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@timelwell7002 By blaming the EU, the Tories sow hatred and distrust. As the economic situation grows desperate, that hatred and distrust become anger that grows to a point where an outlet is needed. It can either explode inward, at the Tory government, or outward at the EU.
So, yes, while it seems inconceivable at the moment, if the UK really does go into an economic tailspin (as is likely seeing how the Tories are bungling everything), it may well turn into war. Possible triggers might be either Gibraltar or the Republic of Ireland, but that is very hard to predict. It may also be a civil war with Scotland.
That war will be the dying breath of the Conservative Party, so they are playing a game that is more dangerous than they realise, also to themselves.
This is one reason why the EU is treating the UK with such forbearance.
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As Phil said, you can threaten people with their career prospects within the party, but you can not hold their constituents hostage by threatening to cut public funding. It is illegal.
And about Trump: he should be behind bars right now. His quid pro quo was also illegal. The fact that he isn't behind bars shows that the USA has drifted very far from its lofty ideals.
A former French president was thrown in jail for doing such things a few years ago, so no, corruption is not normal. It is only normal when the People get complacent, as they have in the UK and the USA. Both are in real danger of loosing their democracy, instead becoming demockeries. Like Russia or Turkey. You want to be ruled by a fraud like Putin or Erdogan? Who will rob you of all dignity, bankrupt your country and kill progress?
Selfishness (of which corruption is a form) always tears down a nation, so that all suffer (including the elites). Willingness to share & help people that are worse off lifts a nation up, so that everybody is better off, including the elites.
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@lindabastable3021 I share your views, but extrapolated to The End.
Brexit is slowly teaching the English people that they need the co-operation of the other European nations to survive (long term). That is the final step in development from juvenile Independence / abusive bullying to adult inter-dependence.
Until they make that step in development, the English economy will continue to spiral downward. As there is no-one who can stop that spiral except the English themselves, they have a choice to either sink or swim.
Obviously, the UK is no longer viable. The English are too blatantly abusing the interests of the other nations for their own benefit.
My personal expectation is that the UK will dissolve rather quickly (a couple of years), and that the English economy will continue to spiral down. At some point they will enter hyper-inflation with government debt out of control. This may take a decade or so. Then, finally, there will be a different government. They will ask the IMF for help. The IMF, not being dummies, will co-operate with the EU for a rescue plan which will include political reform, abandoning the Pound, and membership to the Customs Union & Single Market. The political reform will include proportional representation, which means English politics will finally grow up, and there will never be a Tory government again.
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The UK will never rejoin the EU. It might be allowed back into the Single Market, but only after a great deal of repentance and with the hardest of guarantees, submitting in full to the authority of the EU. All of the rules, none of the influence. I don't think the English will ever accept that.
After the inevitable break-up of the UK, things will be different. Scotland will be allowed membership pretty quickly: we like the Scots. N.I. will simply join with the RoI.
England, however, is another matter. Their Xenophobia, Stupidity, Parochialism, Selfishness and the offensive, rude, dictatorial and belligerent politicians have pissed off the European voters. It will require massive political, economical and social reforms before being allowed back in. That will depend on how quickly the required reforms will take place. My bet is it will take a generation.
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@richardcory5024 And that is the difference between a mature, professional Parliament, and the amateurish farce you have going on. Why let a PM insult Parliament and waste its time by not answering the question?
According to convention (in your case) or the Constitution (in mine), Parliament is sovereign. The government answers to Parliament. Not answering Parliament or answering in a misleading way is a grave insult to Parliament and by extension the nation.
Also, MP's sit in Parliament on the authority of their Constituents / Voters, not on the authority of their party. This means that it makes absolutely no difference which party the MP asking a question belongs to.
In my country, all MP's can always ask questions to the government, during debates or in writing, and have them answered. Refusal to answer in a timely manner or giving misleading answers are sacking events for the minister in question.
This is what is fundamentally wrong with UK democracy. It has forgotten that the government works for Parliament, and that it is Parliament's job to scrutinize the government, and it is government's first responsibility to submit to such scrutiny, regardless of party politics.
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@BENTWOONEZERO TL;DR: Yes.
Long answer: there are short-term and long term effects. The short-term effects are that the migrant workers pay taxes and spend a significant amount of their wages in the country of work. This means that much of what they earn is not lost to the economy, but pumped around. That money is now taken out of the economy, as these positions are not taken over by others. And obviously, their efforts made profits for their employers, which are now also gone.
The long-term effects are that migrant workers used to take specific types of jobs. This allowed a large part of the native population to specialize in other types of jobs, usually better paying jobs. As at least some of the vacancies need to be filled by native workers who used to do better paying jobs, this will further diminish the UK economy. Also, the wages for these people need to rise, putting profit margins under pressure for these businesses. That in it self is not a bad thing, as higher wages lead to economic growth as that money is pumped around in the economy as long as the companies can compensate for the higher wages by increasing their prices. This is not possible in areas where the produce is to be exported.
Some of these jobs are also pre-requisites for other jobs, as most jobs interconnect through supply chains. These now need to be reshuffled.
So, long term it means that there will be less people available for the more lucrative, high-margin jobs that made the UK an advanced economy. This not only reduces the per-capita income, but also taxes raised by the government, the value of housing, etc, etc.
As many of the migrant workers were seasonal, this affects job security for the people replacing them. They can probably get work for the summer but not for the winter, leading to poverty as the UK is still an expensive place to live.
As the migrant workers needed to stay somewhere during their time in the UK, their loss will lead to a reduction in house value.
etc, etc, etc, etc.
The main principle is that in a healthy economy, every worker generates more value than he/she costs, value that can be used to create more value.
Not all work creates value, e.g. the military protects value but does not create any. But migrant workers were as far as I understand, not involved much in the military. Work in the e.g. NHS does create value, as it allows people to work more efficiently.
Sadly, the UK is now discovering how much value their membership of the EU created...
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@Holliethedog No, it was the purpose of Putin to weaken the EU. He achieved that: the EU has less power & prosperity without the UK than with the UK. Fartage et al were at best useful tools, at worst fully complicit in Putin's plans.
The idea that Brexit would collapse the EU was always idiotic, and anyone with even the slightest insight would have said so in 2015. I most certainly did. I remember what things were like pre-EU, how hard it was to cross borders (in person or shipping goods), and the hassle of needing cash in four or more currencies when going on a holiday. We used to keep left-over coins in photo-film containers at home, because you couldn't convert them back to our own currency. And you needed insurance, a carnet for the car, traveler checks, proof of ownership for valuable stuff you took with you, to avoid having to pay duty when bringing them back into our country, etc, etc, etc.
Guess the idiots who voted Leave forgot about all that. Well, good luck proving that you owned that boat on your trailer before you left the UK, or proving that you are not going to sell it in the EU when you enter.
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Thank you, Phil, for explaining all this. I didn't know much of this.
My advice for you: don't forget to keep Looking at the Bright Side of Life. This will not last forever. The worse Tories make it for the People, the shorter their regime will last. At some point, the People will remind the Tories that they are, indeed, public servants.
Some inspiration (1581): "And when he [the prince/ruler] does not behave thus, but, on the contrary, oppresses them, seeking opportunities to infringe their ancient customs and privileges, exacting from them slavish compliance, then he is no longer a prince, but a tyrant, and the subjects are to consider him in no other view. And particularly when this is done deliberately, unauthorized by the states, they may not only disallow his authority, but legally proceed to the choice of another prince for their defense. This is the only method left for subjects whose humble petitions and remonstrances could never soften their prince or dissuade him from his tyrannical proceedings; and this is what the law of nature dictates for the defense of liberty, which we ought to transmit to posterity, even at the hazard of our lives."
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@ellied.violet7372 There are plenty of reasons for the EU to accept England back into the fold. It would strengthen our market position, strengthen the EU militarily and politically. Also it would reduce the likelihood of violence or civil war in the region, especially North Ireland -- which is the ultimate goal of the EU.
So, provided England prove its dedication to European co-operation, honest reporting, democracy and Rule of Law, I don't think there will be too much trouble. Obviously, some members will milk the situation to get concessions, but that is par for the course.
I understand that many of us feel deeply insulted by the Brits, and I do believe that Bozo is doing his best to burn as many ships behind him as possible. But he has been paid by Putin to do that, perhaps indirectly. As the situation in GB is growing worse and worse, at some point we will take pity with them.
It would help if Bozo (and Frost, Trust, Patel etc) are convicted for abuse of power and betrayal of the interests of the British people.
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@habi0187 No need to apologise, I was not offended by your remark.
It may surprise you, but there is no formal British constitution. There is a large set of rules that have been acquired over the centuries (the UK being the oldest, continuous democratic state that gradually transitioned from a Divine Right monarchy to a Parliamentary Democracy). The UK constitution was started with the Magna Carta of 1215 AD, and laws, rules and traditions have been added and changed throughout the centuries.
However, UK Parliament has the undeniable right to dismiss the Prime Minister through the Vote of No Confidence. This only requires a simple majority in either house, so dismissing the PM (and thus the government) is quite easy. This can be done without having to organise a new election, so politically it does not have a large penalty. If a PM looses the support of the majority of a house of Parliament, he is gone, sometimes within hours.
Thus it is not possible to get the kind of stale-mate we see so often in US politics: Parliament is undeniably stronger than the government, none of this "three co-equal branches" nonsense. No, Parliament is Sovereign.
This also means that Parliament is not beholden to a Supreme Court like in the USA. It does have to abide by the existing body of law, and courts have the authority to judge whether it does, but they are free to rewrite the laws as they see fit -- as long as both houses of Parliament support the changes, and the proper procedure is followed. And as long as Parliament has full jurisdiction over said laws, which is not the case for international law (like the Brexit withdrawal agreement or the North Ireland Protocol).
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@richardcory5024 I do not expect minsters to answer questions real-time. They head enormous organisations, and can't possibly know all details. So it is acceptable to postpone answering a question for a (short) period of time, and get back to it later. To say "I do not know the answer but I will have my staff find it out and will get back to you" is an acceptable reply. But it is imperative the minister reports back with the full answer, or he/she can pack his/her bags.
In the end, politics is not about emotions or theatrics, but about managing a country. Parliament has given the government a mandate to do certain things, and government needs to report back to it. Often things go wrong, and MPs need to bring that to the governments attention in an attempt to do right by their voters. This is a rational effort, based in facts. Emotions only lead to sore mistakes (like Brexit).
So instead of "keeping the rawness at the heart of democracy", it is time to tone down the theatrics, and start governing based on truth, facts, and expert advice. By God, you need it.
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@abbersj2935 I predict a stepped re-entry. First step will be re-entry into the Single Market & Customs Union. England will have no power at all, just take the rules the EU dictates. There will be little opposition from the EU against this.
The next step* will be replacing the Pound with the Euro. It will likely be part of an economic rescue package. This is more sensitive, and will require a massive overhaul of English politics including adopting proportional representation and getting rid of the House of Lords. As it will have the urgency of a rescue mission (the English economy will have collapsed), likely this will also pass quite easily.
The final step, full membership of the EU, will take MUCH longer, at least a generation. But this is also the step that has the smallest practical impact for the citizens of the EU or the UK, so who cares.
So, the net result of Brexit will be: dissolution of the UK, abolishment of the Pound, restructuring of UK politics, the destruction of the Tory party, complete loss of international power, being subject to all rules & regulations the EU can come up with, and untold suffering by the English people.
Well done, Brexitards.
(*: there is a chance a future government can avoid the economic destruction of England by rejoining the SM & CU quickly, but I doubt this will happen. Also the train wreck has already been put in motion.)
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"Businesses can't change quickly enough"
That is exactly why Brexit is an absolute train wreck.
The transition period after activating article 50 was intended for businesses to adapt. Instead, the Conservatives pissed away that time playing brinkmanship games, leaving them only a single week over Christmas to adapt.
At the time, I already explained what a good way to Brexit would be:
1). Negotiate a comprehensive agreement with the EU.
2). Let all relevant parliaments approve the agreement, or go back to step 1.
3). Widely publicize the timeline and consequences of the agreement, perhaps even organizing a final referendum on it.
4). Trigger article 50.
5). Let businesses adapt, taking care to solve issues quickly.
6). Brexit.
Instead, May and Bozo wanted to look like decisive leaders, and did 4 before 1 and 2. 3 was never done at all.
So, now the UK business are knackered, and will start dying off pretty soon.
It will be a bleak autumn & winter for the UK.
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@piccalillipit9211 "they WANT chaos and food riots"
I am afraid that you hit the nail on the head here.
Fascists create division, fear and chaos, then stand up and loudly claim that their Glorious Leader is the only one who can save the nation.
However, to succeed they need to be able to point to an enemy, so the nation can rally against them instead of the real cause of the chaos. The could continue pointing to the nasty EU, but I would think that that will grow thin. They could point at the people taking advantage of the changed economic reality to demand better wages, i.e. a communist / socialist scare, I don't know.
But I do think very dark times are ahead for England. I hope NI and Scotland can escape that doom by breaking off the UK, which in itself might create the enemies the Tories need to turn anger away from them, but England entrusted themselves to lying, dividing, self-serving and corrupt clowns, there will be a heavy price to pay.
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There are a few points I disagree with.
1). Even if the nutters loose the next GE, the EU will be very hesitant to enter new negotiations with the UK. In all likelihood, the nutters will come back to power in 2028-2029. The EU will not want to negotiate until there is demonstrably an overwhelming majority in favour of rejoining, and the media that lied about the EU for 40 years has changed views permanently. The UK rejoining the EU will not be in the cards for at least a generation, and I am doubtful entry to the SM will be possible much sooner. The English-dominated UK has shown itself to be a very unreliable partner, even before 2016, but especially since. Do not underestimate the way Bozo's behaviour has damaged the English reputation and destroyed any remaining good-will. We do not just see an evil clown at work, we see an evil clown that continues to have the full support of the majority of Parliament, the media and the English nation!
2). It will be in the EU's interest to fast-track certain aspects of membership that will greatly aid the transition and the Scottish economy, such as joining the Euro and scrapping border measures long before a fuller agreement is reached. The EU can be creative, flexible and quick when it wants to, and Scotland has a lot of good-will in the EU.
3). Due to the devolved nature of Scotland, it can start to work towards convergence with the EU before it actually leaves the UK.
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The Tories are trying to increase the anger in society, not reduce it. People who are angry are no longer able to think logically. That is why they trigger emotions in their speeches. That is Fascism 101.
It is time for the moderates in the UK to start using strong and clear language, designed to trigger feelings of disgust and loathing, towards the Tories. By staying civil and logical, you play into the cards of the Tories. Because the People will tend to listen to those who trigger their emotions most. Obviously, you need to stay within the truth. But it is not difficult to trigger loathing for Tories while staying within the truth.
Tories are trying to make people so afraid of Labour that they would rather cut off their own hand than vote for Starmer. And in the mean time it are the Tories who are making Britons poorer, taking away the future of their children, forcing them to sell their homes and land and businesses to foreign investors. And they smile while doing it. Because they benefit from you becoming poorer. They have sold your water companies to the highest bidder, and you get sh!t in return. They have sold your train services, promising that fares would become cheaper and service better. They lied. Fares are up, service is down, and those working for those companies are squeezed until they can't afford their home any more. There is no money to raise their salaries, but there is plenty to raise that of the CEO by 30% or more. etc, etc.
It is time to seriously up the rhetoric. They hit low using lies. You need to respond by hitting low and hard with the truth. Truth will win, but only if you also hit low.
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What the British voters need to realise is that Labour works differently than the Tories. The Tories make outrageous and misleading promises that will never be implemented in the way the voters hope they are. Labour does not do that. The promises they make are sincere and what they believe the country needs, whereas Tories will promise anything that will get them votes.
So they big question is: would you rather be swindled out of your livelihood by a posh character who smiles nicely to you when you are looking but pisses on you when you are not, or would you rather trust someone who speaks the truth (even when unpleasant), is genuinely concerned with you, and knows how to improve your lot.
As they say, when you are conned once, that is the con's fault. But be conned twice, and it is your own. The UK usually votes conservative, especially since the eighties. Is your country better off now than it was 40 years ago, when compared with neighbouring countries? If not, then the Conservatives have no clue how to run a country.
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@tugpilotsmiffy Not so, my friend. You'd better read the documents: they are publicly available.
If they were only temporary, they would have said so in the documents. Because it is the documents that get signed, not the words lying Tory politicians describe them with. So, unless you can give me chapter & verse where it says exactly that they are valid for 4 years or subject to a popular vote, I'd say, get used to the NIP. You will have to live with it for a LONG time.
We warned you that it was unwise to sign these documents without proper scrutiny, which is why the EU delayed signing them for 3 months. But no, you had to trust Bozo -- probably the least trustworthy politician the UK has ever seen. Not such a smart move after all, was it. And now you are stuck with it.
If you aren't happy with it, take it out on Bozo and Lord Fristy who did such a grand job negotiating it. And start begging the EU to allow you back in the SM & CU. Expect it to take some time before the EU will respond, it has more urgent things to deal with, and you will need to do some serious boot-licking and ass-kissing with the many nations you insulted these last 5 years.
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I hope that with Bregret, comes an understanding that not only the Brexitards were responsible for Brexit. There are many things that are fundamentally wrong in the UK, that sane people have allowed to persist.
One thing in particular that should have been dealt with long ago, is the acceptance of right-wing propaganda media. Journalists should be held to account for malpractice. The anti-EU sentiment has been nurtured by the UK press for at least 30 years, with the papers full of slanderous and erroneous stories blaming the EU for everything. There should have been a strong movement inside the UK putting a stop to that, by fact checking. Instead, it has been allowed to fester and hey presto, 25 years later people wanted out of the EU. Even "sane" people have been influenced by these lies, without realising it.
Another area is people exercising their democratic right to protest. It is absurd that Steve Bray has been all alone protesting this farcical clown show you call politics. You know this would never have happened in e.g. France, because the People would have acted to ensure politicians worked in their favour. The Remainers did not do this, so they got themselves to thank for Brexit.
The UK as a whole, including Remainers, share responsibility for Brexit. Yes, you too, Scotland and N.I. I didn't see you protesting for weeks either, and the right-wing rags are also for sale in Glasgow etc.
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There are a lot of people who think the Tories should be prosecuted. But no. The only thing the Tories are guilty of, is lying to the public. Which is not a crime (though I think it should be).
However, the Responsibility for Brexit does not lie with the Tories. The Responsibility lies with the UK public. Because a). they gave Bozo a majority in the 2019 election, b). they failed to protest sufficiently to change government policies, c). they allowed the right-wing media to poison their minds for decades concerning the EU and to continue with that to this day, d). they failed to hold the BBC to account for misleading the people, etc, etc, etc.
The RESPONSIBILITY lies with all the Britons.
There are lessons to be learned from Brexit. Up to now, the Britons have not been learning them. The main lesson is this: To make democracy work, the "silent majority" needs to stop being silent.
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I never understand the idiots who press for rejoin and decry Labour for not having it in their Manifesto.
These people vastly underestimate the amount of time rejoining would take, nor the political realities in both the UK and the EU. If Starmer were to approach the EU in order to rejoin, he would be given a long list of reforms & alignments that would be required, that would take at least a decade to work through and require changes to the constitution (like, putting it down on paper), replacing the House of Lords with something democratic, etc, etc, etc.
As you say, what is needed is to step away from the brinkmanship, the rabid anti-EU stance and back into a constructive relationship with your most direct and largest neighbour.
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Excellent analysis!
And it won't be limited to weapons either. The same reasons to step away from US weapons applies to other US services as well. Like, android, Office365, Windows, OSX, and the American cloud services (Amazon, Microsoft). At the moment, the US government has no authority to violate those services, but I have no doubt the Trump regime will e.g. force these companies to open up their servers to the NSA / CIA, or install CIA backdoors right within the Windows platform.
In the past, we allowed US companies to have (virtual) monopolies in this industry. But that was ONLY because the USA was a trusted partner. Now that has changed, these monopolies are no longer acceptable to the EU. It will step away from any US service that is based on trust.
I expect the EU to adopt a strategy forbidding their governments to use these American services, and develop replacements where they don't already exist. This will devastate the US IT industry.
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Finally, the penny drops.
But that is not all of it. They also want a very small group to take possession of all land, houses and other assets, on a level way beyond the Victorian age. They want SMB's to fail, private home ownership to end, farmers to sell their land, they want Citizens to become indentured to the city they live in, etc, etc, etc.
In the victorian age, you had upward mobility and improving conditions for most. Not in Tory Britain.
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The UK media has been broken for decades, at least 30 years. And they are directly responsible for such disasters as Brexit. Even more so than the Tory politicians. Because they have been systematically brainwashing the UK with anti-EU and anti-Labour ideas that are 100% pure lies.
There is no hope for the UK until they are dealt with. Ban the Telegraph, the Daily Mail, the Sun, etc, etc, etc. Ban them outright.
Obviously, Labour needs to create the legal framework for it. But unless these pits of depravity are shut down, there is no hope for a better future. They will simply continue poisoning the minds of the UK, using the lying tactics Phil points out. And others, like quoting an opinion from a single person from the general public, as "People say".
There was a reason the Völkischer Beobachter was banned in 1923. But the Bavarian authorities made the capital mistake of allowing it to be re-published in 1925. For that exact same reason, these modern pro-fascist outlets need to be banned.
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"Less taxes means more money in my pocket"
That is such a deception. A decent government will use those taxes sensibly, which will make life better for EVERYBODY, except for the filty-rich people. More taxes means a better economy, but also: cheaper & better transportation, cheaper & better education, healthcare, etc, etc, etc. Even people who think they do not need the government, still depend on facilities provided by the government for nearly everything. If only for the road to your house, the water you drink, etc, etc.
An analysis by Money & Marco (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FuZ5WO8xoks&t=802s) illustrated this by comparing income and costs for different people groups in the USA and the Netherlands.
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@David Young What amazes me most about this carfuffle in the UK is that there are not more, or more insistent, protests. Whole branches of the economy have been made in-viable at a stroke, and what do those affected do? Moan a bit in the media. Now, that will have the government shaking in its boots!
It may well be that you, personally, have good reasons not to be out on the streets, but I will say that most European nations would not have taken these massive betrayals by the Tories and the media lying down, except for some of the younger democracies.
Usually, a country gets the government they deserve, and the UK fully deserves what is happening to it, by their failure to keep the media and the government, honest.
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Tories, like any good fascist organisation, need strife in order to hide what they are really about: stealing as much as possible out of the national coffers. To do this they create enemies, and point to themselves as the only ones capable of fighting them. Never mind that they usually started the fight, and that the enemy is not an enemy at all. They are doing this with the EU, the immigrants, and now the core workers serving society, painting their desperate struggle for survival as greed.
It is sickening, but it does work -- IF the media is complicit. That is why Phil is doing such a great service to the public, providing a counterbalance to the fascist media.
And about the battle with the nurses specifically: the Tories actually want the NHS to fail, so they can privatize it. They rejoice whenever nurses are forced out of the profession, as that is one more person that their mates can replace for a large profit.
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@Petal4822 Oh, but this IS our own business. Brexit has also hurt the EU. And many of the people on this channel have some personal connection to the UK. I, for instance, have many British friends living there and here in NL. I would love to visit the UK again, but in the current xenophobic climate I don't dare to, even apart from the shortages.
The history of the UK and the rest of Europe has always been intertwined for as long as people have been living in the UK. It is silly of you to deny that. You are all the offspring of European migrants (and some non-European), be it from right after the last ice age, the Roman times, the Anglo-Saxon invasions, the Viking and Norman invasion, or more recently. Even your language is a hodge-podge of Norman, Saxon and French, and less than 1000 years old.
Somehow you still think you can live as if you rule the waves. But that ended 80 years ago. It is time to stop deluding yourselves. Your country can not survive separated from the rest of Europe.
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@benwilson6145 "I'm sure the Tories gave a ferry contract"
They did. That company went bankrupt a few days ago, I kid you not!
"that only require a piece of flat Quay"
It is not just the ships. It is ships and access roads and customs officials and IT systems and plate recognition systems and inspection systems, just to name a few of the many cogs that need to be in place. It isn't that these things can not be sorted, it is that there is not enough time left.
Bozo with his moronic brinkmanship has used all the time that was meant to transition in to the new situation, to define what that new situation is going to be. So now there is not enough time to do the actual transition, even if there were to be a deal. The Idiot.
Not that the EU is not aware of his bluff and bluster. Before you can make an actual threat of No Deal, you need to be physically prepared to handle a No Deal.
This is most likely the Swan Song of Bozo, and when he is gone the new PM will beg for an extension to the transition period, in my opinion. The UK is just not ready.
It is essential that the UK make up its mind about what the post-Brexit situation is going to be, and then take at least a year to prepare for it, before ending the current "transition period". All these short deadlines that May started and Bozo continued are just plain dumb. They think they can browbeat the EU into concessions with them, but the bluff is just too obvious to have the EU worried. Just like threatening suicide will not cause a worthy woman to want to marry you.
The EU will regret your suicide, but we will not stop you.
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THIS is why the whole Brexit process stinks: Brexit is running away from something without any idea where to run to . This is a key principle in making good choices in life: NEVER leave a bad situation, instead always move to a better situation. The difference is too subtle for many people, which is why stupid choices are constantly being made. For this simple reason alone, Brexit as proposed by Bozo, Farage, May, all these idiots, is completely doomed, and the British people should never have allowed it. If this simple rule goes for your personal life, it should definitely be followed for a major nationwide course-setting decision like Brexit.
As Bozo shows utter disregard for this basic life principle, I would not let him advice me in my personal choices, let alone guide the nation.
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Excellent piece, Phil.
I understand the distress of those who want Brexit undone, but pressuring Labour is be counter-productive. FIRST you will need a government that cares about people, i.e. a Labour government. Then, and only then, the quickest route to undo the Brexit damage can be investigated. That will probably mean to first re-harmonize with EU product regulations, revoke the Australia trade deal, undo the CPTPP application, then become part of the Single Market & Customs Union. By that time, a new election will be fast approaching. The next step, full EU membership, will take a LOOOOONG time.
Raising expectations that Brexit can be undone quickly will only play into Tory hands. Brexit can not be undone quickly.
I understand that the People are starting to realize that they should have put more pressure on the government between 2016 and 2020. And they must still put more pressure on the government to make humane choices. But pressuring Labour to make empty promises is madness.
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The Trump reign has raised a number of constitutional issues that need to be addressed in the courts.
The self-pardon question must be answered by the supreme court, but I would expect that it will not fly, because the constitution declared there are three CO-EQUAL branches of government, and being able to self-pardon would place the executive branch above the judicial branch. It would mean the president would be above the law, and the Supreme Court has already ruled earlier this year that he isn't.
Regardless of wording, laws must not contradict themselves, so the Court would have to decide which principle is weightier: the co-equality of the three branches of government, or the right of the president to pardon federal crimes.
Also, any and all pardons that Trump issues for his minions will be challenged on the basis that in all the crimes of his minions, Trump is a co-conspirator, which would lead to the same issue of the president being above the law or not.
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