Comments by "A.J. Hart" (@cobbler88) on "The 4 Bands That Will Still Be Played In 2100" video.
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It's a nice thought exercise. Maybe the Beatles will still be listened to in significant numbers in 2100, but in no way do I believe Queen or The Police will be popular.
To be fair, I think this list is generally driven more by the rest of the world than it is US listeners, so in that regard I may be off.
I was born in 1970, so in some ways I lived through all of those groups except the Beatles. The only people I know who listen to The Police are the ones who were still listening to them in the 90s after they broke up, which I can count on one hand. To be honest, they were the only ones listening to them BEFORE Synchronicity as well.
Queen was always considered kind of a sideshow/gimmick group, to be honest. They had a strong cult following, but no one today would be hearing them had it not been for Wayne's World and the general demise of instrument-based music otherwise in the meantime. Maybe Nirvana has an outside chance, but what may work in its favor now may be what leads to its decreasing popularity moving forward. There just weren't enough albums to be bulletproof, plus the listenership is going to dwindle with each generation removed from when Nirvana was around. The next generation that features good rock with real instruments could quite possibly put Nirvana in the rearview.
Since we're looking basically 75 years ahead, let's look at about 75 years back at the top artists/songs of 1950. It's not the same as a Spotify list, but it's likely about the best we can do when talking about individual songs.
One man was listed as the lone or co-artist for six songs that made the year-end top 30 Billboard chart that year. You'll recognize the name, of course. It's Gordon Jenkins. Yes. THE Gordon Jenkins. Are we sure Spotify's list doesn't have Jenkins racking up 30M listens/month?
I'm thinking we're getting a little over our skis in trying to predict who will be relevant down the road, using this particular model.
Take care.
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