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Freedom Crusader
Anders Puck Nielsen
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Comments by "Freedom Crusader" (@freedomfighter22222) on "Russia's economic crisis" video.
That's the way war economy usually goes yes, due to data not only being hidden for foreign observers but even being hidden intentionally and unintentionally domestically as well. Nobody knows where the breaking point is, but it is somewhere and if the economy gets there before the war is over it is going to hit incredibly hard, if the war is over before the breaking point then it is still going to be a horrible economic crisis due to how much damage is already inflicted. The only thing that is certain about the amount of time it will take to the breaking point is too much and it can't come soon enough, could be next week or in 2 years, as far as anyone can actually know for certain though.
68
Classic, the competent person warned everyone the entire way and works double shift to try to keep the entire thing together while everyone blames them for doing a bad job when shit inevitably hits the fan just like they said it would.
63
@markopodganjek845 China isn't propping up the Russian economy outside buying resources from it at reduced prices, it is doing what is profitable to itself and benefiting of Russian losses.
27
That analysis is easy, it is entirely fucked but as long as the West(mainly Europe) keeps financing it that doesn't matter. The Ukrainian economy would not stand a chance if it wasn't for Western money, that's not a secret or something anyone needs to think about to understand or give a good analysis on. I am of course in the mind that the west absolutely should continue sending that financial support, worth every euro and we should give much more.
16
Saved Europe is a pretty far stretch, if Russia couldn't make it through Ukraine it sure as hell wouldn't be more than an annoyance if it tried to fight Europe.
4
Russia has advanced 40km since Avdiivka fell 10 months ago, anyone describing that as a collapse is a moron. When a collapse happens it will look like the Ukrainian Kharkiv offensive, which of course doesn't even mean the opposing force is defeated, just that a strategic advantage was gained. Russia isn't advancing along the entire front or taking ground rapidly in a certain theater, it is concentrating much of its forces in small areas(Kursk, Kupyansk and Pokrovsk directions) and still barely moving forward under large bombardment and infantry advantage. What you're looking at is a normal average offensive from someone that is willing to keep going despite taking overwhelming losses, that's not a success, that is embarrassing. Which other offensives in military history do you know of that covered a distance of 40 kilometers in nearly a year do you know of that you would describe as having been a clear collapse of the opposing forces? The cases where the frontline moved in this fashion are usually described as impressive fighting retreats that took advantage of an enemy that didn't know when to give up, if it wasn't for all the defeatists in the West and the ridiculous cope from tankies and Russians the Pokrovsk offensive would be described(correctly) as a monumental disaster for the Russian military.
4
"Yet, as Perun shared in one of his earlier vidéos, this doesn't mean the Russian economy is close to collapse" Of course, that also means it doesn't mean it isn't close to collapse, people just agree that it is headed towards disaster, but nobody has any idea if that happens in a month or 2 years.
3
Russia is a great bit bigger than 3 times the size of Ukraine, But you're applying that 3:1 standard in the entirely wrong way anyway, so the wrong size comprehension doesn't matter. It is entirely normal for the defender to lose more than the attacker and for an attacking force 5 times greater than the defender to be wiped out while doing almost no damage at all to the defender. The 3:1 ratio is a rule of thumb that says you should bring at least 3 times the force of the defender to be relatively comfortable that you will win, not that you will take 3 times higher casualties. While a 5:1 ratio is applied to be certain of victory(but that can of course still fail at times) It has nothing to do with losses, it also has little to do with manpower as 3 guys in a tank is worth a lot more combat power than 1 guy in a trench.
3
@michaelotieno6524 Bruh, Russia has been running a staggering deficit the past 3 years, that's not even taking into account the value of lost equipment.
3
The vast majority of aid to Ukraine is given. not loaned, What is loaned is in vast majority also free money as they are the classic "totally a loan we aren't giving away money" that politicians use to get necessary expenses through the morons blocking it, interest rates far below inflation and frozen payments with no interest increments for the first 10 years. Once the war ends Ukraine will very rapidly grow its economy and the West will throw more money at it while deferring a bunch of the loans. Ukraine is not at all owned by foreign creditors, it has been countries giving "loans" with good intentions that has supported Ukraine and will continue to do so, the "burdened by loans" narrative isn't real, it is a tankie and Russian talking point they can use because people don't know how money works.
2
Russia started taking loans a couple years ago, very fucking bad ones with horrible conditions because nobody wants to lend money to it as it is obvious it will not be able to pay back. Russia has also run with large deficit(not counting the value of lost material), energy money isn't remotely close to cover the cost of the war and sanctions.
2
Who is going to force Ukraine to stop fighting? Trump doesn't have the power to do so even if he wanted and Europe is clear that it will continue support regardless how long it takes.
2
lol
2
Good that you know in advance Russia is doing poorly, shows you're of great intellect
2
Took 4 years for the German war economy in ww1 to come to the point Germany gave up, it isn't exactly unusual for the economic decline of war economies getting to the point of failure taking several years. Maybe a few months, maybe a couple years, but inevitably the Russian economy can not continue selling off assets and taking horrible interest rate loans like it is doing. It took 20 years for Putin to build the wealth of Russia to the point it could support this war, the upcoming economic collapse that is coming is going to be far worse this time than it was after the Soviet Union fell. Personally I find it very sad that you decided to commit suicide in this fashion after Europe tried so hard to build friendly economic relations to the point it ignored the wars in Chechnya, Georgia 2008 and the invasion of Crimea/Donbass 2014. Europe just kept giving you chances to not be retarded and every step on the way you slapped that hand away, now you have proven to it that eastern Europe was right and there will not be a new chance, this time it ends with the collapse and balkanization of Russia, as you have chosen yourself. But you guys have good luck and fun with that, that is going to be terrible and I sincerely would have wished otherwise like the vast majority of the West did as well.
2
@kasperchristensen8416 nono, some people that are supermarket employees claimed that on reddit so clearly that was the consensus of the West.
2
@Notrusbot Putting "bot" in your name sure makes you seem like a reliable source and reasonable voice 😂
1
No, that is not possible, where did you get that idea? Even if the speculation from people who have no clue is that there might be a ceasefire wasn't fiction that does not come remotely close to suggesting the West would revert any sanctions. Reverting sanctions isn't something anyone that matters have suggested, Europe is speaking in unison on the topic and says all sanctions will stay in place until a final peace has been negotiated and Russia has agreed to cover the cost of damages in Ukraine. Meanwhile in USA not only does Biden find the idea hilarious but Trump strongly agree with Biden on the topic, which isn't exactly weird considering how strong sanctions on things like Nord Stream 2 was under Trump's last presidency. Sanction reversion isn't only off the table, it has been thrown in a safe and dumped somewhere in the center of the Atlantic ocean, absolutely nobody talks about that which are related to making such decisions. As a bonus, despite it obviously being propaganda to appear strong, even Russia says the sanctions don't matter and their economy is actually stronger now that it stopped supporting Europe with energy and got new trade partners 🤣
1
What is giving you the idea sanctions will be relaxed? Sure isn't what any current or coming governments has signaled so I am genuinely curious if it is the new US government, lead by the man that started saying Russia should be sanctioned all the way back before nord stream 2 construction began, or something different you read in a headline that is completely detached from reality?
1
You really think the Russian woman high up in the bank system wouldn't be constantly accused if anything went bed in the economy? She would definitely be used as a scapegoat just due to how easy it would be to accuse the "spy that is only here to destroy our economy!"
1