Comments by "Bo McGillacutty" (@Mrbfgray) on "Are CVTs The Best (Fastest) Transmissions?" video.

This would be a good time to forget about revolutionary transmissions altogether, EVs are going to take over the world and they don't need transmissions.
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@markdoan1472 No they don't. Hybrids are also obsolete along with pure ICE cars, most don't know it yet but they will in a few yrs. Affordable long range EVs are around the bend.
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@markdoan1472 I'm a bit of a Petrol Head, love my high revving ol' BMW M3 V8, but massive disruption is coming down the pike, so much so that that I'd hesitate to own an index fund. Energy, transportation, grid--all are going to be upended. (airliners excepted for now) Even vehicle ownership will likely become obsolete for most urban dwellers. Won't happen overnight but much faster than most ppl imagine.
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@markdoan1472 Did I not except airliners??? If your info is from last yr you are out of date. FAR more cobalt is used for refining gasoline than for batteries and batts don't even require it. Ni is also optional depending on application. Large quantities of Ni will be required for semi trucks but cars will do fine without it and 90 to 98% of all the metals will be recycled endlessly. Hybrids ARE stop gap. Heavy equipment, farm tractors and such will probably be last to convert (tho very small excavators and such are already better as batt rentals) but semis are next in line and will be far less expensive to operate. Again--you are NOT UPDATED, it's NOT a static situation, vast improvements on the order of 50% over several key metrics including mass and cost are already being manufactured by Tesla in small quantities soon to be in massive quantities.
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@markdoan1472 --a few fun facts: I used to be concerned about Tesla long range semi being compromised on payload due to batt mass, a few % loss of load cap is a big deal there, that looks to be solved now and they will be able to get an extra 400 miles (out of total 500 range) in about 30 minutes charge time. Not an issue when a driver is mandated breaks anyway and unlike diesel the driver need not be there, just plug in and walk away. Even if that were not the case a big market exists for shorter range. The economics should drive huge demand but obviously it will take yrs to ramp production, charging infrastructure, etc....but it's happening. BMW announced a reasonably compelling car also with cobalt free batts but as with all competitors it won't be of comparable VALUE to Tesla's cheaper options. Competition is good tho and there will be plenty particularly from China. Not everyone will like Tesla tech over say a Polstar 2 which is very good and comparably priced tho with range and charging limitations. Sweden and Norway have the highest EV adoption rates on Earth despite some 30% range/efficiency penalty in winter months, that's going from say 120 mpg equivalent to 80 or 90 mpgE, quite compelling still. Naturally there will be fringe cases where petrol will continue to dominate anyway but it's not stopping Canadian's much so far. For many going from a 400 or 500 range to 300 or 400 is not a big deal. (those ranges are near future mostly, not common today but soon enough) In a few yrs there will be a good $25k Tesla option which will be the kiss of death to economy ICE cars. Meanwhile Porsche's best seller, by far, is it's only EV model, a pricey toy no doubt but a hint of the future.
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