Comments by "Enrico" (@enrico7474) on "Whatifalthist" channel.

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  43. All thanks to the eritrean government they closed all universities,killed a bunch of people,opened a bunch of prisons,f**ked the economy by messing with Ethiopia,and oppressed most of its population the people started leaving the country to the extent that their population went from 5,5million to 3million and in a few decades and even now its rapidly declining hundreds of thousands of them are actually taking refuge in Ethiopia plus i don't even think Eritrean soldiers would fight for a government which did all of this to them and the Ethiopian military is wayy more superior to the Eritrean military the only ally Eritrea can get is Egypt and because Ethiopia has control over Egypts water supply i doubt they would intervene another thing is america is not fond of Eritrean neither is russia nor turkey the only allies they had were the arabs which are now siding with Ethiopia especially uae (Eritreas second biggest supporter after Egypt ),another thing is most Eritreans post ethio-eritrean war infrastructure was destroyed in the ethio-eritrean war and never rebuilt while Ethiopia is literally one of the fastest growing countries in Africa Eritrea pretty much f**ked up but i don't think there will be a war at least if the dictator in Eritrea stays in power, Ethiopia and Eritrea are normalizing their relationship which i think is both good and bad for Ethiopia time will tell but if Ethiopia wants to conquer Eritrea they should do it in the next few years i think its the best time and it would be even better if foreigners don't intervene especially america
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  99. Turkey and Ethiopia will probably become more and more homogeneous i mean lets look at Ethiopia for example it has like 80 different ethnic groups but only 4 or 5 are dominant in both population and influence there is no way all 80 will survive the next century and those 4 and 5 are also extremely similar to each other u can classify them between the semitic speakers and the cushitic speakers the north being semitic and the south be in cushitic the semitics have more in common to each other than the cushitics have with each other both geographical and culturaly so i can see the semitic speakers uniting in a single ethnic group in the near future and the cushites being separated but high in both population and influence i don't think Ethiopians classify them selfs or discriminate them selfs on the basis of ur semitic ur cushitic but i can see two major groups one being the amhara who are semitic speakers and the second being Oromo who are cushitic speakers i think the semites would win since the did times and times before and when we come to turkey i see no way in hell the kurds gonna win against turkey they couldn't even win properly against iraq and iraq is literally a failed state in the next few decades most of will either get assimilated by the turks , deported like they did with the armenians or submit to turkey like most of them do these days it just a fact turkey will become a dominant power the kurds don't stand a chance the only ones who can destroy turkey are turks them selfs and i really don't see that happening in the near future
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  102. Ethnic division in Ethiopia is utterly fabricated by the tplf after the commies were overthrown tplf high jacked ethiopia and separated it into ethnic federalism which is despised by Ethiopians most conflicts are funded by tplf and Egypt and once tplf gets removed its all going away the tplf was created because Ethiopian elites got divided tplf leadership is the part that decided to part ideologies and take everything forthem selfs even if they win they won't destroy ethiopia its was never their plan to do so because without ethiopia non of the said regions including tigray can survive if they wanted to destroy ethiopia they could've done so in the 30 years that they ruled the country till this day the leaders havent mentioned a single thing about succession let alone the destruction if ethiopia, the oromos arent united them selfs they are divided in 3 the northern ones who have been influenced by the habesha who they identify with overwhelmingly orthodox Christians and patriotic ethiopias they see the rest of the ormos as uncivilized subhumans,second the east oromos who are influenced by the habeshas but the muslim habeshas who have completely different ideologies but still recognize their abyssinian/habesha identity the oromos from the east admire and often imitate them ,mostly sunni muslims ,they as well see the rest of the oromos as uncivilized,the 3rd and problematic are some suboromos namely wallga,arsi and ambo they dont pose a serious threat to the existence of ethiopia but they are distinct from the rest and got less exposure to abyssininan culture the reason why tplf and egypt were able to make small scattered militias out of them The gumuz are an absolute minority and purging them wouldn't be hard for the amhara the only reason they arent doing that is because they know the militias come from eastern sudan (which is ethnicity gumuz) and are funded fighters not a real thing they are trying to deter the construction of the gerd because they were no such thing as organized militias in gumuz before the dam was built they will wither away as well Overall Most Ethiopians are nationists dont want harm to their country the actual threat for the Ethiopian government(not country) is the rise of nationalism its apparent that if the current government doesnt remove ethnic federalism like it initially implied people will overthrow them it might result in a socialist government appearing in Ethiopia which isnt great but there is this party which also hates federalism and happens to be the most popular opposition party for the same reason , it has a decent chance of winning an election and removing federalism peacefully this party is so popular that its the single party that the didnt get its members imprisoned because the government fears what might come after I want to remind u that most Ethiopians are nationlistic u often find ultranationists especially in amhara,snnp,afar,eastern /northern somali,sidama,harar,gambella and of course adiss abeba where the government purposely stops elections and elects puppets from other cities as mayors of thr city because if they are allowed to talk the government is a gonner
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  152. -The west winning against russo-chinese coalition is not guaranteed actually its unlikely the est has pissed of the entire word not just these two nations so many countries will be turning their backs on the west and joining the chinese side they jist need to replace the dollar with the yuan and western power is basically nonexistent , -russia wont have a civil war or independence fighters or whatever in the near future(it will probably expand especially in central asia) if it doesnt lose to the west the only reason that might happen is if the population growth rate stays declining, climate change is their friend as ice starts melting they will have more land and higher temperatures so that might help them make more babies but other wise they are ducked -i can agree that southafrica might collapse because of economic problems since the population are already desatisfied with economic difficulties -nigeria and E.A.F becoming the two african powers is very very unlikely i dont even think nigeria could live longer than a decade or a two and at no point in history was Ethiopia outmatched by a neighboring african country even at the hight of egypt it failed to conquer Ethiopia in 3 different occasions miserably so there goes E.A.F's even if they succeed economy wise they have no chance against ethiopia military and influence wise but knowing that ethiopia has friendly relations with all of the memeber nations they will probably be allies not enemies if i was to choose superpowers in africa i would say ethiopia,one megrebi country,the cape (if the whites succeed) much like whatifalthist predicted
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  182. I can guess what would happen if portugal and Ethiopia allied there are 3 scenarios 1st Ethiopia and portugal go to conflict for autonomy over arabia since Ethiopia is orthodox and Portugal is catholic which i think would lead to loses on the Ethiopian side 2nd they peacefully divide it between orthodox and catholic Ethiopia would probably want more of southern arabia than the rest of the middle east 3rd is Ethiopia converts to catholicism or sosenyos gives Ethiopia to the Portuguese which would make a giant catholic power and expand to the rest of the middle east and north africa doesn't matter in which scenario Portugal woulddecline like it did in our time line they would have had a large supporting population close to the middle east and india which would make it easier for portugal to subdue india and many parts of asia in no time but as soon as industrialization starts britain would take much of the colonies from them , portugal would possibly end the ottoman supremacy in the red sea in this time line i suspect that Ethiopia would take in many Europeans migrations because it had a better climate than most of africa and more fertile soil as well, expanding deep into the middle east doesnt sound possible maybe they would take the nile hostage and open trade through the red sea for Europeans but apart from that no major expansion to the middle east sounds possible i can see southern arabia becoming Christianized again and the arab slave trade would be abolished earlier (it was lead by southern arabians) , when colonization starts in that time line Ethiopia would be a major player maybe they would be invited to Vienna and make major claims possibly to the entirety of eastern african coastline and parts of central africa and industrialization would occur much earlier for ethiopia Making them one of the major powers Honestly the ethio-portugese alliances shouldn't have ended shortly like it did in our timeline it almost sounded like fantasy 2 christian empires located on two different edges of the world uniting to defeat the common enemy noice
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  239.  @oitubeman1019  the tplf leader(sibkhat) is still in prison but after 8 months tigrayans are still loyal to tplf so the government formally said that tigray doesn't concern it any more and they can get independence if they want to every government worker and the army left tigray because 1st it is coasting the government alot of money and tigray is not a productive region like oromia and amhara so according to the government they lost 2-3 billion dollars capturing the region and then giving feeding,rehabilitating ,... 5 million people if u don't know Ethiopia iz considered a poor country not because the whole country is poor but because the high level of poverty and famines that occur in tigray , tigray was at the center of every famine that ever happened in Ethiopia so pretty much everyone there was being fed by the government and other institutions now the government took the chance to avoid the burden of taking care a of the region plus western governments are putting sanctions on ethiopia , tigrayans are backstabbers as far as ik they wanted a seize fire and the government gave them that now they realized that they were fooled and the government is trying to separate them from the rest of the country they ssaid thwy dont want a seize fire and infact they want to get the annual budget that was stopped because of the war thats obviously not happening and i am sure the government will soon announce tigray as its own country anoher buffer zone against down stream countries and alos Eritrea will have fun colonizing them so i dont see anything wrong with the idea
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  278.  @JonsVlogz  first Ethiopia has placed thee best anti aircraft missile launchers around the gerd and posed a no fly zone(Egypt can't pass it according to international law)second Egypt doesn't have all western allies not even a chance France is the one supplying Ethiopia with equipment and they are also the ones Making th2 navy for Ethiopia,germany and uk never intervened and chose sides to start with third Ethiopia also has allies including the arabs specifically uae and saudi arabia,russia,china,turkey and israel they would never let a chance to destroy Egypt(Americans friend)slip from their hand and they also have investment in Ethiopia and even in ans around the dam,fourth even if Egypt has a good military it has a slim chance of wining against Ethiopia because if several reasons one being that Ethiopia doesn't neighbor Egypt Egypt doesn't have a good projectile military imagine egypt conquering sudan then conquering Ethiopia that doesn't seem possible, 70%-80% of africas mountains are found in Ethiopia so the country is basically a giant fort,egypt has no allies in the horn of Africa,Ethiopia is landlocked so egypts navy is pretty much use less ,israel could use the chance to take the suez ,egypt can never justify an attack on Ethiopia the country has 100million population its the only truly stable nation in the horn of africa and is a large refugee accept its a part of the UN and also the seat of the African union Another thing the first phase if the dam has already been filled destroying the dam will literally flood sudan and parts of Egypt creating a huge refugee crisis how do u think the world will react to that, Ethiopia can also simply change the course of the nile by using some explosives and the geography of Ethiopia will be helping them,they can also poison the Nile with sulphur which means no more fish and drinkable water for egypt ,just admit it egypt is in a pretty sticky situation what excuse can egypt use to start a war there is literally non sudan might help egypt but i am pretty sure the people of sudan will not fight against Ethiopia after all without the help of Ethiopia darfur is a mess last time sudan qent against Ethiopia was a few decades ago when sudan helped Eritrea get independence Ethiopia returned the favor by helping south sudan gain independence that shattered sudans economy and even Eritrea turned out to be a not so good neighbor for sudan the international community already said that the gerd isn't proven to impact egypt in any harmful way infact it has the chance to increase the nile by 5% this is just egypts attempt to demonize Ethiopia to avoid being under Ethiopias control and a way to shift away the attention of Egyptians from internal matters and opposition against the Egyptian government if things stay this way alsisi is going to face the same fate as mursi and who can protect him trump is no longer president and who knows what biden has in mind if he's the same as obama egypt is doomed
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