Comments by "ZIPZ" (@zipz8423) on "CRUX" channel.

  1. Now it`s Saint HIMARS.
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  2. Whats that? Some third world rocket?
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  3.  @georgekaradov1274  In rain or snow the laser is near useless.
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  4.  @hydra_ger  They are used to dazzle sensors they wont be making anything fall out of orbit.
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  5.  @cyberrunner6529  God bless you man, that made me laugh.
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  6. They have all moved out of range, those ships have Kaliber which has a range of over 1,000 km. The good thing is the Moskva no longer has any influence in the air battle over that part of Ukraine’s land mass. I think it is job done and we don’t need to supply them with anti ship missiles. None of the Russian Black Sea flotilla will go anywhere near the coast now because they know Neptune is operational. Personally I’d concentrate on manufacturing additional Neptune rounds for Ukraine or at least help them to do it. Right now it is more important for them to get field artillery for the battles along the line of contact in the Donbas and medium range SAMS to frag those high flying Russian bombers.
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  7.  @p_akistani1687  Bro, why would pakistan fire anything at Israel....
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  8.  @robertdebrus3732  No, there are plenty of T90As in Ukraine and T-90M. They have their turrets blown off the same as T-72, "It seems Dimitry, you are having trouble with your Shtora."
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  9. The 3rd Army Corps was never an elite formation, the video is misleading.
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  10.  @cnccarving  The latest thinking is to have multiple beams to get past attenuation, something like a barrel with 30 seperate beams.
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  11.  @cnccarving  there is usually a calibration beam used to fine tune the kill beams. That’s what the ABL used.
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  12.  @williamzk9083  well PAC-3 is tearing them up.
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  13. They pack a massive warhead. It is almost 500 lbs.
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  14.  @davids1inwestholl45  yep, 487.2 lbs to be precise. It’s easy to forget they are 15 feet long.
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  15.  @davids1inwestholl45  :P I hope some Russian FFGs can stop them with their hulls any time soon.
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  16. Either way that is a tank kill.
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  17.  @stephenhumphrey7935  I agree with you sir, the T-72 B3 is as good as the T90A in many ways and from what I have been seeing, the Shtora system does not seem to be making any difference.
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  18.  @michaelfaraday8391  It is the world we live in unfortunately.
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  19. It was always possible.
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  20. The video is misleading, the new 3rd Army Corps are far from elite it is made up largely of volunteers who have hardly any training.
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  21. They are overhyped.
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  22. I don’t think the U.K. ever planned on donating any Harpoons, whoever suggested that is naive. Probably a member of the unwashed media. More likely the U.K. is trying to buy something for Ukraine, a couple of Exocet coastal batteries from French stocks would make much more sense but the French might baulk at that. For me, a concerted effort to support Ukraine’s Neptune missile program is the right way to go.
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  23. A T-72 round will still kill an M1 or a Chally at the right range.
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  24.  @enriquelaroche5370 you wait for it to slow down to supersonic speeds so it can actually hit something it’s aimed at. The old Pershing had to do the same thing in order to use its terminal radar. The Zircons they used against Kyiv were the anti ship versions that have to shed velocity in the terminal phase. I guess right now they are developing versions that don’t do that and follow a ballistic trajectory end to end at Mach 8 with a kinetic payload. Guidance would still have to be world class.
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  25. A space based IR tracker / step starer and a fixed sensor - both in place today can be used to cue other sensors to properly resolve a missile track. People suggesting missiles such as these cannot be tracked don’t know what they are talking about. Multispectral sensors on the same platform are the future and it’s here now.
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  26.  @enriquelaroche5370  some versions of Iskander like the M already had radar decoy dispensers but they have been shot down successfully. Those decoys have already been collected after attacks - I doubt their effectiveness against modern AESA radars such as the type Patriot or SAMP/T comes equipped with. The Russians have also been forced to equip Kh-101s with chaff dispensers - again - probably effective against lower end radar laid guns but not against more sophisticated systems. As for the Kh-22 as you’ve said they are old weapons - Patriot for example should be able to intercept them the issue is ballistic missile defence no matter what AD you have is never easy no matter the threat. In the early days Ukraine was firing 120 Patriots a month, they probably can’t do that today so they are going to get many more leakers. They also only have 2 batteries protecting Kyiv and they have a relatively small footprint. I’m not surprised Russia is managing to hit Kyiv with a small number of missiles. The type that is the most problematic is the Oniks anti ship missile because it travels at high Mach at low level - an incredibly difficult target to intercept. The good news for Ukraine is Russia doesn’t manufacture Kh-22s any longer and they aren’t accurate - they are area weapons and a lot of them malfunction probably due to their age and condition. They are also using EW systems to mess up their terminal approach. I agree, from what I’ve seen Russia missiles are pretty accurate relatively speaking but I think their success rates are a reflection of the lack of density Ukraine has regards AD systems rather than some sort of perceived inferiority of western AD systems - Ukraine simply doesn’t have enough of them. By the way the Ukraine air force has said Patriot can intercept Kh-22s - that’s where I got that from.
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  27. Harpoon - L Block 1 is an old missile.
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  28. Yes - superior IMUs.
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  29.  @johnryland7625  it’s already happened. American nav systems are traditionally the best on the planet and always have been.
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  30. What about now Comrade? Lol
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  31. remember when Russia lost 50 vehicles trying to cross a river? This is small potatoes compared to that. https://i0.wp.com/cms.sofrep.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/FSj5hnNWUAALGMT.jpg?resize=1536%2C1152&ssl=1
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  32.  @novak7970  If you are going to throw shade at UKR for losing a few armoured vehicles and one Leo2 in one failed attack, then you cannot ignore Russia losing 50 vehicles in one failed attack right?
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  33.  @one_step_sideways  those look like a wish list of future fantasies. We all have them, enjoy yours.
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  34.  @one_step_sideways  You are just white noise in the information void.
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  35.  @one_step_sideways  You will continue to tell lies until honest information comes out, and none of that ever comes from Vatniks, this has been proven time and again. Your kind denied the Kherson and Kharkiv counteroffensives were even happening, until pictures emerged of 250 Russian vehicles that were abandoned and the Orcs scuttled back across the Dnieper. Why TF would anybody start listening to you now? lol
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  36. I am confident Kinzhal is within the engagement envelope of both Patriot and SAMP-T. The issue is UKR has none operational and will never have enough launchers to cover all possiblle targets and these weapons can only really cover small areas with any reasonable effectiveness. At this point Russia is simply testing them against the people of Ukraine.
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  37.  @GwynBleys  I am always surprised at the number of people who think Russia has a Mach 12 capable Iskander without any evidence.
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  38.  @WalkOverHotCoal  Yes I do. But I am speaking as myself here. If you think this missile reaches mach 12 sustained including in the terminal phase then intercept will be improbable.However, I do not believe it does based on the donor missile it came from.
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  39.  @WalkOverHotCoal  You are forgetting something, to sustain mach 12 you need something that is going to "sustain it."This is a single stage weapon with a 2,000 km range. After motor burn out - which will happen measured in a couple of minutes, then whatever post boost manouevering it does, thats going to reduce both range and velocity. And this is a missile not a reentry body so it will not be hitting the gorund at mach 12 either. The deceleration forces would be too great that is the limitation for these types of weapons if they are bunker busters. The Pentagon already know this too. Since everybody has had a chance to see these weapons on radar by now, somebody has all of the answers.
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  40.  @WalkOverHotCoal  A few things. A missile is not a nuclear warhead re entry body so that is a poor comparison. We are not talking about anything other than Kinzhal. It is not an air breather, a Scramjet or any other type of "jet."It has one rocket motor and less than half a ton of fuel. Of all of the various hypersonic missiles touted, Kinzhal is probably the most vulnerable to intercept, based on a few known details, it lacks a terminal guidance sensor and relies on strapdown INS - that`s a capability limitation in itself. The other hypersonic weapons are very problematic for BMD, and there are plenty of down sides for a defender - however, in our favour we are way ahead of both China and Russia regards a global sensor net -without which you have zero chance of intercepting a threat at range so you have to rely on point or local defence alone. Lastly, the USN has SM6 - people dont realise how good it is. However these hypersonics pose a serious threat.
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  41. Thats because Patriot is not operational yet.
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  42.  @inquizative44  No, they arent capable of mach 10 or 12 I think that is baloney based on what the missiles are based on.
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  43.  @williamzk9083  I think the biggest victory for Russia is getting the world to believe Kinzhal is capable of mach 10 or 12 when that is probably false. The issue for Ukraine is they only have medium altitude SAMs and they do not have enough launchers. This will change when they get Patriot and SAMP-T operational but that brings a different set of issues - they can only defend small areas with those. The Russians simply have to avoid those areas, Ukraine cannot defend all of its high value targets, in fact no country could against all threats. Personally I believe both Patriot and SAMP-T can engage thse Kinzhals because their likely performance is lower than the hype but the PK will not be stellar.
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  44.  @BeyondOurSolarSystem bullshit.
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  45.  @BeyondOurSolarSystem we heard yesterday Kinzhal only flies at 3.5 Mach or less - this is from those same UKR Patriot operators who shot 7 of them down, you can find the article in The Economist. How do you feel now Copelord?
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  46. Thats what the USA is for.
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  47. lol what about now son.
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  48. It is even worse, you got the Monkey models of all of those systems.
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  49.  @JRBendixen  S-400 like any other AD system works better in an integrated network, something the Russians never had in Ukraine except in small areas of the front.
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  50.  @ChucksSEADnDEAD  I think the world now knows why it cost America trillions to develop anti missile defence. You cant half ass ABM defence.
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  51.  @pennyhardaway7491  No.
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  52. There will likely be no trade for Harpoon.
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  53. Yep, you can see how nasty Harpoon still is with just 3 or 4 hits in this RIMPAC vid. More impressive the missiles were fired by different platforms from surface to air launched all timed to hit at the same time. Apparently the P-8 salvo was a little late to the party :P https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2uz2ZL06akU
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  54. Merkava 4 any day of the week fitted with Trophy APS.
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  55.  @joejoe-te4vx  What are you talking about?
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  56.  @joejoe-te4vx  Russia says they took down a transport carrying weapons and you believe them without evidence? Interesting disability.
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  57. The U.K. simply doesn’t have the right version for Ukraine unless they lash up a land based system with ship borne canisters onto the back of a Toyota pick up.
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  58. Considering Kyiv doesn’t look like Stalingrad I think it’s safe to assume they are telling the truth about their missile defence success. If not, maybe you can tell us what happened to all of those Russian missiles?
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  59. Its an expensive way to take down a drone, its cheaper using a martlet missile or a stinger. And those 2 weapons work in the rain.
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  60.  @Rascallucci  They will not be getting UK Storm Shadow they will likely get the export versions of SCALP that have shorter range. Of course, the UK could purchase those and donate to Ukraine, how they would be launched is the real issue, they will have to invent a pylon for it and work out captive carry, and separation. This might take some time.....
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  61.  @Rascallucci  I agree, too little too late but I understand the delay up to the Russian Donbas offensive last summer but not afterwards. Ukraine will never have enough MAMBA and Patriot launchers to defend the entire country but they can defend Kyiv with them. My worry is Patriot especially is semi mobile so they will have to hide the components very well - separate all the ground elements - remote launchers etc.
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  62. Biggest problem is atmospheric attenuation. If it rains these weapons dont work.
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  63.  @anonymjet4436  rain, fog, cloud, snow etc. Light sabre killers I’m afraid. The USN has some interesting techniques that they use for Naval lasers but I’m still unconvinced. The maritime environment is the most challenging.
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  64. The IDF has good intel I doubt a launch site lasts more than a single barrage before they have to relocate.
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  65. A well flown helicopter is a nightmare for a jet fighter to shoot down.
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  66. Yeah those were tactics through arrogance, the Russsians did not respect the UKR military and did not cover their column flanks or support their armour properly with infantry, they got their clocks cleaned by the UKR military. Now in the Donbas, the Russians are back to Army 101 tactics but still suffering huge losses because the UKR military has been training for this offensive for 8 years.
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  67. It is still lethal with a big warhead. It it also a sea skimmer that can dog leg into its target.
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  68.  @ДмитрийСвергин  You mean in your shit 3 day special operation?
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  69. Yes it tries to swallow the loaders arm.
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  70. Nope, even T90s are getting opened up like sardine cans in Ukraine.
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  71.  @Itried20takennames  In simple terms, the Russians did not expect to be battered with NLAW and Javelin.
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  72. Russia is also trying to refine their subsonic cruise missiles. They’ve added chaff dispensers to the Kh-101 for example. People have confused them with flare dispensers.
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  73. Estonia have donated more weapons than the U.K. - don’t get taken in by Johnson / Tory propaganda.
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  74. Thats what I think it is for, deterrence value. Neptune outranges Harpoon -L by some margin.
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  75. Turns out the Kinzhal only hits 3.5 Mach in its terminal phase. The Economist cited a Ukraine battery operator who was cleared for an interview. There was no information on the terminal phase flight profile but I’d expect that to be predictable.
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  76. You got a lot right, bravo dude.
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  77.  @williamzk9083  I think if you take an honest look at the missile capabilities based on the donor weapon and the fact it has no terminal seeker, I think Russian claims are over the top about it. With the kind of guidance and propulsion system it has ( one motor, no sustainer) it just isnt going to have great cross range capability in my book. Apart from making small course corrections, its flight path is probably quite predictable. The more it turns the slower it gets too in the terminal phase. Lastly, terminal speed is always limited by deceleration - if it is a bunker buster.I just dont buy the claims.
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  78.  @williamzk9083  I’ve never seen it mentioned anywhere that Kinzhal has any sort of active terminal guidance and even if it did, that guidance would be of little utility regarding cross range capability - which is adversely affected - limited by the donor weapon. It’s unpowered, that’s a huge limitation in manoeuvre capability right there, it can’t recover bearing or range to target after carrying out large manoeuvres, not if it wants to hit an aim point. It’s why I believe its manoeuvre capability is exaggerated. If it were a glide body, that would give it an expanded flight envelope - it’s not a glide body.
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  79.  @williamzk9083  I think the Russians probably have some far more capable hypersonic concepts, I just don’t think Kinzhal is one of them.
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  80.  @williamzk9083  we don’t know anything about the motor so everything from that is always going to be too vague. Also, we can’t ignore the launch method in this sort of calculus. The missile climbs, the motor burns out and there is no evidence it is still powered in the terminal phase. In fact, there are suggestions the claimed ranges are exaggerated. It has very small control surfaces and in thin air - how much manoeuvring could it be capable of? The answer is - not much. It doesn’t really matter if it has some sort of chamber TVC - as you’ll know it will still need the control surfaces for directional authority. At some point ALL of these weapons have to stop manoeuvring in order to hit an aim point - that’s when they will be vulnerable to PAC-3 CRI. Judging by the debris it looks like intercept is pretty late in the endgame - considering that’s where Patriot shines - after all this is a terminal defence missile - the Russians probably tried the most difficult method of striking the Patriot system. Max interceptor velocity doesn’t matter as much under those circumstances, they don’t have to travel cross range very much. These are almost head on shots. A much better way to neutralise that battery would have been to save their cruise missiles and drones up for one mass attack - say 100 cruise missiles and 50 drones plus any radar decoys they have. Instead they do it piecemeal. I’ve never understood this. Maybe they don’t have the capacity, who knows.
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  81. 2- In addition, I have a hard time believing the MIG-31 can release anything at 2 + Mach.
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  82.  @williamzk9083  yeah I believe it’s G limited to 4G too? I am not sure the beast is releasing Kinzhals at high speed it’s the altitude that matters more for the free ride into thin air for the weapon.
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  83. And get 60 Trident II missiles back in return packing 250 warheads, good deal?
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  84.  @krultheg3021  Do you think they throw the laser pointer just like a T72 turret?
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  85.  @justmr9553  Unless it rains, then the crew has to pack up for the day.
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  86.  @williamzk9083  Which is easier said than done.
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  87.  @williamzk9083  Yes I know, but most of it is not practical for a cheap missile solution.
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  88.  @williamzk9083  it’s cheaper just looking at the weather forecast and deciding to launch on a crap weather day.
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  89.  @luke4442  Kinzhal isn’t a glide vehicle by any means and as you e seen, UKR is shutting them down. So much for superior Russian technology.
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  90. I bet Putin wishes he had a USN carrier, that way his disastrous war in Ukraine might have gone differently.
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  91. Correct, the video is a bit misleading. It is largely made up of volunteers.
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  92. The U.K. isn’t going to be sending Harpoons to Ukraine. They would have to invent a land based solution since RN Harpoons are not the land based version. I doubt there are many options for other nations handing over their land based systems either. For me we should support their Neptune missile program, let’s get those rounds manufactured for them.
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  93. What about Denmark?
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  94. It never shot anything down before Ukraine and so far there is very little information on its success in Ukraine. Wonder why.
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  95.  @davidbetts9332  I think it is because there are very few systems out there.
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  96. They dont have to, Neptune already outranges Harpoon L.
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  97. It turns out the Kinzhal is not the wonder weapon you were lead to believe and is in reality nothing more advanced than a washing machine.
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  98.  @dizzyfergy  did Boeing get the update contract? The problem is we have surface ship GWS60 - not much good to Ukraine. They need truck mounted weapons and interfaces. I can feel a lash up job coming! Makes more sense to just support their Neptune program as best we can. We could even manufacture their rounds then ship them back to UKR.
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  99.  @dizzyfergy  I’ve always said I’d much prefer to be the shooter than tty defending against these missiles, they all have nasty consequences if they work - and even if they don’t.
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  100.  @yourholeispotato2628  It is a nuclear power so it could, but it`s not very likely.
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  101.  @p_akistani1687  I dont believe Imran is that stupid.
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  102. Maybe, but the aim is to produce aircraft that have wings that can morph into different shapes to suit different flight profiles. The next generation for swing wing I guess. I first heard of this 20 years ago.
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  103. Well that’s the Russian fantasy, as usual not the reality. Ukraine just intercepted 3 of them.
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  104. I think the public have been conned somewhat, I do not think these missiles are capable of mach 10 or 12, I base that on the donor weapon it is based on, they just operate beyond the engagement envelope of current Ukraine AD systems in altitude performance and speed. It`s an Iskander M adapted for air launch. People have bought into the idea that a supersonic Mig-31 carrying a supersonic short ranged ballistic missile makes it a wonderweapon. That MIG will not be rated to travel very fast carrying one of those weapons it`s on the MIG because it is large enough to carry it, has the ground clearance and thrust to take it up to higher altitude to launch it to give it greater range. An SU-27 probably lacks the dynamics to do it. Once UKR gets Patriot and SAMP-T operational they will be able to successfully engage a few of them but they will never have enough launchers to cover every target. What I find most interesting is these missiles have been fired in a salvo of 6 and UKR airspace is under high density of surveilance, so lots of radars wll have looked at these missiles are well as space based assets - we know exactly what its capabilities are in terms of speed and altitude, granted they could have clipped some of its manouever capability but not its speed. So, nobody is talking, which is normal, we dont want them to know what we know.
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  105.  @jasonsadventure  Neptune has a much smaller warhead than an AGM-84, in fact half the weight. Mind you I’d swap every Harpoon I had for one of those Russian bruisers. Their stuff used to terrify me.
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  106. They are pretty outmoded in 2022, although still pack a punch and fly very low and would still clean clean clock in a salvo launch. Unfortunately not the right fit for Ukraine, somebody would have to donate Harpoon land based systems to them and there aren’t many people who are ant to do that. The U.K. doesn’t have them for a start, only surface ship GWS60 and we don’t have many of those left. There were also a few air launched versions but they are probably in a bunker gathering dust next to the sub launched weapons.
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  107.  @jasonsadventure  Neptune can’t either now they’ve withdrawn the ships beyond its reach.
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  108.  @jasonsadventure  not really, their Kalibrs still hugely outrage Neptune. I doubt there was ever going to be a landing at Odessa anyway. The threat the Ukrainians face from the sea are small troop insertions and possibly shelling from smaller vessels. Hardly Neptune fodder.
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  109.  @panda123id  LockMart can build 6,000 M31 a year. That is without any ramp up of production and there are of course huge stocks available in the US and Europe.
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  110.  @antyspi4466  UKR has destroyed 30 Ammo dumps and continues to do this every day.Cant tell me that has no material impact on their operations. They have already moved major staging out of HIMARS range.
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  111.  @RUTHLESSambition5  Nobody has sold a HIMARS, it is much more lileky your mother has been sold on the open market to a Russian BTG.
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  112. No, there were plenty of VDV units in the north, but they melted away like everyboody else.
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  113. In the Cold War the entire WARPAC was a paper tiger but nobody would believe it.
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  114. To be fair, Trump wanted those parades.....
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  115.  @kelvinw.1384  half of them are over 50 mate…
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  116.  @neutrino.science.defense I don’t believe it has a scramjet - likely a hybrid ramjet. And if AD is expecting it - they can be shot down, Ukraine just proved it by taking out all 3 aimed at Kyiv.
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  117.  @superwout  None of those systems can counter a top down Javelin. For hard kill those systems would have to shoot upwards and outwards, thus killing your supporting infantry, which is why the projectiles fire upwards and explode downwards. As for soft kill systems, they cannot elevate high enough to influence the Javelin seeker, or even detect the missile that is the current hypothesis. They have relied on their ERA and base armour, although Shtora has been seen it doesnt seem to work very well. As for the 3rd gen system on Armata, it faces the same contraints as the other systems. Since the sanctions, unless they have previously bought a lot of stock, the western components of its FC system will be cut off so not much chance of seeing many new T-14s unless they can sourceand integrate components from China.
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  118.  @jonathanpfeffer3716  No matter the system, any hard kill is always limited by the need to not kill supporting infantry close to your tank. Thats the kicker for these system`s capability.
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