Comments by "prism828" (@prism8289) on "TED"
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Perhaps, but sometimes you can go back and find some fundamental underlying truths.
First, what if someone wrote a book that the USA would rise to the top of the world? What if they wrote it in 1929? Or in 1861?
Next, Paul Kennedy wrote a book in 1987 called The Rise and Fall of the Great Empires. He concludes with the foresights of the relative decline of the USA (mind you, this is peak Reagan time, flag waving and just before the collapse of the Soviet Union).
He predicted the Asian Century with the rise of …. Japan. Automobiles, electronics, all of that soaring. Of course, it did not turn out exactly that way as they went into their lost decade.
However, he was fundamentally right about the rise of Asia, including the paper tigers. That is pretty phenomenal.
So, while it might be impossible to predict the weather and exactly where lightning strikes will hit and precisely how much rain will fall, you can be pretty sure a whole lot of people will get wet in the area.
In other words, you can extract valuable insights from what he is saying in principle.
Unfortunately, unless you tell people exactly what stock is going to rise and how much and how fast, or whether they will need to wear a light sweater of heavy sweater next Tuesday, or if you favorite team is going to end up as 1st, 5th or 14th and the end of the year, people aren’t interested.
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