Comments by "Bo McGillacutty" (@Mrbfgray) on "The Electric Viking"
channel.
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16 to 17yr old I bike toured 4200 miles, central California to tip of Alaska and back, the long way.
We traveled a LOT LIGHTER, no front saddlebags, just heavy stuff between handlebars, minimal rear bags with sleeping bag on top. Carried parts and tools for everything we could, spokes, chain links, cables.... All had spare tire figure 8 around sleeping bag. I broke rear derailleur chain tension spring just out of Canada going S, in minutes bro and I fashioned Bunge cord to nylon string to derailer for chain tension, worked so well I rode it home next 2 wks.
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@MrMichaelBCurtis You are way out of date on this. Batts are being profitably recycled reclaiming 98% of the metals they are made of and they aren't toxic unless you are referring to old lead acid ones. That's laughable. Iron and lithium are in abundant supply and while FeLi batts won't serve all applications they will for most.
Ni is the only significant limiting factor on the resource front, there will be pressure on nickel this decade which will be foreseeably required for higher E-density applications like a semi truck where mass is critical and, obviously, aircraft. Cobalt is nearly eliminated from new Tesla batts and apparently not essential even in tiny quantities. Most cobalt today is consumed (not recyclable) in oil refining, clearly that use will fade to zero.
Sometime, maybe next decade, mining batt minerals will likely languish as recycling will replace most of the need for new metals.
A lot more electric will be required, even more than when air conditioning came about increasing demand some 30% in a matter of yrs, more like 100% over some 15yrs. Fortunately we have more viable alternatives today then ever including safe nukes. I will be one of many who runs off my own roof and batt packs enough for home and a car or two.
Batts have followed Wright's Law, cost coming down some 20% for each doubling of production, the metals part of the price is not close to the total cost of fabricating batts. Price will continue to plunge leveling out well below the cost of an ICE engine in a matter of yrs.
1st Tesla roadster had a $100k batt pack, today far superior packs are some 8 or $10k. That will become 5k before you know it.
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@point-blank3369 The problem is that the entire ICE "assets" are actually a liability, same with stealerships. Only a few yrs from now no one will want to buy a NEW ICE car. This is just another Apple vs all the rest except even bigger motes for Tesla, winner takes most there will still be a dozen folks wanting a Blackberry or Toyota.
Legacies have been dumb, they earned their demise and it's healthy, creative destruction. Unless China invades Taiwan say, or continues the lockdown insanity, only they will give Tesla a real run for their money. Ford has a nice work truck in the Lightening, it will sell but they can't make many, aren't even planning to. Rivian has a good sports truck (not a work truck) but both of those are likely to lose money for some time to come and struggle with mass production.
Toy? snicker snicker, they like BMW (fan of BMW, have two of them, also fan of Honda and Toy for their past, not their future) still planning to build ICE into 2035 or '40! Good Grief that's ridiculous. BMW is actually one of the leaders among German brands for EVs, VW doing it's best might survive or merge with BM, Merc....as they all dramatically downsize.
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@GoCoyote Increased CO2 reduces water requirements for plants and has visibly greened the Earth. NASA recorded such from space. Plants can only become more drought tolerant as stomata need not be open as much to acquire the CO2 required.
CO2 is a bit player in climate, not remotely THE driver. Water vapor makes up 70% of the greenhouse effect with many other gasses participating. And increasing CO2 has decreasing effect as levels increase, the effect of next doubling does less than double the effect.
The primary connection between climate and CO2 is that when Earth cools more CO2 is stored in water, 40X more CO2 in oceans than atmosphere. Not always but often it's clear that CO2 lags temperature change for this reason.
It's been said that "we shouldn't be conducting this experiment." Anyone can understand that, makes sense, but we are doing this experiment even if we somehow managed to keep or return to pre-industrial 280ppm.
What IS the ideal CO2 level? 280 is long term historically on the extreme low end and the climate over the last 3M yrs has been erratic and devastating to much of N. hemisphere with more time under couple km ice than not.
Mass plant extinction is expected around 150 to 100ppm, that would be the end of everything that matters and recent glacial maximums have seen as low as 180, extremely dangerously low. Would say 600ppm be safer going into the next glacial max? Probably a little bit, can't hurt.
Or will 600 prevent next glacial max? No one can say because our climate models are a farce, they do not work, but I suspect NO.
We only have sketchy hypothesis for how 12 deg C temp swings happened in a matter of decades in the YD (Younger Dryass) for example, until models can predict YD, Medieval warm period, Little Ice
Age, etc., they may be dismissed.
Think about 12C! We fret over 1.5C this century tho there's no reason to expect we can predict such. YD was yesterday in geologic time, geology being the origin of climate science.
I suspect 600 (about where we will likely plateau as fossil fuels are becoming obsolete) is significantly healthier and safer than 280.
To think 280 is magically better just because it was more "natural" is as mindless as any religion ever was. Do we think this planet was made for us or life in general?? SURE God dunit and it was perfect before we came along.
Unfortunately...natural climate is catastrophic without us and probably with us until we can actually control it.
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@lengould9262 The Right has also been moving Left for many yrs but patheticly weak in upholding or countering anything. The Left creates entire fantasies and runs wild with them for yrs without consequence: Russian collusion farce, Jan 6 fabrication while laughing when the Left attacks the WH in an insurrection, President forced to retreat to bunker (funny stuff!), burning up the guard house, knocking over a long fence injuring many cops, on and on. ZERO conseqences.
Just last week a front running REPUBLICAN governor was SWATTED (really after 1.5yrs) his residence raided by the FBI which is in collusion and the DOJ...his crimes? Misdemeanors like trespassing. Left is creating civil war.
What were a few yrs ago Alex Jones nutjob conspiracies are today's reality--forced injections, vaccine passports, complete loss of all civil rights, Right protestors getting solitary confinement without charges. The Ministry of Truth attempt, it's frankly terrifying.
Not confident we will have a USA in any meaningful sense, what part of The Constitution is left? (Right was most to blame for Patriot act which was one big step in wrong direction 20 yrs ago)
We need a radical shift toward Libertarianism or dissolution of this disunited states if the authoritarian Left doesn't grow up and get real.
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@jacobnunya808 Difficult when they are bulling every nation in the S. China Sea area, decimating ocean fish stocks, stealing industrial/military secrets wholesale, genociding the Wiegers (sp?), infiltrating Western universities, social media, etc., etc.
Causing a global pandemic, covering up it's origins (they created it in a lab with USA help) and deliberately exporting the virus all over the world and still no real consequences for that?!
Worst actors on the global stage, the CCP cares about one thing, staying in power.
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@sabymondal Been great so far, still up 4 or 5X, this disconnect from reality is hilarious, won't last indefinitely. That the Establishment is tripping on themselves to fabricate nonsense created this once in a lifetime opportunity for the 2nd time since May 2019--thinking of a mortgage on my home or selling one of my fave BMWs just to buy more. EASILY 10X from here over next 4 or 5 yrs.
Twit files have shown a light on the incredible corruption, election manipulation, etc., etc., of Establishment social and propaganda media in collusion with FBI, DHS and the rest. And Tesla doesn't pay the media mafia protection racket, aka., advertising.
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@labandonaldhock80 You don't understand...all combined uses beyond fuel are tiny in comparison and can easily enough, cost effective at far lower than today's petroleum price, be made from biomass profitably. Oil is the easiest extracted commodity to replace other than water.
Example: Local to me we have massive piles of wood chips that used to be consumed in wood fired electric plants, much more is readily available but now burned dirty in open fields (retarded politics).
A subsidiary of Shell Oil proposed a $200M plant to turn the cellulose into diesel, kerosene (Jet fuel) with some H left over. (goes without saying that rubber, plastics, fertilizers, lubricants, etc., can be made instead) Not sure if it will happen but it's a viable technology, the only thing likely slowing it down is previous cheap petrol and toxic California policy environment against building anything new.
Many other ways to create oil and it's derivatives for everything but mass surface transport fuel, not about to be enough for that. Gasoline and diesel going to be mostly obsolete by say 2035/40. Methane for rockets can be created from electricity, air and water...or obviously, decaying biomass.
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@Markcain268 IDK if you are trolling here but the first thing is to open an online broker account, don't fret too much on which one, just get started, you can change brokers later if you want.
Yes you can buy and sell anytime the market is open, but DO NOT trade, invest for the long term. Retail (aka., amateur traders lose), over time you must gain a solid base of conviction in whatever COMPANIES you own so that you don't sell at the worst possible time, when the company is doing great but the stock, or market as a whole is falling.
Don't confuse price action with company prospects, ultimately the two will align but not in the short term.
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@rogerstarkey5390 Another angle:
We've seen FAR more stressful times in Tesla, 2018 the worst in recent memory, Elon was sleeping on the factory floor for many months, for all to see that HE was getting it worse than anyone else and there to be woken at any moment to solve problems on the assembly line as they struggled with the ultimate test of 1st mass production. Wasn't clear they would survive but Elon never quits.
Today Elon is confident, relaxed and enjoying himself. Not complacent but able to laugh easy. Possible he's kidding himself but probably not to THAT degree.
I have reason to expect they will solve crucial problems and continue to perform like no one else even attempts to. If the 4680 continues to lag, as it has so far (no big surprise to me), it won't be pain free but they'll find a way as they always have.
Such confidence doesn't come quick and easy, I as millions of others, stressed with them. Over the yrs you begin to understand, they don't DO EASY but they find a way.
Probably Elon's greatest strength is building spectacular teams and motivating them to do the barely possible.
You may not have that confidence, most understandably don't, but you may not have "seen" what I and others lived thru. As an investment--I can only suggest you take the time to gain SOME of that same sentiment or simply stay clear. There are no shortcuts.
Without REAL CONVICTION you'll bail at the worst possible time. Many claim conviction but betray the opposite by fretting over meaningless stock price action. They don't want to admit it but they are not invested they are gambling, a losers game.
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@GolLeeMe Partially just trolling you, but all platitudes aside, what specifications does it excel at? Range, performance, software, OTA updates, price, pleasing to use, driver dynamics, storage cap....?
Results matter, not so much their claimed design approach which every mfg touts and advertises as SO special.
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@jeffg4570 We don't even know what the situation is here, just speculation, can't be about Starlink IMO, they don't sell the receivers nor turn on the system for China. You can't hide the receiving dishes, the CCP has a problem with VPNs not Starlink.
SpaceX and Tesla are doing fantastic, this whole Twitter distraction narrative is a fabrication, obviously the Establishment vilifies Elon, they are guilty as hell as the T. Files show, way beyond the wackiest conspiracy theories.
So distract, divert and continue using Orwell's 1984 as an instruction manual, it's worked so far.
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What if used as NatGas is today, for heating and cooking, peaker plants, don't remove the methane just burn both together. If it's 10% methane 88% H2, would eco-warriors claim victory? They should.
(realizing some complications, steel pipe hydrogen embrittlement?? Leakage, diff combustion characteristics....)
Process as described should very gradually increase atmospheric O2, assuming oxygen makes it to surface, H2 will find a way out and then mostly leave Earth entirely, leaving less water and more O2. By us burning it there's no net change in water or O2, just a cycle.
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@waynefergusson9987 It's OK if you can't defend your beliefs in this instance, we all need to strive to be less wrong. I was only asking u to justify for yourself why u cling to this notion. No need to prove to or persuade you...but just for the thought exercise and fun. :D
Bike ain't good proxy for an automobile, host of reasons hub motors can be good for a bicycle, "2 dimensional", you can't go far out off center plane and motor is relatively miniscule.
We'll see about a, say 500 hp battery street bike, I say NO hub motor there either, but a light pedal bike--hub motors make ton of sense.
Rode high performance street bikes hard daily for many yrs, excellent suspension is NOT OPTIONAL when you are dancing around on bad asphalt with 'unlimited' performance, braking to the point of transient lockups, leaning hard while torqueing wheels...etc.
Tires must follow the surface and adjust nearly instantaneously, mass resists that. Same for a car at the limits or emergency situation.
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