Comments by "TheRezro" (@TheRezro) on "CaspianReport"
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I need point out that Poland falling in five days, was not actually classified data. It was part of famous simulation done around decade ago, on Military University level (what was actually semi-public). What tested how US could deal with three wars at the same time. Russian invasion on Poland (scenario assume that NATO dissolved), outbreak of Korean War and China attempting to size Taiwan. And yes, it sound too familiar. Simulation done by military students. Reveal importance of NATO and foreshadow need of especially straightening Asia-Pacific flank. But because US "loosing war" was sensationalist, result become quite public. Except that is not what actually did happen.
US actually did win, but simulation end before that. As generally after first strike circumstances become random. The conclusion was that it would be long and dragging conflict. With US needing to ramp up its military complex. Lesson what was not learn, as instead choice was focus on prevention. Furthermore in case of Poland, in simulation Russia reach capital in five days. But as war in Ukraine show, that doesn't mean the fall. Furthermore simulation assume that Poles would try hold the ground, what in perspective was actually correct choice. But it was something unclear at the time.
Anyway. Modernization of Polish military always was the plan. But after fall of Iron Curtain, Poland focus on rather dry reform of the professional oficer core. What in hindsight was again, a good decision. There was no point in supporting large military without proper spine. Creation of Territorial Defense (what again proved itself in Ukraine), was a good decision and now we would see plans of reserves reform (claims that Poland doesn't have those is based of misunderstanding, they absolutely are, but are not fit to NATO standard, as such were not accounted). Anyway, with proper ranks, time for rearmament come, what to be clear, despite popular meme. Was actually planed in the entire last decade. Only speed up by war in Ukraine. Reforms didn't happen earlier because Germany proved to be unreliable and US move its focus from Europe too much. But with South Korea and US support, things actually did move. Worth to mention that Poland also highly focus on licence production and not buying from shelf.
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