Comments by "TheRezro" (@TheRezro) on "CaspianReport"
channel.
-
88
-
44
-
39
-
34
-
32
-
26
-
21
-
15
-
14
-
13
-
11
-
11
-
9
-
8
-
8
-
8
-
8
-
7
-
7
-
7
-
7
-
6
-
6
-
6
-
6
-
5
-
5
-
5
-
I need point out that Poland falling in five days, was not actually classified data. It was part of famous simulation done around decade ago, on Military University level (what was actually semi-public). What tested how US could deal with three wars at the same time. Russian invasion on Poland (scenario assume that NATO dissolved), outbreak of Korean War and China attempting to size Taiwan. And yes, it sound too familiar. Simulation done by military students. Reveal importance of NATO and foreshadow need of especially straightening Asia-Pacific flank. But because US "loosing war" was sensationalist, result become quite public. Except that is not what actually did happen.
US actually did win, but simulation end before that. As generally after first strike circumstances become random. The conclusion was that it would be long and dragging conflict. With US needing to ramp up its military complex. Lesson what was not learn, as instead choice was focus on prevention. Furthermore in case of Poland, in simulation Russia reach capital in five days. But as war in Ukraine show, that doesn't mean the fall. Furthermore simulation assume that Poles would try hold the ground, what in perspective was actually correct choice. But it was something unclear at the time.
Anyway. Modernization of Polish military always was the plan. But after fall of Iron Curtain, Poland focus on rather dry reform of the professional oficer core. What in hindsight was again, a good decision. There was no point in supporting large military without proper spine. Creation of Territorial Defense (what again proved itself in Ukraine), was a good decision and now we would see plans of reserves reform (claims that Poland doesn't have those is based of misunderstanding, they absolutely are, but are not fit to NATO standard, as such were not accounted). Anyway, with proper ranks, time for rearmament come, what to be clear, despite popular meme. Was actually planed in the entire last decade. Only speed up by war in Ukraine. Reforms didn't happen earlier because Germany proved to be unreliable and US move its focus from Europe too much. But with South Korea and US support, things actually did move. Worth to mention that Poland also highly focus on licence production and not buying from shelf.
5
-
5
-
5
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
4
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
3
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
2
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
Objectively, nuclear ban is literally impossible. Today tech is so simple that actually several countries can develop nukes if nuclear consensus is breached. Only option is contentment, but fortunately whole risk of small scale nuclear exchange is higher, the risk of nuclear holocaust is not.
I would still say that Cold War was the worst. While US and Russia still have over 5k nukes. Most of that is dysfunctional and is kept only as bragging rights. People forget, but previous denuclearization agreements, were purely to cut costs. In era when precision strikes make nuclear carpet bombing irrelevant. When there was literal risk of nuking world several times.
Today only relevant parts of of nuclear triad are ICBM, SLBM and tactical level short range nukes, used on contact lines. Basically anything launched by bomber, would be destroyed before leaving store. In fact today, we do not have enough relevant nukes to destroy Earth. Still in eventual nuclear aggression, aggressor is guaranteed to be destroyed due to efectivnes of precision strikes.
BUT! While I do not expect much risk from major players as US, China or even Russia. Because neither actually care/can to defeat others. Despite they rhetoric they know that they can't go MAD. Unfortunately there is increasing risk of escalation in the operational level exchanges. Like North Korea going hot, or India-Pakistan, Iran-Israel, or Putin thinking that he can use nukes tactically. Still it would not end the world.
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
Abhijeet Kundu "Gripen is a light jet"
What is a category of jets used for defense. What is exactly how Swedes intend to use them. As I said, it is equivalent of F-16 not F-15. And that was the problem, because it didn't offer more then F-16 did. Still F-16 is one of the best so calling equivalent bad is bit shortsighted.
"Eurofighter is a bad jet too but not as bad as Gripen"
According to who? Russia Today? Eurofighter is a equivalent of F-15C and I mean actual equivalent what is really good. The main issue was same as with the Gripen. It cost way more then F-15. Problem is that we moved few generations ahead so it doesn't compare to F-22 or NGAD, when F-15EX get life expansion as missile truck. Rafale was from beginning designed as such, which is why it is more competitive as multi-role. But it isn't really as good as F-15EX.
"Russian jets are better in every way possible than the Americans"
Lol, they literally aren't. Russia stuck on generation 4. They literally can't make multi-roles and performance of even modern Jets in Ukraine was catastrophic. And it wasn't even a surprise.
"The first version F16s don't have a chance against an upgraded MIG21"
Again. According to who? Because not the people who operated both. F-16 is way better then Mig-29 and at least comparable to Flanker.
"America is all about soft power"
Yes. Because they know how war work. Hard factors look good on paper and propaganda posters, but they don't win the war. Ten percent higher speed don't save you when you can't target the enemy.
"?This is why F35 is a 1.7 trillion dollar lemon that doesn't have a chance even against MIG21"
Are you stoned? Pierre Sprey is a hoax. He never actually work in the industry and doesn't know what he talking about. You seriously should stop sniff propaganda. American jest were proved in combat many times. Russian one can't get air-superiority in Ukraine.
"They are not spoiled LGBT army like NATO"
They are inept primitives, who stay mentally in the 50's. Like all Reformists. I pick those who actually can fight.
"Russia is one country, one army, with one purpose - restoring USSR"
And loosing war in Ukraine. What should be expected from Iranian proxy and Chinese colony, with economy in size of Italy and ego greater then US (but without merit).
"If you don't have nukes, you don't have a chance"
Nukes are defensive weapon. Who use them would die.
"Even with nukes, you don't have a chance"
Russia literally has no MAD ability and most of they nukes are as real as they fake tank reserves. If Russia use nukes, it stop exist. West and China (because they also would act) would be hurt, but far from the dead.
"After all, this is Russia we are talking about"
Yes. Liars and posers. USSR never has fighting chance after west rebuild after the 60's. And now they start believing in own lies, what usually end the empires.
"Before February, nobody thought Russia was going to attack. But they did."
You are confused. No one in the mainstream media believed that they would be so stupid. Considering how unprepared and underarmed they were. Attack itself was not surprise. It was no magic that Western support show up so fast.
"But they did. They are unpredictable and dangerous"
That part I agree. But also not capable. A cat is also dangerous. It can scratch you, before you smash its head. Until now West was believing that all might talk is just for own public. Because everyone know that Russia is incapable of actual war. It is why Germany was disarming and refusing to move defenses from line of Cold War. They didn't want Russia to be afraid, as that was largely reason for the Cold War. They didn't take into account that Putler is a Looney Tunes villain. Though it may be because he has Alzheimer?
Anyway. You clearly are brainwashed by propaganda. I would ignore you from now one.
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
1