Comments by "N Marbletoe" (@nmarbletoe8210) on "Immunity and vaccine optimism" video.

  1. get sunlight, even a few minutes makes hundreds of iu
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  2.  @GlobalFreeLiving  I don't think it's a scam at all, but I'm 100 agreement that any vaccine must be voluntary. . Thankfully in the US there has never been a mandatory vaccine that I know of. (Schools don't count as mandatory, since kids can be home schooled.)
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  3.  @marythibault9032  I'd fricken boycott California, and then I'd brace for 8 more years of Trump lol. . I've never voted R but the D party is skating on thin ice over the lake of freedom. .
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  4.  @hagbard72  The last one was from the US, before that it was Arabia, and before that it was China, and before that it was England. . Zoonotics aren't very nationalistic.
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  5.  @hagbard72  I thought that 2009 Swine Flu was from the US but I looked it up and it first appeared in Mexico! . But the 1976 Fort Dix outbreak of H1N1 was from the US, but it didn't spread because it was discovered quickly and not hidden. . The Spanish Flu possibly started in Kansas (1917). The US and other nations covered it up in the interest of morale. (It was called "Spanish" Flu because the Spanish government didn't hide it.) . For England, I'm putting Mad Cow disease, although we don't know where it first began but the Brits fed cows to cows and made it into a thing. . It's not evil for a disease to appear in a country; it is to cover it up. It's also evil to keep animals in horrible conditions, and karma is a sometimes virus.
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  6. ... and accidentally destroy music, art, and puppies? Let's not!
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  7.  @rijamor  If we find a gene for religion and remove it, we may discover that art, music, and love of others would also disappear. . Religion may be closely related to these other "useless" things. . If we want a world of robots without emotion... well, just do that! Go for it! No judgement here. Just don't go messing up the genes of the species, which nature took 4 billion years to design.
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  8.  @rijamor  I would agree the arts are independent of religion. However, the arts and religion may both depend on the same genes. . A car is independent from a bus. But both depend on the same Ford factory. . Religion and art are both meta-logical, subjective, and inspirational. Is it not possible they evolved to use overlapping brain circuits and genetic programming? . Here is an analogy: Let us say you and I rule a space station, and we want to end our greatest problem, bank robbery. So we delete the gene for bank robbery in every new baby. It works! After some years there are no more robberies! . But... it worked because it was also the gene for feet... Now nobody has feet. So we just eliminated feet from humanity. . The old quotation, "Beware of getting rid of your demons, lest you lose the best part of thyself."
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  9. PCR has been around for a long time. Yes it can be "too sensitive" but that actually means it's a good diagnostic. It is very specific (very low false positive rate, less than 0.6%, perhaps much less).
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  10. Did your state do a random sample testing program to estimate that 0.7%? . If not, we don't know the actual rate. Unfortunately that's common.
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  11. That's laughable. Dr. Coleman must be a dreamer like me. I think that every person should get permission from dogs before petting them, in writing, notarized by hummingbirds. . I realize this is impractical. Hummingbirds only live in the Americas, but dogs need petting world wide.
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  12. A light does can act as a vaccine. It can give people a very mild case and then lead to immunity. . The problem is reliability. A light dose could also kill some people.
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  13.  @fatbelly27  Since vitamin D is fat-soluble, I would expect that it should not be taken too much. However, since the body makes 10,000 IU in half an hour in the sun, I agree, "massive" doses like that are probably fine. . However, I feel more comfortable getting it the natural way, in the sun.
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  14. If the test finds dead virus particles, that's actually a true positive.
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  15.  @Beekind799  Oh ok, yes I agree, they are not new cases! . But the test isn't the problem. It's giving correct results. The problem would be the interpretation that they are new cases.
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  16.  @OceanFrontVilla3  I am very pro-vaccine, but very anti-mandatory. There's never been a mandatory vaccine in the USA to my knowledge, and never should be.
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  17.  @OceanFrontVilla3  Sure, but that's not mandatory. That's "If you want to send your kid here" requirement. . Many people home-school in the US. You don't need permission. Some people do it to avoid vaccinating the kids. . I'm fine with conditional requirements based on personal choices, in principle. What to drive? Get a license. But if you want to breathe or walk, no license should be required. Those aren't optional activities.
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  18.  @larryc7209  I'm going right in between you two: mortality for those with covid (diagnosed or not) is ~ 0.1% to 0.3%. . The 'diagnosed' number can be a vast underestimate of actual infections. . On the other hand, the OP is probably using the CDC data that 94% of deaths had co-conditions -- but this does not mean that the virus didn't kill them. It mostly did.
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  19. a few minutes in the sun makes a day's minumum recommended amount of D, a half hour many times more than that minimum
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  20. Studies using proper sampling techniques estimate that 50% to 90% of cases are not counted as "confirmed cases." . This means that the CFR is 1/2 to 1/10th of the (non-scientific) estimates from the confirmed numbers. . There are a few things that may be pushing CFR down: 1) those invisible cases, 2) virus evolution, and 3) better care, and 4) lower doses due to behavior.
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  21.  @michaelandreas2177  I agree, we could see in March that many cases were missed. The numbers grew too fast, for one thing. . My favorite rant: A random sample is the only scientific way to estimate prevalence. I don't put stock in positivity rate, or total number of confirmed cases, as a proxy for that. . Second favorite rant: why doesn't anyone publish the following most useful of stats: "Active cases in your area, per 100k, today." . We have a million graphs of total cases, but active is what matters to individuals making choices.
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  22.  @rogerstarkey5390  Why are we getting "indicators" when we could be doing simple, cheap random sample studies? . There's one way to estimate things in science: a random sample. Everything else is like counting mice by charting the price of cheese.
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  23. It is incredible how much D we make in the sun! . Your figures sound astonishing but I came up with similar estimates.
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  24. The antibodies should bind to the spikes, but not to the receptors on the cell membrane. The spikes and the receptors are different structures.
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  25.  @celsostarec6735  Ok yes, that makes sense! That seems possible and something worth investigating.
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  26. no
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  27. Indeed, random sampling is absolutely required to get any decent estimates.
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  28. Mortality is much less, but infectiousness much higher than the raw case numbers would indicate. The result is the same impact. . 3 x 11 = 11 x 3 = 33
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  29.  @peterrobo9067  We get the hamsters to administer shots to the other animals. Hamsters are very reliable.
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  30. If you also have 8-12% of the population who recovered, that's 60 to 70%.
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