Comments by "dixon pinfold" (@dixonpinfold2582) on "DW News" channel.

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  406. This is a strangely unaddressed question. To me the answer is that they foresaw it quite well but were not afraid of unpopularity, nor afraid if the West made moves to arm Ukraine or to impoverish Russia. They have plans for dealing with all that, which involve the withstanding of self-inflicted pain for the sake of eventual victory—victory not necessarily in Ukraine, but in the world. I allude here to the China-Russia alliance, which everyone is avoiding talking about. In my view it explains everything that is happening, everything that is making people scratch their heads in confusion. Russia and China, I fear, have agreed to each start a war in their respective regions and to draw the West into them. They intend also to win them, and thereby to start winning the world whether sooner or later. China at this point would be waiting for a gusher of NATO resources to be definitely committed to eastern Europe before making its move. It expects to soon start receiving reliable shipments of Ukrainian wheat and other grains, a supply which will obviate the need for the Western imports on which it currently relies for putting pork and chicken on Chinese tables. The matter is not simple, but food insecurity is a major factor holding China back from invading Taiwan. An attack would definitely mean the end of Western grain and soybeans except possibly from Brazil. The overall aim would be to strain the West to the breaking point, probably by forcing it to spend immensely on arming itself, as well as by spawning proxy wars in numerous countries. (Recall that outspending the USSR in an arms race is commonly regarded as the way the West indirectly brought about its collapse.) Their long-term aim is less to defeat the West's armed forces head-on than to spread them thinly, and above all to use any means to weaken the West financially, socially and diplomatically, at every step of the way making it thus easier to draw other countries into a China-Russia-led sphere, to be expanded as quickly as possible. Russia as the very junior partner in the alliance with China would finally be free to move back into eastern Europe and indulge in irredentism and revanchism. The rest of Europe, according to this vision, would be so afraid of Russia that it could be dominated permanently. If all or parts of Western Europe decided to make war on Russia (with or without the US) they would have the whole China-Russia-sphere to deal with. (It probably has just Serbia, Iran, Syria and North Korea as auxiliary members at present. Pakistan perhaps. Many others are watching and saying little, not wanting to commit themselves either way before getting a better idea of how things will play out.) Instead of looking at it this way, people are calling Putin irrational. No, he's not irrational at all. He's got China solidly backing him up. You or others may think his plans are falling apart, but I don't know. Perhaps, or perhaps they're going almost exactly to plan. A quick victory over Ukraine would have afforded little opportunity for the West to rack up costs by the tens or hundreds of billions as it has done already (in military expenses, but also including its higher bill for energy and significantly higher inflation, all of which undermine the dollar). Little old me seems to be the only one talking about this, which is mad.  I think it's because people find the thought so disturbing that it calms them to see it as far-fetched.
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