Comments by "Enrico" (@enrico7474) on "Whatifalthist"
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Ethnic division in Ethiopia is utterly fabricated by the tplf after the commies were overthrown tplf high jacked ethiopia and separated it into ethnic federalism which is despised by Ethiopians most conflicts are funded by tplf and Egypt and once tplf gets removed its all going away the tplf was created because Ethiopian elites got divided tplf leadership is the part that decided to part ideologies and take everything forthem selfs even if they win they won't destroy ethiopia its was never their plan to do so because without ethiopia non of the said regions including tigray can survive if they wanted to destroy ethiopia they could've done so in the 30 years that they ruled the country till this day the leaders havent mentioned a single thing about succession let alone the destruction if ethiopia, the oromos arent united them selfs they are divided in 3 the northern ones who have been influenced by the habesha who they identify with overwhelmingly orthodox Christians and patriotic ethiopias they see the rest of the ormos as uncivilized subhumans,second the east oromos who are influenced by the habeshas but the muslim habeshas who have completely different ideologies but still recognize their abyssinian/habesha identity the oromos from the east admire and often imitate them ,mostly sunni muslims ,they as well see the rest of the oromos as uncivilized,the 3rd and problematic are some suboromos namely wallga,arsi and ambo they dont pose a serious threat to the existence of ethiopia but they are distinct from the rest and got less exposure to abyssininan culture the reason why tplf and egypt were able to make small scattered militias out of them
The gumuz are an absolute minority and purging them wouldn't be hard for the amhara the only reason they arent doing that is because they know the militias come from eastern sudan (which is ethnicity gumuz) and are funded fighters not a real thing they are trying to deter the construction of the gerd because they were no such thing as organized militias in gumuz before the dam was built they will wither away as well
Overall Most Ethiopians are nationists dont want harm to their country the actual threat for the Ethiopian government(not country) is the rise of nationalism its apparent that if the current government doesnt remove ethnic federalism like it initially implied people will overthrow them it might result in a socialist government appearing in Ethiopia which isnt great but there is this party which also hates federalism and happens to be the most popular opposition party for the same reason , it has a decent chance of winning an election and removing federalism peacefully this party is so popular that its the single party that the didnt get its members imprisoned because the government fears what might come after
I want to remind u that most Ethiopians are nationlistic u often find ultranationists especially in amhara,snnp,afar,eastern /northern somali,sidama,harar,gambella and of course adiss abeba where the government purposely stops elections and elects puppets from other cities as mayors of thr city because if they are allowed to talk the government is a gonner
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@JonsVlogz first Ethiopia has placed thee best anti aircraft missile launchers around the gerd and posed a no fly zone(Egypt can't pass it according to international law)second Egypt doesn't have all western allies not even a chance France is the one supplying Ethiopia with equipment and they are also the ones Making th2 navy for Ethiopia,germany and uk never intervened and chose sides to start with third Ethiopia also has allies including the arabs specifically uae and saudi arabia,russia,china,turkey and israel they would never let a chance to destroy Egypt(Americans friend)slip from their hand and they also have investment in Ethiopia and even in ans around the dam,fourth even if Egypt has a good military it has a slim chance of wining against Ethiopia because if several reasons one being that Ethiopia doesn't neighbor Egypt Egypt doesn't have a good projectile military imagine egypt conquering sudan then conquering Ethiopia that doesn't seem possible, 70%-80% of africas mountains are found in Ethiopia so the country is basically a giant fort,egypt has no allies in the horn of Africa,Ethiopia is landlocked so egypts navy is pretty much use less ,israel could use the chance to take the suez ,egypt can never justify an attack on Ethiopia the country has 100million population its the only truly stable nation in the horn of africa and is a large refugee accept its a part of the UN and also the seat of the African union
Another thing the first phase if the dam has already been filled destroying the dam will literally flood sudan and parts of Egypt creating a huge refugee crisis how do u think the world will react to that, Ethiopia can also simply change the course of the nile by using some explosives and the geography of Ethiopia will be helping them,they can also poison the Nile with sulphur which means no more fish and drinkable water for egypt ,just admit it egypt is in a pretty sticky situation what excuse can egypt use to start a war there is literally non sudan might help egypt but i am pretty sure the people of sudan will not fight against Ethiopia after all without the help of Ethiopia darfur is a mess last time sudan qent against Ethiopia was a few decades ago when sudan helped Eritrea get independence Ethiopia returned the favor by helping south sudan gain independence that shattered sudans economy and even Eritrea turned out to be a not so good neighbor for sudan the international community already said that the gerd isn't proven to impact egypt in any harmful way infact it has the chance to increase the nile by 5% this is just egypts attempt to demonize Ethiopia to avoid being under Ethiopias control and a way to shift away the attention of Egyptians from internal matters and opposition against the Egyptian government if things stay this way alsisi is going to face the same fate as mursi and who can protect him trump is no longer president and who knows what biden has in mind if he's the same as obama egypt is doomed
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