Neolithic Transit Revolution
Energi Media
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Comments by "Neolithic Transit Revolution" (@neolithictransitrevolution427) on "Trump auto tariffs 'YUGE' gift to China, lump of coal for Canada" video.
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@PlayChaosVoices firstly, I'm Canadian.
Secondly, why would any of our Auto manufacturing be safe? Fundamentally, except maybe refining aluminium because of the electrical demand, what special advantage do we have. They talk in the video about wether our EV investments will go forward, that's because our special advantage was access to the US market. Without that there is no reason to invest here to build American car parts.
Thirdly, don't trick yourself into thinking they need our oil. We have seen a million barrels a day go off line this month. That's seasonal, it's for maintenance, but the US isn't hurting over it, and the question is what happens to prices when it comes back on.
600k bbl/d goes south to the US Gulf, they can get that from seaborne imports if they need a heavy. Marathon has already said they can retool, with that about 300k bbl/d in the Midwest could switch over to light oil from heavy. Within 2 years, if they are serious about hurting us, they could reverse Keystone and bring another million barrels a day north. That's 2M bbl/d lost.
The other 2M bbl/d we sell is probably safe. But that still means we have massive over capacity pushing prices to the lowest possible level and bankrupting the mining operations.
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