Comments by "UzuMaki NaRuto" (@UzumakiNaruto_) on "Russia Moves Reinforcements to Kharkov Region to Counter Ukraine Balakliye Offensive" video.
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@edwardmatalka
The Ukrainian assault reminded me of the German thrust in the so-called Battle of the Bulge: no aircover, low fuel, moderate levels of ammo, and little manpower. I don’t believe the Ukrainians can maintain an effective counterattack. Militarily, this doesn’t amount to all that much.
The direction of the Ukrainian attack is towards major road and rail networks and if they can capture a place like Kupyansk, that significantly affects the ability of the Russians to move men, supplies and equipment around the battlefield. Regaining territory is nice, but if they can continue to take back major road and rail hubs then that will hurt the Russians far more since they rely so much on rail.
Between that and the Ukrainians continuing to hit Russian supply lines, its going to be difficult for Russian forces to get around and launch successful ground attacks especially when they're in range of Ukrainian artillery which has proven to be pretty accurate.
And while the Ukrainians don't have much in airpower, as we've seen neither do the Russians who have been very careful with their aircraft rather than having them being able to gain air superiority over Ukrainian skies so they too have been attacking in the Donbas with little air support and relying mostly on artillery and missile strikes.
Politically, the EU and U.S. neocons can use this offensive to silence critics and push for escalation.
I don't get this idea that Ukraine has to show success on the offensive to give confidence to western countries to keep supporting them. By now if countries are in then they're in and if they're out then they're out. War is usually a marathon and there's going to be successes and setbacks and it makes no sense to reduce support just because of a few setbacks.
Maybe if the UA forces were completely collapsing and in full retreat then sure it might make sense to stop sending in more equipment and supplies but this isn't the case and won't ever be the case as long as the west provides support to the Ukrainians who seem more than willing to fight for as long as it takes to get Russian forces out of their nation.
The USA faced this issue during the Civil War, our bloodiest conflict, actually a War of Secession. Putin needs to understand that it’s time to take the gloves off.
If he could 'take the gloves off' wouldn't Putin already have done so and called for mobilization already? Seems like he really doesn't want to do that because it would be a clear admission that he was wrong and miscalculated and that the 'special operation' isn't going well. A supposed relatively quick and small operation that now requires the men and resources of most of Russia? Who knows maybe that's the line that pushes Russian people into finally going against Putin and wanting him gone.
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