Comments by "UzuMaki NaRuto" (@UzumakiNaruto_) on "Military Summary" channel.

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  21. Militarily it makes sense not to be overstretched and over committed. There's been a huge shortening of the front in the north which frees a heap of forces to face a further offensive in the south. How is it smart to give up territory that took you so long to gain? Especially more important cities like Izyum which is an important rail and road hub for military operations? Imagine spending so many men and resources to gain all this ground and then throwing it all away in a matter of a few days back to the enemy? These past few months when Russian advances were so slow, the pro-Russian folks played it off as minimizing casualties and now its all gone just like that. Minus well not have attacked to begin with if they didn't have enough manpower to keep their gains. I still think that once the Ukrainians burn themselves out with these offensives, a major Russian push will come. Even if the Russians do make a counterattack its going to be a long way to go considering how far they've fallen back. If it took months for them to make the gains that they had and then given up, then how much longer is it going to take for them them to retake the same ground a second time? They were already short on armored vehicles and there's a number of videos that show the Russians now having abandoned many more in their retreat back east. Even if they decide to counterattack its going to be a while to bring up more armored vehicles from back home unless they decide to throw what vehicles they have left into a quick counterattack.
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  22.  @hansjorgkunde3772  Russia got air superiority, and they certainly give ground air support. Choppers can be devastating against infantry. The point that Ukrainian forces attack only during night, i have heard that from my Father. He was professional Soldier during WW2 on German side. The Russians HAVE NEVER HAD air superiority in Ukraine EVER. This is probably the most surprising things about Russian forces during the entire war that they're fighting against an airforce that's vastly inferior to theirs and they still have never been able to dominate the skies. If they did then Ukrainian artillery and HIMARs/MLRS systems would be partially if not significantly destroyed and reduced in effectiveness and their logistics would be taking much more damage than they currently are. Ukrainian portable anti-air as well as large anti-air systems have been doing a good job of keeping the Russian airforce afraid from carrying out deep strikes behind Ukrainian lines. We just saw last week when Russian airforce tried to be more active and they lost several jets and helis for their efforts. He mentioned that they could do things only during the night as the allied forced had air superiority and how devastating this fact alone already was. If the Ukrainians are operating at night its because they have the advantage in night vision goggles that allows them to attack and cause trouble to the Russians that they can't easily stop. Why do you think the US is investing so much into night vision technology? Because they want to be able to have a huge advantage over their enemy at night where few countries can match them. Encircled forces however are at a disadvantage that is a given. But after the map they are not encircled yet. If the Russians in Lyman aren't completely encircled its pretty close and they will soon have to make the decision to either stand and fight and potentially get trapped or to fall back to more defensible positions while they still have a chance to do so.
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  29. Well if you look at the troop movements of both sides I'm pretty sure we know which direction the war is going at least right now. At the start of the invasion the Russians were moving on 3 fronts using plenty of armor, making heli born air assaults on airports and they were making gains at a decent pace. Then we had the whole Kiev front retreat and all the pro-Russian folks tried to explain that those forces would be redeployed for the great Donbas assault that's was coming soon that would encircle and smash most of the eastern Ukrainian forces. That never happened and what we saw was a slow WWI style offensive with slow gains being made taking months to do so. On the other side the Ukrainians were on the defensive the whole time trying to survive the early onslaught and begging for western support to help them fight. Throughout the months they were trying to slow down the Russian advance and to give up as little ground as they could while launching only relatively small offensives here and there. Now in the past couple of weeks they launch offensives on two major fronts and for the Kharkiv region they make large gains in a short period of time and in the south its much slower, but still ongoing. Going by these indicators its clear that the Russians lost a ton of forces and heavy equipment in the early part of the war and its come back to haunt them ever since. The Ukrainians are slowly gaining more western equipment and their troops being trained by NATO are now growing in number. Long term unless Russia decides to throw much more troops and equipment into the fight, they're going to soon be lucky to hold onto what they've taken to date let alone losing some if not alot of it back to the Ukrainians who are committed to the fight.
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  33.  @tomk3732  Well, UA losses are between 3x to 5x as high as DPR / LPR.... so I see UA forces as cannon fodder. Russia taken losses but nothing major. If that's what you truly believe then go ahead and believe it, but it doesn't mean its accurate or is anything based on reality. I'm sure the Germans were saying the same things to themselves in WWII when they were taking heavy losses and found it near impossible to make any further large advances in the USSR. Even by absolute most conservative estimates the Russians have lost close to 1,000 tanks and over 5,200 vehicles and we clearly see the results of those losses when the Russians haven't launched any major armored attacks since they pulled back from Kiev. But hey maybe its just the Russians holding back their armored forces until they achieve a breakthrough to exploit or something. 😂🤣😅 Russia has won this war and is in full control. They can slow it down or speed it up. Ukraine is there to watch the progress they can do nothing about. They slowed it down because they have no choice but to slow it down. I really doubt Russia is in love with the idea of fighting more months or possibly even years in Ukraine if they can avoid it. The best chance the Russians had in defeating Ukraine was in the first few weeks of the war and they completely screwed that up and now they're stuck in a stalemate where they can't push forward significantly and refuse to fall back because that would be admitting defeat.
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  34.  @pite9  The idea that Russia should be able to roll over them is not realistic. Even if they fully mobilized, it would be very costly to try to advance on all fronts with very inexperienced soldiers. Russia is handling this war exactly like they should. From their perspective, this is more like USA's war in Iraq than it is like the wars Russia fought in WW1-2. Russia expecting to roll over UA forces is EXACTLY what they were looking for and assumed what would happen. They were expecting it would be 2014 Crimea all over again just on a much larger scale that would include all of Ukraine this time around. Putin was counting on some Ukrainian troops defecting and others simply refusing to fight or to quickly surrender in the face of seemingly overwhelming odds and forces against them the same way it happened in Crimea in 2014. That was likely the assumption the Russians were basing their plans on which gave them confidence to attack on 3 wide fronts with the aim of taking the entire country with relative little Ukrainian pushback. If they had known before invasion that Ukrainian resistance would be so fierce they either would significantly increased their attacking forces or else they would've scaled back their plans to more reasonable goals. Perhaps they would've simply concentrated in the Donbas/Luhansk region and put all their forces to take those areas and most likely they would've been successful with much less resistance. Instead they went for all the marbles and failed miserably and now they're stuck in massive mess where their enemy won't stop fighting and they will have to keep a large force of Russian troops for probably many years to try and keep everything they've taken even if they don't plan to advance any further. Russia's inactivity may lead to less ukrainian losses and a prolonged war, but they save their own troops too. Proportionally, it's a winning strategy for Russia, especially since manpower is their weakness. They can afford to waste artillery shells, but if they lose too many men, it will make the civilians at home unhappy and it might even force them to do a draft. The Russians have no choice but to fight a long drawn out war now because they've lost too much equipment to be able to launch mobile armored attacks like they did at the beginning of the war. As I said above they didn't expect such fierce UA resistance because if they did and could do things over again they'd probably use much more artillery and missile strikes like they're doing now to pummel UA forces before advancing their armored forces forward. That would've saved them so many unnecessary troop and vehicle losses which could be used now, but because they assumed that UA forces wouldn't put up much of a fight they probably wanted to try and minimize the damage they were doing to Ukraine since they were going to occupy it or at least put in a Russian friendly government so it was best not to wreck too much Ukrainian infrastructure at first. Now they're stuck and while the Russians probably won't lose everything they've gained, its going to be pretty difficult for them to keep all that they've taken.
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  43.  @cruiser6260  we don't know that theory of creating diversion is incorrect on the initial incursion. It's classic military strategy to dummy attack and draw forces. Actually advancing in is a bit different. Key points though, There was no battle for Kiev attempting to take the city and no sustained seige, which would be humanitarian disaster anyway. Did it in fact draw a lot of ukr forces to Kiev, if it did then it's not an unreasonable theory. Saying the Kiev front was a diversion is merely pro-Russian folks trying to explain away the disaster that was the drive to Kiev was. Diversionary attacks ARE NOT meant to destroy your own forces in the process and if that's what happens then you're doing it VERY wrong. I've said it before and I'll say it again, you don't throw significant numbers of your best troops flying in on helicopters supported by aircraft to try and capture two major airfields just outside of Kiev so that you can fly in thousands more men to open up a forward front and then having tens of thousands of troops racing to link up with them and do all that as a diversion. You do all that because you have the real intention of trying to take the capital of a nation because historically in war that's ALWAYS been an important objective. Just look at both Chechen wars where the Russians both times made Grozny their primary objective. The Russians did not expect major resistance from the Ukrainians which is why they believed they could occupy major government and military installations in Kiev quickly and take control of the city. People think you need hundreds of thousands of soldiers to take a major city yet all you have to do is look at Kherson where it was taken at the beginning of the war with barely a fight from the people living there. People who keep saying this attack was all a diversion are just trying to explain why the Russians took huge casualties and were then forced to retreat and why it was worth it rather than acknowledging the disaster that it really was. On NATO not wanting direct war with RUS, that's been true since about 1949. In a conventional war, the Pentagon's wargaming shows they can not win a war against Rus in Europe or in the Pacific against China, definitely not both. There may have been a time during the 1950s, 60s and 70s where the USSR was indeed very strong and NATO definitely didn't want to go to war with them, however that time has LONG PASSED. Even if the USSR existed today, NATO would be more than able to beat them in a head to head conventional war. With the breakup of the USSR there is ZERO CHANCE that Russia could ever beat NATO on its own. The US alone could destroy Russian forces completely in a land war. The only reason NATO doesn't want to go war with Russia now is because they don't want Russia potentially using nukes when they're getting their asses beat on the battlefield. If Russia didn't have nukes, almost 100% probably a no fly zone over Ukraine would've been implemented by NATO from the beginning of the invasion and perhaps even turns into attacking Russian ground forces if they cross a certain line and don't turn back. I'll say they're both right on the himars. Not enough have been supplied to make a decisive difference, but you can't say they haven't made any difference at all. On the last round table Dima was saying Rus has a system with the same capability just a lot more. He also suggested lira not underestimate ukr. Absolutely disagree. HIMARS and later on other MLRS systems have made a MASSIVE difference in this war. Before HIMARS arrived Russia was firing off huge amounts of artillery and missile barrages everyday. That has been drastically reduced now because HIMARS/MLRS systems have made it impossible for the Russians to place large amounts of ammunition close to the front without it getting destroyed quickly. How many videos of huge ammo dumps did we see go up in a big fireworks display before the Russians finally got their head out of their asses and pulled their dumps farther back and break them down into smaller ammo dumps so that a hit doesn't destroy huge amounts of ammo and supplies? HIMARS/MLRS would not be such a great strategic weapon with such a major impact if the rockets they were launching weren't so pinpoint accurate and had a decent range. If the Ukrainians were given ATACMS, you could kiss Russian logistics and command centers bye bye and they would be in even worse shape than they are now.
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  50.  @waynzignordics  The Russians are now fighting a Nato army staffed by Ukrainian troops, and a volunteer army staffed by Nato troops. So are you saying there are active duty soldiers from NATO countries fighting in Ukraine and not just former western soldiers who are volunteering to fight there? That's the first I've heard of that. Do you have proof of this? Why is it a Nato army? The AFU is financed by Nato, has strategic planning led by Nato, has intel gathering by Nato, and an information warfare unit led by Nato. But its soldiers are Ukrainian. Funny thing is Ukrainian soldiers have proven to be superior fighters than European Nato soldiers. Well that's what the Russians were risking when they invaded Ukraine that there was a possibility for western involvement. They did it anyways and not even a limited assault, but an all out invasion with the goal of taking the entire country and toppling governments rather than simply taking all of Donbas region as people expected they would if they were actually invading. Maybe if they had stuck to that more limited objective, they might've gotten away with it. Namely with more Russian forces concentrated to take less ground, the Ukrainians would probably be pushed back and Donbas might've been in their hands long ago with much fewer losses. Instead they chose to push all their chips in and now they're paying for it with their massive miscalculations. And give credit where credit is due. All this happened because the Ukrainians chose to fight and resist and having Zelensky and their government staying in the country. If none of that happens then NATO support doesn't happen and Putin would be celebrating a victory and perhaps be fighting an insurgency fight at most by now.
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