Comments by "Aden Wellsmith" (@adenwellsmith6908) on "Professor Tim Wilson"
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@mikebikekite1 It does. The reason is simple probability.
Take the NHS. If there's one avoidable death a year, and all other maternitiy wards don't suffer lots of deaths, then the probability of murder in the Letby case is such that someone killed the kids.
However, given that 20,000 avoidable deaths in just NHS accute hospitals in England is the rate, you need to adjust. Take account of East Kent, South Wales, Mid Yorks, Shrewsbury and Telford, and the death toll in those maternaty wards, and the odds are different.
It's called Baynesian Analysis.
So with cyclists, given that close to 100% of them are cycling and breaking the law regularly, with intent, you have to take that into account when on a jury. What's the odds you got the one cyclist who wasn't breaking the law?
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@mikebikekite1 I have. They say we haven't got the staff.
For example, I was told Lambeth had one officer on at night. Quite what the other 1999 were up to, beyond me.
The fixes are easy.
1. Schools. Picks up the motorbikes used for school runs. Seize and destroy, report to Social services. Easy
2. McDonalds. Gets deliveroo.
3. Red light jumpers. Just for the rushhour in the morning, as a cash cow.
There you go, some nice and simple solutions.
The first, for the whole borrough comes out at 1 man month, plus you are flying the flag for the police.
McDonalds, you include mopeds being used for delivery of food. Lots of secondary offences.
Red light jumpers. You don't need to get many before the word spreads around the coffee machines at work.
Difficult to get the mobile phone snatchers, but I did manage to get one nicked.
On report it, I do have script. Video the junction. Then watch it, note the time and offences in a spreadsheet.
Then the script reports each offence to the Met. No typing. No errors. Given they have 20-25K CADs logged a day, do you think I would get a visit for reporting 10% of them?
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