Comments by "Luredreier" (@Luredreier) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

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  5.  @tomk3732  DCS is a game and the performance there is irrelevant to how it performes in real life... Real life exercises actually uses the actual plane with its real capabilities unlike flawed simulations made by progrmers that does not have access to enough information to come even close to accurately simulate the plane. Looking at simulations and specifications you'd think that the 109 is a better plane then the 190 for instance losing information about things like how the 190 is designed to be less likely to lose controll due to combat damage because of electric powering of the control surfaces for it instance amoung a number of other features that makes it function better on a real life battlefield then statistics like top speed or service celling might suggest. The same kind of things applies here. The Grippen is easier to maintain and operate, has better situational awareness and electronic warfare capabilities and compatibility with more weapons systems and has lower drag then the F16. When not using the electronic warfare systems it might have a bigger signal then modern American fighters. But when those are active it's actually competitive. Being smaller reduces the signals to begin with, and with the electronic warfare systems and networking systems to these planes can have a advantage in situational awareness even against modern US fighters when used to its strengths unless the Americans have some tricks up their sleeves that they haven't used in the previously mentioned exercises. I'm not saying that the Grippen in a 1 v 1 is better than the modern US fighters, it's clearly not. But in a 10 vs 10 or more the Americans are not guaranteed a win and might end up with a pyrrhic victory if they do win the engagement with a modern fighter. A F16 would be clearly outclassed in a multiple Grippen vs multiple F16 engagement though. For offensive engagements the F22 or F35 might be better options in a advanced nation vs advanced nation engagement. But in a defensive engagement the Grippen might actually surprise you with its capabilities. And vs less advanced foes it's preferable due to its operating costs.
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  29. +MrCastodian Why do you think that the troops in Melilla would be superior to the British ones? This whole scenario hings on the assumtion that Gibraltar is attacked with little to no warning. If that's the case then Melilla would not have significant troop deployments yet and the Royal Navy would probably be able to stop any reinforcements from being moved to Melilla. Also, troops would be needed all along the Spanish coast to stop the UK from both invading Spain and stopping the UK from incursions, special ops missions etc. In short, troops would be tied up on the Spanish mainland for the most part. Also, any troops landing in Melilla would not be without air support, it just wouldn't be the full strength of the Royal Airforce. And the UK could do enough damage to the airfield to make landing fighters there a rather bad idea leaving Spain with the issue of not having fighters close by at a moments notice just like the UK. If the UK is able to surprise Spain they could get local air superiority for long enough to make the landing. And I doubt that such a small area would hold particularly long so the brits would probably be able to move their own fighters there fairly quickly. Basically the axioms you're stating that I don't believe to be the case is presence of significant Spanish forces. What's currently there is just these: Tabor Alhucemas I Tabor Rif II 1st Legion Tercio So three regiments... Or something along the line of 9 000-15 000 men. Since 2/3rds of that are local volunteers whose training is I suspect less rigid then their professional brethern from the Spanish mainland. So only 3 000- 5 000 troops that are high quality. I'm fairly sure that the UK can beat that. Especially if the regiments in question are on the smaller side of what a typical Spanish regiment tend to be. 3 000 professionals and 6 000 essentially "militia" should be easy enough to beat. 5 000 professionals and 10 000 "militia" on the other hand would be tougher, but not impossible to beat.
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  30. +MrCastodian Spain has little in access to spy satelites though while the UK has a decent number of them. So UK bombing would presumably be more efficient then the Spanish ones since they'd know what to target. And while you're right that the Spanish air defense is superior to the British ones the British ones does exist for one and the Spanish ones are not likely to stop the majority of those missiles. So I doubt Spain would end up with the upper hand if it comes to cruise missiles. As for Spain taking Gibraltar without too much trouble, you're right, they can. But in a long term war after such an action Britain would have plenty of options to make life difficult for Spain and retaking Gibraltar might even be possible even if it's not easy. With the help of locals (as well as probably many Spanish nationals who have worked in Gibraltar and might be inclined to want British controll over the area to continue) special ops attacks on the place would probably be possible after the Spanish occupation is started. And with Melilla and possibly Ceuta a proper landing and proper fighting would be possible. Britain might even manage to retake the most of Gibraltar before significant defenses can be put in place if the attack is surprising enough. Then Britain would just have to hold the ground they've made. Holding most of Gibraltar, all of Melilla and possibly Cauta or even the Canary Islands would give Britain a good negotiating position during the peace talks afterwards. Britain would probably regain Gibraltar. But I doubt they'd gain any territories... Don't get me wrong, Spain could probably make this costly for Britain. But there's no way that they'd give up Gibraltar, even if the costs are high.
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  62.  @Back2Lobby334  The Gripen is a formidable opponent. In my view it's probably a better defensive option then the F35 for countries near a offensive enemy. But the F35 also allow you to fly over enemy airspace with less risk of being shot down due to its stealth capabilities. The stealth doesn't make the F35 invisible. But it makes its signature smaller, especially from some angles. Different planes have different advantages and drawbacks. The Gripen is a better frontline fighter since it can operate on short runways and is easier to repair. F35 is better for penetration of enemy airspace due to its stealth. Rafael has way more payload then either and is better for ground support in already secured airspace and also quite capable in a fight. In a war the F35, Rafael and Eurofighter would have to use bases further away from the frontline then the Gripen and fly in to help the fight there. That said, planes like the Rafael and F35 also has a longer range then the Gripen. That's part of why Norway picked the F35. Finland picking the F35 was probably more geopolitical then strictly capability motivated though. For Germany they need a weapon to carry the US nukes, replacing their aging fleet of American planes that already did that role. The Eurofighter and Gripen couldn't do that, so they'd need either the Rafael or a American fighter of some kind. Geopoliticaly the US is kind of preferable right now. After all, Germany don't want the US to relocate some of those military bases on German soil or rethink its military commitments to NATO like Trump suggested. Sure, Biden isn't saying anything of that sort, but we haven't forgotten Trump, and don't take US support for granted anymore.
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  79.  @jukeseyable  It's not a "stealth" plane. It can be as hard to detect its actual position as a stealth plane, but only when the electronic warfare systems etc are actually active. A stealth plane has the advantage of being hard to detect through passive means. Gripen has a low signature, but unlike a true stealth plane it doesn't have next to non. An enemy won't have a clue about where it actually is, but they'll know for sure that there's something there, unlike with the F35 or F22. But yes, they can get eerily close before their position can be pinned down. Because they can use two planes to completely hide the position of a third one in the chaos of electromagnetic signals they create. But the presence of said signal are undeniable. It's just making sense of them that's damned near impossible. Or in other words, if Sweden where to send Gripens in over Russia the Russian airforce would definitely know that there's foreign military planes of some kind in the air above their territory. The just wouldn't know where or get a radar lock once visually located. So they'd definitely be on high alert even before the strike. In contrast a F35 or F22 striking a enemy would initially not alert that enemy at all. If the US where to dona first strike against Sweden without declaring a war they would have a advantage with their stealth fighters because of that. However they'd also struggle with pinning down the Swedish airforce. 1 vs 1 the F35 is a better plane because of that. However pr dollar spent through the lifetime of the plane on maintenance, training etc I ndo think that a similar amount of money spent on each would be awfully close if Sweden was defending in a theoretical situation with equal funding for each side... Of course the US has insane funding... And a single aircraft carrier of theirs visiting us here in Norway was more powerful then our entire airforce... So there's that... But yeah, promote the capabilities it does have, don't pretend like it has some it doesn't.
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  87. Hum, where have you heard that the Typhoon is more manuverable? The Gripen can land on a smaller airfield then the Typhoon, it can the rearmed by a team of only one technical and 6 conscripts (vs 10 specialists for the Typhoon) meaning that it can just land on a road in the middle of nowhere and as long as there's a single technican there and equipment/ammunition it can take off after 10 minutes from the same road. Defensivly that means that if some Typhoons flys in over land you controll you could potentially have a Gripen take off behind them and ambush them from the middle of nowhere with next to no time for the Typhoons to react. The Gripen has a radar with a wider field of view then any other plane radar I'm aware off and it can provide guidance to a rocket while facing the other way and flying away from the engagement if needed giving it shoot and scot options. It has a longer range then the Typhoon without fuel tanks with better fuel economy according to most of the sources I've read, although they seem a bit conflicting to be honest. With fuel tanks the Typhoon retakes the lead in range (it simply has more hardpoints...) If the engine is damaged and needs to be replaced you can replace the one in the Grifen in 45 minutes, the Typhoon? Not so much... From what I've heard the Gripen is also slightly faster to turn at least at some speeds then the Typhoon. And the Gripen has also been designed to make component upgrades very easy and cost effective making it more likely to be up to date (not to mention that it's cheaper both to purchase and to fly missions in). But yeah, they're generally very close in performance, and with way more hardpoints the Typhoon is more hard-hitting.
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  94. +MrCastodian  "First of all, Melilla are defended by several units. 1 Armoured group. 1 Spanish Legion Regiment. 1 Infantry Regiment. 1 Artillery group 1 Air defence group. 1 Engineer battalion. 1 logistic group." Where is your source of that? Because all I've see documentation for as permanent garrisons there is 9 -15 000 mainly infantery. I'm sure that air forces and tanks are frequently based there to support operations in North Africa, but I haven't seen any documentation of them actually being permanently based there. "This forces have heavier equipment and they are more numerical then all the forces U.K. can land in Melilla. U.K. do not have the landing capability to send more then 3-4000 troops, and to send them to Melilla would take a LONG time, all the way around Africa in to suez. It’s not like U.K. have a landing force near by." Also remember that if Spain is at war those troops might be needed on the mainland. And yes, you're right, the UK troops would have to be moved around Suez, that is my assumtion too. "You say that UK would block the path, but how? U.K. do not have a fleet in the Mediterranean sea, you have 1 ship, an that stop the Spanish Navy from sending reinforcement ? Obviously not." They don't need all that many troops nearby. The UK often have flees in the Mediterranenan sea and it varies how many they deploy there. In case of a war with Spain they'd have to send more via Suez but that shouldn't be a problem. They have bases further east in the Mediterranean sea that they can use for their ships as a base of operation. It's too far away for their air force to support from there but they can use their aircraft carrier with Harriers (and potentially buy and use F-35s on it if needed) They certainly have plenty of anti-air capability on their navy, while they won't be able to hold the Spanish airforce at bay long term they can do short term support of a surprise landing force and pose a significant risk to the fighters that Spain can scramble there at short notice. Remember, the UK don't need permanent air superiority, just local air superiority to support troops there while landing. If they're to capture the place they can then dig in and the anti-air capabilities of their ships becomes a more viable defense against the Spanish airforce and navy in the sense that the goal don't need to be to keep fighters and ground attackers at bay as much as just keeping paratroopers and other transport planes and ships at bay so Spain can't retake the those areas. "So, they can reinforce Melilla from mainland Spain, the closest base are 170 km distance, and that is the Spanish Legion Armoured Brigade and they can be transported by ferry faster then U.K. can send forces to cut the way to Melilla, and they are in no way any pushovers." Yes, if Spain is aware of the UK plan to take those areas they'd be able to send forces over faster then the UK would be able to react. But that is a big if. The UK does have other bases in the Mediterranian so deployment of UK troops through the Suez canal can't really be easily interprented. It could be intended as a invasion of the Spanish mainland in the northeast for instance in support of a landing in the northwest to cut off Spanish forces defending the coast. It could be a diversion to pull forces away from the northwestern coast before a operation there etc... Yes, I know just as much as you do that the UK wouldn't be able to take and hold a bridgehead on the Spanish mainland at all. But that doesn't mean that Spain can afford to not react to the *possibility*. Because the only thing that does make it impossible is said reactions. The UK would be able to bide their time. They have more spy satelittes, and probably more actual spies in both Spain, Gibraltar and possibly also Melilla etc too. Frequent raids against the Spanish mainland doing damage but always pulling back before the attacking troops get too harmed could help pull troops away from Mellila as Spain would need as many troops as possible on the mainland. Sooner or later a situation would form where those islands are weak, and if not then the Spanish mainland will probably have plenty of temporary weaknesses. "And you say they need forces all over to protect the shores, but they do not, if it was USA they would, but not U.K., you have 5 landing ships, max capacity is about 3-4000 troops, so really no fear of an invasion, that amount of troops without air support wouldn’t stand a chance invading my Spain." "3-4 000" to begin with, if there's not troops all over then those could then create a bridge head where regular transport ships (that all costal countries have thousands of) can operate and transport in essentially the whole UK army. Yes, Spain can easily crush those 3-4 000 troops, but that's not the point, Spain has to be ready to crush those 3-4 000 troops everywhere at all times fast enough to stop the UK from moving in more troops with regular shipping. And the UK could use a hit and run approach with those 3-4 000 landing ships too and build more landing ships while doing so. Frequently attacking random parts of the Spanish coastline, doing as much damage as they can then withdrawing before Spain can deploy enough troops to crush them. Sending in special operation forces at night to sneak past Spanish defenses and move into the mainland to prepare an attack from behind on a new location etc. Won't be easy at all, but it can be done. "And no, you would not have air support, you have a carrier, not fighters to deploy on them, even Spain have more carrier fighters then U.K.." Yes and no. They got Harriers and they could buy a few vtol capable F-35s midwar for anti-air duty to protect the harriers and helicopters, it would take the Spanish airforce a little bit of time to get there and the British navy could intercept quite a bit of their fighters with anti-air missiles. And while the harrier is inferior to the fighters that Spain can field between local superiority of harriers, helicopters and ship based anti-air missiles they could take and hold local air superiority for a little while as Spain would have to scramble and group up a large enough fighter force to take them down even after losses from the ship based anti-air missiles before they can move in to attack. Don't get me wrong, once they do it'll be a massacre in the air. But for a short while they could hold local air supperiority and support the troops on the ground. "And the “local volunteers” in Melilla, are no militia...They are highly trained forces, exactly as the rest of the Spanish army, same training, same equipment and they are just like the rest of Spanish army professional soldiers, they are local by the name, just like U.K. regiment have names from different areas, like the scotch guards." "Scots Guards" as they're from Scotland and not just a group of raving alcoholics ("Scotch" is a drink). But fair enough, if you say so. Do you have any documentation on what kind of equipment they have? "Most people here missing that U.K. do not have an significant landing capability, 5 ships, that’s all, and the Royal Marines are light infantry, grate soldiers, but they can’t land in a territory controlled by an superior enemy force without a massive air superiority, it’s not militarily possible to do." True, but they can get air support for a short while, and if they can take the harbor then regular transport ships can be used to deliver the rest. Also, while the landing crafts probably do most of the job don't forget that those are not the only ships that can be used to land some forces. For instance we here in Norway practice deploying troops from submarines underwater. Yes, fine, I admit that the number of troops that's trained well enough to do so is small, but it can be done, and the UK certainly have plenty of submarines that can do just that and probably a fair share of troops trained to do that kind of things compared to us here to the north, especially if they draft people who might otherwise have retired. Also even regular ships can land a small number of forces with things like Inflatable boats. The UK would easily be able to use that kind of impromptu approach to significantly boost their landing capabilities if needed for an attack like that. It wouldn't be ideal, but it would work. They can use the remaining L9A1 51 mm light mortars and the new M6 mortars with their infantery. And the AT4 and MBT LAW can be used vs the tanks. And there's plenty of other anti-tank weapons on the market that can be purchased fairly quickly and cheaply at a relativly low cost. For instance the Carl Gustaf recoilless rifle would probably be quite usefull for such a landing as it can be used against both tanks, armored vehicles and personell, is reusable and if needed can be used as a rocket launcher with the rocket boosted projectiles for a effective range of up to 1 km against stationary targets (although 3-500 m is optimal vs tanks etc). Granted, the very newest tanks out there probably can't be taken out with the Carl Gustaf recoilless rifle, but if you take out the infantery supporting those tanks you can get close enough to finish them off with other weapons. Training to use such a rifle wouldn't take all that long time, and could easily be done within the scope of such a war. Listen, I'm really not saying that something like this would be easy to pull off, or that it can be done without significant casualities. But I do believe that it is possible to pull off. Extremely difficult, yes. But possible.
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  128.  @michaelm1589  Probably, but not *necessarily*. Pasifism is a legitimate political view/opinion held by people on both the left and the right. In the US it's mostly certain christian denominations that's against taking part in war or killing in any way, shape or form. On the left like here in my country, Norway it's a combination of ethics (you shall not kill) and the sense that wars usually are decisions made by the upper classes while it's the lower classes, both civilians and in the military that usually ends up suffering the consequences while the objective rarely if ever are in the interests of working class people. The extreme left in my country also believes in conspiracy theories about NATO essentially setting this up to weaken Russia and that they want the carnage in Ukraine... And they're also worried about this turning into WW3 with nukes flying about... I'm far left but not extreme left, and our point of view essentially is that while the agressive wars started by NATO definitely are problematic this still remains a defensive war where a imperialist agressor is trying to take away the Ukrainian peoples right to self determination... So while we still have mixed feelings about the war we're supporting Ukraine. While his way of phrasing his views indicates that he doesn't mind actively seeking out conflict (trolling) it's not necessarily a Russian or Russian aligned individual and while the wording is definitely off the overall sentiment it's necessarily that far out there...
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