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Bob
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Bob" (@bobs_toys) on "Making Life Hard for Chinese Tech || Peter Zeihan" video.
It's not whether they're screwed, but it's the amazing variety of self inflicted ways they're screwed that always amazes me.
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When they do that, they lose the things that pay for imports of food and raw materials.
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@entrusted2387 I can see from looking at a map that when it comes to that, they've got problems.
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@entrusted2387 assuming they did have all the weapons and ammo they wanted, though.... Then what? Even if you control the oceans near Asia, a blockade starts out as far away as the Americas and the east coast of Africa. From the Americas, you've got the US navy. Between you and the east coast of Africa, you've got a plethora of countries you've stolen from with your plundering of the south China Sea. Countries that know what happens if you're dominant. And over land through whatever's left of Russia, you're simply not going to get enough supplies to keep you fuelled, heated and fed. Having an extremely well equipped army isn't good to be useful in that case. The PRC is extremely vulnerable to siege.
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@juanzingarello4005 the state needs the same generation that they'd be killing in war to take care of the elderly. Not the it matters. China doesn't matter. Only the CCP's leadership does. If letting China burn (again) and destroying its future (again) is good for the CCP, they'll do it.
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Or it's simply a bipartisan issue and both sides feel they can get points by saying the other is soft on China.
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It favours the people of Hong Kong, Xinjiang and Tibet. It also favours Taiwan. To say nothing of every one of their neighbours, with the exception of North Korea. Maybe it even favours Russia. With their masses of stolen land China hasn't forgotten about.
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Declined vs what?
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Your country is bragging about being able to make a cpu on an architecture no one uses that's similar to a budget cpu from four years ago.
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When the PRC looks like it's on its way out, what's to stop the Congolese govt from finding a pretext to simply claim them? They're also the biggest graphite miners (normally because it's so cheap or are willing to ignore environmental concerns) but they're not the holders of the largest graphite mines. Rare earths is in the same boat. They used to control 90 percent. Then they tried punishing Japan. Now they control 60 percent. Realistically, the world has China by the balls when it comes to resources. They only produce 70 percent of the food they consume (declining rapidly) they depend on the ocean for energy imports and this isn't going to change for a very long time.
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7nm chips that are copies of a 4 year old chip built using the last generation of technology and not being produced at scale. And 6trn divided by 1.4 billion rapidly ageing people still isn't that much. Particularly in a corrupt society. It's a bit over 4k each. As for being less creative when they return home. They're going back to a culture that tells them to agree with those above them. The PRC culture doesn't allow it to us its best.
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Start? It's been going on for three decades.
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This is why I've got hopes for Vietnam. They're in the position China was twenty years ago, but without any chance of becoming collectively big enough to get the PRC's hubris.
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Better ten years ago than now. Better now than in ten years time.
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So what was the last major territorial gain that was made by the Russian army? Was there one over the last year?
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He cleans the blood from the last raccoon before each video.
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U.S. export totaled $153.8 billion, an increase of 1.6% ($2.4 billion) from 2021; U.S. imports from China totaled $536.8 billion, an increase of 6.3% ($31.8 billion); and the trade deficit with China was $382.9 billion, an increase of 8.3% of ($29.4 billion) In other words: No they don't.
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That's coming the moment it's more damaging to the CCP's leadership (no one cares about China. Or even the CCP as a whole, really) to avoid war than to go to war. There's nothing we can do to stop it. The only way to delay it is to prepare for it.
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The good thing about those things is they never actually go anywhere. And if they're expropriated, I'm sure adequate compensation will be paid to the Republic of China.
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@Gumdropnipples how easy are they for the PLA to defend if it comes to that?
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@Gumdropnipples so lets assume they have some farmland in Iowa that's next to a base. Something happens that makes it a national security concern and they're forced to give it up. What tools would make that defensible if they decided to resist?
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@Gumdropnipples I don't see how a law similar to that would make it easier to defend a Chinese owned farm in the USA.
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@Gumdropnipples you're talking about things that make it easier to go after it. Not harder
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@Gumdropnipples the point was that when war starts, this land will be pretty useless to them. If they can't physically defend it, they can't use it.
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So where are you claiming to be from? Also, the USSR made a space station using components we wouldn't exactly consider modern today.
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Same way they have a shortage of women, but lots of single women who can't find a husband. Or a shortage of youths combined with a high youth unemployment rate. The CCP has a genius for making seemingly contradictory problems co exist.
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Still don't have clean water to the tap or food and medicine that can be trusted to be what it says it is. Just a bunch of things that were achievements in our parent's time
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You can tell this by that the Americans are giving up on having children at an unprecedented rate and that almost no one would consider emigrating there. Oh wait. That's the PRC.
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And outside of shanghai and Shenzhen, they're generally just not that good at it. Or when it's done, it's just not that useful. Not enough to justify the cost. Take maglev trains. Shanghai has had one for over twenty years. Almost no one else has. Why? It's not because it's cutting edge technology and they're not ready for it. It just wasn't worth the expense. Even train crazy China has barely bothered. As far as CPUs go, unless you mean Republic of China CPUs, we're not talking about Chinese high end CPUs selling.
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@kongwee1978 so China's second commercial one in over twenty years is going to connect two cities of 21 and 24 million people. If it happens. That's not saying much for how commercially viable they are. And I'm not sure why you brought up those CPUs. They're not high end. They're just low power. They're also not made in the PRC. Not sure why you brought up nvidia either. They're making their chips in the Republic of China. A completely separate and independent country.
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Here you're highlighting how much of the past three generations China's spent being an absolute basket case. Maybe my future grandchildren will see the end of this period. Maybe they won't. Maybe they'll grow up never thinking of China as a single country. If you use the CCP's definition of what China is, it's been over seventy years since any of us have known a China that's a single country.
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@majorcalvary6515 Western ones changed. The PRC is what China was two centuries ago.
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Except Japan knew how to project force.
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Jesus. What year is this? You're still going on about 5G? As for a space program, welcome to the 1960's
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