Comments by "Neolithic Transit Revolution" (@neolithictransitrevolution427) on "Trump's Russia-China Dilemma: A Complicated Web of War and Oil" video.

Only Denmark seems to know the game- putting in an offer to buy America lol. Canada should be doing the same, and they should be working together to publicly (but not really ) be buying Greenland lol.
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Id love to see some Coverage of Japan and Pacific NATO equivalent. Japan appears eager to be more involved in its defense, sharing bases and having equal ownership of US strategy in the region. And Trump wants the Pacific paying for itself. I think America will be able to push a defense alliance of SK, JP, and Taiwan (and itself) since they all have mutually aligned goals and American focused equipment. Which will likely be able to pull in Vietnam and Philippines. Plausibly, Japan and US might be able to pull in the QUAD countries. And France, via New Caledonia (and maybe the UK through Pictan), who is trying to make a play and a Military presence may be willing to join as a Nuclear power and high end arms provider. india, France, or the UK would provide a nuclear umbrella guarantee in the event the US pulls out further, which I'm sure the core members would appreciate. Canada as well (particularly if you've pulled in the UK, Australia, and New Zealand) has a Pacific coast and may join as well, albeit offering limited military advantage, may join as it has a Pacific coast. And that may be useful, alongside the US and Australia, for resources and logistics.
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@hmhmoinsdk About NZ I agree, it's certainly a minor point there, but with significant American Pressure and the fact NZ realizes on a safe maritime regime largely policed by the US, and the normalization presented by the other Anglo Pacific countries being included in an entirely defensive alliance, I think it's possible. I also agree about India. The point there was there are several countries in the region which could offer a nuclear umbrella. And of course, the India of the last century is not today's, which clearly attempting to be a global power. Add to that the Indian concerns with China and that a defensive alliance might help them ensure no incursions, and that some Indian Client states could be brought in along side, again I think it's possible. I disagree with the point on Taiwan. The US is legally required to support already. Certainly you couldn't have a NATO type requirement on no border disputes, but that wouldn't have worked for a Korea that considers itself the only legitimate government on the Peninsula or a Japan that claims half an apparently Russian island. I agree with your point on SK, but I think American support is far more important, and if the US says they will withdraw it if SK refuses to support wider US strategy in the region, and with the benefit of clear Japanese support against any NK action, I think it would go through.
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@hmhmoinsdk so on NZ I agree, and it's a minor point, in terms of what is brought to defense. But I do think it's possible with American pressure and normalization via other Anglo countries joining. Particularly considering how NZ depends on international shipping. In terms of India, I largely agree (as with AUS, I think bringing in QUAD is less likely). However, India today desiring to be more assertive and influential than in the past. And the defensive alliance is largely focused on China; at least from India's perspective. That's a benefit to India and it's client states. Being a nuclear power in such an alliance could be a very relevant and enticing role.. I disagree in terms of Taiwan. SK recognizes itself as the sole government of Korea. Japan has border disputes. Obviously a NATO type requirement for fixed borders wouldn't work. I think US pressure for defense is far more significant. I agree that Japan has far more to be concerned with Taiwan than SK, but I think SK would role over pretty quickly for US defense guarantees.
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I expect Trump will likely push a "peace Deal" that gives Russia the desires oblasts, and will probably require Europe to lift sanctions and buy Russian Oil & Gas as part of Trade/Tariif negotiations. However, that will probably include a significant fee to rebuild Ukraine. However, Putin may not be will to accept Ukraine getting future western Support. And Trump doesn't want to look bought. So he may increase aid. Overall I'm of the opinion that to best deal with China, Russia needs to meaningfully lose, or else China will think it can throw some few million people at Taiwan and ultimately end up with it.
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