Comments by "R136a1" (@HR_8035_YEA) on "Ukraine War Qu0026A Series: How Long Can This War Last? || Peter Zeihan" video.

  1. I think Peter is being too pessimistic in this video. Firstly, Russia does not have millions of pieces of military equipment. It's probably down to its last 1000 usable tanks and less than 500 effective aircraft. It's a middle level power at best. If what Peter claims is true, why does Russia need ammo from North Korea and drones ftom Iran? And if he's right about the Western military industrial complex being able to provide lots of weapons and ammo in the second half of 2024, then Russia is in massive trouble because the West can produce orders of magnitude more than Russia. Also, it will all be modern and precision guided. Shortly after that, Russia would be overwhelmed. Also, Russia needs to have 10 times more than Ukraine because their weapons lack precision. A case in point is HIMARS vs regular Russian artillery. In July last year the Russians trolls were making fun of Ukraine regarding HIMARS. How could 18 HIMARS have any effect against thousands of Russian artillery pieces? Answer: longer range and precision. And that was without ATACMS. In the end, Russia has a lot of old largely usesless junk and Ukraine is getting more and more modern, precision weapons. Ukraine is getting stronger by the day and Russia is getting weaker by the day. Lastly, regarding Russia's military history. Yes, what Peter says is true. But it's against far smaller and weaker opponents who did not have the support that Ukraine has. Unfortunately for Russia, this time they are taking on a country that is being fully backed by the most powerful military alliance in human history. Russia is out of its depth here and has no hope of winning in the long run. I believe that Russia winning would be untenable for the US and Europe. If it looked like that was going to happen, there would be military intervention by either NATO or a coalition of the willing led by Poland. Europe is not just going to sit back and allow Russia to hold a dagger to its throat. That is never going to happen. Russia will collapse, just like the USSR, long before they ever conquer Ukraine.
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