Comments by "UzuMaki NaRuto" (@UzumakiNaruto_) on "Ukraine. Military Summary And Analysis 30.01.2023" video.

@badwolftx2139 Static defenses work great until they are broken or bypassed. They then become a liability. Kinda like what happened in Kharkiv and Kherson a few months back right?
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@badwolftx2139 Also the Popasna part of the line in May. Once that line was cracked, the Zolote line then fell about 3 weeks later and then Russia just rolled through a largely undefended Sieverdonetsk and Lysychansk. Except that isn't what happened. Severodonetsk was still being fought over for a number of weeks even as the flanks were falling and it become a salient and many people were concerned that if the Ukrainians didn't fall back that they would eventually be encircled by the Russians. At one point I believe there was only about a 10km gap that the Ukrainians could escape through before they would be trapped and guess what? They were successful in retreating without becoming trapped and destroyed. I don't see any info so far that says that the Ukrainians wouldn't be able to retreat in the Bakhmut area when they needed to rather than being encircled by the Russians. Also this speaks to how many armored losses the Russians have suffered that they were so weak that they couldn't launch an armored attack from both flanks to close up the Severodonetsk pocket and surround the Ukrainians months ago. I think that will be the same here in that if the Russians had enough armored vehicles they would attack and push for an encirclement rather than slowly advancing with mostly infantry and allowing their enemy time to fall back.
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@badwolftx2139 You are making my point. It's not to say it's without cost, but once static lines are breached, a collapse can happen relatively quickly (days or weeks, not many months or years) A collapse of the frontline depends on what's going against it. Right now the Russians are mostly attacking with infantry with relatively little armor support which means they're taking large casualties while only being able to push back the Ukrainians slowly. Even if they somehow break the frontline of the Ukrainians, they don't have the mobility to push through and exploit that success which means their gains will be modest at best while giving the Ukrainians time to recover and reform. After Popasna cracked, the next prepared defenses were the Solidar /Bakhmut line. These locations still had terrain and heavy industrial areas as key advantages. With the Bakhmut line broken, the next and final line before the Dnieper is the weakest. There are no natural obstacles. I would be surprised that even if the Russians end up taking Bakhmut that they'll be able to make further significant gains after unless they have more reserves to throw into the fight. Its pretty clear that the Russians as always don't care about losses so if they have more reserves they just might be crazy enough to do it. As we've seen from the Donbas offensive and now in Bakhmut, after losing large numbers of tanks and armored vehicles early in the war the Russians haven't been able to launch any large scale armored offensive since their retreat from the Kiev front. So I wouldn't be shocked to see the Russians try and continue to grind ahead while in the coming weeks they get pushed back by a well trained, well equipped and well led counter offensive by Ukraine. But I guess we'll have to wait and see if and when that might come. It seems like the more things change the more they stay the same where Russia has always relied on numbers in men and equipment to beat their opponents and Ukraine is turning more towards better quality in equipment and better trained men to fight them off.
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@badwolftx2139 Now, take those same forces and put them behind a 2km wide river and it becomes an impenetrable static defense line. It certainly makes attacking more difficult, but almost nothing is impenetrable if you have well trained men with the right equipment and have the proper planning. Ukraine has no limiting terrain in the east. All they have are man-made trenches and tunnels in places that are easy to spot and shell. The Russians still have to attack and dig the Ukrainians out and unless they have a significant armor force to help breach Ukrainian lines and to exploit their breakthrough otherwise any progress they make is going to be modest at best. Again look to WWI where despite large portions of the frontline having little to no cover or natural obstacles, attacks required alot of men and artillery to breakthrough and make even a little bit of progress afterwards. That was the whole point of inventing tanks and eventually other armored vehicles so that you could avoid such stalemates and static warfare. The Russians clearly don't have enough in the way of armored vehicles to launch any sort of major attack with them otherwise they would've done so long ago rather than continue to slog along with infantry heavy attacks. Those first few months of the war really cost them much of their armored forces and now they're struggling to replace all those losses of which many were so avoidable if they weren't so dumb in using them. Its just crazy to me that the supposed second strongest army in the world is reduced to fighting with WWI style tactics in 2023. I can't ever imagine seeing the US army fighting a conventional war and losing so badly that they're reduced to throwing waves of men against the enemy to make any kind of progress while they're busy bringing M60 tanks back into service to replace all their Abrams losses. And yet here we are seeing Russia doing exactly that.
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@badwolftx2139 There is zero evidence that Russia is sending waves of RF troops into battle. There is a lot of evidence that RF artillery pounds AFU forces for weeks before even thinking about advancing. I don't know where you go to for your info, but when I look on various subreddits there's PLENTY of video and photo evidence of this happening and there's numerous reports and stories as well. You can ignore all the evidence and say its propaganda, but ask yourself have you seen Russia launch any major attacks that involve alot of armored vehicles lately? I haven't. All these attacks in and around Bakhmut have been infantry heavy which means there's going to be alot of casualties especially when you're sending in the cannon fodder first to attack to take those casualties. The Russians as they've always have don't care about how many of their troops die or get wounded so this method is perfectly fine for them. People need to be mentally and emotionally prepared for the likelihood that RF forces will make significant advances in the coming days/weeks. If the Russians don't have the armored forces necessary to launch a major offensive then any gains they make will be similar to what you see now. There's no way you can fight a modern conventional war and expect large gains without having a decent armored force with the proper logistics to support them.
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@badwolftx2139 I understand that you are going to be surprised and genuinely upset and scared when it becomes clear that Ukraine cannot "win" by its own definition. The best result Ukraine can hope for is retaining control over Odesa. If the AFU forces are too badly beaten in the east, there may not be enough left to defend any of Novorossiya. As I said before Ukraine has already 'won' by surviving and not completely surrendering after the first few weeks of the invasion. It didn't become another Belarus puppet state and that is a big victory already. Sure its questionable whether or not Ukraine will be able to regain all the territory it lost before the invasion and before 2014, but it will survive and become a partner of the west and hopefully apart of NATO soon because that's the only way Ukraine can be sure that it won't be attacked again like this when it will actually have western nations coming fully to their aid.
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@badwolftx2139 The Ukrainians have won, but they haven't won completely. Are they out of danger of being completely taken over and becoming another Belarus like puppet state for Russia? Yes 100%. Have they kicked Russia completely out of their territory and regained everything they lost? Obviously not. Ukrainians need to keep fighting to take back as much as possible if not almost everything because once there's a ceasefire it will be extremely difficult if not impossible to regain that territory again. Its better to suffer and face potentially another year or several years of war NOW rather than have an uneasy peace that can likely turn into what happened the past 8 years in the Donbas with off and on fighting. The time to gain a decisive victory on the battlefield and then have negotiations or even better just kick the Russians out entirely. Unlikely I know, but the alternative isn't any good because Russia will still be a threat to their nation.
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@badwolftx2139 Will you have the courage to come back and say you were wrong when any further Russian offensives don't result in large gains of territory, but costs significant casualties and equipment losses?
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