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Bob
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Bob" (@bobs_toys) on "The End of China" video.
Then there's the next thing they've got a problem. Keeping in mind the population is ageing rapidly and the economy is slowing. China's lost the race to get rich before it gets old.
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@BM-wf9uf you could also check the global times. Births per year have dropped from 17 million in 2017 (up full the 15 million in the last year of the one child policy) to 10 million last year. Those are the official numbers, so whatever the reality is, it's that bad or worse. As an Australian who used to live in Hong Kong, I'm more concerned that we're doing this much trade with the barbarians in Beijing. And as for our own demographics. 1. Unlike China, we became rich before we became old. 2. Their birthrate is lower than most of ours. 3. We can attract immigrants. They can't. Especially not in the numbers they need.
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What about when tightening their grip is in response to weakening?
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@NemoBlank well obviously. That's why we're in dictatorships right now. Because those in power have the means to stay at the top indefinitely.
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@NemoBlank the thing to remember with the enforcers in China is that they'll be on the side of the winner in whatever region they're in. That isn't the dealer as being on the side of the party.
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One trillion. Maybe a little more. And it's not debt they can just randomly call in. Each bond matures on a predetermined date and not a minute earlier. Edit: Japan is ahead again. They own about 3 percent of US debt and it will mature in slices over the coming years
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