Comments by "TheRezro" (@TheRezro) on "CaspianReport" channel.

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  29. I need point out that Poland falling in five days, was not actually classified data. It was part of famous simulation done around decade ago, on Military University level (what was actually semi-public). What tested how US could deal with three wars at the same time. Russian invasion on Poland (scenario assume that NATO dissolved), outbreak of Korean War and China attempting to size Taiwan. And yes, it sound too familiar. Simulation done by military students. Reveal importance of NATO and foreshadow need of especially straightening Asia-Pacific flank. But because US "loosing war" was sensationalist, result become quite public. Except that is not what actually did happen. US actually did win, but simulation end before that. As generally after first strike circumstances become random. The conclusion was that it would be long and dragging conflict. With US needing to ramp up its military complex. Lesson what was not learn, as instead choice was focus on prevention. Furthermore in case of Poland, in simulation Russia reach capital in five days. But as war in Ukraine show, that doesn't mean the fall. Furthermore simulation assume that Poles would try hold the ground, what in perspective was actually correct choice. But it was something unclear at the time. Anyway. Modernization of Polish military always was the plan. But after fall of Iron Curtain, Poland focus on rather dry reform of the professional oficer core. What in hindsight was again, a good decision. There was no point in supporting large military without proper spine. Creation of Territorial Defense (what again proved itself in Ukraine), was a good decision and now we would see plans of reserves reform (claims that Poland doesn't have those is based of misunderstanding, they absolutely are, but are not fit to NATO standard, as such were not accounted). Anyway, with proper ranks, time for rearmament come, what to be clear, despite popular meme. Was actually planed in the entire last decade. Only speed up by war in Ukraine. Reforms didn't happen earlier because Germany proved to be unreliable and US move its focus from Europe too much. But with South Korea and US support, things actually did move. Worth to mention that Poland also highly focus on licence production and not buying from shelf.
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  33. In short: France pay for ego and lack of respect to they partners. Makron should know that countries of Eastern block would straight not accept alliance with Russia. Dick measuring between France and USA has nothing to immense grudge "Ukraine's of the past years" hold toward oppressive Russia. Even Germans get flag for talking with Putin. It is why from quite some time politic block form inside EU with goal of opposing Russian influences (what meant Germany and France). It was completely ignored as much as many neutral states (like Nordics or Iberia). Who commonly didn't understand what West Europe is doing, but it didn't impact them directly. It is why Makron and Sholtz were in delusion of being in control of they echo chamber, when whole EU was going in opposite way tightening relations with far more reliable (even if still situational and distracted) USA. For reminder Polish Abrams-Patriot deal was a thing before the war (only HIMARS is new). Same Polish-Norwegian K2 deal (Krab was already variant of K9), as people didn't trust in German reliability anymore (for reminder Poland also buy Frigates and SAM's from UK). F-35 supremacy just become clear high profile testimony of France-German block being completely off rail (even if seven NATO members already were part of it, so rest fallowing should not be surprise). Sorry, but France is not a powerhouse, only strongest of equals. And they inability to agree with Germany, definitely would not have impact on they non existing co-operations with others (for reminder it was France who booted Poland from Eurotank for being Russorational). It is why even Germany start jumping the French ship.
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