remotely the same as say a US general. They have different functions.
    1
  1933. You arent suppose to ask that question
    1
  1934.  @hydeparkist  men don't have children. Women do. It's always a woman's choice. Or are you saying the men of the Netherlands have all gotten vasectomies?
    1
  1935.  @coscinaippogrifo  is the typical woman approachable?
    1
  1936.  @pierregibson6699  I get that argument. But you don't have to raise your children like that. I raised my sons to be spartan. To value people, relationships and moments, not things. But most people prefer things because it's easy. Things don't have opinions of their own.
    1
  1937.  @JCdental  I dig the name, that was a great game. That said, I dont disagree with you. I think the modern world drowns people with choices. Choices that arent even remotely realistic if you want to chose other things well. Many people choose without looking at the long term ramifications. But one has to ask, when does personal choice have to be curtailed for the long term survival of the group? We arent there yet, but if things keep up, we will be there in a few generations. It will be interesting what peoples answer is. I hope I live long enough to see it.
    1
  1938.  @JCdental  I think economies will implode before we get to that level and that will force people together. Limiting options once again. But I have been wrong, from time to time. What a time to be alive regardless.
    1
  1939. I have heard people complain about "end stage Capitalism", which is what I think you are explaining. But its not Capitalism. Its Keynesian economics that is in the end stage. It started failing in the early 70s. And to "fix" it gold standard and previous economics for reserve currencies were dropped. This is a long death. And those in power dont want it to end. Because when it does, the result of fractional reserve banking and endless leveraging will make them all, the uber rich and powerful, paupers. And then the normies will tear them apart as the lies melt in front of their eyes. All economics is based on trust. No one has it anymore. Because everyone knows the game is rigged. But if you say that out loud, and you dont do anything, you are just a coward. So people believe the lie until they cant.
    1
  1940. Corporate middle management hired her. They hired all these kinds of people in non critical positions like HR. And then over the course of decades they infiltrate via hiring and metastasize like a damn cancer. Then one day you are like, hey what the hell is all this? And just like that they have control of a company.
    1
  1941.  @kapitankapital6580  Take your statement and remove "cis" and replace it with trans, black, gay, or any other protected peoples and yeah, thats why. Shes a bigot.
    1
  1942.  @billpetersen298  it's kind of my point. How do you develope a well quaking and functioning fleet of sub crews when they hit their max dosage on their first cruise? In short you don't. 😂
    1
  1943. Are these "quitters" adjusted for boomers retiring? 3 million boomers are retiring every year averaged over their generation. Something to consider. Boomers started retiring in 2011. I think many, because of the stock market crash held off retirement to re earn what they lost. Now you are seeing them utterly tap out. But without the age of the "quitters" you cant see if they are young people quitting or boomers retiring. A lot of individuals are starting businesses.
    1
  1944. When has North Africa been the considered the Orient? Orient is literally Greek for "east". They called the where they lived the Occident, literally the West. The Greeks and Romans considered both major North African cultures, the Carthaginians and the Egyptians as western. This is stupid.
    1
  1945. The real issue is the current cultural zeitgeist, with DEI and inclusion over all other things, makes this suspect, even if diversity and inclusion wasnt Ubisofts intent. I would argue that if this came out in 2012, it would not be as big of an issue. That said, this is a reactionary backlash against an aggressively toxic leftist ideology, which may or may not be justified based on ones beliefs. Its also why both sides are right. This is just culture war stuff. Japan just hates being the battle ground for stupid western wokism. This is no different than the girl boss movies that keep coming out that keep failing because they were greenlit pre covid when that kind of thing was accepted but now is not. It missed its time. That is the fate of a lot of things that are "trendy".
    1
  1946.  @brokenrecord3095  DEI is just social policy rammed into corporations and the government. It is the implementation of modern political leftist theory. And it is an utter failure everywhere it has been tried, from the Secret Service to Microsoft. And then there is the dumpster fire at Disney. Thankfully its eating itself its so incompetent.
    1
  1947.  @Canadian_Eh_I  The smart drop them early, to sell the asset. Pride makes people into holders. Holders are always left holding the loss.
    1
  1948. The last time Congress passed and actual full budget and not a continuing resolution was in 1997. After a continuing resolution was passed, they then did additional appropriation bills to fund portions of the government. EVERY YEAR since 1997. If Congress fails to pass a budget they should all immediately be removed from their positions.
    1
  1949.  @listener523  Thats just it, there hasnt been a budget since 1997, just continuing resolutions. If there was the Gephardt rule would automatically raise the debt ceiling to whatever the amount that Congress budgeted for.
    1
  1950.  @listener523  I mean, if we did we be in a depression. I got a farm with livestock, I'm basically self sufficient. If we went back to 1997 spending, millions would die just from cuts to Medicare and medicaid. At that point it becomes a question if you are ok with that. And if you are, well those folks might do some desperate things. But in general I think we should at least freeze spending. But we have probably already spent ourselves over the cliff now anyways.
    1
  1951.  @listener523  If you dont see why a 10% drop of the GDP would cause a depression then there really isnt any additional reason to talk. lol Current spending would get us to that point, just slower. We are well past the cliff at this point. Best we can hope for is time to get ready individually.
    1
  1952. Banks dont buy homes.
    1
  1953.  @jonathantaylor6926  if the 10 year paid 6.5% the Federal government would either need to cause massive inflationary pressure to afford to service those notes or it would have to gut spending. Its not gutting spending. But i like your thinking. Bonds paying that amount would also stop the massive bubble int he stock market that has happened. I think the bigger problem, not negating yours, is the Federal government backing all home loans. It has the same effect as them backing all student loans. Its massively inflationary to those markets.
    1
  1954. I never liked Russel Brand, but as a show host who interviews people I honestly think he is one of the best. He actually lets his guests talk. He challenges them without feeding a narrative, and hes seems well putting his personal opinions aside. If only we could have more journalists like him. But as a comedian, I thought he was crap.
    1
  1955. ​ @danman1287  Few people understand that. They think demand will just increase or stay the same. They dont understand thats its in the process of collapsing for good.
    1
  1956. I fought for years to change my kids schools. They openly violated title IX in favor of female students and laughed in parents faces about it. Sometimes you cannot do anything but walk away. And when they no longer let you walk away, thats when violence happens. It will happen. And when it does the good will suffer with the bad. Destiny just doesnt understand that yet. He thinks he can change things with words. We cant. Never in history were things changed with words or participation. But by iron and blood. And having been deployed to many nations where that happened, I am not looking forward to when it happens here. But the left insists on pressing the accelerator to the floor board.
    1
  1957. USD is backed by Oil. You dont have to like it. But thats just the way it is.
    1
  1958.  @parshuram8031  where exactly am I wrong? From your post you seem to agree with me.
    1
  1959.  @parshuram8031  If English isnt your native language I'll give you a pass. But if it isnt, you really need to learn to read. I said none of that. You need to stop projecting.
    1
  1960.  @parshuram8031  ah you are the guy who just likes to argue for the sake of arguing. Good luck with that going through life. But you said this, "Where you said that both boys and girls need training equally." I never stated anything remotely close to that. You are projecting.
    1
  1961.  @parshuram8031  all you do is throw insults. Why are you so angry? Want to talk about it?
    1
  1962. MAGA (Make Amazing Games Again)
    1
  1963.  @Tony-hx2fj  Housing has inflated because of demand. There is no more demand. Demand for all goods peaked in 2019. Demography tells all. Housing will return to the deflationary asset it was prior to WWII.
    1
  1964.  @Tony-hx2fj  I actually bought in Dec 2007 in Northern California. the house was valued at 510k, I bought it for 216k. DR Horton just wanted to close its offices so took the loss. My house dropped in value to 165k. Those were good times. When I sold it in June of 2020 it sold for 505k. Got the hell out of that state. You are right about people who use their house as a piggy bank, which they cant do anymore. Those folks are going to be some of the first to go down, they have to be so way over leveraged it isnt funny.
    1
  1965.  @Tony-hx2fj  Dont say that, let me dream a little. lol
    1
  1966.  @melissalopez2338  How do you punish people when healthcare becomes a human right? You cant. Thats the problem. Until we go back to looking at healthcare as an actual service this wont go away. But that wont happen because its mean. People act like all this stuff grows on trees and then cry at the real cost of it.
    1
  1967.  @tweetypie1978  California changed its acuity levels due to the CNA (California Nurses Association) lobbying the state legislature. it was funny one day we were fully staffed. Then California passed a law and the nurses went on strike for "chronic historical short staffing". There is a lot of dishonesty on both sides of this.
    1
  1968.  @duo315  Doctors and nurses are always the first to die in a pandemic. When a disease is very deadly, and they are unaware, it rips through them as a group. Ebola usually burns itself out but the first groups of people to help usually infected before they even know what they are treating. Then its to late.
    1
  1969.  @duo315  I wouldnt classify Covid as a deadly disease, it has less than one percent mortality rate. Ebola on the other hand did exactly what I posted. Most of the medical staff was exposed before they even knew what they were dealing with. Then they died or the few who survived are so crippled that they can never work again, most people dont know about that with Ebola. That reduced the ability to treat and care for the sick and dying accelerating the spread. Outbreaks of actual lethal pathogens always do this. Things like smallpox 30% death rate, cholera up to 50-60%, and the bubonic plague up to 60%. Putting covid in that class is a joke. And that part of Africa is especially exposed to Ebola outbreaks because of cultural burial practices. I would go into detail but no one would want to hear it.
    1
  1970.  @duo315  When you adjust for co morbidities it just isnt. If covid didnt take them out, something else will. That doesnt change the overall death rate, just moves the numbers around. Thats why there is no statistical change in the death rate in the US due to covid. We still dont even have accurate numbers of actual covid deaths. All we get are deaths with covid, there is a difference. We get tons of people in the hospital every year with things like pneumonia and influenza that die. Thats who covid is killing. And why deaths from those numbers are down. We have a lot of actual medical problems, caring about ones we cant address is a waste of finite resources.
    1
  1971.  @johnmolloy4878  who was virtue signaling?
    1
  1972.  @engr.scotty  Are you responding to my comment? If so I am not sure how it relates. Can you clarify please?
    1
  1973. Look at all those nations demographics. You will have your answer as to why the prices are crashing. Home prices will crash less here in the US because we at least had a sizeable Millennial generation unlike other nations whose were flat. There is no demand. The only thing keeping the markets propped up where the crazy low interest rates and all the Chinese buyers. In the US our largest age cohort is now past 30. After another 5 years there will be no demand here either. That will be about 55 years since the US had a birth rate above 2.1.
    1
  1974.  @xy-fm  Yup. Governments want to do ever more. And yet do less and less competently.
    1
  1975.  @crishernandez5828  Every high school district in American has a website where all the forms have to be emailed and sent to. Every school in the US is vulnerable to this.
    1
  1976. In Dustborn, you are unironically evil. Thats the problem with "woke" people. They dont get that they have gone so far around that they are now the bad guys. It would be comedic if it wasnt going to get people killed.
    1
  1977. They should turn the Fulton center into a migrant shelter and homeless center. That way they can have access to the subway to get jobs to all the people that want them there so badly.
    1
  1978. Adjustable rate mortgage use is through the roof. Also a lot sold their previous home and then with that extra added equity could pay higher down payment for the new home. Its not sustainable. Higher house prices are required for there to be people with enough money to purchase. Since the market is now flat everything has stalled so no new houses will be sold without price drops. And new constructions are giving all sorts of discounts. But like always home owners who are selling dont want to do that. So they hold out but then the market starts its downward track and they lose even more by holding out for top price. Finally there is acceptance of price dropping then its a race to the bottom. People needing to sell will drop prices more so that their house sells Finally when all demand is met prices stabilize. This is the same thing that happens in the stock market. Also this isnt even taking into consideration how bad this recession is likely to be and with the number of people losing their jobs it could very well be a blood bath in the housing markets. Any one who thinks they know cant really. it could be 10% to 60%. But right now it looks like its the calm before the storm.
    1
  1979. lmao, "the white question". That sounds familiar to another question that came with a final solution.
    1
  1980.  @marsultortheavenger409  Not really. When you adjust for one factor all racial disparities disappear, from crime to income. That one factor is was that individual raised by a single mother. People reeee and rage at that fact. But it is a fact. I was shocked when I learned this. But I couldnt deny the truth of it from a statistical standpoint.
    1
  1981. @Ram Rod While this is true you would have people would and do say this is because of sexism and patriarchy. For a man having a family isnt a benefit, its a huge liability. At the same time women dont have to leverage their reproductive ability for safety and resources because most societies are so safe and their is a social safety net for retirement age folks. I am shocked people are shocked at the current family and reproductive meta.
    1
  1982.  @BlueAxeRacer  fiscal powers? I am not following what you mean. Can you expand on that?
    1
  1983.  @BlueAxeRacer  I know what the word fiscal means. I dont know how you are applying it to what I said. Since you cant seem to write more than a single sentence, which with your communication skills, lacks full context of whats in your brain. You cant argue your point so you insult. Nice.
    1
  1984.  @BlueAxeRacer  define "this"? You are referring to something you never stated. So I have no clue what you are referring to? Who taught you english?
    1
  1985. Matthew McConaughey being more presidential than any president we have had in over 30 years. I dont know his politics and I dont care.
    1
  1986. More like with the new administration attacking the bureaucracy, they are going to actually publish the real numbers and then scream, oh look how bad its been. Every metric used to calculate inflation has been over 5% except electronics for the last year. But inflation is only 3%? Square that circle for me?
    1
  1987.  @colinsanders9397  Which agreement? We made a lot of them, most are non binding since the USSR does not exist anymore. All that said, this equipment, while American made, was the Afghan Army's. They just said, nah not gonna fight. This is no different than what happened when the Iraqi Army up and ran from ISIS. Left all their gear.
    1
  1988. The woman at 7:00, thats what actual gaslighting looks like. When I was married and when I worked I had to deal with this crap daily with women when you called them on their BS. Gentlemen, work hard and invest smart and you too can retire by your mid 40s. Then its just straight fun.
    1
  1989.  @frankmundo4300  Some people cry on the upswing, others on the down. Many cry on both, to paralyzed with fear to take any action. But every day is a day you can make money. Its a shame that people dont understand. its not like the knowledge is hiddgen.
    1
  1990. every time I hear Cardi B talk I think its Riley from the Boondocks.
    1
  1991. they missed the opportunity to completely crush inflation to save banks. Should have kept raising rates to 7% at the minimum. Now we are going to head into recession and they will need to cut rates and then inflation will spike again. Its almost like these fools weren't alive in the 70s. At the same time because of the reversing of globalism, I truly wonder if they can even get inflation down because of all the money the Federal government is spending to support reshoring.
    1
  1992.  @johnbaker4246  so you would have e a statute of limitations of one week? I'm sure that wouldn't get stricken down. Lol
    1
  1993.  @johnbaker4246  fair enough
    1
  1994. When the propaganda takes hold a little to hard.
    1
  1995.  @t2av159  As a political refugee from the Peoples Republic of California I can say without a doubt, most Californians dont feel that way.
    1
  1996. Two younger couples I know bout who have mid 700s low to no debt and good jobs only qualified for 180k. There is your big disconnect. The banks already know whats going to happen to the housing market. They know they arent getting bailed out again.
    1
  1997.  @sound4mation  you make 200k congrats. No disrespect but the median household income in the US is 68k. You are a poor example of "normal". And as I stated their scores were in the mid 700s. Young people don't have 800s because it takes time to get there. Still they both were only approved for around 180k each. But this is in the south east. No idea where you live.
    1
  1998.  @sound4mation  Ah, I see. Well with 200k yearly earnings, depending on your spending habits and your tax burden, you should be able to at least have 100k per as spendable income. With that, so long as you could afford a down payment you could afford a 400k house pretty easily, that down payment would be about 80k though. Yearly servicing of that debt would be about 28k per year at todays rates. But I dont know your personal spending habits. But outside the west coast and the north east it should be doable. Though that income generally states you live in those areas. You dont want to buy right now anyways. Next two years will be a blood bath.
    1
  1999. The EU wont let them leave. They will starve and shiver in the dark.
    1
  2000.  @ronschlorff7089  ah shit, you are salty. You need some tennis balls for your walker? I wasn't born till 75. Semper fi O7
    1
  2001.  @ronschlorff7089  Thats it. But you get the old salt pass. No harm no foul. Yea the last time was 1812. But we sent them packing from NOLA.
    1
  2002.  @GODCONVOYPRIME  Heros arent dead. There are real ones all around you. They just dont fly shoot lasers from their eyes, or have light sabers. But they are still heros none the less. You need to see with better eyes.
    1
  2003.  @morelkeslassy3500  You know what, I came off as an ass. So I am sorry, that wasnt my intent. Inflation will cause housing to drop, it always does. People dont have extra money to spend on housing so prices deflate. Add to this rising interest rates, to combat inflation, which pushes monthly payments higher if a house wants to sell it has to drop its price to meet that price point. And finally you have the boomers, who as they entered into the work force, crashed worker pay, because there were so many of them, and inflated demand for housing so prices increased, will cause massive deflationary pressure as they leave this realm. The only real question is will those houses be able to cater to modern needs and are those homes located in areas people want to live in today. This speaks nothing about Millennial family creation which is in the toilet. It just never materialized.
    1
  2004.  @joeswanson733  lmao yes we did. Blackrock has existed since 1988. They buy all manner of things, including homes. REITs, Real Estate Investment Trusts, have existed since the 1960s, you just think that its a problem now because people make a big deal out of it. But the homes they own is a rounding error. REITs own about 500k properties, not homes, properties, and slightly more than 15 million acres of land. If you think REITs owning less than 500k American homes is causing all these problem, well your thinking meat aint good, respectfully. So walk with me here. If REITs own 500k properties, the maximum number of homes REITs could own is 500k, right? Well right now, there is over 83 million single family, detached, homes in the US. That means, in your head, REITs owning a possible 0.6% of the housing market is the problem? And lets be honest, the real number is lower. Most REIT holdings are in commercial real estate. We have this problem for one reason, inflation. Our nation, and many others have had horrible monetary policies since 2008. And now, there is no more room to wiggle. Prices will come down. Why would Blackrock invest in a deflating asset?
    1
  2005.  @joeswanson733  Things are never as bad or as good as people say. Dont be so down. Just be ready. Always be ready.
    1
  2006. @Jonathan Murray there were millions of job openings before the coof. Now we have those plus a larger and larger segment of boomers tapping out of the job market.
    1
  2007. Election 2022, fortified with vitamin D.
    1
  2008. I wonder what kind of upbringing people like Anna had.
    1
  2009. If even half of what of the stories of what this young guy did with the investment money is true he needs to be executed. Men like this do far worse social, business and economical damage than a guy with a gun robbing a liquor store or even the most successful bank robber. He needs the big sleep. And then they need to look at his primary backer, his parents.
    1
  2010. This is heresy. Someone call a crusade.
    1
  2011. La Nina says hello.
    1
  2012. Oh thank the gods. I know i feel safer already with Josh Brandon over there.
    1
  2013. There is a sad truth here. Medicare, SSI and Medicaid were all Ponzi schemes. They require more people pay in than take out, yes even if its into the general fund. And for the last 50 years, we have not had enough kids. Even if you add immigration, still not enough. Thats the problem with Ponzi schemes, in the end they always run out. So we have a choice, either we increase taxes massively, on everyone, which will ironically destroy the world economy since everyone dumps their crap on American shores or we cut benefits. We cannot continue to deficit spend with interest rates being what they are. Debt maintenance costs are just to high.
    1
  2014. Thats how they make their money, by selling out their nations for a sliver of what interests take. Of course they are going to be against it.
    1
  2015. There will be no civil war unless the right decides it no longer has a vested interest in the United States. Right now, the right, typically supports law enforcement and the use of the military. That is starting to change. Law enforcement, due to increasing oppressive laws, is seen as more oppressive by the right as well. And at the beginning of the Trump admin the right held Trump to his promise of no more wars, the virus hit and you had all these civilians being fired and replaced by military because of failure to comply. People will remember that. If the right slips in its faith that its government, at least in scope if not actual practice, is fair an impartial, God help us all. Because as history shows, the original American revolution was an aberration. I doubt we would get a restoration of our rights, not matter if that was the intent. Good video
    1
  2016.  @judewarner1536  market crashes are the forest fire that clears out poorly run or overextended businesses. They are a good thing. Not having them causes these huge mega corporations that gobble everything up.
    1
  2017. Gillette 2.0. These people are a cancer and companies need to admit that and remove them. But they wont. They cant. Or they become the thing they say we all are. So they are literally frozen with fear.
    1
  2018. What we are seeing here is the decline of the US Dollar. Inflation since 2016 is a cumulative total of about 36%. But you only come to 36% inflation using the Feds more modern inflation calculator. But if you use the old method of inflation calculation, like they did back in the 80s, you come to about 72% total inflation over that same period. You can look at vehicle prices the same way. In 2016 I bought a Ford F 150 for 38k. That same vehicle today would cost almost 60k. We are just seeing the devaluation of the US dollar. That said, an algorithm using data that people couldnt use without colluding with each other should be against the law. It gives those people who use it, an unfair market advantage. The job of the government isnt to pick winners and losers, its to make sure the market is fair and impartial.
    1
  2019. If I remember correctly, the T Rex sue, had multiple leg injuries, breaks and infections from said breaks, in the area the Ankylosaurus would have been able to hit.
    1
  2020.  @njerseydavid  It only works with adjustable rate mortgages. But then you have to refinance. That is the gamble. And its what happened in 2007-2008.
    1
  2021.  @njerseydavid  They will be if they arent presently. But some may have enough padding to get through a year or so thinking, "the fed will pivot", "interest rates will drop so I can refinance" and other such things. Its all cope as the kids say. This is the same thing that the renters and flippers ran in to back in 2007-2008. And we are going to have a repeat. But this time if the Fed loosens credit inflation will explode. So there will be no reduction in rates unless there is some sort of systemic failure but then the markets are dead anyways. I would imagine in many rental markets they are negative in rents vs costs already as you stated. It will get ugly.
    1
  2022.  @Asubatsu  Why males are fertile pretty much until they die. There is some drop off but men in their 80s can still get women pregnant. Everyday there are new 25 year olds, literally every day.
    1
  2023.  @wisenber  Yeah that first one really is a cultural thing and can be changed. Same with the third. That 2nd one though, thats biology.
    1
  2024. The idea that real estate will increase is because its assumed demand will increase. The problem with that is since 1972 the US has not been at replacement levels. Now that the boomers are beginning to die, demand will crash. And either those houses will transfer to their child or children, or they will sell that asset. One way the demand is neutral, if they keep the asset. But if they sell it, demand is dropping. Currently Boomers own 44% of all single family homes. Thats a lot of homes. Add to that the Fed can only raise rates to curb inflation and nothing else. Everything will drop in value. The more I look at this, I think historians will look at what happened in 2008 to 2022 as one event. We failed to take even basic steps to prevent something like this again, all so fake wealth could be generated in the stock market. I have recently, here in east Tennessee, seen three houses purchased in the first part of the year re hit the market. They say the same thing. Seller decided not to relocate from their home state, meaning they couldnt work from home. So they want to sell what they paid for it. The problem is that all overbid each property that was already over priced. Then you have the house flippers. And then the people who are going to get laid off in this recession. If you arent liquid now its going to be a blood bath and its going to be your blood. Powell will go down in infamy for destroying the American lifestyle for at least a generation to come.
    1
  2025.  @realestatemindset  keep up your content. The weekend talk q&a seems awesome for those who want knowledge. Health to your family.
    1
  2026. Dont forget taxes
    1
  2027.  @ShayeSells  Thats an extra 700 per year, not just once, every year. People can account for an upfront cost of a mortgage. Yes it will price some out, but nothing surprises a new home owner than the first tax bill. It adds up. As a former Californian who left I can attest to that. Your mortgage doesnt change, unless you have an adjustable. And then there are the rental buyers who dont get protections that live in owners do. Their taxes just scream up.
    1
  2028.  @youtubetim3577  Thats only because of how many covid took out. The fact that growth in the trucking industry hasnt rebounded shows that the economy may have picked up from pre covid lows, but it has not recovered and certainly hasnt grown.
    1
  2029.  @edenbreckhouse  Things like the battle of Athens shows that just isnt true.
    1
  2030.  @mattmcdonald7112  indeed.
    1
  2031.  @KratostheThird  We were up a little past Cherokee on Big Bend. Burned everyone out except one house. I always joke that he was the unlucky one. He actually got stuck there and was lucky to find a clearing and watched everything on the mountain burn. But yea, im in rural east Tennessee. I miss the west, but its good land here. And the people are decent. Hard to beat that.
    1
  2032.  @possummagic3571  She probably still voted for Kamala in 2024 lol
    1
  2033.  @realestatemindset  there was a report several months ago of people renting out rooms just to maintain their mortgage payments. But since then I haven't heard anything about it.
    1
  2034. Please do a video on actual sale prices. Anyone can throw a property on the market for insane amounts. They can cut it down to get a bidding war going. But what matters is the selling price. Its probably still to early to tell, but that will tell you the truth of the matter in a market.
    1
  2035.  @ReventureConsulting  And also thank you for the work you do.
    1
  2036.  @dirkvanschalkwyk1919  the fertility rate in London is 1.39 as of 2021. A roughly 30% drop since 2010.
    1
  2037. This woman's narcissism, you can see this in all she complains about is things that pull attention from her (children, husbands bathroom usage, husbands cell phone usage) is competing against her drive for a high earning man. She is the typical modern woman. My own marriage ended because of this. And I see it every day in the world. Women, for the most part, have become infected with some sort of soul rotting disease. It has left men dissolutioned and wanting nothing to do with them. I can only come to one of two conclusions, modern women either hate or envy men. I cannot figure which. Perhaps both.
    1
  2038.  @MHFIN  But how high was the original run up until then? Most of that run up happened in the last two years and then POP.
    1
  2039. What you state would be perfectly acceptable in a traditional relationship. But there are no traditional women left. The majority of women today, in the US, arent worth ANY effort. They are rude, self centered, controlling and obese which shows a total lack of discipline and unhealthy living. Are there good women, even great women? Yes absolutely. But the social, economic and criminal repercussion if you "pick the wrong one" is to great. Are there men who could be better, of course. But the majority of women are unfit for any relationship let alone marriage. And I dont say this with any ill will. I have three teenage sons. I want them to be happy. Heck I want women to be happy. But right now, no one is.
    1
  2040.  @jeffr6280  Ah well there you go, more inflation. lol
    1
  2041. This brings to mind what environmentalists told West Virginian coal miners when President Obama did his best to shut down the coal industry. Learn to code. Its funny how people react when the shoe is on the other foot.
    1
  2042. Look at the demographic pyramid for the US. There is no future demand. For at least the next 30 years, even if we let in everyone, there wont be excess demand. And considering how even cities and states who once were pro immigration are yelling, I doubt that will continue for much longer. Add to that boomers own just over 40% of all single family housing, well they are starting to die. that will either force those homes on the market, rent them reducing rents or be passed on the owners children reducing demand further. Once commercial implodes housing will follow behind simply because banks wont lend. The question is how much federal interference will there be. 2024 is an election year after all.
    1
  2043. The guy on the bike waiting for the chick doing her hips, was waiting for her to be done so he could use the squat rack that she was taking up. I utterly ignore women at the gym. Why bother taking the chance. The truth is this is just wanting attention. They want pity attention. Social media is to women what porn is to men.
    1
  2044. White people virtue signalling. The US population percentage of blacks is 13 percent. In Washington state its 4%. Also its a violation of the 1965 civil rights act. Which they are trying to skirt it to make it legal.
    1
  2045. Wood is anticipating growth in companies who have smaller sized demographics and hence, lower demand. How exactly does that work? I still see investors who refused to understand what 50 years of not having enough children to replace those who exists eventually means. I pity anyone who has given her money.
    1
  2046. I have never had a hard time dating. face wise I am not attractive. I am tall, 6'7" but from women's preferences thats similar to being 5'10", im to tall. But I am 48 and am in decent shape and independently unemployed, I tend to date women around the age of 30. Its insanely easy to talk to a woman. Most are starved for a kind word or even a genuine smile. But I think one of the bigger things is that so many people, both men and women, are undatable today. Right off the top, 70% of people in the US are either overweight or obese. Right there those folks are disqualified. But those same 70% will want someone who is "perfect" without understanding their shortcomings or more importantly, improving themselves. Then you add things like politics, religion or lack there of, and simple physical attraction, pretty soon you find you are hunting for the 1%. But what really stuns me, is even at the age of 30, most women arent looking to get married. They arent dating seriously, they are still in fun mode. That is really what has changed. Ill ask them, do you want a family or get married and they all parrot the same thing, im still young. I am happy and having fun. I still dont know what I want yet. These same womens great grandmothers knew what they wanted when they were 18. I think we have infantilized a lot of people. The are adults in body only. They think they can have healthy children well into their 40s with no threat to their physical health. And these are supposedly college educated and smart women.
    1
  2047. I wonder how many planets evolve a species that becomes sentient but lacks the resources to escape its gravity well. Only to slowly die of entropy. To far from the star for even solar power or gravity of the planet to high. A depressing thing to imagine.
    1
  2048. because he is correct. He was asked what you can do to stop this. Laws dont stop people from doing actions like this. Morality does. What these officers did was already a crime. Thats why they are being charge. I hope you dont vote. It would explain how places like memphis get the governments they have.
    1
  2049.  @kevinflynn5916  Energy suppliers never have fully ramped back up since covid, they have a lot of padding. And if Russia's oil and gas goes offline permanently, which it seems we are intent on causing, we will be short 5 million barrels a day on just oil world wide. Oil companies will do fine either way. If you are talking about electrical generators, on that you may very well be correct. Some places over half of people are behind on their gas and electric bills. Going forward, I dont see how that doesnt get worse.
    1
  2050.  @rogerclinton7469  Thats just not true.
    1
  2051.  @rogerclinton7469  that there were no bodies. The Idaho pilots name is Chelsea Brittany Infanger, she was on approach to the airport when the crash occurred. She worked as an air courier.
    1
  2052.  @rogerclinton7469  The plain that crashed into the factory in Idaho, didnt even crash into the factory proper, it crashed into a smoke stack that had no lights on it. She either didnt see it or did not make course corrections in time. Google her name its right there. Whatever story you read was wrong, it was a lie. You can continue to believe a lie or look at the truth. I gave you her name, type it in and look for yourself. Her body was recovered, she was ID'ed over a week ago. So you either refuse to look elsewhere or are pathological. The plane crash in Georgia at the General Mills plant didnt even hit the plant, just crashed on the property, two bodies were recovered from the crash. You are just all kinds of wrong.
    1
  2053.  @Lelazeb  Technically its not treason, it would be espionage.
    1
  2054. These people act like the US having a low birth rate is new. We havent been at replacement levels since 1972. That was the last year we had a birth rate above 2.1 children per women. For those who are bad at math, thats 50 years. The only thing keeping the US population growing has been immigration and the lag between births and death. As the boomers start to die in mass, the US population is going to start dropping.
    1
  2055. i wonder how over leveraged that dealership is? Might explain the need to have that high of an adjustment. But in the long run it defiantly is going to kill that dealerships traffic permanently. I dont understand the idea of sending it to auction and getting the same price or less that you would get from a normal sale though. Seems like someone might get a tax right off.
    1
  2056. Which one of those nations is ethnically diverse? Its not polite to say, but societies that are racially homogeneous have lower health care costs as different groups of people typically have different medical issues. Take Iceland' degenerative hip disease that pretty much everyone there gets. I bet the cost on those is way low because they make it up on volume. Then there is the way Medicare raises the cost of everything in the US. A lot of folks dont understand that because the Medicare system is so horribly byzantine.
    1
  2057. To my knowledge only one company survived something like this, that was Coca Cola. But they instantly came out against the "be less white" add and fired everyone involved. Most corporations are trying to play both sides. Dont let them. I want the woke companies to speak loudly and proudly. So I can not spend my dollars there. As far as I am concerned Bud can go sit in the corner with Gillette and the others.
    1
  2058. People dont understand that this problem exists because the State of California outlawed free plastic bags to protect the environment, even though it originally mandated plastic bags to save the environment. Previously the homeless would just defecate into the bag and throw it in a trash bin. California is the land of unintended consequences. The city of San Francisco of course didnt help matters by paying its homeless a cash stipend every month. Its a shame though, prior to the 1970s take over by leftists than came from the East Coast, San Francisco was the most conservative city in the US.
    1
  2059. Homeless lost their income, because of drug use, alcohol use, child support and mental illness. If it was just "loss of income" over 3/4s of all homeless wouldnt be men. It would be closer to equal. Homelessness really exploded around the same time that Congress made it difficult for people seeking pain management for their long term pain issues from getting medical treatment. So people who cant get prescription meds for pain management they go to something like heroin. And for those who dont understand why a person would do this, well you never been in that amount of pain.
    1
  2060. If it did burn down I would suspect Iger of trying to do it for the insurance money at this point.
    1
  2061. I wonder what the body count is on the number of people fired from studios that were involved with Sweetbabyinc?
    1
  2062. These women get brainwashed in college then just vomit up the ideas that their professors, who never had a job in the private sector in their lives, and think how awesome they are. Then the business implodes. All of this reads like a manual not to promote women into positions of authority.
    1
  2063.  @babyamyxo-o6c  The red pill, in theory, at least in its original form, was a reaction to laws being unjust, which was basically the mens right movement (which was an abject failure) as well as a total rejection of 4th wave feminism. Not that 4th wave feminism was bad, but that it was just factually incorrect. 4th wave feminism just teaches women to fear men. Things like we live in a rape culture, the current view of patriarchy, that helps no one navigate their world and often actually impedes women as we can see today. That fear of course will turn to hate and resentment. Thats not good for anyone, men or women. But how does it benefit women? It makes men better. Feminism has been a failure, at least the 4th wave variant and I would argue 3rd wave as well, at least when it comes to womens happiness and life fulfillment. Its also made men objectively worse, which is bad for women too. The red pill is really the only thing pushing back against it. And I think its why you see the bifurcation in young men and women politically to the extent you do today. But as it has gone main stream I think a lot of grifters have come into the space and really muddied the waters, ironically these people tend to be both men and women. But the same message is there. The red pill isnt a lifestyle. Its something you endure to grow, become better, preferably heal from past traumas, and then move on in life with the knowledge that allows you to be a better man. But those men are the silent ones. Folks just hear the ones in the rage. And they can be very very loud. Sorry for the tome.
    1
  2064.  @DNA350ppm  This is only anecdotal, but when I divorced my wife I went from being broke at the end of the month to having saved 25k in 6 months. You will never convince me that women save a man money. Not when women say things like, "It was on sale so its like its basically free. We would be losing money if I didnt buy it."
    1
  2065.  @newnauk  the labor issue is a sign that there are to many businesses offering services. The dead wood in the forest needs to burn. 2020 was the peak of our demographic trend anyways. It's all down hill from here. But be patient, prices are retracting in many markets. Good luck to you both in your life together.
    1
  2066. Harris cant run the US, she would have no one to get on her knees to. There I said it.
    1
  2067.  @Tyler_W  Harris, then Pelosi, then Leahy. What a dumpster fire. None of those particular individuals have any leadership qualities what so ever. They are swamp creatures just like Biden, only popping up to eat and breath. The American voters have made it this way. Maybe the pain of these fools will educate us, though i dont count on it.
    1
  2068. Hungry Hungry Hippos. Its a simple game. But there are limited players. When you do play chance is the major factor but you can always tell when someone isnt playing their hardest. Whats the point of doing anything if you dont go all out? And of course the Green Hippo is superior. Semper Fi
    1
  2069. Nah, panic is setting in. People will start dumping their prices. You are already seeing double digit price reductions in many markets. As recession kicks in and people have to sell or foreclose due to job loss or reduced hours, the people who are willing to cut prices will sell their assets. The ones who are stubborn wont and will end up defaulting when they lose all their equity.
    1
  2070. student loans restarting, property taxes and home owner insurance going up up up. The real question is how hard the commercial real estate market implosion hurt home mortgage lending. Yea skys the limit for real estate. At this point any government intervention to increase capital to individuals would only increase inflation forcing the Federal Reserve to raise rates even higher. Right now the best thing would be for the government to cut spending and force a light recession and rebalance. But they will hit the pedal Velma and Louise style and go right over that cliff. Still wont help housing.
    1
  2071.  @matthewsmith2362  They have to there just arent enough dollars to do all the trades with. At the end of the day, they would still rather have dollars. Anyone telling you otherwise is lying to you.
    1
  2072.  @animaladvocate8938  Commercial will cause contagion via RIETs and banks that cant meet cash flow demands.
    1
  2073. The problem is, I think, that the same feed back loop that makes many susceptible to the flashy bright lights and noises in a casino are delivered via cellphones. I am beginning to think this is a culling moment for humanity.
    1
  2074. if you got rid of prop 13 the California economy would implode. It would lose its status as the worlds 5th top economy in the world. Folks dont really understand how real estate prices there allow for fake wealth to make everything run. Pull that plug and overnight it all stops.
    1
  2075.  @hvaball150  you dont understand. Most Californians are only wealthy on paper because of the value of their home. Reduce that overnight and they can afford nothing. they have nothing left to leverage. This would implode the local school systems overnight. And the debt would absolutely make CalPERs implode as well. Go ahead and do it. Watch what happens. California has locked itself into this situation.
    1
  2076. People like to blame the boomers. But the boomers didnt set up the social system the way it is. That was the silent, greatest and lost generations. They set up SSI, they set up Medicare and Medicaid. Boomers were just the first generation who lived their who adult lives on a social system that was utterly dependent on growing populations paying into it. Thats why both parties want more people, the left via immigration and the right via larger American families.
    1
  2077. Considering Polands fertility is 1.38. The future is looking very empty for Poland. At least real estate will be cheaper.
    1
  2078. "74% of girls feel under represented in video games." Is this the 74% of women in the US who are obese or overweight? Yea probably. Why is it there has to be representation in video games? I love Ghosts of Tsushima. I am not Japanese. I loved Rachet and Clank, and I am not a Lombax or a Robot. I played Skyrim as a female Dragonborn, not a female either. I played Chopper Command as a 10 year old in the early 80s and I am not an attack chopper. Do these people lack imagination or the ability to empathize and relate to others? I think so.
    1
  2079.  @stuntmonkey00  The Japanese should be fearful of immigration. It solves none of the problems and creates orders more.
    1
  2080. Trump was a Democrat, so was Reagan. People and parties change.
    1
  2081.  @mouseutopiadystopia24601  I know most of the officers in Tennessee are fine. That is my point. Not everywhere is Tennessee. And yes how the local DAs chooses to prosecute or not does change the psychology of officers in that locality. Respectfully, you are naive if you dont believe that. Go visit the California bay area, Wasington DC, or Chicago if you want proof of that. Cops male or female act like this all the time there. Most Americans just comply and take it. Oddly in places where the citizenry is more likely to be legally armed it doesnt happen. Odd...
    1
  2082. Please more funny content on down days.
    1
  2083. Let me introduce you to H.H. Holmes, serial killer at the 1893 Chicago worlds fair. Built a whole house for butchering visitors from out of town. You are just naive to mans true nature. Man has always been like this and we always will be.
    1
  2084. Trump announces potential tariffs. Assassination attempts start. Perhaps the global order, all the nations of the world who dump their goods in our market, the corporations that make those goods and the governments who profit from the taxes from trade might not be so keen on Trump winning and pushing through tariffs. Maybe a good place to start? Perhaps the global order that requires the US Navy to secure shipping lanes, and American expense, is no longer in American interest. Perhaps those nations who wish to ship their goods dont want the US to stop protecting their transported cargo? 14 trillion US dollars worth of goods are shipped every year over the seas. There is 14 trillion reasons why.
    1
  2085. cope
    1
  2086. @Ghost protocol People dont understand that is the end result of this. The welfare state implodes but not before it fully collapses the nation state.
    1
  2087.  @Nithinithinith  It is. Women did it in far worse conditions of tens of thousands of years. Currently its the safest its ever been. It is a cope. This is the easiest its going to get. They dont want to have children, thats fine. But when they are old and grey do you think the few young ones are going to take care of them? These women and men do. I dont care either way, my family is large and intact and we take care of each other and dont need a welfare state. But when it does break, 10s of millions, mostly women, are going to suffer greatly. So yea, its a cope on them to cry about it now. You can see where we will be in ten to twenty years if you look at places like South Korea and Japan. It would be funny, but people dont care. So they will suffer.
    1
  2088. With China, its no different than what the Japanese did in the 80s. Any Japanese person or company that could by assets in the US did. And even taking a massive loss which they ended up doing, they still lost less than they would have if they invested that money in Japan. Thats what Chinese investors are trying to do, lose less. But China is going to implode and take most of the world with it in the next few years.
    1
  2089. I dont know why pro choice people are worried about a "nation wide ban" on abortion. Per SCOTUS the Federal government has no jurisdiction to regulate abortion. That includes banning it. Its a states right issue under the 10th amendment. I cant tell if these people are truly ignorant of that or if they are just being dishonest. Neither is good for voting or politics though.
    1
  2090. The MBS's for commercial real estate are what is going to kill the economy this time around, currently they are rated at about 20 trillion US dollars. You have damn near 20% vacancy rates and RIETs are needing to roll over their debt but cant when its going from 3% to 7%. So companies like Blackstone are just letting buildings go, multiple 100 million dollar type buildings. They are defaulting on MBS's. All of this is going to blow up by the end of the year and its going to take a lot of banks with them. At the same time thats going to make it even harder for banks to lend for regular folks for mortgages and eventually that will hit businesses ability to get capital for day to day operations let alone expansion. The kicker is the news media has either no idea this is going on or just dont want to talk about it. This next recession is going to see a massive deflationary crash. And while people are like yea now I can buy, that means all these companies, companies you have your 401ks in, companies you work for, companies you buy from, are going to get utterly crushed. We never resolved the issues from 2008, we just papered over them. If they try to again, inflation will eat everyone. So everyone is going to have to take a big bite of this doo doo sandwich. Great time to be alive.
    1
  2091. Its called catching lightening in a jar. And its not new. It pre dates the internet. I mean Ben Franklin coined the term.
    1
  2092. That intro, you could see just how angry Trump is that this is the person leading not only the US, but the free world. Cant even form a cogent sentence. No wonder the world is in chaos. The Manchus are in charge of the government. Just how they wanted it.
    1
  2093. This is why I never want 40k to be made into a movie or a TV series.
    1
  2094.  @johnwolf2829  Its easy to walk away. But so many are chronically afraid or anxious into a petrified state. I truly feel bad for them. A prison of your own making.
    1
  2095.  @SAMSON12321  price fixing never solved anything. Tax regulations on the other hand greatly favor investing in real estate. Adjust the tax laws and the rest will resolve.
    1
  2096.  @norwegianblue2017  Many markets in California are unique. They are hemmed in by the geography, especially if you are talking about the bay area and coastal areas. In most places the land where you build the house is worth next to nothing and the improvements are the value. In California the opposite is true.
    1
  2097. How do you square that circle. If every woman is having two kids in Sweden and your fertility rate is 1.5 that means one in four women isnt having any kids if two is the norm. 25% isnt a rounding error. Does this number just reflect ethnic Swedes or even the immigrants and migrants?
    1
  2098. This is sounding like Azimov's Foundation series all the time.
    1
  2099. Famine isnt going to be what brings down this system. It will be debt. When many nations can no longer sell bonds to buy whatever via debt, their nations, and economies will implode. Debt will be this societies pale horse.
    1
  2100.  @sulaak  There was not a famine in the US in the 1930s. The government destroyed tons of food to keep market prices stable enough so that more farmers didnt go bankrupt. People has less calories in the US during WWII than the great dustbowl. Food shortages does not equal famine.
    1
  2101. She is a self admitted Racist. Which is fine. She should be allowed to be Racist. So should EA. They just need to be open about it. So I, a person who doesnt support racism, knows not to buy their product. I wish all businesses could be as racist as they want to be. I dont want to give my money to people who hate me.
    1
  2102. I was stationed on Okinawa for 4 years in the 90s. never saw one of these guys. Went to Miyakojima twice, only saw some in the zoo they had there. Glad thy are making a comeback.
    1
  2103. You do understand that those companies can purchase those homes if they have positive cap rates. And the thing is, why would you buy real estate with a cap rate of 4% with potential negative downside when you can buy treasuries that will give you 5.5%. These companies that were buying up homes have stopped. They no longer have capital and many like Blackstone and Blackrock are actively preventing people from withdrawing funds from their investments. This will cause these REITs to sell their assets. And considering how poorly they take care of them they are going to take massive losses on them.
    1
  2104.  Morgan Allen  its not climate change its the polar vortex and arctic oscillation. La Nina has had an amplifying effect this year on both those things.
    1
  2105.  Morgan Allen  you only think that because thats what they have told you to think. Its cool. I wont insult you. But we are going to agree to disagree I think.
    1
  2106. If women want to be equal to men they need to be equal to men. If they are incapable of that it needs to be noted. And if we arent equal that completely deconstructs the last 100 years of political change in the US. I dont understand how people on the Right dont understand thats what the Democrats and leftists are trying to stop. They actually see where this leads and the Right is completely blind to it. They dont care about the sports competition. But they understand if the argument, which is rational, is accepted, then all the other rights given by men to women, are then also subject to reversal, like voting. I think most Americans, regardless of their political philosophy, have not fully thought out the consequences of egalitarianism run amuck.
    1
  2107. So you think that China will just be able to move in and mine without issue? I mean while Afghanistan does have these resources, lots of other places do to. And its not 1 trillion, valuing metals in ground is the wrong way to view things because price changes, greatly. Also its not 1 trillion in lithium. Its lithium, gold, copper, silver and on and on. But how do you get it out? Its a long way to get to any industrial facility to reduce to ore to final product. You would literally be able to use mine all the lithium in the US cheaper. Yes the US has a lot of lithium deposits, but current environmental law prohibits the type of mining that is required to access it.
    1
  2108. Women; Men are always the problem. Seems like a lot of women just dislike men.
    1
  2109. 40% increase in millionaires in 3 years. Thats due to massive inflation. A million dollars aint what it use to be.
    1
  2110. No. People dont understand whats happening demographically in China. They have build more units than there are people in the country. you cant sell them for a loss because they you literally lost your supposed retirement, Chinese dont trust banks. But over the next two decades China is going to lose 500 million people as they age out and die. Then what? Demand just isnt going to be there. And the more they spend the more the debt will crush them.
    1
  2111. "used" home price drops always trail new home sales. No one who ones a home wants to be the first to sell their home for a decrease over the last guy. But when it does happen it changes everything in the market. If things happen the way they have in the past, you will see that in June or July of this year. And by the end of the year it should just drop. That said, I am just some guy. But I did manage to retire at 46.
    1
  2112. The problem is that cities like Memphis have a hard time attracting any officers at all. The cities policies enable all the worst criminals there are. So the good officers go else where. So would you rather have bad police or no police? Thats the real question. Or you can change your policies. But thats not going to happen in these places so its a non starter.
    1
  2113.  @Kurimson  I don't see how any rational person could. More so if you have a family.
    1
  2114. Be responsible. Get a weapon. Train to use it. Carry it. Become a deterrent to crime, not a magnet.
    1
  2115.  @oldmoney1022  nah. You can see them. Most people have zero situational awareness. Yea a big ass guy moving through a crowd in level 4 body armor is going to beca ghost. Lol
    1
  2116. LA today is like the old Caesar III video game when you got a fire that got out of control. Burns up half your city before you can get a handle on it. That said, the winds down there are crazy. We cant stop all disasters, nature is to powerful. But we can try to mitigate them. But when diversity politics take precedents over actual civil protection, well, you got the government you voted for LA.
    1
  2117. Well when their social security gets cut down a bit they will be forced to move in with their kids. If they had kids. The ones who dont are in trouble.
    1
  2118. paying for boomer pensions of course. Spare no expense!
    1
  2119.  @snupi_nut  Then they go live with their families and get taken care of by them spreading the "you're f'ed" to everyone. Contagion spreads.
    1
  2120. a gallon of milk is a gallon of milk, an egg is an egg. But comparing a 1970 vehicle or home to a vehicle or home in 2023 is comical at best. Try to drive any vehicle in 1970 300k with an engine. Home sizes have doubled since 1986. And in the future, the inflation of large cohorts like the boomers and millennials will not exist. The millennials, for a myriad of reasons, have not had enough kids. But demand just isnt going to be there in the future.
    1
  2121. There isnt anyone in Washington who knows how to do math, only how to shovel pork into the mouths of people of their states.
    1
  2122.  @gokulkrishna4011  Yes but that world isnt this world. America does really care about most of the world anymore. No one can really hurt us, except our own stupidity. But that stupidity often hurts the world ten times worse.
    1
  2123. I still have games from the 1980s that I play on a DOS emulator. The fact is that we are going to have a video game dark age when all these games just disappear. When Asmond said this is art preservation he is correct, but that is simply a subjective view. But this is also about possession of electronic assets that you purchased. Unless its stated in the purchasing contract that the purchase is really a temporary lease then its retroactively theft. The only way around that and still be just would to make "buying" a game, a lease. And that lease has a termination date. At that date, the game goes bye bye. The thing is both things can happen at the same time. I think they should. Let the market decide which path is the best.
    1
  2124. Coming to theaters in Fall of 2025, Waffle House Down. Its for really reals.
    1
  2125. One has to wonder if it is the realtor or the owner who is making those choices. A good realtor would avoid a person who wouldnt be reasonable.
    1
  2126. Back in the 70s and most of the 80s McDonalds fries were fried in animal lard. Then animal fats were deemed unhealthy. Replaced with highly processed plant oils. Since then testosterone is down, depression is up and all these metabolic diseases are everywhere. We eat unnatural diets and are shocked people are unhealthy.
    1
  2127.  @antoinettecollin3121  You have imparted zero information in your statement. No one knows where you lived, until you stated it after you posted to me, no one knows what political side you are talking about. You OP is an utterly useless comment without context. You lack even the most basic communication skills. For all I know we could agree politically or be polar opposites. You can take that information and be insulted by it or you can improve your communication skills. Either way, I dont care. I just find people like you amusing to poke.
    1
  2128.  @antoinettecollin3121  You said nothing. You keep saying nothing. Its very impressive.
    1
  2129.  @antoinettecollin3121  I am milking my cow as we "speak". I am 47 and retired, I do as I please. As I always have.
    1
  2130. immigration, as another poster stated, is just a side effect of needing to bring in more workers and importantly consumers. Consumers raise your GDP which means your nations debt doesnt crush you. But eventually the social welfare systems most western nations have will collapse. The only way to prevent that is to force women of that nation to have a certain amount of children. But people dont want to look at that. Its sexist.
    1
  2131. She was a TERF so yea they would light her up.
    1
  2132. You wouldnt have needed any regulation if interest rates werent insanely low. The low interest rates caused this. Both this and the previous administrations did this.
    1
  2133. The data shows it isnt all women having less kids. Its a certain subset of women have no kids. Perhaps those women are toxic. Perhaps those women are just focused on other things. But in many nations, like Japan, its a case of women not having any kids at all. I dont think there is a universal answer as to the why. In each country its different. But the underlying issue is the same. Women being treated the same as men always seems to lead to this end. Irrespective of cultures. It happend in Rome, it happened in Greece. It even happened in Persia. Every place women are made equal to men ALWAYS has a catastrophic effect on birth rates. Always.
    1
  2134. Hear, hear...
    1
  2135. It started with the Global War on Terror. It pretty much shut down opium and heroine traffic world wide. People switched to prescription opioids and many companies like you showed, were only to happy to oblige. Now people like me, after having 5 back surgeries, cant get any pain management medications because doctors are to scared the FDA is going to pull their medical license. I know a lot of people who have chronic pain that use illegal drugs simply to manage through their life. Its not just addicts, though I would imagine a lot of people would call them addicts.. But I also think there is an evolutionary thing here. I was on Oxy for 5 years, they stopped it, zero withdrawal issues. Just a crap ton more pain. A lot of people had the same issues with alcohol in the late 1800s because of how powerful alcohol became with new brewing techniques. But most of them died off, now folks can, generally speaking, handle their drink better.
    1
  2136.  @realestatemindset  If Powell has balls and doesnt waffle. The Fed loves to waffle. Its like trying to figure out what a cryptic answer from the oracle at Delphi means. Honestly they need a 50 point bump for the markets to take them seriously. And he needs to be painfully direct. I dont have hopes on either of those two things. They are to worried about the market to do their jobs.
    1
  2137. Governments and the economic folks dont want to say a recession yet because job losses havent piled up to the point that we see an increase in unemployment rates, but we have already lost almost 2 million jobs. The problem with that thinking is that layoffs have always been a trailing indicator of a recession. Add to that that we currently have over 9 million empty jobs that boomers use to hold. And as more leave the job market there will be no new people to take their place, the boomer generation will just be that large. But eventually all of those empty jobs will be culled and we will start getting to real job losses that increase the unemployment rate. And when that happens there will be short sellings and foreclosures.
    1
  2138. Question, have there been any recent polls or studies that show how many Americans who dont own homes want to buy? Why is it assumed that the demand for homes in 2022/2023 is the same as in 2018? The oldest Millennials are outside the family creation range which is generally the main reason people buy homes in the first place. The next generation, the zoomers is so small it wont even make up half the numbers of millennials. So should we assume that demand for housing is the same? It certainly wont be going forward. Just wondering what industry data says on this?
    1
  2139.  @CaptainCaveman1170  a land lord does. Even more so when the asset he is renting, in this case real estate, is not gaining in value.
    1
  2140.  @CaptainCaveman1170  You do understand that as everything devalues, the people who have money invested in these REITs will need their money back to make margin calls right? As the boomers retire and retirement and pension plans have to pay out the money they put in REITs will be pulled out to make payments. The majority of these companies wont be in business in 5 years. And even if the other ones that survive buy up all their assets it still wont be as bad as it is now. This will improve. I promise.
    1
  2141. Real estate is at an all time high now. And it is only due to demography. Boomers own 44% of all single family homes. That is because their age cohort is so large. As they die those properties will be sold off. You look at home price inflation and income stagnation and all of them are due to the boomers age cohort size. And then when the Millennials got into the market it super overheated in 2008 because demand and prices got to high. Not as the Millennials are fully into family creation, the ones who are going to anyways, demand has largely peaked. At the same time the next two generations, the Zoomers and Gen Alpha are each not even half as large as the boomers. So as the boomers die it will take at least two generations of demand to make up that difference. Real estate will only go down from here. You only have to look at the demographics. So the solution to this problem is just time. Time will fix this, as it does most things, if they are left alone.
    1
  2142.  @joeswanson733  It will, over the next two decades and forever after. Until women decided to have at least 2.1 children each. Otherwise the population will still keep declining. Its the same reason why even a decade ago, the most expensive city on the planet was Tokyo, but now its not even in the top 10, I dont even know if its in the top 20. People do not understand how fast this change happens. Its literally like a teeter totter. You just a little far out and slam down it goes. In this case thats the price. This says nothing about the millennial family creation levels which are far lower than even the lowest estimates made.
    1
  2143. That Turbografx would be slightly over $1000 adjusted for inflation.
    1
  2144. 10th Amendment says the Feds can F right off.
    1
  2145. You would need to stop deficit spending. Thats the main reason why a declining population is bad. Doesnt matter if the GDP goes down, its if the GDP goes down in relation to the national debt burden. And almost all nations are going to be crushed by that. So you either cut spending now, and billions go into poverty over night or you wait until you have multiple debt defaults and retaliatory defaults and then no one can borrow anymore and billions go into poverty and shiver in the dark. The latter is more likely to happen.
    1
  2146. I mean its strong because all other nations live off trade. Foreign nations get those dollars from the US via trade, then those nations loan them out to other nations. So dollar demand remains insanely high. Everyone pretty much uses the dollar for transactions, even outside of oil. They cant stop doing that because then their nations banks will go bankrupt because of the dollar loans they loaned out will get defaulted on. If defaults start it just creates a liquidity crisis... increasing demand for even more dollars because no one will trust other nations who defaulted currency.
    1
  2147.  @EatMyOats  by what mechanism do you see those dollars flowing into the US?
    1
  2148.  @mirdarwichzada2744  how much time do they need?
    1
  2149. What bugs me about the hallway scene is the lack of brass on the deck. That shit should be everywhere. Instead they have like 5.
    1
  2150.  @politicrackedpodcast9868  define mistake? I mean everyone needs a place to live. If you can afford it and your job is secure, it might not be the best economic choice to make, but it wont be crippling. Now if you over extended, need both income earners to barely make ends meet. Live far from where you work because thats all you could afford. Yea that probably was a mistake. More so if you over bid to get it. A lot of people are going to lose their jobs by the end of the year. And even more next year. Most people never plan for things like that. Like less than 10% of Americans have 6 months worth of savings to weather any hardship. Thats insane. And a recipe for disaster. Edit: And this recession already looks to be different. The drone workers will be spared, the garbage men, the truck drivers, the ditch diggers, the grocery store clerks all will be fine. Its the white collar college educated workers who are going to get absolutely mauled. And whats worse is they generally have little skill set outside of their office cubicle. Those people are boned.
    1
  2151. Its not the police doing it, its the DA's. They dont want to put certain groups in jail because of "disparate impact". Nobody wants to talk about that though. Policy choices do have consequences.
    1
  2152. @Lyba 🦋 Respectfully, no. For many years the DoD enlisted single moms. They enticed women to join with the promises of health and day care for their offspring. Then their are the political reasons. Feminist, since the early 90s have pushed for equal women in higher leadership in both the enlisted and officers cadres. Every single female that is discharged for weight management issues one less who can move up the ranks. So If you look at most females in the US armed forces most are overweight and given special dispensation to remain in service, where males would be disciplined then discharged. All of that aside. Humans are animals. Place one sex with one hundred of the other and watch the chaos that begins. The drive to mate makes fools of us al, especially in our younger years. I would never date any female in the military or who has been. I've only met one who hasnt "ran a floor" in the barracks. When women discover the power of their sexuality, it corrupts most of them. Women in the military are a prime example of that. I can give you literally dozens of stories ive see first hand and hundreds more ive seen on video and 2nd hand accounts. The make porn seem bland.
    1
  2153. Depending on the types of shells used it could cause a 2ndary fire which would have burned anyone who was to wounded or already dead. But to answer your question, allegedly.
    1
  2154.  Affirmative Action  You are right, what do I know about anything, I am just a Marine. HE, frag or white phoshorus can start secondary fires. Even small arms fire can start 2ndary fires. Plus its unknown what was actually in that building there could have been accelerants present.
    1
  2155.  @Cjohn31  Couldnt be the people that elect them could it?
    1
  2156. Your neighborhood seems to have a very bad cat problem. Is this typical of beach communities in Florida?
    1
  2157. the bottom will fall out in the 3rd quarter, right before the election. The failure of anyone in political authority to address this will show in spades. There is no more wiggle room. And most of the small and mid cap businesses will be out of cash by then. I still say either Walmart or Target will declare bankruptcy this recession, probably target, and have to reorganize. People dont understand what we are on the edge of. Thats not even talking about all the food issues.
    1
  2158.  @ordinaryhuman5645  psst, easter. Eggs are in demand. derp
    1
  2159.  @ordinaryhuman5645  Yea its not like everyone doesnt do it for all of the kids in their family. lol. Here in Tn eggs are 81 cents for 18. So idk. maybe just where you are had more demand.
    1
  2160.  @ordinaryhuman5645  fun fact, i just bought 18 again.... still .81 cents. lol If you dont like the cost, buy some chickens. Farmers got to eat too.
    1
  2161.  @ordinaryhuman5645  I feed most of my eggs to my piggies. But sometimes I run out. Chickens are fine, just dont get roosters, your neighbors will hate you.
    1
  2162.  @eRe4s3r  because the war in Ukraine isnt what people think it is. Its to bleed Russia. So it has to keep going. They want a stalemate not one side winning. They want a long fight. The longer the fight the more the Russians are bled. Thats their theory anyways. Bonus, you can find out how your gear works in a near peer environment unlike how the US has fought since Vietnam.
    1
  2163. 200k nice. Congrats. Next stop 300k
    1
  2164. Or, Neanderthals are an offshoot of the Denisovian who mated with early H sapiens. It would explain why Denisovian and what we consider Neanderthals to both be in our DNA as well. Neanderthals could just be the resulting hybrid group between us and the the Denisovians. Then years later, after an original group of H sapiens interbred with a group of Denisovians, a different group of H sapiens pushed int hat same territory and again made contact but this time its the descendants of both groups but they are now Neanderthals. And considering that we have very little actual bone remains from Denisovian it might explain why Neanderthals look so much like us, compared to other hominids.
    1
  2165. Which branch were you in? The Corps sure doesnt do that.
    1
  2166. Hes not crazy. People need to stop saying that. This man is a dyed in the wool revolutionary.
    1
  2167. The biggest problem I had with this movie was that is seemed like a movie that was made by a Dune fan for Dune fans. New joins to the franchise will be pretty lost as per all the little conversations around me in the IMAX theater explaining things. It might be a movie where you watch, research and then have to watch again to get full value out of it. But a movie shouldnt be like that. Thats a flaw for a start to a series. Also the ending point was more metaphysical. "When you take a life, you take your own". Paul killed himself, the self that was a child. Paul entered manhood. And so the childs book closes and a new one opens.
    1
  2168.  @evilds3261  I hope it does. I hate seeing what is happening to young men and women. I have sons and God daughters. Its hard seeing the state of society and the effects it has on all of you. I wish you nothing but the best.
    1
  2169. The homeless in California didnt always deficate in the streets. They once used old plastic shopping bags. But California banned bags from shops. The law of unintended consequences.
    1
  2170. If you look at most of these graphs the inflection point is 2008. They year before the Iphone came out. As these hand held devices spread social interaction declined. And look how fast the decline took. Many people dont even know how to hold conversations anymore and god forbid you disagree on something. You are an evil monster. The first step in addressing this is rolling back some technologies which the majority of humans clearly cant handle. Among these would be any hand held viewing device(Cell phones and tablets), internet porn, and bringing back serious physical education in schools. I am not naive enough to think this will happen, but it would address the bulk of the issues.
    1
  2171. I lost a lot of respect for asmon here.
    1
  2172. We are living the prologue to 1984, if anyone is wondering. I hater to be that guy, but you cant stop this without the total destruction of the institutions that are causing that. And that means full scale collapse. The support beams are rotten. When it comes down, its all coming down. Through other things like population collapse and its a done deal. The economics just wont work anymore. And we are about 30 years to late to address it.
    1
  2173.  @thewatchtower8330  Yes and the crushing debt of 80 years of social liberal welfare schemes. People always forget that part. Less people mean less shoulders to carry that burden.
    1
  2174. The government could fund itself on tariffs. It would just be a lot of tariffs. Same with the gold standard. The gold price would just spike.
    1
  2175. The woman playing Yennefer isnt even a "woman of color". Many Indians, including her, are Caucasian.
    1
  2176. The Hamas representative explained the situation. There is no more neutral. You have to pick one side or another. And to paraphrase Cato the Elder, Palestine Delenda Est.
    1
  2177.  @DesertStateInEU  The Geneva Convention disagrees with you. All combatants must be uniformed and under banner. Civilians, by their definition do not have the right to defend their nation. Civilians are non combatants.
    1
  2178.  @DesertStateInEU  well then, medieval rules it is. Liquidate populations that resist. Rape and enslave those you beat.
    1
  2179. @2:55. Damn fire alarm chirp. Every video. Why? Every time. Do people not have step stools or even chairs? Do yall stop hearing it?
    1
  2180. Blackstone's earning numbers came out, revenue was down over 70%.(How their stock continues to rise is suspect at best) Their net income was down 75%. This doesnt even include them preventing people from withdrawing their money from them. Most of these RIETs, housing or commercial, arent going to survive. I mean right now half of all commercial real estate is empty. I dont think people understand the catastrophic systemic failure that is about to occur. People are looking at things like foreclosures and employment numbers. But those are all down stream things. Respectfully, I think a lot of people are worried about the icing on the cake while the cake itself is rotten. Make sure you are in a position to take care of your loved ones.
    1
  2181.  @robertforsythe3280  I am aware. So we are going to be building new ones then. Sounds super. The Ukrainians will get them in starting in two years. Or are we going to strip old ones and start downgrading them and sending them in six months. Even worse, or was this always the plan and this has already happened while pretending that the US wasnt going to escalate?
    1
  2182.  @OriginallyJaseace  That election was very similar to the 1992 election with Clinton, Bush and Perot. Almost identical results.
    1
  2183.  @LumberjackLandlord  which experts disagree with what part of what I posted? And you do know the argument from authority is the weakest argument right? If you disagree with something I posted state it. And we can have a discussion.
    1
  2184.  @LumberjackLandlord  more argument from authority and not the slightest take on what I posted. Explain to me how your company or an economy for that matter can grow, with ever decreasing demand? Or current economic theory only works if you assumed population growth is baked in. It no longer is. You can deny that if you like, but all one has to do is look at the data and see what is coming.
    1
  2185.  @Rays_Bad_Decisions  People dont have kids, women have kids. And women dont need to leverage their reproductive system for safety or security anymore. Even among migrants, and the 5 million number is suspect at best, it doesnt nearly offset the below replenishment birth rates we have had in the US since 1972. Also the number of illegal migrants is about 2 million not 5 and the US didnt even have 800000 legal immigrants this year. Our population could very well peak this year or next, but almost will certainly do so by 2030. But like I said, you can disagree. Also the majority of those migrants are men, and again, men dont have kids.
    1
  2186. The one woman who asked to be able to buy a man to give her compliments, perhaps its almost time to start Host clubs here in the US, just like they do in Japan. Get in on the ground floor. Considering half of all 30 year old females will be single and childless at 30, could be a great investment.
    1
  2187.  @mywifesboyfriend5558  If they were illiterate how did they write them? Not that im pro religion, but your insults need work.
    1
  2188.  @boredb5623  step off? the 1990s called they want their burns back.
    1
  2189.  @mywifesboyfriend5558  if by the Bible you mean the old testament it was borrowed from the Sumarians. That's where the first Patriarch Abraham was from.
    1
  2190.  @mywifesboyfriend5558  no, not really. But nice deflection.
    1
  2191. This is not just one year. This is year after year after year. These people have been robbing us blind for decades. This is why our ancestors wanted limited government and tar and feathered those who betrayed the public trust.
    1
  2192. Warhammer and 40k as more in common with LOTR than with Dune. Hell you could just say everyone ripped off Asimov's Foundations.
    1
  2193.  @alganhar1  I see a lot of Heinlein, Asimov and Tolkien in Herbert's works.
    1
  2194.  @umjackd  those were the days. I still get excited when a game comes with a map. Lol
    1
  2195.  @hiibillymayshere4238  Insightful.
    1
  2196. The biggest problem with Star Wars is the same as the rest of Hollywood, crap writers. Most movies dont even have a writer. They have a team of writers cobbling together a story with a checklist of things they are required to put it. You dont get good stories that way. You do get propaganda and self inserts though, which is what both the writers and higher ups want.
    1
  2197.  @PandaGamingPodcast  funny you say that, im actually 6'7" and 260 lbs. lol Doesnt matter, the Japanese housewife is just a Japan standard.
    1
  2198.  @thegreenman6216  I dont recall saying that. Can you point where in my statement you read that?
    1
  2199. I got to disagree about the replacing of voice actors with AI. In Japan there is a thing about doing something well. So while the English voice actors might get replaced, the Japanese voice actors will never.
    1
  2200.  @RaifSeverence  Yea that is literally what I wrote. Did you stop at the first sentence?
    1
  2201. I have a hard time believing that these movies or steaming service content cost as much as they do. People already forget about the bank busts. Thats when Disney fired Chapek and when all their financial issues "started". They are clearly fudging their books to make it seem things are ok, attributing losses to production rather than investment. Disney had some really bad investments, many probably borderline illegal, so they are looking to cover their asses. Disney has dealings all over the world. They have clearly gotten in over their heads. The problem is their ideology will prevent them from being able to recover financially. For most people their politics, at the end of the day, is just politics. But for these people its akin to religion. They will not change. They will die before they do. Its sad, but, someone is going to be picking up a lot of severely damaged IPs for pennies on the dollar in the future.
    1
  2202. This would have been better if the actual information of the story was viewable.
    1
  2203. Realtors need to start being honest with their clients and tell them if they want to move their house then need to drop it at least a few percentage points below their nearest competition. I sometimes wonder if these people have the homeowners best interest at heart. Its only going to get worse from here.
    1
  2204. Better a sub captain than a Duke.
    1
  2205.  @winterassassin22  Are you comparing a mass produced rifle to a main battle tank?
    1
  2206.  @alphacat9302  Bombs arent expensive. A Mk 82 500lb pound is only $2000. Or are you talking about missiles?
    1
  2207.  @alphacat9302  Most of the time the bombs get it done cheaper. The problem is that they have to be dropped relatively close to the target. With the fins they have now you can gps them right through a window. Missiles give you the range to stand off so your weapons platform isnt in danger. Thats usually for political means. Drones even reduce that more because you dont risk losing a pilot. The Reaper drones recently became capable of doing that, dropping Mk 82's as well as other gravity bombs. So we should see that more. That will reduce costs drastically.
    1
  2208. Lucas had several friends of his critique Star Wars. And the movie was better for it. Not that I am a Snyder fan boy, just making that observation. Snyder might just need some new friends maybe.
    1
  2209. The Nazis in Germany were run by the most lettered (educated) people in recorded history. The Nazis happened not because of lack of information or free exchange there of, but because a people were so desperate for a fair standing in the world again, after an unjust peace, that they reached out to even the worst monster to get it.
    1
  2210. College systems in most states get more than enough money. What has happened in that you have professors and admins who make ungodly sums of money while their grad students teach their classes. The biggest problem with Colleges and Universities is that there is way to much money going into them. They have gotten fat and happy on the taxpayer teat. That needs to end.
    1
  2211.  @jamesedwards.1069  exactly
    1
  2212. I'll buy this dudes game simply for having balls to tell people to F off. So tired of these people.
    1
  2213. Ban them. We practice managed democracy.
    1
  2214.  @danzdog  I use to work for KP, they refused to fire people. Bad managers would be recycled to Oakland to be executive VP of toilet paper. Insanely ridiculous. My whole job was fixing other peoples mistakes. They didnt care, just keep making mistakes.
    1
  2215.  @claytonmatt4334  yea like I said, I inefficiencies. And then you agreed with me, weird. Why did you take my comment out of context? You having a bad day or are you just not capable of reasoning?
    1
  2216. I am pretty sure he was stating that if you took all the waste material currently sitting at nuclear facilities all around the country and included the future waste from their expected lifetimes, including when they themselves get scrapped, Yucca is full. That said they need to start filling it. Old Harry pulled the wool over everyones eyes when he got the money for Yucca mountain. But odds are it will never see one scrap of waste.
    1
  2217. Point of order, in the beginning you state "civilians" had to assist the officer. NO! Citizens assisted the officer. Civilians are non combatants. The police under the Conventions are considered non combatants. Police can be combatants, if they are also in the military, but not while they wear a law enforcement uniform. Otherwise they are legit targets in warfare. Its fun watching law enforcement's brains melt when they are told this. Law enforcement arent your friends, they just enforce the State's will. Regardless of their personal good intentions. People need to understand this.
    1
  2218. Doctor Disaster has serious MST3K vibes.
    1
  2219.  @jamiebarnes4804  Its dangerous for anyone they contact too, leo may have to use more force than they otherwise would have to if a person thinks they can overpower or just physically resist a single officer. But today, understanding simply psychology makes you a boot licker is some peoples eyes. Like me, I am generally against most of the laws that make the modern police officer an overtly oppressive tool of the state, but I can still see the necessity of a police force, it just needs to be controlled more.
    1
  2220.  @RandomOldPerson  You are right, I remember that. Take the fake case to the front, get your rental.
    1
  2221. ​ @Sneedweednfeed  You sound like a POG to me. The ironic thing is we both agree on the pullout being a dumpster fire. yet u go to trash talk. go figure. Probably why our side always loses.
    1
  2222.  @Sneedweednfeed  you were stirring shit because that's all you can do. The military for decades has been used as a social welfare program. Most of those in it are unfit for service. That said, there are many great people serving still. But all of that doesn't even matter if your nation can't even muster the will to use it.
    1
  2223.  @drinkxyz  I don't recall stating any of that. Why do you like your own posts?
    1
  2224.  @realestatemindset  I enjoy your content greatly. I don't know how you content creators have time to do all that you do.
    1
  2225.  @JuniperGal-ek2pu  This is very true. Something that many men and women dont understand. That said, I would imagine, like most things in life, if you plotted this out on a graph you would get a curve that proves it is generally true.
    1
  2226. Explain to me the difference between moving a factory overseas or repatriating it but then staffing it with foreign workers? There isnt one. Then add to that the increased competition for goods and services here in that area that the increased immigration causes and the depression to the wages that foreign workers cause. If they need H1B visa workers it should be required that they invest in Americans to train them to do the work as well. For every H1B visa then need to have a scholarship program for one American. That would very quickly sort this "shortage" out. You could even make that scholarship money tax deductible so it wouldnt hurt the company. All of these problems exist on purpose. To keep the plebs fighting each other.
    1
  2227. It use to be. Tell Bill Clinton and a Republican Congress thanks. It, Glass-Steagall was overturned in 1999. If you are unaware of what that was it was laws passed in 1933 that separated commercial and investment banking from each other. This is what caused the downturn in the Great Depression. Ironically, less than a decade after this was revoked we had the 2nd biggest crash in American history.
    1
  2228.  @MarcosElMalo2  Trump told the Germans to their face, and they laughed at him for his trouble. Germans will get everything they deserve. Unfortunately the good will suffer with the fools. But this is the way of the world.
    1
  2229. They will forgive the debt but when they do Pakistan wont be able to borrow and then the State will collapse anyways. It will probably end up being absorbed by Iran or India. As the world deglobalizes many States will have this happen.
    1
  2230. 6b47, like 3.6 roentgen, not great, not terrible. lol Classic Russian, classic.
    1
  2231.  @ChristbeforeCoffee  Such an erudite comment. You must be amazing at parties.
    1
  2232. Yea that sounds good until millions of people start to die. Which is what would happen
    1
  2233. If that Gurkha had been American, they would have put him in prison. Sad.
    1
  2234.  @GeneraluStelaru  The Chinese and Koreans might disagree with you on that.
    1
  2235.  @deborahcurtis1385  There is less than a zero percent chance of that happening. No way they forgive student loan debt. Only Congress can. And if they didnt do it when the party that cries about it held the House, the Senate and the White House, its never going to happen. I 100% agree with you about stagflation. With the change in demography, labor prices will remain high, but there will still be a lot of job cuts. And States need their pensions funded so taxes wont drop. Especially California.
    1
  2236. I find peoples comments humorous. Like this is some huge conspiracy. These chemicals where used for firefighting foam. Are they unhealthy, yes. So are all the estrogens that women urinate out from the use of birth control they take. No one wants to change. Doesn't make it some vast conspiracy between government and business. But its nice at the end of this story that they tell people to be responsible. The best protection against these type of things are an engaged citizenry.
    1
  2237. Most Medicare and Medicaid Maximum out of Pocket per year is less than $7000 per year. And the most I have seen on any private insurance is $12k a year. Biden is just lying again.
    1
  2238. This makes the Secret Service look down right bad. I dont want to be one of those tinfoil hat dudes. But now the FBI is going to investigate? Half the country doesnt trust them. Our nation is falling apart.
    1
  2239.  OldSkool Groovist  like your mom.
    1
  2240.  @tehpurplepills  I dont disagree with you.
    1
  2241. congrats, may your children be fat and happy
    1
  2242.  @raisaburdak  I am always nice. I have actually fought, I know the price of uncivil actions.
    1
  2243.  @jamesricker3997  I am not disagreeing with you. But again, I am an American. I am going to assume you arent Russian. But imagine if you were. And you and your family lived Russian history. How might your view, of NATO expansion eastward, change? I am not saying that Russia is correct in its current actions, but that, given their history it may seem logical and needed. And even UKRAINE'S, to make a certain person happy because I am nice, fear of Russia given historical happenings makes their insane choice to court NATO membership seem rational. Again people can point fingers every way they want. But combat is active so it matters little who was right and who is wrong.
    1
  2244.  @debbiefox6846  Oh yea I forgot and the French. Its hard to keep track of France since they dip out when they want and jump back in when its convenient for them. They came back to NATO in what 2008 or something?
    1
  2245.  @sadhu7191  good luck with that on a global scale with no one producing fertilizer. lol Where do you think a lot of those come from? Petroleum and potash. lol
    1
  2246. The only way I would go to university today, is the way I did back in the day, on the GI Bill. That said the GI Bill will pay for trade school too. But for university, I would only aim for a stem field. Everything else is useless.
    1
  2247. Back when Reagan was shot when they got him to the hospital, he told his detail he wanted to walk out to make sure America and the Soviets knew he was ok. As soon as he got in the Emergency room though he collapsed to the floor. Trump is old enough to remember that. And knows how important image is. This is scary stuff, he knew if he didnt show he was ok, this could go sideways very quick.
    1
  2248.  @Rebirth602  You used "too" incorrectly... stupid.
    1
  2249. Fauci is like the guy from Idiocracy in the Presidents cabinet who says, "Brought to you by Carls Jr." because they pay him every time he says it. Fauci needs to be swinging from a lamp post, after his trial of course.
    1
  2250. Hey at least he didnt say "Space babys" or "Push the button".
    1
  2251. The average age of a home buyer is because family creation, ie marriage is all but dead in the millennial age cohort. And the childbirth rates, well there are more women who are having their first kid in their 40s now than in their 20s. When you have this kind of change, its going to really alter the demand for traditional things, like homes.
    1
  2252. When a worthy enemy falls in battle. rip
    1
  2253.  @andybullen2992  And as that happens the rest of society collapses. Its not good but its manageable. Its a shame it has to be that way though. But the weak and the lazy will always want the easy way out. its a shame so many get pulled along with this racial foolishness.
    1
  2254. They just sell them as soon as they do.
    1
  2255. Most people who go to college or university dont get educated, they get indoctrinated. That is the difference. Thats not being anti education. Add to it the number of moronic degrees that are offered, because many people in high education just dont belong there, make the case for itself.
    1
  2256. @Conservitarian 17 Gut shot, not head
    1
  2257. @Conservitarian 17 yea Brady took one to the head. The guy would have missed Reagan had his agent not pushed him back in the car. Reagan didn't even know he was hit until the a fence check him. 80s were crazy.
    1
  2258.  @77jaycube69  ARMs and Flippers. Bank of America giving reverse ARM loans to illegals didnt help. After two to three years they just skipped back to Mexico with their buckets of cash they saved paying a 200 buck mortgage. My neighbors across the street from where I lived then did this in 2004. Hardest working people. Two brothers and a sister.
    1
  2259.  Adventure West  Why refinance an asset that is worth only half of what you bought it for? For most people it made financial sense to just walk away from it, considering some people but zero down. And thats what many did. Adding to jay cube's snowball effect.
    1
  2260. he, the suspect/victim, has it in his right hand @ 1:05. might be hard to see on a cell phone screen. @ 1:06 the officer puts his hand on top of the taser and the suspect/victim pulls it away. the officer goes to a full choke hold then deploys his firearm.
    1
  2261.  @impudentdomain  its interesting to see the female dynamic. You see how they really are and how they treat each other. Each time I see it I thank God I was made a man.
    1
  2262. They will make it legal.
    1
  2263.  @TheCommunistColin  Thats why they insist on calling it in insurrection and not what it was, a flash mob. No body there intended to overthrow the government. Thats just bad comedy.
    1
  2264.  @selfReferencinDox  I lived in Japan for 6 years. What do you want to know?
    1
  2265.  @liarsparadox9778  Post WWII Japan spent money like mad. It did so by deficits. It became addicted to it. Massive public works that have little to no value. This massively inflated their debt. That was fine in the 70s and 80s when their economy was growing. But in the 90s they hit a wall. Stagnant economy GDP stopped growing but the debt didnt. Now Japan is doing everything to keep from defaulting on its debt. It can do this by pushing as many people as it can into the work force. It does have the same effects as feminism. But it comes from a different source. Russia has some similar issues during Soviet times. in the 1960s women were having 1 abortion for every two live births. In the Soviet Union women who had kids were looked down on because they couldnt help meet work quotas. The government of Japan is doing something similar. in the short term you get a production output bonus, but longer term its cancer.
    1
  2266. Everything is branding. I dont know how folks dont understand that yet. You can tell someone to go screw and get them leaving smiling and happy if you do it in the right way. Its why most people hate feminists and vegans. They are unnecessarily abrasive for no good reason. Many in the manosphere are the same way. Angry and bitter. Some for good reason, some just because. But regardless that is never an optimal way to push ones message. It doesnt matter if its true, false or somewhere in between. How you say something matters.
    1
  2267. Dogs are viewed as masculine because of the Indo European Dog cult that goes back probably 40 to 60k years. Cats only became a thing when we decided to build cities and need vermin control. But Cats are so poor at it that Man bred dogs that are more efficient at rodent control. Cat fact, Cheetah are the only large cat that can be domesticated and trained.
    1
  2268. This shows why egalitarianism is wrong. All people are not equal. Some people cant even manage to care.
    1
  2269. I bet if you look at who the manufacturer was you would see they made significant contributions to people in both the House and Senate. This is the case of parasites killing their host. We had welfare reform in the 90s because in the 80s you had people who had sometimes 5 IDs getting social welfare benefits and people got pissed. This is no different.
    1
  2270. I would encourage you to read Eridu Genesis to really understand the errors in the Hebrew Books that they borrowed from the Sumerians.
    1
  2271. 199k.... almost there.
    1
  2272.  @archibaldtuttle8481  well over the course of the next 100 years as the world's population implodes maybe you will be happy.
    1
  2273.  @patricialongo5746  his mind is set. Best not to waste you energy on those who are not open to changing their views.
    1
  2274. They probably have a small army in their legal dept. And then there is HR. With all the shit going on at twitch the HR dept must be massive
    1
  2275. problem is national debt.
    1
  2276.  @Noplayster13  Stop spamming in every damn thread.
    1
  2277.  @Noplayster13  multiple people have responded to you. Why dont you send an email to youtube and get the info from the horses mouth. Nah just ask random people who wont know. Seems logical. smh
    1
  2278.  @Lucas-hb1uq  I bet you are ok with solar power plant and windmill companies putting their equipment on public lands to make power arent you. You are transparent.
    1
  2279.  @Lucas-hb1uq  Oil in the ground isnt perishable. What are you talking about? Oil companies literally lease the land from the government. They pay the government money. How do you not know this. The government doesnt even set the rate, the companies bid on it. Look at every nation that has nationalized production of any resource or service. Its crap. Thats because without the profit motive no one cares. Its literally becomes the tragedy of the commons. And its not like oil is even a usable item. It has to be refined. You going to nationalize everything. There is a name for those people you know.
    1
  2280.  @Lucas-hb1uq  We arent a democracy we are a republic. As for the rest of what you wrote it doesnt make much sense to me. American oil companies have led to the modern world. You give it to the feds our oil production would end up like Mexicos or worse, Venezuela. The federal government is more corrupt than any corporation could ever dream to be.
    1
  2281.  @Lucas-hb1uq  Why should we be "evolving" to a democracy? We are the federal government? That is hilarious. OK I see you are trolling me now. You got me. Democracy can enslave just as easy as any other system and its the most fickle because it hinges on the mobs response to stimuli. It is the worst form of government.
    1
  2282.  @Lucas-hb1uq  I see peoples actions everyday. Most people are irresponsible, overly emotional and foolish to the nth degree. Universal suffrage has weaponized ignorance. Its not about classes, its about personal responsibility. Few want to be personally responsible anymore. So they heap all that onto whatever government exists. "Democracy" just lets people feel more comfortable with enslaving themselves because they are supposedly their own master. But its a lie. And yes, I am saying ALL government is bad. Its tyrannical. It limits the best in men. It punishes those who would leave their mark on the world. But it is a needed evil. Because Man is also self interested, and when you take that self interest to an extreme you get things like theft, rape and murder. But we should have the least of it, government, we can. When you make a government a democracy, all of those people who dont want to be responsible end up enslaving themselves because they are foolish. I dont know how otherwise intelligent people cannot see this. But that should show you that there is no link between intelligence and personal responsibility. But whats worse, one cannot chose ones intelligence, but one can chose to be responsible. That screams about most peoples moral character. And why democracy should be feared. Tyrants die, but the mob just breeds.
    1
  2283.  @Lucas-hb1uq  I thought governments were the people? That must mean people want the environment destroyed, no? As for corporations, they are businesses. They want to make money for their shareholders. So their shareholders, being people as well, are responsible. But lets say their greed, their self interest, outweighs their common sense for long term. They are a business. Other people, the public, simple need to no longer buy their product, goods, or services. Then the business can either a) go out of business or b) change their business practice. But guess what that takes on the publics part, personal responsibility. People like you flower up your words and obfuscate. But you are either tyrants in disguise, because you dislike others choices, or are irresponsible who dont want to be held accountable for their actions because it might inconvenience you and you dont want your hands dirty. Or am I missing something?
    1
  2284. potting soil and A1 sauce. wtf?
    1
  2285. The idea that most people get that low rate is funny. Less than 20% of Americans have the highest credit rating. And most of them already own homes. Most first time home buyers get a 6.5 rate right now if they are lucky.
    1
  2286.  @josefj1776  its the churn. And a lot of those are just cheating the system so they can get benefits. If we cut off those benefits we would be doing much better. Lower inflation more products, lower prices.
    1
  2287.  @janicenunn101  Only if they lack skills. Everywhere is short people. There just arent enough people to replace the boomers retiring, that and so many went into white collar and not blue collar we have a job mismatch. And so very many of those who are college educated to do non office work. They are to good for it in their minds. Thats fine, let them go hungry, most Americans are vastly overweight. Blaming computers is pure copium.
    1
  2288.  @adamlee2550  Peter is a proud Globalist. Immigration is ok to him. Doesnt matter if its legal, illegal, or against the will of the people of the nation the folks are immigrating too. Its why he is always pushing for Japan and South Korea to open to immigration. Immigration kills national cohesion and enables multinationals to get better trade deals.
    1
  2289.  @wageslave387  You can doubt what you like, in 2020 when the stimis started the average American home cost 258k. I guess you have a hard time with math like most Americans.
    1
  2290. Those men are imported to scare the population. Its called government by terror. The problem is it always backfires. But this way they have an out, its not us the governments fault, its the refugees. And there are enough sheep to buy it.
    1
  2291. You are probably thinking of up in Northern California. The Shasta and Lake Oroville systems werent designed for reservoir purposes. They were built for flood control. Historically all those basins would go dry every summer. Most Californias are just historically ignorant of their states Climate. But to your question, because those systems are designed for flood control, they have to release water prior to storms coming, so there usually is a fall dump. During normal years this isnt a problem, but when it just doesnt rain, then you have a problem. But if you dont dump the water, and you do get a killer storm, you cant dump the water anyway because the rivers are already full and you would have to risk a levee breach or lose a damn. Thats not a choice. So you do the fall water release.
    1
  2292. These companies manage money for a return. The boomers are almost all retired so these companies have to liquidate so those who are retiring can get their money and put it into treasuries. At the same time they are being hit with higher loan costs, all time inflation, and a deflating portfolio. Most people are only looking at the homes these properties these people own. They fail to look at the totality of their assets. Most of these companies wont survive this downturn. And with higher loan costs and less people investing there will be less capital to leverage into the market.
    1
  2293.  @norstrandathletics  For Blackstone, less than 10% is owned by individual insiders. The vast majority, over 60%, is owned by institutional investors that EVERYONE has their money in, Vanguard, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, AIG, etc etc. These people are just investing other peoples money. Thats why normies are always left holding the bag. And when normies get tired of holding the bag and sweat they will never ever ever hold the bag again, thats when the the big boys go back into the market. "They" dont have to do anything to the market. Normies who have an utter lack of market sense do that for them.
    1
  2294.  @wayward03  The future is now friend. Peak demand was in 2020. Millennials at their larges part of their cohort have already passed the family creation stage. Gen Z is even smaller than the smallest Millennial sub cohorts. And as the Boomers own 44% of all housing, as they die those homes will either be passed to their families or sold on the market. And 27 % of Boomers have already left. Tick tock, the clock never stops.
    1
  2295.  @DallasCoryell  no the first Patriarch, Abraham was from the Sumarian city Ur. I'm shocked people don't know their own faith.
    1
  2296.  @areuarealman7269  I'm not sure I understand your post.
    1
  2297.  @zaklex3165  nah even in the 90s. I know that's probably ancient history to you though so it probably seems like a different age. I get that. Or maybe it just makes me old.
    1
  2298.  @tiergeist2639  if you read history this is just another cycle. That's all.
    1
  2299. In this context stakeholders are typically individuals or groups with legal water right claims, typically cattlemen, farmers, native tribes and municipalities. If you think it means voters, no, it does not.
    1
  2300. This wont end badly. Nah, it will be fine.
    1
  2301.  @darkhorseman8263  No but Chinese investors may be forced to sell assets abroad to cover domestic losses. That could be huge in certain areas. Akin to Japan deinvestment in the late 80s in certain areas in the US.
    1
  2302.  @parthlm1073  The need to build more troop transports then. Because the two dozen barges they have now wont last 20 minutes.
    1
  2303. I farm. 90 percent of my food I grow, a garden, 2 cattle, 2 pigs, and a flock of chickens for eggs and meat. Only thing I buy is flour, white rice and tequila. The sooner folks unplug from the cancerous society of modernity the better it will be for them.
    1
  2304. It went to nations national debts.
    1
  2305.  @gordonjay2461  pickup games are sports. Those are free. Like how most boomers and early played sports.
    1
  2306.  @SalmonColoredSalmon6267  I understand. I personally see this coming "population collapse" as a natural thing. Over the last few hundred years human societies have changed so much it required new strategies to navigate it. Most of them are non healthy and utter failures. This means those individuals cannot cope and more than likely will not live to pass on their failed philosophies. I also think there is a genetic component too, (not racial), but that is irrelevant at this point. Its going to happen anyways. And with Keynesian economics as the way modern societies are run, it will mean a total trade collapse when the defaults start or massive hyperinflation as nations attempt to service their debts with ever fewer workers. the question should be not how we stop the impending collapse, but how we can adapt to it or manage/control it.
    1
  2307.  @terranceramirez4816  im going to assume you have never been in a country that has collapsed. Otherwise you wouldnt be laughing. Having been deployed to several I can tell you its a nightmare, and I was armed. Folks need to be taking this seriously. If you are interested Selco Begovic, a survivor of the collapse and disintegration of Yugoslavia, has several books about it.
    1
  2308. Can we define our terms. What is in investor buyer? Are these "investors" corporations or individual investors? I do remember in 2005 the flip frenzy that was happening. I think we have hit that again in many markets.
    1
  2309. Its a shame that over 75% of young Americans are unfit for military service. Kind of limits who will fight dont it. Either that or those rookie casualty numbers Americans are use to are going to get pumped up to legion status.
    1
  2310.  @chuckhoyle1211  You can hardly blame the boomers for the system that was set up, they didnt created it. Though its unfortunate they didnt try harder to fix it. I really hate saying this, the only person who tried to fix it since Reagan and O'Neal kept social security on its feet in the 80s, was Bush in the mid 2000s. I was never a fan of Bush, but he was the only one who had the sense to see what is coming with SSI, Medicare and Medicaid. Every other politician just seems to want to throw more people into those systems not understanding they are already about to break. But I suppose it doesnt matter now. It will be interesting to see what happens when the budget gets discussed.
    1
  2311.  @lukem21  it is. I'm sorry if you disagree. But that is your choice. But every choice comes with consequences.
    1
  2312.  @juniorjames7076  why do you say that? And what does any of that have to do with the current conversation? Enlighten me?
    1
  2313. Imagine how easy this is to fix. Just dont let people who have Onlyfans stream on Twitch. Poof! Problem solved.
    1
  2314.  @Skritshell  what do they expect as far as harvest with lower fertilizer use, if you know?
    1
  2315. These people talk out both sides of their mouth. If you have an opening and you cant fill it you arent paying enough. Just like if you are trying to sell a house and no one is buying you have it priced to high. The market doesnt care what you think its worth, it will tell you if you listen. Its the main reason we are having wage inflation right now. Eventually employers will either close or will pay higher wages. But what folks dont understand is that for every 2 boomers that leave the work force there is only one zoomer to replace them. So young men, if you are going to work, if you have needed skills, squeeze your employer for every cent you can get. And if they dont pay it, walk across the street to their competition. I retired at 46. I am not counted. But I earn enough on my farm to not have to be employed and put enough away every month that I will never be employed again.
    1
  2316. Tasers can be used after they have been fired. You simply press the non fireable prongs on the front of the taser into your target. The fact that you dont know that shows that you do not understand the tactical situation at the moment the officer fired. You can see @ 1:05 in the video where the officer places his left hand on the taser in the mans right hang. The man then moves his right hand away, with the taser in it, this is when the officer draws his firearm. Did the officer make mistakes in this stop, yes. But at that moment, he made the only logical choice he had. If you make a choice to take another persons weapon, and a taser is a weapon, lethal force isnt unreasonable. The only way this could be any type of murder is if the officer did not have legal authority to make this stop. And he did have legal authority to make the stop.
    1
  2317.  @batsonelectronics  You are projecting a bit here. Every cop does not want to get into an altercation, though some do. I imagine those encounters have made you pre judge all law enforcement, thats your choice. If someone came at me with a taser, and I was armed, and they knew I was armed, I would shoot them. If they incapacitate me with the taser, they then have access to my firearm. I am guessing you dont carry. And thats probably a good thing. I'll concede the cop made a lot of mistakes. That said, none of this would have happened if the victim/suspect had did what he was legally obligated to do. That in itself does not entitle the leo to be able to kill him though. He had the cops taser, its @ 1:05 in the video. All he had to do is touch the cops arm with it and pull the trigger, fight over. The cop knew this since he was trained, as you pointed out. If I may ask, seriously, where did you receive your weapons training? Or is this coming from strictly politicized thinking? Either way I wont hate on you for it. I love freedom, people should be able to hold whatever position they want. But I would hope they would do it on unbiased info and actual experience, and yes i know that is a bit naive.
    1
  2318.  @batsonelectronics  well from a tactical standpoint pepper spray that close would harm the officer as well. The situation is unchanged. Except both the officer and subject are now chemically blinded and their breathing is effected. I didnt go political about it. I asked a question. Is asking a question wrong? I am trying to have an interaction with you. Or should I just talk at you? You chose to no answer it or the other question I asked, thats ok too. I will state this again. If someone grabbed any weapons platform in my possession without my authorization, they are a lethal threat and I would deal with them as such. If that means shooting them in the face or back of the head, so be it.
    1
  2319. No. Kamala Harris's top economic advisor works for black rock. Did you misread something or do you have to try hard to be this wrong intentionally? Why would a criminal lawyer be a financial advisor?
    1
  2320. Its a case of to much plenty. People naturally have a proclivity to worry about things. Its how our ancestors survived such harsh conditions. But what happens to you when you dont have serious concerns to worry about? Since the 1990s, and the end of the cold war, there has been very little want in anything. You end up worrying about things that arent really things that need to be worried about, they literally turn a mole hill into a mountain. But even worse is that many of these people dont even get outside enough and I wont talk about exercise. All of these things effect peoples mood. And I wont even get started on the whole push to pedistalize people with mental issues. Then there are the broken homes. Most of these kids dont have a chance. They didnt chose the world they were born into.
    1
  2321. The worst part about all this is that if the people who make this and push these types of things have their way, in 20 years this show will be seen as backwards, non inclusive, racist, sexist and any other ist they can think up. If the general population pushes back, it will just be seen as a hot piece of garbage that reflects the ideas they pushed back against and only lampooned for the period that it appears in as a warning. The only thing I am certain of is that either way, we are going to "progress" forward or go back. Well that and Star Wars is truly dead.
    1
  2322.  @geocam2  Thats what people dont understand. Biden is the only one who can give in and have it not wreck him. McCarthy had to make concessions to become Speaker. If he gives in, he loses his position. And then the House and the government basically stops because the Republicans are a disorganized clown show.
    1
  2323. This is all because the US Congress hasnt passed a budget since 1997. Yea its actually been that long. But when an actual budget is passed, not a continuing resolution, the 1979 it was passed into law that anytime a budget is passed the debt limit will at least meet it.
    1
  2324.  @itscoolthough419  FAFSA, while well meaning, only inflated costs in universities. Removing that extra money will force universities to cut the fat and reorganize, like every other business. Because universities are businesses. Poorly ran ones at that.
    1
  2325.  @Locke99GS  I might accept your position if the US government didnt already make an exception to that. Which it did. Then they let it expire. Which shows they are conflicted about the appropriate path. Which is fine. Like I said, this was done to send a message to the rest of the dollar denominated debt borrowers and lenders out there. Go against the US and this will happen to you. Unfortunately for this administration, every time they try to advance their agenda, they slide two or three steps backward. Eventually, they will be called to task on it.
    1
  2326.  @Locke99GS  Who is the US to "punish" another nation. Thats war talk. You people astonish me. This is literally how we got Pearl Harbor.
    1
  2327.  @joycekoch5746  I mean, petro dollar is what it is. A good bookie doesnt lend to dead beats. Which circles back to the main point. The mark has the money, the bookie just wont take it.
    1
  2328.  @Locke99GS  You conflate the government with the economy. The economy is just everyone making commerce choices. Again, this is how we got Pearl Harbor. You probably never humped a pack, shot a weapon or chucked a grenade. But fully support a course that could very well cause millions of Americans their lives. There is a word for people like you.
    1
  2329.  @FRANKSNAKE71  We got Pearl Harbor by sanctioning Japan and thinking there would be little to no blow back from it.
    1
  2330. There is a difference, California and the rest of the west coast hasnt been massively under counting births for 30 years. Chinese companies are building for people who exist on paper but who were never born. So at least in California there is actual demand.
    1
  2331. The thing is, if costs go up, but business traffic stays the same a business will still close. Its not necessarily a sign of a weakening economy. If your costs go up you must find a way to make more money or cut costs. If you raise your prices you price out some customers dropping your revenue or at best keeping it the same. What it is a sign of is that price controls, via the Fed, have not happened as per their mandate. They cant raise rates further because banks will start imploding. That will cause the economy to go into recession. Yet they seem hesitant to pull the trigger on it. The question is why? When you answer that question, everything becomes clear. But with 40% of GDP coming from the government, the economy isnt going to dip into recession until they cut spending. Neither Biden nor Trump is going to cut spending.
    1
  2332.  @realestatemindset  gratitude
    1
  2333.  @TheSuperappelflap  yes and enough people believed in hope and change to not believe their lying eyes. Obama was always a corporatist. He was pretty much owned from day one.
    1
  2334.  @MALICEM12  What would you think would happen in a world with every shrinking GDPs and population sizes would bring. That is the world we are taking our first steps into. Nations simply cannot afford warfare on a scale that large. And even if they could, they lack the manpower to carry it out.
    1
  2335.  @dittujoju9371  you are seeing today. In 50 year Indian population will crash. It seems like a ways off but as the rest of the world depopulates the pull for even more Indians to move abroad will increase. That's assuming it survives what is coming. I fully expect India to break up.
    1
  2336.  @IaintTheHerb  the Camp Fire was the name of the fire that tore through most of Butte County and the town of Paradise in Northern California in 2018. Killed 80 odd people. It was just so fast. People couldn't get out of its way.
    1
  2337.  @Mohawk_Productions  never been to Cosby. I'll have to give it a look. Good hunting.
    1
  2338. This is a problem that will fix itself. As the population implodes the nation state will implode taking all the services it provides to the ash heap of history. Women will once again have to leverage their reproductive ability for safety and security. Children at that point become the retirement plan, primarily for the woman since men often die way earlier. This is the way humanity has always been, except for the last 100 years in most of the world.
    1
  2339.  @markme4  um ok
    1
  2340. Cost prohibitive. Re zoning fees, and all of that. Just wont happen.
    1
  2341. Do you think automation would survive a cost benefit analysis with a ever decreasing demand base? Serious question, since you are an automation engineer. If i may ask, is your expertise specific to a certain field?
    1
  2342. Epstein was a cats paw. He was the guy that those in charged used to lock people down to do what they want. And when he got caught, they burned him. He had no interest in any of these people insofar as the people he worked for wanted them for something.
    1
  2343. Gold is cool till Brandon takes a page out of FDRs book and says you cant own it. And they give you 20 bucks an oz again. You can always not turn it in but then you are a criminal.
    1
  2344.  @sec9788  unfortunately, the Democrats have gotten into an ugly habit of doing most things by executive order or judicial fiat. Neither is good for long term stability. I honestly think its because the coalitions that currently make of the left and right are to unstable and thats why were are seeing a shift to populism for republicans and democrats to the corporate oligarchs and business interests, though I am sure many will disagree with me and they are certainly free to do so. Either way, it will be interesting to see how things play out. A majority of private sector union members are now republican, where even a decade ago that would have been laughed at. Sorry I am rambling. lol
    1
  2345. This will be a slight short term bonus to women and a massive long term detriment. But perhaps we need to go a little further before things break
    1
  2346. The tanks will work fine until they need maintenance. Whats the operation to maintenance ratio on those turbine engines?
    1
  2347.  @jaridkeen123  If the US sends mechs into Ukraine then we are in an active war zone. Thats not going to happen. Not officially. If you were a tanker, which I am not doubting, you know the US has never engaged even with a near pear military power and armor was always used with air superiority or air supremacy. Ukraine does not have that and wont have that. I wouldnt expect the Abrams or the Leopard to perform anywhere near as good in that environment. But you are free to disagree. Semper Fi 07
    1
  2348. Discharging a weapon in a confined space makes a huge noise. Everyone in that room without ear protection would be ringing. CNN is truly fake news.
    1
  2349. Its not going to be slow. If China invades Taiwan two subs can shut off trade with China from the rest of the world and 500 million people starve to death. China is screwed and they know it. That said, China's problem isnt their men, its their women. They dont want to have children.
    1
  2350. Most of Japan, outside Tokyo metroplex area, is extremely cheap. Some places will give you land because its only old people.
    1
  2351. People need to understand the double edge sword of police. Police ONLY serve the needs of the State. They enforce the States will. When the State is controlled by the people, the police do the peoples will. When the State serves its own needs the police serve the State. Ask yourself, who does your State serve? Remember, those who would trade a little security for freedom deserve neither.
    1
  2352. They wont be the ones holding the bag. They have sold their positions and now the new holders, retirement funds, state pension funds and the like will take the big hits. Thats why the Fed has given everyone ample time to make their moves. Only the dumb normies are going to get hit.
    1
  2353. We all choose the dragons we fight in our life. Sometimes the dragon is ourselves.
    1
  2354. Having seen several public executions asmon is wrong. Public executions are a thing so the public knows that justice is being carried out, not hidden away in some building at midnight when they are all in bed. But in the day time, in the light, where they all have to look and see it. It lets them know justice exists. Thats the problem, justice is hidden today. So no one thinks it happens.
    1
  2355. Robin Hood didnt steal from the rich to give to the poor. He stole from Prince John, Prince John was the government. Ironically, Prince John had to squeeze the people of England for as much money as he could to pay for King Richard's wars in the Holy Land. So John gets the bad name.
    1
  2356. If its techno-feudalism, its not capitalism. Never was. US hasnt been a free market nation since the 1920s. Keep drinking the grape drink.
    1
  2357. Its going to be Cherry 3000. The US has been below replacement rate in fertility since 1972. The thing people dont understand is there is a lab effect of 50-80 years. Once the large older generation dies, population Implodes. thats whats happening in China right now.
    1
  2358.  @realestatemindset  Yup either way I mean its a dumpster fire. Thats what happens when you just make it rain money. Monetary supply must have a natural and not a political constraint. It was a good video. I always enjoy your content.
    1
  2359.  TCK  I watched the video. The explanations make no sense. How do the men know which men's profiles get the most responses?
    1
  2360. All you have to do is look at a map of the fertility rate by state. The left wants illegal immigration to offset the losses of children not born simply to pad their states numbers for the electoral college. This isnt about human rights or companies needing labor. Its just about the electoral college. If JD wins in 2028, and continues the deportations, come the 2030 census, along with the massive outflow of people from leftist states, there will be a cataclysmic shift in the electoral college.
    1
  2361. The worst part is that one day this will be in history books and anyone who reads it will be like, wtf? Were these people retarded? Its like bad star wars fan fiction at this point.
    1
  2362.  @WhiteFang111  Are you saying the US will become Turkish or Moscow? Not following.
    1
  2363. We are at a point where not raising the debt limit will cause as much damage as raising it. Either way its an economic depression. Just with different steps.
    1
  2364. NATO, wins cold war. NATO, absorbs Warsaw Pact NATO, moves to Russia's boarders NATO, surprised Pikachu face when Russia is like back off. NATO needs to be disbanded. It is the aggressor.
    1
  2365. Only 7 states allow permanent alimony. Even that is stipulated with re marriage and cohabitation. The laws are changing. But laws always change slowly.
    1
  2366.  @richardmason1473  Most people have no idea about 4d. If they did, I think both men and women would be in open revolt, especially those on social security.
    1
  2367.  @alexrogers777  While I am not pro law enforcement shooting people at will, if you take my weapon I will kill you, for my own personal safety. This officer screwed up a lot of things on this stop. But shooting him when he did wasnt a mistake. He probably shouldnt be a cop. That said the victim/suspect did everything to make the situation the worst it could be. This easily could be another case of a cop getting offed by a person they stopped. As far as law goes, I can show you the law where when you are driving you are required to follow the law enforcement officers instruction during the stop. He failed to do that, thats why all of this happened. Regardless I feel bad for both the families involved with this.
    1
  2368. apparently from what we have heard from Twitter and Facebook, tech employees have already been working for the Feds.
    1
  2369. Or you could just not buy homes from those people.
    1
  2370. People who can get pregnant? Talk about ableist and ageist. I am disgusted by her externalized internalized misogyny. Who hurt her?
    1
  2371. It wasnt started by supply chain issues. Inflation is a monetary issue. It always has been and always will be. We have inflation because for over a decade we had all governments giving free money to everyone. Corporations taking out massive low cost debts and individual people going on a buying frenzy. Covid is just the straw that broke the camels back
    1
  2372.  @marcusantoninus1838  Most males, historically, never got to reproduce. Its only around 1/4 who did. You are living in the modern world not understanding what humans are actually like without all the civilizational forces that make them conform. And as civilization breaks down, all those natural impulses will come back out. Its not even about wanting to win. Most men never even sit on the bench let along get in the game. Most men are in the stands, watching.
    1
  2373.  @zentex8877  there is an old Roman saying that applies to your statement. A man has only one mother, but he can always buy another wife.
    1
  2374. You need to understand the difference between nominal and real dollars. If you took that .99 cent a gallon gasoline and sold it at the same real value with 2023 dollars it would cost $4.20 US. Then you would need to adjust for all the new taxes in California so add a $1.50 at least.
    1
  2375. Partisans can be shot on sight according to the Conventions. The Russians are kind to give them a trial. This is why you dont eat with your sword.
    1
  2376.  @okisoba  That would actually make them less suspicious. Better cover.
    1
  2377. I feel like I lost IQ watching this. Who watches this crap? This has to be directed to horny high school guys, which itself is a red flag. Twitch better be careful, it might find itself RICO'ed
    1
  2378. People complained about Japanese investment in the 80s. People were screaming that the Japanese were going to own everything. Union workers tearing up toyota cars on the evening news in protest. The Japanese invested their money here, over paid for assets here, because they understood that even if they took a 20% loss here, it would be better than the 50% loss they would take back home. I imagine a lot of the foreign investors are Chinese. They are looking to do the same as the Japanese did 3 decades ago. The US has always allowed investment from everywhere in the world. Its what makes American different and attractive. And while putting taxes or restrictions may address some small issues, I think the long term harm to investing would be worse than the current issue. High prices always fix themselves.
    1
  2379.  @vids595  really? Wow! I never knew that. But people who are investing demand certain rates of return. And that's why you are going to see a sudden push and final push into real estate from these investment funds.
    1
  2380. Clinton did it in 1995. You would probably blame the Republicans, so its whatever. The debt ceiling isnt the problem, its just another symptom. The problem is that Congress has not passed an actual whole budget since 1997. In 1979 the Gephardt rule was instituted in all budgets. It automatically raised the debt ceiling. But since 1977 there have only been 4 actual budgets passed by congress. Most Americans are utterly ignorant on the maleficence of both parties in Congress. Mostly because the average voter is moronic. But go ahead, stick to your tribalism. You cannot expect to run a fiscally responsible nation via continuing resolutions.
    1
  2381. The Iowa Reddit has been really insane since Trump took office. I am surprised its not getting shut down too.
    1
  2382. Ah communist propaganda.
    1
  2383. I like Peter on a lot of stuff. But this is a blind spot for him. He is a pro immigration globalist. I dont understand why though. He knows where that leads.
    1
  2384. The worst ones try to use a mans parental instincts to get you bonded to the child so that you feel responsible. The psychological warfare they play is just beyond the pale.
    1
  2385. Japan cant stop its practices. Its debt burden would cause the nation to default if it didnt squeeze every ounce of wealth via productivity towards its GDP that it can. They are in a no win situation. The best thing they could do is a massive drop in standard of living and default on most of their debt. But they wont. They like most other industrialized nations will kick that can right off the end of the sidewalk and into total oblivion.
    1
  2386. I remember back when games were 45 bucks or so and they said additional content would cost extra so that more people could purchase the initial game. But then the creep happened and they bumped prices up to 60 for the game and still kept charging for additional content. But I am old enough to remember buying games on 5 1/4 inch floppies at places like Babbage's in ziplock plastic bags in the early 80s. A lot of change in the games industry since then.
    1
  2387.  @AbuLaith1963  Nah these folks eat their own. They always have to be more tolerant, more accepting, which leads to them being the exact opposite. Wokism is an ouroboros. Eventually they will consume each other.
    1
  2388.  @25Soupy  necropost. lol It doesnt seem like 6 months since i posted this.
    1
  2389.  @elijahhernandez906  “The children now love luxury; they have bad manners, contempt for authority; they show disrespect for elders and love chatter in place of exercise. Children are now tyrants, not the servants of their households. They no longer rise when elders enter the room. They contradict their parents, chatter before company, gobble up dainties at the table, cross their legs, and tyrannize their teachers.” -Socrates (probably, per Plato) I can give you more quotes, if you like. But most of Socrates's quotes would fit our time, just as well as it did his
    1
  2390. It is really that simple.
    1
  2391. Ragnar Lothbrok gonna be pissed someone raped his girl.
    1
  2392. Thats not even enough. The voter rolls need to be purged after every election and for every election citizens should have to take the time and re register to vote.
    1
  2393. the problem comes when they sell. Someone has to buy. And as banks tighten lending standards prices will drop. The same thing is happening in commercial real estate. Over the next two years there is 1.5 trillion in commercial real estate debt that needs to rolled over. And due to the current market rates and the valuation of those assets, they will have to sell. Banks will have to tighten lending even more and it will spread to residential lending as well, even more so than what has already happened. All of these RIETs are going to get slaughtered. Its why they arent letting anyone pull out money.
    1
  2394. Chauvin was probably a shitty cop. That said, he didnt kill, let alone murder Floyd. Floyd did that to himself with the drugs.
    1
  2395.  @ThatGuyWayOverThere  How is the migration "problem", people coming from the middle east and sub saharan africa, caused by Europeans not reproducing in numbers needed to replace their own population? Care to square that circle for me? More like NGOs funded by people who have an agenda, not dissimilar to what is happening and the US southern border. This is a effort to destabilize the west. The question is who is behind it.
    1
  2396. The women who choose Bear over a man are the same ones saying "where have all the good men gone". These women are so utterly broken, so completely brain rotted that they shouldnt be mothers and any rational man wouldnt want one as a wife. I still think this will be a self correcting problem. Unfortunately Feminism is just teaching how bad men are and that eventually makes women irrationally afraid of men. None of these progressive movements allow for an end game. So they have to fine more and more wrong, otherwise the grift ends. So its going to get wackier and wackier, just look at the new Dr. Who. It looks like insane people made it.
    1
  2397. Because this one is made by women with minorities and it complies with DE. Blackrock gave Disney money, and anyone else who complies, to make it and because they met the DEI requirements, charging them less on the interest. Thats how all this crap is funded. In the end we get poorer entertainment and less return on our investments. But we have Black lesbian witches in space now. Yippie. True equity.
    1
  2398.  @ArcturusMinsk  its mostly the last of the conservatives. You would be surprised. After covid its like all the conservatives understood it was a lost cause. It wouldnt be as bad if other states took notice of it. But they just point and laugh. Not understand that their state could very well be next. Because this mess didnt start in California. It started in New York and move to California in the 70s.
    1
  2399. These people are doing the same thing Disney is. They are funneling money somewhere or to someone. The question is to who or what?
    1
  2400. With water and sewage offline, Gaza will become what all cities historically were, disease factories.
    1
  2401. You mean like the Chinese did to their own housing market? The Chinese are like the Japanese of the 80s, looking anywhere they can to park their money. Because any place is better than at home.
    1
  2402. You are missing the money angle. Typically corporate debt is rolled over every 2 years. Two years ago in March the Fed interest rate was at 0.25%. Now its 5.25%. Thats a 450% increase in the cost of money. Most of these companies are not going to survive. Even cutting staff is only going to delay the inevitable. 40% of the S&P 500 are zombie companies, they were only alive because of the crazy low interest rates over the last decade. Thats all over now. Its why everyone is coping for interest rate cuts. But really we might even get a few more rate increases.
    1
  2403. If rates drop that means the economy died. I dont think people really understand that. They just want that cheap cheap money again. Like damn addicts.
    1
  2404. There are no families because women dont want to have children. If women dont want to have children what is the point for marrying them? Yes, its really that simple. In the west, no child is born unless a woman wants it. This says nothing about how unjust family courts are. Men have zero reason to get married anymore.
    1
  2405. Let me say first, I am against illegal immigration. But the US Constitution doesnt give anyone rights. It limits the Federal governments authority over both people and the states. That said they do not have citizens rights, they cant vote. At least not legally. Though the left is trying to change that. The left largely is for illegal immigration to help tilt the House of Reps in their direction. Constitution counts all people in a state, not just citizens. So bring in more non citizens, get more representatives. Took a while for Republicans to figure that out.
    1
  2406. Wait until oil explodes in price after the election. Its like world leaders in North America and Europe want to suicide their nations.
    1
  2407. This feels like kabuki theater. It cant be real.
    1
  2408.  @chriscampbell9191  the last two years 7 of the 15 women I have went out with and had relations with were married. It really twists your views of people when you cant trust them and they just lie lie lie. But I hope that someday I can find a decent woman. I had one once, but she died. I personally think that the bad ones just get around more., unfortunately.
    1
  2409. The real threat is with the combination of technologies. With a robot girlfriend and an artificial womb the need for human relations between the sexes will disappear. Combine that with IVG, where you can make ovum and sperm from ANY cell, and you have a complete break down in social interactions. We will all turn into the toy maker in Bladerunner.
    1
  2410.  @kingrobotnik6950  Master Shake is king.
    1
  2411. They have just been over counting and needed to balance the books so to speak. We have been in a recession already. But because its an election year its just going to be bad data after bad data. And the revisions will have revisions.
    1
  2412. I am really convinced that the fat positivity movement is funded by the Social Security Administration. Same with the Food Pyramid.
    1
  2413. @Marty McSuperFly! I was half hoping for someone to call me insane. I have never seen data this bad.
    1
  2414.  @mariannorton4161  who elected the politicians? People like you, who refuse to see or even understand the truth that a century of voting patterns walked us to today step by step. A complete inability for introspection or personal responsibility. You are the perfect modern voter.
    1
  2415.  @rdean150  You seem the type to remove your own posts.
    1
  2416. having context is racist.
    1
  2417. You wont have a nation. Women arent having children. You need that for the next generation. Most of Europe and much of Asia is about to disappear in the next 20 years.
    1
  2418.  @SvetlanaVladimirova8590  Its not about optimism. Its purely from a numbers standpoint. Its not even political. That said, Merry Christmas. I thought you all celebrate Christmas in January, no?
    1
  2419. They hate themselves because they get no victim points per their own ideology. The only way to get points is to leverage their "privilege" in the fight to protect the poor minorities. In her mind, she took one for the team. And she thinks its a win.
    1
  2420. I would like to point out that the median home price of $187,200.00 in 2022 would be, adjusted for inflation, $286,622.98. The current median home price for a home in the US is about $454,900.00 for Q3 in 2022. Current prices would need to drop 37%, or $168,277.02, to reach those levels. For the 1990 price of $121,500, in 2022 inflation adjusted value that would be $265,794.67, So a little less than 2002. To get prices to that level you would need about a 42% price drop, or $189,105.33. But with that data, and with current demographic trends, do you think there is more or less housing demand in 1990 or 2002, than there is today? If you look at that data, you can clearly see demand is falling by volume of people needing homes vs available homes. Which means if interest rates hits double digits, prices will more than likely have to drop more than 42%.
    1
  2421.  @realestatemindset  The demand I am talking about is a bit different than you are. I am talking about the total people who need shelter, best way to put it is gross demand. We are at the high point right now. Going forward for every person that dies only .7 will be born. And that will gradually decrease every year. This is just speaking about the US. In other nations its already far worse. I am probably being conservative in the economic dumpster fire in front of us, purely from a real demand standpoint. We have always assumed demand increase that there but now its going to be a negative.
    1
  2422.  @ws2940  The late 70s had boomer demand coming onto the market. Now boomers are starting to die and both the X'ers and Millennials are fully into the market. As the boomers exit the zoomers just dont have the numbers to make up the demand difference. The two are completely different from a demographic standpoint.
    1
  2423.  @willbass2869  No the Millennial cohort is larger now, but thats because 29% of the boomers have already died. There were more boomers than there were millennials in total. Boomers were roughly 78 million. Millennials in their original age cohort from 1982 to 2000 were roughly 79 million, but currently the Millennial demography with the date ranges from 1981-1996 puts them at 72 million. Of course the boomers have a 20 year age cohort and the x'ers and millennials only have 15 year ones.
    1
  2424. Yeah this particular metric is being heavily effected by the shutdown.
    1
  2425.  @ReventureConsulting  I think this might be due to so many not working and outright refusing to work. But this info when added to the heaps of other info does provide a vary ominous picture. They banking system is clearly in protection mode. And when risk outweighs profit...
    1
  2426. Bring back water cannons, Billy clubs and dogs. People who say this is free speech are insane. They are blocking traffic, using up police resources, preventing EMS services from getting to people, preventing people getting to hospitals. Not to mention commerce. These people are little more than highway men trying to waylay people into compliance with their political views. You want to assemble and protest, you do it in a park, on the side walk and you get a permit. How many police calls went unanswered because all those cops had to be deployed there?
    1
  2427. The Biden admin needs a win. Its been loss after loss. I think their position is that being strong against Russia will be seen as a win. And they are broadcasting it more to the domestic audience I think. Its certainly odd seeing those on the left struggle with it and those on the right as well.
    1
  2428.  @shirogamiakatsuki2423  And then all their scientists flee to other parts of the world to work on other nations nuke programs. You must be under 25. We have already been here before. Russia doesnt need to be pushed to oblivion. Its a literal battered nation that has ptsd. If you think its going to give up its nukes or even be able to pay to keep them ready, you are mad.
    1
  2429.  @watchlover7750  People have short memories all around it seems.
    1
  2430.  @shirogamiakatsuki2423  After the soviet union collapsed their nuke scientists went all over the world. Its why India and Pakistan are pointing nukes at each other.
    1
  2431.  @shirogamiakatsuki2423  Why does voting matter? Like Republics and Democracies dont go to war. If a nation or a people chose to have a dictatorship thats their choice. If they want a theocracy, thats their choice. What business of it to go meddling in other nations internal matters? Isnt that what the Democrats have been screaming about the 2016 election? Ive already fought in four theaters. You people love cashing checks with other peoples names on it.
    1
  2432.  @shirogamiakatsuki2423  The people in China choose time and time again, all through there long bloody history, that they want a strong man. Its no point in fighting against it with them. They would rather live and be slaves, thats their choice. And stop with the straw man arguments. If you want to know my opinion ask. People like you are transparent. I dont give a wet shit about Ukraine. I care about the US and our problems. If I and the US spent all our time and energy trying to slay every dragon and right every wrong in the world, we would exhaust ourselves and die. I blame NATO and US foreign policy over the last decade and a half as much as Russia. But ultimately Russia pulled the trigger, so what. And I am sure Russians were clicking their tongues when the US invaded Afghanistan. I dont think you have bad intentions, you are just incredibly naive, and I am going to guess that you are pretty young and idealistic. Thats not a bad thing in of itself. But if you believe in a cause, you go fight. Dont make others do it for you.
    1
  2433.  @lucaxtshotting2378  Im not saying she is ugly. But to put her next to Gadot and pretend that beauty is a construct just beggars belief.
    1
  2434.  @zmx-jayy  facial symmetry for one,. shoulder to waist ratio, hip to waist ratio. There are several ways. These arent cultural. It goes across cultures. They are objective.
    1
  2435. could have named this video, When Atlas Shrugs. Some of us have already walked away.
    1
  2436.  @ryanleonard4034  Japan is a bit different. Their population is actively declining, last year by 400,000 people. Each year that number will get bigger. So the demand is declining every year. Prices will never recover with that type of deflationary pressure. We still have at least a decade before we might see that here, depending on immigration. But demand will flatted as boomers do die off in mass.
    1
  2437. Wilson and Van Buren are worse than Biden. But for different reasons. Wilson for the things he did. Van Buren and Biden for the things they just simply cant manage to do.
    1
  2438.  @C.Y.123  Yes it would be. Its illegal to fight not under cover of a banner. IE not in uniform. It puts civilians at risk. This will cause civilian casualties to rise greatly.
    1
  2439. I dont think you understand just how much of the Federal budget goes to SSI alone. Its 1/5 of the total budget. The largest item. Followed by, you guessed it, Medicare. This fight was lost 50 years ago when the fertility rate dropped below 2.1 children per woman. Why do you think the gates to immigration have been opened? Still its not enough. But that is what happens when you run a Ponzi scheme as part of your national social welfare benefit plan.
    1
  2440. California has a literal ocean of water, all it needs to do is build a few power plants and desalination plants and it has unlimited water.
    1
  2441. The short answer, she isnt worth the price shes asking for.
    1
  2442.  @jerryG-p3w  demography disagrees with you.
    1
  2443.  @andrewcarlson2178  Well the US has the benefit of being the reserve currency so people want our dollars. I dont know if that means we will just fall further or if its a case you owe the bank 100k thats your problem. If you owe the bank a trillion, thats theres. I mean we can always just default. Its just all the mooches here in the US will have to be.... taken care of. That inclused the elderly, the infirm, the retarded as well as the welfare queens. Familys will have to be responsible again. I dont know if people have that in them after all the abuse of the last 3 decades of nonsense.
    1
  2444. Dont tell them that. They will think you are pro Russian. lol
    1
  2445.  @devl8565  news has always been biased. Thats why there are papers like the appeal democrat or the daily republic, they started out as news sources that had overt political biases and people knew it. Its not different with radio or tv. When TV was just three channels news was tightly censored and controlled. People just didnt know it.
    1
  2446. The term cracker came from poor southern farmers or slaves who "cracked" corn to use to create alcohol which can be stored indefinitely. Its where the song "Jimmy crack corn" came from. Its not technically a racial term, its a classist one. The Atlanta Baseball team name before the Braves came to Atlanta was the Crackers. That said the person of terrorist decent meant it as a slur. But America is a free country, I want her to be able to say the things she thinks. That way we know her heart.
    1
  2447. Goldman Sachs came out and said 25% decrease in 2023 in 4 cities. If that isnt a crash I dont know what is. Do people think everywhere else will be fine? They are in the business of making profit. I think they know the wheels have come off. Even one of those goons at the WEF meeting said the same thing. Globalism is over. Thats going to murder a lot of people financially.
    1
  2448. This is how California wants to tax people. Maybe she got it from them.
    1
  2449. This winter will pick up the decline. China is folding, Europe is folding, margin calls everywhere, people need to liquidate to make said calls. Get laid off cant make the note, go into foreclosure. This winter. Its going to be ugly world wide. Then there will be energy prices and inflation. Up up up.
    1
  2450.  @MichaelBordenaro  the worst part of it is all the capital misallocation because of this politicking. Think about how much more we could get done, cleaner, if that capital went where it was needed.
    1
  2451. Its nice that someone will actually call out these "reporters" on their BS. They are liars and for the most part, just propagandists doing poor agitprop. It would be comedic except there are so many morons that take the news channels as fact.
    1
  2452. This is what news is supposed to be.
    1
  2453. This gave me Happy People vibes.
    1
  2454. Stopped at Popeyes on the way to drop my oldest at Camp Legeune, cost me 38 bucks for the both of us, Just regular 5 piece chicken strips meals. Crazy.
    1
  2455.  @Mercedes1995  Well my grandmother is dead. So that doesnt really matter. But you totally missed my point. But I did enjoy your straw man. Zillow and core logic push prices higher based off nothing more than the original asking price. Its why prices kept going up. Look at the graphs. A huge spike in the value the same month the house is put on the market... shocking. But yea, my grandma's house. lol I am not even talking about the seller. Maybe you should learn to read a little, dude.
    1
  2456. This is along the same idea that movie and series creators were making their projects super woke to piss off "conservatives". It just makes no sense. Its like they have never heard the phrase, "cutting off your nose to spite your face."
    1
  2457. The problem is that it caused the recession of 48 that most people thought was the return of the Great Depression. Its a shame it isnt talked about more. But no politician today, would actively do what Reagan did in 1980, pushed the Fed to cause a recession for the good of long term growth. No one. And because of that it wont happen. There isnt the political will. And where will you cut? The military? Democrats want to aid Ukraine. Republicans want to aid Israel. Social spending? Democrats love social welfare like Medicaid. Republicans love SSI and Medicare, elderly are one of their largest supporters. Those 4 things are like 85% of the Federal budget. Gut the rest of the government completely, still dont have a balanced budget. The problem today is someones sacred cow is going to get slaughtered. So whose will it be?
    1
  2458. You will notice the data only goes back to the 60s. Why? Because prior to the 1960s housing was deflationary. Only the massive demand spike by the baby boomer generation caused prices to increase. Even after WWII with the insane spike in home construction and the creation of the suburb we did not see price spikes, why, lack of demand. Another issue is his graph on Xer demand vs Millennial demand. Millennial demand, even per his graph has peaked. And what no one seems to account for is that largest group of homeowners, boomers, are starting to die off. Those boomers currently hold 44% of all real estate. The upcoming generation, Gen Z, is Xer in size. They lack the numbers to replace the boomer demand. So prices will fall and they will continue to fall until we have a demand spike. Millennial family creation is far below where estimates expected to be, so when they come up, demand will drop lower.
    1
  2459. Only one of those wars was "traditional" and that was the Korean war. And the same thing that is happening to Russia happened to our forces in Korea.
    1
  2460. Many women dont want a high quality partner. They want drama and something to talk about with their girl friends.
    1
  2461. Who thought this was a good idea? Have they driven out all their talent and just replaced them with DEI hires? I'm not even angry or sad about it. I just dont understand it from a corporate standpoint. I mean the job of a company is to make money. Did they seriously forget that? Kill 90% of your audience to capture the mythical "modern audience"? How many times does this have to be done and fail? Blackrock and Vanguard must be losing a ton funding all these things. Glad my 401k and IRA arent with them.
    1
  2462. You want to make a good game, take Sid's Pirates! and mate it with Black Flag. Boom, money machine.
    1
  2463.  @xhixkenwing  While I would agree that a man cheating on his wife is disrespectful to his wife, for cheating, and to himself, for breaking his vows, it does not mean that he does not love his wife. For most men, sex and emotion are separate things. But it speaks about the poor character of a man who would cheat on his wife, but she chose him. That said if the places were reversed most women would say, well what wasnt the man doing? And still he chose her. So often we refuse to see the myriad of red flags when in the beginning of a relationship with someone. Weird how that works.
    1
  2464. Things are only worth what others are willing to pay for them. Value is always subjective.
    1
  2465. WHOOOOOOAAAAAAA! Did they just assume these students gender? Which is why men are avoiding college. Its indoctrination and bravo sierra. There was a time when the lowest degree you could get was a Liberal Arts degree and it had some value. Now over half the degrees handed out are utterly worthless. Then there is the punitive prices. Only morons would sign up for that other than hard sciences but even they are starting to get infected.
    1
  2466. The Apple savings account isnt really Apple's, its ran by Goldman Sachs. It is FDIC insured though. You have to have an Apple Card. The Apple Card gives a 3% cash back, Apple is losing this money. So they want a way to recoup it. Id also like to point out how wrong that inflation chart is, because over the decades, the way we calculate inflation and basically been neutered for political reasons. But that would probably get most people lost.
    1
  2467. No, it didnt matter. China has been over counting their births for at least two decades, close to 100 million. Now all that expected growth is not going to show up. Nothing will save the Chinese housing market. They are probably already declining population wise which me the demand pressure will be non existent and every year it will just get worse and worse. If current projections are true they will be at 650 million people by 2050.
    1
  2468.  @amytrumbull156  Someone is a fan of Randall. He makes a convincing argument doesnt he
    1
  2469. New homes need to be sold because the builder has leveraged debt that needs to be pay off. So generally you will see a price correction in them first. Homeowners who actually own, often have an unrealistic emotionally based reason for their house being worth the price that they listed it for. Their house is good after all. So they tend to lower prices last, but often by then they have to really cut it deep. This was my experience in California, but I am in Tn now and I am seeing it here as well. New homes are starting to sit. That means price cuts will follow.
    1
  2470. Yes but they pretend like those migrants generate more value than they consume, which they never have. They just expedite the problem and then you add crime and cultural issues into the mix.
    1
  2471.  @lilshaz8378  I'm not talking about them. I talking about actual current farmers.
    1
  2472.  @ancesthntr  The question is how long can they supply those 9 brigades. That will decide if the Ukrainians push through or the Russians repulse them.
    1
  2473.  @dodobono452  so basically become someones dependent. lol That screams modern Germany.
    1
  2474.  @johns8620  apparently signing it joe brandon wasnt sarcastic enough for you.
    1
  2475. Either way, they can say they died from whatever. Then it will be see how many died? Isnt it good we locked down? Think of how much more would have died if we didnt?
    1
  2476.  @Kaileighblue  On the bright side it wont last. The demographics are very clear. But in the short term it doesnt do much for the local culture does it?
    1
  2477. No we are in a trap. You combine crushing debt from near 100 years of deficit spending with demographic implosions you always get societal collapse. The reason for the population collapses is because of ideological reasons in all the nations that have them, and wont go away until those current systems collapse. There is one that transcends all those nations. that said, yeah, Zeihan is a Keynesian and a globalist.
    1
  2478.  @EconLessons  define richer? Total asset value via a grossly inflated currency? What happens when you take into consideration debt load from the individual and debt owned by the citizen via their national debt? Most people have no wealth. Zero. Their debt burden cancels out what little they have. Heck I would bet a plurality have a negative value. If you mean people today have more material possessions, I would agree with you. But most of those assets are grossly deflationary. Cars, electronics and the like. Even homes, in my personal opinion which admittedly isnt worth much, are going to go through a decades long crash here, just like what is happening in Japan. And that is going to happen in every western nation. Whats your 2008 Iphone worth now? Whats your 2001 Ford Explorer worth now? These kind of things are most folks "assets".
    1
  2479. He knows. Hes a communist, thats why he is wearing a red shirt. He thinks, like they all do, that if they destroy modern America that they will be able to take power. They each think that it is them who will be in control. What they dont understand is the first people who got sent to the gulag were those individuals who initiated the revolution. Those guys were dangerous. They think they will be Stalin, but they will just be another body in the mountain of Trotsys.
    1
  2480. Supposedly abortion on demand is given via the Commerce Clause.
    1
  2481. racist, sexist, misogynist; they are all just modern day magic spells. They picked on an old white guy because they thought oh hes harmless. Let them run up on some guy who is carrying and threaten to "stick him". People like this end up in permanent time out in the forever box.
    1
  2482. They call come from the proto indo european word for ten, déḱm̥. Thats because all three came from those people on the step.
    1
  2483.  @Deepak_Dhakad  No kidding the Yamnaya didnt use coins. The word Denarius comes from the Latin dēnī which means to contain ten. The Drachma comes from the Greek word to hold with tightly, which is sourced from to hold with ten, as in ten digits. Ten. That goes all the way back, as far as we can trace, to the word déḱm̥. Which means... ten. The word dime also comes to us via Latin but going back to that same word.
    1
  2484.  @Deepak_Dhakad  it's not the coin itself. It's the value of the coin i believe. Their measurements were probably based on ten. But we can't prove that due to lack of historical record. This differs from say the source of our measurements of time and circles which come from the sumerian system based on 12.
    1
  2485. Women not finding men "good enough" to marry. Men refusing to get married and then getting divorced raped like they watched happen to three generations of their fathers. Boomers living single because they destroyed the institute of marriage. The US hasnt been at replacement fertility rates since 1972. How is it that people dont understand whats happening? Its pretty clear. High demand is temporary. As the boomers die there is going to be a large sucking sound coming from the real estate market and the markets in general. Wait the first boomers turned 70 in 2020? Oh boy....
    1
  2486.  @mc1251  Home OWNERHIP. You do understand what that means right? Many people dont want to own their home. Its why many people rent. So no, it shouldnt be 100%.
    1
  2487.  @mc1251  Sure there are. Three reasons. The cost of maintain a home goes up with inflation. Taxes never go down, they only go up. And they go up more when the value of the house goes up. Finally there is insurance. And that has, in some places, risen 500% along with building requirement changes. You strike me as someone who is, respectfully, ignorant of the true cost of owning any type of real estate. I am against the program( RealPages Yieldstar software) that allows them to basically price set at an extreme. It makes individuals technically create a monopoly, which is wrong. So if that was what you were trying to communicate then I agree with you on that point. But my other points remain. Homes shouldnt be for profit? Dont tell that to the contractors who build them. You think they just sprout out of the ground?
    1
  2488.  @LumberjackLandlord  It matters because the market is weakening. And people will need to pull their money. When they do, and the investment firms dont have the cash, they will have to sell assets. But in this market, a declining market, they might very well get less than they paid for it. And then the death spiral starts. But why would that matter.
    1
  2489. Thats every single language in the Indo European language family except English, which de gendered in the 1400s.
    1
  2490.  @ahistoryperson9983  No problem. Now mind you this is a possibility. Some people may do this, others may not. The Fed might chicken out and not continue to raise rates. But you make your bets and you take your winnings or losses.
    1
  2491. Just a point on percentages, if homes are up 43% since 2018, that would mean those homes would only need a decline of 29-30% to come back to that same baseline. That will happen, easily.
    1
  2492.  @kylegross1081  I mean you can only go by official numbers that way everyone is on the same boat math wise. but you are right on the inflation stats. They are crap. If they are honest, world wide everything would implode overnight. regardless, my point was is most people dont know how percentages work. Its funny reading the comments.
    1
  2493. As the wheel turns, it crushes.
    1
  2494. Except inflation projections 6 months out are at a conservative 11%. 50 and 25 pt increases aint going to fix that. The fed waited to long and everyone got use to cheap money. The idea that this can be resolved with a "soft landing" or avoiding even a mild or moderate recession is delusional. Its not just the Feds stimulus effecting our markets its the whole world. Most nations printed more than the US did.
    1
  2495.  @genesmith4019  ah yes, when someone makes a well reasoned argument you can't debate, call names. Your magic spells have no effect of me.
    1
  2496. People misunderstand. Gambling isnt about winning money. Its the thrill of the risk. We our so bored with our safe and sterile lives, any thrill or threat is a rush. Same reason why people ride roller coasters.
    1
  2497.  @ReventureConsulting  How have wages kept up vs increasing home price in those states. I would think the two combined would show. I know here in east Tn, prices have stalled.
    1
  2498.  @krassimirpetrov7131  Yea but this is only 4 months into interest rate tightening. There wll be easily 50% price reductions here. Its the only way the income to debt ratio makes economic sense. It will take time. But I bring it up because the economy here is still very healthy. But so many of the homes listed are just empty. They will have to drop more faster if they want out of the market. Things do take time
    1
  2499.  @shorewall  South Korea and Japan are always in disagreement. Always. South Korea could be invaded again by the North and the Chinese and if the Japanese offered to help the South Koreans would tell them to go to hell. The Philippines are different. They are a very forgiving people. But they lack a modern military. They are in the process of building a 50 boat navy, but I doubt it will be completed. Most Americans couldnt even point to Taiwan on a map. The US is stepping back from the world. The world is going to need to put its big boy pants on.
    1
  2500. Your assessment of the 1970s housing increase is flawed. Housing costs tripled because boomers entered the market and created families. They inflated the cost of everything, except wages. Wages stagnated. Why? Because there were more boomers. The demographics now are the reverse. Boomers currently account for 44% of all home ownership. As they die, and 29% of boomers already have, those assets will flood the market. And the Zoomers and Gen Alpha together dont match the demographic numbers of the boomers. The demand will not be there. You also state that unemployment was 9% in the 1970s. They calculated it differently then compared to now, so not a good metric to use. The only reason out unemployment is so low is due to the monetary policy over the last two years. It has altered the jobs market so much that their are 11 million excess jobs that should exist. But in the end housing can only cost as much as one is willing to pay for it. And with inflation making everything cost more, housing must adjust lower. If it doesnt the Fed will squeeze harder. And then, there are lay offs.
    1
  2501. Bullwhip effect. When the economy slams shut and massive layoffs happen home prices will implode like everything else. Add to that banks not lending, who is going to buy anything? Only cash buyers. And cash buyers are going to overpay. I just cant see that we are at a housing bottom. I mean most home builders are still pricing in a premium. They have a lot they can still drop prices. And new home builders set all housing prices.
    1
  2502.  @ClickLikeAndSubscribe  foam insulation is easy to put in and with multi split ac units those are non issues. If you wanted to be really anal about it you could take off the weather boards and wrap the house just like a modern one. then replace the exterior boarding. Relatively non expensive if one does it themselves, though time consuming.
    1
  2503. limiting the money supply does the same thing as increasing Fed rate, it just limits the amount of money one can afford. Why is this a revolutionary concept?
    1
  2504.  @videogarage9221  I dont disagree with you on that. I dont think that the markets fully believe powell is serious year about raising rates. I dont know if Powell is either. But he needs to. If they dont keep raising housing will stay high, but stable. They have to squeeze all this excess liquidity out of every market, including housing. Otherwise its all kabuki theater.
    1
  2505.  @brz757  The Fed doesnt set the mortgage rate. Banks that lend set their own mortgage rates based on a number of criteria. If mortgage rates were the Fed rate they would still be at .5% instead of the 5% they are now.
    1
  2506. interest rates wont fall. By the end of the year inflation will be in double digits. The Fed is so late to this party it should be criminal. And the longer inflation sticks around, the less money people will have saved and the more they will spend on needed items which even if rates remain unchanged, they wont be able to afford houses at these prices. Interests rates will be back to the real neutral rate at about 8% before this is done at the very least.
    1
  2507.  @WelcomeIncorporated  oh I am very well aware of the tax laws re rental properties. I own two. But it's one thing to but at the top of the market with an arm that is about to adjust higher 200% or more that already owning it out right. Irrespective of the tax law.
    1
  2508.  @AB-fq4mr  they are heading the right way though. But people still think the fed is going to pivot. I just don't think that's going to happen.
    1
  2509. The only franchise that seems to avoid this is 40k. So much time and so much doubt about everything, even things that did happen are apart of the universe that its just accepted that you dont ever really know for sure. The fog of history is a real thing.
    1
  2510. Im surprised they didnt film it in silent and just put up voice cards like a pre talkie movies.
    1
  2511. If they cut rates now we are just going to have a double dip recession.
    1
  2512.  @rasmuslernevall6938  I can tell you, it starts with the letter F. Women can be economic powerhouses boosting GDP so that governments can spend and borrow more money or they can have the next generation. Its hard, damn near impossible, for a woman to do both. Its even harder to do it when you are hitting the lower and middle economic strata of income earners with competition that lowers their wages even further by importing massive amounts of no skill and low skill workers. Find me a nation without the F word and I will show you a nation with either a growing or stable population.
    1
  2513. reading my mind.
    1
  2514. The CPI only plateaued. If you look at it everything is still going up except oil and energy. Both of those will spike soon. Energy because winter is coming and oil because after the election the federal strat oil reserve will stop discharging an additional million barrels a day and Russian production hitting the market out of the Baltic will stop. Thats anywhere from 2- 4 million barrels a day. Then add to that Freeport LNG coming back on line and exporting LNG to Europe, up goes nat gas prices again. People havent seen high energy and oil prices yet.
    1
  2515. This cycle is nearing its conclusion. But this cycle is different. For the first time the world is globally interconnected. That has never really happened before. But this typically happens every 250 - 300 years. Nations rise grow strong and collapse. Rinse and repeat. But post WWII lifted most developed nations. And post Soviet collapse lifted every nation. That plus how the internet and cell phones link everyone our society, even if insulated in nation states, has become truly global. The collapse will be as well. The question is without a torch holder, will this collapse be like the dark ages after the fall of the Roman Empire or the Bronze Age collapse or will it be gentler?
    1
  2516.  @Nick46289  I had never head of that concept. But I do enjoy learning. In the 90s I was on a troop exchange to Russia and spent several months in Vladivostok. Completely changed my mind about the Russian people. To this day I think to myself, these people are a natural alley to the US. I do hope that can happen once again, put the 20th century behind us. Perhaps time will allow wounds to heal. If we can get fools to stop picking at the scabs long enough.
    1
  2517.  @Nick46289  I know some of the older Russians have fond memories of the glory days, what of the younger generation? How is that looking? Honestly I think we may have more commies here than Russia does. It amazes me how when someone who has lived through a communist regime tries to tell these people here that communism doesnt mean what you think it means they laugh at them. Its very frustrating.
    1
  2518. ​ @Nick46289  I have enjoyed our exchange. Thank you for your perspective.
    1
  2519.  @Aesthetic_Dialectic  Yes propaganda is effective against most people. Some people seem naturally immune while others have no immunity to it at all. Thank you for your family story.
    1
  2520.  @Aesthetic_Dialectic  The worst thing is your grasp of English is orders better than the average American. Are you familiar with the film, Ideocracy?
    1
  2521. These people have just repurpose the NAZI racial hygiene from the opposite direction.
    1
  2522. It certainly is a barometer to know when all the normies have finally tapped out. Then thats the bottom. You think its just going to take a year?
    1
  2523. Silva was justified in killing M. That doesnt make it good. The two do not have to be the same. She essentially ended his life, he did the same in kind. If you are going to give a man up for dead, you better make sure he is dead. Otherwise he could very well take offense to it. And while it has been a while since I saw Skyfall, I do believe M told Bond, Silva just didnt have the good sense to die, or some variant of that. She thought she was above the dirt and the grime. Silva corrected that.
    1
  2524. When gobs of endless money keep getting pumped into the system by the fed, to keep everything a float that makes predicting impossible. I never saw anything in the Feds mandate that allowed them to protect the stock market. They were supposed to protect against inflation. I know I know, I am being naive.
    1
  2525. Replace illegal or undocumented with tax dodgers and see how those on the city council react. They are hypocrites. Chicago has the government they deserve.
    1
  2526. near the end of the year these builders will have firesales. This is the same thing that happened in 2005-2006. They kept building and by the end of 2007 their debt could no longer be rolled over so they had to sell any homes they had. Didnt matter the hair cut they took. It will happen again at the end of this year. That will be two years from the ramp up in building and with rates the way they are, they just cant afford it. Wait until the end of the year. There will be blood. Its already happening in the commercial markets. When current homeowners understand this, they will try to dump their properties as well, making things worse. And if we have massive layoffs between now and then, well, if you have cash or credit you will clean up.
    1
  2527.  @valkyriefrost5301  They refuse to admit that all inflation is monetary. Its not just been the US printing, its EVERYONE. China has printed 5 times what we have for at least a decade every year. Its why their prices shot up so high. I dont see how people dont understand this.
    1
  2528. This is what happens when you dont hold kids back when they need to be. You are just looking at people who care about metrics and what the race, religion, gender of the students are. If the wrong students are failing push them through. Cant have the school or the district look bad. But the actual kids, whatever. Its why I have long said, the public school system is a works program. If the students learn anything, thats just a happy accident. You ever see the freeways and the roads when school isnt in, like winter and spring breaks? They are a god damn ghost town.
    1
  2529. You dont really understand economics. That much is clear.
    1
  2530.  @julius43461  The last western nation to really push women to be stay at home mothers was a nation that had a man with a funny mustache as their leader. You dont know how well you hit the nail on the head with your last sentence. The swings are slow at first and then all at once. Its almost like people dont know history. But you are so very right.
    1
  2531.  @mattrandall1808  Thats literally what I wrote. That and there isnt a "trust fund". Just the general fund.
    1
  2532. Demographics. Boomers. 29% of Boomers have already passed. The remaining 71% own 44% of all US homes. As those boomers die their families will need to liquidate those assets. The Gen X and Millennial generations are already past and fully into family creation mode, so their demand has peaked as well. The generation coming up, the zoomers, is an echo of the x'ers, and is the smallest in American history. Gen Alpha, created by Millennials, is not even half the size it was expected to be. This will all be deflationary. The demand for ever increasing home prices will just not be there. Per every demographic analysis peak demand was 2020.
    1
  2533.  @MHFIN  Immigration is even worse. It bypasses the young age which is the age that individual had the most money spent on them. Though you do get an instant worker who deflates wages at their level of work and while you get a worker, they are lower end workers, generally speaking, making it even harder for the poor. And even places like Mexico arent even at replacement rates. None of South America is. Out of 195 nations, as of 2020 only 12 had fertility rates higher than 2.1 per woman. Immigrants would probably have a higher impact on rents rather than home prices.
    1
  2534.  @realestatemindset  Keep up the good work on your channel.
    1
  2535.  @Grushdevah  Nah they pay it off. And with interest. But to pay it they have to issue new debt. Which is slightly older than the old debt. But the debt does get paid off.
    1
  2536. Fed aint lowering rates. If anything they are going to need to raise them as this new wave of inflation hits. The problem is out of control costs from auto manufacturers.
    1
  2537. GDP came in at a healthy 2.6%, that includes the adjustment for inflation. That means the economy can endure more rate increases. I put even odds that the Feds will increase by 50pts at the next meeting. People still keep spending. I personally see fuel prices increasing due to the decrease in ethenol production we will be seeing this year. That roughly counts for 10-15 percent of content in fuel. Then there is the whole needing to refuel the whole SPR after Biden damn near emptied it. That additional demand will push oil to 110 to 120 a barrel easily. And once Freeport re opens, which has been delayed 4 times since its explosion and shut down last may, Natural gas prices will spike again. Thankfully the US has had a relatively warm winter so far. The real question is how much falling rents, home prices, and auto costs will impact the CPI. They could very well cancel each other out.
    1
  2538. When the US government went after Bill Gates, he learned what he had to do. I dont blame him in the least. We are taking the wrong lessons away from this.
    1
  2539. Thats because of the economic drag of excessive taxes and deficit spending. Add fiat currency and inflation, which is what supports deficit spending, and you have the reason for inflation. Thing is people, governments and corporate interests do not want the gravy train to end. But its going to regardless.
    1
  2540. There is no such thing as the perfectly constructed or engineered home. Homes should be engineered to fit their specific environment with the specific needs of the person who is building it in mind. Cookie cutter sub divisions dont do this well. But what they do do well is filled a need for massive amounts of housing cheaply. It simply filled another need. One thing that few take into consideration is county codes. Codes make newer types of homes, like printed concrete, completely impossible. We do need code changes in the US to keep pace with technological changes. To me thats the greatest issue.
    1
  2541.  @landontesar3070  Leaf is being phased out my friend. Their sales never met the production levels. They took losses on each one sold but made it back on government credits.
    1
  2542. Its funny that you mention early automobile history. Electric automobiles were the first, Ben Franklin is believed the first to draw up plans for an electric horseless carriage. In the 1880s in Europe, almost all automobiles were electric until, Diesel came out with his engine and people saw just how much more better and practical it was. When Henry Ford came out with his stupidly cheap Fords, no one could compete and they all died. He would have seen Ford for the genius he was in his business' accumen.
    1
  2543.  @TrendyStone  range yes, price point without subsidies and recharging issues aside.
    1
  2544. I dont know if what that man said is true, but I do know that going after pipelines in the baltic and turkey would limit other nations ability to change their position IF russia wins.
    1
  2545. movies are something that are easy to not spend on if you dont have money. I think people getting stretched to thin financially, especially the younger members of society, that they are starting to cut things. That they are all crappy movies of late is just making it easier to do this.
    1
  2546.  @bartekwojcik4448  Makes me think of Hyperion's speech in immortals as the guy smashes the traitors balls with the hammer.
    1
  2547.  @xekron61  going to give those engineers ptsd. I can hear them complaining like regular mechs, who the hell designed this? lol
    1
  2548. Lets not forget that the average square foot for a home and the things included in said home are massively different. Not including things like the value of the dollar, as others have already stated, and more importantly tax burden. For some people their tax and insurance is fully half their mortgage cost.
    1
  2549.  @sebastianlahns8023  If you think teachers teach what they want thats just not the case. They have state mandated lesson plans they have to teach. This isnt the 1970s or 80s anymore. Its why so many got out of teaching. You get tired of teaching lies.
    1
  2550. OPEC is well within reason to cut energy supplies to the world until Europe agrees to long term contracts for them to support them through their supposed transition. How else will they make an ROI on the massive upgrades needed to supply them? Are they just suppose to eat that cost? The only ones being unreasonable is the west.
    1
  2551. I see the flaw in your reasoning. At about 4:50 you say Ford sells to its retail customers. You probably think those customers are the people who drive those vehicles are the customers. They arent. The dealerships are. Dealerships want the bigger vehicles because there are more profits in them. Smaller cars are barely worth their time. Most people dont really understand the mechanics of the auto industry. Auto manufacturers build cars for dealerships, not people. When these auto makers allow people to directly order vehicles from them you will see this start to change. Not until. But even then, most people want a larger vehicle. Fords CEO is just bowing to regulatory and social pressure from certain groups to push EVs no one wants.
    1
  2552.  @ancillarity  Russia has tried, twice. Well the Soviet Union once and The Russian Federation once. They were rejected both times.
    1
  2553.  @ron88303  The Soviets put missiles in Cuba to counter the US Jupiter missiles in Turkey. Those missiles were not removed until after the Cuban missile crisis. Even today though the US has nuclear bombs, not missiles, in Turkey.
    1
  2554.  @j.langer5949  I know right. Its not like one has to approve of Russia's actions to understand why they may feel threatened. Nato should have been shut down after the Warsaw Pact was gone. The Europeans could just form their own military system. But they want US dollars to fund nato. The only people I feel bad for are the conscripts getting pulled in and the civilians caught in the fighting.Europe and Russia can kill themselves for all I care. I mean they wont even say who did the pipeline bombing.
    1
  2555.  @xlukas93  We already invaded Mexico. But the North didnt want to admit it into the Union. Why? Because it was south of the Mason Dixon line and would have been slave states. It would have forever shifted the balance of power in the US to slave states.
    1
  2556. No they are attempting to look strong while they are very weak. Whats going on inside China right now is akin to biblical. Floods in the south ruining 70% if the wheat harvest. And a drought in the north so bad that roughly 10% of the corn crop will be available. This says nothing about the Swine Fever that is ravaging their pigs for the 4th year in a row. China is just following the Art of War.
    1
  2557. The "real" media doesnt like other people feeding disinformation. Thats their job.
    1
  2558. Nah, when the welfare runs out thats when the issue will resolve. The question will be, as you say, will the local British have the resolve to endure the ethnic enclaves butchering each other. Which is what always happens. It happens here in the US, happens in China, happens in India. It always happens. If the local British hold their own, most of the fighting will be done for them. They will just need to mop up.
    1
  2559.  @audiophileman7047  Yes Knoxville and the surrounding area is horrible. We dont want or need anyone else here.
    1
  2560.  @goobertgoobert  The Fed cant. The Fed was negative equity in October. They have nothing to buy with. They Fed is already bankrupted. Technically they have two options, raise rates or let Congress bail them out. The Feds need rates at least at inflation levels, if not higher. But Congress cannot bear that high of levels without massive cuts to social spending. And Congress cannot afford to do that for political reasons. What they might do is nationalize the debt the Fed has, remove its charter and rename a new Federal bank, but that would require political unison. We dont have that. Chaos is coming friend, make sure you and yours are prepared.
    1
  2561.  @thmphll  While you are correct, in some religious groups in the US the fertility rate has dropped, but the average protestant church goer in the US has 2.5 kids, well above replacement rate. Catholics and Morons, not so much. Mormons are now at 2.03 and Catholics at 1.6.
    1
  2562. @allthenewsordeath5772  right. But the fertility rate I was referring to with catholics are those who attend mass weekly.
    1
  2563. @ Thats exactly when immunizations started that drastically reduced the death rates from small pox.
    1
  2564.  @LisaCulton  No, men dont want responsibility without authority. Its a recipe for disaster.
    1
  2565.  @SoloRenegade  Stop liking your own posts. I know you didnt read title 4d in less than and hour or code 3400. You are full of bravo sierra.
    1
  2566.  @monolith_g  Your statement is comedic.
    1
  2567. Fran is a sexual assault survivor. You have to take everything she says understanding where she is coming from. Shes not intentionally toxic. Shes just emotionally damaged, by men. So most things that are wrong have to be mens fault.
    1
  2568.  @Grabthar191  Thats just not true. Only 29 out of the 45 presidents had any military service. Out of the first six presidents only Washington had actual military experience (Jefferson, Madison and Monroe were all Colonels in the Virginia militia but the never really served it was a title given to many large land holders). You had to get to Jackson before you had another president who actually served.
    1
  2569.  @Grabthar191  Im not sure if you were in the military. But the only time I ever saw an O-6 doing anything with "the troops" was during change of command ceremonies. They are paper pushers. Even back then. And while supply and muster is important to any military endeavor, it is hardly a leadership roll. It is a roll of authority. And back then it was only given to men who already had leadership abilities. These men, while not a dig at them, were more akin to Kentucky Colonels. Its a type of honor expected of upper society when America was more aristocratic.
    1
  2570.  @Grabthar191  it was militia. Every land owning male by that standard was military then. If that's your argument I'll accept it as your view but disagree personally. But even by your standard only 27 presidents were former military. But what do I know, I am just a raggedy assed Marine.
    1
  2571. A lot of people forget, South Korea is still in a state of war. The Korean war never ended, there was just a cease fire agreement. Both nations to this day says there is only one Korea. Their executive has a lot of powers that most peace time nations do not.
    1
  2572.  @razojacqueline  they would have to have someone to sell to in China
    1
  2573.  @aquilae1670  not enough to keep the debt from imploding the nation. Without credit Japan, which imports everything to be a modern nation, dies. Regardless of their political ideology. The unfortunate thing is an exodus from Japan has already started. The smart always leave first. And that makes recovery all the less likely.
    1
  2574.  @TC_Personal  true. Also what few account for is the effect delayed child birth means for generations. Previously most women started child rearing by the early 20s. Now its standard to wait a decade beyond. This has the effect for generations being every 30 years instead of 20. And so previously you would have 3 generations of people in a 60 year period, now you will only have 2. That means an entire generation is never born.
    1
  2575. They havent gone after the cartels because there is a lot of money and control in fitting out local and state PDs with military gear. And then the cops themselves get to play commando. A lot of pigs at that trough. Then there is the whole CIA back channel funding so they can do operations off the book funded by drug money. But fent is just to deadly to be allowed to sweep in. It doesnt create junkies, just corpses.
    1
  2576. This read like, "when you become the fascist you scream about." I dont think these folks understand what they actually are.
    1
  2577. People are still praying that the Fed will save everyone like they did last time. They wont. They wont because they cant. If they lower interest rates inflation will explode. So the Fed will keep rates higher. And the those who are over leveraged will suffer greatly. People were warned about this a year ago. Anyone who is still in such a position deserves what they get.
    1
  2578.  @color2066  Im not really against her. She, I think, maybe a little star struck. Some one needs to make her be quiet though.
    1
  2579.  @00SmileTime00  If you mean Bill Clinton, He sent me to Somalia and Bosnia. I was a boot Marine at the time. People forget the dumpster fire that was Clintons handling of the melt down of Yugoslavia. Clinton was also the individual who started bombing random countries for "reasons". Afghanistan and Sudan just to name two places.
    1
  2580.  @ilikebudlite  But each mortgage they give adds liquidity to the market. That money is given to someone or some entity. So they need to keep doing it. But there is no longer any demand for the mortgages. So liquidity drys up, which is what the fed wants. But the Fed is being to cautious.
    1
  2581.  @26betsam  But Paris is the city of lights. They will collect ambient light. lol
    1
  2582. And not one government person lost their job. lol
    1
  2583. If this is the best they have you honestly have to wonder if the taliban are just holding back until the west is gone and moves on. We do have short attention spa..... ooh whats that?
    1
  2584. Dragons Lair and Space Ace. Now I miss the 80s again.
    1
  2585. In regards to the jab, the left has an oft used saying, "Your body, your choice." The left just trying to deflect personal responsibility.
    1
  2586. Congress doesnt have control over this, the executive does. There is only one thing congress could do to address this, removing the current president. But thats a political move in an election year. This is all just kabuki theater.
    1
  2587.  @gabe8976  Recidivism is real though. But I get your point as well. Its a chicken and egg problem isnt it. Well if you dont have legal protections.
    1
  2588. Until the market stops buying them. then the inflation ramps up and kills China. Especially when that hits labor costs, oof. No one will want to build anything in China anymore when that happens.
    1
  2589. That guy is a moron. The US didnt want to be the "hall monitor" of the world. It cobbled together a global alliance using trade as the carrot to contain the Soviet Union. And it worked beautifully. The problem started during the Clinton years. The Soviet Union was gone. The US should have dropped the alliance but there were to many vested interests world wide. Now, over 30 years later, we are still trying to fight against the international order. And these same people blame the US for it. Its why when Trump says something like, no more money for Ukraine, thats a Europe problem, people in Europe scream. Its just vestetd interests. But, largely speaking, the US public, wants nothing to do with it.
    1
  2590. Its a trade lane. America patrols the global shipping lanes, since the end of WWII. Ironically if the US stops, which is what the last three US presidents have been pushing for, China's ability to trade globally will be neutered. The reason for these provocations is what is happening inside of China right now. The flooding in the south and the drought in the north. "Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak." Sun Tzu, The Art of War
    1
  2591. Name the large investment companies that are buying up all the houses. Last year Blackrock only bought 2000 homes. Now they are hemorrhaging money. It wont be long before they start liquidating assets for capital.
    1
  2592.  @Kurplode  Blackrock is saying that but they are having so many pull out of their investment funds its not even funny. Not to mention their exposure in China is getting them utterly wrecked since they are a foreign company and back of the bus for any compensation.
    1
  2593.  @AA-Crow  you mean in the areas with the highest real estate cost increase, Charlotte, Atlanta and Dallas... let's see how it works for them. They are going to be taking a hair cut just like everyone else. If you don't think so you should invest in them. You probably don't know how many homes those companies own each. Just parroting other people.
    1
  2594. You conflate environmentalism for conservationism. Environmentalist has always, always, been political. A common mistake. One the progressive left uses to great benefit for them.
    1
  2595. No one pays attention to the demographic cliff we are heading for. I dont even think companies are showing drops in demand. Apple refuses three separate times on its latest meeting to even answer questions about future demand. I cant tell if they are ignorant or blind to it. Or many its a case of we are going over the cliff so what does it matter?
    1
  2596. Why would you expect an explosion in productivity when globally population is in the process of crashing? We wont need the extra productivity. At this point I think most people are divorced from reality for what is coming down the road for the next 50 years. Bond market wont survive anyways as exporting nations start imploding. They will have to sell everything just to defend their currency, like Japan is about to do.
    1
  2597. Ill say it. F the ADL.
    1
  2598. I am not sure why people think there is a lot of demand for homes. By every metric home ownership is near all time highs. Currently almost 66% of Americans own homes. Anytime the American home market has gone over 62-63% of Americans owning homes we have a correction in prices. Do a higher percentage of Americans than that want to own homes, maybe. But they are not financially stable enough to make that happen and should NOT under any circumstances buy a home. Its not good for them, its not good for the market and its not good for the tax payers. Throw in inflation, realistic interest rates (which are still near historic lows) and changes in demographics there really isnt much real actual demand. Just a lot of people looking to pick some meat off the bones of others.
    1
  2599. ​ @Ketobodybuilderajb  Yeah, it has been. Nike's overseas earnings was hurt by 15% due to the strong dollar. But they are still slightly profitable. Even though overall profits are down 22%. And you have to remember, these are all trailing numbers from the last quarter. But after the holidays you just wont be able to hide it. A good but very entertaining channel is the maverick of wallstreet. He doesnt do anything about housing, except the occasional Michael Burry tweet, just the market. (only reason i would mention it on another's channel)
    1
  2600. All the officers at the scene while the beating occurred were arrested and charged.
    1
  2601.  @76HENDRIK10  Who would surrender then? Oh yea you killed their god. I am sure they will all just surrender now. I take it you dont know much about the indoctrination process the imperial military and the civilians underwent.
    1
  2602.  @CathyKitson  um ok
    1
  2603. Got to watch out for that Quad Lazer
    1
  2604. Tech companies are doing a lot of money laundering. China steals. Tie those ends together and you see why one spends so much and the other spends so little.
    1
  2605. If you never been there I can understand why you think your comment makes sense. The sand there destroys everything. It wears down metal and wood, even stone. It is relentless. It finds its ways into the tiniest cracks. Solar panels would not last very long in the desert. If the sands did not destroy them outright, they would very well be buried after one or two storms.
    1
  2606. Bad writers have always existed. Its just today, where the box you check is more important than your actual skill, merit is lacking in the writers room. Instead of learned and experienced writers you have indoctrinated students who have lived no life and who in times past, wouldnt have even earned the title of hack.
    1
  2607.  @nova396  fight or flight doesnt tend to lead to rational thought. These officers never even tried to cuff him. Lets not pretend that these were squad cars that took him down, but unmarked drug vehicles. At no time do the officers state that they are in fact police. All of this is just straight wrong. And we wouldnt know about any of it if it hadnt been for that street camera. Otherwise all the officers body cams would have just had malfunctions. Stop backing tyrants.
    1
  2608.  @nova396  you aren't even coherent at this point are you?
    1
  2609. Filipinas have long wanted to come to the Land of the Big PX. All Filipinos can join the US military for US citizen ship. Its why you see so many in the US Navy. But for the women thats not really socially acceptable. Family is. But its different the western families, we arent talking about the nuclear family. All family is family. Grandma, grandpa, cousins, aunties, uncles, third cousins, etc etc. It can be overwhelming for some, emotionally, physically and financially for some. Things are still difficult in some places in PI. I remember being welcomed into peoples homes there were a literal collection of pallets tied together with rope and covered in boxes and/or aluminum. Electricity is with a power cord wired into a electrical poll. Water is with a garden hose. Real poverty is a thing. That forces families together. And it shows in the culture. But overall good people and very good food. That said the women there do not like weak men. I would say they are worse to them than women here in the US. Women here just ignore them. Weak men in the PI are verbally shamed.
    1
  2610.  @JB-ri6zp  So the price of that house would have to fall, thats how higher interest rates deal with inflation. lol
    1
  2611. Its just going to make it that much worse there when it happens.
    1
  2612. most modern movie plots only happen because people are incredible stupid. Its like all the teens for the 80s slasher flicks final grew up and became "scientists and engineers".
    1
  2613.  @herrwahnsinn4229  If the pipes were functional they might very well could. But if they are permanently damaged, well, that changes the equation then doesnt it? Even if the war ended tomorrow and the Russians made nice to everyone, no more gas. How long did it take to build those each? And it wasnt US posturing, it was the Biden admin. There is a large difference.
    1
  2614. Even suburbs are going to burn. The only folks who are going to be ok are people with land who can at least grow what they need to live. I mean you have HOAs who are preventing people from growing food. Moronic.
    1
  2615.  @eldermillennial8330  lmao who are you, the history police? Man, millennials. Want to run my social credit score?
    1
  2616.  @youtubeistrash2347  I think that may be a personal feeling of yours. I would ask how you eat chicken off the bone if taking something out of your mouth is repulsive. Do you put silver wear in your mouth?
    1
  2617.  @dingleberry4234  not her, her sister though.
    1
  2618. If Russia is still fighting an insurgency in Ukraine even in 2023, we will have 2 billion dead or starving due to non existent food shipments. I dont think most western nations understand how dire things really are food wise. Half of east Africa get all their food exports from Russia and Ukraine.
    1
  2619. Alameda is a big place. You talking East 18th st in Oakland or the Berkeley Hills?
    1
  2620. The thing terrify about this is that in many states, the homeowner is THE criminal.
    1
  2621. @Initial Greg nah i see 5 boys who were getting their lives together. Two of them were even going to start college classes in the fall if the coof let up. One of them was an aspiring "singer" who just needed studio money. If only we didnt have a society of systemic oppression.... these poor poor misunderstood yuts. One of their mothers and their families would have said something like this.
    1
  2622. @Initial Greg not really sure what that means, but sure ok. lol
    1
  2623. ​@Initial Greg oh you are the typical keyboarder who likes to comment on others posts but when they do it back you cry about it. noted. Ill leave you to your safe space. dont forget to take your lithium.
    1
  2624. Get a lazyboy and recline. much better on your back, especially for long time gaming.
    1
  2625.  @DieFlabbergast  lmao you say immigration. Thats an incorrect term. The correct term is invasion and forced assimilation by the new ascendant ethnicity and culture. There isnt going to be immigration. This is historically normal. Its just in recent history its been unusual.
    1
  2626. The should have started raising rates in 2016. The Fed always lets the pot boil over due to political pressure. We dont have anymore adults in politics to tell people what needs to be done. Just ideologues.
    1
  2627.  @brushylake4606  you are correct on the default. If I remember right the US government has defaulted 4 times in its history.
    1
  2628.  @user-wr3vt8uq4s  74% of Americans are obese or overweight. Half of them wont even make it to 50. A very large minority of women are so mentally unstable that they cannot be in public unmedicated. When the medical system breaks, and it will break, millions will start to die. This says nothing for the millions of diabetics or people who have transplants. They will just die quicker though. Anyone who is in a city at that point is just wrong.
    1
  2629.  @IsaiahMiguel  the only blame boomers have is they had the opportunity to address a lot of the problems and didnt. Their generation had the numbers to effect political change. They chose the status quo. They didnt start the problems though.
    1
  2630. Nothing is going to stop the US from closing down its bases around the world. The Right wants it because we are tired of the tax burden it costs us. The Left wants it because the money we spend on the military means less that can be spent on social welfare and vote harvesting. Even the destruction of feminism in Afghanistan didn't stop the Democrats from walking out on it. The world better get use to this. Coming soon to an American occupied nation near you.
    1
  2631.  @tomasrocha6139  child's privacy. Lmao
    1
  2632. I like how the Navy standing is identical to right before WWII.
    1
  2633.  @realestatemindset  And to you as well. Always appreciate the content. You would think they teach this stuff in high school.
    1
  2634.  @highlordlaughterofcanada8685  Yea, like we found out about the last vegas shooting years ago. FBI isnt going to give us any info.
    1
  2635. If Dr D did this the Feds would be on him. The fact that they arent, says this is BS. I hope he sues Twitch again for putting this crap out there.
    1
  2636. If Guardians of the Galaxy vol 3 doesnt earn big, I can well see Disney calling it quits on the MCU considering the production cuts and the belt tightening that is going on there. Its kind of the last hope for the MCU. But I think we all know where this is going at this point.
    1
  2637.  @davebeech236  I wasnt aware Britain had a poll tax, or did it get revoked? What year was that instituted? I must admit I am a fair bit ignorant on your parliamentary system, so I always like to pick someones brain when i get the chance. Thank you for your response.
    1
  2638.  @davebeech236  Thank you I appreciate the information
    1
  2639.  @sadwingsraging3044  that was my understanding of it as well. But often I find a clearer picture is pained if one listens to others. I and most Americans know little of Thatchers domestic policies, only her united front on the world stage with Reagan. Its like Churchill. Most Americans know about him, I both hate and admire him. But I know zero about his domestic policies.
    1
  2640. Why do all of these individuals have coked out eyeballs. Just so wide
    1
  2641. The government does though. It needs your tax revenue.
    1
  2642. Dude sounds like a fawn getting mauled by a lion on the Serengeti.
    1
  2643.  @blossom1290  that's fine. I don't really think you understood my point though. Perhaps I did a bad job communicating it. I'll rephrase. Men have a social obligation to the state. In time of crisis or war their personal liberties are set aside for the greater good of all the people of the state. Women, as of this time, have no such social obligation. The question is should they? But I know it won't happen. Which again is fine. But who do you think k will suffer the most when nations implode?
    1
  2644. This assumes they wont get margin called, which they will. This also assumes that the ROI when rents crash will be above 5%, which it wont. Why would you buy a real estate asset when you can get more ROI from corporate and government bonds? Makes no sense. But lets say they do do it. All a state has to do is put a special corporate rental tax of x percent per rental and poof, ROI is wrecked and its not profitable to own a rental home. To me this is a blatant fear tactic. They are telling you dont wait, you have to buy NOW. IF YOU DONT BUY NOW THE BIG SCARY CORPORATE OVERLORDS WILL BUY ALL THE HOUSES!!!!!!! Dont believe the hype. Just FOMO 2.0.
    1
  2645. We have all been sold the lie of equality and egalitarianism. Historians will look back at this time period and wonder why we fought against our biology so hard. And for what? Misery? A little political power? An unhappy older age where most have little to nothing except more emotional baggage than a Himalayan Sherpa could move? I cannot wait for modernity to break under its own lies and myopic rot. Not for me, but for my sons and hopefully their children.
    1
  2646.  @Michael_Hunt  In a SHTF most people will be ammo and food pickups.
    1
  2647.  @Michael_Hunt  Everyone has to sleep sometimes. Plus so many who have medical needs. Then all the diseases that will spread as unburied bodies pile up. And nothing will call the zombie hordes like a cabin with a genie running or a light in the window.
    1
  2648. education use to be teaching people HOW to think. Now folks go to university and get taught agendas and WHAT to think. This is even in the STEM fields. It doesnt have to be political. Agenda driven education is always a long term failure. It creates blind spots and dogma that people are unable to think out of.
    1
  2649. Well I cant speak for anywhere else, but in East Tn and even in Nashville rice reductions are endemic and houses are starting to sell, sell for below the fake metrics. But since 90% of people who post never say where they are from, might as well be never never land.
    1
  2650.  @AA-Crow  I am seeing them. I am seeing them declining all over the south. Day after day of price reductions. It was like someone turning a switch two weeks ago. Clearly you have blinders on in only certain areas you are looking at. Which is why I asked where you were located. And it could be in those areas you are right. Generalized statements, about real estate prices are pointless. Where you are matters. Its fine, I get it, you dont want to get lost in the minutia of market dynamics. Dont make generalized statements then.
    1
  2651.  @AA-Crow  lol
    1
  2652.  @cyrus2546  I remember getting 13% interest on my savings account. lol
    1
  2653.  @peterbelanger4094  Drug war didnt start in the 80s, it started in the 1920 with prohibition. Reefer madness was made in 1936.
    1
  2654. A decade ago he predicted Russia would invade the Ukraine. Then they did in 2014.
    1
  2655.  @Val_Smith  No, that isnt what President Bush said at all. He said he would support Ukraine's and Georgi's bid to join Nato. Those are not the same things. But perhaps that is what you meant. That said, analysts take years to come up with strategic plans and views. Heck Bush probably thought it would make his buddies in defense more money. Weird how no one did a thing when the Russians just rolled into Georgia and Crimea.
    1
  2656. Yea for any real measurement you really need to include annual property taxes.
    1
  2657.  @johnkilty5091  did the truth hurt your feels?
    1
  2658. How did you come to that conclusion?
    1
  2659. Do you take demographics into consideration? Right now we are at a high point for demand. The boomer generation was the last to have a positive demographic trend. Since 1972 we have been well below replacement rates. And while immigration helped kept demand up that is starting to ebb. As the boomers continue to "leave the market" Gen Z will have to make up for that demand, and they cant, not even by half. Your numbers are conservative at best, but probably realistic for the next few years. This was a good video.
    1
  2660.  @shanerooney7288  Thats not how percentages work. If you have something worth say $100 dollars and in increases by 100%, it is now worth $200. but if it loses 50% of its value its back to $100 again. If China' GDP contacted by 30% it would take them far further back than 2017. And thats only if you do believe their numbers. If you do, well there is a word for that.
    1
  2661. They should have 100% compliance with their lawful orders. The problem is American law has enabled law enforcement to violate all sense. And then local governments push for them to do it more, for revenue purposes. I wouldnt want to be a police officer today. And I am a combat vet. Cops, for good reason, get shit on by both sides. Thats regardless of their good intent when they first became a cop.
    1
  2662.  @kylevernon  You cant wie out terrorism, only the terrorists. And new ones step up like spring grass.
    1
  2663.  @quixomega  You dont need more inventory every year for that when your demographics are in decline. Look at a US demographic pyramid chart. We have already reached peak demand. And if you look at every age cohort going forward you are going to have decreasing demand. Every year, for at least 30 years, longer if people dont start having more kids. At the same time you are having more boomers who own a majority of homes, near 40%, dying. Those homes will either satiate demand via transfer to young family members, be sold increasing inventory or rented out reducing rent demand further reducing the attractiveness of buying. We are in a very new cycle. One that the US has never been in before.
    1
  2664. They could have easily went with an Assassin's Creed Mali Empire if they really wanted a African protag. It fits with the timeline. The could have included the Ivory Coast, North Africa and all the way to Mecca. But that would require some actual real historical knowledge. Could have tied everything together with it.
    1
  2665.  @Tony-Taslud  Per the SCOTUS decision what you described is unconstitutional. Abortion is a 10th amendment issue, irrespective of ones views. The only way to change that is to specifically give the Federal government the authority to regulate abortion, that means a Constitutional amendment.
    1
  2666.  @WilliamLamont82  Slavery was a tenth amendment issue. But importation of slaves was commerce meaning importation and interstate commerce of slavery could be regulated by the Federal government under the commerce clause. Its why the Federal government was able to outlaw the bringing in of new slaves to the US in 1807. But its also why the thirteenth and fourteenth amendments were passed. That gave the Federal government the authority to regulate slavery inside individual states. You havent actually read the Constitution have you?
    1
  2667.  @Tony-Taslud  I do know what I am talking about. Congress has no authority to regulate abortion in the individual states. Full stop. Thats per the SCOTUS ruling. That means a Republican Congress with a Trump president CAN'T force a nation wide ban on abortion. That also means a Democrat Congress with a Harris president CAN'T force all states to have abortion access. This isnt my personal opinion. I dont care either way. The Federal government lacks that authority. That authority is given to the individual states via the 10th amendment. Have you read the 10th Amendment? Perhaps you should. If either of the two events were to happen, that I stated above, it would go to the SCOTUS and they would rule that law is unconstitutional. I dont know why you have a hard time understanding that.
    1
  2668.  @AuroStorm  Yes I know, from the Dobbs decision, "We hold that Roe and Casey must be overruled. The Constitution makes no reference to abortion, and no such right is implicitly protected by any constitutional provision..." Because of that the 10th Amendment holds sway giving abortion to the States to decide. If people want to change that, they can. They just need to pass a Constitutional amendment. A law will not cut it, because that law would violate the 10th Amendment. This would also prevent anyone from doing a total Federal ban because again, 10th amendment. Its the same reason why the 13th and 14th amendments needed to be passed in regards to slavery. That said, I really do appreciate your civility in this. Far to many people are aggressively irrational with this matter, on both sides. Perhaps we disagree on the procedural legalities, but again, I appreciate your civility. Gives me hope.
    1
  2669. So basically its only a problem when men start imitating the behavior of women. The mirror effect works. More men need to act like this. When the majority of women finally accept what they have done to the dating market then they can chose to fix it. They broke it. Men cant fix it.
    1
  2670. Its almost like inflation is purely a monetary phenomenon. I wonder who said that. lol
    1
  2671. This election fortified with vitamin D!
    1
  2672. As a man who has full custody of his sons and who has been married and was divorced, this does not surprise me. Men were once children. And they saw what happened to their fathers. We have gone through almost 4 generations of letting divorce happen, almost brutally to men. Watch Kramer vs Kramer. Thats from the late 70s. This isnt a new thing. This is the culmination of 4 generations of shitty choices. That has consequences. Any man who gets married today with the law the way it is is a fool. Its why you hear women constantly lamenting, "where have all the good men gone?"
    1
  2673. there are no mentions of lady boys, copious n words or homos. I dont think this is /pol
    1
  2674. I just mostly go hang with the lady Vols after the farmers market in Knoxville. They are in college so most dont want anything serious. They are fun, but still havent found one that I would label a keeper. But like an old gold miner friend of mine said, you got to work that pay dirt to find the gold.
    1
  2675. Meh at least you will get a SS check, most non boomers will never see one.
    1
  2676.  @davids.2703  Democrats only listen when Republicans talk about Democrats. When Republicans scream about the out of control spending Republican politicians do they just hear white noise.
    1
  2677. Trump goes down as the first President to defeat the first to female nominees as well.
    1
  2678.  @blakespower  I have been on several Burke class ships.
    1
  2679.  @eberkovich  Germany lies about its renewables. It has to keep all the power plants it does still have, which are lignite running and just doesnt count them when the sun is up. It gets 7% of its electricity from renewables. And they had to build 155% of its total energy need in solar and wind to do it. It was the 2nd stupidest thing Germany has every done, right behind electing a guy with a funny mustache. And none of those renewables are usable in the German chemicals sector. Germany, as an exporting nation, is dead. And the Greens killed them.
    1
  2680.  @cync5349  Nazi, is simply a short form of the word Nationalsozialistische, which is the German name for the NSDAP party.
    1
  2681. It could very well be a case of putting your money in a place where it loses the least. If you put your money in investment A and it loses 20% or investment B and it loses 40%, but you know in the future every investment class is going down, you care going to shove money in any place that has the lowest percent downturn. Also a billion isnt what it use to be. Still a lot, but when this blows up Chase will be ok.
    1
  2682. OPEC is cutting oil production because the Europeans refused to sign long term contracts with them post them going off Russia oil and Natural gas. I dont blame them for doing it. But they want OPEC to foot the bill for increasing short term supply bu investing billions in infrastructure without any long term pay off. Europe deserves to freeze in the dark at this point. They are beyond stupid.
    1
  2683.  @jesse_-  the median life expectancy in the US for boomers is 79. That means a lot die before, a lot die after. There are standard deviation curves. Currently 29% of boomers born have already died. Demand from millennials have corrected for this. But demographically speaking, this is peak demand.
    1
  2684.  @markmitzlaff8672  I am sorry you had to go through that. To many of our brothers suffer needlessly. You have my respect. I hope things are going better for you now. Semper Fi.
    1
  2685.  @markmitzlaff8672  I am glad to hear that. The drink will rot some men out fast. I served with a few that it just ate them up in a few years. I just left Northern California last year. I dont know if you are from So Cal, or separated out of Pendleton, but there are much greener pastures abroad. The price and the standard of living is much nicer. But if all your family is there I can understand staying. Unless, like me, you get them all to move with you. lol
    1
  2686. No like the revolutionary zealots of France, they will support the revolution and the committee even as the blade cuts their head from their neck.
    1
  2687.  @TrendyStone  Which if you believe the Feds own stated current policy would cause them to raise rates higher, no?
    1
  2688.  @seanneiberger4199  The Fed rate isnt 5%. You are conflating numbers. The Fed rate is .5%. There is no way that the Fed rate will get to 10%. I doubt they will get it to 3% let alone 5% before we have a deflationary crash we havent seen since the the great depression. And it if actually deleverages all its MBS's it will be even worse. If we get to 5% the Federal Government will have to start cutting costs and all the welfare people (disabled vets, farmers, the corporate lobby, single moms, military industrial complex, Medicare/Medicaid, and SSI pensioners) will all take a cut. 10% is fantasy land. People would be killing each other in the streets.
    1
  2689.  @theorigin1891  You would be shocked at some of the prices in Nashville. We got 1 acre lots in Brentwood, a Nashville suburb going for 1.3 mil. House not included. But incomes here arent half what are in California. But LA has always been stupid high. I use to live in Nor Cal, so I am aware of the California dream. lol
    1
  2690. Its simple, if you want to remove firearms, you change the Constitution. Its really that simple. But it would be amazing if we did something to help out all the mentally ill people.
    1
  2691. There are a lot of reasons people would leave. You are just looking at one aspect, the interest rate being low. But they could have a medical event and no longer be able to use their home. A family member could have a medical event and they need to move to be closer to them or move in with them. They could just not need as big of a house. When you get older owning a huge home is actually really hard to do having to take care of everything, more so if you are by yourself. There are divorces, jobs losses, jobs that require one to relocate. This is just off the top of my head. You can choose to wear blinders, but it will be your own fault when you walk into a wall or off a cliff.
    1
  2692.  @glorgau  apparently we have different definitions for the word "forced".
    1
  2693. ill consider trans athletes playing for their non "assigned" sex when female to male trans individuals are required to sign up with selective services.
    1
  2694. This is world wide. In the 70s western governments concluded that empowered women have less kids and that there were already to many people. Today, western governments, "how do we increase birth rates?" Look at Japan, South Korea and China. All are about to implode.
    1
  2695. @SAND BLAST your ignorance on California politics not withstanding, no one can fix California's problems. Its in systemic failure. The state is already dead, most people don't know it yet. No governor could fix the issues there even in the best political climate. All that said, Newsome is a fool and a grifter.
    1
  2696.  @breckandy  yes indeed. I'm happy for you both.
    1
  2697. Americans vote for them, the same them, year after year. how about a little accountability. The American electorate is at fault. We only have our selves to blame.
    1
  2698. This is a joke. The labor market still hasnt recovered to the highs that existed before covid. The only reason the unemployment rate is so low is that they dont count people who are not looking for work. All you have to do is look at the Labor Force Participation rate. Prior to covid it was 63.3%, currently its 62.6%. The government is lying to you. Thats all it does.
    1
  2699. Japans first reaction to their falling birth crisis was to push more women into the work force to raise GDP. The know their massive debt is going to crush them. If you want to address the problem, let women stay home and have children. The question is, will they? Women in most developed countries are told to finish school and go to higher education and then get a good job and become financially stable. Then around 30 they start looking to have kids. If you want your population to be stable or even grow, thats just a bad formula. What many people fail to see or even understand is that when women have their children around the age of 20 vs 30 in 60 years you have three generations with women have children on average at 20. But if they wait until thirty you only have 2. You completely lose a generation of people. Japan is now at that 60 year moment. And most of the west is fast approaching it.
    1
  2700. @Daily dose of fitness Yes but Europeans and the rest of the west have supported the Democrats for decades. All Americans hear is that "the world doesnt respect X republican administration. It never stops when democrats dont have power, and most of your news and media is state run.
    1
  2701.  @Coffeendonuts  Yes but unemployment of today, isnt calculated any where close to how it was in the 1970s. Calculated the way it was in the 70s its close to 8%.
    1
  2702.  @Coffeendonuts  congrats she works for a fortune 500 company. How does that change my statement that if unemployment today was calculated the same way as it was in the 1970s it would be 8 percent? That isnt a guess or an assumption, its math. The fact that there is no one looking for work should tell you that the economy isnt healthy and is in a bubble. An everything bubble. I bet if they paid more for the employees they would get more offers, but then you have wage inflation and you are no longer cost competitive. Thats what inflation does. It makes it not profitable to run a business. So you close it and lay people off. Doesnt matter if you are a 500 company or selling hot dogs out of a cart. But hey im just some guy. Next year im sure everything will be fine. lol
    1
  2703. Boomers own 44% of single family homes in the US. Boomers are starting to die, 29% of their generation has already passed. Housing is in for a huge deflationary event. The question is timing, will it happen at all at once or is it a slow 20 year decline with fits and starts?
    1
  2704.  @andyevans8585  which was what?
    1
  2705. After your talk, I learned something. Violence seems to work. Weird isnt it.
    1
  2706. What a lot of people dont understand that if the US ever cut spending, even by 2%, it would lead to a domestic recession. To cut it by 10 or even 20% would cause a world wide depression. People think about the money printer going brrrr, but most people dont understand how much dollar denominated debt that foreign banks lend to each other and to companies. When you throw in collapsing demographics of western nations we are looking at serious trouble. And it will spill over to developing nations as well. I dont think the average individual in any nation understand just how bad it is going to be.
    1
  2707. Yea the bard is always the butt of the stupid crap in d&d games
    1
  2708.  @armchaireconomist8648  It doesnt matter if real estate is local when this recession is going to be global. Its going to murder everyone. And throwing the Fed on top of it raising interest rates its going to be doubly bad. 29% of boomers have already died. And at present pace, boomers arent going to live as long as statisticians predicted. So those 44% of houses will come onto the market. Even if it takes another decade or two. The next generation, Gen Z, is smaller then Gen Xers. They will not be able to pick up demand. Most households have tow incomes because they need to to make end s meet not because they want to. If any of them are over extended, and most Americans from the data are, zero savings and credit debt near max levels, well there is no where to go but down if your house are cut. But go on and keep thinking what you like.
    1
  2709. The sexism. He should call up the nations brave women to fight as well.
    1
  2710. Yup I'm 6'7" 230lbs, my gaming chair is an extra tall lazyboy. best gaming chair ever.
    1
  2711. @Sever More you can get cheaper recliners than lazyboys. But I've had three back surgeries so I need to support.
    1
  2712.  @realestatemindset  I dont disagree with you, on the need to find out what this data means. How far back does your data go? Does it show a drastic change of empty housing over the last 4 years or does this go back a decade?
    1
  2713. If your theory is correct, when layoffs start and homes start to get foreclosed on we should see a huge spike in mortgage interest rates. But boomers own 40% of all housing. As they age and die or movie in with their kids those houses will come on the market. The demography that exists now, housing demand has already peaked. The Zoomer generation isnt even half the size as the boomers. That means demand will be halved as well. You cause is going to be a 50 year demographic time bomb. If the Fed has to increase rates about 5% that will mean Congress will have to tighten the budget. There are really only 4 places to cut, the military, SSI, Medicare and Medicaid. The military will get cut but that wont be nearly enough, so social welfare programs will see reduced payments. This will push more boomers to live with family or get housemates, reducing demand more. Though this isnt going to be a fast drop with these causes. This will be a slow decline like you see with the Japanese housing and land business.
    1
  2714.  @tomo1168  Yea the first guy who sells in a down market, for whatever reason, sets the new comp. And then people start to cry, but last year my house was worth "$X". lol
    1
  2715. Let people talk long enough, they will always tell you who they really are.
    1
  2716. This reeks of the "be less white" gaff from Coca Cola. So one of two things has to be true, these corporate boards are either negligent through neglect or they are complicate and lying. Either way I hope their shareholders take them to court. At this point one has to wonder if this is not just endemic at the corporate board level. Have they been so use to competent middle and upper management taking care of things that now that the woke locusts have worked their way up that they are wrecking generational corporate wealth?
    1
  2717. The worldly philosophers, that is a name I havent heard in a long time. From Econ class back in the 90s.
    1
  2718. The Republican party has never been a monolith. It was created with one main tent pole, anti slavery. If you agreed with that, everyone was welcome.
    1
  2719. The only problem with that is the effect on overseas markets. A controlled raise gives people time to adjust their positions. Massive panic hiking causes more panic.
    1
  2720.  @Animalmanager  Thats only true if all the inflation is monetary inflation. Its not. Its demand inflation in certain sectors because of lack of product. The worst thing you could do to those sectors is dry up liquidity so investment cannot happen.
    1
  2721.  @wescald  lol not the shiba
    1
  2722.  @kingpetra6886  I had this argument a thousand times in high school in the 80s. Women didnt understand it then. I dont think the women of today could even comprehend it with the indoctrination most of them go through.
    1
  2723.  @ShaunHensley  come out to my farm, I'll show you work. You are like a little barking dog. lol
    1
  2724.  @bogusmogus9551  unfortunately true.
    1
  2725.  @jacksonlee6760  yea I was a scout in the long long ago. So long ago they we had to take our knives to school. Always prepared is now always be dependent.
    1
  2726.  @crisalcantara7671  I never stated men needed to. This is a womans problem. Women need to sort it out.
    1
  2727. Ive tried to tell people on the right this for over a decade, the police aren't your friends. They are the enforcement arm of the State. They enforce the States will. They did similar things after hurricane Katrina in NOLA as well. I really hope the right gets it this time. Why was a Federal Marshall there?
    1
  2728. She has a vagina. There I said it. That said, if she truly is wants to accept responsibility she should resign. But she wont.
    1
  2729.  @Godfirst986  if you are their leader you do. That's what being a leader is. The sisterhood is strong. Always makes me laugh.
    1
  2730. I hate the media. Heart failure is a chronic disease condition. Cardiac arrest is when your heart stops. These fools dont know what words mean.
    1
  2731. This video shows the amount of time he put into. The amount of errors in it is astonishing. Usually he has decent content. He should never have put this up.
    1
  2732. Looks like a certain geo political analyst was correct.
    1
  2733. To paraphrase Aristophanes, "Ah! the Economists! they are numerous, but not good for much." One of the issues is that every one of these economists has a dog in the fight. So you never know what they are being blinded by. All of these guys seem like they are just trying to keep the mortgage market moving. Thats all they talked about. Mortgages. Not one of them mentioned demographic demand trends or the effects of prolonged Fed tightening. They still think the Fed will let off the breaks. Its pure cope.
    1
  2734.  @atys  that assumes the company pays a dividend. Most dont. Many times this is done so that higher up executives reach targets in their contracts that grant them bonuses. But long term this always damages companies. If a company has enough money that they can buy back stock, they arent paying enough dividend (if they pay out dividends) or they are not properly managing their pricing structure. Lower prices will grow your market share. But they dont care about this. They care about the next quarters profit, nothing else.
    1
  2735. I am curious you didnt bring up the staggering world debt, currently 72 trillion US Dollars, thats not including future liabilities. The last 100 years has been paid for with debt. Future generations are A) either going to pay that back (which they can't), B) use inflation to deflate the value of their current debt, while at the same time taking out more debt (which is what everyone in the world is doing now), or C) default on that debt. All of these routes make you objectively poorer (which is what is going to eventually happen). There is no way, from an economic standpoint, that people will have wealthier lives. Add to that contracting populations then you have less people paying into any system and purchasing goods in any system and real GDP drops. Japan is going through this economically right now. They cannot even cause inflation anymore. And as their GDP drops and deflation makes the value of their debt worth more, it will crush them. They wont be the only one, the PIIGS will too. I do love your videos and all your other points seem well reasoned. But I am just curious as to why this was never brought up. Do you think this is a non issue?
    1
  2736. I dont see how increasing interest rates will cause foreclosures. Most home buyers get a 30 year mortgage, the only reason to refi would be a recession induced job loss. If thats the case its not the interest rate that will cause the foreclosures, its the job losses a recession may bring. Increased interest rates may drop housing prices, but how does that effect people who already own them? So the few people who bought homes over the last two years, and remember, we have had less inventory in those two years than in a normal one year period, might lose their homes. But the vast majority of Americans will be unaffected. That doesnt mean there wont be a market correction, but a crash is hyperbole.
    1
  2737.  @MHFIN  Those states are laughable. It says the average debt servicing ratio is 9.3%. Its the word "Average" that is concerning. Whats the median? Because if the median household income in the US is 63k, 9.3% of that is $6774.19. Per quarter thats roughly $1700.00. You know people who spend $1700 per quarter on mortgage, credit card, auto loans, student loan debt, etc etc? That stat is a joke. It throws Elon Musk in with Joe shit the rag man.
    1
  2738. Thank you for finally doing this video. Its horrible seeing comments from people who dont understand how percentages work. We do a horrible job teaching math in this country.
    1
  2739. The robbing of the youth to pay for the elderly is certainly an issue, but it isnt the main one in this instance.
    1
  2740.  @JIMN26  most boomers have the majority of their wealth trapped in their homes. I get it though, there are a lot of humans like yourself who care nothing about those around them.
    1
  2741.  @EclipseEditzx3  that's not what hyperinflation means. Though your explanation of how you are using the word clarifies what you are saying.
    1
  2742. Or they could of just handcuffed him while he was on the ground.
    1
  2743. I dislike HOA's. But people chose to purchase property or homes in places with HOAs. Its a choice. The HOA is there, in theory, to protect property values making sure a base standard is applied to all those living in said HOA. That said I would never live in one. I prefer no restrictions on my property. But again, its a choice that this woman made when purchasing her home in that community.
    1
  2744.  @steverogers9453  In California, IF everything runs perfectly it takes a full 180 days to remove someone from property. Its literally insane and people think its protecting renters. But they dont understand that to make up for the non renter payment they have to jack up rates on others. You tell them this and they just look at you slack jaws and say, "No that cant be right, they are just greedy." Yeah greedy for a mere 4% return. lol Most rational land lords sold any property they could. It is a dumpster fire there and gets worse every day
    1
  2745. You make an assumption that it is greed. Most rentals are mortgaged with short term ARMs that adjust, it creates a better ROI, which in most homes is about 4.5%. In the environment that we are in with fed rates, those rates are going to skyrocket. What is better a higher rental rate or a rental that goes into foreclosure and becomes bank owned and the renters are out on the street? Its not a moral question at this point. Its what kind and how much financial damage do we want to endure.
    1
  2746.  @lesabri  you completely missed the point of my post.
    1
  2747.  @NormieNeko  Its funny you mention trade. Germany is a good example of this. Right now they are exporting all their chemical plant to the US, since they no longer can afford to do it in Germany because Russian natural gas is gone. Its a waste product in the US. A lot of nations are going to go through this in the next two decades as populations collapse and resources just simply stop being produced.
    1
  2748.  @avppr3451  It will collapse if you dont have children too. Who is going to pay the taxes and consume goods and services if they arent there.
    1
  2749. Turn for the worse? Zeihan openly says China wont exist post 2030 due to economic, demographic and debt load burden. This speaks to nothing about China no longer being cost competitive to western workers when you include the cost of energy and transportation of goods. I believe his technical assessment of China, is ,"It is well and truly f*cked."
    1
  2750. Young Germans, especially males are highly radicalized. I dont mean that in a bad way. They, like the men in many western nations, have been demonized so long they no longer care. This is a generational problem and its natural reaction. The thing Germany is worried about is that the Nazis themselves were a backlash to the roving bands of communists who terrorized cities and the feckless Weimar government who did nothing. Almost the same as today. Calling them Nazis wont fix it. Taking action to address the real problems will. But the current people ruling in Germany cant, they are burdened by what has been.
    1
  2751. Republicans have backed labor when it was in accordance to their political goals. Same as how Democrats would throw labor under the bus when it was convenient for theirs.
    1
  2752. Why do you have mayor Lightfoot on your thumbnail?
    1
  2753. I doesnt matter how progressive, how black or how gay you are; You NEVER go against the sisterhood. Never.
    1
  2754. All those single women will be amazing fodder for military service. By 2024 if enlistments dont pick up they are going to need to reinstate the draft to keep numbers as they are. But the truth is there arent enough young men who are fit to serve. So women will have to make out the remainder.
    1
  2755.  @brianwalsh1401  You clearly have never fought in combat. Fighting men always get payback. Surrender is always last resort, especially for the invading side.
    1
  2756. Trump is going to get a huge check from them. This is absolutely intended and is absolutely defamation. The question is if it is slander or libel... or both?
    1
  2757. look at the chemicals that they are using on crops. Some of the most mutagenic compounds you can imagine.
    1
  2758. First positive thing to come out of this administration.
    1
  2759. People only are working as hard now because they know there is an end to it. If there is no end, a significant amount of people will just give up. They are already in our society today. They are the homeless. The drug addicts. The neets. You going to force these folks to work? Some people will take the bullet just to spite the society that lied to them. Its why I avoid the cities.
    1
  2760.  @genarojamesii9253  All of those issues are the fault of the ignorant electorate. The founders warned of government insatiability. If the electorate is to ignorant to see it then the they are already enslaved. You utter refusal to place the blame on the source of the problem is not different than most voters. Its always someone elses fault not mine, said the American voter. smh
    1
  2761.  @aolvaar8792  I missed your point, which I understand now, because your communications skills need improvement, respectfully.
    1
  2762.  @deutzallis6497  As I dont know what you referring to I cant comment. I never mentioned a county commissioner or sheriff so no clue what you are talking about.
    1
  2763.  @aolvaar8792  lmao right. let me know when you want off your cross, ill kick you a stool. If you dont want to be challenged dont post on the internet or at the very least, dont respond to post that counter yours. Me having an opinion isnt gaslighting you, you just cant stomach an opinion different than yours. And yes I am laughing at you.
    1
  2764.  @soulfireonfire6423  Easy, they vote. They vote the politicians in who raise wages and increase retirement benefits to local, county and state workers. They vote on bond measures for new crime labs, the new theater center for the school, school bonds of all types. Water treatment plants, levee construction and repair, do I need to keep going? I can keep going forever. Ill give you an actual example, I use to live in a community in northern california where we had to have levees. The county said the bond needed to be this much and and it would cover construction and and maintenance for the next 50 years. So we agreed and voted it in. They then took half the money and re appropriated it to build a new bridge over said levee and said oops now there is no more money so we need another bond. People were upset. And then they voted for another bond. How many of the councilmen were voted out do you think? A big fat zero. This happens all over the country. People dont care. And when you point it out to you the response is anger. From a psychological standpoint I get it. But those of us who do care are just out voted. Your attitude is normal. Deflective. Rather than look at everyones behaviors together. And thats fine, be angry at me for pointing out the problem. I use to that from people with your attitude.
    1
  2765. Whats happening now isnt dissimilar from what happened in 1984 with Reagan. If you look at the races for Congress, Democrats are doing ok. This actually seems to be the American public not choosing a party, but a president. Its refreshing.
    1
  2766. Asmon bulking?
    1
  2767. I think the size of Rome, and eventually its empire, is the main issue. Much like the current EU and the issue with different economies of scale, its hard to have one monetary system for all. In the US we have struggle with this since our very beginning and it causes massive issues when moving from one area to another. I am honestly surprised that they did not try regional coinage. But of course debasement of coinage attributed to inflation. Above all trust in your money is important. And when you dont know what a coin is made of, that destroys trust. And trust once lost is so very difficult to regain.
    1
  2768.  @CroGamer002  The inflation wasnt caused by the multiple currencies, but by the overprinting of them. And just as often you can point to the US central currency causing the same thing. Its not how many currencies its how willing people are who are in control to bow to basic economics. Many of those in power simply think they are above it, or this time will be different.
    1
  2769. Yes yes greed started in the last 40 years. Millennials are truly the children of the Boomers. lol
    1
  2770. This is what happens when you go from a financial environment for a better part of a decade where interest rates were at about 0.25%, until 2 years ago. Now they are above 5%. Thats a 450% increase in the cost of money. Play times over. Time for adults to run things again. Over the next two years, as all the corporate debt needs to be rolled over. When studios will need to take out more loans to fix the things that broke due to piss poor supervision, a lot of IPs are going to get sold. Its going to be fun watching all this play out.
    1
  2771. Over the next decade you are going to see probably close to a dozen, fully modern nation states collapse. Not a tiny island mind you with 10k people, but nations with 10s of millions of people. How people are blind to this still amazes me.
    1
  2772.  @KarlDMarx  When pain of inaction outweighs the pain of action then you will see what the people will do. They will do as they have always done, they will turn into a mob and swarm anyone and anything in their way. The only thing worse than "the rulers" are the hordes of sheep. A pox on both them. Free people know what needs be done.
    1
  2773. Blackrock has been buying homes since 1988. They only own like 60k of them. Thats a rounding error in the housing market.
    1
  2774.  @user-zk6fc3dw9e  I dont get it myself. There are people who think they can just buy and resell and make profit. And for about a year they could. But most of those people are going to end up burning through all their profits. I knew several guys like that in California in 06.
    1
  2775. Sid Meier's PIrates! IS a better game than this. And it was made in 1987. The 2004 remake is like a AAAAAAAAAAAAAAA game compared to this. This is what happens when you make a game for a revenue stream and not for the sake of making a good game people want to play.
    1
  2776.  @joeyl.rowland4153  both of you are utterly wrong. Most of Europe and Asia will be depopulated in the next 50-100 years. The only place that have actual decently growing countries are 12 African nations. Every other nation is at 3 or lower fertility rate. You need 2.1 for replacement levels. China alone is going to lose 500 million people in the next two decades.
    1
  2777. 3.5 trillion, good thing its not real money. The sad thing is the poor people who are suppose to be helped by these massive budgets are crushed by the inflation they cause.
    1
  2778. The man who does, wins. Wow I am shocked. The apathy of the young enslaves them.
    1
  2779. When you dont know what capitalism is you look like this guy. To him anything he doesnt like is capitalism. Hes like a reddit poster.
    1
  2780.  @Savvynomad225  that's not what I wrote. But I thank you for the response.
    1
  2781.  @Savvynomad225  No I said the Ford company that has a loan that forgoes up to 18 percent of the total loan cost for the first 36 months. That is LIKE the negative amortization loans banks gave out on homes in before the GFC. LIKE AS IN SAME CONCEPT. They do this so the purchaser can actually afford the payments even with an 8 year note. Not like as in you live in your car. Do you just not know what a negative amortization loan is? The Ford Company has this loan.
    1
  2782.  @rosscollins2910  I'm not so sure this time. You may not have noticed but sense 2008 we have been spending money like spendthrift. Recent fights about budget show that attempting another 2008 type bailout all but politically impossible.
    1
  2783.  @Savvynomad225  ah I see.
    1
  2784. This idea that women outside the US are more traditionally minded baffles me. I have traveled all over the world, been on 6 of the 7 continents and over 70 countries. I can say that this just isnt true. Women are who they are made to be. Ask yourself if women are so conservative in Asian nations that Japan, Korea, China, Taiwan, India, and Thailand all have fertility rates below 2.1. (those are just the ones I have been to and can name off the top of my head as far as fertility rates go.) These women arent being traditional women. I mean in Korea only 1 in 4 women has a child, just one child. Societies like that will die. And apparently the men are ok with that. Who wants to import a culture like that, I certainly wouldnt want to marry it and bring it into my home.
    1
  2785.  @realestatemindset  It will be more than just the small business. 40% of the stock market doesnt even turn a profit, they have just existed of the endless cheap/free money. Companies like Bed Bath and Beyond, Cravana, and most media companies are going to die over the next decade. I still think either Target or Walmart arent going to last through this downturn. But in the end it will most likely be the small investor who ends up holding the bag. It always is.
    1
  2786. That would be a violation of the law. But I do understand your frustration. That said the Colorado River watershed is massive and covers all those states. Any precipitation that falls in any of those states, in said watershed, that runs off, ends up the Colorado River. California for decades has purchased the other shares of water from states who did not need it and has gotten use to having it. Then need to learn to live like they are in a desert, like So Cal. I mean So Cal even steals water from Northern California. California will no doubt want a partition based on population numbers.
    1
  2787.  @SirRGNB-EGT-  the post 9/11 nationalist euphoria was probably the last time "America" was happy. It got us the patriot act. You dont want Americans happy. Trust us on that. You want us cuss'n, drink'n and spinning donuts in a park'n lot at 1230 am on tuesdays.
    1
  2788. ngl, this one was pretty savage. Disney might come after you for this one.
    1
  2789. The obese woman who fell and her child was rolling into traffic. This was a Darwin moment. The unfit were about to be removed. And kind men stopped it. The path to hell is paved with good intentions. I know, I am the bad guy.
    1
  2790. Most sexual interactions last less than 20 minutes. Odds are that woman didnt want the sex, she wanted the validation she got when she had sex. Or she is a straight up abuse victim. Ive seen female Marines sleep through a floor of the barracks in a night. Considering some of the rooms no one was home, had to be at least 50 in one night. One night. Low value men lead with their wallet. Low value women lead with their vagina.
    1
  2791. You would figure that most of the legal contracts would have some verbiage regarding what is legally able to be changed and what is not. Methinks that some people have been taking privileges with the legal language and are projecting their agenda. Japan will have to tighten its contracts in the future.
    1
  2792. look at an American demographic pyramid. There will be decreasing demand going forward for the next 30 years at least.
    1
  2793. 37% of the economy is Federal spending. Just Federal. This wont end well.
    1
  2794. This article is cope. None of these groups that say housing is going strong and is not in a bubble ever show their demand data. There is no demand. Its fake, its a lie. The demography is known. What we are dealing with now is psychology. Which is a very different thing. Its difficult to change psychology, but when it finally changes it changes, and is again, difficult the change back. For the last 50 years housing has been an inflating asset because of the massive demand increase from the first the boomers and then the millennials. The boomers are near their end most of the millennials who want to buy have. There are not enough coming after to make up the difference. Housing, along with many other asset classes will have no choice but to deflate. They will never show you the important data, because they make it up.
    1
  2795. If interest rates go much higher, these investors will get a higher roi on bonds than on rentals. So that begs the question, why would you buy a home for rental reasons when from a demographic standpoint, demand is declining, which long terms means decreasing prices? Short answer is only a fool.
    1
  2796. This is only if housing is in a vacuum, it is not. Housing is an asset in a larger economy. With inflation eating away at purchasing power you will reach a point where other parts of the economy fail, people lose jobs, homes get foreclosed on. At the same time other industries, trying to stay afloat, will cut wages or more jobs, meaning more people either must sell homes or get foreclosed on. Home and rental prices being so high only make this happen faster. High prices fix the very problem it causes. Though along the way many people are hurt. The question as always is how much of a change will occur.
    1
  2797. Hes a globalist. Everything he sees is filtered through that. No such thing as a bad immigrant to him.
    1
  2798.  @888ssss  Yea whats the point of knowing what your single largest annual expenditure is until the day you die. Utterly pointless.
    1
  2799. I remember on the box of fallout 2, it read something like, "The postapocalyptic world is rough, so you can pimp you wife for extra caps." And it turns out, in the game, you can. Or your husband if you play a s a female. Imagine trying to put that in a game today let alone on a box selling a game. When normies entered gaming it ruined gaming. The same as normies ruin everything. Mainstreaming something kills it.
    1
  2800. Its almost always friendly fire. Then they try to project that onto the whole population. Just another way to deflect responsibility.
    1
  2801. NO! Tennessee is just horrible. We have horrible crime, 5th in the nation im told. Yup. Horrible horrible scrools, are politics is backwards and non progressive. We have a horrible insect problem and its super hot and humid in the summer and tornados like 5 months out of the year. The hail and straight line winds rip your roof right off. No one would want to move to Tennessee if they had any sense. Anyone who posts otherwise is just a troll account. Seriously besides Tennessee is full, we got no more room. Now go to the Carolina's or 'tucky. Maybe Arkansas or somewhere else, not here. Go on get!
    1
  2802.  @apapoodid  lol
    1
  2803. the reason they bring in people via immigration is to keep consumption up. Without it we would fall into an economic depression like Japan has been the last 30 years and our insane national debt would crush us. They dont really care about the population size, just that they consume. Even if they have to pay them to consume. Its why Walmart is the single largest proponent for programs like WIC and SNAP. They spend a lot of money lobbying for it.
    1
  2804. governments choices, cut spending and have a lost decade or two of economic growth. Keep spending and inflation goes up and debt eventually crushes everything. Americans should know which one any government ran by any party is going to choose. People will whine about on the military gets to much or illegals or wars in Ukraine or Israel, but it only takes a quick look to see where over 60% of the budget is going, year after year. Social Services. People dont want those cut either. But they will be. Either by choice or by the situation. This might not happen this year or for 5 years, maybe a decade or even 3. But it will happen. Folks best prepare like its going to happen tomorrow though.
    1
  2805.  @ah2522  China just makes new companies since the state owns them all. Its just a shell game.
    1
  2806. It will be interesting to see if there is ANY footage of this guy in his trip from Colorado to Vegas. If not, its probable he was deleted prior and then placed in the vehicle and someone else sent the email and the text messages. This reeks of setting a narrative. The intel community hates the new incoming president. And they dont want him as their boss. Irrespective of your feelings about Trump, any agency that doesnt follow the lawfully elected president should scare the hell out of every American. Doesnt matter if that president is a Republican, Democrat or anything else.
    1
  2807. If the Fed cuts rates buying real estate wont be your biggest issue. This is insane, the Fed will not pivot, they cant. If they do inflation eats everyone.
    1
  2808.  @birdness  imagine limiting the franchise so rigging is much harder
    1
  2809.  @soulfireonfire6423  What does any president have to do with county property taxes?
    1
  2810.  @righteousone1  Most nations dont allow non citizens to own land. So i mean dont worry about it.
    1
  2811.  @user-yr9by9zo4i  Stop talking about Tennessee. We dont want more folks coming here.
    1
  2812. Who in your nation, which nation is that, investigate the cops? You do understand that law enforcement is just the state right?
    1
  2813. Just build your own gym, but better. With blackjack and hookers.
    1
  2814.  @mate53  Bender is always right.
    1
  2815. Its things like this that start pogroms. And when the mostly peaceful blow back happens a lot of good and bad people are going to get hurt. you know who wont? The politicians and bureaucrats that enabled this.
    1
  2816. "Special effects are just a tool, a means of telling a story. People have a tendency to confuse them as an end to themselves. A special effect without a story is a pretty boring thing." - George Lucas
    1
  2817. This kind of thing only ends one way. These folks keep saying what they want to do. I am not sure why people dont believe them by now.
    1
  2818.  @HunterTN  You probably put it better than I did.
    1
  2819.  @didles123  Men and womens suffering dont have to be mutually exclusive or a contest like they are here in the west. One only has to look at countries, like Venezuela and the former Yugoslavian Republic to understand what I am talking about. But I am going to guess you have never been to either of those two places.
    1
  2820.  @didles123  More like being enslaved. The men leave or fight. They have a choice. The women and children, not so much.
    1
  2821. With all the attention to detail this movie had you think they would have told the actor which of his eyes to shut when aiming. smh
    1
  2822. LEO's, even with all their faults, dont let people go. DA's do.
    1
  2823.  @erikkovacs3097  my sons are well adjusted. I spent a lot of time with them when they were young preparing them for the challenges of life. Adversity need not harm you. With the proper foundation it can even make you better. My oldest is in the world and has excellent relationships with women. My youngest just graduated from high school two years early and is considering his options. Both seem better off without the toxic influence of their mother. That said I encourage them to stay in contact with her. She does her best to make that difficult.
    1
  2824.  @rsmith4407  I guess I will have to take your word on it.
    1
  2825.  @erikkovacs3097  never saw your post. My oldest had a real anger issue because of what happened, he was old enough to understand what happened. But he worked through it. My youngest graduated high school at 16 and has had a girlfriend since he was 14. Both are fine and civil with their mother.
    1
  2826.  @ElizabethGeiger-ye1sf  I did compensate her, by paying for her education. She now works in the high energy fast based world of being a orthodontic receptionist. Again, that was her choice. Me I got to retire at 45. That's what life is, a series of choices and trade offs. But you can hate me. I can take it.
    1
  2827. This kind of thing needs to have laws. You know its only time before their are fake vids shopped to the media to change folks mind on policy position and candidates. This tech is dangerous, especially with the amount of mouth breathers who believe everything they see without even taking a 2nd look.
    1
  2828. @S. To your post about not stopping after reading what my salary was, I am sorry to hear that. I really have been enjoying our dialogue. We all endure hardship. When I was your fiances age was in the Marine Corps in combat. Such were my choices. And the consequences are mine alone. I didnt make 48.5K when i was your age. I probably didnt even make half that. As an E4 I was lucky if i took home $250 bucks a pay day. I am 46 years old now. It took me years to work to the income I had, and i had to jump between fields to get it. That was my point. I am sorry you think I dont care. I actually do.
    1
  2829.  @NOT_SURE..  Excellent point. I think thats a problem to few men and women understand. Ive always knew it. I scare people physically. I am 6'7" and 230lbs. I am super nice, but I know what I look like. I cant imagine the terror a woman could feel knowing how much stronger a man is and just having to let go and be ok with it. Or how easily an ignorant woman could very quickly get in over her head with the wrong type of man. Thats not something a healthy person can just do. But perhaps I am over thinking it because being a man, i know how fast violence can break out. But your position is one to consider. Very good comment.
    1
  2830.  @Widdom1  To see 80% drops you will be looking at the median house that costs 448k dropping to 92k. If something like that happens housing will be the least of peoples worries.
    1
  2831. I sold a property in June of 2021 in Northern California. I sold it for 460k, it was way north of Sacramento. In June of 2022 it was worth, according to Zillow, 580k. Now according to Zillow its worth $489,400. Real estate is local, but in many places they are getting absolutely crushed. That right there is about a 17% drop from peak. But be feel free to check my math. "Its just a gully that's all. Just nerves."
    1
  2832. With mortgages you can shelter income with the tax write offs, so its not always bad. From 27 to 45 I literally paid zero in Federal Income taxes because of it. That said a 30 year mortgage is the best kind. You can choose how much more over it you pay every month. Best two ways is making bi monthly payments, it reduces the interest a lot during the month. But also simple paying an extra or 13th month per year will take off a lot of time on that mortgage as well as interest.
    1
  2833. I wonder why people are talking about the vote totals. In 2020 about 155 million Americans voted. Yesterday it was only 139 million. So supposedly 17 million Americans didnt vote who voted last time. So much for energized bases and historic turnout.
    1
  2834.  @wintersantiago2274  When a recession hits and someone loses their job, they wont have a choice. When someones boomer parent dies, and they are really entering that death zone as a generation, they wont need that house and want the extra cash so they will sell what they can get for it. These both will be deflationary to the real estate market. Then there is the Fed stopping with the MBS madness. There wont be a 40 percent crash, probably, but returning to a pre covid trend line seems more rational. And that is relative to each market, some havent seen that big a mark up.
    1
  2835.  @lenovomoto7612  worth nothing compared to what?
    1
  2836.  @lenovomoto7612  Thats your bet to make. Though I am not sure how people will be able to afford increasing prices with lending costs exploding and recession with layoffs and hour and pay cuts factored in. Not to mention inflation eating at their remaining income. But I do wish you luck.
    1
  2837.  @wagashimanju  ok ok, safer. A lot of Chinese money looking for a safer place. Yea they might lose 20% here but its better than losing 80% at home. Think of Japan in the late 80s early 90s but on crack. And then throw in a dozen other nations in similar shit shows and their banks. Thats a lot of money.
    1
  2838. We need to become ungovernable.
    1
  2839. All any nation state has to do is to make bitcoin illegal. Holding bitcoin illegal, just like the US did with gold in the 1930s. Bitcoin is a neat tech, and it will have its place. But as any sort of major currency of exchange, no chance. Its to volatile of an asset.
    1
  2840.  @JIMN26  you may want to look in your 401k or pension system. There is a reason they are so aggressive. Pensioners want their money or their will be hell to pay. But yea it's all greed from mega rich.
    1
  2841.  @HRCISASKNK  You do know a 20% negative correction is almost half the total increase right?
    1
  2842. The idea that a service sector job isnt a fulfilling one reeks naivete. For some people, this is all they can do. They cannot aspire to more. That doesnt make them bad people. It just means they have limited options. Some folks lack the skills or mental capacity to be more than they are. They just cant.
    1
  2843. I certainly hope its none. A home that hasnt been lived in for a decade is going to be a tear down.
    1
  2844. So its straight up fraud out there now. Nice.
    1
  2845.  @亭亭-i5d  Yea the flippers are tapping out. They cant afford the loans to buy stuff anymore. It will get worse as the ones who are using credit card debt to try to rush completion. You always see this in trades when markets get over saturated.
    1
  2846. So they are buying homes that they cant rent out at a rate of return that is positive and there is no demand for and that is decreasing in value? Doesnt seem like a smart investment, even with right offs.
    1
  2847.  @Larry26-f1w  Wow he deleted his post. I dont get why people take sides in these things, like its a sports match.
    1
  2848.  @maroownr861  unfortunately so. its not like there is real people dying or anything like that.
    1
  2849.  @TheCykodude  They would have said women in children, if it was women and children. These were more than likely ununiformed Ukrainians who were forced or even volunteered to fight when Russia invaded. This is a violation of the Geneva Convention. All combatant forces must be uniformed. Otherwise they put the general non combatant population at risk. I do understand why Ukraine is making its men fight, but when you militarize your whole male population, anywhere that a man that age puts his head is now a military target, doesnt matter where he is. But the fact is, males who are 18 to 60 are being forced to fight. They dont get a choice. Which is what the OP was talking about.
    1
  2850. Boomers going into care home, has to sell their home to pay for long term care. Boomers dying, kids sell the house to make some much needed cash. Boomers no longer able to care for themselves and move in with a child. etc etc. And when the boomers go, well they are the single largest home owning generation of all time. The oldest boomers are 75. They are starting to die in mass.
    1
  2851. GPS, amen.
    1
  2852. All those words to describe liquidity crisis. lol
    1
  2853.  @KennTollens  that assumes people are rational and all have the same goals. They do not. You cannot want for another person. You cannot save other people from themselves. That's why people hate a truly free market. It very quickly dispels the myth that equality is a thing. And so in trying to salve our feelings from the brutal honesty of nature we harm ourselves further.
    1
  2854.  @KennTollens  Nothing is wrong with that idea. But how many want to live like a 1950s milk man? Much of what people forget is the effect of the baby boomer cohort did to markets. The boomers have been called a pig going through a python, because of their age cohorts size. This has caused market costs to inflate. Then come the X'ers, a smaller cohort but still demand increase. Then the Millennials, almost as large as the boomers. And all the prices are so highly inflated that they cant get a start. Our economic policy was to manipulate things to make life as good as possible. Rather than let the natural path take its course. Because of the high costs, Millennial family creation is lower than it was during the great depression. So demand will naturally decrease, and as the boomers enter retirement they will spend a lot less than they normally did. This one two punch of demand loss is where we are at right now. If we had not manipulated the economy, to make people live above their means, it would be gentle. But we didnt, so its going to hurt, a lot. You cannot manipulate the market for benefit and not expect blow back. Fairness doesnt even play into it. Its just economics.
    1
  2855.  @KennTollens  No, boomers, simply by their numbers changed market dynamics. Add to that women entering into the work place making labor only worth, roughly speaking half as much, since you are doubling the labor pool. These have effects. As the boomers slip off their mortal coil and leave their assets Millennials will get the wealth thats left over via inheritance. But demand will still be down. Because those boomers are gone and Millennial family creation just didnt happen so less kids (people with kids spend the most). Add to that 6 generations of welfare spending from SSI, Medicare and Medicaid and you have to pay that back too. None of this is fair. But thats just the way the world is now. But prices will deflate. If you are curious as to the effect demographics have on the economy I would recommend you look at videos from Harvey Dent and Peter Zeihan. Demographers have seen this coming since the 80s. I am an Xer so im right in the middle. I am assuming you are a Millennial. And all I can say is, you have my sympathies. No one knows how a post growth economy will work, we havent had one since the Black Death was killing people in mass.
    1
  2856.  @KennTollens  Price is still increasing because the boomers are still in the early stages of their die off. But as they pick up the pace, demand will plummet and supply will rise, from houses to food, IF production stays steady. But it wont. Production already maxed out in 2018-2019. The question will be if demand declines faster than production. If it does, then you will see real price decline. But again, as deflation hits, the debt burden weighs more and, more importantly, its on fewer shoulders. Then comes the time to decide, do we (whatever group we is) keep paying or do we default. Both options cripple. Default hurts more at the beginning, but allows a society to rebuild faster. But people and corporations always want welfare. So it will be the last thing to happen. And that means their will be another lost generation, just as Japan has had. But this time its world wide. In regards to asking why dont we just go ape crazy with debt, we have over the last 3 years. Its destroyed our markets. Its caused inflation and now the fall will be from a higher height, making the impact worse. No one is buying the debt. So the Fed has to. Pretty soon there will be no more money in the system, so you make more causing even more inflation. Then you end up like Zimbabwe. The difference between a billion and a trillion is a lot. When I was born a Coke cost 25 cents and a house averaged 20k. Thats the difference between a billion and a trillion and the higher it goes the more it increases. And what few seem to understand, that people who have investments love inflation, it makes their wealth worth more to those that have none. And those people who have no investments are very quickly left in the dust as inflation eats them alive. I want to restate, I dont dislike your idea or want, but unfortunately those who came before you put you on a course with limited options. May I ask your age?
    1
  2857.  @KennTollens  No, things werent alright when we went off the gold standard. You have to go all the way back to the Bretton Woods agreement. We basically took over the British Empires financial responsibility for the world. The Petrodollar was created. This single act, where all oil transactions are paid for in US dollars, was a double edged sword. It made dollars valuable so print away and it wont show up because everyone everywhere in the world wants them. Even right now the dollar is strong, everyone everywhere still wants dollars. We also agreed to open our markets to the world so that they would A0 stop killing each other and B) join us in the fight against the Soviets should war break out. But this effectively eroded our nations industrial capacity in the long run. Part of this agreement was protecting the ocean shipping lanes. Under the Trump admin we finally started rolling that back by basically telling India the India ocean is yours. we arent policing it. We cant afford to anymore. As far as rich people being mad for a financial reset, again no not really. Most people think rich folks have vaults of money that they swim in like scrooge McDuck. They dont. Rich people have assets. Currency is just a tool to leverage to gain wealth. Your dollars in your wallet are actually debt. Our nation does its best to keep normal people ignorant about these things. No, if there was a monetary reset anyone who had a mortgage or a car note would be hardest hit. Most "Rich" folks dont have those. If they have debt, they can liquidate some assets to pay off any debts that they did owe before any reset occurred. The end result would be people having to live according to their means. Which if we did in the first place, none of this would have happened. But the root cause of all this is universal suffrage. To people today voting is a right. But voting, throughout history was never a right, it was a responsibility. A responsibility granted to only those who were independent and personally responsible. How many Americans are actually independent today? How many people pay more in, than they take out? Few, probably less than 20%. Thats where we need to fix things. Because if everyone can vote the irresponsible will just out vote the responsible. And we will be right back in this situation. Well thats how i see things anyways.
    1
  2858.  @KennTollens  If it was me? You dont want it to be me. Sometimes the forest needs to burn to clear everything out. Thats where we are. To many people for multiple generations have messed things up. It cant be fixed. But as things devolve only the responsible will maintain. Only the hard working will prevail. The problem fixes itself if you just stop trying to put a finger on the scale and make things "right" or "fair". The smart and industrious are rewarded. The foolish and overly greedy are punished. All the things people claim they want. But you have to be personally responsible for that to work. And no one has time for that. But then the pain begins. And people dont like pain. The dollar amounts dont matter. But things like the Fed exist to create a little inflation and people are happy that their pay goes up even if the value of that pay is slowly eroding. Why, because most people dont understand basic economics. Some wont, some cant.
    1
  2859. Zillow is more than likely over leveraged. And like banks who, post 2008, did not want to sell assets as they were worth less than they were on the books because if they did sell them, they then had to record that loss. Zillow is more than likely already bankrupt.
    1
  2860. That house that is price at $184k in 2023 dollars would be worth $68K in 1985 dollars. My parents bought their first home when I was 10 in 1985 in California for $89k. It was 200 sq feet bigger though. That price seems decent, though considering Texas real estate taxes, that tax burden has got to be very large indeed.
    1
  2861.  @benparks3564  That may be true in those cases. But in this case we see the video, it was not. This man was keyed up before the officer even got out of his vehicle. At that point the officer should have deployed his taser and called for backup though.
    1
  2862.  @TheOhhGee  This is sarcasm right? Please tell me this is sarcasm?
    1
  2863.  @originalkk882  I guess we are going to disagree. All of those things existed prior, with the exception of armor in the previous years. Armor was the decided factor.
    1
  2864.  @breannahorton  what year?
    1
  2865.  @breannahorton  The time period you said all this happened.
    1
  2866.  @breannahorton  I dont assume. Which is why I asked. So they started selling them in groups after prices collapsed and after interest rates dropped and after most people had left the housing market either due to foreclosure or job loss (Unemployment rate was 10% nationally in that time period). Thats not a shock. The ROI was very high then. It is not now. You can get a 2 year treasury bond with a higher interest rate of return than you can purchasing real estate and renting it now minus the hassle. So the question is, why would people do it going forward. The answer is, they wont. Which is why most of the smart corporations have stopped buying real estate. And a few are even selling now. Real estate going forward, due to real demand, will be a deflating asset.
    1
  2867.  @breannahorton  Why would you not want anyone to buy rentals? People need rentals. Not everyone is in a need or position to buy a house. Rentals are an important part of the real estate market. Yes I lived in Japan for near a decade. They give away property outside major metro areas. Its literally free. But you seem to be arguing both sides. So I am not really sure what your point is. Who would buy something as an investment if it is free or even declining in value with a negative ROI? That seems, to put it politely, stupid. Maybe as a tax right off? But that only works if you have profits. There will always be small time land lords. There will always be some moderate sized land lords. But in the coming years, hedge fund types with huge housing portfolios will go the way of the tulip bulb merchant.
    1
  2868. Latin/latina isnt a race, its a culture. There are black latins, native american latins and white as snow latins. Ive even seen ginger latins. Dont tell Peter about "somewhere over the rainbow" or "Time Bandits"
    1
  2869.  @andreag8666  You should re read prop 13. The assessments are capped. Its why California is out of control when it comes to bond measures. prop 13 doesnt touch those.
    1
  2870.  @andreag8666  the bonds are literally on real property. What are you talking about?
    1
  2871. I think we all see the problem here. Security cameras are clearly racist. End big camera
    1
  2872.  @MichaelBordenaro  While that is the case for some, for most its a case of classism. Since the boomers we have pushed the young to college and now we have an utter lack of blue collar workers, the workers that keep civilization running. But we have battalions of HR Karen's who add little to nothing, and lets be honest probably cost the companies money, to the bottom line of companies, along with senior executive of toilet paper type jobs. This will change as margins tighten and profits implode. People will have to retool or take lower paying jobs, and in some cases it will be both. But I do like your content. The price for those apartment was insane. Considering what the average wage is in that area.
    1
  2873. Lets not pretend that most of these people are even putting 20% down. Do you have a way to find out how many of these people have 2nd mortgages? Does the average mortgage payment that is talked about just the primary mortgage or does it include the 2ndary mortgage as well? That could greatly increase ones total mortgage payment. Do they even keep data on that? That would be a good topic for a video or a discussion with one of your fellow youtubers. I have a feeling that there is a huge way of 2nd mortgage defaults. Best cartoon of the 80s was Robotech, sorry. Thundercats was pretty good though.
    1
  2874. The problems is in places like memphis all the good cops have left because of decades of policies that just dont work. And the voters dont hold the elected officials accountable. So then the only cops you have left are bad ones. The end question is do you want bad cops or no cops
    1
  2875.  @davidhunter5062  gratitude
    1
  2876. The words you are looking for is "thermal shock". There was a fire that burned through Northern California last year around a place called Lake Almanor. The fire burned so hot and so fast that it didnt actuall burn the trees. What it did do is flash boil them, killing them and leaving tens of thousands of acres of just tree trunks, which are being harvested. If you stuck a light saber into a human body, it would probably pop like a water balloon. But in truth you probably couldnt hold one either. It would be just to hot. The only realistic scene I have seen of a lightsaber strike was in the original Star Wars comic, from 1977, where Darth Vader hits Obi Wan with his saber and Obi Wan bursts into flames screaming and basically disintegrates, which is what was supposed to happen but Leucas couldnt do it technically at the time.
    1
  2877. DEI CGI is amazing.
    1
  2878. Civilians dont understand the purposes of military games. Its to check your weaknesses, adjust tactics, and make sure your supply can be met. Often games are set up to put a side at an extreme disadvantage. I remember several games where the only purpose was to lose so the officers could know how to deal with tactical and strategic realities of that situation. One of the common traits of American doctrine for the last 70 years is to bypass units that are smaller than company size, 100 men. This shows the folly of that doctrine, something that Marines have known all that time. Lastly, well its a good thing we found this out, the defense dept can now go to congress and ask for a huge increase in the budget. There are so many sides to this its laughable.
    1
  2879. They arent an empire. They are pirates. I mean this is what pirates and raiders do. Not Empires.
    1
  2880. that 3-5 years is back from the early 2000's today the median time an American lives in a home is around 13 years (2021). Even the average is at 8 years.
    1
  2881. The banks have a vested interest in it not crashing. The Fed isnt buying MBS's anymore. And no one else buys them. So banks actually have to service their own mortgages now.
    1
  2882.  @maximus4765  The lefts demographics cant seem to exist without the state
    1
  2883. The disparity between new homes and resale can be explained by the supposed demand. The truth is we have declining demand. The Millennials are past their high point in family creation per their cohort. Add to that Boomers who own 44% of all housing are starting to die. As they die those homes either get sold or passed down reducing demand further. I dont think the actual real demand is anywhere near as high as the numbers reflect. And going foward its only going to get worse. The zoomers are smaller than even Gen X and they will not even be able to replace boomer demand by half. This will lead to a real estate glut. This is going to be a long generational decline.
    1
  2884. The Japanese are trying to do everything they can to keep women int he work force to keep their GDP up as long as they can. Otherwise their nation will be crushed by their own debt. And as a nation that imports everything, going bankrupt will send them back to the 18th century. Seriously no one in the world is addressing the underlying issue. Women arent having children, for whatever reason. Address that, and this problem will resolve. The UN is really clear on this, the quickest way to reduce a nations fertility rate is to empower and educated women. So how do you reverse the effects of that without tearing your civilization apart?
    1
  2885.  @dangonzalezb  apparently you don't understand how oil and natural gas are bought. Interesting you start off with telling someone to shut up. Are you mentally ill and incapable of civil discussion?
    1
  2886.  @dangonzalezb  See ya on the field 07
    1
  2887.  @sprinkle61  Yea there really isnt a way that they can sell it. The populist right wont do it, and the progressive left wont either. Both of those hold sway in both those political parties.
    1
  2888. The Right has been giving concessions to the Left for over 50 years with zero reciprocity in most western nations. The tide has shifted, and history now swings the other way. The whirlwind indeed.
    1
  2889.  @aethelwolfe3539  I would strongly disagree with your assessment. For a small nation, like most European States it might be enough, but to a nation the size of India, China, the US, or Russia, 2 or 3 is not enough. It would not deter if a nation could absorb the hit and then cry see, look at what these evil men have done to our great nation. Then it is total war and you have shot your shot.
    1
  2890.  @grumpy-dad3701  I am not sure what you are talking about. I never said any of those things. So where did you pick that up? And did you just call me a bully? lol What did I say to trigger you so?
    1
  2891.  @grumpy-dad3701  Wow you need to re read what I wrote Because that is not at all what I wrote. Stop projecting. You asked me a hypothetical. I answered in the hypothetical. No one said anything about blowing up the planet. I even used the word if. Perhaps English isnt your first language, of so I'll give you a pass. But "if", the word, is conditional. English is pretty complicated.
    1
  2892.  @Official_RetroMania  Americans dont use much sugar in its products because most of American sugar came from Cuba. So now most American sugar comes from Sugar Beets. But even then thats only a tiny amount compared to the high fructose corn syrup thats used because its more shelf stable.
    1
  2893.  @Official_RetroMania  the main reason there is so much sugar in things is because its used a preservative. And the other main form of preservative, salt, was deemed hazardous to peoples health in the 80s. Then with the diet crazy they wanted fat removed from everything so it tastes like crap. So to make it taste better.... they add more sugar. Its why the only thing I buy anymore is flour, white rice and tequila. Other than that I grow and farm everything I eat.
    1
  2894.  @ArtisChronicles  you just proved my point.
    1
  2895. A brit complaining about housing. Maybe, idk its how many people come into your country every year. Last year was close to a million wasnt it? Maybe address your immigration issue.
    1
  2896. Yup, but she foolishly broadcasts that its a business model that they both came up with. That means the money is community property. Shes a moron.
    1
  2897.  @UneducatedGeologist  Not to mention half of boomers are single and not cohabitating. The first boomers turned 70 in 2020 a lot of people are one stroke or slip and fall from a nursing home. Especially the single boomer.
    1
  2898. Thats not the issue, its the flood of cheap dollars that have to find a home, Be it the stock market, real estate or some other asset, its inflating everything.
    1
  2899. Few want to hear this, but the only way out is through.
    1
  2900. I havent heard a single complaint about her as the lead actress in this. I have heard endless complaints about the dog shit story and canon violations. This is classic deflection and obfuscation. The real shame is she sold her soul and reputation to a company that will toss her away in five minutes. I remember when John Boyega said something similar and then a fan was like dude, we dont hate you we hate what Disney did to your character in the movies. Then he got it. I dont think this one will though.
    1
  2901. Housing will be deflationary by January at its current trend.
    1
  2902. Feds wont even be able to drop rates then. With all the foreign money that will come pouring in, just for bonds alone will cause inflation to keep rising. If you are Japanese, will you buy a domestic 0% Japanese bond or an American one at 5%? Its not even a question. Same with the Brits, and the Germans, and everyone else.
    1
  2903. The CEO of Reddit looks like Val Kilmer's nemesis in the 1980s movie Real Genius.
    1
  2904. You have a very small core of smart flippers who make profit and add value to markets. Most flippers are apes. They just mimic the good flippers because they see what they think of as an easy way to make money. They are vultures at best. They caused the last crash. I think they will have a heavy hand in this one as well considering the fraud rate in most mortgages.
    1
  2905. That sounds good until you understand it would cause an economic depression. I dont think people understand about how much of the yearly budget goes to direct payments to people and businesses. Cut those off, and a depression begins. I mean the cuts to SSI alone would do that. When you cut Medicare and Medicaid there would be armys of doctors and nurses who would lose everything overnight. There isnt a way out of this anymore. You either shut it all down or you let it shake apart and explode.
    1
  2906.  @Matsonman  what happens when walmart makes 5% less? What happens when everyone on social welfare, including SSI gets 5% less. What happens when doctors get 5% less from Medicare and Medicaid. 5% is huge. What happens when you cant only pay 95% of your mortgage or 95% of your electrical bill? The system breaks. Ive been deployed to nations that were like that. Neighbor murders neighbor just so they can have a meal for that day.
    1
  2907. California will need every penny it can get if its going to pass its reparations of $360k to each Black resident.
    1
  2908. You could just as easily say that the only reason these jobs exist is because the fed dropped interest rates to rock bottom. You dont get to have it both ways. Most of these businesses would not be profitable under normal interest rates. And let me remind everyone we are only at 2.5% percent fed rate. Its a functionally negative interest rate when you consider inflation.
    1
  2909. Something about "going your own way." What we are seeing in this community is weak minded people needing groups for validation of their personal choices. This is just mainstreaming of the red pill. This is what people wanted. Be careful of what you want, you might just get it. But in the end, do what you want. Go your own way. And if individuals follow you let them, if they dont, dont worry about it.
    1
  2910.  @nancyhunt2750  Your father was a wise man, and you were as well for listening to sound advice. A lot of people seem to have wisdom, but they do lack patience. And thats where we are now. Just having to be patient. But things will turn in most markets.
    1
  2911.  @frisby7143  That the truth. I wish more of these demos would state what kind of rig they are running it on. Game optimization will only take you so far.
    1
  2912. They only pretend SSI is mandatory. They can cut SSI payments at any time for any reason. Its written into the original law and upheld by a Supreme Court case in the 1960s. But you are correct that social spending is the main driver of spending. The big three SSI, Medicare, and Medicaid account for over 60% of spending. And its only going to increase as the last boomers retire.
    1
  2913. 1000 people a day. lol We do 200k a month here in the US. Britain, be better. People need to understand their government are complicit in this. We have "migrants" crossing the US southern border who can hardly walk yet people are saying they walked the 5000 miles up to Texas. I imagine its the same thing across the pond. Governments need to start tracking and destroying the organizations that pay to move these people around. And then the people who work for those organizations need to rot in prison at best. But I honestly view them as traitors or saboteurs, they should be shot.
    1
  2914.  @secretname4190  Tucker is a Classical Liberal recovering from his neoconservative youth. He is, what in the 1960s, was a Democrat. How times have changed. But people just hear a party name and go all tribal.
    1
  2915.  @ClannCholmain  I would agree we are at the best time in history materially. But we are literally at the end of a golden age. And the ramifications of that will be significant. I am not sure what beliefs you think I disagree with. I didnt state any. Or are you talking about globalism, which I dont consider a belief? Can you clarify your statement for me?
    1
  2916.  @ClannCholmain  The US was wealthy before globalism. It will still be wealthy after. If its people will it.
    1
  2917.  @ClannCholmain  not when you adjust for purchasing power and debt burden.
    1
  2918. Why dont these people have ladders? I am stunned by how many people have videos where their smoke detector is chirping due to a low battery. These women are so toxic they cant even get a guy to change their battery. smh
    1
  2919. Funny not a mostly peaceful protest? These news stations are a joke.
    1
  2920. I have a feeling that you will start seeing a lot of jingle mail in the near future. It doesnt matter if you have a 2.5% loan if you are underwater 300 to 400k on a house. And all it takes is one home that has to sell cheap to crush a whole neighborhood comp wise.
    1
  2921. I got to disagree with Peter, the government cant address the problem anymore. 40% of GDP is government spending. Any attempts to cut spending would cause an economic collapse greater than the great depression. Who would rationally do that, regardless of elections?
    1
  2922.  @technic1285  There are less than 50 people in the US with my last name.
    1
  2923.  @privateuser3726  Nope
    1
  2924.  @coutiya2007  Nah im not Jewish.
    1
  2925.  @armaanchowdhury1690  dying alone is cause, many times, from not having a family. Both of which stem, from an inability to adapt to modern social pressures, lacking space to have said family and having money to raise said family. All the problems are connected. If you do not understand that, or can, well thats ok I guess.
    1
  2926.  @armaanchowdhury1690  I'm guessing English is a second language for you if you ate getting that from both my posts, which is fine. You just aren't understanding what I'm communicating.
    1
  2927.  @itstheweather642  Nah SF was screwed long before Newsom. Hes a symptom of Californias politics, not the cause.
    1
  2928. Life support servers for dead games paid by players, maybe a monthly subscription fee.
    1
  2929. People use to have kids in caves and huts made of cattle feces. Economics isnt the issue. This is a cultural damage issue.
    1
  2930. Prop 13 has already been whittled away at. It wont be long before the Dems in control just wipe it out completely. You know, for equality
    1
  2931. Its not choices like yours that arent supported. Its the men. Women wont marry down. Look at university enrollment stats. Look at mens enrollment rates. This is a womans choice issue. Women need to solve this, but they wont. They will drive the car over the cliff, just like Velma and Louise. Because men are bad. And then they will cry like you do. If you are a teacher you should be able to do the math on the generation growth of your extended family. Its currently negative.
    1
  2932. While I am not a fan of qualified immunity I think with the policies in many cities you would very quickly find zero officers willing to police and end up with war torn cities. Most cities cant be policed because horrible city policies for decades have been allowed to run unchecked de to massive infusions of money from the Feds.
    1
  2933. Harvey Birdman and Birdgirl will take the case, to sue these people.
    1
  2934. Hes still living in your head rent free. Or is this cope for your streaming service fail?
    1
  2935.  @markdatheist9179  I went from barely being able to pay the bills every month after putting away money from retirement when I was married with 3 sons, to after she left having an extra 40k a year while keeping my sons. People do not understand how expensive a woman is. My opinion now is that unless you want kids, the vast majority of women are completely useless to a man. The modern women is just a status symbol.
    1
  2936. Many of these master planned communities require builders to put in many amenities and complete a build out before they are ok'ed from a legal standpoint. Communities learned after 2007 and 2008 that not forcing builders to do that leaves those communities half finished with little to know long term viability. I am wondering, did they have that requirement in this subdivision?
    1
  2937. Why, we lost every exercise in Cobra Gold in Thailand and Foal Eagle in South Korea. Thats the point of them, to learn from your mistakes. Adjust tactics to new technology and capabilities and makes sure you officers can do what they are suppose to. We had one game in Okinawa where the goal was simply survive as long as you can against the North Korean onslaught. 4th Marines lasted 78 hours. It was a loss on paper, but it only needed to survive 72 hours so the 1st marine division could reinforce Pusan so it was a win to the Corps even though we lost. That said you are putting up Royal Marines, who are more like Green Berets than actual Marines, up against who knows what unit, for all we know they went up against an arty battalion. Also it shows the huge flaw in military doctrine that we have had since WWII that is constantly biting us in the ass, bypassing units smaller than company size (100 men). 100 motivated men can do a lot.
    1
  2938.  @craigprescott6045  Which is why he have these games. So the officer corp do their job. One of the largest problems we have is the officers not doing what they are suppose to do. Not so much about the enlisted. The fighting itself isnt actually that important.
    1
  2939.  @pattonknew928  then it's a great time to buy isn't it.
    1
  2940.  @jessicabixler1658  yes but only 41% of single family residences.
    1
  2941. She is just bitter because she is built like a 10 year old boy.
    1
  2942.  @Jersey1971  the death tax on estates is exempt of the first 5 million for an individual 10 million for a married couple. Not exactly the type of property most folks inherit, have to dump because of taxes, or reits want to buy.
    1
  2943.  @simonhibbs887  I know, there had to be some sort of dark conspiracy. lol
    1
  2944. This is easily resolved. You increase interest rates. Then it is no longer an economic problem but a political one. That would require the Federal government to reduce spending and address its out of control budgets and unsustainable welfare programs. The side effect will be what should be, most Americans living a much lower standard of living. We can do that the easy way, by increasing interest rates or we can do that the hard way with stagflation. I am pretty sure Congress just chose the hard way with their most recent money spending activity.
    1
  2945. feminism teaches women to be scared of men. 99% of men would help the woman or at the very least ignore her because they dont want to be labeled the creep. But we only see the bad via media, which is why their default thinking is the man would sexually assault the woman. This really shows how utterly divorced from reality most women are that natural threats dont even register anymore. I am thinking its about time men shut down civilization for a few generations to reset the female base settings.
    1
  2946.  @thomasm9552  I am not sure. Its why I got out of there as fast as I could. I like to think it was mental illness, but she was very rational about it when she talked. It was weird.
    1
  2947. I dont care who wins in Ukraine. But I cant imagine surrendering and submitting to an invasion to my homeland. I am shocked so many Americans seem to be pushing for others to do that. I guess I have gotten old.
    1
  2948.  @GaBeeLuv  As I said, I dont care. But your argument is a false equivalency. It would be like saying since southern California is mostly LA, if Mexico were to invade they would have a right to it. If then would you expect all those who view themselves as Americans to leave and the US to just roll over and go ok its yours? There is so much propaganda on both sides in this its laughable.
    1
  2949. Light is a particle! No! Light is a wave! Einstein, yes. Nature is full of these type of things.
    1
  2950. Shame stoicism isnt taught to children. When one learns temperance these things arent issues. Proper philosophical education in the young would address much of this in society.
    1
  2951. Germans doing German things. Almost 100 years later, same tune, different band. I am so glad my ancestors left.
    1
  2952. @BBQ BEER FREEDOM you do understand why right? Do you know how long it takes to get approval to get drilling permits? Environmental approval. Trumps first year was low because those were all the previous admins approvals, as well as various state approvals. Bidens numbers are high because these are the wells that were approved under the previous admin. One thing I will say, that the Obama admins insistence that no more gas be flared from wells is going to protect us from to high of energy prices. The pipelines installed since then, to capture that gas, that cost a small fortune, will supply us with more natural gas than we need. And neither Trump nor Biden pumps oil. They can only clear or obstructed those that do from doing so.
    1
  2953.  @memyself898  you know less than 8% of crude oil is used to make fuels, both diesel and gasoline. You guys dont even know what the majority of crude oil is used for. Classic useful idiots. You know how much oil goes into making a solar panel? How much goes into making lithium ion batter covers? Didnt think so.
    1
  2954. lots of boomers retiring and wanting to move or downsize. But those same boomers are scared of covaids. So there may be some logic to his statement.
    1
  2955.  @JamesIsUrDaddy1985  I wasn't being argumentative, if it came off that way, wasn't the intent of my post.
    1
  2956. Wait until we are officially in a recession. Your income may not be as secure as you think. And a lot of people who bought in the last two years are going to be in a similar position but with an inflated mortgage.
    1
  2957.  @BLACK80085  Folks are to busy trying to win and be boss of the ashes to care about being responsible. Unfortunately most humans need a pack of wolves at the door before they stop fighting with one another about what color the drapes should be.
    1
  2958.  @PaularBeer  With Chinas dumping of fentanyl into Mexico, they have been taking the British approach of the Opium wars. Most people dont see that. That said you are spot on about NATO. To bad NATO didnt allow Russia to join post soviet collapse like they tried to. All of this could have been avoided. Some people cant let the cold war go.
    1
  2959. Blood tests were for when people with incompatible Rh types so they would know if they had kids, there was a high chance the woman would die. due to complications. That test is probably the greatest reason for the implosion of female death rates in child birth.
    1
  2960. They will need their military to police their own cities as they go dark and cold. They imported a lot of people they should not have. And the German people are so very very cowed now.
    1
  2961. What has happened to Mr Depp has happened legions of men before him. Its just another reason why more and more men arent getting married anymore.
    1
  2962. No one wants to be the first one to step up. And thats why this will continue. Thomas Jefferson's Tree of Liberty quote seems fitting here. "The three of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." Many modern men want these people taken care of. Few are willing to become the patriot and bleed and die and do it. And, again, that is why it will continue.
    1
  2963. Id really like to point out that 20 billion goes to fund the Ukrainian civil servants pay. Because even in a war for your nations very existence, government workers will not get off the teat. They are a bane in every nation.
    1
  2964. Back in the day you could make a game, by yourself, photocopy a black and white manual, and put it in a zip lock baggy and sell it at hobby shops. This was back in the early and mid 80s though for computers. If you didnt know dos though, which most people didnt, you really couldnt even access computer gaming at that time. If anything consoles slowed down adult content via video games by gatekeeping content that they wanted to publish and directed it at children. But most of that content was meant for children.
    1
  2965. This is something a lot of people dont even see. The housing market is really missing a lot of entry level/retirement homes. With input costs what they are and regulations, they arent very good profit makers for builders. But this is really where the most demand is at. If more of these were built, the demand for the middle range homes would adjust massively.
    1
  2966. A lot of people are thinking that now. And if you all do it what do you think the effect on housing prices will be.
    1
  2967. Did the same thing with George Bush for Bill Clinton. Though I wasnt a fan of Bush.
    1
  2968. Weapons dont make the warrior. Will does.
    1
  2969. Why would you need to automate when demand will be dropping? The idea is so foreign to most that you cant even conceive of it can you?
    1
  2970.  @huanglong08  Those places are much wealthier. What has China growing is its large working class, which has now aged out of work. So now they have a smaller work force and because of that, rising wages. That makes them no longer competitive when you include shipping costs, energy prices and tariffs. So all that business leaves and then you have collapse.
    1
  2971.  @huanglong08  cool
    1
  2972.  @trunorth9243  You just keep spamming that. No one cares. Canada needs the American market more than the US needs the Canadian one. Same with the rest of the world, thats why they are all upset at the tariffs.
    1
  2973. @ There are American businesses that will be hurt by these tariffs. But they will destroy Canada. Canada and Europe complaining about tariffs when they have for the last 80 years placed tariffs on American goods and outright banned many American goods, it just makes many Americans, those of us who follow trade, laugh. And yes, I am laughing. Canadians are just getting a taste of what they have done to America for decades.
    1
  2974.  @xkannibale8768  No its just a way to protect their local producers. Canada and Europe have done that for decades. Meanwhile, America left her markets open. Now that we are reciprocating, they cry.
    1
  2975. The irony. She got what she wanted. White people, via the state, are now enslaved to take care of her due to her condition. Nice.
    1
  2976. Democrats were just cooped by out and out communists. The people leaving are the non power hungry. These are your traditional rank and file light socialist/unionist Democrats. They are at least someone you can have a rational debate with in good faith, at least most of the time. Unfortunately, due to the money nature in modern politics, its unlikely these individuals will not be able to create their own party, which means they will either be absorbed by the Republican party further pulling the part to the left or they will wither into obscurity.
    1
  2977. Both things require discipline. Something that is sorely lacking in both semesters these days. Work on yourself, ignore the rests.
    1
  2978.  @brawndothethirstmutilator9848  I don't think you understand what I am saying. I know lots of people who get addicted to social media. But then there are people like me who it has zero effect on. My question is why does it effect some and not others.
    1
  2979.  @brawndothethirstmutilator9848  yea it's weird. I think it's the same mechanism that makes advertising work on some and not others. It's is certainly interesting to me at least. I wonder what the percentage of not effected is? Not like that would get reported.
    1
  2980. You didnt even discuss the main problem with a declining population that will destroy nations and kill millions, maybe even billions of people, national debt. As nations become less able to generate tax revenue due to fewer workers and needing to support more people on their social services, more debt will need to be taken out. But there will come a point where that debt can no longer be serviced and then a default happens. Take a nation like Japan. Zero natural resources. Overnight, after a default, with no one willing to sell them anything on debt, they slip back into a pre industrial world. All their national social systems shut down. No more hospitals no more trains. Everything stops. No more pension checks from the State. This means the economy of that nation wont even be able to function either. This will happen to other nations as their debt piles up. And very quickly global trade will collapse. Only a few modern nations will survive. Those who have the resources to make a modern nation run. This will even hit the "developing world". Imagine a nation like Egypt where they need to import almost 90% of their calories can no longer get those calories because state funded grain farmers stop getting funds to farm. Most of sub Saharan Africa will implode as well. The bright side of this, if you can call it that, is that this will self correct. As national social programs break the thing that got humanity to modernity will kick back in as a survival mechanism, the multigenerational family. Most modern ideals, will simply die because survival will take precedence.
    1
  2981. Not to mention DEF shortages.
    1
  2982.  @MarsBarsMcGee  Diesel had long been cheaper than gasoline, then we started shipping it to Europe when the EPA made diesel "dirty" because of particulates.
    1
  2983.  @TsaicoGaming  Yea but California CHP might frown on that when they pull you over regardless of what you are in. I imagine they are dipping every diesel tank on the road making sure its paid its road tax. I'm so glad I left there. But so much comes through California ports its going to be rough.
    1
  2984.  @k333rl  I am not worried about it for myself, I dont drive a rig. But there will be DEF shortages in the future. That will make the cost of transport even more expensive.
    1
  2985. The Leopard 2 has never been in tank to tank combat to my recollection. The Germans may fear that it will not stand up to the trials of combat. Lets not forget Arms industries are part of national GDP. And as we have seen with Russian weapon systems, they dont always meet expectations. There is more than just sending the Leopards to Ukraine, from the German position.
    1
  2986.  @bryanb3352  I know its not. Which means the 14th amendment argument doesnt hold water. This is a civil trial. I dont see why anyone, left or right deciding who could hold office. That is just a horrible thought. But I am not a Georgian.
    1
  2987. The pie has gotten bigger, its a mud pie worth nothing, but its still a pie.
    1
  2988.  @GaryBickford  And it was all done on debt. Thats future spending that cant be done. It was never sustainable. The next few decades will show this.
    1
  2989. Most people will cut their nose off to spite their face.
    1
  2990. Just make sure you have a good circle of friends. They are worth their weight in gold.
    1
  2991. Respectfully, the last real estate crash during the GFC was totally caused by the Federal government. How many home buyer programs did George Bush push? There as the American Dream Downpayment Fund, the "Americans Homeownership Challenge" directed at mortgage and reat estate industries (this primarily was directed at minority home purchasers and the total costs were estimated at 1.1 trillion in 2003 numbers), the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act. Those are just ones I can name off the top of my head. The median percentage of Americans who owned homes post WWII is roughly 62%, up from 47% pre WWI, probably an effect of the creation of the suburbs. Regardless, anytime we get above 64% the market is over sold and price become unaffordable. In 2007 we reached into the 69% range. Today, depending on ones data you can say we are between 66 and 67% of Americans own a home, with or without a mortgage. Every trend always regresses to the mean. And that is 62%. And dude you are a mad man for taking this trip. Its nice to see someone who cares enough to actually do. Dont forget to manage your wellness brother.
    1
  2992. The owner for sure is going to get fined from the city now due to that concrete pathway status. The path to hell..
    1
  2993. This is absolutely unconstitutional. No way representatives get to select their replacements. Thats the peoples job. This absolutely will not stand.
    1
  2994. All the men carrying guns havent been charge because they were FBI agents. lol
    1
  2995. @@IsaacPaczkowski modernity is cruel to men and women, just in different ways.
    1
  2996.  @markuskoarmani1364  That fear of replacement is whats keeping them from kicking Russia from SWIFT. Petrodollar will go bye bye. Or thats the fear anyways. But there currently isnt enough value for bitcoin to cover the trades in the SWIFT system.
    1
  2997. Not one word about the fact that our current economic system bakes in a growing population. Thats not the case anymore. All our economic theories takes these for granted. People have no idea whats coming.
    1
  2998.  @shawnhampshirehick101  I never got notified of any of these comments. So I am sorry I never responded. I dont miss my ex though. If you ever need anything reach out to your brothers. I still have many that hit me up when they have a dark moment. We are there.
    1
  2999.  @manager4409  indeed. I had always felt I was weird that I was ok being alone. For the first time after that chat with him when i left his office I didnt feel weird, just built different. lol
    1
  3000.  @theskyizblue2day431  I got yeeted out of a ch-46 that took a dirt nap from trying to turn while to low. Reservist pilot. Tore my harness off me and bounced me about 100 meters into a bramble. Apparently I looked like the little kid being thrown in Tropic Thunder at the end. The co pilot and me were the only two to make it out. I wasnt even suppose to be on that bird. The RO got sick so I volunteered to take his spot. I was a 2531. We were just helping the reservists train.
    1
  3001.  @chriscampbell4857  ok you got me, I'm part of the global cabal thats going to starve you all. Drats, foiled again. Or you could Google map the place and just look at it. The plant had been sited twice for the violation.
    1
  3002.  @paulbellas8797  lmao. You don't even know who I am or what I know. The balls on you. 😂
    1
  3003.  @Frosty1026  Women have been able to own property since the 1862 homestead act. At that time all men didnt even have the right to vote. You dont know what you are talking about.
    1
  3004.  @Raussl  How much water do the nations of spain or italy flush down their rivers to keep a fish alive that somehow managed to stay alive when the rivers would go dry, before the water management systems were put into place?
    1
  3005.  @cameroon89  They will come down, but it wont be a crash. A house cant sell for less than the parts it costs plus labor. IF prices get that low, people will stop building. Then demand builds up and poof up goes prices. But we are at peak demand right now. Right now there are more people looking to buy than ever in US history. Its also the period where the most people are. As the boomers decline and die off, the next upcoming generations will be smaller and demand will drop, even at current immigration rates. But it wont be a crash, it will be a slow decline. Houses will become a deflationary asset again.
    1
  3006.  @Aikynbreusov  They dont have to pay taxes and insurance. So they can actually pay a person under the table more than they can pay a person who is legally paid. Thats not the home builders fault, thats the governments. And the government is the way it is because at the end of the day, thats what the people want. Or at the very least, a majority of people. All that said, we get very little Mexican migrant workers these days. Their population grow has stalled as well. You are 20 years in the past.
    1
  3007.  @RH-lg9uc  Honestly I did not think things would have deteriorated so fast. My comment has not aged well. Id add that it really depends on how deep this recession will be. And day after day, it looks like its going to be worse and worse. That could shake a lot of people out of their homes. But you never can tell.
    1