Comments by "Gabor Rajnai" (@gaborrajnai6213) on "Robinson Erhardt" channel.

  1. You know theres politics and there are bank accounts. People generally dont do with their bank accounts what they do with politics. Trump showing up and rumbling around will only cause real conservatives, I mean those people who like to resist change to look for safer bets than the United States. Maybe they will maintain a certain level of cooperation, but they will simply invest their baseline strategic relations into a more predictable country.
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  2. Well, its incredibly naive to think that the nations of the world are that eager to sell things to America, and fuel its debt with foreign investment. Theres a powerbalance in the world, where America is offering protection, in exchange getting resources and capital for free. If the world is made to be able to defend itself, thats a fair point, but then theres no reason to keep US dollar as a reserve currency, since it would boost every single nation to do their dealings in their own national currency. That would siphon out 60% of the capital currently in america, and make the debtservice uncertain. Its even more incredibly naive to think, that its still the 19th century, and things can be coerced by raw military force like the British Empire did. there are weapons powerful enough to eliminate the entire world multiple times, which makes certain great powers invulnerable to any military coercion, because no matter how many more warships personnel or hardware the adversary has the outcome will be the same. Do you really think professor Hanson that your papers and international treaties will really defend you, if the world is not onboard? You cant have your cake and eat it too, you can rule the world as long as the world is dependent on you, if they are not they will treat you as their equals. Theres a saying for that in the stockmarket, called pricing in. Theres a certain point up until your president can run around the world threatening everybody, but at a certain point countries will price his threats in, and make their countermoves regardless of how destructive it is to the US or their economies.
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  3. I dont know why you make this so complex. Donald Trump is a well known liar, so people like Fergusson or Hanson can see into him whatever they want to see. Hanson sees him as a peacemaker isolationist, Fergusson sees him as the Casear, who will push the borders of the Empire to the infinite, no matter that these views are totally contradictory, since noone really knows what Donald Trump will do, they can both interpret their hopes into him. He promises everybody everything, he promise Israelis palestine, palestinians Israel, and both group thinks that he is lying to the other side and telling his true intentions to them. The real question how these academics became so desperate to give up basic reasoning for blind faith. I mean Fergusson's career as an objective observer and not a partisan hack is kinda already gone, when he betted that Trump is not a threat to constitution, and Trump in his very first day attacked the birthright citizenship.
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  4. What if your billionaires would start to pay taxes, like everyone else do? Last time when Trump was in office he skyrocketed the debt by handing out taxcuts for the top 1%, so theres a direct correllation between the rate of debt and uncollected taxes. Seriously what can they do? Will Elon Musk run a rocket company from the Cayman islands and living off on Caymanese state grants? Will they go to China? Well they can go to China and as long as Chinese dont learn how to make their things better it would work, but as soon as Chinese build a better Falcon than Musk, he will be asked to leave. They need the US more than the US needs them
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  5. Lol do you know who wants to dismantle nations? JD Vance, Elon Musk and Peter Thiel, the guys who literally run your government now. They think that nation states are failures, and ordinary people should be ruled over by a CEO like figure with absolute power in small linked cities.
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  6. They wouldnt sell their island for a mere million, and you dont have thatmuch money, that a realistic price would be.
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  7. Yep Chinese will absolutely own the world. Theres nothing America can do about it, they are simply too big, and they dont make the avoidable mistakes what America does...
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