Comments by "Luredreier" (@Luredreier) on "What might happen if Russia does attack Ukraine?" video.

Where we watching the same video?!? Because as far as I can tell he predicted most factors involved correctly and was close to spot on. Yes, Ukraine holds more land then in his scenario, they've done well given the circumstances. But that doesn't change that his predictions pretty ended up being close to accurate. He was right about Russia targeting Kiev, about potentially taking the coast to link up with Transnistria, about the Ukrainian air force being no match for the Russian air force, about the west supplying intelligence and air defense assets to Ukraine, helping them contest their airspace despite their inferior air force. The insurgency activities, that Russia would be outnumbered in terms of number of troops with some combat experience etc. Some of the things he got wrong is things that pretty much all analyst did. Like that Russia would struggle with doing sead and dead missions against Ukraine. Or that the Russian and the Russian speaking population in Ukraine would be so much against the invasion as they where. Russia and quiet frankly the world expected far less unity from Ukraine, among other things.
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That sounds about right. Honestly Ukraine is doing surprisingly good, especially since neither they nor anyone else expected Belarus to allow Russian troops through.
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@cacogenicist Not as bad as you seem to think. Remember that there's a information war going on. And for once Russia isn't the country winning that information war. Videos etc being shared is often edited to fit a narrative that suits one of the warring parties. Look up the video by the chieftain recently on the topic for a good example. Also, Ukraine isn't just using American anti-tank weapons, we've also sent many other ones.
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@Bustermachine Exactly. Within the confinements of his scenario he has been fairly accurate. The weather for logistics was also better back then, with the current spring making the situation worse for the Russians.
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@Bustermachine Including Belarus would complicate matters. His analysis of wars is always is based on a scenario without allies, moral etc.
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