Comments by "Bob" (@bobs_toys) on "Jake Broe" channel.

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  81. Based on what I know and suspect from being associated with China for the best part of twenty years: >>Could Americans expect a draft? << Not my area, but I'd doubt it, it would be important to keep industry going at home. It would be a naval war, industry counts more than soldiers >>Would China become the worlds new dominate military power?<< If we ignore it, yes. If we don't ignore it, no. Most of what the PRC has achieved has relied on the rest of the world ignoring them. Fortunately Russia was the final nail in the coffin of the world ignoring them. >>How capable is Taiwan of defending itself without foreign aid?<< If we completely ignored Taiwan, it would be extremely open to a maritime siege. That this hasn't happened (and the CCP really, really, really wants Taiwan) shows what they belief about your next question: >>Which countries would even come to aid?<< For local countries, look at a map of Asia and ask yourself what happens when the CCP is unrestrained Japan and South Korea are screwed for a start. As is every country in the South China Sea. As is Russia (Seriously. Look up the treaty of Aigun in 1858 and Peking in 1860 - The PRC wants that land back) Further afield, Australia will definitely join in. New Zealand probably will (Hopefully Ardern is voted out soon) and obviously the UK, EU, USA and Canada will be all in. Basically because the consequences of Taiwan losing are catastrophic. Not just strategically but in showing the world what kind of allies the West actually makes. I also doubt this will ever become a land war. Basically because the key isn't to invade the PRC, but to stop it invading other countries. Plus, it's really vulnerable to blockade. Taking energy as an example, they recently bent the knee to Australia and gave in on their coal ban. And their economy is super unhealthy in general. And if war never happens, then their window of opportunity is about the next ten years. That population is ageing at a ridiculous pace (40% drop in births since their 2017 peak)
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