Comments by "Major Moolah" (@majormoolah5056) on "Macron's snap election gamble will have repercussions for France and EU | Europe In :60" video.

  1. Macron and Attal are going to win this thing. Here is why: - Domestic elections are about economy. Macron is called "president of the rich" but the good side of that is that the big tycoons support him and will finance his campaign even on a short notice. Now that Les Républicains imploded, the pro-business vote in France has nowhere else to go. This alone will seal the deal. - Attal is a very good performer and a friendly face for the pro-business, law-and-order Macronism of 2024. Even if you are centre-left, you can see Attal as the Prime Minister. - Police unions and the military types support Macron. Darmanin is also fairly popular in these circles and the ruling party has been able to face down riots without too much violence. I would say the law-and-order types will vote for the ruling coalition. Macron is generally seen as a strong leader abroad, which the right wing types also like. - Macron has managed to frame the election as "The far right has plunged France into danger" which is much better than, say, a vote of no confidence on the next budget. - Not even 50% of his own coalition want to see Mélenchon as the next Prime Minister, let alone 50% of France. He is such a curse on the French Left. - Jordan Bardell has to be the most overvalued stock in European politics. He is good on the social media with the young women, but no adult wants to see him holding the purse strings for the next three years. Whenever Bardell goes off script into adult politics, he comes off as totally ignorant. Expect him to lose to Attal in debates just as badly as in the EU elections. Bardell is a 28-year old college dropout and the French will not give the purse strings to him. - What is Le Pen going to run on, exactly? During the pension protests she demanded Macron's resignation. Now she accepts the reform. She cannot attack Macron on immigration because she supported Macron's immigration reform, in what has to be the greatest blunder of her political career. The only avenue is the cost of living, but then she would have to convince France that her party is better for the economy than Macron. Unless she can somehow conjure a very convincing budget proposal for 2024, she is going to sink. These Le Pen speeches of "Brussels tries to tell us what to do, but we will resist!" comes off as behind the times at best. - And finally, Les Républicains' soap opera means that most of them can only defect to Macron. Its impossible to found a new party in 20 days and then win as well.
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