Comments by "Black_Triton" (@black_triton9264) on "Anders Puck Nielsen" channel.

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  55. I like that you are attempting to compare best/worst case scenarios. 1. "RU has an advantage in equipment and ammo". While that is true, the RU, in the 2nd year of the SMO, also have an advantage in manpower. 650k troops in the SMO area. UA is around 200k. Arty ammo production is 3.5M rounds/yr. US/EU combined is 400K rds/yr. 2. Satellite imagery shows that RU is building new defence plants. So they are not capped out. Where are the new NATO defence facilities? Just talk. 3. "RU is spending its SAVINGS". While the US and EU are growing their debt. If RU had to, don't you think they'll go to debt/govt bonds, too? 4. UKR defence production? WTF is that? A fraction of pre war levels 😂 5. "In the 2nd yr of the war, RU is on the offensive". False. 2023 was characterized by the defeated UA counter-offensive. RU is, as you later slip, is in an Active Defence phase. The Bakmut and Adiivka operations were more about attrition operations. Adiivka has the added political imperative of stopping the shelling of Donetsk which has been happening since 2014. 6. The Ukr supply chain has dried up. It's never going to be as good as winter of 22/23 pre counter-offensive. 6. Let me fix your "pessimistic scenario". Due to casualties and continued real military failures, more UA units refuse combat, civilian demonstrations increase, zelensky is forced out and the RU reach the Dniepr and take Odessa. The new Ukr leader signs capitulation. Ukr does not join NATO, all its heavy weapons including western equipment is handed to RU and the UA is capped at 100k internal security troops. Most NATO members don't actually make good on their announced defence increases due to populations not wanting to give up established generous social benefits. This causes collapse of NATO. US, UK, Australia, NZ and Can formalize their current arrangement into a new alliance. The remainder become members of the currently planned EU Army.
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  131.  @guydreamr  "blalanced", "unbiased" means calling out the good and bad plays on each side. That never happens on this channel. Why? Because Anders is an officer at a Danish mil academy. He's a serving NATO officer. He'll be on the carpet for disloyalty if he says RU did something well. He kept saying the UA c/offensive was making gains when it was already dead in the water. Look at what he said about Bakhmut being "strategically important " while in UA hands then magically it wasn't very important once it changed hands. All those "game changers" that amounted to nothing. Putin has cancer/14th heart attack/med issues.. ok, I'll bite. Source? Zero. Putin under political stress/tenuous hold on power... as evidencedby what? RU has sustained hundreds of thousands of deaths... BBC (UK MoD?) Funded "mediazona project" says different (check it out for yourself). When RU started using upgraded RM37 and shot down 25 UA aircraft in last two weeks of October... crickets. Here is some BS "analysis" from this vid: RU has to pull back to high ground away from river and build defences there OR fight at the current bridgehead line. Why can't they do both? Is that what RU did in order to build the Surovikin Line? Pull back and not maintain the line of contact? 🤡 Anders is a navy guy (i think the equivalent of an army major). I'll presume he knows what he's talking about in the maritime environment (im givinghim a freebie because i haven't heard any). But he's out to lunch on army operations. I conclude that he is either trying to make a popular name for western audience echo chamber to sell books/YouTube revenue OR the channel is a NATO info op. So why do I watch Anders? Because I listen to points of view across the whole spectrum and then make my own assessment of who is winning. It's not who Anders says it is...
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