Comments by "Steve Valley" (@stevevalley7835) on "David Pakman Show"
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The GOP has no alternative to MAGA. The traditional "supply side" argument, that everyone else needs to make do with less, so more money can be given to the rich, is a non-starter. The GOP Presidential candidate has only won the popular vote once, in the last 35 years. MAGA is the only alternative: policies to enrich the rich, at everyone else's expense, camouflaged with racism and homophobia.
Trump said he would not run in 28, if he lost in 24. If he wins in 24, and can still draw a breath in 28, he will run, regardless what the Constitution says.
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First point: I expect that Trump is itching to push racist buttons. Whether Harris is at the top of the ticket, or still VP, in line if Biden dies or is disabled in office, Trump is going to float the dog whistle "you want another of those people as President?"
Options: Gavin Newsom? His ex-wife is snuggling with one of Trump's spawn. She will say the most horrible, personal, things about Newsom. Won't matter if any of it is true, or not. Newsom would have no way of pushing back.
Few other Dems have had national exposure. Jamie Raskin? Cancer survivor. What are the chances of a relapse? Adam Schiff? Maybe. Got plenty of exposure in the two impeachments.
Who has instant, national, name recognition? Who has a lot of influence in the party?
Get ready for "everybody sucks 2.0" as Hillary walks in to, in her mind, "save the world".
The hardest voting decision I ever had to make, was in 2016. Which corrupt, megalomaniac to vote for?
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So, what, specifically, don't people like about Vance? He seems to be in a no-man's land, where ardent Trumpers look at his "never Trumper" comments, while the never-Trumpers look at his pro-Trump comments. And, with Harris presumably heading the Dem ticket, opening the door to openly racist thought and speech, Vance's non-white, non-Christian wife is another issue. How could a Trump administration be pushing Christian nationalist (aka white supremacist) ideology, when the second lady is neither?
There is a precedent for replacing a VP candidate who turns out to be toxic. We old geezers remember when Tom Eagleton, was replaced as McGovern's running mate in 72.
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Difference between a stump speech and debating: reading a teleprompter, vs thinking on the fly. Biden's performance validated everything the naysayers have been saying. What if Putin or Xi catches him on an off day?
I'm old enough to remember when LBJ said he was not going to run for another term. The date of that announcement was March 31, 1968. His VP, Humphrey, was the candidate that fall, Humphrey only lost to Nixon by a thin margin, and Nixon didn't have near the baggage that Trump has.
Newsom should not run, if he values his dignity. His ex-wife is playing nookie with one of Trump's spawn. Can you imagine the nasty, vicious, highly personal, things she will say about Newsom?
I think Biden is enough of an adult to realize he hurt himself a lot last night, and willingly step aside, before he is pushed. They have just short of two months to get their house in order, before the convention.
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wrt to the claim to "win all 50 states", according to Wiki, Trump did "win" all the state delegations in 2020, whether they were chosen by primary, caucus, or back room dealmaking. But like his claim that he won more votes than he did in 16, neither sweeping state delegations, nor winning the second largest number of votes for an office, in a general election, makes you the winner. He is feeding his "victim" narrative, just like his attempts to provoke the judge in court today. He wants to be admonished, he wants to be sanctioned. He would love to be tossed in jail for contempt. Because it all feeds his "victim" narrative. If he can provoke the judge to really lose his temper and say something outside the guardrails, then he has grounds for appeal. Trump is expert at keeping things tied up in court, for years.
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Yes, Biden's debate was terrible. But look at the nutty stuff that comes out of Trump's mouth, like how he can't wash his hair because of dripping faucets, or the electric boat and shark thing. Or, going back a few years, Trump talking about American soldiers, in the revolution, capturing airports. Or the time he made a mistake about the path of a hurricane, so drew in the path he had predicted on a map with a black Sharpie, to blame someone else for the mistake.
In the last couple of years, Biden has, at times, spoken haltingly. His advocates always brush it off by reminding people he has a stutter. But look at the expression on Biden's face in the group photo from the G7 conference in Italy two weeks ago. He really does not look fully aware of where he is.
Bottom line, neither is really fit for office. Each can have good days, and bad days, but can we accept someone in that position that could have an incoherent moment when there is a crisis?
Who is an alternative? Kennedy? With a worm in his brain?
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From the numbers I can find, the murder rate in Chicago is 15/100,000 in 2021, half the rate of the worst states. Chicago's rate is lower than some other cities in Illinois. Champaign's rate in 2021 was 18/100,000. In 2020, the gun homicide rate in Rockford was 17/100,000 and 25/100,000 in Peoria. The murder rate in Chicago doesn't even put it in the top five cities, nationally, But Chicago has a large population, so the total numbers are higher, and every media outlet has an office in Chicago, so it is easy for them to cover the city. The Republicans are trying very hard to make this a "liberal" issue, or a racial issue, but gun violence is more a red state issue than anything else, with cities like Memphis, St Louis and New Orleans having significantly higher murder rates.
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