Comments by "William Innes" (@williaminnes6635) on "The Coming Population Crash" video.
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I don't know that this will be as bad as you think.
Japan does the world's product development. Japan does not do immigration. More than one foreigner per village is one too many in their view. Japan has known it has had issues with its birth rate since well before pandemic. During the aftermath of the Baby Gammy fiasco, in which an Australian woman who has managed to remain anonymous abandoned a child she had paid a surrogate to bear in Thailand because the child, Baby Gammy, had been born with Down Syndrome, the Thai authorities cracked down on the surrogacy industry. One apparent customer was a Japanese businessman who was in a nursery with eleven or twelve children, forget which. He claimed he was their biological father, and that he just loved children. This was accepted as a sufficient explanation by the Thai authorities.
After that point, various developments in artificial reproduction began to be reported. A sheep embryo was grown to a healthy lamb in a plastic bag. A technique for turning stem cells into gametes was discovered. This stuff all made the press, and should all still be up on the internet. So, there is the motive - for Japan to survive as a country which does not do immigration and which has a low birth rate - and the means - Japan is the number one product developer in the world - and then a pattern of pure research innovations which suggest that artificial reproduction had been moving forward, all in the press, all prior to pandemic.
My suspicion is that the idea is to sandbag this technology, keeping it a strictly Japanese thing, for as long as possible, to prevent it from leaking to mainland China, in order to use demography as a strategic weapon against the Xiists. A bit of mass migration will provide a medium term patch for the rest of the traditional developed world. Whenever the Xiists collapse, the tech will be allowed out of Japan, which will allow for replacement to occur artificially, at the moment in which what I might term "the great deshitholeization" - a general advancement, powered by the spread of modern infrastructure, of most current actual Third World countries toward the level of upper middle income nations, and of enough upper middle income nations toward the level at which for instance Greece or Chile are today - the liminal First World - will be nuking the incentive for people to leave traditional sources of mass migration and those birth rates lower to the point that the population pressure comes off.
Most likely organizations similar to central banks, but carrying the mandate to maintain a steady expansion of the supply of population, rather than a steady expansion of the supply of money, will take on the role of ensuring that population is kept up at the gentlest of rates of increases, similar to the old argument that a one to two percent rate of inflation was preferable to truly sound money. This would also provide the opportunity for a bit of salutary eugenics, arresting the Idiocracy scenario by the simple expedient of making sure the genes of high IQ people were overrepresented in reproduction, and perhaps also compelling the reproduction above what would occur given birth control of the genes of more attractive people as well. The world would be too depressing were it full of fuggos alone. The establishment of such organizations would also allow for the more rapid peopling of anything we as a species are able to terraform between one and two centuries from now.
Not to get overly techno optimistic about it, but people aren't potatoes, they don't just sit there, especially during existential crises.
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