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N Marbletoe
Dr. John Campbell
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Comments by "N Marbletoe" (@nmarbletoe8210) on "Pandemics, Update and history" video.
I agree it may have become less lethal. . I disagree that this automatically means that we should not lock down. Maybe, maybe not. A disease that is less lethal can actually be more dangerous if it is more catching.
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@rogerstarkey5390 There are indeed more cases and fewer deaths in the US, if you compare the first peak to the second. . The second peak had twice the cases and half the deaths, so about 1/4th of the death rate. . However, the case numbers are not derived from random sample surveys, this is all unscientific guesswork. That is surprising because random surveys are cheap and easy.
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A PhD entitles one to use that title, and a Medical degree also. They probably should have two different words, but that's ancient history.
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The tests are very good. However, getting population estimates from haphazard sampling is terrible science. . Actually it's not science at all. We need random sample surveys to get real numbers. But the PCR tests are very good, with a very low false positive rate.
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150 years of bad management. It doesn't flip in one year. . Management has gotten a lot better in the past 30 years but people don't want to commit the real $ to do it right.
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@aylbdrmadison1051 You must understand, 3 million is a number we live with every year. The virus has killed 1 million. Therefore it is harmless. . No I don't get it either.
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Oxygen is smaller than a virus
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@halley4032 Wha!? Ok that's wild, I'm looking it up. I know about PG13 (Paul George who wears #13) but not PG5.
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Small amounts = a good way to get immune without croaking
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"The color of the sunflower reveals the truth that to flourish is to fall"
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good news on the tests!
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@paulavandenbroeck1333 Yes, I agree it is quite logical to compare human nature in two situations, even if they are vastly different scenarios. . People isolating to protect the wider population -- that is very similar. . It would be similar even if the virus had a 0% mortality rate and only turned people into frogs or daisies.
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@ykook7000 no
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Cite one of the reports. I do not believe this is common.
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I agree. It actually makes biological sense that our immune system would not be running at 100% capacity all the time, and could be strategically boosted. . In fact, it is boosted whenever we get sick. I think he was trying to say that you can't make yourself immune to everything by being super-healthy.
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I have seen peer-reviewed papers that showed good filtering by various home made mask materials, and also others that showed little filtering. .
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A false positive of 1/2000 is very low. So that's awesome! The test is very good if it's anywhere near that low.
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@chanjoinaua5273 Interesting! Thanks for the information. . My dad and I were talking about the same effect in statistics a few days ago! Even a good test can give a more false positives than true positives, if the true rate is very low. . In practical terms, if I tested positive and didn't have symptoms, I'd want a second test to confirm it.
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So 3 million deaths is about zero, and 1 million is also about zero. . I think you are probably an astronomer?
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what is a bone mask?
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@rpowell2u Yeah it is very disappointing to see a lack of proper sampling surveys. . I studied avian malaria in Hawaii in grad school. If you want to estimate something, you do a random sample. Why are entire nations dumber than dropout grad students? . My state governor thinks "positivity rate" is a meaningful stat. . I guess I'm saying, I agree lol
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Even if that is true, which it may be in places, without the cure the disease would have been 100x worse.
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@Google-Earth123 That is very interesting, but it does nothing to lessen the impact of the virus. It is a great reminder to be healthy.
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Because viruses do not travel as single virions, they are inside droplets.
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So what. It is logically impossible to prove one thing killed you when you had two deadly conditions.
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@jasoninva7356 Where should that word go? I didn't use it but maybe I should. . I'm just saying, if a hawk and a ferret both kill me at the same time, it is logical to list me under hawk kills and ferret kills.
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@christopherrobinson7541 Makes sense. Meanwhile in the US, Trump says "99% of cases are ok" and the news has a ten day crying fit. . Our news treats him unfairly, and I'm not even a Trump fan.
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@zztops489Y Both D and R parties are spreading it and bragging. I'm not on either side, I try to avoid gang violence.
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