Comments by "Black_Triton" (@black_triton9264) on "What will happen in year three of the war?" video.

  1. I like that you are attempting to compare best/worst case scenarios. 1. "RU has an advantage in equipment and ammo". While that is true, the RU, in the 2nd year of the SMO, also have an advantage in manpower. 650k troops in the SMO area. UA is around 200k. Arty ammo production is 3.5M rounds/yr. US/EU combined is 400K rds/yr. 2. Satellite imagery shows that RU is building new defence plants. So they are not capped out. Where are the new NATO defence facilities? Just talk. 3. "RU is spending its SAVINGS". While the US and EU are growing their debt. If RU had to, don't you think they'll go to debt/govt bonds, too? 4. UKR defence production? WTF is that? A fraction of pre war levels 😂 5. "In the 2nd yr of the war, RU is on the offensive". False. 2023 was characterized by the defeated UA counter-offensive. RU is, as you later slip, is in an Active Defence phase. The Bakmut and Adiivka operations were more about attrition operations. Adiivka has the added political imperative of stopping the shelling of Donetsk which has been happening since 2014. 6. The Ukr supply chain has dried up. It's never going to be as good as winter of 22/23 pre counter-offensive. 6. Let me fix your "pessimistic scenario". Due to casualties and continued real military failures, more UA units refuse combat, civilian demonstrations increase, zelensky is forced out and the RU reach the Dniepr and take Odessa. The new Ukr leader signs capitulation. Ukr does not join NATO, all its heavy weapons including western equipment is handed to RU and the UA is capped at 100k internal security troops. Most NATO members don't actually make good on their announced defence increases due to populations not wanting to give up established generous social benefits. This causes collapse of NATO. US, UK, Australia, NZ and Can formalize their current arrangement into a new alliance. The remainder become members of the currently planned EU Army.
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  2.  @Princip666  I hear you about TY. Although Mr. Puckhead also deletes my comments from time to time. "The arena of ideas" 😆 "Western heads exploding" 😆 great line. But who is this western leadership dream team? biden, blinken, austin, scholz, bierbock, vanderleyen, boris the clown johnson, the sun king macron and blaqueface trudeau. Mental midgets paired up against putin and lavrov. But seriously, Russia doesn't want or need the non-russian part of ukr. What they have now represents 40% of ukr's GDP. Should they go to the Dniepr River and Odessa, and I think they will, it will be 60% of the GDP? What if Poland, Hungary and Romania want their parts of Western ukr back? That would have more heads exploding 😆
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  3. If Europe can't keep up their end of defending themselves, why bother. They've enjoyed decades of generous social programs and welfare. Time to stew in their own juices.
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  4. Then you should check out another guy named Brian Berletic at The New Atlas. He is also bald but much smarter.
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  5.  @Princip666  ... and YT didn't like my reply to you 🤔
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  6. He's a serving NATO officer. What is he going to say? The Truth? He'll get fired. For lies, he will be celebrated as an expert and promoted 😂
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  7. Well, do you want your govt to increase taxes?, cut social programs?, make defence company shareholders rich? How long will it take for another defence minister like Van Der Leyen to let a new armed forces fall into disrepair again? In the west, defence conglomerates have captured their govts for profit priorities. Russia has done the exact opposite. They have a state defence conglomerate that serves national defence priorities. What's going to happen when the EU countries stop paying those millions of military aged male "migrants"? 😂😂😂
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  8. Well, for years Europe laughed at us for their awesome social welfare and health programs while we in the US payed for your defence. You got some adult decisions to make now. Reality, it's a bit#h. Remember how the Germans laughed at Trump when he said that it was dangerous to rely on Russian energy? Well, who's laughing now? Europe has always been an unreliable partner for the US. Europe creates the conditions that require a US blood and treasure solution. No more. Good luck and good riddance.
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  9. @JR-gp2zk you misspelled "Royal Navy Poseidon nuclear missiles". There. I fixed it for you 👍
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  10. You just nailed the problems of globalism. What the EU has been pushing for decades. Their solution will, of course, be more EU and more globalism 😂
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  11. ​ @murphy7801 yes, Europe has been taking its defence priorities very seriously for decades. Wake the F up 😂😂😂
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