Comments by "Major Moolah" (@majormoolah5056) on "Ukraine's aid struggles will worsen if McCarthy is ousted | Ian Bremmer | Quick Take" video.

  1. By and large I would agree with Ian on his points. But the Russians have been able to have high recruitment results so that is why there has been no mobilization. They have 300,000 or so fresh troops in the Eastern parts of Ukraine. NATO at first assessed Russian yearly tank production at 100 units. Now I hear from the UK Admiral Radakin and others that the actual number is at 200 units per year. Artillery shell production is at 2 million per year. The sustained Russian air campaign against Ukrainian cities has also attritted the Ukrainian air defence to an alarming degree. And finally, the Russians have underwent a significant reorganisation. At the beginning, they had so-called "Battalion Tactical Groups" which means smaller ad-hoc formations. But now they have reorganised into divisions, which means that you have more and better organised combat power. Ukrainians burned through a lot of their Western-trained forces and mechanised reserves in the failed counter-offensive. So there is potential for disaster here. 10% of the Ukrainian population is now involved in their military. It is almost impossible to find fresh recruits anymore, so Kiev has lowered their standards. Now various mental health problems and even Hepatitis and HIV are no longer disqualifying factors. I am extremely worried where this is going. There is the possibility that Russia calculates that they can achieve victory on the battlefield. Clearly there needs to be negotiations, but Putin may very well say that he would only accept capitulation from Zelensky.
    2