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Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics
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Comments by "Jersey Shore Drone Services" (@jerseyshoredroneservices225) on "Pyotr Kurzin | Geopolitics" channel.
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Putin doesn't escalate because he's already all in. He's been all in for a long time.
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Ukraine has been using ballistic missiles to attack Russian air defense for a long time, including recently North of Kursk. For them to be successful you need a fairly complicated attack to outsmart or overwhelm the defenses but Ukraine has proven that they can do this. Ryan is right that they're expensive and if Ukraine can't produce large numbers of them the benefit will be minimal. However on their actual capability I don't think that he gave them enough credit.
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@marcpaulus6291 It's interesting that 2 days after you pointed out Russia's lack of border security, Ukraine has advanced deep across the border 😎
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@gloomy5487 Russia targets most of its missiles on civilian infrastructure while Ukraine targets military sites.
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I love Ryan's enthusiasm but he's overlooking a critical point. The United States had a very different president during the gulf war period. Our current president would probably want to de-escalate if Russia invaded Alaska. He would continue to de-escilate until Russia occupied and annexed Alaska. The way our next president will react to the situation is total wild card. Nobody has any idea what to expect.
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@gloomy5487 Russia does a lot of things that are counter intuitive and counter productive.
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The Russians are willing to live a life of austerity for the sake of their wars. The people in many nato countries aren't willing to cut back on their Filet mignon even if it would stop a genocide.
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I hope that Ryan is right about the cyberthreat. I've been thinking that in a major war the enemy might be able to interrupt infrastructure such as electric, gas, water, food deliveries, etc. everything is available just in time but if the time gets messed up by a couple of weeks, millions and millions of people could be dramatically affected. I know he mentioned air gapping systems but I wonder if technology can or will be able to infiltrate a system from satellites so even if the transatlantic cable is cut that wouldn't a barrier.
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@BewareTheCarpenter Doing that would be very counter productive to the things that Putin cares about, therefore it's highly unlikely. How afraid should we be of something that is so unlikely? What message does that send to all the other madmen in the world who could get nukes and then take whatever they want from anybody? If Putin attacks Poland will we be afraid to fight back because he might use his nukes? Alaska?
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@GG-si7fw I didn't say anything about the GOP or the democrats. My comment was about George Bush and Joe Biden. Bush went to Kuwait and Iraq to win, Biden has thus far just been trying to slow Russia down so that Ukraine doesn't lose too bad.
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@JEEDUHCHRI At least my comment said something, yours doesn't say anything. If you think my comment was ridiculous why don't you try to make a better one?
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@JEEDUHCHRI I may have exaggerated a little to make a point, but the point is valid.
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@GG-si7fw My point had nothing to do with the previous president. It was about George Bush going to Kuwait to WIN and Joe Biden refusing to even say the word.
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@RyanMcbeth says that Russia doesn't want NATO to get involved because NATO would bring a Desert Storm style air war. How is that a reasonable conclusion when NATO is afraid to let Ukraine attack the Russian Air Force on the ground? Russia's Air Force is actively attacking Ukraine daily and we don't allow them to even strike military targets within range of ATACMS. When Ukraine utilized Patriot to shoot down some Russian aircraft that were on an attack mission. NATO had a hissy fit. Somehow now it's reasonable to think that NATO would bomb the hell out of Russia? If Ryan is right, this is proof that NATO is not afraid of escalation so how do we explain its reluctance to let Ukraine defend itself?
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