Comments by "Neolithic Transit Revolution" (@neolithictransitrevolution427) on "Five (and a Half) Problems with Trump's Peace Plan and His First Steps as President" video.

What can the US provide? There is still lots of Bradleys and Abrams. But even more importantly, lots of F16s. A huge change would be to allow NATO pilots to fly for Ukraine. On the outside chance, US troops in supporting or active roles could appear, or support for Polish or French ones.
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I think a great Idea to get into Trump's head would be to take the Russian seized assets, and start giving $1 billion a day from it to Ukraine. Certainly it would rapidly support the Ukrainian financial position, and allow that to find US weapons purchase, but it would also be a strong incentive to Russia to start bargaining sooner than later.
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Doesn't matter Ukraine is in Kursk exactly so it can come to the table knowing it's Russia who won't.
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Trump supporters take him seriously not literally, Trump opponents take him literally but not seriously.. See it in action here folks.
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@The_Panther I agree but Politically I don't think agreeing to a ceasefire is possible for Putin as long as Ukraine is holding Russian Territory, and I think that will be an immediate requirement to entering negotiations with Trump.
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@DiamondKingStudios I'm mainly thinking operating equipment, doing logistics and maintaining, training in Ukraine, and potentially sitting on the Belarus and Moldova/Transnistria border. But what is escalating harder from the Russian perspective? Full mobilization? Tactical Nukes? I feel neither are plausible options for Putin politically either for domestic or international pressures.
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@The_Panther I agree I just mean the bluff will probably require actually engaging in a ceasefire through the negotiating. And that's a difficult lie to sell
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@luigimrlgaming9484 lame and clearly incorrect assesment. If the status quo is Ukraine and Russia not negotiating, and the status quo is Russia winning on the battlefield, then obviously Russia winning on the Battlefield is not an argument Russia must negotiate. You are confusing Tactics with Strategy. Ukraine is losing ground, that is not equivalent to losing.
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@martinw3621 on the other hand Trump has thrown around the idea of 100% tariffs on any country to leave the dollar.
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In the long run, perhaps as part of NATO 5% (or wherever it lands) higher requirements, there is an option to provide funds to other countries military defense, and European countries may be able to place a tripwire force in Ukraine while providing funding for a large Ukrainian military to be the bulkward, similar to the US woth South Korea.
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@The_Panther additionally, the rationality of leaders may not align to the best interest of countries. Putin's political power is highly tied to the outcome.
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I would like to here about how occupying Kursk shifts overall lines by limiting Russias ability to negotiate and as such increase the support Ukraine is likely to get.
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@BananaMonstaaaa yes, I'm saying this takes it slightly further, to both make more funds available and to put pressure on Russia. I do think the interest scheme has been a good initial move out of fear off pushing Russia away, but at this point I don't see Russia being willing to negotiate based on lost interest.
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How can Trump Arm Ukraine? Lend Lease is one excellent option, and it also puts the US in a position to be invested in a proUkraine outcome even more than they are now. Another is Russia assets. Thats free money for Ukraine that supports American industry.
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@MrJonezy541 he's won the election already, and he can't run again. He no longer has to worry about public support, and if he does it won't be for 2 years, if he ends the war that's all that will matter
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@Putin you need better trolls this one doesn't speak English
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@pasdpasse439 exactly why you take a little bit every day instead
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@pasdpasse439 it's not a one time trick if you are doing a little bit daily though. That's a full year of opportunity to salvage the remaining funds.
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@HazyFace_ I'm sure people will instead invest in Rubles where the central bank is freezing assets or China where the CPP will own everything for you. Trump is already threatening 100% tariffs on countries that leave the dollar. And again, by doing this slowly, and years into a war against a country that has repeatedly threatened to use nuclear weapons, I think by and large the risks are manageable.
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@arturobianco848 it is true it would require European, and I think in particular Belgian, support to go in the long term. The US only has ~5 billion alone so not even a week. Perhaps a billion a week would be a better starting cadence and give a month to get Europe on border to speed things up. It would still make an extreme difference to Ukraine, and show Russia that the rest of the 300 is less safe every day. But Belgium isn't exactly a NATO contributor. Agreeing could be quite a significant bargaining chip in NATO negotiations.
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@luigimrlgaming9484 no they have started taking the interest the assets generate, but none of the Principal has been touched. I'm suggesting slowly taking from the principal.
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@HazyFace_ Trump has already put forward 100% tariffs on any country to leave the dollar, there is no other currency with any value but the Euro which would obviously be involved, and the lesson learned is your assets are safe unless you spend 3 years in a UN condemned war threatening to use nuclear weapons on a regular basis.
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@HazyFace_ yes obviously China would like to use it's currency and be seen as a global super power. Are you suggesting that if Russian assets are left alone, China will not do this? Obviously not. Any other country is not going to trust the CCP with their money, unless it's NK or Iran or another country that doesn't have money or a population with money. No one with the option to use western banks though. This isn't an arbitrary seizure.
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@HazyFace_ so your suggesting China will keep using the USD if Russian assets are left alone? Sounds unlikely to me.
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@HazyFace_ okay. The thing with gold is it's limited; the more central bank's hoard it, the harder it is for anyone else. No one is going to be trading in gold. No one is going to pour investment into China or Russia. No one is going to accept 100% tariffs for privileged of dealing with a currency no one else uses. And no one else, at least with money, is planning a multi-year war of ethnic cleansing. So I don't see this actually impacting anyone but China, who as you've pointed out, is trying to leave the dollar anyway.
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@jakehansen3418 na WW3 is when China goes to war. To be a world war both sides have to be equal powers.
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@louiscypher4186 If Russia were able to invade through Belarus I would argue they would already be doing it. I don't disagree that NATO forces in Ukraine would be considered legitimate targets. But I don't know how Russia would consider itself at war with NATO meaningfully. Some strong statement? For Propaganda purposes Russia already claims to be at war with NATO. I don't think there has ever been a risk of NATO or Ukraine rolling over Russia, and without meaningful attempts to take land in Russia I don't see the Russian public accepting mobilization. I think we can certainly say NATO is helping without direct involvement. Obviously I would like to see NATO pilots allowed to volunteer for Ukraine, but that would still not be direct NATO involvement.
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@adamg7984 lol I'm not a trump supporter but very obviously he lies so I don't see how I'm the immature one for not acting incredulous when he does it..
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@luigimrlgaming9484 you said do do🤣
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@zipperpillow just a joke.
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