Comments by "George Carty" (@GCarty80) on "Russia's Plan to Freeze Europe Has Failed" video.

@voidtempering8700 The war is currently stalemated because the ground is a sea of mud in the vicinity of the front line.
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@gregbrogan9061 Sadly I expect the Donbas to be a depopulated wasteland by the time this war is over: the population loyal to Ukraine will have fled west or been murdered by the Russian occupiers, while the population loyal to Russia will have fled east or been expended as conscripted cannon fodder. Elsewhere in eastern and southern mainland Ukraine the population is overwhelmingly pro-Ukraine, and I could even see them gradually abandoning the Russian language, as it has been stigmatized by the war. That leaves Crimea where ethnic Russians actually make a majority: will this war end with the Ukrainians and the West angry enough to consider expelling them to Russia, much as the Sudeten Germans were expelled from Czechoslovakia after World War II?
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Isn't BASF in the process of dismantling its entire chemical complex in Germany (as the high gas prices have made it unviable) in order to rebuild it in Louisiana?
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@johnhopkins6260 How exactly can you force the unconditional surrender of a country with thousands of nuclear ICBMs?
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@AstroGremlinAmerican AFAIK the cost of fossil fuels (used both as fuel and as chemical feedstock) is a far bigger issue for the chemical industry than the cost of labor, especially as I don't think it offers many of the kind of jobs that could be done by illegals (whose skills tend to be in agricultural or construction labor).
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@Jakob_DK I was thinking of the jobs that illegals in the US do routinely: anyway my original point is that employing illegals in Germany (or any other action to reduce labor costs there) wouldn't be enough to compensate for the much higher gas prices.
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@garygraham8373 It wouldn't surprise me if a Ukrainian victory results in the ethnic Russian majority in Crimea being expelled much like the Sudeten Germans after World War II.
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@jonson856 If you're going that far I'm surprised you didn't also demand they give up Krasnodar Krai to Ukraine (thus losing access to the Black Sea altogether) and the whole of Sakhalin Oblast to Japan.
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@jonson856 I don't think Georgia should take any Russian territory except perhaps North Ossetia: Krasnodar Krai was originally colonized by cossacks from Ukraine, which is why the song "March of Ukrainian Nationalists" (a version of which has been the official Ukrainian Army anthem since 2017) speaks of Ukraine "from the San to the Caucasus". Although the genuine indigenous population of that territory would be the Circassians.
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@jonson856 I was imagining that if Ukraine was to get Kuban then they'd logically get a corridor through Rostov to connect it to the rest of their territory (especially when I mentioned cutting Russia out of the Black Sea as an objective). Oh, and the survivors of Imperial Russia's genocide of Circassians mostly ended up in Turkey and other Middle Eastern countries: maybe if the West were to support a Ukrainian claim on Kuban then they'd insist they'd give the Circassians the same right of return as the Crimean Tatars?
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@questionmaker5666 The western part of Ukraine is the most rabidly nationalistic (you see lots of red/black Ukrainian Insurgent Army flags there) which would be another reason why I don't think Poland would want it back.
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I guess this war is the one case where global warming (and/or the fossil fuel combustion that drives it) isn't good for Russia?
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I don't know how they'd expect such propaganda to help them: no-one likes a monopolist, especially when the monopolist is also a murdering thug!
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@charlieboy6315 They'd never agree to that, because with Russia's conventional military being exposed as a paper tiger, and with the level of hatred that Russia has unleashed with their atrocities in Ukraine, surely they must realize that their nukes are the only thing keeping their vengeful neighbours from tearing them apart.
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