Comments by "Black_Triton" (@black_triton9264) on "How is the war going? – Early October 2023" video.

  1. "No conscription until later in March after the elections to avoid political problems"... Anders, you don't understand something as basic as annual Russian conscription intake schedule???? Its twice a year: March and September. Its been like that for many, many years 😂
    5
  2. "The mud season is a couple of months".... No. Its a couple of weeks. "Analyst". I'd fire you off my staff.
    5
  3. If RU had to choose between regular conscription phase OR mobilization, they would need mobilization if they are as desperate as you say they are at the front. But there is no mobilization... ergo, they are not "desparate at the front"
    4
  4. "RU troops don't rotate"... this is patently false. Home leave was normal in the first year of the war an still is. What kind of info op are you running here? 😂
    3
  5. "No RU mobilization"... because there are more than enought volunteers. About 1,500/day. "UA offensive has not culminated"... yes it did. 3rd or 4th week of June. In August UA committed what was supposed to be 3rd echelon breakout forces. They didnt even reach the RU main defensive position (MDP) aka Surovikin Line. I have to ask, what in your opinion, would a failed UA offensive look like? Because I believe its long since failed
    3
  6. "The Ukrainian Offensive" 🤡
    3
  7.  @mariaf.6601  there are two rasputitsa (mud) seasons per year. Late March and late October. They can each last approx 2-4 weeks depending on temperature and rainfall.
    3
  8. @mariaf.6601  yes, after the rain it's wet ground. But it's "solved" differently for each rasputitsa. The October one is wet until the ground freezes. It will freeze around mid November. So if it rains later in October, it's pretty short. This year it is looking short so far. The other one started in late March with spring thaw. It's longer depending on how warm/cool the spring is and how much April rain.
    2
  9. @mariaf.6601  further to my last... tanks are moving freely across the fields as seen in drone footage. The October rains are delayed. Steady rain expected end of first week of November. So this seasons rasputitsa will be quite short.. if the weather turns cold by mid November. And why wouldn't it. We'll see.
    2