Comments by "Michael RCH" (@michaelrch) on "Climate change denial a crime?" video.
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FCoxUSMC, are you kidding me? I said that the data shows warming and posted a link to a source shows his.
Here is another.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/monitoring/climate/surface-temperature
You then said that there is a actually cooling going on. I said, “cite your source” and then you tell me I have to do YOUR research for YOU?
Why the fuck would you trust the guy who runs the weather channel over 1000s of peer reviewed papers with evidence that say he is wrong? Have you ever heard of an argument from authority? It’s a logical fallacy, something that makes your argument invalid.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argument_from_authority
If you want to convince me that there is cooling when the evidence shows warming, not to mention tons of direct effects of that warming, like melting ice, rising sea levels, more extreme weather events, more heat waves, etc, then the least you can do is cite your own evidence that shows cooling. So go on.
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FCoxUSMC, and if you want to be “left alone” stop posting bullshit comments in places like this. You might want to stop to think about the consequences if you are wrong, which btw all the science says you are.
Our generation will leave the planet much much worse than when we were born. Much worse, the kind of damage normally only possible by massive cataclysms of nature. We humans are causing it right now.
I guess I could take your attitude and say “fuck it” but I care about the planet I live on. It had been a good home to humans for the last few millennia. We are fucking that up in a huge way. You and your buddies denying it’s happening at all and arguing for more fossil fuels are MAKING IT WORSE because your greedy politicians have license to do whatever the duck they like regardless of the long term consequences. So at the least, if you know nothing about it and are going by what some dude on the Weather Channel said, which is completely contrary to the science, then just admit you don’t know that much about it and “keep your own council” to put it kindly.
I don’t know shit about the history of the civil war so I don’t weigh into arguments about whether statues of General Lee should be standing in southern cities. I might have an opinion but I don’t tell people that they are wrong when they disagree with me because I really just don’t know much about it.
Please, for the sake of our planet and our kids and the amazing natural world, just park your opinions on climate change, at least until you really know the argument very well from both sides. I am sure there are lots of things you know tons about, but you know shit about climate change! Sorry, that’s just what I can tell from your comments.
On the other hand if you want to school me on General Lee, or why Antifa are idiots, or the best guns or whatever, then be my guest...
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FCoxUSMC, “Google it” is s cop out and you know it. Science is not about what google says. If you knew enough to justify how opinionated your are about this, you could at least point me at evidence. But you just google “climate change hoax” and then lap up everything you read. The blogs you read assume you won’t bother to check that they aren’t lying. If you do check, guess what? They lie ALL THE TIME.
Even “climategate” from Back in 2011 completely falls to bits when you actually dig into it.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=4OB2prBtVFo
You have fallen for a conspiracy theory pedalled by a cabal if fossil fuel interests, liars, bloggers wanting traffic to their sites and charlatans after speaking fees from fossil fuel interests.
The scientists whose evidence supports climate change number in the 1000s, their papers in the 10s of 1000s, from dozens of countries and published in dozens of journals. There are no published papers that actually cast doubt on man made climate change that you or anyone can cite, because they pretty much don’t exist.
If you want to bang on that literally an entire scientific community are lying then surely the evidence must be everywhere. So why can’t you come up with any? If you do, then great, but don’t be surprised if I demonstrate that your evidence is either flawed or fraudulent.
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FCoxUSMC, LMAO. So I guess you must be an experienced climate scientist or atmospheric physicist with a PhD and several papers published in your name then right. Sorry. I had no idea. Nice to meet you Dr Cox.
Listen, it's just really simple. You and I could argue this stuff all day but there is no point is discussing it unless we are citing real science that has been tested and reviewed rigorously. That is the science that is published in peer reviewed journals.
It's ok to read blogs but if you are going to, then you have to do your own fact checking, rigorously. That means checking every statement is backed by evidence in a peer reviewed paper, checking that data is not being cherry picked from those papers, checking that any conclusions drawn from a paper actually agree with the paper, checking that data has not been manipulated from a paper.
Bloggers are after readers. They may also have an agenda. They want to show you the most sensational compelling story they can. And the most compelling story is that the whole science community is a fraud but, they in their wisdom, can tell you the 'real' facts, they have the truth that everyone else wants to keep from you. It's usually just a massive load of bullshit.
If you don't believe that what I am saying is what is going on, please please just watch this set of four videos on Lord Monckton by Potholer54
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=lpMZ4EpCseM
It's about an hour in total. If you don't find them even slightly interesting, then fine, have your money back. But I assure, this youtuber is not pulling facts out of his ass, he is fair and balanced, he believes in truth and his fact checking is incredibly diligent. He is also quite witty.
As an example I just watched a surprising video that said that climate change will not lead to lots more hurricanes, and it might not sink atolls. The science is more complicated than people appreciate. It does not mean the AGW is not happening or that the effects won't be bad, just that sometimes the predictions are not as simple as people (including me) might at first be led to believe. That video is here
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8pa8duiMiS0
I really hope you will think about my recommendation.
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robert hicks, no they really didn't.
There just isn't evidence for the gigantic conspiracy you are suggesting.
As for the 97% number, I will just that here again, this article explains, objectively how that was arrived at.
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-06-15/97-percent-consensus-on-climate-change-it-s-complicated
Essentially, where papers' authors expressed an opinion, ~97% agreed with the theory on manmade climate change, but please read the whole article. It's quite fair and balanced I think.
You said that people who agree with climate change are part of a religion. I'm sorry, we aren't. We are going where the evidence goes, that's all.
People who believe that it does not exist when all the evidence suggests that it does are the ones living on faith, not reality. Climate change denial has more in common with a religion I'm afraid.
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robert hicks, thanks for your explanation. I am not sure I follow the point in full though. Are you saying that you predicted global warming in the 1970s but it would be limited to about 30-60 years? If that was the case, then, yes, you are right so far. The temperature has been increasing since the 70s, in fact at an accelerating rate. And not since the 70s but really, since the early 1900s. If you don't trust NASA for some reason, how about the Met Office in the UK?
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/monitoring/climate/surface-temperature
The graph on this page shows The Met Office, NASA and NOAA measurements together. They all agree very closely.
I strongly recommend that you read this whole page if you have time. It gives interesting additional information on what other processes are at work that cause the short term fluctuations (5-10 years).
I have to say, it's a tough ask to look at the data and not conclude the temperature is trending higher, and at an accelerating rate.
There is no evidence or theory that I have seen widely discussed that expects the rise to suddenly stop and go into reverse. If there is, please can you point me at it. Thanks.
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robert hicks, thanks for your explanation. I am not sure I follow the point in full though. Are you saying that you predicted global warming in the 1970s but it would be limited to about 30-60 years? If that was the case, then, yes, you are right so far. The temperature has been increasing since the 70s, in fact at an accelerating rate. And not since the 70s but really, since the early 1900s. If you don't trust NASA for some reason, how about the Met Office in the UK?
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/monitoring/climate/surface-temperature
The graph on this page shows The Met Office, NASA and NOAA measurements together. They all agree very closely and I don't understand why there would have been any collusion here, especially given the data goes back to well before climate change even became the subject of political debate (which, God, I wish it had not).
I strongly recommend that you read this whole page if you have time. It gives interesting additional information on what other processes are at work that cause the short term fluctuations (5-10 years).
I have to say, it's a tough ask to look at the data and not conclude the temperature is trending higher, and at an accelerating rate.
There is no evidence or theory that I have seen widely discussed that expects the rise to suddenly stop and go into reverse. If there is, please can you point me at it. Thanks.
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robert hicks, another straw man. The claim is not that 97% of ALL SCIENTISTS agree with AGW. It’s that in a survey, 97% that expressed a position agree with it.
Besides, it’s not a popularity contest. The point of that survey was to point out that there is no debate among scientists in the field. There are almost no papers that contradict the theory, and certainly no recent ones,
If you had a strong scientific case, where are the hundreds or thousands of papers in journals pointing out the gigantic errors in the 97% of papers that express a position and DO support AGW? God knows the fossil fuel industry would be happy to fund scientists to try and get this done. But they can’t for the simple reason that they can’t robust evidence to support their case.
Like I said why would EXXON, BP AND CHEVRON and many other oil companies, and Saudi Arabia (!) formally accept AGW if there was such a strong case against it.
You are trapped in a delusion. The evidence is all against you, even the fossil fuel industry has thrown in the towel (with the exception of some US coal companies). The governments of every single country in the world except the US has concluded that its real and a serious problem. indeed the US government scientists also have - it’s just the moronic and corrupt politicians that have not. Every argument you provide is easily refuted. You ignore every question challenging your assertions.
It’s ironic. I often debate fundamentalist creationist Christians about their literal belief in the Bible. They behave exactly he same way as you. And yet, ironically, it’s climate change sceptics that have the barefaced cheek to characterise people who accept the scientific facts as “religious” or “brainwashed”, yet they themselves believe the most unreliable sources - shown to be wrong or lying over and over - constantly trying to find information from any source to fit their conclusions rather than following where the evidence leads. Eventually it all boils down to tin foil hats and conspiracy theories.
You have exactly the same style and approach as a creationist or a flat Earther. Many books will be written about how people like you fell into this delusion and how dangerous it was for humanity and our planet.
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robert hicks, show me your data. I note, as usual, you are not citing any reputable source for your data or your statements. Will you this time?
Where is your data showing fewer, weaker storms, or significantly less that 1 degree rise in temperatures since 1850?
The data from NASA, NOAA, The Met Office and RSS shows the increase clearly.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/monitoring/climate/surface-temperature
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/
And the data is global data from instruments all over the world over long periods of time. And you think we don’t have ways of measuring temperature to a better resolution than 1 degree? Where are you getting that nonsense?
And as part of he method, the point of of having many readings is that you average out noise, fluctuations and instrumentation error. Unless of course you think that everyone’s thermometers are just measuring high systematically. Don’t you think that would be rather easy to demonstrate? In which case, why hasn’t it been?
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jamsamuel1, I am sorry to tell you this, but there are scientific answers to these questions. Evolution has had 4 billion years to work on life on Earth. A lot can happen in 4 billion years. Indeed well over 99% of species that ever existed on Earth are already completely extinct. Rather wasteful of a designer wouldn't you say?
Sexual reproduction evolved because it was a much faster way at generating genetic diversity. That meant that species reproducing sexually were able to evolve to fill niches more quickly. Some animals are still asexual as they fit their niche well already and did not need to evolve so quickly to survive. That is why you find some species that are very young, like dogs, and some species that are ancient like crocodiles and ferns.
So the question is really, why do we need a designer in the picture? The answer is that we don't,
Then the next question is, where is the evidence of a designer at work and not just natural selection over several billion years, something that evolution could not describe?
And the answer is, there isn't any such evidence. Evolution is a natural theory that needs no supernatural actor, and it explains what we see beautifully. The simplest answer, that fits the fact, is more often the correct one.
TBH, I don't see why you can't be awed and satisfied at the idea that you are a descendant of an unbroken line and ancestors that goes back 4 billion years. Through all the trials and tribulations that Earth has thrown at life, the ice ages, the massive volcanic events, the mass extinction events, through it all, your ancestors survived and flourished. You can thank them for being alive, they did he work. Not an invisible creator.
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jamsamuel1, scripture will always let you down I'm afraid.
John 3:36
Whoever believes in the Son has eternal life; whoever does not obey the Son shall not see life, but the wrath of God remains on him.
- or the same from King James
He that believeth on the Son hath everlasting life: and he that believeth not the Son shall not see life; but the wrath of God abideth on him
Revelation 21:8
But as for the cowardly, the faithless, the detestable, as for murderers, the sexually immoral, sorcerers, idolaters, and all liars, their portion will be in the lake that burns with fire and sulfur, which is the second death.”
Unbelievers go to hell dude,. It's there. And for what? For not believing in a God who it appears has gone out of his way to hide his existence. Everything in the world that we see had a rational explanation. The only record that the faithful put forward are their personal feelings and some literature that is very poorly sourced and frequently inconsistent.
And your main evidence for God is that I exist? Really? Where is the.causal link there?
You can show using scientific observations that I evolved from more primitive apes and mammals and so on back many millions of years. And before that, we are very confidence about how the Earth and solar system formed, and the elements that formed them and so on back to the Big Bang 13.7 Billion years ago.
Then science runs out of firm theories but there are quite a few hypotheses getting some traction now.
But the point is, just because we can't explain the Big Bang yet, why does that mean "therefore God"? That's not evidence. That's a guess with no evidence. My guess is that another universe collapsed and ours was born out of that. I might be right but I might be wrong. I have no evidence.
Your guess is God. You have no evidence either. So we should both agree that WE DONT KNOW and STOP THERE.
Until you have evidence to back your hypothesis you have nothing more than an idea. You don't have any knowledge of any sort.
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jamsamuel1, I don't choose to believe evolution. It's not a belief. It's education. I have been to museums full of fossils, I have studied biology at school, I have listened to professors explain how it worked and seen the evidence in the fossil record. I have learned about DNA and how the tree of life is mirrored in the tree of DNA variation across species.
It is a theory that had so much supporting evidence that to claim it is false can only be based on wilful ignorance.
Ask yourself, have you ever honestly sought to learn about evolution from actual reputable sources of scientific knowledge? There is such a wealth of this on the Internet, you just can't miss it unless you really try. If you want I can direct you at some resources where you can learn about evolution. Would you like to try that?
I really hope you would try. You see learning is not a sin. If God created you, surely he did not create you to be ignorant. He surely created you to flourish. And if he did, then you must learn about the the world around you and it's your duty to truly learn all the amazing things that science has discovered in the last few centuries, no? Knowledge is not evil. The problem for religious zealots is that knowledge can lead to discovery of many contradictions between religious theories and science. So it's safer to just stay away from knowledge, so you stay ignorant, in the dark, in the clutches of unreason... That is truly damnation.
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jamsamuel1,well "thanks" I guess. That was a pretty unenlightening time spent watching that video.
I've got to tell you, it's not even slightly convincing. At every turn it just is just a voice leaping out saying "I can't believe X happened, therefore GOD!" About 20 times.
It puts forward no evidence that actually contradicts evolution in any meaningful way. It puts forward a few anecdotes of people who apparently have some problem with the theory of evolution but that is just wasted breath.
The problem for creationists or intelligent design people is that evolution is just such an elegant theory. It just says that living organisms inherit DNA from their parents in different combinations and sometimes with errors creeping in. And when those combinations or errors imbue the offspring with a useful trait, then those offspring are more likely to successfully breed than their cousins that did not have that useful trait. And so that trait is passed down to more offspring, and those offspring will outcompete their cousins, until the population pretty much all has that trait.
It's not only near impossible to dismiss the logic of it, but we see it in action today. Populations of bacteria evolve under the microscope. Ever heard of antibiotic-resistant bacteria? Guess how that happened? Bacteria reproduced with small errors on their genetic code (bacteria are actually very prone to doing this - it's part of their survival strategy you might say). Some of those errors close the weakness that just one bacteria to, say penicillin. That bacteria can reproduce at will while all the others die. Hey presto, you have a new bacteria that is penicillin.
Now play that over and over again over billions of years and trillions of generations. It's not surprising that the Earth has such s variety of life on it, 99% of which remember, is already extinct.
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