Comments by "Be Low Below" (@toyotaprius79) on "David Pakman Show"
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Hey David. I think what's crucially needed to understand about brexit is Northern Ireland. The history it had. The 1998 GFA is currently does have. Brexit would be in simple breach of that. It was what the EU findamentally tried to avoid.
To avoid that clear, foreboding red line, the Irish government created the "backstop" arrangement that should all else fails, a WTO mus'n't be erected dividing Ireland. Of course, for added drama, in the 2017 snap election - after Brexit - the Tories lost seats, and the debatedly far-right Northern Irish DUP was chosen to fold the delicate balance of government.
The DUP is busy like the rest of them muddying the waters, ignoring fact. Saying that the backstop is a clever trap to foul brexit, and a trap for Ireland to steal Northern Ireland. Sammy Wilson and Arlene Foster has said that if all sides verbally agree to a avoiding a hard border in Ireland, then they'll take their bluff and say there's simply no reason to give into "project fear" of Northern Ireland needing to stay aligned to the Customs Union. That they'll just stick to their word and nothing problematic would happen and the WTO will turn a blind eye.
In their troubled eyes being separated from Great Britain is unacceptable and against their raison d'etre, as if no sea has ever existed before between them - all the while denying that there was never a hard border in Ireland before (a duplicitous half-truthed of a lie). To understand the impossibility of the Northern Irish border It was once a heavily militarised, armed border - that leaked like a sieve for decades. Yet a WTO-grade border like the one between Poland and Kaliningrad/Russia was never done before, and totally unavoidable in a cliff-edge brexit. The whole of 2018 was spent on the inherently paradoxical nature of brexit on Northern Ireland that none of the voting public in 2016 were made aware of.
The backstop was an indefinite insurance, should and if a better solution (Irish reunification or magic fairy technology) arose. The DUP and Brexiteers wanted none of it, they wanted their Empire that mightily screwed China over, and made big noise of how a small nation like the Republic of Ireland was bullying poor GB. The backstop is fundamental to peace, life and free movement in N.I. The Tories didn't care until GB was effectively kept inside the CU to not differ from N.I - protecting the status of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
So instead, a long story not made short, Theresa May's deal was the only deal after 2 years of pantomime and "blood red lines" that can be legally enacted with the EU for future withdrawal negotiations.
It's all so fucking stupid. But it's history in the making. This is a modern enactment of what "The Irish Question" has always meant in Westminster. The record-broken defeat of the 1920s many bring up was also on the issue of Ireland.
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