Comments by "VisibilityFoggy" (@VisibilityFoggy) on "Russia's Looming Serious Tank Shortage - Tank Count Using Latest Bought Satellite Imagery" video.
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@BoboTheSunniestPalDog I'm not sure what high-end equipment Russia has without a NATO piece of kit that is ahead in terms of technology, ease of use, availability, or lethality. There are some pieces of Russian kit that would likely match the west (the T-14, for example) but Russia cannot actually produce the machines they created. The Su-57 is a great aircraft, but its radar cross section is about the same as the F-18, which is aging out of U.S. service. Russia did field the R-73 air-to-air missile, which probably was superior to the AIM-120D, however this week the U.S. announced it had already created and armed aircraft with the new AIM-174B long range missile that fills the same role, based on the battle-tested SM-6 interceptor.
So, yes, generally speaking, NATO fields the best military equipment in the world. The USSR held that same title on occasions when they would spring ahead in tech during the Cold War. Their aircraft, especially, were respected globally. Russia? Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia has not created much of anything new, and the few things it did are made in such small numbers they are almost useless.
China, on the other hand, designed and fielded the J-10 in large numbers (a powerful answer to the F-16), the J-20 and J-31 stealth aircraft, and some excellent A2A missiles, plus cutting edge drone tech. They also operate multiple carriers, including a CATOBAR carrier like the U.S. and France. That's why they are considered adversaries, but respected, while Russia is simply despised for its war crimes and lampooned for its military failures as of late.
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Russia knows it is no longer capable of winning a conventional war with any of those three countries. Their nuclear deterrent protects them from total destruction of the Russian state, so their losses would be limited to whatever China (the most likely candidate) could bite off, then settle diplomatically. Putin decided that invading Ukraine was more important than protecting his country's other flanks, so that's what has happened.
This, of course, was incredibly stupid, since Ukraine had zero interest in a conflict with Russia, and even if accepted into NATO, would not be eligible to invoke Article V for an offensive war. The USA has absolutely no reason or inclination to invade Russia. A President would be thrown out of office before attempting that. Turkey is nicely positioned to influence global commerce and is developing a more advanced aviation and defense industry group. Starting a war with Russia does not serve its global purposes at all. That leaves China, which I can already see just drooling over that northern resources area. Ya done messed up, Vlad!
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