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UzuMaki NaRuto
Military Summary
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Comments by "UzuMaki NaRuto" (@UzumakiNaruto_) on "Ukraine. Military Summary And Analysis 20.09.2022" video.
It's good to hear that Russian Military is pushing forward to liberate the Donbas so that the people can make a choice for themselves. Complete hypothetical but what if these referendums were held and the people in the Donbas region had a change of heart and decided to remain with Ukraine after all? Would Russia respect the decision of the people there?
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@Waynzig Nordics That's the official start of WWIII, and the end of life as we've known it for the last 75-years. WWIII seems unlikely unless Russia starts using nukes because they can't get it done with their armed forces. If Russia didn't have nukes no one in the west would be very afraid of them because NATO forces would curb stomp the Russian army anytime anywhere. Russia is a bully that starts a fist fight with someone and when they start to lose they threaten to come back with a gun to settle things.
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@waynzignordics WWIII officially starts when Russia's allies, bound by mutual security agreements through CSTO, enter the proxy war being waged by Nato, forcing Nato to enter into direct conflict. That's the literal definition of a world war. CSTO countries would have to be INSANE to want to send their troops to Ukraine to fight for Russia and its doubtful that they'll do so if they have any intelligence in their government. Nothing in this current conflict bares any resemblance to what direct warfare between Nato and CSTO nations would look like. Lets hope this doesn't escalate to get even worse because if NATO actually ever got involved for real it would be a complete slaughter of Russia and its allies and it wouldn't be close. You were probably in diapers when the US invaded Iraq, or you'd know that Russia is using kid's gloves against Ukraine by comparison. Russia doesn't need nukes, but the threat of using them serves the purpose of discouraging Nato from escalating further. If Russia didn't need nukes it wouldn't threaten to use them constantly and saying they're on the table all the time. Only a nation in a weak position and feels like they have nothing to lose would threaten using such weapons that would take this conflict into a new level of danger that we shouldn't ever go to. You said it yourself in that the threat of nukes serves to discourage NATO from supposedly escalating things further. That means that Russia doesn't believe that its conventional forces are a strong enough deterrent to stop NATO from potentially interfering more. On the otherhand NATO DOES feel its conventional forces are strong enough that it doesn't need to talk about using nukes except only possibly as a response to Russia or someone else using them first. Russia has made many mistakes throughout the SMO, but their success in taking a quarter of Ukraine despite being massively outnumbered will be studied for decades. It doesn't look like on the map now that Russia has 25% of Ukraine and you're forgetting that Russia had the massive equipment advantage and supposedly the better trained army over the Ukrainians at the start of the invasion and even then they couldn't defeat them because of their utter incompetence. Now Russia is doing what they've always done in their history. Namely throw more men and resources at a problem and hope the red horde can eventually overwhelm their opponents through numbers and brute force.
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