Comments by "Black_Triton" (@black_triton9264) on "How is the war going? — Early May 2023" video.

  1. I like your analysis. Because its fairly predictable that the opposite will actually happen. "4-500 soldiers per kilometer is not a lot" 😂 This is what you get from a navy "analyst" that doesnt even understand his own alliances doctrine. A battalion (4-500 soldiers) defensive doctrine states 2-3 km frontage. Not surprisingly, this is the same for both Soviet and now Russian doctrine. The fact that UA hasnt been able to get thru the Russian security zone, never mind even reaching any main defensive positions, after 3 months should be telling you that Anders is full of it. Anders, try this Red Cell exercise: look at the Russian side and really do an honest, unbiased assessment of their strengths, weakenesses and options. Then see how these match up the UA side. Lastly, what is your estimate for losses on both sides in last 3 months?
    4
  2. "400-500 Russian soldier per km"..... no way they have defence in depth right? Multiple lines? No. They are lined up Naploleonic style. What a joke. Navy guy has no understanding.
    2
  3. Anders, what do YOU consider minimum a outcome for success in this UA c/offensive? Cutting the Crimea land bridge? Taking 1,000 km2? 1 km2? Losing less soldiers than Russia?
    2
  4. So... tell us. What have the casualties been in Bakhmut? Saying they have been "costly to Russia" means nothing without #s. If you were on my staff, you wouldn't be for long. Facta non verba.
    2
  5. WTF are you talking about? There was no "Russian Winter Offensive". Not only did, Russia not announce it, there was no evidence of one. The casualty figures bear this out. With such a bias blindspot, are you a pundit? Because you can't be an "analyst" 😂
    2
  6. So there are 60-80k UA around Bakhmut and they have been feeding in reserves. Who has been distracted?
    1
  7. @Frédéric Hoffmann  but UA is losing more in the defence despite the "urban defensive bonus". How many UA are still in the 2 km2 area? How many will survive?
    1
  8.  @kurousagi8155  how much do you think for each side?
    1
  9.  @scottharrison812  surely the side with Neo Nozzles can't be on that high ground.😆
    1
  10. @Hans Sarpaier  the US leaks put RU losses between 35-43k. The BBC Mediazona put put at 20k. Last Dec, EU president let slip 100k UA KIA. I think that's now about 140k. But you keep listening to CNN 👍
    1
  11.  @martynanstis1620  why is ukraine building its army for the third time?
    1
  12. @Michelle Lewis  quite right. Something that the "analyst" presenter totally skips by 👌
    1
  13.  @parabot2  apparently with shovels. Remember that crap? 😜
    1
  14.  @kurousagi8155  😆😂😆😂👏
    1
  15. @Henry Hudson  the casualties of wagner vs rest of RU forces. Seems like wagner was the only one fighting.... and everyone knows where. I keep hearing about the "failed Russian offensive" but this claim is not supported in any way but fiction. Since western analysts said there should have been one, and there wasn't, is it a failure? 😜 In my day, this was called "situating the estimate"... intellectual laziness.
    1
  16. So there won't be a UA counter-offensive? Weird.
    1