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N Marbletoe
Dr. John Campbell
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Comments by "N Marbletoe" (@nmarbletoe8210) on "Monday 6th April, Global update" video.
@indigoblue4791 We all should be strict! But strict in NYC is going to look different from strict in Lost Hat, Montana. We have to use our actual brains for this stuff.
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A agree. Driving from town to the ranch doesn't expose anyone. It's also pretty much essential if other people want to keep eating. We have to use our brains and adjust to local conditions. Anything we can do that is productive, and healthy, and doesn't increase our exposure, is good. A lockdown doesn't have to be "stay in the safe room." It's all about exposure and driving down that R-0.
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@beakyturf6336 Of course antibiotics don't generally kill viruses, but I think there's a big problem with bacterial pneumonia co-occurring with covid, and they might help there.
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yes, I agree, although it's possible that cats only get a mild case that doesn't breed enough virus to become infectious. The fact that the lion was coughing "a dry cough" probably means it's infectious though, right? Because yeah, like you say it doesn't magically change into a cat-virus.
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I wonder if "predation" is even on the list for comorbidity causes.
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agree, we need to elect people who are actually good at things.
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great question! maybe start by testing people people. in other words, those who can't work right now because work is social. then, if you test immune you can go back to work also if you test negative twice you can go back to work then the economy can get rolling
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@peacenow4456 Antibody tests are pretty simple in principle, so I don't think it HAS to take months to get one. It might, but it could be any day, and then it's quick to scale up. What always takes months is assessing the quality of a new test or vaccine, because of the time scale of human health.
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except that you also have to adjust for unreported deaths. if they are 3x reported, that's a 0.3% rate anyway it really shows how lilttle we know due to no random sampling
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We have been wiping down frozen stuff. Probably the virus can live a long time frozen. I bet they freeze the test sample swabs for shipping, for example. On the other hand, it probably dies quick in the sun and warm fresh air. We put most of the groceries on the porch for a day. I expect sunlight and warm fresh air kills it within minutes, if we're talking about invisible amounts of potential virus on the surface of bags or cans, not gobs of snot.
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his superiors just might be cranks
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I agree. However, I see the logic in the idea that "masks don't protect the wearer very much." This could be true because of two facts of physics, 1) only tiny particles stay in the air very long, and 2) tiny particles are not filtered very well by most masks. I'm wearing a makeshift mask, very pro mask here :)
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@macnottsuk I think that's a very good idea. I've started doing that this last week. I would have started a lot sooner but we still only have 1 case in my county, and honestly it just took a bit of getting used to the idea. When the president said "wear masks" the other day, a lot of people did. We just needed a "start" signal.
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@icantbebotheredwithnames Out here in the west many of us are using saddle blankets. Maybe Hepa filter is better, but can you actually buy one anywhere? Stores still have swamp cooler filters but I'm not sure that's got a tight enough weave and they tend to fit large.
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sure, it's a very small virus. I'd assume it can travel by air. How much, how long, all these are very hard questions.
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It is rather remarkable that around the world, the most powerful tool of statistics doesn't seem to be in common use -- the random sample.
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I think it's possible to do social distancing without shelter in place? At least in rural areas...
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