Comments by "Neolithic Transit Revolution" (@neolithictransitrevolution427) on "" video.

I am glad to see you are getting on board with this being a real threat to us. But I really need you to get on board with the fact that the real threat to Canada comes from Alberta Seperatism and the prospect of making Alberta the 51st state. At that point we effectively lose BC as well, and Saskatchewan follows. I disagree with you that an oil pipeline is not an economically viable in investment, but that disagreement is not relevant. We simply need to do it politically. Equalization payments don't return value, but they are politically necessary. This is only different in that it is a much greater necessity than appeasing Quebec ever was.
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@M.Wildman Also, Ontario is currently dependent on oil through Line 5, which runs through Michigan, and which the US federal government has held open against Michigan's attempts to close it. And I greatly dislike that the States can turn off the GTAs oil almost on a whim.
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@Inez-z2z of course we traded more with California, it's closer and not across an Ocean, and one of the most over prices markets in the world. What's important is it isn't hostage to the US. We need to have at least as much of Alberta's oil depend on Canadian pipelines as they do the US. Right now we're like 1:4. Please imagine what the sentiment will be like if we're 2 years into an oil price crash caused by tariffs alongside a national d Recession. And agent Orange is on the news every night saying Alberta should just join. And after a million immigrants from internationally and the rest of Canada leave Alberta.
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@dianemccarthy9331 I don't think so. Development east is generally easier that way because land claims are largely established. I don't think I've ever seen first Nations listed as one of the major issues in TransCanada, I'll have to look more into it
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@Inez-z2z I disagree entirely. Unless Europe pays for LNG, I see no business case going east. TransCanada on the other hand is strategically important to ensure the east half of the country has access, and improves our balance of trade. And then if we decide to build it for 1M bbl/d we can negotiate with Europe to get some assurance of interest or payment to make it 2M, since doubling the size doesn't double cost. I agree Energy East is the least economically viable, but CP rail didn't do great in the books either, sometimes it's good to build infrastructure. And I think we can get a good deal with Europe to cover the expansion cost. I think the cost is quite mild in comparison to the political importance. However, most expansion should go toward Asia. We only need as much east as we need and Europe agrees to preferentially buy into the future and then there is no point.
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@GM-id9nu please consider the US government has been regularly saying there is a goal to annex Canada, and how the US has regularly interfered with democracies. And what the sentiment and population make up look like 2 years into a provincial recession. This should not be brushed aside.
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@Inez-z2z Alberta has seen enormous growth of its chemical industry over the last 10 years. But Chemical inputs are all NGLs and other light fractions from fracking. It's almost entirely Seperate for the oil sands.. There has been development to Carbon Fiber, but it will be decades before we produce as much Carbon Fiber as we do Bitumen today. But, along with a Pipeline, I would like to see Refineries, and in particular refineries modeled on Sturgeon falls, on the coast maximizing diesel exports. EVs are displacing gasoline, but that's a fixed fraction of a barrel of oil, and so while gasoline prices fall diesel will go up, and gasoline will flood the market cheaply. If we can build pipelines to and refineries at the coast, we can push down diesel and jet fuel prices, and keep gasoline prices higher; A million barrels a day of Bitumen-to-diesel would mean taking 2 million barrels of gasoline of the market to produce the same amount of diesel. I'd also like to see more upgraders in Alberta in relation to an easy coast pipeline. Consider we can make multiple investments at once, also. And that there is elements of strategic necessity. Literally tomorrow Agent Orange could cut off half of Ontario's Oil by shutting down line 5 and leave it entirely dependent on US imports. I feel like people pay platitudes to Alberta should do more refining, but there really is no market, and they have a population to resource ratio that says they can get a lot more resources out of the ground than they can add value to.
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