Comments by "" (@cestmoi3963) on "Alexander Mercouris"
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Another attempt to break through from kyiv to Zapo, 3 Leopard rendered in sheet metal to be melted, with pictures.
Alexander, you were skeptical yesterday about the Ukrainian losses, count the destroyed vehicles count 3 people per tank + 3 per infantry vehicle + 2 per transport vehicle without counting the personnel transported, count the infantry. You can also consult the press and the US media, favorable to kyiv, which report catastrophic losses for Ukraine while confirming that it is indeed the offensive. Concerning the destroyed Leopards, I won't be surprised that kyiv will shortly be asking for others, which will confirm the loss of a good batch. kyiv demand 2 gW of electricity per day to the EU the price of candles will increase. EU, in recession.
kyiv will make the EU and the UK a beggar's zone. kyiv killed me, these will be their last words.
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The counter offensive hasn't started according to kyiv, just enough to get the troops to get some fresh air and get the undertakers and scrap metal workers to work. During this second offensive attempt with more committed forces kyiv lost 28 tanks including 8 Leopard, 3 AMX 10 RC, 109 armored vehicles, Ukrainian losses, 1500. Official statement of the Russian MD.
NATO and its cardboard weapons.
Pentagon officials no longer know what it is, the counter offensive has begun for some, for others it is in preparation. Moreover, kyiv says nothing to the Pentagon concerning the date of the counter offensive.
Zelinski the beggar of the 21st century has not yet received the F16 he is asking for from the already 41 Australian FA18 Hornets. Soon he will be asking for F35s and rafales. He will not be long in requiring other Leopards to replace those lost, the last model surely, the 2 A28 which should be released in 2040 but which he wants next week.
Zelinski will receive the Nobel Peace Prize for disarming NATO and the West as a whole.
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An observation, the ATACMS is not a cruise missile but supersonic ballistic like all ballistic milssiles. Although its range is high, 300 km, a speed of mach 3+, it has 2 major disadvantages. Being ballistic, its trajectory is bell-shaped, which means that as soon as it is fired its destination is known and easily destroyed. Its inertial guidance only offers it the possibility of correcting its trajectory by a few degrees, we are not talking about a change of direction. If it is not ground radars which will detect it, it will be eadars on board planes whose range reaches +400 km. The explosive charge of the ATACMS is lower than that of the HIMARS rocket, but its kinetic energy through its impact speed at mach 3+ causes more damage than the explosive.
There you go, it is not a cruise missile but a ballistic missile designed in the 80s, deployed in 91 and whose production has ceased. There must be few left in stock of the 3,500 produced, 900 to 1,000 used in Iraq and Afghanistan, deliveries to the allies, and the needs of the US army.
Only one reason for this delivery, always the same, to terrorize the Russian population with the hope of the overthrow of Putinen nothing but the distress of the USA and not a plan to bring Putin to accept peace terms. We must abandon this Western mentality when analyzing a situation involving Russia.
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In three days of hostilities, the Armed Forces of Ukraine lost up to 3,715 servicemen, 52 tanks, 207 armored vehicles, 134 vehicles, five planes and two helicopters in all directions, Shoigu stressed.
Yesterday, the forces of 5 brigades maneuvered on 7 fronts.
The Russian losses are 71 killed, 210 wounded. 15 tanks, 9 infantry fighting vehicles, 2 transport vehicles and 9 guns.
According to Sergei Shoigu, the destruction of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station by Ukrainian forces last night was aimed at preventing a Russian offensive on Kherson. After the failure of the offensives, kyiv would seek to strengthen its offensive potential by transferring equipment and soldiers from Kherson, which would considerably weaken its positions in the Kherson region.
If so, I wonder where the Kyiv reserves are, 3 days of offensives, daily losses in soldiers and equipment like never before.
Fortunately, the USA announces that it still has funds for kyiv until the fall. And after? god save king zelinski?
Let's hope he's never placed in asylum but permanently disconnected. Either way, the FSB has the fate of Bandera in store for him and many others, they won't be able to hide anywhere.
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The US generals prepared the counter-offensive, not to forget, with the valuable assistance of the English generals, by playing call of duty. The enemy chooses, Luxembourg, the mode, easy. They demonstrated to the only army experienced in a conventional conflict that the matter was in the bag.
kyiv still hasn't tried the Taliban moped, it should.
Even without fortifications reaching Melitopol was impossible, around ten km in the open, not a tree, not a bush, not a stone, the importance of the flames from the burning material would have suggested a post-nuclear explosion fire.
There was never any contact between Zaluzni and Gerasimov, Hirsh totally screwed up. Zalusni is as crazy as zelenski. Gerasimov does not have a diplomatic function, if that had been the case he would have been tried for treason the next day.
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Kharkov, the Russians did not see themselves fighting 1,000 against 20,000 without real equipment and with national guards who are more military police than combatants, weakly equipped. They withdrew without a fight.
In the end, Ukraine only advanced when Russia allowed it to.
Desolation of the staff and the generals, to see the colonels, more preoccupied with learning the manual of the oligarchy than of the military art. An army formed by NATO, an organization that shines with its many defeats. When one is formed by mediocre people, one becomes oneself mediocre. All those generals of NATO and member countries, the barracks they frequented are the gilded salons, the only weapon they ever held, the glass of champagne, the only war waged, blowing up the champagne bottle cork.
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Kirill Budanov, was seriously injured in the Russian missile attack on the Main Intelligence Directorate headquarters in Kyiv and is currently in a Bundeswehr hospital in Berlin, citing Ukrainian military intelligence sources.
"According to information received by the Russian security forces from sources of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine, it became known that Kirill Budanov was injured in a Russian strike on the morning of May 29 against the building of the Main Directorate of intelligence located at Rybalsky Island in Kiev.A Russian missile landed in the nearby office of Budanov.
According to the agency's interlocutor, Budanov managed to be pulled out of the rubble, after which he was evacuated by a Ukrainian Armed Forces medical helicopter to the Rzeszow military base in Poland, and from there - by a C plane - 21 of the 86th air medical evacuation unit arrived specially from the air base of (this is the explanation of the famous mysterious aircraft arriving from Germany and leaving there). A record of the flight of this American plane was also kept in the data of the Flightaradar service, which confirms the source's words.
The silovik added that Ukrainian military intelligence sources named the exact place where Budanov is being treated - this is the Bundeswehr hospital in Berlin, Scharnhorststrasse, 13. According to him, there is information that the leader of the GUR is seriously injured.
Statement by a Ukrainian fighter on condition of anonymity.
to a Canadian newspaper "I have serious injuries, I have bad back. After four operations, I want to stop, but I can't. They always want me to come back", complained the army Ukrainian in an interview on condition of anonymity.
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Cynthia DeMario Your reference is Prigozhin, I prefer a neighborhood cat who seems to me more solid reference question. It's up to you to rely on the rantings of an intermittent showman and in this case you must also accept ukrainian losses that he announces, which I don't do, I'm not pro comic. Regarding Medvedev, take his statement in full, please. Concerning 1917, the revolution, this theory in which I do not believe and wherever it is, if it were to take place, it would be in Europe, including the UK, if my faith as a woman in man mutates into its original form.
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Inflation in Russia is caused by unlimited economic potential. Despite successive quarterly production records, demand is immense. Basis of the economy, you cannot find a product, its price increases, inflation. The Russians are playing the game of internal consumption, Russia will end up producing everything it imports down to the smallest screw, it will be another competitor to the West. As proof, Russia is testing its second plane, 100% Russian parts, and everything is going well. Oil prices are soaring, Russian wheat production and exports are driving down prices, European producers will go bankrupt. The EU may end up asking for food aid from the UN.
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@Nizmo718 People like to pay for scares by speaking of nuclear without even thinking about their certain death and yet all fight death. A certainty of a former AS section chief (special weapons, nuclear, chemical, biological). The USA, nor even the UK would risk swinging a nuclear head on Russia if it swung one in Paris, Rome, Berlin, it would be sure of receiving one even. The USA, the UK will not seek to receive a nuclear head, too bad for those who have taken one. If the USA, NATO do not attack Russia as usual concerning countries of peasants it has nothing to do with nuclear climbing and everything to do with Terror to face a real army, maybe Well the most powerful on the planet, in conventional war.
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Prigo has a better chance of survival in Belarus than in Russia, there are fewer Russians. In Russia it would have been necessary to assign the whole army to him for protection. Prigo didn't want to die, he backtracked, he didn't want to die, he accepted exile.
No staging, hanging out too long in Bakhmut he caught the Zelinski virus, mythomania, madness, maybe he was also snorting coca in Bakhmut. Bakhmut and the front ravaged his brain. In his state of madness he was certain, he the hero, the Russian Rambo, that the Russian army and the people would follow him. He wasn't turned over by kyiv or the English, he just used Western dreams as a military plan. It's a shame, all the musicians who followed him will be the object of insults and spitting for life, I pity their families who are already suffering from this. A corrigendum, a few thousand followed the Russian zelinski, without knowing the mission, among them some asked for assistance from Moscow, they were certainly threatened. In any case, Wagner is over, there are only hyper-competent fighters left.
Putin showed that he was a great leader of a nation, he did everything to preserve the life of each of his people. Another would have immediately used force and destruction, we already see that during a simple demonstration in the West.
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It's over, the musicians return to their camps in the front area. Those in Rostov are happy with the de-escalation, they had no information of what was really going on, their mobile phones having been taken. They were deceived, it seems. They should obtain guarantees of non-prosecution but the case of Prigo remains to be settled. The problem, Wagner may be dissolved, the fighters will no longer have a job, well done Prigo. The western media and kiev will have to imagine fighting in Russia for weeks so that their goats do not fall into a deep depression because they really thought that 25,000 fighters, who they still called Nazi last week, were going to s seize Russia, with their shovel.
Putin retaining the lesson, will listen to the grievances of the hardest to prevent this from happening again and will hit kyiv much harder, the Ukrainians risk going through hell.
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Confiscate Russian assets, TBs are no longer worth anything, agencies such as Euroclear no longer work and close, not directly but because nations stop building up reserves in euros and therefore operations with the EU, correspondent banks European companies are losing money on international operations, are on the verge of bankruptcy, the states are unable to bail them out, they can no longer call on the debt, depositors and savers lose a significant part of their money, revolts violent in the countries. Basically, the West is becoming the Fourth World, it will never recover. Those who claim that the USA and its $ will resist better, I don't really see what else they could sell to the outside world other than lawyers, psychiatrists, sexuality counselors, etc. etc.
Do not repay your loan to the bank, you will see if any bank will give you credit in the future, do not honor a check written to the supplier, do not wait for them to want to continue working with you.
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@joman563 I don't worship it, I'm even quite critical of it without really saying it for the following reasons: so-called open source social networks are fly traps, the fact that several confirm the same info is no guarantee since all take the same source, too often erroneous. Always the same silly reservations, excuses, etc etc etc. Some of my posts show my annoyance. I have my own analyses, my own sources and above all a brain and an ability to see things differently than not the mind of a Westerner, even if I am one, with the advantage of having traveled and worked on 3 continents, I also left Europe, the most rotten region in my opinion.
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Damn it, the Russians don't stick to the plan, they don't run away and overthrow Putin and his government.
More seriously, when generals are preoccupied with becoming oligarchs rather than studying war, when one outsources the training of one's troops to nations that know of war only the targeting of peasants in djellaba from the air, with generals whose only fault in war is wandering in the gilded salons, mobilized under duress, equipment all clean on paper but having never suffered conventional fire, it gives the result that we observe.
Remember, kyiv never regained territory by combat, but always after the departure of the Russians. Also, kyiv has never won the smallest battle even outnumbered. This army there could only be used to frame a demonstration.
One certainty, kyiv resumes the actions of the past, of bandera, with its terrorist acts.
Des années dans l'artillerie et la défense anti aérienne, la formation d'un pointeur capable c'était au moins 8 mois, la simple reconnaissance d'un appareil volant 4 à 6 mois, ....
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It's just the bullshit taught in war school by people who never knew her to people who never will. It is a conflict in which the artillery is the centerpiece because Russia has imposed it that way.
During my years under arms I have known absurdities. You can give the entire Western armament arsenal to Ukraine, it won't change a thing. How many kyiv mobilizations? 10, 11, 12, ...? the Ukrainians know it themselves, translating the number by the losses, so they have no motivation. You can train them for 10 years assuring them that it will save their lives, what they know is that no more people from the regular army trained for 8 years by NATO are alive or in good health. They know the rage of the Russians and the fighters they are, they belonged to the USSR.
NATO does not know how to fight on the ground and all the books of the art of war, land, of the organization are only fables, it only knows how to do in the carpet of aerial bombs without air defense in front . Russia since the era of the bloc has been working out strategy combinations every day involving all possible configuration cases, even the most stupid ones. It has been said that Russia had made mistakes at the start of the conflict and that it corrected it very quickly, normal, it has thousands of combinations ready.
What you say was applied in Vietnam and in virtually all US/NATO conflicts. In your opinion, why does the USA always set up coalitions to go to war in peasant countries? Simply that NATO fights only in superiority in number of troops and materials in a very exaggerated way and yet the result remains null.
The Ukrainian army is a scout troop and the military leaders are even more concerned with the art of oligarchy than war.
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@halinatrolle9775 Russia will eat the Ukrainian troops to the bone, it will wait for the revolution in the Kiev palace which should no longer drag on, the opposition to the Rada, the majority, is beginning to sing the end of the tyrant. There will be no major offensive on Odessa, just a clean-up, before or after the surrender. There will be no major offensives on the Russian side, just advances in territory abandoned by the remnants of Ukrainian troops. We will surely see, at some point, massive regional groups laying down their arms as the people rise up. The head of recruitment declares that all Ukrainian men, he says all men, must prepare to go into combat.
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McCarthy refuses Zelinski's request for a parody at the congressional podium. They would like to receive explanations from Zelinski on US aid spending since 2022. He specifies that the new aid requested by Biden, if accepted, would be reduced. The USA is once again in danger of defaulting next October. There will be serious cuts in the US budget, from the Pentagon, McCarthy warns.
McCarthy refuses Zelinski's request for a parody at the congressional podium. They would like to receive explanations from Zelinski on US aid spending since 2022. He specifies that the new aid requested by Biden, if accepted, would be reduced. The USA is once again in danger of defaulting next October. There will be serious cuts in the US budget, from the Pentagon, McCarthy warns.
Major missile attack in Ukraine, up to Lviv. As always, kyiv will declare that it has countered them all despite the significant damage and losses
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The Russians are conservatives, they prefer to believe in the seasons than in global warming. Thus, they know that autumn will cause the leaves to fall from the tree, currently they shake it to cause the fruit to fall. When the leaves fall, they will climb up the tree to saw off the branches before coming down to saw off the trunk. Old-fashioned lumberjack work while Westerners put on tutus and do ballerinas.
The 6 new members of the BRICS, the GDP PPP of the 27 of the EU, this area is a dwarf in everything.
The EU implores the USA to temporarily lift the sanctions on Venezuela, the need for oil is great, the Europeans will have to pull their cars with a donkey, the industrialists return to the production of electricity by steam by burning wood. The EU is a real slave, it could pay for oil in euros but the US master could sanction even more. In any case, Venezuela will not sell anything to these mafiosi. The fable of the cicada and the ant, very topical.
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It is useful to stop magnifying this upcoming offensive that may never come. To defend Bakhmut, the Ukrainian troops were more important than those which should be employed for the offensive and in surfects compared to the attacker and what is the result? Last year, which I remember, some 20,000 Russians of airborne troops supported by the fire units, without any fortifications, had brought up for 6 weeks offensive attempts to Kherson decimating 6 to 7 brigades on the total of 60,000, at least, Ukrainian fighters. The losses were so much that when the Russians withdrew the Ukrainians were afraid of being pied for total decimation. So this offensive does not happen and it is not certain that it happens, here that the decision is made it may remain only a fraction of these 13 brigades.
Regarding the figures for Ukrainian losses mentioned yesterday, the Russian Defense Ministry published them every day, there are 500 to 700 since the fall of Bakhmut, and during the Bakhmut offensive they were on average in this area of 400. There are 3 other important offensive fronts in the East and in the Donesk region.
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Cynthia DeMario I will never support any revolutions whatsoever because people's revolution simply does not exist. What is called revolution is the diversion and manipulation by interested parties, the elitist or political classes thirsty for power, and for their sole benefit, of a popular revolt. Example, a popular bread revolt does not imply an overthrow of leaders but that is what happens.
My life has already been put to the test in 2 conflicts caused by NATO, Yugoslavia and Libya. Although european I left this Europe a long time ago, I do not feed on the rantings of the media and the press and consider the OSINT news like the facebook of the military thing, open sources, LOL, I read that he heard of the one who has read etc etc etc. I was a professional soldier, no need for illusionists.
Prigo is like Zelinski in the opposite camp, 2 very bad actors, fortunately there are goats otherwise these 2 would reset what they are, enlightened. Prigo is not the owner of Wagner, he is just the director of the company created by russian services, a puppet. When to Medvedev, he says that Russia is ready to face a conflict of 10 years not that it will last this period. Medvedev says this as part of his function as head of the military industry.
Make your revolution, whether you are English or European and believe that in the world other than the West, no one will mourn the Western losses, which would be a fair thing. Regarding the Russians, I work with Russian companies, I do not exchange with machines but with people. Their only concern, that the leaders give up.
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Russian losses ......
24 planes, 57 helicopters, 237 drones, 914 tanks and armored vehicles, 469 artillery pieces, 13 anti-aircraft systems, 19,950 dead, 48,500 wounded, 353 captured. number of soldiers on the ground 420,000, reserve 3,500,000
in the Wagner unit, a huge influx of wages from abroad was noticed
number soliders wagner unit
12 000
Ukrainians lost .............,..
308 planes, 214 helicopters, 2950 drones, 6580 tanks and armored vehicles, 7560 artillery pieces, 499 anti-aircraft systems,
172,000 dead, 252,000 wounded.
18100 prisoners.....
number of soldiers on the ground 785,000
completed mobilization to fill the military units in the number of 100,000 soldiers.
sent a request to the EU for the delivery of all conscripts who deserted
in order to fill the necessary new military units...
252 dead NATO soldiers (officers, instructors, operatives, GB, USA,)
2517dead NATO soldiers (Poland, Germany, Lithuania...)
5890 dead mercenaries..
source ---------------
israeli intelligence service
date 25.01.23
NOT VERIFIED
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According to Telegram reports, the most reliable intelligence service on the planet, many of whose contributors are gamers, the Lunars, allied with the Saturnians, are preparing to invade Earth.
The Russians do not report launching Kinjal, the Russians have the largest fleet of satellites flying over Ukraine, 30% of residents of kyiv and other cities are Russian speaking and are Russia's primary intelligence source. According to kyiv, Ukraine wins the war etc etc etc. Taking up all these myths could be used to write stories for very young children.
The rumors of Scholtz's resignation are false, it is said that with a score of 3 to 5%, the SPD could push the chancellor towards the exit to survive but the latter has declared numerous times that he will remain on his throne, his career is over after his departure, he is not going to hurry. Rumors from Telegram VS official statements from interested parties.
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It was yesterday's information, a private email, I don't know of a public email, so a private email which justifies the information of a eccentric playing the clairvoyant expert. Russia bans fuel exports. Reason, it stores for the needs of a major offensive. Already yesterday I said that Russia is the leading producer of diesel fuel. Even 5 major offensives there was no risk of lacking for the internal market. The truth is, fuel prices on the international market are on the rise, the Russian authorities have not banned exports but could do so. Russian producers prefer to sell fuels for export at more attractive prices than on the domestic market, which causes stronger domestic demand and an increase in prices. Putin assured that he would resolve the problem.
Telegram, the Facebook of war. Open sources, fantasy intelligence services, I prefer to believe in Santa Claus, it's more credible than believing in all these 007s.
Last year I literally ate telegram, the toxic information definitely turned me away from it, my current sources are much more certain, not fantasized they allow a relevant analysis.
Another thing, Lavrov's statement regarding the freezing of the conflict, Putin has said it and repeated it many times since 2022,, but also Peskov, Lavrov, Medvedev, Shoigu, the Duma, etc., all the objectives will be achieved, the end of the conflict will take place
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@thegent2716 Learn the history of this land you will then come back and talk to me about confiscation.
Basically, the Arab Muslims conquered it, then the Ottomans then the Hebrews returned to their land through conquest. Palestinian, name given to Israel by Adrien. You name Palestinians, they are called "filistin", translation "philistine", Aegean people (apparently Cretan) who conquered Gaza, then Egyptian, and established themselves there, Gaza not Israel. There was nothing Arab-Muslim about the Philistines, moreover, the Arabs at that time were either pagans or Jews. Do you think they should claim Iberian land, southern France, too? In 45 and 48 they refused equal sharing because they wanted all the land of Israel out of sectarian belief, a guy would have traveled in the skies, the first cosmonaut, on the back of a donkey.
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The parameter of Ukrainian military personnel is considered only for its losses. The prospect of rebuilding its forces through kyiv is almost overwhelming. How many people are left in Ukraine? 18, 20 million? The ages of those who can fight are the same as those running the country's meager economy. For 1 year the main production of Ukraine has been agricultural, it has returned to the pre-Soviet situation. The oligarchs have been plucked, the help of the West is not enough to recover the losses, especially since the aspiring billionaires have multiplied like grasshoppers, the first of which are zelinski, the troop of his party, the all politicians, senior officers and even subordinates. The security and police services have been exponentially increased to ensure the protection of power and politics, not to mention the repression exercised to prevent any revolts. The West can give 100 times more material, there will never be enough fighters to exploit it. The more material the West delivers, the more funds it must deliver to exploit it. These are the funds that kyiv looks at, she wouldn't ask for anything if there was no cash with it. Therefore, the conflict will not last 1 more year because in addition the state donors will objectively assess the ability to recover their stakes from Westerners, the debt as the economy will end.
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The Ukrainians have no knowledge of war, since 2014 they have been trained by NATO. NATO members have had no knowledge of conventional warfare since 1945. The military doctrines of the members of the alliance are modeled on those of the USA, written by pseudo experts who have never been military, such as the Institute of Defense. War, and it even affected West Point and other academies. These pseudo experts took the war models of the Third Reich, nothing more. The proof is that the West insisted on an offensive with mechanized battalions followed by infantry according to the Barbarossa model, a dream for the Russians. The last and only conventional war of the USA, of the West, the Korean War and it was a defeat. Strutting around boasting about the victory over Iraq makes you laugh. As a result, the weapons in Western arsenals are inappropriate in a conventional war and it shows. These weapons were designed for defense in its territory for Europeans and to put down insurrections in unarmed third world countries. If the land and anti-aircraft weapons of the USA are so few in number it is because the USA is not planning a war on the ground but outside, the reason for the existence of the armada of aircraft carriers and planes. When we build a tank as heavy and difficult to maneuver as the Abraham, the Challenger, the Leopard, we are only copying the Tiger, all in the old-fashioned armor (tons of steel) and in the firing power . The Russians remain in tradition, agility, maneuverability, speed while having worked on unconventional armor.
Certainly, there are losses on the Russian side but that has nothing to do with strategy, tactics, when you are facing fire, in the open you are taking risks, you don't have to be a genius to pull the trigger , pull the cannon cord, just follow orders and think about your life.
When Kiev fired 6 missiles at the former headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet, the West designated the target without even thinking that the fleet headquarters, in times of conflict, would move to a secure location (bunker), further proof that Westerners know nothing about conventional warfare. There will be no major Russian offensive, the Russian doctrine is "spare the troops, the lives" which are the essential weapon of a war. The Russian plan was demilitarization, the plan is implemented, we move forward when the ground is cleared, we do not risk lives with assaults. To this plan was added the destruction of NATO, it is on track. Russia no longer has confidence in Western signatures, it has decided to destroy NATO to achieve its security objectives.
All these palavers, these analyses, these Western fantasies, included here, are just an amusement for the Russians and a confirmation that the knowledge of war no longer exists in the West.
I repeat, in my opinion, the offensive on Kupiansk has nothing to do with the recovery of the Kharkov oblast, of Kharkon itself, of a march on kyiv. There is talk of cutting the Dombas supply line still under its control by capturing Izioum, which is why the offensive line in this direction is so extensive; taking Kupiansk means securing its right flank. Taking Kupiansk is also the possibility of disrupting attacks on the Russian border, attacking targets in Kharkov in multiples and repeatedly with mobile means, e.g. Tornado.
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Nobody understands the Russian strategy which has nothing static, and planned in its objectives. Russia is waging a war of a new era of warfare. Its main goal, to destroy the enemy forces and everything is planned to achieve it but with changing strategies according to the unfolding of the objectives. If we take a good look at how operations have unfolded since the beginning of the conflict, we get lost, there are so many tricks and that is the difficulty of Western military staff, having to continually review their analyses, rooted in their own mind thinking that the war is conducted according to their unique scheme without considering that the other is different. Russia is continually strategizing since the expansion of NATO while Western militaries only think about getting into politics. As we say in France, Western generals are accustomed to salons and the only wars they lead are against the cork of the bottle of champagne and petit fours for which they analyze the shape to know by which end to catch them and swallow them.
I don't believe in a big offensive, I think in advances that represent a serious risk for the enemy in order to attract them in large numbers and continue to destroy the forces of kyiv. I even think that Russia plays the card of the revolt of the Ukrainians provoked by the unimaginable losses. In any case, as after each conflict provoked by the Westerners, the latter will abandon the Ukrainians to their fate, in pleader the EU. Who will be there to recover from a rump state that will have lost most of its economy, passing to the Russian side. I don't think there will be a situation equivalent to the 2 Koreas, the abandoned Ukrainians will turn to Russia and clean their homes themselves.
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You forget that all these political oligarchs losing the value of their fortune, becoming nothing more than simple petty bourgeois, will not support this life which is miserable for them and moreover will hide because the industrial oligarchs will have put a price on their heads.
Imagine, defense budget 800 billion, acquisition of 20 tanks, 4 planes, we go back to the F14 or Phantom it's cheaper, 1 cost guard building, 6000 rifles, 60 infantry armored vehicles, 40 self-propelled field guns , ammunition for 3 weeks of combat against Barbados.
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To think that the losses on Bakhmut are 3 or 2 to 1 in favor of the Russians is nonsense. It is an artillery war, the Ukrainians die without seeing the Russians and when the Ukrainians, in excess, approach the Russians withdraw, provisionally. With the hundreds of Ukrainian casualties, the number for the Russians would be too high. Putin is not Zelinski, a high priest priest. On the northern front we find mainly the forces of the territorial guard, on the eastern and southern fronts of the mobilized and in lesser number of the forces of the territorial guard. Zelinski sends everything he has including the rear protection reserves including Kiev and that is why there is panic and the hunt for those who can be mobilized, whether they are mobilized or not. You have to understand, you have a competent Russian army, well organized, disciplined, well trained fighters, high morale against unmotivated civilians with low morale. Of combatants who learn from the front that their wives who have taken refuge in Europe have already formed a couple with others, losing the wife and the children. Moreover, the Ukrainian generals are worthless, no more no less than the generals only concerned with their careers and whose only wars are the wanderings in the golden salons.
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You must take with great reserve what is broadcast on social networks, including Telegram. To know that Prigo runs a media holding company which feeds the networks and which set up the missile business on Wagner's back. There is no column of Wagnerian armored vehicles, the fighters move on civilian vehicles, such as vans, ... Indeed, Wagner has seized the Rostov HQ, hundreds of inhabitants come to question them and insult them . Combatants and their commanders remain loyal to the state and more and more of them are taking the plunge. The only armored columns, for miles, arriving in Rostov are that of Akhmat, Kadyrov says he received the necessary instructions to end this, he moves other troops elsewhere in Russia. Prigo is actively wanted by the FSB.
What will the Wagnerians do? will they fire on the civilian population? will they face Akhmat, FSB special forces troops and others? will they deliver Prigo? By Monday to Tuesday the case will be settled.
My contacts in the Russian population let me know that the best information is being disseminated through official channels and that Prigo's fate is already settled.
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The Westerners blame the Ukrainians, the Ukrainian officers respond, to fight in excess, with all the panoply of weapons, an insurrection of peasants with shovels and pitchforks is not war. The great chefs with feathered headdresses moved to Ukraine to make the minions understand that they do not have feathered headdresses and that they did not study the woke culture at West Point. Do not laugh, a German instructor on leopard responds to a Ukrainian who asks him what to do in the face of a minefield? bypass it. The driver of the leopard would have to leave at 10:00 p.m. the day before to bypass the minefield and arrive at the front at 8:00 a.m. the next day. Now, the instructors have identified 3 difficulties that they will study to get around them. That's NATO, paper, the Dalton brothers with feathered headdresses and the Shadocks underneath. Basically, dummies call other dummies, the latter, even at the level of combatant without rank, 18 months of war, could be feathered headdress leaders at NATO for the development of strategies and tactics.
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The power of the USA? a fantasy, a fable for children. A gigantic military budget of which 2 thirds evaporates, many tanks, many planes. ...Imagine Bangladesh putting together 20,000 wooden planes and 40,000 plywood tanks, would you say that it is the first army in the world? no of course, yet we say it about the USA, every year while they accumulate failures and defeats. For my part, I would say that the Taliban army is more powerful than that of the USA, the results have demonstrated it.
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To recall that kyiv had hundreds of planes since the start of the conflict, theirs and those handed over by the former Soviet republics. Or are they on vacation on another planet? In view of its failures kiev has always raised the stakes, it needed anti-tank weapons, then guns, then more ammunition, then tanks and infantry vehicles, now planes, tomorrow submarines and doors planes, next month space shuttles, at the end of the year Kiev will require 50% of NATO's nuclear potential. A guy who takes 36 hours to complete a task that only takes 2 hours is incompetent and usually fired by his employer.
The WPost and the NY Times, the two CIA news agencies. How to give them credit? Who does not show hides the truth, the case is applicable in kyiv concerning Zalusni. The fact that it is said that he had a telephone conversation proves nothing, I myself speak to the King of England every day by telephone.
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The head of national security of the Russian Federation reiterates today, without an unconditional surrender of kyiv, the operation will continue. Many politicians at the highest level have already said that for Russia to be able to trust security agreements in Europe, all European politicians must be changed, those present will sign the guarantees without respecting them and even more, the EU must emancipate itself from the USA. So the conflict will continue, the European peoples will overthrow their political classes, NATO will disappear, the USA will fear its Latin neighbors.
As I said yesterday, it's not the overheating of production that generates inflation in Russia, it's the very sharp rise in domestic demand despite the country's tremendous industrialization. Russia's problem now is manpower, zero unemployment, new industries won't find manpower.
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@z-RU_America Tired of these interpretations and purely personal assertions, he is a fanatic of the term wounded. On many subjects, like the mainstream media, he knows the meaning of the words better than the person who declares them, he knows the situation on the spot better than those who experience it. It is well representative of the Western, UK way of thinking. He thinks he's talking to idiots from the height of these certainties and imaginations. In agreement with you, the total losses between dead, wounded, deserters and those who surrendered, the figure is much higher than 120,000. On the other hand, since the start of the conflict, my estimate of the losses (all combined) would be more like 750 000/850,000 but it wouldn't surprise me if it was more than a million, otherwise how can we understand the need for so many men after so many mobilizations. Remember that in May 2022, there were some 700,000. Since the start of the year, there have been 10,000 mobilized monthly, the lowest figure since August 2022, there are no more volunteers.
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I find it hard to believe that Ukraine amassed 75,000 fighters in Zapo, according to the following statements, which follow each other from week to week.
Adviser to the acting head of the DPR, Yan Gagin, stressed that the number of Ukrainian troops in the republic does not yet allow them to launch a counterattack.
Other statement;
The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will lead to huge losses if the West does not provide Ukraine with long-range weapons, said former adviser to the head of the presidential office, Alexei Arestovich.
Regarding the counter offensive in Bakhmut, I think it's a myth, kyiv fails to mobilize, the stocks seem exhausted. And then this story of commandos, a legend, where did they come from? do they grow on trees? Russia has destroyed 2 armies already. And then, even the Americans recognize that 80% of the best troops in kyiv have been wiped out. Finally, if you have to believe the Ukrainian general staff or the liar Zelinski, you might as well watch a good movie, the war ended 10 months ago with a victory for kyiv.
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We will have the "identity of the culprit very soon, we will see what the reactions will be to Erdogan's request for an independent investigation. I have the feeling that, as always, Kiev and the West will refuse this investigation. The media Westerners claim that the Russians are bombing Russian relief.
Apparently the Russians also blew up their Pipe Togliate, according to Western media. They are not afraid, really, Putin would be crazy and maybe next week he will put all his fingers, including feet, on all the buttons.
This event suits kyiv well, which can make amends with an excused counter-offensive. We understand better the chuuuut.
Alexander you are wrong, during the offensive planes and helicopters were shot down.
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