Comments by "" (@neutronalchemist3241) on "A Different Bias"
channel.
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To match that of Germany, UK export per capita should increase ALMOST THREE FOLD.
Before matching Germany's export per capita, UK's one should first surpass (among the European countries) those of Poland, Spain, Latvia, France, Italy, Malta, Lithuania, Hungary, Estonia, Finland, Sweden and Iceland.
good luck.
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@verystripeyzebra That deal only applied to the transit of few kind of goods between GB and NI.
A "Swiss style deal" in the terms that are sold to the public nowadays is another unicorn.
Nont only Switzerland is a rule taker, pays for the access to the Single Market, and accepts the jurisdiction of the ECJ, but between Switzerland and the EU there is freedom of movement for the people, and there is an open issue between EU and Switzerland exactly because, to EU, "freedom of movement" means "for EU citizens", without limitations, while, for the Swiss means "of the employees", so it only applies to who has a job (with the EU citizens that can't be discriminated in favour of the Swiss), or is wealty enough to mantain himself in the Confederation.
It's OBVIOUS than, in an eventual negotiation with UK, the matter would be very clearly defined the EU way.
So, four freedoms. No escapes.
In reality, "a Swiss style agreement" is an oxymoron. The relationships between Switzerland and EU are the result of the sedimentation of decades of different agreements.
A single agreement would be different, and much more organic and without loopholes, exactly because it would be a single agreement.
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Actually there is an open issue between EU and Switerland exactly because, to EU, "freedom of movement" means "for EU citizens", without limitations, while, for the Swiss means "of the employees", so it only applies to who has a job, or is wealty enough to mantain himself in the Confederation.
It's OBVIOUS than, in an eventual negotiation with UK, the matter would be very clearly defined the EU way.
In reality, "a Swiss style agreement" is an oxymoron. The relationships between Switzerland and EU are the result of the sedimentation of decades of different agreements.
A single agreement would be different, and much more organic and without loopholes, exactly because it would be a single agreement.
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"Safeguard and rebalancing measures taken in accordance with paragraphs 1 and 2 shall be
governed by the procedures set out in Annex 7 to this Protocol."
Annex 7
1. Where the Union or the United Kingdom is considering taking safeguard measures under
Article 16(1) of this Protocol, it shall, without delay, notify the Union or the United Kingdom, as
the case may be, through the Joint Committee and shall provide all relevant information.
2. The Union and the United Kingdom shall immediately enter into consultations in the Joint
Committee with a view to finding a commonly acceptable solution.
3. The Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, may not take safeguard measures until
1 month has elapsed after the date of notification under point 1, unless the consultation
procedure under point 2 has been concluded before the expiration of the state limit. When
exceptional circumstances requiring immediate action exclude prior examination, the Union or
the United Kingdom, as the case may be, may apply forthwith the protective measures strictly
necessary to remedy the situation.
4. The Union or the United Kingdom, as the case may be, shall, without delay, notify the
measures taken to the Joint Committee and shall provide all relevant information.
5. The safeguard measures taken shall be the subject of consultations in the Joint Committee
every 3 months from the date of their adoption with a view to their abolition before the date
of expiry envisaged, or to the limitation of their scope of application. The Union or the United
Kingdom, as the case may be, may at any time request the Joint Committee to review such
measures.
6. Points 1 to 5 shall apply, mutatis mutandis, to rebalancing measures referred to in Article 16(2)
of this Protocol.
So UK has to talk for one month (point 3), unless it's disonhest enough to claim "exceptional circumstances requiring immediate action exclude prior examination". In that case the EU can retailate immediately because "Points 1 to 5 shall apply, mutatis mutandis, to rebalancing measures referred to in Article 16".
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