Comments by "dixon pinfold" (@dixonpinfold2582) on "UnHerd"
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In fact, his popularity suffered almost zero over his crushing of the protest against him with martial law. The reason: The media supported him on it a thousand per cent.
It thoroughly demonized the protestors as right x stream mists, though clearly they were not. The ploy worked because most Canadians have been programmed over the decades to regard even moderate conservatives as morally unacceptable, practically as monsters. The education system has been tightly in the grip of the left for half a century.
So this video gets the trucker protest issue wrong. Actually, polling records clearly show that the PM's popularity took its decisive and lasting hit immediately when his wife left him a year and a half later. (Freddie badly misinterprets most of what happens across the Atlantic, and always with an air of great confidence.)
It sounds ridiculous, and it is, yet it is profoundly revealing about liberal and farther-left Canadians, who are broadly speaking about 60% of the electorate: Most think that women are ipso facto wonderful, undoubtedly superior to men, and humanity's natural moral leaders. Indeed it was the very fact of his flagrant effeminacy that put Trudeau in office in the first place and kept him there for 9½ years. For the electorate he was the most acceptable type of man, namely an ersatz woman.
Note that the coup de grâce for his prime ministership came last month, not when Trump launched his fresh round of attacks on him, but when his finance minister Chrystia Freeland resigned in anger at her upcoming demotion.
Simply put, Trudeau was installed in office, kept there, and at last removed, by the country's left-indoctrinated gyneolaters.
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@danielwarton5343 wrote: "After this is past we will see what the true cost of the last few months have been."
I don't see how the cost across the Western world alone can come in under $20t---cash costs, lost production, future interest on borrowed money, deflated asset prices of all sorts, the future cost of lost education, the future cost of damaged health aside from covid-19 itself, and much more. Even if the shutdown doesn't go on that much longer it could easily hit $50-100t. And is there much reason to believe that even 2m lives were saved across all its billion people? (This is a plausible IFR of 0.25% with a very high infection rate of 80%.)
These mere Fermi calculations imply a stupendous cost of $10-50m per life saved.
I don't begrudge families the necessary money spent sparing the lives of their loved ones. I should hardly wish to be the one deciding on the matter. But it's got to be admitted, we've never spent so much money saving lives ever in history. Not even remotely close. It surely stands very high among the most staggering sacrifices in human history, perhaps even at the top, I don't know. Its effects will be felt well past mid-century, its reverberations for much longer still.
And how much was necessary and how much avoidable? How much better could we have done if the coolest heads and brightest minds were in charge, as it seems was the case in the East Asian democracies? What did it cost us to allow the media to whip up fear and stifle reasoned debate on the pandemic response? And how much political and economic power is swiftly being transferred to China?
It makes me nauseous to consider all these questions. I feel rather like the doctor at the end of Bridge on the River Kwai, moved by what he saw to no more coherent response than to simply utter "Madness... Madness... Madness!"
My worst fear is that the friendly, smooth-running, stable, and prosperous order achieved in the West after the Second World War, which was already damaged significantly in the present century through sheer mishandling by its governments and citizens alike, will very shortly be washed up. If I considered the West my loathsome enemy, I would at this moment be squirming and howling with pleasure.
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@maccarf516 Thanks, I appreciate it. You know, I should have looked it up myself!
So if you call the Covid pandemic an even 8 months old, then the run rate over that time has been 1.33m deaths a year or 3,630 day, one or two percent below the road accident rate.
The current rate, though, is 5,312 a day (past-seven-days average) or 1.94m a year, so it's running at a pace far above road accidents. (At least it fell 10% from 5,879 on August 11.)
You can combine these two ways if you take the current total and add a projected number for the rest of the year at this week's rate. You get 1.53m.
So it looks like road accidents are being bumped down one place this year. Still amazing, though, both ways: It's amazing the world's been turned upside down by something at this point no more calamitous than car crashes, and it's amazing there's so many road deaths in a year.
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At around 1,700 hours of sunshine per year, Germany is below the overall European average of around 2,300. But it is roughly average for European countries above the Alps. Countries with less sunshine include Switzerland, Belgium, the UK, the Netherlands and Ireland. But yes, Spain, Portugal and Greece are far sunnier, up around 2,800. (Not Italy, however: just 1,900.)
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This MedCram video, Coronavirus Update #106, tells you how to interpret the CDC announcement. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TECf3xSFbU&t=632s
If you don't have the time, he makes two main points. First, realize that it wasn't truly CDC research in the sense you may have in mind, it was merely their tabulation of death certificate data entered by doctors across the country.
Second, the MedCram video doctor explains how the 94%/6% should really have been 100%/0%, since the proximal cause of death listed in a Covid-19 fatality should always be pneumonia, kidney failure, heart attack, etc. and never Covid-19.
To put it very bluntly, his point is that in 6% of these death certificates, the dumb doctor needed remedial training in how to fill them out. The other 94% knew what to do, listing as they are supposed to do the immediate cause of death.
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